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The ISME Journal (2015) 9, 226–237 & 2015 International Society for Microbial Ecology All rights reserved 1751-7362/15 www.nature.com/ismej ORIGINAL ARTICLE Microbial dormancy improves development and experimental validation of ecosystem model

Gangsheng Wang1,2, Sindhu Jagadamma1,2, Melanie A Mayes1,2, Christopher W Schadt2,3, J Megan Steinweg2,3,4, Lianhong Gu1,2 and Wilfred M Post1,2 1Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA; 2Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA and 3Biosciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, USA

Climate feedbacks from can result from environmental change followed by response of plant and microbial communities, and/or associated changes in nutrient cycling. Explicit consideration of microbial life-history traits and functions may be necessary to predict climate feedbacks owing to changes in the physiology and community composition of microbes and their associated effect on carbon cycling. Here we developed the microbial enzyme-mediated decomposition (MEND) model by incorporating microbial dormancy and the ability to track multiple isotopes of carbon. We tested two versions of MEND, that is, MEND with dormancy (MEND) and MEND without dormancy (MEND_wod), against long-term (270 days) carbon decomposition data from laboratory incubations of four soils with isotopically labeled substrates. MEND_wod adequately fitted multiple observations (total 14 C–CO2 and C–CO2 respiration, and dissolved organic carbon), but at the cost of significantly underestimating the total microbial biomass. MEND improved estimates of microbial biomass by 20–71% over MEND_wod. We also quantified uncertainties in parameters and model simulations using the Critical Objective Function Index method, which is based on a global stochastic optimization algorithm, as well as model complexity and observational data availability. Together our model extrapolations of the incubation study show that long-term incubations with experimental data for multiple carbon pools are conducive to estimate both decomposition and microbial parameters. These efforts should provide essential support to future field- and global- scale simulations, and enable more confident predictions of feedbacks between environmental change and carbon cycling. The ISME Journal (2015) 9, 226–237; doi:10.1038/ismej.2014.120; published online 11 July 2014

Introduction 2012; Wang et al., 2013). Observations suggest that a critical parameter, the microbial carbon use effi- Climate change is expected to alter carbon cycle ciency (CUE) or microbial growth efficiency, is feedbacks from soils through shifts in the composi- likely to decrease as a function of warming tion and carbon accrual rates of plants and microbes, (Devevre and Horwath, 2000; Manzoni et al., 2008; as well as the magnitude and sign of nutrient fluxes Steinweg et al., 2008), which may result in lower (Manzoni et al., 2008; Melillo et al., 2011; Zhou microbial biomass, lower enzyme production and et al., 2012; Weedon et al., 2013). However, these reduced heterotrophic respiration rates (Bradford feedbacks are not yet predictable because we lack et al., 2008; Hartley and Ineson, 2008; Tucker et al., both mechanistic understanding and appropriate 2013; Wang et al., 2013). These changes can occur model structure. Theoretical analyses have been either through physiological adjustments in indivi- developed to account for the roles of microbes and/ dual microbial species/populations, for example, or exoenzymes in decomposition of litter and soil microbial CUE, or through shifts in the microbial organic matter (SOM; for example, Schimel and community composition that change overall soil Weintraub, 2003; Lawrence et al., 2009; Allison community CUE, or complex combinations thereof et al., 2010; Davidson et al., 2012; Moorhead et al., (Manzoni et al., 2012; Zhou et al., 2012). When the response of CUE to temperature change is not Correspondence: G Wang, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak considered in models, losses become Ridge National Laboratory, Building 4500N, F129-S, MS-6301, magnified over time with warming (Frey et al., 2013; Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6301, USA. Wieder et al., 2013). When temperature-modified E-mail: [email protected] CUE is included, acclimation of the community to 4Current address: Biological Sciences Department, University of Wisconsin-Baraboo/Sauk County, Baraboo, WI, USA. warmer temperatures moderates soil carbon loss Received 15 March 2014; revised 4 June 2014; accepted 7 June (Sierra et al., 2010; Wieder et al., 2013), which is 2014; published online 11 July 2014 consistent with some experimental observations MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 227 (Frey et al., 2008; Zhou et al., 2012). The ability to represents the microbial enzyme-driven biological understand the activities of microbes in response to processes as well as the mineral-associated physi- climate change and perturbations appears to be key cochemical processes (Wang et al., 2013). Carbon to predicting carbon cycle–climate feedbacks. isotopes were also represented in MEND to distin- Microbially controlled SOM decomposition is guish fluxes of native SOM from added 14C-labeled increasingly represented in ecosystem models substrates, thus providing additional data for model (Treseder et al., 2012). Other vital common evolu- parameterization (Hanson et al., 2005; Thiet et al., tionary traits, however, such as microbial dormancy 2006; Parton et al., 2010). We tested two versions of and community shifts are not yet represented (Jones MEND, that is, MEND with dormancy (hereinafter and Lennon, 2010; Weedon et al., 2013). When referred to as MEND) and MEND without dormancy environmental conditions are unfavorable for (hereinafter referred to as MEND_wod), against C growth, microbes may enter a state of low metabolic decomposition data collected from long-term labora- activity until conditions improve to allow replica- tory incubations of soils with isotopically labeled tion (Stolpovsky et al., 2011; Wang et al., 2014b). substrate additions. We hypothesized that (i) MEND Failure to consider dormancy in microbially con- would be superior to MEND_wod to more accurately trolled decomposition could result in underestimate estimate microbial and SOM dynamics; (ii) long- of microbial biomass. Alternatively, measurements term (B1 year) soil incubation experiments with of microbial biomass such as chloroform fumigation observations of diverse response variables (for and quantitative polymerase chain reaction cannot example, respiration, microbial biomass, dissolved readily inform microbial models unless the extent of organic carbon (DOC) and C isotopes) are useful for dormancy is considered (Wang et al., 2014b). estimating decomposition parameters in addition to Although data are the most available microbial parameters. and reliable observations for calibration and valida- tion of models from point to global scale (Raich and Schlesinger, 1992; Hanson et al., 2000), estimates of Materials and methods microbial biomass, and even stoichiometry, will ultimately be needed to parameterize microbial MEND model accounting for microbial dormancy ecosystem models (Sinsabaugh et al., 2013; Xu We divided the microbial biomass pool in original et al., 2013). MEND (MEND_wod) into two fractions, that is, active Microbial SOM decomposition models contain and dormant microbial biomass (BA and BD; Figure 1 two major categories of parameters: decomposition for model diagram). The microbial physiology com- parameters and microbial parameters. Microbial ponent was incorporated into MEND to account for parameters are related to microbial growth and the transition of microbes between the two physio- maintenance and include maximum specific growth logical states (active and dormant; Wang et al., and maintenance rates, true growth yield (YG) and 2014b). The particulate organic carbon (POC) pool the half-saturation constant for microbial uptake may be divided into several sub-pools representing (Wang et al., 2014b). Our previous work has different substrate categories. For example, as per our modified the microbial parameters using the phy- laboratory experiments with addition of glucose and siological model to account for the extent of starch, we divided the POC pool into two compo- dormant versus active microbes (Wang et al., nents: POC1 (denoted by P1) containing lignocellu- 2014b). Short-term (that is, several days) substrate- lose-like compounds and POC2 (denoted by P2) induced respiration and substrate-induced growth including starch-like compounds. P1 is degraded by response experiments can be used to estimate many ligninases and cellulases (Wang et al., 2012; Li et al., microbial parameters (Van de Werf and Verstraete, 2013), and P2 is broken down by amylases (Caldwell, 1987; Colores et al., 1996; Blagodatskaya and 2005; Swarbreck et al., 2011). The DOC (D)pool Kuzyakov, 2013). However, the short-term nature contains compounds of varying complexity that can of these experiments means that decomposition be bound to of mineral-associated organic parameters for many slowly decomposing substrates carbon (MOC, M) pool, that is, the Q pool in Figure 1 cannot be estimated from them (Wang et al., 2014b). (Mayes et al., 2012; Wang et al., 2013). In MEND, the Decomposition parameters refer to the kinetic para- DOC (D)poolreceivesinputsfromdecompositionof meters directly controlling decomposition rates, for POC (P)andMOC(M), desorption of C from Q,and example, rate constants in first-order kinetic models dead enzymes and microbes (microbial biomass (Lawrence et al., 2009), enzyme kinetics (maximum carbon, MBC). specific enzyme activity and corresponding half- The dynamics of each soil C pool in MEND is saturation constant), and enzyme production and described by Supplementary Equations S1–S12 in turnover rates (Schimel and Weintraub, 2003; Tang the Supplementary Information. The transformation and Riley, 2013; Wang et al., 2013). fluxes (Figure 1) are elucidated by Supplementary In this study, we incorporated the dormant and Equations S13–S26 in Supplementary Table S1 in active microbial physiological model developed in the Supplementary Information. Model parameters Wang et al. (2014b) into the microbial enzyme- and their a priori value ranges adapted from Wang mediated decomposition (MEND) model that et al. (2013) are summarized in Table 1.

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 228

Figure 1 Diagram of the microbial ezyme-mediated decomposition (MEND) model. Soil organic carbon pools include: particulate

organic carbon (POC) (for example, lignocellulose-like compounds and starch-like compounds, denoted by P1 and P2, respectively), mineral-associated organic carbon (MOC, denoted by M), dissolved organic carbon (DOC, D), adsorbed phase of DOC (QOC, Q), active

microbial biomass (BA), dormant microbial biomass (BD), POC-degraded enzymes (for example, EP1 and EP2 that break down P1 and P2, respectively), and MOC-degraded enzymes (EM). IP1, IP2 and ID are external inputs to the pools of P1, P2, and D, respectively. Transformation fluxes include: (1) POC1 (P1) decomposition (denoted by the flux F1 in equations in the Supplementary Information); (2) POC2 (P2) decomposition (F2); (3) MOC (M) decomposition (F3); (4, 5) adsorption (F4) and desorption (F5) between DOC (D) and QOC (Q); (6) DOC (D) uptake by BA (F6); (7,8) dormancy (F7) and reactivation (F8) between BA and BD; (9, 10) BA growth respiration (F9) and maintenance respiration (F10); (11) BD maintenance respiration (F11); (12) BA mortality (F12); (13) synthesis of EP1 (F13,EP1), EP2 (F13,EP2), and EM (F13,EM); and (14) turnover of enzymes (F14,EP1, F14,EP2, and F14,EM).

There are two additional parameters for model duplicated to consider different C isotopes. General

initialization: initial active fraction (r0) and initial assumptions for the isotopically explicit MEND lignocellulose fraction (LCF0;Table1).r0 is the models include: (i) isotopic fractionation in SOM initial fraction of active microbes within total transformation, microbial processing and respira- living microbes (Wang et al., 2014b). LCF0 is tion is negligible (Sala et al., 2000; Currie, 2007); (ii) defined as the initial ratio of particulate each pool is mixed well and isotopically homo- lignocellulose–carbon (P1) concentration to the geneous, and influxes to a pool can alter its isotopic total POC concentration. We define an index a ¼ ratio, whereas outfluxes from a pool cannot (Currie, 14 12 mR/(VD þ mR), where VD and mR denote maximum 2007). In this study, two C isotopes ( C and C) specific growth and maintenance rates, respec- were included, and the flux of 14Cor12C is assumed 14 12 tively, for active microbes. Either mR or a is to depend on the isotopic ratio ( C/ C) in the included in model calibration, as one of them can upstream pool. be derived from the other. Similarly, the binding Rup affinity (KBA) and desorption rate (Kdes) are cali- F14C ¼ Á FC ð1aÞ Rup þ 1 brated, and the specific adsorption rate (Kads ¼ K Â K ) can be computed from them. In MEND, des BA 1 the ratio of dormant to active maintenance rate is F12C ¼ Á FC ð1bÞ set to a constant (that is, b ¼ 0.001), as the model is Rup þ 1 not sensitive to b during the experimental period 14 12 where F14C and F12C represent the C and C flux, (for example, within 1 year; Wang et al., 2014b). respectively; FC is the total C flux; and Rup ¼ Compared with MEND_wod, there is one more 14 12 14 12 ( C/ C)up denotes the isotopic ratio ( C/ C) in parameter in MEND—the initial active fraction (r0). the upstream pool. In summary, there are 20 parameters for calibrating MEND and 19 for MEND_wod. Model parameter optimization We used the SCEUA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at Discriminating isotopes in the MEND model University of Arizona) algorithm (Duan et al., 1992; The MEND and MEND_wod models were also Wang et al., 2009) to determine model parameters. modified to explicitly account for different C We implemented SCEUA with 30 different random isotopes (for example, 12C, 13C and 14C), that is, the seeds (Duan et al., 1992). The parameter optimiza- soil C pools and fluxes represented in Figure 1 were tion is to minimize the total objective function (J)

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 229 Table 1 MEND model parameters

Parameters Description A priori range Eq. Units

À 1 À 1 VP1 Maximum specific decomposition rate for P1 (0.1, 3) S13 mg C mg Ch À 1 À 1 VP2 Maximum specific decomposition rate for P2 (1, 50) S14 mg C mg Ch À 1 KP1 Half-saturation constant for P1 decomposition (1, 100) S13 mg C g soil À 1 KP2 Half-saturation constant for P2 decomposition (1, 100) S14 mg C g soil À 1 À 1 VM Maximum specific decomposition rate for M (0.05, 2) S15 mg C mg Ch À 1 KM Half-saturation constant for M decomposition (10, 1000) S15 mg C g soil À 1 À 1 VD Maximum specific uptake rate of D for growth (0.0001, 0.5) S18 mg C mg Ch À 1 KD Half-saturation constant for uptake of D (0.05, 0.5) S18 mg C g soil À 1 À 1 mR Specific maintenance rate of BA ¼VD  a/(1 À a) S18 mg C mg Ch a ¼ mR/(VD þ mR) (0.01, 0.5) — b Ratio of dormant maintenance rate to mR 0.001 S23 — YG True growth yield (0.1, 0.9) S18 — fD Fraction of decomposed P1 and P2 allocated to D (0.1, 1) S3 — gD Fraction of dead BA allocated to D (0.01, 1) S1 — pEP Fraction of mR for production of EP1 and EP2 (0.001, 0.1) S25 — pEM Fraction of mR for production of EM (0.001, 0.1) S25 — À 1 À 1 rE Turnover rate of EP1, EP2 and EM (0.0001, 0.01) S26 mg C mg Ch À 1 Qmax Maximum DOC sorption capacity (0.5, 5) S16 mg C g soil À 1 À 1 KBA Binding affinity (1, 16) (mg C g soil) À 1 À 1 Kdes Desorption rate (0.0001, 0.1) S17 mg C g soil h À 1 À 1 Kads Specific adsorption rate ¼ Kdes  KBA S16 mg C mg Ch LCF0 Initial fraction of P1 ¼ P1/(P1 þ P2) (0.1, 0.95) — r0 Initial active fraction ¼ BA/(BA þ BD) (0.01, 1) —

Abbreviations: BA and BD, active and dormant microbial biomass; DOC, dissolved organic carbon; Eq., equations; LCF, lignocellulose fraction;

MEND, microbial enzyme-mediated decomposition; YG, true growth yield. Notes: The column ‘Eq’ lists the major equation nos. (see Supplementary Information) in which each parameter is used.

that is computed as the weighted average of multiple and J2 from J3 and J4 because we had more 14 single-objectives (Wang and Chen, 2012) observations for C–CO2 and % C–CO2 (n ¼ 28 with Xm glucose and starch for each of them) than for MBC 2 J ¼ wi Á Ji ð2aÞ and DOC (n ¼ 8 for each of them). R is not suitable i¼1 for assessing the goodness-of-fit regarding a small amount of data. MARE represents the averaged Xm deviations of predictions (Ysim) from their observa- wi ¼ 1 with wi 2½0; 1Šð2bÞ tions (Yobs): i¼1 Xn where m denotes the number of objectives and wi is 1 YsimðiÞÀYobsðiÞ MARE ¼ ð3Þ the weighting factor for the ith (i ¼ 1, 2,y, m) n i¼1 YobsðiÞ objective (Ji). In this study, the total objective function (J) consists of four single-objectives (that is, m ¼ 4) in terms of four response variables: J1 for total cumu- Uncertainty and statistical analyses lative respiration (denoted by C–CO2), J2 for cumu- The uncertainties in parameters and model predic- lative respired 14C normalized by added 14C tions were quantified by the Critical Objective 14 (denoted by % C–CO2), J3 for MBC and J4 for Function Index (COFI) method, which is much DOC. The computation of each single-objective simpler than the commonly used method based on includes the data from two experiments (with Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo addition of glucose and starch). For example, we (Wang and Chen, 2013). The COFI method is based merged the respiration data with glucose addition on a global stochastic optimization technique (for (number of data points n ¼ 14) and the respiration example, SCEUA in this study). It also accounts for data from starch (n ¼ 14) into one data set (n ¼ 28) model complexity (represented by the number of for computing J1. model parameters) and observational data availabil- 14 The objectives J1 (for C–CO2) and J2 (for % C– ity (represented by the number of observations). 2 2 CO2) were computed as (1 À R ), where R denotes The procedure of COFI includes: (i) implementing the coefficient of determination (Devore, 2008), and the SCEUA algorithm with multiple different ran- higher R2-values (R2 p1) indicate better model dom seeds to search ‘relatively optimal’ parameter performance; while the objectives J3 and J4 (for sets that minimizing the objective function (J in MBC and DOC, respectively) were calculated by the Equation (2)); (ii) collecting the optimal parameter mean absolute relative error (MARE) and lower set generated in each loop of the SCEUA searching MARE values (MARE X0) are preferred (Dawson process to form a feasible parameter space; (iii) et al., 2007). We used a different formulation for J1 determining the COFI (Jcr; see Equation (4) below)

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 230 based on Jopt (minimum J-value), n (number of summarized in Table 2. The initial Q pool size was measurements) and p (number of model para- assumed to be 1% of the MOC (M) pool size and the

meters); (iv) constructing the parametric surface of initial enzyme concentrations for EP1,EP2 and EM the confidence space by selecting those parameter were set to 1.1 Â 10 À 3, 1.1 Â 10 À 3 and 1.4 Â 10 À 3 À 1 sets resulting in JpJcr from the feasible parameter mg C g soil, respectively (Wang et al., 2013). The space; (v) quantifying the uncertainty in parameters radiocarbon labeled glucose and starch were added by the statistics of these selected parameter sets; (vi) to soils that had isotopic ratios (R ¼ 14C/12C) of conducting model simulations using these selected 4.80 Â 10 À 6 (for glucose) and 4.68 Â 10 À 6 (for parameter sets; and (vii) quantifying the uncertainty starch), respectively. Cumulative total respiration À 1 in model predictions (for example, soil C pool sizes (denoted by C–CO2 in units of mg C g soil) and and respiration) using the model simulation cumulative respired 14C normalized by added 14C 14 outputs. (denoted by % C–CO2) were measured 14 times in The COFI is computed as (Batstone et al., 2003; three replicates, that is, at days of 1, 2, 4, 6, 10, 15, Wang et al., 2014a): 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, 150, 210 and 270. In addition, MBC and DOC were determined at 4 days, that is, 4, p Jcr ¼ Jopt Á Z ¼ Jopt Á 1 þ Fa;p;n À p ð4Þ 30, 150 and 270. Additional details about the soils n À p and the laboratory-incubation experiments can be found in Jagadamma et al. (2014a, b). where Jcr is the COFI that defines the parameter uncertainty region, Jopt is the optimum (minimum) objective function value that is calculated by Equation (2a), n is the number of measured data Results points, p is the number of parameters, and Fa,p,n À p is the value of the F-distribution for a, p and n À p. For Model simulations MEND, P ¼ 20, n ¼ 72 (including measured Both MEND and MEND_wod could simulate the 14 14 observed C–CO2,% C–CO2 and DOC with similarly C–CO2,% C–CO2, DOC and MBC in two experiments with addition of glucose and starch), we used satisfactory criterion values (Figures 2a, b and d). Higher R2-values (R2 1) indicate better model a ¼ 0.05, with F0.05,20,52 ¼ 1.776 to estimate the 95% p confidence parameter uncertainty regions. For performance, whereas lower MARE values (MARE X 2 MEND_wod, P ¼ 19 (that is, r is not included) and 0) are preferred. The R -values for C–CO2 and 0 14 2 % C–CO2 are 40.85 and close to the ideal R -value F0.05,19,53 ¼ 1.786. As a result, Z ¼ 1.683 and 1.640 for MEND and MEND_wod, respectively. It is evident (1.0). The MARE values for DOC are o0.32 with that more observed data points and less undeter- most of them o0.20 for both models. For MBC, the mined parameters would reduce parametric uncer- MARE values for MEND_wod are 40.65 and are 25–126% higher than those for MEND (Figure 2c). tainty (that is, smaller Jcr). We used the non-parametric Kruskal–Wallis ana- MEND_wod underestimated 91% of the 32 MBC lysis of variance to test whether the parameter observations (eight observations for each of the four samples for each soil originated from the same soils), whereas the MEND underestimated 75%. distribution at a significance level of 0.05 When dormancy was not considered, the MARE (McDonald, 2009; Giraudoux, 2013). for MBC predictions averaged out to 0.70 during the full experimental period and 0.95 during the latter period (at days of 150 and 270). When dormancy Soils and incubation experiments was included, the average MARE values We have chosen to study four soils selected from were reduced to 0.37 and 0.47 for the full contrasting climatic zones, the experimental details period and the latter period, respectively. Thus, of which were published previously: A from MEND improved model estimates of MBC concen- arctic, from sub-arctic, from tem- trations by 20–71% over MEND_wod across perate, as well as an from tropical regions four soils. (Jagadamma et al., 2014a, b). In brief, each soil was Taking the Mollisol as an example (Figure 3, the incubated at room temperature (20 1C) for 270 days error bars for model simulations were derived by the in the dark in a temperature and humidity con- COFI method), the simulated C–CO2 (Figures 3a and 14 trolled room. For each sample, 25 g soil were pre- c), % C–CO2 (Figures 3b and d) and DOC (Figures incubated at 40% water holding capacity for 1 week 3f and h) by both models fit the observations very 14 to avoid the respiration response of the microbial well. MEND_wod greatly underestimated % C–CO2 community to rewetting (Paul et al., 2001; Haddix during the first 2 days (see the left two points in et al., 2011). Each soil sample was amended with Figures 3b and d) and slightly underestimated 14 unlabeled substrate (D-glucose or starch) at the % C–CO2 from days 2 to 15 (data point 3–6 in concentration of 0.4 mg C g À 1 soil and with uni- Figures 3b and d). However, MEND improved the 14 14 14 14 formly labeled C substrates (U- C glucose or U- C estimates of % C–CO2 for the same period. The starch). The added glucose and starch were assumed simulated MBC concentrations (Figures 3e and g) by to enter the DOC (D) and POC_starch (P2) pool, MEND were also close to the observations, while respectively. The initial conditions of soils are MEND_wod significantly underestimated MBC at

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 231 days 150 and 270. Similar results were found for the Discussion other soils (see Supplementary Figure S1 in the Supplementary Information). Model parameterization The Andisol stands out of the four soils in terms of model parameters because are different from other soil pertaining to their physical, chemi- Model parameters cal and mineralogical properties (Nanzyo, 2002; The parameter analysis in this section is focused on McDaniel and Wilson, 2007). The Andisol contained MEND, as it represents microbial dynamics better significantly higher SOC than the other soils and presents superior model performance than (Table 2) but generally produced lower cumulative MEND_wod. The boxplots for model parameters C–CO2 than the Mollisol and Ultisol during the derived by the COFI method are shown in experimental period. Thus the model calibration Supplementary Figure S2 in the Supplementary required the lowest specific reaction rates (for Information. In most cases, the calibrated parameter example, mR, VD, VP1 and VM) and the highest half- values varied among soils. The Andisol held the saturation constants (for example, KP1, KM and KD) for the Andisol. The median values for mR and VD highest values in seven parameters (rE, VP2, KP1, KM, Q , K and g ) and the lowest in the other seven derived here are two orders of magnitude higher max D D than those in Wang et al. (2013). This is because of parameters (mR, VD, pEM, VP1, VM, KP2, Kdes). The decomposition parameters varied in different the consideration of microbial dormancy. The SOC pools (Supplementary Figure S2). The MOC MEND_wod model and other microbial models (M) pool had the lowest maximum specific decom- include only one microbial biomass pool and do not consider the physiological states of microbes. position rate (median of VM ¼ 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI) ¼ 0.06–1.98 mg C mg À 1 ChÀ 1) and the Thus, the mR values in Wang et al. (2013) were summarized from literature including maintenance largest half-saturation constant (median of KM ¼ 550, À 1 rates for active microbes (Anderson and Domsch, 95% CI ¼ 35–998 mg C g soil). The P2 pool (starch) held the highest specific decomposition rate (med- 1985b) or dormant microbes (Anderson and À 1 À 1 Domsch, 1985a) or the total microbial biomass. In ian of VP2 ¼ 42, 95% CI ¼ 16–50 mg C mg Ch ) and the lowest half-saturation constant (median of MEND, mR solely refers to the maximum specific À 1 maintenance rate of active microbes. The large KP2 ¼ 6, 95% CI ¼ 1–56 mg C g soil). The P1 (lig- nocellulose) had slightly higher specific decomposi- differences in mR and VD between MEND and À 1 À 1 MEND_wod point to the importance of proper tion rate (median of VP1 ¼ 1.17 mg C mg Ch ) than the M pool while having a modest half- accounting in parameterization of microbial ecosys- À 1 tem models. saturation constant (median of KP1 ¼ 58 mg C g soil). Other decomposition parameters are related Our results showed the dependence of YG on the to the turnover and production of enzymes (r , p changes in temperature (DT in Figure 4), where DT is E EP the difference between incubation temperature and pEM). The overall rE (enzyme turnover rate) had a 1 median of 0.003 with the 95% CI the same as the a (20 C) and the mean annual temperature (Table 2). priori (0.0001–0.01). The Gelisol exhibited the low- Figure 4 shows that YG decreased with increasing DT from 0.7 to 22.9 1C. The temperature-response est median rE (0.001). The distributions of rE were not statistically different between the Mollisol and coefficient for YG (that is, the regression slope in 1 À 1 the Andisol (median ¼ 0.004 and 0.005, respec- Figure 4) was approximately À 0.01 C with 95% CI of ( À 0.016 and À 0.005) 1C À 1, which comprises tively). The median rE for the Ultisol (0.002) was between the previous two groups (Supplementary previous experimental estimates (Devevre and Horwath, 2000; Steinweg et al., 2008; Tucker et al., Figure S2). The fractions of mR for the production of 2013). This dependence of YG on DT (Figure 4) may EP and EM (pEP and pEM) across four soils had medians of 0.06 and 0.04, respectively, with their imply that microbes have been acclimated to their 95% CIs almost identical to their a priori ranges. local environments and exhibit a relatively univer- Major microbial parameters in MEND include the sal YG (averaged 0.56 with 95% CI of 0.48–0.64) across different biomes. specific maintenance and growth rates (mR and VD), the half-saturation constant for microbial uptake When observations are available for various response variables, the strategy of multi-objective (KD) and the YG. The medians of mR and VD for the four soils were 0.01 and 0.03 mg C mg À 1 ChÀ 1, calibration is essential in order to reduce uncer- tainty in model parameterization (Yapo et al., 1998; respectively, (Supplementary Figure S2). mR and Wang and Chen, 2012). We conducted model VD were significantly different among the four soils with the highest in the Gelisol and the lowest in the parameterization aiming at minimizing a synthe- Andisol. KD exhibited a median of 0.467 (95% sized objective function that consists of four objec- À 1 14 CI ¼ 0.09–0.50 mg C g soil). The overall YG had a tives in terms of C–CO2,% C–CO2, DOC and MBC. median of 0.43 with 95% CI of 0.10–0.75 The optimal parameter sets reflected a balance (Supplementary Figure S2). The medians (close to among all objectives. We also found that the the means) for the Gelisol, Andisol, Mollisol and parameterization results could be qualitatively dif- Ultisol were 0.25, 0.42, 0.49 and 0.52, respectively. ferent when a new objective was introduced into the

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 232 calibration process. Our previous study indicated shown our efforts in parameterizing the model in that short-term substrate-induced respiration or terms of diverse soils from different climatic regions. substrate-induced growth response experiments We hope that these parameter values could provide could be used to determine microbial parameters documented references, although with large uncer- (Wang et al., 2014b). This study further shows that B tainty, for relating parameters to soil properties the long-term (that is, 1 year) soil incubations or and/or climatic conditions. Nevertheless, more field experiments with measurements of microbial laboratory- and field-scale data sets are needed to biomass in addition to soil respiration are conducive to estimate decomposition parameters in addition to constrain model parameterization and associated microbial parameters. We also advocate the incor- uncertainty. By this way, the microbial mechanisms poration of isotopic signatures into parameterization could be practically incorporated into ecosystem and evaluation of ecosystem models. We have models to represent microbial-controlled processes.

Table 2 Experimental soils and their initial soil carbon pool sizes (mg C g À 1 soil)

Soils POC MOC DOC MBC Location MAT

Gelisol 4.25 11.04 0.17 0.05 Fairbanks, AK, USA À 2.9 Andisol 20.06 64.86 0.64 0.86 Kry´suvı´kurheiji, Reykjanes, Iceland 5.0 Mollisol 3.25 27.97 0.21 0.64 Batavia, IL, USA 11.3 Ultisol 4.71 17.67 0.48 0.52 Lavras, Minas Gerais, Brazil 19.3

Abbreviations: DOC, dissolved organic carbon; MAT, mean annual temperature (1C); MBC, microbial biomass carbon; MOC, mineral-associated organic carbon; POC, particulate organic carbon.

2 Figure 2 Best criterion values for calibrating MEND model with dormancy (MEND) or without dormancy (MEND_wod). (a) R for C–CO2 2 14 14 14 (cumulative C–CO2 respiration); (b) R for C–CO2 (normalized cumulative C–CO2 by added C); (c) MARE for MBC (microbial biomass carbon); (d) MARE for DOC (dissolved organic carbon). R2: coefficient of determination, higher R2-values (R2 p1) indicate better model performance; MARE, mean absolute relative error (Equation (3)), lower MARE values (MARE X0) are better.

Figure 3 Comparison between observations (Obs) and simulations (Sim) for the Mollisol, where ‘MEND’ and ‘MEND_wod’ denote the 14 MEND model with and without dormancy, respectively. (a) C–CO2 (cumulative C–CO2 respiration) with addition of glucose. (b)% C– 14 14 14 CO2 (normalized cumulative respired C by added C) with glucose. (c) C–CO2 with addition of starch. (d)% C–CO2 with starch. (e) MBC (microbial biomass carbon) with glucose. (f) DOC (dissolved organic carbon) with glucose. (g) MBC with starch; (h) DOC with starch. The horizontal error bars in a–d are s.d. for observations (sample size n ¼ 3) at days of 1, 2, 4, 6, 10, 15, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, 150, 210

and 270 (from left to right); the vertical error bars in a–d are s.d. for C–CO2 simulated by MEND (n ¼ 2346); for clarity, the error bars (similar to MEND) by MEND_wod are not shown in a–d. No error bars are shown for observations in e–h because of the lack of replicate measurements. The error bars in e–h are s.d. for simulations; for clarity, only the positive errors are shown.

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 233

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 234 Microbial dormancy discrepancies in total MBC between model predic- The observations of low respiration rates but modest tions and experimental observations. MBC and DOC concentrations during the latter MEND_wod could adequately fit the other obser- 14 period (for example, after 50 days) of incubation vations (C–CO2,% C–CO2 and DOC), but at the cost imply there must be certain mechanisms further of significantly underestimating the total microbial depressing microbial activities. The total MBC or biomass. In other words, if the total microbial DOC usually exhibited a decreasing trend after biomass could be more satisfactorily modeled, the 4 days, but MBC concentrations at day 150 were as model without dormancy would poorly simulate high as 28–89% of initial MBC, and DOC concentra- soil respiration, not to mention that microbial tions were at least 30% of initial DOC. The lower uptake and respiration are more sensitive to the microbial activities are reflected by the slower changes in MBC than to the changes in DOC 14 increase in cumulative C–CO2 and C–CO2 concentration regarding the Michaelis–Menten (Figures 3a–d). That is why very low MBC concen- kinetics (Wang and Post, 2013). Taking the Mollisol trations (compared with initial MBC) were predicted as an example, when MBC was given greater weight in with satisfactory predictions of DOC when MEND_wod the objective function (Equation(2))ofMEND_wod, was adopted (Figures 3e and g, and Supplementary the best MARE for MBC could be improved from Figure S1). Major factors affecting microbial activ- 0.66 (when soil respiration was given greater ities include environmental factors (for example, weight) to 0.27; however, the model was not good 2 soil temperature and moisture; Brockett et al., 2012), at simulating C–CO2 (best R ¼ 0.78) compared with carbon availability or root exudation (Drake et al., the model performance shown in Figure 2 (best 2 2013) and nutrient availability (Lennon and Jones, R ¼ 0.98 for C–CO2). In this MEND_wod configura- 2011). Changes in these factors might result in tion, the cumulative respiration at day 270 was changes in CUE (Sinsabaugh et al., 2013) and overestimated by 29%, compared with the relative transitions between microbial physiological states small errors of 5% from MEND. In conclusion, the (active and dormant), particularly in laboratory- inclusion of dormancy substantially improves the scale experiments. For example, dormancy is a estimates of microbial biomass as well as the beneficial survival and evolutionary trait of soil mechanistic representation and prediction of soil microbes when faced with unfavorable environmen- carbon cycle. tal conditions (Lennon and Jones, 2011). The Feedbacks between the climate system and the impacts of environmental factors and root exudation carbon cycle is a major focus of global change could be excluded from this study, as the soils research (Zhou et al., 2012). Biogeochemical cycles without living roots were incubated at an aerobic including the carbon cycle are extensively driven by environment with constant soil temperature and microbes (Falkowski et al., 2008). The two necessary moisture. We found that the prediction of microbial conditions for soil microbes to affect ecological biomass could not be improved by simply processes are: (a) ‘organisms must differ in their manipulating the intrinsic CUE (that is, YG)in functional traits’ and (b) ‘biological reactions must be MEND_wod. Thus, the transition between microbial physiological states owing to changes in carbon or nutrient availability is the most likely explanation for the observed variations in microbial activities. The MEND model substantially improved the predictions of microbial biomass over MEND_wod, indicating that it is essential to represent dormancy in microbial ecosystem models in order to accurately predict microbial biomass as well as to explain variation in SOM decomposition as a function of time. The initial active fractions (r0)inthisstudy averaged 0.79 (median ¼ 0.90) with large variations (95% CI ¼ 0.19–0.99). The relatively high r0 might be due to the pre-incubation of soil samples at 40% water holding capacity for 1 week. The active fraction (r) generally declined with time due to the decrease in substrate (DOC) availability. Taking the Mollisol as an example, the active fraction (r) dropped from its

initial value of 0.655 to 0.104 after 50 days (Figure 5). Figure 4 Dependence of true growth yield (YG) on changes in At day 150, the predicted MBC concentrations by temperature. MAT, mean annual temperature at the soil sampling MEND_wod only accounted for 3–8% of the initial site; CI, confidence interval; LCL, and UCL are lower and upper confidence limits, respectively. The YG-values for each soil (from MBC across four soils, which were much lower than left to right: Ultisol, Mollisol, Andisol and Gelisol) are 13 the observations (428% of initial MBC). The incor- representative values corresponding to 13 percentiles (2.5, 5, 10, poration of dormancy was able to resolve the large 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 95 and 97.5%).

The ISME Journal MEND model with dormancy G Wang et al 235 Acknowledgements This research was funded by the Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and by the US Department of Energy (DOE) Biological and Environmental Research (BER) program. ORNL is managed by UT-Battelle, LLC, for the US DOE under contract DE-AC05-00OR22725. The authors appreciate the insightful reviews of Dr Paul Hanson on earlier drafts of the manuscript. We also thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments.

Disclaimer Figure 5 Temporal change in active fraction (r) of microbial The United States Government retains and the publisher, biomass for the Mollisol. by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the United States Government retains a non-exclusive, paid-up, irrevocable, world-wide license to publish or either the rate-limiting step or the fate-controlling reproduce the published form of this manuscript, or allow step’ (Schimel and Schaeffer, 2012). Microbial func- others to do so, for United States Government purposes. tional groups are characterized by certain functional traits, such as life-history traits and substrate-speci- ficity traits (Kaiser et al., 2014). The newly developed References microbial mineral carbon stabilization model defines two microbial functional groups (r-andK-strategies) Allison SD, Wallenstein MD, Bradford MA. (2010). that differ in growth rate, turnover rate and their Soil-carbon response to warming dependent on interactions with physically and chemically pro- microbial physiology. Nat Geosci 3: 336–340. tected SOM pools (Wieder et al., 2014). Our model Anderson TH, Domsch KH. (1985a). Determination testing against experimental data demonstrates that of ecophysiological maintenance carbon requirements the microbial control over SOM decomposition is of soil microorganisms in a dormant state. Biol Fert Soils 1: 81–89. substantial. In addition, active and dormant microbes Anderson TH, Domsch KH. (1985b). Maintenance carbon distinctly differ in their functional traits, and the requirements of actively-metabolizing microbial extent of microbial decomposition and uptake is the populations under in situ conditions. Soil Biol rate-limiting step. Biochem 17: 197–203. The dormancy strategy should be more significant Batstone DJ, Pind PF, Angelidaki I. (2003). Kinetics of for microbes in field conditions that are influenced thermophilic, anaerobic oxidation of straight and by carbon and nutrient availability and changes in branched chain butyrate and valerate. Biotechnol environmental factors such as soil temperature, Bioeng 84: 195–204. moisture and oxygen (Wang et al., 2014b). For Blagodatskaya E, Kuzyakov Y. (2013). Active microorgan- example, dormancy has been found to be a better isms in soil: Critical review of estimation criteria and approaches. Soil Biol Biochem 67: 192–211. strategy to achieve drought resistance in mineral Bradford MA. (2013). Thermal adaptation of decomposer soils where C supply constrains growth and osmo- communities in warming soils. Front Microbiol 4: lyte synthesis (Manzoni et al., 2014). The proposed Article 333. dormancy mechanism and calibrated microbial, and Bradford MA, Davies CA, Frey SD, Maddox TR, Melillo JM, enzymatic parameters with long-term laboratory Mohan JE et al. (2008). Thermal adaptation of soil incubations provide a pathway forward for model- microbial respiration to elevated temperature. Ecol Lett ing field-scale processes. Although the importance 11: 1316–1327. of microbial community composition may vary with Brockett BF, Prescott CE, Grayston SJ. (2012). Soil spatiotemporal scales (Schimel and Schaeffer, moisture is the major factor influencing microbial 2012), the inclusion of microbial physiology is community structure and enzyme activities across seven biogeoclimatic zones in western Canada. Soil essential to confidently project feedbacks between Biol Biochem 44: 9–20. climate change and carbon cycle (Bradford, 2013). Caldwell BA. (2005). Enzyme activities as a component of Continued development is needed to bring micro- : A review. Pedobiologia 49: 637–644. bial physiology into global climate and ecosystem Colores GM, Schmidt SK, Fisk MC. (1996). Estimating the models (Todd-Brown et al., 2012; Treseder et al., biomass of microbial functional groups using rates of 2012; Schimel, 2013). growth-related soil respiration. Soil Biol Biochem 28: 1569–1577. Currie WS. (2007). Modeling the dynamics of stable- isotope ratios for ecosystem biogeochemistry. In: Conflict of Interest Michener R, Lajtha K (eds) Stable Isotopes in Ecology and Environmental Science. Blackwell Publishing: The authors declare no conflict of interest. Malden, MA, USA, pp 450–479.

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