137/19 Dear Sir/Madam Your Request for Information Has Now Been

Rutland County Council telephone: 01572 722 577 Catmose fax: 01572 758 307 Oakham email: [email protected] Rutland web: www.rutland.gov.uk LE15 6HP

19 February 2019

FREEDOM OF INFORMATION REQUEST – 137/19

Dear Sir/Madam

Your request for information has now been considered and the information requested is provided below.

Request:

I am trying to understand the availability of Primary and Secondary School places across Rutland and understand that the council are required to produce a Surplus Capacity Report which is submitted to Government each year.

Can you please send me a copy of the report for the last 5 years?

Response: Please see attached the latest School Capacity Survey Report (SCAP). Please be aware that SCAP is a forward forecasting report which forecasts the next 5 years rather than the last 5 years as stated in the original request.

You are free to use any documents supplied for your own use, including for non- commercial research purposes. The documents may also be used for news reporting. However, any other type of re-use, for example by publishing the documents or issuing copies to the public will require the permission of the copyright owner, where copyright exists. Such a request would be considered separately in accordance with the relevant Re-use of Public Sector Information Regulations 2005 and is not automatic. Therefore, no permission is implied in the re-use of this information, until such a request to re-use it has been made and agreed, subject to any appropriate conditions. Any request to re-use the information should be made to me at the address below.

If you are dissatisfied with the handling of your request please contact the Data Protection Officer, Rutland County Council, Catmose, Oakham, Rutland LE15 6HP You can also complain to the Information Commissioner at:

The Information Commissioner's Office Wycliffe House, Water lane Wilmslow, Cheshire SK9 5AF Tel: 01625 545700

Yours faithfully

FOI Administrator

Business Support Team Rutland County Council Schools Capacity Survey 2018

Local Authority Commentary

Local Authority Name RUTLAND COUNTY COUNCIL Local Authority Number 857 Contact Names TIM O’NEILL; GILL CURTIS Tel. 01572 758460

You are asked to provide a commentary to assist the Department in its analysis of current and projected pupil place pressures and available capacity. PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR COMMENTARY ON THIS TEMPLATE ONLY. It provides an opportunity to qualify the impression that might be obtained from capacity data, pupil forecasts and capital spend data.

The commentary should provide a brief explanation where school capacity is an issue. This may be where there is a surplus or a shortfall of capacity. Where schools/planning areas currently have or are projected to have a shortfall of places, please record the steps being taken to address these. Please use the commentary to explain where there is planned action to secure additional capacity, for at least the next two academic years.

You should also use the commentary to provide an explanation of any other significant changes to capacity and the effect this would have on school places available. Where issues and/or solutions cross planning area boundaries, please indicate this in the relevant section below.

The commentary is distinguishable from the separate Methodology Statement in which you will indicate how these issues have been factored into your pupil forecasts. You should refer to the separate guidance for detail of requirements.

1. General LA overview indicating LA wide trends (including both primary and secondary age) There is continuing, gentle growth in numbers of pupils across the County, largely as a result of increased housing. Other influences on pupil numbers are small. The County contains a large proportion of academies that are their own admissions authorities, making place planning more complicated. The LA is admissions authority for only 4 schools (all primary); 3 of these schools have received an academy order and are likely to transfer to academy status in autumn 2018.

Primary Primary pupil numbers are forecast to increase from 2819 (2017/18) to 3119 (2022/23); published admission numbers indicate capacity of 3424 primary places across Rutland; this equates to approximately 18% spare capacity in 2017/18. The forecast indicates this will reduce to 15% spare capacity by 2022.

The Oakham regional area is within 10% of its overall capacity as of 2017/18. This will reduce to 1% by 2022/23.  Housing development is largely focused around this town.  Brook Hill (E.N.2316), Oakham CoE (E.N.3115) and English Martyrs (E.N.3429) have greater than 10% capacity  Langham, Whissendine and Catmose are all between 10% - 1% capacity.  Oakham CoE has been judged at its last inspection and is now likely to be more popular; admission requests to Reception have increased from 29 in Sept 2017 to 36 in Sept 2018

The Casterton regional area has 24% spare capacity for 2017/18. Capacity in this region will fall to 10% by 2022/23.  Cottesmore Academy (E.N.2001), a school within a military base and subject to large-scale pupil mobility as consequence of military activity and regiment relocation, has approximately 47% surplus capacity. The position of the school on the MoD base restricts use of this establishment to reduce pressure on schools outside the base.  Exton and Greetham (E.N.3112), Empingham (E.N.3111) and Ryhall (E.N.2000) retain surplus capacity; however, there is little surplus capacity within Ketton (E.N.3113), Great Casterton (E.N.3120) and St Nicholas (E.N.3428).

The Uppingham regional area has 33% spare capacity for 2017/18. Capacity in this area is forecast to reduce to 26% by 2022  There is 50.3% surplus capacity at Edith Weston (E.N.2312), a school very close to a military base, as well as surplus capacity in each of the other three schools in the regional area.  Uppingham County College (UCC) changed the school’s admissions arrangements for September 2015 to widen catchment to include schools in Northamptonshire which led to increased capacity in Rutland schools at the time because children no longer required places in Rutland primary schools to secure a place at UCC.

Secondary Secondary pupil numbers are forecast to increase from 2480 (2017/18) to 2865 (2024/25); published admission numbers indicate capacity of 2715 secondary places across Rutland; this equates to just over 9% spare capacity in 2017/18. If, by 2020/21 secondary places were not to be increased, there would be insufficient capacity (-1%) across Rutland secondary schools with further pressure (nearly -6%) by 2024/25. Catmose is over capacity by 55 pupils Uppingham is nearly at capacity with 910 pupils Casterton (615 pupils) has a surplus capacity of 31%

The Council is currently considering solutions to these challenges, including:  Work is almost complete at Catmose College. When completed, this will deliver an additional 150 places from 2018/19, with plans in place for a further 150 places in Phase 3 of the agreed development for 2019 or 2020  Oakham CoE Primary is included within Rutland’s school expansion planning which will create an additional 90 places

2. Factors affecting overall LA pupil numbers e.g. migration, housing development, live births. If you experience cross local authority boundary movement please identify the other local authorities involved and the scale of places affected.

 Housing development plans are predominantly focused around two key areas in Rutland: Oakham and Uppingham. Additionally, housing developments completed in South Kesteven, Lincolnshire have reportedly led to increased pressure on schools in the local area which may have a link to the increase take up of places at Casterton College and surrounding primary schools.  There is also potential further housing growth linked to a joint Rutland and South Kesteven development north of Stamford which may also impact on the number of out of county children applying for Rutland school places, as well as increasing admissions from Rutland. This development is at the very early stages and there is not yet a confirmation of expected time-frames for building to commence.  One of the MOD bases, St George’s Barracks is planned to close in 2021. The Local Authority is currently consulting on a joint partnership development between the LA and RCC which would include up to 3,000 new houses being built with potential start date of 2021 through to 2035.  Live births are showing a high level of stability. The number of births in 2015/16 was 10% higher than average for Rutland (returned to average level in 2016/17). The forecast shows a large Reception year group in 2020/21 when these children will be starting school.  The relocation of military regiments can be hard to predict but Cottesmore and Edith Weston have sufficient surplus places.  Two of the three secondary schools in Rutland are based on the borders of the County and cross boundary movement is a key consideration in Rutland with 44% of the school population from out of county. 14% of total primary places are taken by out of county pupils. These pupils are mostly resident in Leicestershire, Lincolnshire and Northamptonshire

A key planning conclusion is that there are sufficient places for primary pupils up to 2021/22; however, academy admission arrangements for secondary schools promote out-of-county pupils which means Rutland is already within 10% of capacity and which indicates that if no action were to be taken to increase secondary places by 2020/21 capacity will be insufficient.

3. Summary of primary places in individual planning areas: include information about planning areas that are experiencing pressure on places (either current or projected) and where action is required to address this, or where PAs are experiencing sustained surpluses in capacity and where action is required to address this.

You should include the local factors affecting each area identified and the impact of those factors, relating them, where appropriate, to the Local Authority wide factors described in section 2 above in addition to area specific issues.

Schools experiencing particular shortfall of places, current or projected, should be identified here. Where possible, please identify schools by their establishment number as well as name to help us match this up to your data submission.

If you plan at Local Authority level only and do not use planning areas, you should complete this section to illustrate regional variations where these create pressures on places that require actions to address impacts. Where there are no regional variations, you should provide all the information in section 3a only. Where issues and/or solutions cross planning area boundaries, please indicate this in the relevant section.

Please copy and paste additional rows as needed. Total number of planning areas across the Local Authority. 1 but regional variance across 3 areas. Planning area name / ID a. Overview The Oakham area is where most housing developments have taken place. Most of NAME: the developments will be completed by 2020. Oakham This area has the most pressure regarding primary school places. The Local Authority continues to monitor admissions to schools and continues to review the timescales for creating additional places in existing schools.

ID: Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date. Additional 90 places at Oakham CoE. Places to be available from 2019/20.

Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area) The pressure in the Oakham area may be eased by an increased flow of pupils into the Uppingham area.

b. Overview Capacity in this area is now stable. Places were in demand from out of county NAME: families who wanted to secure a place at Uppingham Community College (UCC). Uppingham From 2015 UCC changed admissions policy and children no longer need to attend a local primary school to be offered a place. This has reduced the demand on Primary schools in this area.

ID:

Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date. No action is foreseen currently. Uptake of excess places will be monitored

Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area) Continue to monitor the plans of neighbouring counties.

c. Overview There is current spare capacity in the area of 24% and therefore little pressure at NAME: this time; however, with the forecast for 2022/23 of only 10% surplus, this will need Casterton to be monitored carefully. Spare capacity is large in Cottesmore, Exton and Ryhall. Whilst turnover of military personnel is expected the inflow and outflow are expected to remain largely similar.

Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the ID: number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date.

Carefully monitor the plans of neighbouring LA’s, particularly the housing developments at South Kesteven and Stamford North.

Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area)

4. Summary of secondary places in individual planning areas: include information about planning areas that are experiencing pressure on places (either current or projected) and where action is required to address this, or where PAs are experiencing sustained surpluses in capacity and where action is required to address this.

If you plan at Local Authority level only and do not use planning areas, you should complete this section to illustrate regional variations where these create pressures on places that require actions to address impacts. Where there are no regional variations, you should provide all the information in section 4a only. Where issues and/or solutions cross planning area boundaries, please indicate this in the relevant section.

Please copy and paste additional rows as needed. Total number of secondary planning areas across the Local Authority. One Planning Area but regional variance across 3 areas Planning area name / ID a. Overview The increase in housing capacity has placed pressure on primary and secondary NAME: school places. Catmose College is oversubscribed and has, for the last two years, Oakham decided to exceed its published PAN (180), admitting up to 210.

Rutland County College (part of Casterton College Rutland) has been located in Oakham however, owing to insufficient recruitment of Year 12 pupils, the sixth ID: form will not be operating in 2017-18. The Oakham site has been closed. Harrington collage a post 16 academically-selective free school is now the only sixth form provision in Rutland. It provides 150 year 12 places and 150 year 13 places. As this is a 16-19 establishment it has been excluded from this return.

Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date. To increase the number of places available at Catmose College by 300 over a two- phase programme of expansion from 2017-18. Actions from the previous SCAP to increase capacity 1. Relocate the Children’s Centre from Catmose College building to Oakham town centre which will create space for 30 extra pupil places. The anticipated completion date is December 2017. Update: The relocation of the Children’s Centre is has been completed. 2. remodelling Catmose College to create a further extra capacity in a 2 phase programme from 2017 Update: First phase is underway and will be completed in 2018/19. Phase 1 will begin on completion of phase 2.

Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area) There is capacity available at Casterton College which could be utilised to relieve the pressure in the Oakham area but parental preference and transport arrangements would need to be taken in to account.

b. Overview UCC is full. Currently 62% of pupils are from outside out of county, predominantly NAME: from Northamptonshire and Leicestershire. Uppingham Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date. As a response to oversubscription, UCC have reduced their catchment area by 2 ID: schools (11 in to 2017 reduced to 9 in 2018). We will continue to consult the Head Teacher and Chair of Governors to monitor their admissions policy. Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area)

c. Overview Casterton College has a notable surplus capacity. 63% of pupils are from out of NAME: county mostly from neighbouring Stamford, Lincolnshire. Casterton It has offered 183 year 7 places in 2018 which is significantly more than the number of year 7s currently on role (117).

Actions (current and planned) to address shortage/excess of places. Include the ID: number of places to be added or removed in each school and by what date. Carefully monitor the plans of neighbouring LA’s, particularly the housing developments at South Kesteven and Stamford North.

Please indicate relationship with issues and solutions in other planning areas (including identification of the planning area)

5. Any further information

Forecasting for Primary Schools - 2018

Roll forward of pupil numbers based on current NOR from January 2018 School Census Factor in offers made for reception for 2018/19 Forecast future numbers on roll in year 7 Pupil yield added from calculations based on Housing Trajectory

Brooke Hill R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Brooke Hill Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 38 41 46 44 48 47 43 307 350 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 42 38 41 46 44 48 47 306 Pupil Yield 18 Total 42 38 41 46 44 48 47 324 2019-2020 Forecast 41 42 38 41 46 44 48 300 Pupil Yield 28 Total 41 42 38 41 46 44 48 328 2020-2021 Forecast 46 41 42 38 41 46 44 298 Pupil Yield 35 Total 46 41 42 38 41 46 44 333 2021-2022 Forecast 42 46 41 42 38 41 46 296 Pupil Yield 42 Total 42 46 41 42 38 41 46 338 2023-2023 Forecast 42 42 46 41 42 38 41 292 Pupil Yield 53 Total 42 42 46 41 42 38 41 345

Langham R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Langham Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 29 30 28 30 31 32 29 209 210 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 24 29 30 28 30 31 32 204 Pupil Yield 0 Total 24 29 30 28 30 31 32 204 2019-2020 Forecast 31 24 29 30 28 30 31 203 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 24 29 30 28 30 31 203 2020-2021 Forecast 34 31 24 29 30 28 30 206 Pupil Yield 0 Total 34 31 24 29 30 28 30 206 2021-2022 Forecast 31 34 31 24 29 30 28 207 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 34 31 24 29 30 28 207 2023-2023 Forecast 32 31 34 31 24 29 30 211 Pupil Yield 0 Total 32 31 34 31 24 29 30 211

Capacity - Oakham Oakham CofE R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total CofE Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 30 37 35 48 38 34 30 252 315 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 36 30 37 35 48 38 34 258 Pupil Yield 17 Total 36 30 37 35 48 38 34 275 2019-2020 Forecast 35 36 30 37 35 48 38 259 Pupil Yield 28 Total 35 36 30 37 35 48 38 287 2020-2021 Forecast 38 35 36 30 37 35 48 259 Pupil Yield 34 Total 38 35 36 30 37 35 48 293 2021-2022 Forecast 35 38 35 36 30 37 35 246 Pupil Yield 40 Total 35 38 35 36 30 37 35 286 2022-2023 Forecast 36 35 38 35 36 30 37 247 Pupil Yield 51 Total 36 35 38 35 36 30 37 298

Whissendine R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Whissendine Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 23 29 27 27 29 27 28 190 196 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 30 23 29 27 27 29 27 192 Pupil Yield 3 Total 30 23 29 27 27 29 27 195 2019-2020 Forecast 27 30 23 29 27 27 29 192 Pupil Yield 0 Total 27 30 23 29 27 27 29 192 2020-2021 Forecast 30 27 30 23 29 27 27 193 Pupil Yield 0 Total 30 27 30 23 29 27 27 193 2021-2022 Forecast 27 30 27 30 23 29 27 193 Pupil Yield 0 Total 27 30 27 30 23 29 27 193 2022-2023 Forecast 27 27 30 27 30 23 29 193 Pupil Yield 0 Total 27 27 30 27 30 23 29 193

Catmose R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Catmose Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 30 29 30 29 30 30 30 208 210 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 30 30 29 30 29 30 30 208 Pupil Yield 0 Total 30 30 29 30 29 30 30 208 2019-2020 Forecast 29 30 30 29 30 29 30 207 Pupil Yield 0 Total 29 30 30 29 30 29 30 207 2020-2021 Forecast 31 29 30 30 29 30 29 208 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 29 30 30 29 30 29 208 2021-2022 Forecast 31 31 29 30 30 29 30 210 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 31 29 30 30 29 30 210 2022-2023 Forecast 31 31 31 29 30 30 29 211 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 31 31 29 30 30 29 211

Capacity - English English Martyrs R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Martyrs Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 25 19 23 15 21 11 23 137 154 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 15 25 19 23 15 21 11 129 Pupil Yield 2 Total 15 25 19 23 15 21 11 131 2019-2020 Forecast 23 15 25 19 23 15 21 141 Pupil Yield 2 Total 23 15 25 19 23 15 21 143 2020-2021 Forecast 25 23 15 25 19 23 15 145 Pupil Yield 2 Total 25 23 15 25 19 23 15 147 2021-2022 Forecast 23 25 23 15 25 19 23 153 Pupil Yield 2 Total 23 25 23 15 25 19 23 155 2022-2023 Forecast 24 23 25 23 15 25 19 154 Pupil Yield 2 Total 24 23 25 23 15 25 19 156

Empingham R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Empingham 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 11 6 9 10 7 10 11 64 91 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 13 11 6 9 10 7 9 65 2019 Pupil Yield 2 Total 13 11 6 9 10 7 9 67 2019- Forecast 10 13 11 6 9 10 7 66 2020 Pupil Yield 0 Total 10 13 11 6 9 10 7 66 2020- Forecast 11 10 13 11 6 9 10 70 2021 Pupil Yield 0 Total 11 10 13 11 6 9 10 70 2021- Forecast 10 11 10 13 11 6 9 70 2022 Pupil Yield 0 Total 10 11 10 13 11 6 9 70 2023- Forecast 10 10 11 10 13 11 6 71 2023 Pupil Yield 0 Total 10 10 11 10 13 11 6 71

Ketton R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Ketton 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 30 27 29 30 25 28 25 194 210 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 27 30 27 29 30 25 28 196 2019 Pupil Yield 0 Total 27 30 27 29 30 25 28 196 2019- Forecast 31 27 30 27 29 30 25 199 2020 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 27 30 27 29 30 25 199 2020- Forecast 34 31 27 30 27 29 30 208 2021 Pupil Yield 0 Total 34 31 27 30 27 29 30 208 2021- Forecast 31 34 31 27 30 27 29 209 2022 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 34 31 27 30 27 29 209 2023- Forecast 32 31 34 31 27 30 27 212 2023 Pupil Yield 0 Total 32 31 34 31 27 30 27 212

Capacity - Great Great Casterton R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Casterton 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 9 17 13 16 12 13 17 97 105 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 15 9 17 13 16 12 13 95 2019 Pupil Yield 1 Total 15 9 17 13 16 12 13 96 2019- Forecast 13 15 9 17 13 16 12 95 2020 Pupil Yield 2 Total 13 15 9 17 13 16 12 97 2020- Forecast 15 13 15 9 17 13 16 98 2021 Pupil Yield 3 Total 15 13 15 9 17 13 16 101 2021- Forecast 13 15 13 15 9 17 13 95 2022 Pupil Yield 4 Total 13 15 13 15 9 17 13 99 2023- Forecast 14 13 15 13 15 9 17 96 2023 Pupil Yield 5 Total 14 13 15 13 15 9 17 101

St Nicholas R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - St Nicholas 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 21 22 20 23 22 23 20 151 140 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 21 21 22 20 23 22 23 152 2019 Pupil Yield 0 Total 21 21 22 20 23 22 23 152 2019- Forecast 21 21 21 22 20 23 22 150 2020 Pupil Yield 0 Total 21 21 21 22 20 23 22 150 2020- Forecast 23 21 21 21 22 20 23 151 2021 Pupil Yield 0 Total 23 21 21 21 22 20 23 151 2021- Forecast 21 23 21 21 21 22 20 149 2022 Pupil Yield 0 Total 21 23 21 21 21 22 20 149 2023- Forecast 22 21 23 21 21 21 22 151 2023 Pupil Yield 0 Total 22 21 23 21 21 21 22 151

Cottesmore R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Cottesmore 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 35 29 30 28 17 17 13 169 360 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 24 35 29 30 28 17 17 180 2019 Pupil Yield 4 Total 24 35 29 30 28 17 17 180 2019- Forecast 39 24 35 29 30 28 17 202 2020 Pupil Yield 5 Total 39 24 35 29 30 28 17 202 2020- Forecast 43 39 24 35 29 30 28 228 2021 Pupil Yield 6 Total 43 39 24 35 29 30 28 228 2021- Forecast 39 43 39 24 35 29 30 239 2022 Pupil Yield 7 Total 39 43 39 24 35 29 30 239 2022- Forecast 40 39 43 39 24 35 29 249 2023 Pupil Yield 15 Total 40 39 43 39 24 35 29 249

Ryhall R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Ryhall 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 23 31 20 28 21 24 30 177 210 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 30 23 31 20 28 21 24 177 2019 Pupil Yield 3 Total 30 23 31 20 28 21 24 180 2019- Forecast 25 30 23 31 20 28 21 178 2020 Pupil Yield 0 Total 25 30 23 31 20 28 21 178 2020- Forecast 28 25 30 23 31 20 28 185 2021 Pupil Yield 0 Total 28 25 30 23 31 20 28 185 2021- Forecast 25 28 25 30 23 31 20 182 2022 Pupil Yield 0 Total 25 28 25 30 23 31 20 182 2022- Forecast 26 25 28 25 30 23 31 188 2023 Pupil Yield 6 Total 26 25 28 25 30 23 31 194

Capacity - Exton & Exton & Greetham R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Greetham 2017- Apr- Based on NOR Jan 18 11 7 6 11 2 12 1 50 70 2018 18 2018- Offers made Year R 8 11 7 6 11 2 12 57 2019 Pupil Yield 1 Total 8 11 7 6 11 2 12 58 2019- Forecast 9 8 11 7 6 11 2 54 2020 Pupil Yield 10 2 Total 19 8 11 7 6 11 2 56 2020- Forecast 10 9 8 11 7 6 11 62 2021 Pupil Yield 3 Total 10 9 8 11 7 6 11 65 2021- Forecast 9 10 9 8 11 7 6 60 2022 Pupil Yield 4 Total 9 10 9 8 11 7 6 64 2023- Forecast 9 9 10 9 8 11 7 63 2023 Pupil Yield 0 Total 9 9 10 9 8 11 7 63

Capacity - Uppingham Uppingham CofE R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total CofE Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 19 19 21 22 30 31 29 171 210 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 21 19 19 21 22 30 31 163 Pupil Yield 6 Total 21 19 19 21 22 30 31 169 2019-2020 Forecast 20 21 19 19 21 22 30 152 Pupil Yield 11 Total 20 21 19 19 21 22 30 163 2020-2021 Forecast 22 20 21 19 19 21 22 144 Pupil Yield 12 Total 22 20 21 19 19 21 22 156 2021-2022 Forecast 20 22 20 21 19 19 21 142 Pupil Yield 13 Total 20 22 20 21 19 19 21 155 2023-2023 Forecast 21 20 22 20 21 19 19 142 Pupil Yield 16 Total 21 20 22 20 21 19 19 158

Capacity - St Mary & St St Mary and St John R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total John Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 27 25 23 24 26 23 19 167 196 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 23 27 25 23 24 26 23 171 Pupil Yield 0 Total 23 27 25 23 24 26 23 171 2019-2020 Forecast 28 23 27 25 23 24 23 173 Pupil Yield 0 Total 28 23 27 25 23 24 23 173 2020-2021 Forecast 31 28 23 27 25 23 24 181 Pupil Yield 0 Total 31 28 23 27 25 23 24 181 2021-2022 Forecast 28 31 28 23 27 25 23 185 Pupil Yield 0 Total 28 31 28 23 27 25 23 185 2023-2023 Forecast 29 28 31 28 23 27 25 191 Pupil Yield 0 Total 29 28 31 28 23 27 25 191

Leighfield R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Leighfield Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 22 24 20 32 25 31 22 176 240 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 23 22 24 20 32 25 31 177 Pupil Yield 6 Total 23 22 24 20 32 25 31 183 2019-2020 Forecast 22 23 22 24 20 32 25 168 Pupil Yield 13 Total 22 23 22 24 20 32 25 181 2020-2021 Forecast 24 22 23 22 24 20 32 167 Pupil Yield 14 Total 24 22 23 22 24 20 32 181 2021-2022 Forecast 22 24 22 23 22 24 20 157 Pupil Yield 15 Total 22 24 22 23 22 24 20 172 2023-2023 Forecast 22 22 24 22 23 22 24 159 Pupil Yield 19 Total 22 22 24 22 23 22 24 178

Edith Weston R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Edith Weston Apr- 2017-2018 Based on NOR Jan 18 14 12 16 14 9 6 7 78 157 18 2018-2019 Offers made Year R 10 14 12 16 14 9 6 81 Pupil Yield 3 Total 10 14 12 16 14 9 6 81 2019-2020 Forecast 13 10 14 12 16 14 9 88 Pupil Yield 5 Total 13 10 14 12 16 14 9 88 2020-2021 Forecast 14 13 10 14 12 16 14 93 Pupil Yield 7 Total 14 13 10 14 12 16 14 93 2021-2022 Forecast 13 14 13 10 14 12 16 92 Pupil Yield 9 Total 13 14 13 10 14 12 16 92 2023-2023 Forecast 13 13 14 13 10 14 12 89 Pupil Yield 10 Total 13 13 14 13 10 14 12 89

Capacity - Casterton Casterton R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Cluster Apr- 2017-2018 140 139 127 146 106 127 117 902 1186 Based on NOR Jan 18 18 2018- Offers made Year 138 140 139 127 146 106 127 923 2019 R Pupil Yield 11 Total 138 140 139 127 146 106 127 934 2019- Forecast 148 138 140 139 127 146 106 944 2020 Pupil Yield 9 Total 148 138 140 139 127 146 106 953 2020- Forecast 164 148 138 140 139 127 146 1002 2021 Pupil Yield 12 Total 164 148 138 140 139 127 146 1014 2021- Forecast 148 164 148 138 140 139 127 1004 2022 Pupil Yield 15 Total 148 164 148 138 140 139 127 1019 2023- Forecast 153 148 164 148 138 140 139 1030 2023 Pupil Yield 26 Total 153 148 164 148 138 140 139 1056

Capacity - Oakham Oakham Cluster R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Cluster 2017- Based on NOR Jan Apr- 175 185 189 193 197 181 183 1303 1435 2018 18 18 2018- Offers made Year 177 175 185 189 193 197 181 1297 2019 R Pupil Yield 40 Total 177 175 185 189 193 197 181 1337 2019- Forecast 186 177 175 185 189 193 197 1302 2020 Pupil Yield 58 Total 186 177 175 185 189 193 197 1360 2020- Forecast 204 186 177 175 185 189 193 1309 2021 Pupil Yield 71 Total 204 186 177 175 185 189 193 1380 2021- Forecast 189 204 186 177 175 185 189 1305 2022 Pupil Yield 84 Total 189 204 186 177 175 185 189 1389 2023- Forecast 192 189 204 186 177 175 185 1308 2023 Pupil Yield 106 Total 192 189 204 186 177 175 185 1414

Capacity - Uppingham Uppingham Cluster R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Cluster 2017- Based on NOR Jan Apr- 82 80 80 92 90 91 77 592 803 2018 18 18 2018- Offers made Year 77 82 80 80 92 90 91 592 2019 R Pupil Yield 15 Total 77 82 80 80 92 90 91 607 2019- Forecast 83 77 82 80 80 92 90 584 2020 Pupil Yield 29 Total 83 77 82 80 80 92 90 613 2020- Forecast 91 83 77 82 80 80 92 585 2021 Pupil Yield 33 Total 91 83 77 82 80 80 92 618 2021- Forecast 83 91 83 77 82 80 80 576 2022 Pupil Yield 37 Total 83 91 83 77 82 80 80 613 2023- Forecast 85 83 91 83 77 82 80 581 2023 Pupil Yield 45 Total 85 83 91 83 77 82 80 626

Rutland Primaries R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Capacity - Rutland 2017- Based on NOR Jan Apr- 397 404 396 431 393 399 377 2797 3424 2018 18 18 2018- Offers made Year 392 397 404 396 431 393 399 2812 2019 R Pupil Yield 11 11 11 11 10 10 66 Total 392 408 415 407 442 403 409 2878 2019- Forecast 417 392 397 404 396 431 393 2830 2020 Pupil Yield 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 96 Total 433 408 413 420 412 447 409 2926 2020- Forecast 459 417 392 397 404 396 431 2896 2021 Pupil Yield 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 116 Total 478 436 411 416 423 415 449 3012 2021- Forecast 420 459 417 392 397 404 396 2885 2022 Pupil Yield 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 136 Total 442 481 439 414 419 425 417 3021 2023- Forecast 430 420 459 417 392 397 404 2919 2023 Pupil Yield 27 27 27 27 27 27 26 177 Total 457 447 486 444 419 424 430 3096

Forecasting for Secondary Schools - 2018

Roll forward of pupil numbers from January Census Add year 7 admission numbers and forecast for following 6 years Pupil yield added

Capacity - Casterton Casterton College Rutland 7 8 9 10 11 Total College 2017-2018 NOR Jan 18 117 119 124 142 113 615 Apr-16 900 2018-2019 Offers made for Yr7 183 117 119 124 142 685 Pupil yield 5 Total 183 117 119 124 142 690 2019-2020 Forecasts 123 183 117 119 124 666 Pupil yield 6 Total 123 183 117 119 124 672 2020-2021 Forecasts 123 123 183 117 119 665 Pupil yield 7 Total 123 123 183 117 119 672 2021-2022 Forecasts 121 123 123 183 117 667 Pupil yield 8 Total 121 123 123 183 117 675 2022-2023 Forecasts 133 121 123 123 183 683 Pupil yield 16 Total 133 121 123 123 183 699 2023-2024 Forecasts 122 133 121 123 123 621 Pupil yield 23 Total 122 133 121 123 123 644 2024-2025 Forecasts 125 122 133 121 123 624 Pupil yield 26 Total 125 122 133 121 123 650

Capacity - Catmose Catmose College 7 8 9 10 11 Total College 2017-2018 NOR Jan 18 200 210 197 171 177 955 Jun-16 900 2018-2019 Offers made for Yr7 213 200 210 197 171 991 Pupil yield 19 Total 213 200 210 197 171 1010 2019-2020 Forecasts 221 213 200 210 197 1041 Pupil yield 30 Total 221 213 200 210 197 1071 2020-2021 Forecasts 222 221 213 200 210 1065 Pupil yield 37 Total 222 221 213 200 210 1102 2021-2022 Forecasts 217 222 221 213 200 1073 Pupil yield 44 Total 217 222 221 213 200 1117 2022-2023 Forecasts 239 217 222 221 213 1111 Pupil yield 55 Total 239 217 222 221 213 1166 2023-2024 Forecasts 219 239 217 222 221 1117 Pupil yield 56 Total 219 239 217 222 221 1173 2024-2025 Forecasts 225 219 239 217 222 1121 Pupil yield 57 Total 225 219 239 217 222 1178

Uppingham Community College 7 8 9 10 11 Total Capacity - UCC 2017-2018 NOR Jan 18 178 180 175 204 173 910 Apr-16 915 2018-2019 Offers made for Yr7 180 178 180 175 204 917 Pupil yield 7 Total 180 178 180 175 204 924 2019-2020 Forecasts 196 180 178 180 175 909 Pupil yield 14 Total 196 180 178 180 175 923 2020-2021 Forecasts 196 196 180 178 180 930 Pupil yield 16 Total 196 196 180 178 180 946 2021-2022 Forecasts 192 196 196 180 178 942 Pupil yield 18 Total 192 196 196 180 178 960 2022-2023 Forecasts 211 192 196 196 180 975 Pupil yield 22 Total 211 192 196 196 180 997 2023-2024 Forecasts 194 211 192 196 196 989 Pupil yield 26 Total 194 211 192 196 196 1015 2024-2025 Forecasts 199 194 211 192 196 992 Pupil yield 30 Total 199 194 211 192 196 1022

Rutland 7 8 9 10 11 Total Capacity - Rutland 2017-2018 NOR Jan 18 495 509 496 517 463 2480 Apr-16 2715 2018-2019 Offers made for Yr7 538 495 509 496 517 2555 Pupil yield 9 9 9 8 31 Total 538 504 518 505 525 2586 2019-2020 Forecasts 540 538 495 509 496 2578 Pupil yield 13 13 12 12 12 50 Total 553 551 507 521 508 2628 2020-2021 Forecasts 541 540 538 495 509 2622 Pupil yield 15 15 15 15 14 60 Total 556 555 553 510 523 2682 2021-2022 Forecasts 530 541 540 538 495 2644 Pupil yield 18 17 17 17 17 70 Total 548 558 557 555 512 2714 2022-2023 Forecasts 583 530 541 540 538 2731 Pupil yield 21 21 21 21 21 93 Total 604 551 562 561 559 2824 2023-2024 Forecasts 534 583 530 541 540 2727 Pupil yield 26 25 25 25 25 105 Total 560 608 555 566 565 2832 2024-2025 Forecasts 549 534 583 530 541 2737 Pupil yield 27 27 27 27 26 113 Total 576 561 610 557 567 2850