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PPP Poll Has Republican Incumbent Senator Mitch Mcconnell Leading Democratic Challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes

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PPP Poll Has Republican Incumbent Senator Mitch Mcconnell Leading Democratic Challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE August 12, 2014 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE McConnell Leading in Re-Election Bid Raleigh, N.C. – The latest PPP poll has Republican incumbent Senator Mitch McConnell leading Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes. McConnell leads Grimes and Libertarian David Patterson by a margin of 44/40/7 with 9% undecided. Both major party candidates in this race face negative ratings; McConnell’s approval rating is only 37% while 54% disapprove of his job performance. Grimes faces a net four point negative rating at 45% disapproval and 41% approval. Among Democrats, 22% approve of his job performance and 23% say that they would vote for McConnell. The bright spot for Grimes in addition to the fact that the race is so close is that she leads among women in the state. Grimes has a net favorable rating among women at 44/40 and leads among women by one point 42/41. In addition, 11% of women remain undecided, representing a path forward for Grimes to overtake McConnell. “Mitch McConnell’s starting to see Republican voters unify around him a little bit more,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “That’s allowed him to regain a small lead although the race remains very competitive overall.” In the 2015 race for Governor Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway leads each of his likely Republican challengers; Cathy Bailey, Matt Bevin, James Comer and Hal Heiner. Conway leads Bevin and Comer each by three points; 39/36 and 38/35 respectively. Conway leads Bailey and Heiner by wider margins; he leads Bailey 42/30 and Heiner 39/32. The President and his namesake healthcare law are still unpopular in Kentucky. When asked if they approve of the President’s job performance 32% of voters say they approve but 63% of voters say they disapprove. The Affordable Care Act is less unpopular, across the state 34% of voters approve of the healthcare law while 51% disapprove. However the state operated healthcare marketplace, Kynect, has a net positive favorability rating, 34/27. PPP surveyed 991 likely voters from August 7th to August 10th. The margin of error for the sample is +/-3.1 %. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones. Kentucky Survey Results Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Barack Obama’s job performance? of Matt Bevin? Approve .......................................................... 32% Favorable........................................................ 20% Disapprove...................................................... 63% Unfavorable .................................................... 22% Not sure .......................................................... 5% Not Sure.......................................................... 58% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mitch Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion McConnell's job performance? of James Comer? Approve .......................................................... 37% Favorable........................................................ 19% Disapprove...................................................... 54% Unfavorable .................................................... 10% Not sure .......................................................... 8% Not Sure.......................................................... 71% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alison Lundergan Grimes? of Jack Conway? Favorable........................................................ 41% Favorable........................................................ 35% Unfavorable .................................................... 45% Unfavorable .................................................... 28% Not sure .......................................................... 14% Not Sure.......................................................... 37% Q4 If the candidates for Senate were Republican Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Mitch McConnell, Democrat Alison Lundergan of Hal Heiner? Grimes, and Libertarian David Patterson, who 15% would you vote for? Favorable........................................................ Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Mitch McConnell ............................................. 44% Not Sure.......................................................... 69% Alison Lundergan Grimes ............................... 40% Q11 If the candidates for Governor next year were David Patterson .............................................. 7% Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Cathy Undecided....................................................... 9% Bailey, who would you vote for? Q5 Horse race, with Patterson supporters asked if Jack Conway .................................................. 42% they would vote McConnell or Grimes Cathy Bailey.................................................... 30% Mitch McConnell ............................................. 47% Not Sure.......................................................... 28% Alison Lundergan Grimes ............................... 42% Q12 If the candidates for Governor next year were Not sure .......................................................... 11% Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Matt Bevin, who would you vote for? Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cathy Bailey? Jack Conway .................................................. 39% Favorable........................................................ 6% Matt Bevin....................................................... 36% Unfavorable .................................................... 7% Not Sure.......................................................... 25% Not Sure.......................................................... 87% August 7-10, 2014 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 991 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q13 If the candidates for Governor next year were Q18 Do you think the implementation of Kynect so Democrat Jack Conway and Republican far has been very successful, somewhat James Comer, who would you vote for? successful, somewhat unsuccessful, very unsuccessful, or are you not sure? Jack Conway .................................................. 38% Very successful............................................... 21% James Comer ................................................. 35% Somewhat successful ..................................... 24% Not Sure.......................................................... 27% Q14 If the candidates for Governor next year were Somewhat unsuccessful ................................. 16% Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Hal Very unsuccessful........................................... 13% Heiner, who would you vote for? Not sure .......................................................... 26% Jack Conway .................................................. 39% Q19 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Hal Heiner....................................................... 32% Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Not Sure.......................................................... 28% Barack Obama................................................ 40% Q15 Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Mitt Romney.................................................... 52% Care Act? Someone else / Don't remember .................... 8% Approve .......................................................... 34% Q20 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, Disapprove...................................................... 51% somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? Not sure .......................................................... 14% Q16 Do you approve or disapprove of Kynect? Very liberal...................................................... 10% 17% Approve .......................................................... 34% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 28% Disapprove...................................................... 27% Moderate......................................................... 25% Not sure .......................................................... 40% Somewhat conservative.................................. Q17 Do you think the implementation of the Very conservative ........................................... 20% Affordable Care Act so far has been very Q21 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful, very unsuccessful, or are you Woman ........................................................... 53% not sure? Man................................................................. 47% Very successful............................................... 15% Q22 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify Somewhat successful ..................................... 26% with another party, press 3. Somewhat unsuccessful ................................. 20% Democrat ........................................................ 52% Very unsuccessful........................................... 34% Republican...................................................... 38% Not sure .......................................................... 6% Independent / Other.......................................
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