Transition to 4G. 3GPP Broadband Evolution to IMT-Advanced
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TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................... 4 BROADBAND TRENDS ................................................................................................ 6 Transition to 4G ...................................................................................................... 7 Wireless versus Wireline Advances ............................................................................. 9 Bandwidth Management Trends ............................................................................... 10 Mobile Broadband Cost and Capacity Trends .............................................................. 11 WIRELESS DATA MARKET ........................................................................................ 12 Market Trends ....................................................................................................... 12 EDGE/HSPA/HSPA+/LTE Deployment ........................................................................ 14 Statistics .............................................................................................................. 15 WIRELESS TECHNOLOGY EVOLUTION ..................................................................... 16 3GPP Evolutionary Approach ................................................................................... 16 Spectrum ............................................................................................................. 20 Core-Network Evolution .......................................................................................... 23 Service Evolution ................................................................................................... 23 Voice Support ....................................................................................................... 24 Device Innovation .................................................................................................. 25 Network Interfaces for Applications .......................................................................... 25 Mobile Application Architectures ............................................................................... 27 Broadband-Wireless Deployment Considerations ........................................................ 27 Data Offload ......................................................................................................... 28 Feature and Network Roadmap ................................................................................ 29 Deployment Scenarios ............................................................................................ 32 COMPETING TECHNOLOGIES ................................................................................... 34 CDMA2000 ........................................................................................................... 34 WiMAX ................................................................................................................. 36 Municipal Wi-Fi Systems ......................................................................................... 39 COMPARISON OF WIRELESS TECHNOLOGIES .......................................................... 39 Data Throughput ................................................................................................... 40 HSDPA Throughput in Representative Scenarios ......................................................... 43 Release 99 and HSUPA Uplink Performance ............................................................... 45 HSPA+ Throughput ................................................................................................ 46 LTE Throughput ..................................................................................................... 47 Latency ................................................................................................................ 50 Spectral Efficiency ................................................................................................. 51 Cost, Volume, and Market Comparison ..................................................................... 60 Competitive Summary ............................................................................................ 62 CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................... 64 APPENDIX: TECHNOLOGY DETAILS ......................................................................... 66 Spectrum Bands .................................................................................................... 67 EDGE/EGPRS ........................................................................................................ 68 Evolved EDGE ....................................................................................................... 71 UMTS-HSPA Technology ......................................................................................... 78 UMTS Release 99 Data Capabilities ........................................................................... 80 HSDPA ................................................................................................................. 81 Transition to 4G: 3GPP Broadband Evolution to IMT-Advanced, Rysavy Research/3G Americas, Sept 2010 Page 2 HSUPA ................................................................................................................. 84 Evolution of HSPA (HSPA+) ..................................................................................... 85 HSPA Voice Support ............................................................................................... 96 3GPP LTE ............................................................................................................. 98 4G, IMT-Advanced and LTE-Advanced..................................................................... 108 UMTS TDD .......................................................................................................... 112 TD-SCDMA ......................................................................................................... 113 IMS ................................................................................................................... 113 Heterogeneous Networks and Self Optimization ....................................................... 114 Broadcast/Multicast Services ................................................................................. 116 EPC ................................................................................................................... 117 White Space ....................................................................................................... 120 ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................................................... 121 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ................................................................................. 127 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................... 127 Transition to 4G: 3GPP Broadband Evolution to IMT-Advanced, Rysavy Research/3G Americas, Sept 2010 Page 3 Introduction Over the past year, the promise of mobile broadband has become reality as many tens of millions of users have actively started using smartphones, tablets, netbooks, and laptops with wireless connections. Yet, we are only scratching the surface of what is to come. This will be the decade of “anywhere” social existence, work, and entertainment. Major developments this past year include 3rd Generation (3G) ubiquity, deepening smartphone capability, the availability of hundreds of thousands of mobile applications, the introduction of new form factors such as tablets, projections of mobile-data demand exceeding capacity, acknowledgment by industry and government of the need for more spectrum, implementation of data offload via Wi-Fi, dramatic performance increases through HSPA enhancements, initial deployments of LTE technology, and significant progress on specifications that will meet “true” Fourth Generation (4G) requirements. 3G technology has shown us the power and potential of always-on, everyplace network connectivity and has ignited a massive wave of industry innovation that spans devices, applications, Internet integration, and new business models. Already used by hundreds of millions of people, mobile broadband connectivity is on the verge of becoming ubiquitous. It will do so on a powerful foundation of networking technologies including Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM) with Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE), High Speed Packet Access (HSPA), and Long Term Evolution (LTE). LTE in a forthcoming release called LTE-Advanced will be one of the first technologies to meet the requirements of International Mobile Telecommunications Advanced (IMT-Advanced), a project of the International Telecommunications Union (ITU). Through constant innovation, Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (UMTS) with HSPA technology has established itself as the global, mobile-broadband solution. Building on the phenomenal success of GSM, the GSM-HSPA ecosystem has become the most successful communications technology family ever. Through a process of constant improvement, the GSM family of technologies has not only matched or exceeded the capabilities of all competing approaches, but has significantly extended the life of each of its member technologies. HSPA is strongly positioned to be the dominant mobile-data technology for the next five to ten