URBAN DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM Bunbury-Geographe Regional Land Supply Assessment Report DRAFT FOR STAKEHOLDER REVIEW APRIL 2021
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT OF COUNTRY
The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is a contemporary description of portion of the ancestral lands of the Binjareb, Wilman, Wardandi and Ganeang Noongar people. The Department of Planning, Lands and Heritage acknowledges the First Australians as the traditional owners of these lands and pays respect to their Elders, both past and present.
The Noongar (Koorah, Nitja, Boordahwan) (Past, Present, Future) Recognition Act 2016 recognises the Noongar people as the traditional owners of the Noongar lands. The Act recognises the living cultural, spiritual, familial and social relationship that the Noongar people have with the Noongar lands; and the significant and unique contribution that the Noongar people have made, are making, and will continue to make, to the heritage, cultural identity, community and economy of the State.
The Act includes the following Noongar recognition statement:
Noonakoort moort nitja burranginge noongar boodja
Noonakoort moort kwomba
Djinunge nitja mungarrt — koorah
Noonakoort moort yirra yarkinje kwomba noongar boodja
Koorah — nitja — boordahwan
Noonakoort moort yarkinje noongar boodja
Nyidiung koorah barminje noonakoort moort
Wierrnbirt domberrinje
Noonakoort moort koort boodja
Nitja gnulla moorditj karrl boodja
BUNBURY-GEOGRAPHE REGIONAL LAND SUPPLY ASSESSMENT DRAFT FOR STAKEHOLDER REVIEW
Contents
1 Introduction 1.1 Regional land supply assessments and the Urban Development Program 1.2 Key points 2 Geography 2.1 Regions, sub-regions and local government areas 2.2 Australian Statistical Geography Standard 2.2.1 Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) and Significant Urban Area (SUA) 3 Population 3.1 Population profile 3.2 Population growth 3.3 Population projections 4 Economy and employment 4.1 Labour force 4.2 Industry of employment and occupation 4.3 Income distribution 4.4 Employment self-sufficiency 4.5 Employment self-containment 4.6 Socio-economic indexes for areas 4.7 Economic demand drivers 5 Residential land and dwellings 5.1 Land zoned for residential purposes under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme 5.2 Land zoned for residential purposes under local planning schemes 5.3 Residential subdivision activity 5.4 Residential building approvals 5.5 Small area dwelling completions 5.6 Residential lot and dwelling supply 5.7 Adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply 5.8 Background infill 6 Rural living land 6.1 Land zoned for rural living purposes under local planning schemes 6.2 Rural living subdivision activity 6.3 Rural living land and dwelling supply 6.3.1 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Capel 6.3.2 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Collie 6.3.3 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Dardanup 6.3.4 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup 7 Industrial land
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7.1 Land zoned for industrial purposes under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme 7.2 Land zoned for industrial purposes under local planning schemes 7.3 Industrial subdivision activity 7.4 Industrial building approvals 7.5 Industrial floor space 7.6 Industrial development outlook 7.6.1 Light and general industry 7.6.2 Strategic industry 8 Commercial land 8.1 Land zoned Regional Centre under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme 8.2 Land zoned for commercial purposes under local planning schemes 8.3 Commercial subdivision activity 8.4 Commercial building approvals 8.5 Commercial floor space 8.6 Commercial development outlook 8.6.1 Greater Bunbury 8.6.2 Shire of Collie 8.6.3 Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup 9 Service infrastructure 9.1 Water 9.2 Wastewater 9.3 Energy 9.3.1 Electricity 9.3.2 Gas 9.4 Transport 9.4.1 Roads 9.4.2 Rail 9.4.3 Port Abbreviations and acronyms
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List of figures and tables
Figure 1: South West Region Figure 2: ASGS ABS structures Figure 3: ASGS non ABS structures Figure 4: Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) and Significant Urban Area (SUA) Figure 5: Age-sex population structure (2016 Census) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 6: Population highlights - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 7: Estimated resident population (ERP) (2001-2019) – Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 8: Annual change rates of ERP (2002-2019) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 9: Components of population change (2016-17 to 2018-19) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 10: Components of population change by SA2 (2016-17 to 2018-19) - Bunbury-Geographe sub- region Figure 11: WA Tomorrow forecast population growth 2016-2031 - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Figure 12: Labour force by LGA; December 2010 quarter to March 2020 quarter Figure 13: Labour force status by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Figure 14: Top five industries of employment (4 Digit Level) by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Figure 15: Top five occupations (4 Digit Level) by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Figure 16: Preliminary approvals; Residential Figure 17: Final approvals; residential Figure 18: Preliminary approvals; Rural residential and special residential Figure 19: Final approvals; Rural residential and special residential
Table 1: Settlement hierarchy of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Table 3: ASGS component statistical areas - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Table 4: Population density (persons per square kilometre) by SA2 Table 5: WA Tomorrow forecast population growth 2016-2031 Table 6: Population scenarios considered by the draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy Table 7: Median weekly household income; 2016 Census Table 8: Employment self-sufficiency by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Table 9: Employment self-containment by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Table 10: Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage (IRSD); SEIFA 2016 Table 11: Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD); SEIFA 2016 Table 12: Index of Economic Resources (IER); SEIFA 2016 Table 13: Index of Education and Occupation (IEO); SEIFA 2016 Table 14: Land zoned urban and urban deferred under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme; 2014 to 2019 Table 15: Urbanised and non-urbanised land within the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme area Table 16: Existing land uses in urbanised areas Table 17: Existing land uses in non-urbanised areas Table 18: Development status of lots on land zoned for residential purposes; 30 June 2020 Table 19: Small area dwelling completions Table 20: Estimated residential lot/dwelling supply for greenfield, major infill and vacant lots Table 21: Adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply Table 22: Additional dwelling potential; City of Bunbury Table 23: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Capel Table 24: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Collie Table 25: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Dardanup Table 26: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Table 27: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Harvey Table 28: Development status of lots on land zoned for rural living purposes; 30 June 2020
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Table 29: Land zoned industrial and industrial deferred under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme; 31 October 2020 Table 30: Development status of lots on land zoned for industrial purposes; 30 June 2020 Table 31: Preliminary approvals; Industrial Table 32: Final approvals; Industrial Table 33: Industrial building approvals; City of Bunbury Table 34: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Capel Table 35: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Collie Table 36: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Dardanup Table 37: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Table 38: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Harvey Table 39: Floor space/net lettable area on industrial complexes by planning land use category; 2018; Table 40: Development status of lots on land zoned for commercial purposes; 30 June 2020 Table 41: Preliminary approvals; Commercial Table 42: Final approvals; Commercial Table 43: Commercial building approvals; City of Bunbury Table 44: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Capel Table 45: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Collie Table 46: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Dardanup Table 47: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Table 48: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Harvey
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1 Introduction 1.1 Regional land supply assessments and the Urban Development Program
Regional land supply assessments measure the stocks of land for future residential, industrial and commercial uses. It provides context for the land use planning and infrastructure provision required to meet demand across selected regional centres in Western Australia. Regional land supply assessments are prepared by the Department of Planning, Lands and Heritage (the Department) on behalf of the Western Australian Planning Commission (WAPC) to fulfil the requirements for tracking and monitoring land supply, as outlined in section 14 of the Planning and Development Act 2005. The role of WAPC include monitoring and forecasting land supply throughout WA, developing strategies for the timely supply of affordable residential land, and researching and developing planning methods and models relating to land use planning, land development and associated matters.
Regional land supply assessments are one of a suite of products produced as part of the Urban Development Program (UDP). The UDP monitors land supply and promotes the timely delivery of residential, industrial and commercial land in WA. The information presented in regional land supply assessments assist State Government agencies, utility and essential service providers, local governments and the private sector in decision making and forward planning.
Regional land supply assessments include key information on:
• demand drivers specific to each regional centre, including the major economic factors that influence employment and population growth, and therefore, the demand for land and housing • zoned land supply for residential (including rural living), industrial and commercial uses • development constraints • recent and future land development activity; and • existing and required physical infrastructure.
This Bunbury-Geographe Regional Land Supply Assessment (the Assessment) provides an analysis of residential, industrial and commercial land supply across the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. It was initiated in response to WAPC’s resolution to review the Greater Bunbury Strategy (2013) and to prepare a new sub-regional strategy for the extent of land and waters within the local government areas (LGAs) of the City of Bunbury and the shires of Capel, Collie, Dardanup, Donnybrook-Balingup and Harvey. This Assessment, and the draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy (draft Strategy), refers to this area as the ‘Bunbury-Geographe sub-region’.
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1.2 Key points
The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region covers 6,146 square kilometres of land in WA’s South West region. It comprises the LGAs of the City of Bunbury and the shires of Capel, Collie, Dardanup, Donnybrook- Balingup and Harvey. At 30 June 2019, the sub-region had an estimated resident population (ERP) of 107,7001.
The Bunbury Significant Urban Area (SUA) is the sub-region’s largest urban settlement. Covering 223 square kilometres of land, it is the contiguous urban and semi-urban area that extends from Leschenault in the north to Stratham in the south. At 30 June 2020, the Bunbury SUA’s ERP was 75,155, making it the most populous urban area in regional WA.
The town of Collie is the sub-region’s second largest urban settlement, with a population of 7,1902 recorded at the 2016 Census of Population and Housing (Census). The draft Strategy defines the sub- region’s settlement hierarchy as shown in Table 1.
Table 1: Settlement hierarchy of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Settlement hierarchy Settlement Regional city Bunbury (City of Bunbury, Shire of Capel, Shire of Dardanup, Shire of Harvey) Sub-regional centre Collie (Shire of Collie) Capel (Shire of Capel) Major towns Donnybrook (Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup) Harvey (Shire of Harvey) Balingup (Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup) Boyanup (Shire of Capel) Towns Brunswick Junction (Shire of Harvey) Dardanup (Shire of Dardanup) Allanson (Shire of Collie) Binningup (Shire of Harvey) Burekup (Shire of Dardanup) Cookernup (Shire of Harvey) Kirup (Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup) Villages Mullalyup (Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup) Myalup (Shire of Harvey) Peppermint Grove Beach (Shire of Capel) Roelands (Shire of Harvey) Wokalup (Shire of Harvey) Yarloop (Shire of Harvey) Source: WAPC (2020) Draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy The draft Strategy seeks to provide for the growth of the sub-region’s population to 200,000, by identifying sufficient residential and employment land to cater for this target population. It also recognises the broader aspiration for a population of 300,000 in the sub-region and respond to accelerated rates of growth, by identifying additional residential and employment land through regular monitoring and updating the Strategy as required.
1 Source: ABS (2020) Regional population. https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/regional-population/2018-19 2 Source: ABS (2017) 2016 Census QuickStats for Collie (UCL). https://quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2016/quickstat/UCL514001?opendocument Page 7 of 91
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The draft Strategy seeks to promote growth by focussing major population and employment growth in Bunbury. It will promote the consolidation of Bunbury, with a focus on medium and high density residential infill around activity centres.
The draft Strategy seeks to promote growth in Collie by facilitating planning proposals that will increase economic growth, industry diversification and job creation opportunities. The draft Strategy seeks to support growth in major towns and towns by supporting planning proposals for land already identified for a change in use, supporting the identification of new rural living areas (subject to locational criteria), encouraging local governments to prepare townsite strategies and encouraging lightweight construction and alternative models of utility service delivery.
This Assessment analyses the adequacy of residential land supply against the population scenarios considered by the draft Strategy. A key component of this analysis includes estimating the number of dwellings that could be delivered, based on the provisions of the current State and local planning frameworks. The Assessment estimates that planning is in place for the delivery of an additional 41,3403 dwellings in the sub-region. Of this, 30,350 (73 per cent) is in the Bunbury SUA.
In some towns/villages, planning is in place to double (or more) the number of current dwellings. Large- scale urban expansion in these towns/villages in the short to medium term is significantly constrained by market conditions and the lack of utility and essential services in place. The cost of expanding utilities and essential services infrastructure may make development unviable, unless market conditions improve and demand for new dwellings increase.
Theoretically, the supply of 41,340 additional dwellings is sufficient to support an increase in the sub- region’s population to 200,000. It is considered, however, that a proportion of the supply of additional dwellings identified in settlements outside of the Bunbury SUA may not be realised until the long-term or beyond. Therefore, this Assessment supports the draft Strategy’s identification of the new ‘East Treendale’ urban expansion area, to ensure the identification of sufficient residential land to cater for the target population of 200,000. This is in line with the draft Strategy’s intent to focus major population growth in Bunbury.
There are large stocks of land available for industrial development in the sub-region. Development of the Preston and Waterloo industrial parks constitute significant additions to industrial land supply, and is expected to generate thousands of jobs when development is complete. In addition, land remains available for long-term lease in the Kemerton and Shotts strategic industrial areas. This supply is considered sufficient to meet needs into the medium to long-term.
Planning is in place for significant additions to the stock of commercial floor space at the Dalyellup, Eaton Fair and Treendale district centres. Development of the Dalyellup and Treendale district centres are partly progressed. Once developed, they will each provide for 20,000 square metres of retail floor space. In addition, an amendment to the Eaton Fair Activity Centre Plan (approved by WAPC in May 2020) provides for 32,400 square metres of additional commercial floor space throughout the activity centre area. Other additions to the stock of commercial floor space include developments at Koombana North (4,000 square metres of retail floor space), the Glen Iris local centre, the Kingston neighbourhood centre and the Wimbridge service commercial area. This supply is likely sufficient to meet the sub- region’s needs into the medium to long term.
3 This is a preliminary estimate. It is subject to change, and will continue to be updated until this Assessment is finalised. This figure will change as further planning for various development areas are progressed. Further input from stakeholders is also crucial in ensuring that dwelling yield estimates are as accurate as possible. Page 8 of 91
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2 Geography
This Assessment, as well as the Strategy, refers to several geographic extents that relate to the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. Geographic extents such as regions and LGAs are precisely defined in legislation, or through strategic and statutory planning instruments. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia’s national statistical agency, collects data and publishes statistics in accordance with the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS).
This section of the Assessment report describes the geographic extents that are most often referred to when describing the sub-region and/or its sub-areas.
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2.1 Regions, sub-regions and local government areas
The Planning and Development Act 2005 and the Regional Development Commissions Act 1993 divides WA into 10 regions. Both acts define the South West Region as encompassing 12 LGAs, grouped into three sub-regions (Figure 1).
Figure 1: South West Region South West Region
Bunbury- Leeuwin- Warren- Geographe sub- Naturaliste sub- Blackwood sub- region region region
Shire of Boyup City of Bunbury City of Busselton Brook
Shire of Shire of Shire of Capel Augusta- Bridgetown- Margaret River Greenbushes
Shire of Shire of Collie Manjimup
Shire of Shire of Nannup Dardanup
Shire of Donnybrook- Balingup
Shire of Harvey
Source: DPLH (2020) Draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy
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2.2 Australian Statistical Geography Standard
The Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) provides a framework of statistical areas used by the ABS and other organisations to enable the publication of statistics that are comparable and spatially integrated. The ASGS provides users with an integrated set of standard areas that can be used for analysing, visualising and integrating statistics produced by the ABS and other organisations.
The ASGS is split into two parts: ABS structures, and non ABS structures. Figure 2 and Figure 3 depict ABS structures and non ABS structures respectively, their component statistical areas and how they interrelate. Table 2 shows the component statistical areas that are applicable to the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region.
Figure 2: ASGS ABS structures
Source: ABS (2020) Australian Statistical Geography Standard
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Figure 3: ASGS non ABS structures
Source: ABS (2020) Australian Statistical Geography Standard
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Table 2: ASGS component statistical areas - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Area (square Geography Population kilometres) ABS structures Australia Australia 23,401,892 7,688,126 - Main State/Territory (S/T) Western Australia 2.474.410 2,526,646 Statistical Area Level 4 Bunbury 176,330 24,802 (SA4) Statistical Area Level 3 Bunbury 102,644 5,450 (SA3) Manjimup 22,815 15,689 Statistical Area Level 2 Australind – Leschenault 17,592 67 (SA2) Capel 5,195 507 College Grove – Carey Park 6,746 10 Collie 8,798 1,710 Dardanup 3,142 517 Davenport 9 12 Eaton – Pelican Point 11,756 10 Harvey 8,959 1,661 East Bunbury – Glen Iris 6,994 23 Dalyellup 8,998 16 Gelorup – Stratham 3,009 65 South Bunbury – Bunbury 12,154 11 Withers – Usher 5,142 8 Donnybrook - Balingup 5,870 1,560 Statistical Area Level 1 The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is n/a n/a (SA1) aggregated from 269 SA1s. Mesh Block (MB) The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is n/a n/a aggregated from 2,183 Mesh Blocks. ABS structures Urban Centres and Bunbury 71,090 120 – UCL/SOS Localities (UCL) Collie 7,192 19 Binningup 1,227 4 Capel 2,020 4 Donnybrook 2,520 6 Harvey 2,750 6 Allanson 555 3 Boyanup 806 3 Brunswick 772 2 Burekup 602 1 Balingup 268 2 Dardanup 447 1 Cookernup 352 4 Peppermint Grove Beach 466 1 Yarloop 224 3 ABS structures Greater Capital City Rest of WA 524,167 2,520,230 - GCCSA Statistical Area (GCCSA) ABS structures Significant Urban Area Bunbury 72,402 223 - SUA (SUA) Non ABS Local Government Area Bunbury (C) 31,919 65 structures (LGA) Capel (S) 17,123 558 Collie (S) 8,798 1,710 Dardanup (S) 14,033 526 Donnybrook-Balingup (S) 5,870 1,560 Harvey (S) 26,553 1,728 State Suburb (SSC) The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region n/a n/a comprises (in full and in part) 94 localities/suburbs. Source: ABS (2020) Australian Statistical Geography Standard
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2.2.1 Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) and Significant Urban Area (SUA)
Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2s) are designed to reflect functional areas that represent a community that interacts together socially and economically. They consider locality and suburb boundaries to improve the geographic coding of data to these areas and in major urban areas. SA2s often reflect one or more related suburbs. The SA2 is the smallest area for the release of many ABS statistics, including the estimated resident population (ERP) and building approvals data. SA2s generally have a population range of 3,000 to 25,000 persons, and have an average population of about 10,000 persons. SA2s are aggregations of whole Statistical Areas Level 1 (SA1s).
Significant Urban Areas (SUAs) represent individual urban centres, or clusters of related urban centres, with a core urban population over 10,000 persons. They can also include related peri-urban areas, satellite development, the area into which urban development is likely to expand, and nearby rural land. SUAs are aggregations of SA2s, which enables them to provide a broad range of regularly updated ABS demographic and social statistics.
The Bunbury SUA covers 223 square kilometres, and is the contiguous urban and semi-urban area that extends from Leschenault in the north to Stratham in the south. The Bunbury SUA is aggregated from nine SA2s. The balance of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is aggregated from five SA2s (Figure 4).
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Figure 4: Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) and Significant Urban Area (SUA)
Bunbury-Geographe sub-region
Balance of the Bunbury SUA Bunbury-Geographe sub-region
Australind - Capel Leschenault
College Grove - Collie Carey Park
Dalyellup Dardanup
Donnybrook- Davenport Balingup
East Bunbury - Glen Harvey Iris
Eaton - Pelican Point
Gelorup - Stratham
South Bunbury - Bunbury
Withers - Usher
Source: ABS (2020) Australian Statistical Geography Standard
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3 Population 3.1 Population profile
Data from the 2016 Census indicates that the median age of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region’s population was 38 years, older than the State median age of 36 years. Figure 5 shows the age-sex population structure of the sub-region compared to WA, based on data from the 2016 Census. It shows that the sub-region has a slightly ‘older’ population compared to WA, shown by the higher proportion of persons aged 50 years and over in the sub-region. Figure 5 also shows a lower proportion of persons aged 20 to 44 years in the sub-region. This is a common trend in regional areas, and can be attributed to young adults moving to higher order centres to pursue higher education and employment.
Figure 5: Age-sex population structure (2016 Census) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region
100 years and over 95-99 years 90-94 years 85-89 years 80-84 years 75-79 years 70-74 years 65-69 years 60-64 years 55-59 years 50-54 years 45-49 years 40-44 years 35-39 years 30-34 years 25-29 years 20-24 years 15-19 years 10-14 years 5-9 years 0-4 years 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Proportion of total population Males - left hand side Females - right hand side Western Australia Bunbury-Geographe sub-region
Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data.
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Figure 6 shows key demographic statistics relating to the sub-region. Amongst other indicators, it shows the dependency ratio of the sub-region compared to WA. The dependency ratio is a demographic measure of the number of dependents (persons aged 0 to 14 years and 65 years and over) compared to the working age population (persons aged 15 to 64 years). This indicator is used to understand the relative economic burden of the workforce. The sub-region’s dependency ratio is 57.1 (i.e. there are 57.1 dependents for every 100 persons of working age). This is higher than the State’s dependency ratio of 49.8.
Figure 6: Population highlights - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region
Population Area Population density Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- region region region 107,700 6,146 km2 17 persons per km2
Persons aged 15 to 64 Persons aged 65 years and Persons aged 0 to 14 years years over Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- region: 20.5% region: 63.7% region: 15.9% Regional WA: 20.2% Regional WA: 65.2% Regional WA: 14.6% WA: 19.3% WA: 66.7% WA: 14.0%
Aboriginal and Torres Median age Dependency ratio Strait Islander population Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- Bunbury-Geographe sub- region: 38 years region: 57.1 region: 2.7% Regional WA: 39 years Regional WA: 53.4 Regional WA: 8.4% WA: 36 years WA: 49.8 WA: 3.1%
Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia; ABS (2020 Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data.
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Around 70 per cent of the sub-region’s population is concentrated in the Bunbury SUA. The Bunbury SUA is the largest urban area in WA outside of Perth.
The sub-region’s population density, based on its ERP at 30 June 2019, was 17.3 persons per square kilometre. The SA2s of Eaton – Pelican Point and South Bunbury – Bunbury had the highest population densities at 30 June 2019, with 1,217 and 1,078 persons per square kilometre respectively. Table 3 shows the population density of the sub-region’s SA2s.
Table 3: Population density (persons per square kilometre) by SA2 Population density SA2 (persons per km2) Eaton – Pelican Point 1,226 South Bunbury – Bunbury 1,073 College Grove – Carey Park 704 Withers – Usher 606 Bunbury SUA Dalyellup 599 East Bunbury – Glen Iris 305 Australind – Leschenault 284 Gelorup - Stratham 49 Davenport 1 Capel 11 Dardanup 6 Balance of the Bunbury- Harvey 6 Geographe sub-region Collie 5 Donnybrook – Balingup 4 Bunbury-Geographe sub-region 18 Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia
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3.2 Population growth
This section refers to ABS ERP. The ERP is the official measure of the population of Australia, based on place of usual residence. Estimates of the resident population are calculated as at 30 June of each year for selected ASGS geographies, including sub-state areas such as SA2s and LGAs.
Estimates of the resident population for Census years (i.e. 2011 and 2016) are based on Census counts of usual residence (excluding short-term visitors in Australia), with an allowance for Census net undercount and Australian residents temporarily overseas at the time of the Census.
Prior to 2017, sub-state population estimates for non-Census years were previously updated using data inputs from a variety of sources, such as dwelling approvals, Medicare and Australian Electoral Commission enrolments. Since 2017, the ABS has adopted a new, component-based method to estimate resident population at sub-state level. Estimates of the resident population for 30 June 2017 and onwards have been calculated by adding natural change (births minus deaths), net internal migration and net overseas migration to the base population. It is expected that the new component- based method will provide a greater understanding of why population has changed.
Between 2001 and 2020, the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region’s resident population grew at an average annual rate of 1.6 per cent (average annual increase of 1,506 residents). This is lower than the average annual growth rates for Western Australia and the South West Region (1.8 per cent). The sub-region accounted for 55 per cent of the South West Region’s growth between 2001 and 2020.
Figure 7 shows the estimated resident population of the sub-region between 2001 and 2020. Figure 8 shows the annual change rates of the sub-region’s ERP over the same period.
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Figure 7: Estimated resident population (ERP) (2001-2019) – Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Estimated resident population by local government area, 2001 to 2020 No. of persons
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Bunbury (C) Capel (S) Collie (S) Dardanup (S) Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S)
Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia
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Figure 8: Annual change rates of ERP (2002-2019) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Annual change rates of estimated resident population by Significant Urban Area (SUA), 2002 to 2020 Annual change rate (%)
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -1%
-2%
Bunbury (SUA) Balance of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region WA
Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia
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Between 1 July 2016 and 30 June 2020, the sub-region’s ERP increased by 1,750. Natural increase was the major contributor to population change in the sub-region during this period, followed by net internal migration (negative) and net overseas migration (Figure 9).
Figure 9: Components of population change (2016-17 to 2018-19) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Components of population change, Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, 2016-17 to 2019-20 No. of persons
1,200
1,000
800 295 288 353 558 600
400 690 611 556 200 450
-
-200 -390 -334 -652 -675 -400
-600
-800 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Natural increase Net internal migration Net overseas migration
Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia
Figure 10 shows the components of population change by SA2 for the same period. SA2s where national increase was the major contributor to ERP change include Australind – Leschenault, Eaton – Pelican Point, Dalyellup, Capel and Dardanup. SA2s where net internal migration was the major contributor to ERP change include College Grove – Carey Park, East Bunbury – Glen Iris, Gelorup – Stratham, South Bunbury – Bunbury, Withers – Usher, Collie and Harvey. Donnybrook-Balingup is the only SA2 where net overseas migration has been the major contributor to ERP change.
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Figure 10: Components of population change by SA2 (2016-17 to 2019-20) - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Components of population change by SA, 2016-17 to 2019-20 No. of persons
Withers - Usher South Bunbury - Bunbury Harvey Gelorup - Stratham Eaton - Pelican Point East Bunbury - Glen Iris Donnybrook - Balingup Davenport Dardanup Dalyellup Collie College Grove - Carey Park Capel Australind - Leschenault
-1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500
Natural increase Net internal migration Net overseas migration
Source: ABS (2020) 3218.0 – Regional Population Growth, Australia
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3.3 Population projections
WA Tomorrow is a series of trend-based population forecasts, by age and sex, for WA and its sub-areas from 2016 to 2031. These forecasts represent a best estimate of future population size and age-sex structure if trends in fertility, mortality and migration continue.
WA Tomorrow forecasts are produced in collaboration with the WA Department of Treasury. They are produced every five years using the latest results from the five-yearly ABS Census and other data. WA Tomorrow forecasts are the official State Government forecasts to 2031.
Population projections or forecasts are not just a prediction of the future population. They also highlight opportunities or challenges that may need to be addressed. These population forecasts cannot foresee events that change trends. These events include significant shifts in government policy, natural disasters and epidemics/pandemics. Forecasts are best assessed on their effectiveness for the intended purpose, rather than just on their accuracy. In this case, the forecasts are primarily designed to give the demographic details of age and sex. They perform better in this case than they do when assessed only by total population size.
WA Tomorrow forecasts are distinct from government strategies, frameworks and scenarios which are based on a target population size and seek to guide future growth to deliver desired patterns of urban form.
WA Tomorrow provides the State Government with an estimate of the future population structure by age, sex and region in WA. The forecasts are used across government agencies to plan for future service and infrastructure requirements where a change in the age and/or sex distribution needs to be considered. They are particularly important to health and education providers in planning future infrastructure and service requirements such as primary schools and hospitals.
The range of WA Tomorrow forecasts are grouped into five ‘bands’ based on the projected range of population forecasts produced by each simulation. Each band includes one-fifth of the permutations, with Band A representing the lowest quintile of projected population growth, Band C the median, and Band E the highest. The WA Tomorrow documents publish the median value of each quintile to give five forecasts for WA and its sub-areas.
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Table 4 and Figure 11 show the WA Tomorrow forecasts for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. The resulting projected population for the sub-region under the median (Band C) forecast is 126,850 in 2031. Achieving this population from a 2016 baseline requires an average annual increase of 1,368 persons, or an average annual growth rate of 1.18 per cent. This is lower than the forecast average annual growth rates for WA (1.61 per cent) and the South West Region (1.70 per cent).
Table 4: WA Tomorrow forecast population growth 2016-2031 Bunbury-Geographe sub-region Band A Band B Band C Band D Band E 2016 106,330 106,330 106,330 106,330 106,330 2021 102,870 108,590 111,030 113,865 119,530 2026 108,080 115,510 118,735 121,380 129,195 2031 115,205 123,710 126,850 129,715 138,530 Average annual growth rate 0.54% 1.01% 1.18% 1.33% 1.78% 2016-2031 Average annual growth rate 2016-2031 1.06% 1.52% 1.70% 1.85% 2.28% (South West Region) Average annual growth rate 1.32% 1.49% 1.61% 1.73% 1.89% 2016-2031 (WA) Source: WAPC (2019) WA Tomorrow Population Report No. 11
Figure 11: WA Tomorrow forecast population growth 2016-2031 - Bunbury-Geographe sub-region 145,000
140,000
135,000
130,000
125,000
120,000 Persons 115,000
110,000
105,000
100,000 2016 2021 2026 2031
Band A Band B Band C Band D Band E
Source: WAPC (2019) WA Tomorrow Population Report No. 11
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The draft Strategy considers various population scenarios to represent a range of growth trajectories into the future. The population scenarios considered by the draft Strategy (of which there are five) are categorised as follows:
• Baseline: current population and employment growth trends continue. Scenarios 1, 2 and 3 are based on the WA Tomorrow low (Band A), median (Band C) and high (Band E) forecasts respectively. • Growth: a steady rate of above trend population and employment growth (i.e. 10 to 20 per cent higher than historic levels). Scenario 4 represents the draft Strategy’s ‘A’ aspirational population scenario, which is for 200,000 people living in the sub-region. • Boom: a steady above trend rate shocked with government intervention and/or major investment cycles. Scenario 5 represents the draft Strategy’s ‘B’ aspirational population scenario, which is for 300,000 people living in the sub-region.
Table 5 provides a summary of the five population scenarios considered by the draft Strategy.
Table 5: Population scenarios considered by the draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy Population scenarios Growth trajectory WA Tomorrow 2016 2021 2026 2031 1 WA Tomorrow Band A (low) 106,000 103,000 108,000 115,000 2 WA Tomorrow Band C (median) 106,000 111,000 119,000 127,000 Baseline 3 WA Tomorrow Band E (high) 106,000 120,000 129,000 139,000 Aspirational 4 Aspirational population scenario A 200,000 Growth 5 Aspirational population scenario B 300,000 Boom Source: DPLH (2020) Draft Bunbury-Geographe Sub-regional Strategy
This Assessment discusses the adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply against the five population scenarios considered by the draft Strategy in section 5.7.
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4 Economy and employment 4.1 Labour force
The Australian Department of Education, Skills and Employment’s Small Area Labour Markets publication presents regional estimates of unemployment and the unemployment rate at SA2 and LGA level. Estimates of unemployment and the unemployment rate are smoothed using a four-quarter average to minimise the variability inherent in small area estimates.
Figure 12 shows labour force by LGA from the December 2010 quarter to the March 2020 quarter.
Figure 12: Labour force by LGA; December 2010 quarter to March 2020 quarter Bunbury (C) Capel (S) 19,000 11,000 10,449 18,500 10,000 18,000 17,386 17,500 9,000 17,000 8,000 16,500 16,000 7,000 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Collie (S) Dardanup (S) 5,000 9,000 4,800 8,500 8,099 8,000 4,600 7,500 4,400 4,297 7,000 4,200 6,500 4,000 6,000 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S) 4,000 17,000 15,400 3,500 3,250 16,000 15,000 3,000 14,000 2,500 13,000 2,000 12,000 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Source: Department of Education, Skills and Employment (2020) Small Area Labour Markets
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The ABS collects data on labour force status as part of the Census. At 2016, 54 per cent of the sub- region’s resident labour force were employed and worked on a full-time basis. This is lower than regional WA (59 per cent) and State (57 per cent) averages. Figure 13 shows the proportion of the resident labour force by labour force status, and provides a comparison of LGAs to regional WA and WA averages.
Figure 13: Labour force status by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Employed, worked full-time Employed, worked part-time 59% 33% 57% 32% 32% 32% 56% 31% 55% 55% 30% 30% 54% 53% 52% 28%
Employed, away from work Unemployed, looking for full-time work 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Unemployed, looking for part-time work
3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data.
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4.2 Industry of employment and occupation
The ABS publishes industry of employment data in accordance with the Australian and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification (ANZSIC). Industry of employment data is applicable to persons aged 15 years and over who are employed. Figure 14 shows the top five industries of employment (4 Digit Level) by LGA, as well as for Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA.
Figure 14: Top five industries of employment (4 Digit Level) by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census
Bunbury (C) (LGA) Capel (S) (LGA) 1. Hospitals (except psychiatric hospitals 1. Hospitals (except psychiatric (1,074) hospitals) (273) 2. Supermarket and grocery stores (538) 2. Primary education (253) 3. Aged care residential services (512) 3. Supermarket and grocery stores (232) 4. Cafes and restaurants (509) 4. Mineral sand mining (178) 5. Other social assistance services (484) 5. Secondary education (142)
Dardanup (S) (LGA) Collie (S) 1. Supermarket and grocery stores (202) 1. Coal mining (673) 2. Aged care residential services (196) 2. Alumina production (635) 3. Primary education (190) 3. Fossil fuel electricity generation (415) 4. Takeaway food services (179) 4. Bauxite mining (255) 5. Reconstituted wood product 5. Primary education (172) manufacturing (163)
Harvey (S) (LGA) Donnybrook-Balingup (S) (LGA) 1. Primary education (438) 1. Fruit and tree nut growing, nfd (107) 2. Meat processing (419) 2. Beef cattle farming (specialised) (93) 3. Secondary education (306) 3. Supermarket and grocery stores (74) 4. Basic inorganic chemical 4. Primary education (69) manufacturing (281) 5. Local government administration (53) 5. Supermarket and grocery stores (255)
Rest of WA (GCCSA) WA 1. Iron ore mining (20,530) 1. Hospitals (except psychiatric 2. Gold ore mining (9,743) hospitals) (41,742) 3. Primary education (6,988) 2. Iron ore mining (30,417) 4. Hospitals (except psychiatric 3. Primary education (29,692) hospitals) (6,661) 4. Supermarket and grocery stores 5. Supermarket and grocery stores (28,078) (6,041) 5. Cafes and restaurants (26,540)
Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data. Note: Data is based on place of work.
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The ABS publishes occupation data in accordance with the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO). Occupation data is applicable to employed persons. Figure 15 shows the top five occupations (4 Digit Level) by LGA, as well as for Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA.
Figure 15: Top five occupations (4 Digit Level) by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census
Bunbury (C) (LGA) Capel (S) (LGA) 1. Sales assistants (general) (1,335) 1. Sales assistants (general) (161) 2. Registered nurses (572) 2. Primary school teachers (140) 3. Retail managers (517) 3. Livestock farmers (114) 4. General clerks (504) 4. Education aides (108) 5. Receptionists (494) 5. Secondary school teachers (106)
Collie (S) Dardanup (S) (LGA) 1. Metal fitters and machinists (338) 1. Sales assistants (general) (270) 2. Drillers, miners and shot firers (313) 2. Truck drivers (150) 3. Engineering production workers (176) 3. Livestock farmers (95) 4. Sales assistants (general) (153) 4. Retail managers (94) 5. Other building and engineering 5. Aged and disabled carers (89) technicians (149)
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) (LGA) Harvey (S) (LGA) 1. Crop farmers (121) 1. Sales assistants (general) (316) 2. Livestock farmers (109) 2. Primary school teachers (215) 3. Crop farm workers (73) 3. Truck drivers (206) 4. Sales assistants (general) (66) 4. Livestock farmers (200) 5. Packers (48) 5. Metal fitters and machinists (190)
Rest of WA (GCCSA) WA 1. Drillers, miners and shot firers 1. Sales assistants (general) (52,358) (10,198) 2. General clerks (22,894) 2. Metal fitters and machinists (9,691) 3. Registered nurses (21,786) 3. Sales assistants (general) (9,416) 4. Retail managers (19,516) 4. Truck drivers (6,912) 5. Truck drivers (18,880) 5. Electricians (6,114)
Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data. Note: Data is based on place of work.
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4.3 Income distribution
At the 2016 Census, the median weekly household income for WA was $1,595. Table 6 shows the median weekly household income by LGA, as well as for Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA. Variations in the median weekly household income by region can be attributed to several factors. These include industry of employment, proximity to key employment areas, prevalence of fly-in-fly-out arrangements, household structure and the spatial distribution of affordable housing.
Table 6: Median weekly household income; 2016 Census LGA Median weekly household income Above/below WA Bunbury (C) (LGA) $1,197 $398 below WA Capel (S) (LGA) $1,726 $131 above WA Collie (S) (LGA) $1,161 $434 below WA Dardanup (S) (LGA) $1,546 $49 below WA Donnybrook-Balingup (S) (LGA) $1,155 $440 below WA Harvey (S) (LGA) $1,553 $180 below WA Rest of WA (GCCSA) $1,415 $180 below WA WA $1,595 - Source: ABS (2020) 2016 Census QuickStats
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4.4 Employment self-sufficiency
Employment self-sufficiency is defined by WAPC’s Perth and Peel @ 3.5 million land use planning and infrastructure frameworks as the ratio (expressed as a percentage) of the total labour force (local residents who are employed or seeking employment) of a defined area relative to the total number of jobs available in that area.
According to data from the ABS Census 2016, there were approximately 41,830 local jobs in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. At the same time, there were approximately 49,600 residents of the sub-region who were employed, or unemployed and looking for work. Based on this, the sub-region’s employment self-sufficiency rate was 84 per cent. Table 7 shows employment self-sufficiency by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA.
Areas with employment self-sufficiency rates of 100 per cent or greater are considered to be ‘importers’ of employment, as the number of local jobs exceed the resident labour force. The LGA of the City of Perth had an employment self-sufficiency rate of 1,011 per cent, the highest of any LGA in WA. This is to be expected, given that the Perth Central Business District (CBD) is the highest order activity centre in WA and contains the greatest concentration of employment.
Table 7: Employment self-sufficiency by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census LGA Local jobs Resident labour force Employment self-sufficiency rate Bunbury (C) (LGA) 22,090 15,060 146.7% Capel (S) (LGA) 3,570 8,600 41.5% Collie (S) (LGA) 4,490 3,690 121.8% Dardanup (S) (LGA) 3,400 6,910 49.2% Donnybrook-Balingup (S) (LGA) 1,640 2,680 61.3% Harvey (S) (LGA) 6,630 12,660 52.4% Bunbury-Geographe sub-region 41,830 49,600 84.3% Rest of WA (GCCSA) 260,115 251,462 103.4% WA 1,166,243 1,255,699 92.9% Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data.
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4.5 Employment self-containment
Employment self-containment is defined by WAPC’s Perth and Peel @ 3.5 million land use planning and infrastructure frameworks as the proportion of employed residents within a defined area whose jobs are located within that defined area.
According to data from the ABS Census 2016, there were approximately 45,650 residents of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region who were employed. Of these residents who were employed, 38,890 worked in local jobs within the sub-region. Based on this, the sub-region’s employment self-containment rate was 85 per cent. Table 8 shows employment self-containment by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA.
Table 8: Employment self-containment by LGA, Rest of WA (GCCSA) and WA; 2016 Census Local residents who were Local residents who Employment self- LGA employed and worked within the were employed containment rate local area Bunbury (C) (LGA) 13,720 9,430 68.7% Capel (S) (LGA) 8,030 1,890 23.5% Collie (S) (LGA) 3,280 2,640 80.5% Dardanup (S) (LGA) 6,430 1,420 22.1% Donnybrook- 2,510 1,290 51.4% Balingup (S) (LGA) Harvey (S) (LGA) 11,680 4,370 37.4% Bunbury-Geographe 45,650 38,890 85.2% sub-region Rest of WA (GCCSA) 235,428 215,661 91.6% WA 1,157,735 1,151,285 99.4% Source: ABS (2020) Census of Population and Housing 2016. Findings based on use of ABS TableBuilder data.
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4.6 Socio-economic indexes for areas
Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) is an ABS product that ranks areas in Australia according to relative socio-economic advantage and disadvantage. The indexes are based on information from the five-yearly ABS Census.
The most recent release of SEIFA (2016) has been created using Census 2016 data. SEIFA 2016 consists of four indexes. The four indexes summarise a slightly different aspect of the socio-economic conditions in an area. The indexes are:
• Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage (IRSD) • Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD) • Index of Economic Resources (IER) • Index of Education and Occupation (IEO)
Table 9 to Table 12 show the four SEIFA 2016 indexes, as applicable to SA2s within the Bunbury- Geographe sub-region.
Table 9: Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage (IRSD); SEIFA 2016 Ranking within WA SA2 Score Rank Decile Percentile Gelorup - Stratham 1,081 197 9 87 Dardanup 1,039 143 7 63 Australind - Leschenault 1,022 119 6 52 Dalyellup 1,017 115 6 51 Eaton - Pelican Point 1,008 101 5 45 South Bunbury - Bunbury 1,006 100 5 44 Capel 1,000 93 5 41 Donnybrook - Balingup 996 89 4 39 Harvey 975 57 3 25 East Bunbury - Glen Iris 964 48 3 21 Collie 918 23 2 11 College Grove - Carey Park 902 13 1 6 Withers - Usher 860 7 1 4 Source: ABS (2018) Socio-Economic Indexes for Australia (SEIFA) 2016
Table 10: Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD); SEIFA 2016 Ranking within WA SA2 Score Rank Decile Percentile Gelorup - Stratham 1,068 179 8 79 Dardanup 1,022 135 6 59 Dalyellup 1,005 116 6 51 Australind - Leschenault 998 107 5 47 South Bunbury - Bunbury 997 106 5 47 Capel 980 84 4 37 Donnybrook - Balingup 980 81 4 36 Eaton - Pelican Point 976 73 4 32 Harvey 956 48 3 21 East Bunbury - Glen Iris 939 35 2 16 Collie 899 16 1 7 College Grove - Carey Park 887 13 1 6 Withers - Usher 853 6 1 3 Source: ABS (2018) Socio-Economic Indexes for Australia (SEIFA) 2016
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Table 11: Index of Economic Resources (IER); SEIFA 2016 Ranking within WA SA2 Score Rank Decile Percentile Gelorup - Stratham 1,129 221 10 97 Dardanup 1,075 173 8 76 Australind - Leschenault 1,062 162 8 71 Dalyellup 1,049 149 7 65 Eaton - Pelican Point 1,046 142 7 62 Capel 1,045 140 7 61 Donnybrook - Balingup 1,029 119 6 52 Harvey 1,016 95 5 42 South Bunbury - Bunbury 993 65 3 29 East Bunbury - Glen Iris 981 53 3 24 Collie 968 39 2 17 College Grove – Carey Park 927 16 1 7 Withers - Usher 897 8 1 4 Source: ABS (2018) Socio-Economic Indexes for Australia (SEIFA) 2016
Table 12: Index of Education and Occupation (IEO); SEIFA 2016 Ranking within WA SA2 Score Rank Decile Percentile Gelorup - Stratham 1,015 153 7 67 South Bunbury - Bunbury 999 138 7 61 Dardanup 983 123 6 54 Dalyellup 970 103 5 45 Donnybrook - Balingup 958 92 5 41 Capel 946 73 4 32 Australind - Leschenault 936 58 3 26 Eaton - Pelican Point 909 33 2 15 Harvey 905 30 2 14 East Bunbury - Glen Iris 896 26 2 12 College Grove – Carey Park 873 11 1 5 Withers - Usher 856 2 1 1 Collie 849 1 1 1 Source: ABS (2018) Socio-Economic Indexes for Australia (SEIFA) 2016
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4.7 Economic demand drivers
Economic conditions and employment opportunities are fundamental drivers of population growth and demand for land and housing. The Strategy plans for significant economic growth of the Bunbury- Geographe sub-region by expanding the economy and pursuing opportunities based on the sub-region’s existing and emerging strengths.
The Strategy is underpinned by a guiding set of principles and strategic directions. To facilitate economic growth of the sub-region, the Strategy identifies the following strategic directions:
• Reinforce the activity centre hierarchy outlined in WAPC’s Activity Centres for Greater Bunbury Policy. • Ensure an adequate supply of industrial and commercial land across the sub-region to facilitate local employment. • Support the provision of technological and digital infrastructure to underpin job creation in the knowledge economy. • Encourage the establishment of a technical school/university hub in Bunbury to offer innovative education opportunities. • Facilitate the expansion and diversification of the tourism industry. • Support investment in Kemerton Strategic Industrial Area and Shotts Strategic Industrial Area and facilitate proposals in accordance with relevant planning instruments. • Retain identified light and general industrial areas for industrial use and protect them from the encroachment of sensitive land uses. • Protect priority agricultural land from incompatible land uses. • Support expansion of the Bunbury Port and the establishment of an intermodal freight hub facility.
The South West Region’s economy is one of the most diverse in regional WA. The Strategy plans to capitalise on the sub-region’s advantages, which include a large, broadly skilled workforce, large availability of residential land to accommodate population growth and continued investment in transport infrastructure.
Large areas of land for future industrial development have been identified in Picton and Waterloo. It is anticipated that this supply will meet demand for affordable, strategically located industrial land that can be utilised for a variety of uses. The Strategy gives consideration for this land to be used for various industrial and technological purposes. The sub-region’s close proximity to Perth gives rise for the area to be a potential hub of the State’s technology development sector, in concert with plans to encourage the establishment of a technical school/university hub in Bunbury.
The agriculture industry has been part of the sub-region’s economy for many years. Value of agricultural commodities data from the ABS indicate that the Bunbury SA4 (which incorporates the sub-region) is a significant producer of fruits and vegetables such as apples, cherries, avocados, grapes for wine production, carrots, potatoes and onions.
In the 12 months to October 2020, the Bunbury Port’s export tonnage totalled 14,669,787, with minerals export accounting for 91 per cent. Alumina is the Port of Bunbury’s major export commodity, with bauxite mined near the town of Boddington (in the Peel Region) before being transferred to the alumina refinery near Collie and transported by rail to the Port of Bunbury.
Around one-third of the world’s lithium supply is mined and processed outside the town of Greenbushes (in the Warren-Blackwood sub-region). In 2019, Talison Lithium opened a second large chemical grade lithium processing plant, which doubled the production capacity at the mine. Planning is underway for a third lithium processing plant and a tailings retreatment facility. As at October 2020, construction is underway on a lithium hydroxide conversion plant within the Kemerton Strategic Industrial Area. Once complete, it would be the State’s largest lithium refinery. Page 36 of 91
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5 Residential land and dwellings 5.1 Land zoned for residential purposes under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme
WAPC’s Urban Growth Monitor reports on several key stages of the land supply process. Produced annually as part of the UDP, the Urban Growth Monitor primarily focuses on the availability of land zoned for urban development in the Perth metropolitan, Peel and Greater Bunbury regions. The Urban Growth Monitor also reports on the consumption rates of urban zoned land, how long the current supply of urban zoned land will last, and residential dwelling density trends.
The latest Urban Growth Monitor (11th edition, presents information relating to zoned land supply calculated at 31 December 2018) reported a stock of 8,270 hectares of urban zoned land, and 720 hectares of urban deferred zoned land under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme (GBRS).
Since 31 December 2018, a number of amendments to the GBRS have been finalised. The following amendments constitute the transfer of land to the urban or urban deferred zone:
• Amendment No. 0056/57, Lots 4354 and 4440 Bussell Highway and Pt of the Bussell Highway Road Reserve, Bunbury. Approximately 0.4 hectares of land was transferred from the Other Regional Roads reserve to the Urban zone; and 40.9 hectares of land was transferred from the Private Recreation zone to the Urban zone. • Amendment No. 0053/57, Omnibus No. 5, Anomalies Amendment. Approximately 0.4 hectares of land across 21 separate sites was transferred to the Urban zone. • Amendment No. 0055/13, Lot 4422 Weld Road, Capel. Approximately 6.1 hectares of land was transferred from the Urban Deferred zone to the Urban zone.
As at 31 October 2020, there was a stock of 8,320 hectares of urban zoned land, and 712 hectares of urban deferred zoned land under the GBRS.
The following are active GBRS amendments (in progress or open for public comment as at 31 October 2020) which constitute the transfer of land to the urban or urban deferred zone:
• Amendment No. 0051/57, Various Lots Jubilee and Jeffrey Roads, Glen Iris. The amendment seeks to transfer 8.25 hectares of land from the Urban zone to the Regional Open Space reserve; and 2.65 hectares of land from the Regional Open Space reserve to the Urban zone. • Amendment No. 0054/57, Lot 29 Jeffrey Road, Glen Iris. The amendment seeks to transfer 6.5 hectares of land from the Public Purposes – Special Uses reserve to the Urban Deferred zone. • Amendment No. 0059/41, Wanju Urban Expansion Area. The amendment seeks to transfer 1,134 hectares of land from the Rural zone to the Urban Deferred zone.
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Table 13 shows the stocks of land zoned urban and urban deferred under the GBRS by LGA.
Table 13: Land zoned urban and urban deferred under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme; 2014 to 2019 Local Region Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock government scheme (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) (ha) area zone 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Urban 2,310 2,310 2,310 2,310 2,310 2,310 Urban - 10 10 10 10 10 Bunbury (C) deferred Total 2,310 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,320 2,330 Urban 1,740 1,730 1,810 1,900 1,910 1,910 Urban 690 690 610 520 520 510 Capel (S) deferred Total 2,430 2,420 2,420 2,420 2,430 2,420 Urban 780 780 780 780 780 780 Dardanup Urban 80 80 80 80 80 80 (S) deferred Total 860 860 860 860 860 860 Urban 3,240 3,240 3,250 3,270 3,270 3,270 Urban 100 90 90 220 110 110 Harvey (S) deferred Total 3,340 3,330 3,340 3,380 3,380 3,380 Urban 8,070 8,070 8,160 8,270 8,270 8,280 Urban 870 870 790 720 720 710 Total deferred Total 8,940 8,940 8,950 8,990 8,990 8,990 Source: DPLH (2020) Urban Growth Monitor Note: Data is at 31 December 2019.
Table 14 shows the stocks of urbanised and non-urbanised land within the GBRS area. Urbanised area refers to land zoned urban that has a building or structure in place, or that is subdivided to a size consistent with an urban form. Vacant lots consistent with the typical lot size for the designated land use, such as residential, are included as part of the urbanised area.
Non-urbanised area refers to land zoned urban or urban deferred that is identified as undeveloped (vacant land) or land that has been developed at very low residential densities. Urban deferred zones accommodating existing uses (that is, not vacant), are also classified as non-urbanised.
Table 14: Urbanised and non-urbanised land within the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme area Non-urbanised Total land zoned Local government Urbanised area (greenfield) area for urban Urbanised (%) area (ha) (ha) development (ha) Bunbury (C) 1,790 540 2,330 77% Capel (S) 1,030 1,390 2,420 43% Dardanup (S) 560 300 860 65% Harvey (S) 2,040 1,340 3,380 60% Total 5,420 3,570 8,990 60% Source: DPLH (2020) Urban Growth Monitor Note: Data is at 31 December 2019.
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Urbanised areas can be further categorised into:
• Suburban areas refer to land that is used for typical suburban development. Usually found where dwelling densities are greater than five dwellings per net site hectare, suburban areas include residential mixed uses and smaller parcels of land that may be used for local shops, businesses, services and open spaces. • Commercial and light industrial development is land that is used predominantly for commercial, light industrial and a range of miscellaneous uses and includes local activity centres. • Planned very low-density development are areas of very low-density development where local planning schemes zone for special residential development or where R-Codes indicate densities of R5 or lower. • Existing development on redevelopment authority land (not applicable to Greater Bunbury).
Table 15 shows the stocks of land by existing uses in urbanised areas.
Table 15: Existing land uses in urbanised areas Commercial and Planned very low Local government Suburban area (ha) light industrial density Total (ha) area development (ha) development (ha) Bunbury (C) 1,440 330 20 1,790 Capel (S) 520 80 440 1,030 Dardanup (S) 510 50 - 560 Harvey (S) 1,070 290 680 2,040 Total 3,540 740 1,140 5,420 Source: DPLH (2020) Urban Growth Monitor Note: Data is at 31 December 2019.
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Non-urbanised areas can be further categorised into:
• Under-developed areas of very low-density development refers to urban zoned land that is used predominantly for very low-density residential development. Usually found where dwelling densities are less than five dwellings per net site hectare, this includes land that may be used for local shops, businesses, services and open spaces. • Undeveloped urban zoned land is land zoned urban that has yet to be serviced or subdivided for urban purposes. • Undeveloped urban zoned land is land zoned urban deferred that is currently undeveloped. • Existing development on urban deferred land refers to undeveloped urban deferred zoned land. However, in certain cases, agricultural, commercial, industrial or residential activities can exist in the urban deferred zone. In most cases, this land is potentially viable for future residential development. • Existing development on redevelopment authority land (not applicable to Greater Bunbury). • Low-density residential development on redevelopment authority land (not applicable to Greater Bunbury). • Undeveloped redevelopment authority land (not applicable to Greater Bunbury).
Table 16 shows the stocks of land by existing uses in non-urbanised areas.
Table 16: Existing land uses in non-urbanised areas Existing Underdeveloped Local Undeveloped Undeveloped development areas of very low government urban zoned urban deferred on urban Total (ha) density area land (ha) zoned land (ha) deferred land development (ha) (ha) Bunbury (C) 70 450 10 - 540 Capel (S) 200 680 460 50 1,390 Dardanup (S) 30 200 50 30 300 Harvey (S) 210 1,020 70 40 1,340 Total 510 2,350 600 110 3,570 Source: DPLH (2020) Urban Growth Monitor Note: Data is at 31 December 2019.
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5.2 Land zoned for residential purposes under local planning schemes
This section of the Assessment report discusses the development status of lots on land zoned for residential purposes under local planning schemes.
Table 17 shows the supply of lots on land zoned for residential purposes under local planning schemes by development status. Overall, as at 30 June 2020, there were approximately 39,600 lots on land zoned for residential purposes in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, covering a total land area of 7,010 hectares. Approximately 4,620 hectares (66 per cent) was classified as developed; 1,330 hectares (19 per cent) was classified as undeveloped; and 1,050 hectares (15 per cent) was classified as unrated.
Lots classified as unrated are those that are zoned for development for the purpose of the specified primary land use category, for which no vacant land or premises valuation information has been captured in Landgate’s property valuation database. Lots classified as unrated typically include State or local government owned lots or premises exempt from rates, Crown allotments, common property within lots on survey, newly created lots on survey, land otherwise exempt from rates and some public roads which are zoned for the primary land use category under the local planning scheme.
Table 17: Development status of lots on land zoned for residential purposes; 30 June 2020 Lot count Area (ha) Developed Undeveloped Unrated Developed Undeveloped Unrated Residential 11,560 390 190 960 40 10 Urban 20 30 20 60 120 40 development Bunbury (C) Mixed use 390 30 10 40 - - residential Total 11,970 440 220 1,050 160 50 Residential 2,170 230 70 580 80 50 Urban Capel (S) 3,460 250 70 410 290 270 development Total 5,630 470 150 990 370 310 Residential 3,060 160 70 320 40 10 Residential 90 20 10 10 - - Collie (S) development Mixed use 120 - 10 110 20 50 Total 3,260 190 90 450 60 60 Residential 3,850 110 60 330 10 10 Dardanup (S) Development 540 70 40 50 130 150 Total 4,400 180 100 380 140 150 Donnybrook- Residential 1,380 210 160 250 60 170 Balingup (S) Total 1,380 210 160 250 60 170 Residential 5,540 470 190 590 150 70 Residential 2,730 250 70 240 330 130 development Harvey (S) Special 1,350 80 110 670 60 120 residential Total 9,620 790 360 1,500 530 310 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Regional Information System
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5.3 Residential subdivision activity
Over the decade to 30 June 2020, a total of 8,000 freehold and survey-strata lots were granted preliminary approval for residential subdivision. During the same period, 3,910 lots were granted final approval (i.e. certificates of title issued and lots created) for residential subdivision.
Figure 16: Preliminary approvals; Residential Bunbury (C) Capel (S) 183 178 592 131 136 89 379 75 70 73 64 61 259 297 222 185 50 75 53 76
Collie (S) Dardanup (S) 71 294 267 272 178 125 15 7 57 44 46 1 5 3 1 2 2 - 22 20
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S) 90 89 859
46 490 37 260 298 294 21 198 166 228 13 7 98 118 6 3 -
Source: WAPC (2020) State Lot Activity
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Figure 17: Final approvals; residential Bunbury (C) Capel (S) 185 134 169 105 111 85 82 73 92 102 96 47 47 54 50 63 41 30 35 27
Collie (S) Dardanup (S) 95 27 86 90 91 89 69 71 56 48 8 8 7 22 2 - - 1 2 2
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S) 55 264 212 197 196 158 141 127 18 10 66 5 5 8 28 - 3 4 4 11
Source: WAPC (2020) State Lot Activity
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5.4 Residential building approvals
The number of dwelling units approved is a useful indicator of the strength of consumer and investor confidence, and a leading indicator of economic activity within the building sector and the wider economy. The demand for new dwellings is a function of several factors, including increasing population, and/or the changing structure of family and household units. These factors combine with economic conditions and housing affordability to produce the visible demand for new dwellings.
Over the decade to 30 June 2020, a total of 7,145 dwelling units were approved for construction in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. Of these, 95 per cent (6,756) were for new houses, and five per cent (389) were for new dwelling units in ‘other residential buildings’. ‘Other residential buildings’ include buildings other than houses which are primarily used for long-term residential purposes.
Bunbury (C) Capel (S)
29 2 9 4 0 17 13 0 32 4 10 10 19 16 42 214 204 218 207 129 150 2 11 176 185 187 0 2 Dwellings 121 111 103 114 104 Dwellings 0 75 79 71 76 82 89
New houses New other residential building New houses New other residential building
Collie (S) Dardanup (S)
0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 2 0 0 41 41 33 34 0 136 127 138 127 0 Dwellings Dwellings 122 117 0 22 0 0 0 0 99 19 14 13 14 66 60 06 11 48
New houses New other residential building New houses New other residential building
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S)
16 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 28 10 0 2 0 21 4 63 59 61 0 357 9 11 56 54 53 306 273 0 Dwellings Dwellings 40 241 247 213 0 34 29 185 178 185 146 15
New houses New other residential building New houses New other residential building
Source: ABS (2020) 8731.0 – Building Approvals, Australia
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5.5 Small area dwelling completions
The ABS is working towards the development of quarterly estimates of small area dwelling stock, completions and demolitions for release in 2022. Dwelling stock statistics are currently available from the Census every five years, however, more frequent estimates of dwelling stock are valuable for economic and housing policy development and evaluation, and informing planning and service provision decisions. The newly developed statistics will contain quarterly estimates of demolitions, completions and stock at LGA and SA2 level between June 2016 and June 2021.
In October 2020, the ABS released experimental estimates of dwelling completions by SA2, from the March 2016 quarter to the December 2019 quarter. Table 18 shows small area dwelling completions for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region.
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Table 18: Small area dwelling completions Semi-detached, Year of row or terrace Flats, units or SA2 Houses Total completion houses, apartments townhouses 2016 139 16 - 155 Australind – 2017 114 4 - 118 Leschenault 2018 161 6 - 167 2019 84 - - 84 2016 22 - - 22 College Grove – 2017 15 6 - 21 Carey Park 2018 4 - - 4 2019 4 3 - 7 2016 162 - 3 165 2017 72 - - 72 Dalyellup 2018 55 - 1 56 2019 43 - - 43 2016 50 - - 50 East Bunbury – 2017 25 - - 25 Glen Iris 2018 35 - - 35 2019 23 - - 23 2016 93 4 - 96 Eaton – Pelican 2017 49 - - 49 Point 2018 54 - - 54 2019 51 - - 51 2016 16 - - 16 Gelorup – 2017 12 - - 12 Stratham 2018 10 - - 10 2019 15 - - 15 2016 77 18 - 94 South Bunbury – 2017 52 4 2 58 Bunbury 2018 30 2 1 32 2019 34 9 - 43 2016 2 - - 2 2017 3 - - 3 Withers – Usher 2018 3 - - 3 2019 5 - - 5 2016 37 3 - 40 2017 34 - - 34 Capel 2018 30 - - 30 2019 20 - - 20 2016 16 - - 16 2017 7 - - 7 Collie 2018 13 - - 13 2019 12 - - 12 2016 23 - - 23 2017 29 - - 29 Dardanup 2018 17 - - 17 2019 25 - - 25 2016 67 - - 67 Donnybrook – 2017 25 - - 25 Balingup 2018 38 - - 38 2019 35 4 - 39 2016 67 - - 67 2017 25 - - 25 Harvey 2018 38 - - 38 2019 35 4 - 39 Source: ABS (2020) Small Area Dwelling Completions
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5.6 Residential lot and dwelling supply
This section of the Assessment report provides an analysis of residential lot and dwelling supply in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. For the purpose of this Assessment, residential land and dwelling supply is classified into the following categories:
• Greenfield and major infill: Includes undeveloped land zoned for urban development, or land that is not currently zoned for urban development but has been identified for urban development by a strategic planning instrument (i.e. regional, sub-regional or local planning strategy), generally located on the urban fringe. Also includes undeveloped land or sites identified for redevelopment within urbanised areas. These development sites are individually identified (see Map package 4: Development outlook (staging) and Table package 1: Development outlook (staging). • Vacant lots: Includes undeveloped (vacant) lots on land zoned for residential purposes within urbanised areas. Table 19 provides a summary of the estimated lot and dwelling supply for greenfield, major infill and vacant lots. In addition to greenfield, major infill and vacant lots, there is a significant supply of residential lots (i.e. lots that have been subdivided to a size consistent with the urban form) with additional dwelling potential. These are residential lots that could be further subdivided, based on the general site requirements for the density code applicable to each lot. For example, a 1,000 square metre lot with an applicable density code of R30 (average site area requirement of 300 square metres) could theoretically be subdivided to create three lots. This is referred to as ‘background infill’.
Analysis on the adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply (section 5.7) includes additional dwellings to be delivered through greenfield, major infill and vacant lots only. It does not include additional dwellings to be delivered through background infill, as development of this type is difficult to pre-empt and monitor. Background infill is discussed further in section 5.8.
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Table 19: Estimated residential lot/dwelling supply for greenfield, major infill and vacant lots Dwellings in Local government Undeveloped/ Locality/suburb greenfield/major Total area vacant lots infill4 Bunbury 500 50 550 Carey Park 680 40 720 College Grove 30 10 40 East Bunbury - 40 40 Glen Iris 1,580 80 1,660 Bunbury (C) Pelican Point - 20 20 South Bunbury 40 160 200 Usher 1,110 20 1,130 Withers 10 20 30 Total 3,950 440 4,390 Boyanup 1,900 30 1,930 Capel 1,840 70 1,910 Dalyellup 2,960 220 3,180 Gelorup 50 40 90 Capel (S) Peppermint Grove - 100 100 Beach Stirling Estate 80 - 80 Total 6,820 470 7,290 Allanson - 10 10 Collie (S) Collie 420 190 610 Total 420 190 610 Burekup 60 10 70 Dardanup 550 30 580 Eaton 800 80 880 Dardanup (S) Millbridge 90 60 150 Picton East - - - Waterloo 20,000 - 20,000 Total 21,500 180 21,680 Balingup 170 30 200 Donnybrook 1,640 150 1,790 Donnybrook- Kirup 90 20 110 Balingup (S) Mullalyup 50 10 60 Total 1,940 210 2,150 Australind 1,270 360 1,630 Binningup 1,160 150 1,310 Brunswick 460 20 480 Harvey 1,270 70 1,340 Leschenault - 30 30 Harvey (S) Myalup 10 40 50 Roelands 260 20 280 Wokalup - - - Yarloop - 100 100 Total 4,420 790 5,210 Grand Total 39,050 2,290 41,340 Source: DPLH (2020) Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding.
4 These figures are preliminary and subject to change until such time that this Assessment is finalised. Page 48 of 91
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5.7 Adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply
Analysis on the adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply for a given area considers the following factors:
• the most likely scenario of projected population growth and/or an aspirational population target • the average household size • the rate of dwelling occupancy.
For this Assessment, analysis on the adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply is predicated on an average household size of 2.6 persons per dwelling, and a dwelling occupancy rate of 86.7 per cent, in line with the State average.
The draft Strategy considers five population scenarios for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region to represent a range of growth trajectories into the future (see Table 5 also):
• Scenario 1: The sub-region will reach a population of approximately 115,000 by 2031, based on the WA Tomorrow Band A (low) forecast. • Scenario 2: The sub-region will reach a population of approximately 127,000 by 2031, based on the WA Tomorrow Band C (median) forecast. • Scenario 3: The sub-region will reach a population of approximately 139,000 by 2031, based on the WA Tomorrow Band E (high) forecast. • Scenario 4: An aspirational population target of 200,000 for the sub-region. • Scenario 5: An aspirational population target of 300,000 for the sub-region.
The analysis of residential land and dwelling supply (section 5.6) identified approximately 41,340 additional dwellings to be delivered through greenfield and major infill. Of the 41,340 additional dwellings, 19,200 are within the Wanju expansion area.
The supply of 41,340 additional dwellings could support a population of approximately 93,190, based on an average household size of 2.6 persons and a dwelling occupancy rate of 86.7 per cent. If the dwelling occupancy rate was increased to 100 per cent, then the supply of 41,340 additional dwellings could support a population of approximately 107,480.
Table 20 shows the adequacy of the residential land and dwelling supply against the five population scenarios identified by the draft Strategy. It shows that the identified supply of additional dwellings to be delivered is sufficient to accommodate the aspirational population target of 200,000 (Scenario 4).
It should be noted that the identified dwelling supply shown in Table 20 does not include additional dwellings to be delivered through background infill, as development of this type is difficult to pre-empt and monitor. It also does not include additional dwellings to be delivered on land zoned for rural living purposes, as it falls outside of the urban extent and therefore, does not constitute urban development.
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Table 20: Adequacy of residential land and dwelling supply Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 5 Baseline Growth Boom WA Tomorrow WA Tomorrow WA Tomorrow Aspirational Aspirational Band A Band C Band E population population (low) (median) (high) scenario A scenario B Population 115,205 by 126,850 by 138,530 by forecast/ 200,000 300,000 2031 2031 2031 target Population change from 8,875 (8%) 20,520 (19%) 32,200 (30%) 93,670 (88%) 193,670 (182%) 2016 Estimated dwelling 3,410 7,890 12,390 36,030 74,490 requirement5 Identified dwelling 41,340 supply6 Surplus/deficit from Surplus of Surplus of Surplus of Surplus of Deficit of estimated 37,930 33,450 28,950 5,310 33,150 dwelling requirement7 Source: DPLH (2020)
5 Estimated dwelling requirement = population change from 2016 / average household size. 6 See Table 19, section 5.6. Includes additional dwellings to be delivered through greenfield, major infill and vacant lots only. 7 Surplus/deficit from estimated dwelling requirement = identified dwelling supply – estimated dwelling requirement. Page 50 of 91
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5.8 Background infill
The Department’s Integrated Land Information Database (ILID) is a land use assessment and capability model that is generated at a cadastral level for the whole of WA. ILID is a geographic information system (GIS) based tool that is used to identify the additional dwelling potential of lots on land zoned for residential purposes, based on the general site requirements for the density code (R-Code) applicable to those lots.
The ILID tool calculates the additional dwelling potential of lots based on the land area of the lot, and the average site area requirement for the density code applicable to the lot. For example, a 1,000 square metre lot with an applicable density code of R30 (average site area requirement of 300 square metres) could theoretically be subdivided to create three lots. The ILID tool assumes a 100 per cent take-up rate, and does not take into account the location or footprint of any existing dwellings on the lot. The ILID tool does not take into account other factors that may affect the additional dwelling potential of a lot, such as setbacks from the street and/or lot boundary, vehicular and pedestrian access and utility service provision. Therefore, the additional dwelling potential of a lot, as identified by the ILID tool, may not always be fully realised.
Table 21 to Table 26 show the additional dwelling potential of lots in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, while Map Package 5 shows the spatial distribution of lots with additional dwelling potential. The data shown in these tables and maps are based on the provisions of the following local planning schemes:
• City of Bunbury Local Planning Scheme No. 8 • Shire of Capel Local Planning Scheme No. 7 • Shire of Collie Local Planning Scheme No. 5 • Shire of Dardanup Local Planning Scheme No. 3 • Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Local Planning Scheme No. 7 • Shire of Harvey Local Planning Scheme No. 1.
The ILID tool is intended to provide a starting point for localised infill analysis. The City of Bunbury is currently undertaking an infill housing review, prior to preparing a local housing strategy. The City completed the first phase of its infill housing review in April 2020, analysing the City’s urban brownfield and greenfield potential. Through localised infill analysis such as this, the assumptions and rationale used to calculate additional dwelling potential can be tailored to suit the local area.
Furthermore, the majority of areas zoned for residential purposes under the Shire of Harvey’s Local Planning Scheme No. 1 have an applicable density code of R15/30/50. The Shire’s intent for the split density coding is to allow:
• single houses to be developed at the R15 density code • grouped dwellings and lots to be subdivided at the R30 density code • multiple dwellings to be developed at the R50 density code.
Additional development requirements apply for development at the R30 and R50 density code. For a site to be able to be developed at the R30 density code, it must have a minimum lot size of 900 square metres and be connected to reticulated sewerage. The analysis of additional dwelling potential in the Shire of Harvey as part of this Assessment has not been tailored to take into account the provisions of its local planning scheme. Therefore, Table 26, as well as Map Package 5 show additional dwelling potential based on the R50 density code for all lots (including those that do not meet the additional development requirements for development at the R30 or R50 density code), which is not an accurate reflection of additional dwelling potential.
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Note for Table 21 to Table 26: Where a split density code applies, ‘Additional dwelling potential (low)’ refers to additional dwelling potential based on the lower density code. ‘Additional dwelling potential (high)’ refers to additional dwelling potential based on the higher density code.
Table 21 to Table 26 show the additional dwelling potential (low and high) for all lots with an applicable density code.
All numbers have been rounded.
Table 21: Additional dwelling potential; City of Bunbury Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Bunbury 1,420 390 1,100 Carey Park 2,540 440 1,970 College Grove 480 50 50 East Bunbury 1,910 680 1,890 Glen Iris 1,210 510 510 Residential Pelican Point 390 80 80 South Bunbury 3,760 1,560 3,050 Usher 870 100 100 Withers 1,510 150 720 Total 14,080 3,940 9,450 Bunbury 10 40 90 Carey Park 30 30 80 East Bunbury 120 60 410 Glen Iris 10 190 190 Mixed use Pelican Point - - - residential South Bunbury 250 500 1,090 Usher - 40 50 Withers 20 10 60 Total 440 860 1,990 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
Table 22: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Capel Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Boyanup 300 440 720 Capel 940 1,500 1,540 Gelorup 590 90 90 Residential Peppermint Grove 370 120 130 Beach Total 2,190 2,140 2,480 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
Table 23: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Collie Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Allanson 100 70 70 Residential Collie 3,090 1,500 1,500 Total 3,180 1,570 1,570 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
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Table 24: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Dardanup Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Burekup 160 90 90 Dardanup 190 120 120 Residential Eaton 3,250 520 1,170 Millbridge 430 100 100 Total 4,040 840 1,490 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
Table 25: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Balingup 120 310 310 Donnybrook 1,090 3,160 3,160 Residential Kirup 60 350 350 Mullalyup 20 160 160 Total 1,300 3,980 3,980 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
Note: Additional dwelling potential (high) of lots with a density code of R15/30/50 in the Shire of Harvey is based on the R50 density code, including lots that do not meet the additional development requirements for development at the R30 or R50 density code.
Table 26: Additional dwelling potential; Shire of Harvey Additional Additional Local planning Number of Locality/suburb dwelling potential dwelling potential scheme zone existing dwellings (low) (high) Australind 3,400 840 12,130 Benger - 20 80 Binningup 700 570 4,430 Brunswick 330 430 2,790 Cookernup - 280 1,090 Residential Harvey 1,090 1,480 8,950 Myalup 150 30 630 Roelands 40 230 1,010 Wokalup 20 50 260 Yarloop 120 750 2,870 Total 5,850 4,680 34,240 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Land Information Database
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6 Rural living land 6.1 Land zoned for rural living purposes under local planning schemes
State Planning Policy 2.5 Rural Planning (SPP 2.5) defines rural living as an umbrella term used to describe a range of local planning scheme zones that provide for low density residential uses in an estate or precinct, generally characterised by a grouping of lots in the order of one to 40 hectares. Rural living zones include those named rural living, rural retreat, rural residential, special rural, rural smallholdings, rural conservation and landscape protection. This section of the Assessment report discusses the development status of lots on land zoned for rural living purposes under local planning schemes.
Table 27 shows the supply of lots on land zoned for rural living purposes under local planning schemes by development status. Overall, as at 30 June 2020, there were approximately 2,220 lots on land zoned for rural living purposes in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, covering a total land area of 5,510 hectares. Approximately 3,220 hectares (58 per cent) was classified as developed; 480 hectares (9 per cent) was classified as undeveloped; and 1,810 hectares (33 per cent) was classified as unrated.
Table 27: Development status of lots on land zoned for rural living purposes; 30 June 2020 Lot count Area (ha) Developed Undeveloped Unrated Developed Undeveloped Unrated Special rural 500 50 30 1,080 120 100 Capel Total 500 50 30 1,080 120 100 Rural 300 40 120 460 40 290 Collie (S) residential Total 300 40 120 460 40 290 Small holding 350 70 90 910 150 530 Dardanup (S) Total 350 70 90 910 150 530 Rural 280 50 100 690 150 230 residential Donnybrook- Rural Balingup - - - - - 10 smallholdings Total 280 50 100 690 150 230 Special rural 30 - 180 70 10 480 Special rural Harvey (S) – landscape 10 - 30 10 10 170 protection Total 40 - 210 80 10 650 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Regional Information System
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6.2 Rural living subdivision activity
WAPC’s State Lot Activity groups rural residential and special residential (i.e. lots greater than 3,000 square metres and less than one hectare) into one category. Therefore, the subdivision activity data presented in this section may include lots on land zoned special residential (or similar), which is considered a residential (i.e. not rural living) land use zone by WAPC’s State Planning Framework.
Over the decade to 30 June 2020, a total of 520 freehold and survey-strata lots were granted preliminary approval for rural residential and special residential subdivision. During the same period, 270 lots were granted final approval (i.e. certificates of title issued and lots created) for rural residential and special residential subdivision.
Figure 18: Preliminary approvals; Rural residential and special residential Bunbury (C) Capel (S)
5 44
9 5 4 6 ------2 3 2 2
Collie (S) Dardanup (S)
20 58 13 25 27 5 6 17 19 2 ------2 - 2
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S) 88 16
51 40 6 6 6 4 5 2 2 2 12 - - 1 - 2 2 -
Source: WAPC (2020) State Lot Activity
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Figure 19: Final approvals; Rural residential and special residential Bunbury (C) Capel (S) 22
6 4 2 3 3 2 ------
Collie (S) Dardanup (S) 23 8 17 5 14 4 4 4 10 2 2 5 6 2 2 - - - - -
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) Harvey (S)
26 33
12 8 12 5 4 3 4 3 - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - -
Source: WAPC (2020) State Lot Activity
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6.3 Rural living land and dwelling supply
This section of the Assessment report provides an analysis of rural living land and dwelling supply in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. The draft Strategy supports the identification of new rural living areas contiguous or proximate to the sub-regional centre of Collie, the major towns of Capel, Donnybrook and Harvey and the towns of Balingup, Boyanup, Brunswick and Dardanup, subject to the provisions of SPP 2.5. New rural living areas are to be identified by local governments in local planning strategies and/or townsite strategies. Sections 6.3.1, 6.3.2, 6.3.3 and 6.3.4 discuss the outlook for rural living development in the shires of Capel, Collie, Dardanup and Donnybrook-Balingup respectively. Separate sections for the City of Bunbury and the Shire of Harvey have not been included, as there is no (or very little) rural living development being proposed in either LGA. 6.3.1 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Capel
The Department’s IRIS tool identified around 50 vacant lots on land zoned Special Rural under the Shire of Capel’s LPS 7 as at 30 June 2020. In addition, the Shire’s draft Local Planning Strategy (2019) identifies three areas for rural living development:
• Development area G1, Gelorup. The development area measures approximately 87 hectares in land area. It is located contiguous to the existing special residential and special rural zoned land in Gelorup. The site is currently zoned Rural under the Shire’s LPS 7. The Shire’s draft LPS 8 indicates that the site will retain its Rural zoning for the foreseeable future. The Shire’s draft Local Planning Strategy estimates an ultimate lot yield of 60. • Development area G2, Gelorup. The development area measures approximately 67 hectares in land area. It is located contiguous to the existing special rural zoned land in Gelorup. The site is currently zoned Special Rural under the Shire’s LPS 7. The Shire’s draft LPS 8 indicates that the site will be rezoned to Rural Residential, along with all other existing Special Rural zoned land. The Shire’s draft Local Planning Strategy estimates an ultimate lot yield of 50. • Development area S1, Dalyellup. The development area measures approximately 49 hectares in land area. It is located contiguous to the existing special rural zoned land in Stratham, directly north of the Dalyellup/Stratham locality border. The site is currently zoned Special Rural under the Shire’s LPS 7. The Shire’s draft LPS 8 indicates that the site will be rezoned to Rural Residential, along with all other existing Special Rural zoned land. The site is comprised of a six- hectare freehold lot and a 43 hectare freehold parent lot containing 21 survey-strata lots of roughly two hectares in area. The Shire’s draft Local Planning Strategy estimates an ultimate lot yield of 41.
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6.3.2 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Collie
The Department’s IRIS tool identified around 40 vacant lots on land zoned Rural Residential under the Shire of Collie’s LPS 5 as at 30 June 2020.
The Shire of Collie’s Local Planning Strategy (2020) sets out the Shire’s intention to provide for a diverse mix of rural residential lots (one to four hectares) and rural smallholdings lots (four to 40 hectares) with varying natural attributes. There are 12 existing rural residential areas within the Shire:
• Rural Residential Area 1, Collie. The area measures approximately 22 hectares and comprises of 18 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.6 hectares to 2.6 hectares. Lots within this area cannot be further subdivided, as this area is located outside the limit line of urban development. • Rural Residential Area 2, Collie. The area measures approximately 91 hectares and comprises of 73 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.1 hectares to 2.4 hectares. There is limited potential for some lots to be further subdivided; the Shire’s Local Planning Strategy estimates potential for five new 8,000 square metre lots to be created. • Rural Residential Area 3, Collie. The area measures approximately 59 hectares and comprises of 28 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.1 hectares to 14.6 hectares. There is limited potential for some lots to be further subdivided; the Shire’s Local Planning Strategy estimates potential for 16 new 8,000 square metre lots to be created. • Rural Residential Area 4, Collie. The area measures approximately 62 hectares and comprises of 33 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.5 hectares to 3.1 hectares. The area is located outside of the limit line of urban development, but is still within the notional one kilometre approach line of Collie. Further subdivision may be supported, subject to: o Support by the Department of Mines, Industry Regulation and Safety, that any future subdivision will not prejudice natural resource extraction; o Support by the Department of Fire and Emergency Services, that any future subdivision meets the requirements of State Planning Policy 3.7 Planning in Bushfire Prone Areas (SPP 3.7); o A subsequent amendment to the Shire’s Local Planning Strategy to outline the future subdivision potential and requirements to be addressed at future planning stages; and o The consideration of the interface with the adjoining extreme bushfire hazard on the State Forest reserve, and resolution of single access of McVee Road, are to be investigated prior to any subdivision opportunity. • Rural Residential Area 5, Allanson. The area measures approximately 26 hectares and comprises of 25 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.2 hectares to 1.4 hectares. Lots within this area cannot be further subdivided, as this area is located outside the limit line of urban development. • Rural Residential Area 6, Allanson. The area measures approximately 148 hectares and comprises of 136 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.3 hectares to 4 hectares. There is potential for further subdivision. A number of lots fronting Railway Parade and Ewing Road are around 0.4 hectares in land area, making setback requirements difficult to meet. Therefore, the Shire’s new LPS 6 will consider applying setback requirements in accordance with the R10 density code to lots under 5,000 square metres in this area. • Rural Residential Area 7, Preston Settlement. The area measures approximately 124 hectares and comprises of 40 lots. Lot sizes range from 2 hectares to 39.8 hectares. This area is not considered suitable for further subdivision, due to the extreme bushfire risk and its distance from services and facilities. • Rural Residential Area 8, Mungalup. The area measures approximately 40 hectares and comprises of 20 lots. Lot sizes range from 1 hectare to 2.4 hectares. This area is not considered suitable for further subdivision, due to the extreme bushfire risk and its distance from services and facilities. • Rural Residential Area 9, Harris River. The area measures approximately 62 hectares and comprises of 17 lots. Lot sizes range from 2.5 hectares to 4.6 hectares. This area has been fully developed according to plan, and therefore, there is no potential for further subdivision. Page 58 of 91
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• Rural Residential Area 10, Harris River. The area measures approximately 18 hectares and comprises of 9 lots. Lot sizes range from 2 hectares to 2.1 hectares. This area has been fully developed according to plan, and therefore, there is no potential for further subdivision. • Rural Residential Area 11, Collie. The area measures approximately 100 hectares and comprises of 22 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.4 hectares to 10.3 hectares. The area is controlled by the approved Hull/Harris Structure Plan, which has been partially implemented. The structure plan outlines potential for an additional 29 lots, however, it should be reviewed, in light of updated flood mapping and to ensure development meets the requirements of SPP 3.7. • Rural Residential Area 12, Collie. The area measures approximately 40 hectares and comprises of 16 lots. Lot sizes range from 0.4 hectares to 12.8 hectares. The area is controlled by the Booth Street & Steere Street Structure Plan, which outlines potential for an additional 11 lots.
In addition to the 12 existing rural residential areas, the Shire has identified two areas for future rural residential development:
• Rural Residential Planning Precinct RR1, Collie/Harris River. The precinct measures approximately 206 hectares and comprises of 14 lots. Lot sizes range from 1.3 hectares to 58.2 hectares. The precinct is currently zoned Rural 1 under the Shire’s LPS 5. The Shire’s Local Planning Strategy outlines a requirement for the preparation of a structure plan to coordinate the development of this precinct. The Shire’s Local Planning Strategy identifies a preliminary yield of 94 lots for the precinct. • Rural Residential Planning Precinct RR13, Collie. The precinct measures approximately 33 hectares and comprises of 13 lots, ranging in area from 1.8 hectares to 5.9 hectares. The precinct is currently zoned Rural 1 under the Shire’s LPS 5. There is very limited potential for the subdivision of lots not wholly covered by the floodplain. These lots are currently being utilised as residential lifestyle lots, and a rezoning to rural residential would rationalise the existing land use. Any further intensification of the precinct is subject to the provisions of SPP 3.7. The Shire’s Local Planning Strategy identifies a preliminary yield of 6 additional lots for the precinct.
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6.3.3 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Dardanup
The Department’s IRIS tool identified around 70 vacant lots on land zoned Small Holding under the Shire of Dardanup’s LPS 3 as at 30 June 2020.
The Shire of Dardanup’s Local Planning Strategy (2015) recommends the intensification of identified rural living areas through subdivision, to ensure the efficient use of land and maximising the number of rural living lots. Further subdivision of lots should be considered on a case-by-case basis, to take into account constraints that may be present. Constraints include (but are not limited to) waterlogging, bushfire threat, flooding, buffers and other environmental concerns. The Shire is in the process of preparing a new local planning scheme (draft LPS 9), which will identify areas that have been considered appropriate for further subdivision. The Shire’s rural living areas (zoned and future) are listed as follows:
• Burekup (a): There are 14 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 96 hectares. Lot sizes range between 5.5 hectares and 8.9 hectares. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone these lots to Rural Smallholdings. • Burekup (b): There are 10 lots on land zoned General Farming, covering a total land area of 66 hectares. Lot sizes range between 4 hectares and 9.5 hectares. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone these lots to Rural Smallholdings. • Crooked Brook: There are 55 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 288 hectares. Lot sizes range between 1 hectare and 44.6 hectares. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone these lots to Rural Residential. The draft LPS 9 also proposes to introduce a Special Control Area (SCA) over these lots. The SCA (SCA3, Dardanup West Rural Residential) would introduce additional provisions for the rezoning and subdivision of land for rural residential purposes. Rezoning and/or subdivision of land to create up to five new lots would be subject to the following: o The land has been identified for rural residential development in the Shire’s Local Planning Strategy. o The development proposes the creation of a maximum of five new lots. o The new lots meet the minimum lot size requirement of 1 hectare for the Rural Residential zone. o The new lots have a minimum developable area of 1,500 square metres. o The development is in accordance with the proposed road network shown on the Dardanup West/Crooked Brook Structure Plan (2007). o Provision of a local water management plan demonstrating that the land is capable of development. o Retention of native vegetation. o Provision of bushfire assessment, if required. Conversely, development that proposes the creation of six or more new lots would require a local structure plan to be approved. • Dardanup West: There are 273 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 762 hectares. Lot sizes range between 1 hectare and 44.6 hectares. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone these lots to Rural Residential. The draft LPS 9 also proposes to introduce an SCA over these lots. These lots would be included within SCA3, Dardanup West Rural Residential. • Ferguson: There are 32 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 198 hectares. Lot sizes range between 2.2 hectares and 47.9 hectares. It should be noted that Lots 141 and 142 Nyleeta Close and Lot 802 Pile Road, Ferguson, are partially zoned Small Holding.
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The portions of lots not zoned Small Holding are zoned General Farming. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone the areas zoned Small Holding to Rural Residential. • Henty: There are 32 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 175 hectares. Lot sizes range between 2 hectares and 48 hectares. It should be noted that Lot 51 Eastern Rise, Henty, is partially zoned Small Holding. The portion of lot not zoned Small Holding is zoned General Farming. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone the area zoned Small Holding to Rural Residential. • Waterloo: There are 25 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 75 hectares. Lot sizes range between 1.8 hectares and 15 hectares. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone the areas zoned Small Holding to Rural Residential. • Wellington Mill: There are 33 lots on land zoned Small Holding, covering a total land area of 235 hectares. Lot sizes range between 2 hectares and 79.4 hectares. It should be noted that Lot 1393 Wellington Mill Road, Wellington Mill, is partially zoned Small Holding. The portion of lot not zoned Small Holding is zoned General Farming. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone the areas zoned Small Holding to Rural Residential. In addition, Lots 2820, 2821, 2822, 2823 and 4359 Panizza Road, Dardanup, are currently zoned General Farming. The land area of these lots range between 4.1 hectares and 7.3 hectares. These lots are considered unsuitable for agricultural use, due to their land area and location. The Shire’s draft LPS 9 proposes to rezone these lots to Rural Smallholdings to rationalise their existing uses. The following lots have approved local structure plans in place and can be further subdivided:
• Lot 9501 Holland Loop, Crooked Brook: Approved structure plan allows for the creation of 14 new lots. • Lot 175 Padbury Road, Dardanup West: Approved structure plan allows for the creation of 10 new lots. • Lots 800 and 9003 Killarney Road, Dardanup West: Approved structure plan allows for the creation of 17 new lots. • Lot 1393 Wellington Mill Road, Wellington Mill: Approved structure plan allows for the creation of three new lots on the portion of lot zoned Small Holding.
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6.3.4 Rural living development outlook; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup
The Department’s IRIS tool identified around 50 vacant lots on land zoned Rural Residential under the Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup’s LPS 7 as at 30 June 2020.
The Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup’s LPS 7 identifies a number of development investigation areas for rural living purposes. A local structure plan is required to be approved prior to development. The development investigation areas are listed as follows:
• Development Investigation Area 1: Lots 2 and 384 Marshall Road, Argyle. The site’s land area is 33 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. The structure plan is required to address the following: o Native vegetation o Building envelopes o Provision of safe access to the existing local road network o Fire management. • Development Investigation Area 3: Lots 9 and 10 Hurst Road, Argyle. The site’s land area is 17 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. The structure plan is required to address the following: o Appropriate interface and road connections with adjoining rural residential development o Native vegetation o Building envelopes o Provision of safe access to the existing local road network o Fire management o Investigate the potential for a minimum lot size of 5,000 square metres o On-site buffer to adjoining agricultural land. • Development Investigation Area 4: Lot 2643 Bendall Road, Argyle. The site’s land area is 16 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. The structure plan is required to address the following: o Appropriate interface and road connections with adjoining rural residential development o Native vegetation o Building envelopes o Provision of safe access to the existing local road network o Fire management o Investigate the potential for a minimum lot size of 5,000 square metres o On-site buffer to adjoining agricultural land. • Development Investigation Area 7: Lots 3 and 4 Cemetery Road, Upper Capel. The site’s land area is 33 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. Investigations are required to assess the capability and suitability of land for rural residential development. The matters listed below are to be considered in any such investigation: o Pedestrian and vehicular movement systems that facilitate accessibility and integrate with existing development o Public open space provision o Landscaping and vegetation plan o Provision of on-site buffer to adjoining agricultural land o Effluent disposal and servicing o Development contributions o Protection of native vegetation o Fire management measures. • Development Investigation Area 9: Lots bounded by Donnybrook-Boyup Brook Road, South Western Highway, Hackett Road, Montgomery Road and Frost Road. The site’s land area is 72 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. Investigations are required to assess the capability and suitability of land for industrial/composite industrial and rural smallholdings. The matters listed below are to be considered in any such investigation: Page 62 of 91
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o Interface between existing and future industrial and residential land use, including appropriate buffer distances o Effluent disposal and servicing o vehicular access to existing industrial area and major arterial roads o landscaping and vegetation plan o drainage management. • Development Investigation Area 16: Lot 6364 Jayes Road, Balingup. The site’s land area is 10 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. The structure plan is required to address the following: o Appropriate interface and road connections with adjoining rural residential development o Protection of native vegetation o Identification of building envelopes within larger lots to protect vegetation o Provision of safe access to existing local road network o Fire management measures o Provision of on-site buffer to adjoining agricultural land o Appropriate buffers to the Balingup Brook. • Development Investigation Area 17: Lot 62 South Western Highway, Balingup. The site’s land area is 15 hectares. It is currently zoned General Agriculture. Investigations are required to assess the capability and suitability of land for rural smallholdings development. The matters listed below are to be considered in any such investigation: o provision of on-site buffer to adjoining agricultural land o interface with the Balingup Brook o pedestrian and vehicular movement systems that facilitate accessibility and integrate with the Balingup townsite o public open space provision o landscaping and vegetation plan o visual impact assessment o urban water management o fire management measures o development contributions o flood risk o width and tenure of foreshore reserves.
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7 Industrial land 7.1 Land zoned for industrial purposes under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme
At 31 October 2020, there was a stock of 3,900 hectares of land zoned Industrial under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme (GBRS). The majority of this stock is in the Shire of Harvey (2,240 hectares), followed by the City of Bunbury (740 hectares), Shire of Dardanup (570 hectares) and the Shire of Capel (360 hectares). In addition, there was a stock of 310 hectares of land zoned Industrial Deferred under the GBRS. The majority of this stock is in the Shire of Dardanup (260 hectares), followed by the City of Bunbury (50 hectares). Table 28 shows the stock of Industrial and Industrial Deferred zoned land under the GBRS by LGA and locality/suburb.
Table 28: Land zoned industrial and industrial deferred under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme; 31 October 2020 Region scheme zone Local government Locality/suburb Industrial deferred Total (ha) area Industrial (ha) (ha) Davenport 450 - 450 Pelican Point 10 - 10 Bunbury (C) Picton 280 50 330 Total 740 50 780 Capel 360 - 360 Capel (S) Total 360 - 360 Dardanup West 150 - 150 Picton East 350 260 610 Dardanup (S) Waterloo 70 - 70 Total 570 260 830 Australind 20 - 20 Brunswick 40 - 40 Harvey 30 - 30 Harvey (S) Leschenault 40 - 40 Wellesley 2,070 - 2,070 Total 2,240 - 2,240 Source: DPLH (2020) Amendment No. 0060/41 to the GBRS seeks to transfer approximately 1,350 hectares of land from the Rural zone to the Industrial Deferred zone, to facilitate future industrial development at the Waterloo Industrial Expansion Area. As at 31 October 2020, this amendment is open for public comment, with submissions closing on 14 December 2020.
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7.2 Land zoned for industrial purposes under local planning schemes
This section of the Assessment report discusses the development status of lots on land zoned for industrial purposes under local planning schemes.
Table 29 shows the supply of lots on land zoned for industrial purposes under local planning schemes by development status. Overall, as at 30 June 2020, there were approximately 1,200 lots on land zoned for industrial purposes in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, covering a total land area of 3,270 hectares. Approximately 1,850 hectares (57 per cent) was classified as developed; 400 hectares (10 hectares) was classified as undeveloped; and 1,020 hectares (31 per cent) was classified as unrated.
Table 29: Development status of lots on land zoned for industrial purposes; 30 June 2020 Lot count Area (ha) Developed Undeveloped Unrated Developed Undeveloped Unrated General 30 - 10 170 60 10 industry Industrial 10 10 - 30 210 20 Bunbury (C) development Light 510 60 50 240 50 20 industry Total 550 80 60 430 330 50 Light 40 10 - 10 - - Capel (S) industry Total 40 10 - 10 - - General - - - 10 - - industry Light and Collie (S) service 50 30 - 20 20 - industry Total 60 30 - 30 20 - General 20 10 - 140 10 10 industry Dardanup (S) Light 60 30 - 30 10 - industry Total 80 40 - 170 20 10 General 10 - 10 10 - 120 industry Donnybrook- Light Balingup (S) 40 - - 20 - - industry Total 50 10 10 30 - 120 General 40 - 10 60 - 50 industry Light 50 10 10 70 - - industry Kemerton Harvey (S) ancillary - - - 170 - - industry Kemerton strategic 10 - 50 870 30 780 industry Total 100 10 70 1,170 30 840 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Regional Information System In addition to the above stocks, land may be zoned Special Use which are occupied by industrial uses, or intended to be developed for industrial purposes. The land occupied by Iluka Resources Ltd’s operations in the Shire of Capel is zoned Special Use under the Shire of Capel’s LPS 7. The Shotts Strategic Industrial Area in the Shire of Collie is zoned Special Use under the Shire of Collie’s LPS 5.
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7.3 Industrial subdivision activity
Over the decade to 30 June 2020, a total of 280 lots were granted preliminary approval for industrial subdivision in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. During the same period, 80 lots were granted final approval (i.e. certificates of title issued and lots created) for industrial subdivision. Table 30 and Table 31show the number of lots granted preliminary and final approval for industrial subdivision in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region.
Table 30: Preliminary approvals; Industrial Bunbury Dardanup Donnybrook- Capel (S) Collie (S) Harvey (S) Total (C) (S) Balingup (S) 2010-11 28 - - 2 - 25 55 2011-12 2 - - - - - 2 2012-13 6 - - 1 - 145 152 2013-14 5 - - - - - 5 2014-15 4 - 1 2 - 1 8 2015-16 30 - - 3 - 2 35 2016-17 4 - - 1 - 8 13 2017-18 3 - - - - 2 5 2018-19 1 2 - - - - 3 2019-20 5 - - - - 1 6 Total 88 2 1 9 - 184 284 Source: DPLH (2020) State Lot Activity
Table 31: Final approvals; Industrial Bunbury Dardanup Donnybrook- Capel (S) Collie (S) Harvey (S) Total (C) (S) Balingup (S) 2010-11 3 - - 1 - 2 6 2011-12 6 - 8 1 - 2 17 2012-13 5 - - 1 - - 6 2013-14 - - - - - 1 1 2014-15 8 - 1 - - - 9 2015-16 8 - - - - - 8 2016-17 9 - - - - - 9 2017-18 2 - - 2 - 2 6 2018-19 4 - - 1 - - 5 2019-20 7 - - - - 3 10 Total 52 - 9 6 - 10 76 Source: DPLH (2020) State Lot Activity
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7.4 Industrial building approvals
The ABS publishes data on building approvals by type of building, according to its Functional Classification of Buildings. The ABS determines the type of building by its intended predominant function.
Table 32 to Table 37 show the total value of industrial building approvals for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region from 2012-13 to 2019-20. The total value of industrial buildings approved for construction during this period was over $172 million, with the City of Bunbury and the Shire of Harvey accounting for 40 per cent and 41 per cent respectively.
Note: Figures shown in Table 32 to Table 37 is for total sectors (private sector and public sector) and total work (new, alterations and additions and conversions).
Table 32: Industrial building approvals; City of Bunbury Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 $1,325,000 $5,088,000 - - $6,413,000 2013-14 $2,792,000 $1,291,000 $7,024,000 $2,486,000 $13,593,000 2014-15 $3,574,000 $3,620,000 - - $7,195,000 2015-16 - $4,516,000 - - $4,516,000 2016-17 $635,000 $9,332,000 - $252,000 $10,219,000 2017-18 $2,021,000 $6,175,000 - $150,000 $8,346,000 2018-19 $152,000 $3,566,000 - - $3,718,000 2019-20 $3,510,000 $2,143,000 $141,000 $7,595,000 $15,190,000 Total $14,009,000 $35,731,000 $7,165,000 $10,483,000 $69,190,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 33: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Capel Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 $68,000 - $90,000 - $158,000 2013-14 - - $864,000 $60,000 $924,000 2014-15 - - $502,000 $200,000 $702,000 2015-16 - - $361,000 $120,000 $481,000 2016-17 - - $404,000 $65,000 $469,000 2017-18 - - $248,000 $230,000 $478,000 2018-19 - - $53,000 $400,000 $453,000 2019-20 - - $274,000 - $274,000 Total $68,000 - $2,796,000 $1,075,000 $3,939,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 34: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Collie Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 - - - $450,000 $450,000 2013-14 - - - - - 2014-15 - - - $75,000 $75,000 2015-16 $300,000 $1,630,000 - - $1,930,000 2016-17 - - - - - 2017-18 $180,000 - - $120,000 $300,000 Page 67 of 91
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2018-19 - - - - - 2019-20 - $101,000 $70,000 - $171,000 Total $480,000 $1,731,000 $70,000 $645,000 $2,926,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 35: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Dardanup Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 $4,400,000 - $577,000 $927,000 $5,904,000 2013-14 $3,765,000 $142,000 $607,000 - $4,514,000 2014-15 $3,698,000 $953,000 $221,000 $111,000 $4,983,000 2015-16 $1,090,000 $858,000 $75,000 $90,000 $2,113,000 2016-17 $1,168,000 - $384,000 $170,000 $1,722,000 2017-18 $80,000 $390,000 $127,000 $193,000 $790,000 2018-19 - - $1,356,000 $874,000 $2,231,000 2019-20 $237,000 $235,000 - $725,000 $1,198,000 Total $14,438,000 $2,578,000 $3,347,000 $3,090,000 $23,455,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 36: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 - - $217,000 - $217,000 2013-14 - - - $50,000 $50,000 2014-15 - - $131,000 - $131,000 2015-16 - - - - - 2016-17 - - - - - 2017-18 $180,000 - $100,000 - $280,000 2018-19 - $80,000 $294,000 $133,000 $507,000 2019-20 - $288,000 $289,000 - $577,000 Total $180,000 $368,000 $1,031,000 $183,000 $1,762,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 37: Industrial building approvals; Shire of Harvey Factories and Agricultural and other secondary Other industrial Warehouses aquacultural Total production buildings n.e.c. buildings buildings 2012-13 - $2,550,000 - $618,000 $3,168,000 2013-14 $538,000 $525,000 $1,260,000 $353,000 $2,676,000 2014-15 $450,000 $695,000 $100,000 $3,134,000 $4,379,000 2015-16 $218,000 $20,155,000 $452,000 $595,000 $21,421,000 2016-17 $1,420,000 $254,000 $537,000 $80,000 $2,292,000 2017-18 $595,000 $618,000 - $100,000 $1,313,000 2018-19 $65,000 $259,000 $151,000 $32,381,000 $32,855,000 2019-20 $2,375,000 - - $907,000 $3,282,000 Total $5,661,000 $25,056,000 $2,500,000 $38,168,000 $71,386,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
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7.5 Industrial floor space
The Department undertakes the Land Use and Employment Survey (LUES) to better understand land use and employment dynamics. The LUES is a survey of all commercial, industrial, public purpose and recreation land uses (i.e. employment generating land). The LUES is undertaken in the Perth metropolitan and Peel regions and selected regional areas. It involves the survey of every business establishment to collect information relating to land use and employment, including the type of activities conducted by businesses, how much floor space the activity occupies, and how many people are employed in each activity.
A total of 1,098,140 square metres of floor space (i.e. net nettable area) on industrial complexes was recorded by the 2018 LUES of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. Most were within the City of Bunbury (66 per cent), followed by the Shire of Harvey (13 per cent) and the Shire of Dardanup (11 per cent).
The planning land use categories that accounted for the greatest share of floor space are storage/distribution (36 per cent), service industry (25 per cent) and office/business (14 per cent).
Table 38: Floor space/net lettable area on industrial complexes by planning land use category; 2018; Shire of City of Shire of Shire of Shire of Shire of Planning land Donnybrook- Total Bunbury Capel Collie Dardanup Harvey use category Balingup (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) Entertainment/ recreation/ 7,349 - 960 - - 510 8,819 culture Health/ welfare/ 2,376 - - - - 837 3,213 community services Manufacturing/ processing/ 25,703 2,616 1,149 32,249 600 51,641 113,958 fabrication Office/business 104,924 4,527 2,998 15,949 1,770 13,087 143,255 Primary/rural 28,730 162 - 174 250 7,245 36,561 Residential 352 - 258 - 250 - 860 Other retail 5,606 - 429 2,535 400 1,720 10,690 Service 175,118 29,073 18,322 34,449 6,100 14,957 278,019 industry Shop/retail 9,393 150 30 - 454 20 10,047 Storage/ 294,326 15,562 4,440 35,098 8,810 40,443 398,679 distribution Utilities/ 9,750 - 2,231 1,028 450 4,481 17,940 communication Vacant floor 57,582 3,745 5,173 2,625 3,170 3,803 76,098 area Total 721,209 55,835 35,990 124,107 22,254 138,744 1,098,139 Source: DPLH (2019) Land Use and Employment Survey; South West Region
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7.6 Industrial development outlook
Economic conditions and population growth interact to drive demand for industrial land. After a sustained period of strong demand for industrial land in WA (as indicated by high volumes of industrial lot sales and building approvals), conditions softened substantially in the wake of the mining construction boom.
Population growth is an important driver of demand for industrial land. A growing population adds to the demand for goods and services, stimulating economic growth and the need for additional industrial or employment generating land.
High levels of economic growth and productivity will result in an increased demand for land and industrial activity. The cyclical nature of economic growth can make short-term predictions difficult. Therefore, long-term predictions generally provide a more accurate reflection of demand.
Therefore, a substantial industrial land bank should be identified to create flexible market choice, respond to short-term hyper growth situations and for emerging and inward investment opportunities. Industrial land use planning is a complex process, which must begin well in advance (often 30 years ahead of need). Industrial land use planning takes place within a highly dynamic market. Unlike residential land use planning, it requires proximity to raw materials, major transport systems and workforce catchments.
The South West Region is different in terms of economic drivers and employment to the Perth metropolitan and Peel regions. The industrial land mix and the proportion of industrial land per capita are much higher and have greater importance within the region for economic sustainability.
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7.6.1 Light and general industry
The Department’s IRIS tool identified around 140 vacant lots on land zoned for light industry purposes under local planning schemes, as at 30 June 2020. These lots cover a total land area of 90 hectares. The locality of Davenport contains around 40 vacant lots, followed by Picton East (30 lots) and Collie (30 lots). The rate at which vacant lots will be taken up is highly uncertain, and entirely dependent on market conditions.
When demand for more light industrial lots materialise, subdivision at the following sites could be progressed:
• Lot 416 Halifax Drive and Lot 9 Clifford Street, Davenport. Located at the south east corner of the Halifax Industrial Park, this site is approximately 7.7 hectares in area. Part of the site is bushfire prone, which may affect the ultimate lot yield and configuration. • Australind Light Industrial Area. The site is relatively free of constraints. Development could be progressed at short notice, should demand arise. As the Halifax Industrial Park is close to being fully developed, the Australind Light Industrial Area is the next major light industrial area within the Bunbury SUA.
Planning for the Preston Industrial Park (northern and southern precincts) are underway. The Preston Industrial Park covers a land area of approximately 2,950 hectares. The northern precinct is expected to facilitate the creation of an estimated 1,130 jobs when development is complete. The pace at which planning and development progresses will depend on market conditions, however, it is logical for the development of Preston Industrial Park to be progressed following the rounding out of industrial development at Davenport, Australind and the established parts of Picton.
The Waterloo Industrial Park covers approximately 1,350 hectares of land. It has the potential to be a major hub of employment, and could facilitate the creation of an estimated 4,500 jobs. Amendment No. 0060/41 to the GBRS seeks to transfer approximately 1,350 hectares of land from the Rural zone to the Industrial Deferred zone, to facilitate future industrial development at the Waterloo Industrial Expansion Area. As at 31 October 2020, this amendment is open for public comment, with submissions closing on 14 December 2020.
The stocks of land available for industrial expansion in the sub-region is considered sufficient to meet needs into the medium to long-term. Although the take-up rate of land for industrial development in the sub-region has been slow, it must be considered in the context of market conditions. It is essential that the supply of land for industrial development is sufficient to support the sub-region’s population and economic growth.
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7.6.2 Strategic industry
Strategic industrial areas (SIAs) are designed for use by strategic and heavy industries that generate large investment, employment and value of production for Western Australia. SIAs are generally located in proximity to large resource projects and infrastructure such as roads, rail and ports. There are two SIAs in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region.
The Kemerton SIA is within the Shire of Harvey, approximately 17 kilometres north east of Bunbury. The Kemerton SIA is designed for strategic and downstream processing industries in the South West Region. It is connected to the Port of Bunbury by road.
The industrial core of the Kemerton SIA is zoned Kemerton Strategic Industry under the Shire of Harvey’s LPS 1, while the support industry area is zoned Kemerton Ancillary Industry. Several industries already operate within the Kemerton SIA. Existing land uses include lithium hydroxide processing, silica sand, silicon, titanium dioxide, chlor-alkali, oxygen and nitrogen production and power plants.
The Shotts SIA is within the Shire of Collie, approximately 7.5 kilometres east of Collie. It has been created to attract and support large scale industries which will grow Collie and the surrounding region. The Shotts SIA is suitable for downstream processing industries, energy and coal production and potentially heavy industrial use. The Shotts SIA is zoned Special Use (SU11) under the Shire of Collie’s LPS 5.
Land in the Kemerton and Shotts SIAs are available for long-term lease. The draft Strategy plans to support investment in the Kemerton and Shotts SIAs, and facilitate proposals in accordance with relevant planning instruments.
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8 Commercial land 8.1 Land zoned Regional Centre under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme
At 31 October 2020, there was a stock of 80 hectares of land zoned Regional Centre under the Greater Bunbury Region Scheme. The entirety of this stock is located in the suburb of Bunbury.
8.2 Land zoned for commercial purposes under local planning schemes
This section of the Assessment report discusses the development status of lots on land zoned for commercial purposes under local planning schemes.
Table 39 shows the supply of lots on land zoned for commercial purposes under local planning schemes by development status. Overall, as at 30 June 2020, there were approximately 1,800 lots on land zoned for commercial purposes in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, covering a total land area of 570 hectares. Approximately 250 hectares (45 per cent) was classified as developed; 50 hectares (8 per cent) was classified as undeveloped; and 270 hectares (47 per cent was classified as unrated.
Table 39: Development status of lots on land zoned for commercial purposes; 30 June 2020 Lot count Area (ha) Developed Undeveloped Unrated Developed Undeveloped Unrated District centre 10 - - 10 - - Local centre 40 10 - - - - Mixed use 160 10 30 20 - - commercial Neighbourhood 10 - - - - - centre Bunbury (C) Regional 430 20 80 40 - 10 centre Service 280 30 40 60 10 20 commercial Tourism 50 10 10 20 10 - Total 970 80 170 150 20 30 Town centre 60 - 10 10 - - Capel (S) Total 60 - 10 10 - - Town centre 110 10 20 10 - - Collie (S) Total 110 10 20 10 - - Business – 10 - - - - - commercial District centre - - - 10 - - Dardanup (S) Mixed business 30 - - - - - Mixed use ------Tourist - - - - - 80 Total 40 10 10 10 - 80 Commercial 140 10 20 20 - - Donnybrook- Tourist 10 - 10 10 - 140 Balingup (S) Total 140 10 30 30 - 140 Office 10 - - - - - Other commercial – 20 10 - 10 10 - Harvey (S) showroom Shop 60 10 10 10 - - Tourist 10 - 10 30 10 10 Total 100 30 20 40 20 10 Source: DPLH (2020) Integrated Regional Information System
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8.3 Commercial subdivision activity
Over the decade to 30 June 2020, a total of 142 lots were granted preliminary approval for commercial subdivision in the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. During the same period, 89 lots were granted final approval (i.e. certificates of title issued and lots created) for commercial subdivision. Table 40 and Table 41 show the number of lots granted preliminary and final approval for commercial subdivision in the sub- region.
Subdivision activity is less critical to commercial development than it is to residential or industrial projects. It is common for large-scale commercial developments to take place on single, large lots. Therefore, subdivision activity and lot creation must be examined in conjunction with other variables to determine demand for commercial land and/or floor space.
Table 40: Preliminary approvals; Commercial Bunbury Dardanup Donnybrook- Capel (S) Collie (S) Harvey (S) Total (C) (S) Balingup (S) 2010-11 5 2 - - 2 6 15 2011-12 8 - - - - - 8 2012-13 2 - - - 1 - 3 2013-14 1 - - - - 22 23 2014-15 7 - 2 1 - 1 11 2015-16 8 - - 1 4 - 13 2016-17 1 8 - - - 3 12 2017-18 1 1 - - - 11 13 2018-19 6 - - - - 2 8 2019-20 - 8 1 - 10 17 36 Total 39 19 3 2 17 62 142 Source: DPLH (2020) State Lot Activity
Table 41: Final approvals; Commercial Bunbury Dardanup Donnybrook- Capel (S) Collie (S) Harvey (S) Total (C) (S) Balingup (S) 2010-11 5 - - - 2 6 13 2011-12 4 2 - - - 1 7 2012-13 1 - - - - 10 11 2013-14 3 - - - - - 3 2014-15 8 - - 1 - - 9 2015-16 8 - 1 1 1 - 11 2016-17 8 - - - - - 8 2017-18 2 - - - - - 2 2018-19 2 - - - - 5 7 2019-20 2 8 - - - 8 18 Total 43 10 1 2 3 30 89 Source: DPLH (2020) State Lot Activity
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8.4 Commercial building approvals
Table 42 to Table 47 show the total value of commercial building approvals for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region from 2012-13 to 2019-20. The total value of commercial buildings approved for construction during this period was over $369 million, with the City of Bunbury and the Shire of Dardanup accounting for 43 per cent and 23 per cent respectively.
Note: Figures shown in Table 42 to Table 47 is for total sectors (private sector and public sector) and total work (new, alterations and additions and conversions).
Table 42: Commercial building approvals; City of Bunbury Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 $14,847,000 $3,240,000 $75,000 - $18,163,000 2013-14 $6,579,000 $7,721,000 - $660,000 $14,960,000 2014-15 $10,467,000 $3,397,000 $318,000 - $14,183,000 2015-16 $21,150,000 $5,981,000 $5,447,000 - $32,578,000 2016-17 $12,447,000 $7,675,000 $127,000 - $20,249,000 2017-18 $7,419,000 $9,171,000 $125,000 - $16,716,000 2018-19 $3,228,000 $8,702,000 $367,000 $1,700,000 $13,997,000 2019-20 $26,337,000 $1,059,000 - - $27,396,000 Total $102,474,000 $46,946,000 $6,459,000 $2,360,000 $158,242,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 43: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Capel Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 - - - - - 2013-14 $32,800,000 - - - $32,800,000 2014-15 $789,000 $2,714,000 - - $3,502,000 2015-16 $5,416,000 - - - $5,416,000 2016-17 $100,000 - $150,000 $2,100,000 $2,350,000 2017-18 - - - $65,000 $65,000 2018-19 $51,000 $436,000 - - $487,000 2019-20 $361,000 - - - $361,000 Total $39,517,000 $3,150,000 $150,000 $2,165,000 $44,981,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 44: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Collie Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 - - - - - 2013-14 $225,000 $333,000 - - $558,000 2014-15 $229,000 $247,000 - - $476,000 2015-16 $1,495,000 - - - $1,495,000 2016-17 $4,075,000 $55,000 - - $4,130,000 2017-18 $274,000 - - - $274,000 2018-19 - - - - - 2019-20 - $248,000 - - $248,000 Total $6,298,000 $883,000 - - $7,181,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
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Table 45: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Dardanup Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 - - - - - 2013-14 $63,533,000 $2,050,000 - - $65,583,000 2014-15 $4,101,000 $3,062,000 - - $7,163,000 2015-16 $3,996,000 - - $53,000 $4,049,000 2016-17 $1,994,000 $281,000 - - $2,275,000 2017-18 $1,941,000 $50,000 - - $1,991,000 2018-19 $3,240,000 $1,407,000 - - $4,647,000 2019-20 $668,000 $170,000 - - $839,000 Total $79,473,000 $7,020,000 - - $86,547,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 46: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 - $360,000 - - $360,000 2013-14 - - - - - 2014-15 - - - - - 2015-16 - - - - - 2016-17 $343,000 - - - $343,000 2017-18 $50,000 - - - $50,000 2018-19 $50,000 $232,000 - - $282,000 2019-20 $3,208,000 $69,000 - - $3,277,000 Total $3,651,000 $661,000 - - $4,312,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
Table 47: Commercial building approvals; Shire of Harvey Retail and Transport Commercial wholesale trade Offices Total buildings buildings n.e.c. buildings 2012-13 $3,350,000 - $205,000 - $3,555,000 2013-14 $854,000 $250,000 - - $1,104,000 2014-15 $12,036,000 $1,052,000 - $120,000 $13,208,000 2015-16 $20,039,000 $688,000 - - $20,728,000 2016-17 $2,861,000 - - $1,145,000 $4,006,000 2017-18 $2,417,000 $91,000 $350,000 $3,479,000 $6,337,000 2018-19 $5,780,000 $2,909,000 - - $8,689,000 2019-20 $7,656,000 $2,714,000 - - $10,370,000 Total $54,993,000 $7,704,000 $555,000 $4,744,000 $67,997,000 Source: ABS (2020) Building Approvals, Australia
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8.5 Commercial floor space
A total of 853,143 square metres of floor space (i.e. net nettable area) on commercial complexes was recorded by the 2018 LUES of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region. Most were within the City of Bunbury (63 per cent), followed by the Shire of Harvey (15 per cent) and the Shire of Collie (7 per cent).
The planning land use categories that accounted for the greatest share of floor space are shop/retail (27 per cent), office/business (17 per cent) and vacant floor space (11 per cent).
Shire of City of Shire of Shire of Shire of Shire of Planning land Donnybrook- Total Bunbury Capel Collie Dardanup Harvey use category Balingup (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) (m2) Entertainment/ recreation/ 33,703 4,290 3,364 1,678 3,302 2,662 48,999 culture Health/ welfare/ 18,039 863 1,139 1,563 32 3,570 25,206 community services Manufacturing/ processing/ 4,622 631 465 170 280 30,656 36,824 fabrication Office/business 108,153 2,670 9,448 11,337 4,430 9,657 145,695 Primary/rural 1,095 - - - - - 1,095 Residential 44,445 3,757 11,148 3,012 3,574 6,896 72,832 Other retail 31,287 551 3,037 1,992 350 17,295 54,512 Service 46,492 978 3,609 2,007 2,351 3,778 59,215 industry Shop/retail 142,601 8,535 18,408 22,368 9,060 31,853 232,825 Storage/ 35,627 1,330 2,443 2,517 13,236 15,605 70,758 distribution Utilities/ 6,782 90 403 44 1,830 261 9,410 communication Vacant floor 64,655 9,507 7,539 1,656 4,752 7,663 95,772 area Total 537,501 33,202 61,003 48,344 43,197 129,896 853,143
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8.6 Commercial development outlook
8.6.1 Greater Bunbury
WAPC’s Activity Centres for Greater Bunbury Policy (2012) applies to the LGAs of the City of Bunbury and the shires of Capel, Dardanup and Harvey (collectively known as ‘Greater Bunbury’). The policy specifies broad planning requirements for the planning and development of new activity centres, as well as the redevelopment and renewal of existing activity centres. The policy establishes an activity centre hierarchy, to meet different levels of community needs and enable employment, goods and services to be accessed efficiently and equitably by the community.
City centre Bunbury CBD
For the purpose of this Assessment, the Bunbury CBD is deemed to include all land zoned Regional Centre under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8. At 30 June 2020, there were 530 lots on land zoned Regional Centre, covering a total land area of 50 hectares. Of the 530 lots, 20 lots (covering a total land area of 2 hectares) were classified as undeveloped.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 16,871 square metres of vacant floor space within the ‘Bunbury CBD’ commercial complex. This accounts for nine per cent of total floor space within the ‘Bunbury CBD’ commercial complex.
The City of Bunbury’s Local Planning Strategy (2018) identifies a potential doubling in the operational capacity of the Bunbury CBD. The Strategy sets out an intent to promote and facilitate up to a doubling of floor space in the Bunbury CBD, commensurate with future regional and city population growth and increased tourism.
Development at Lots 40 to 45 Holman Street, Bunbury (Koombana North) will add to the stock of commercial floor space in the Bunbury CBD. The development provides for approximately 4,015 square metres of commercial floor space for a mix of restaurant/café, retail and commercial/office purpose.
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District centres Bunbury Forum
The Bunbury Forum district centre is located on Sandridge Road, East Bunbury. At 30 June 2020, there were eight lots on land zoned District Centre in East Bunbury under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8, covering a total land area of 11 hectares. All lots were classified as developed.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 4,890 square metres of vacant floor space within the ‘Bunbury Forum’ commercial complex. This accounts for 19 per cent of total floor space within the ‘Bunbury Forum’ commercial complex.
Dalyellup
The Dalyellup district centre is located on Norton Promenade, Dalyellup. It occupies approximately 29 hectares of land zoned Urban Development under the Shire of Capel’s LPS 7 that is designated as ‘Centre’ under the East Dalyellup Structure Plan.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 1,115 square metres of vacant floor space within the ‘Dalyellup’ commercial complex. This accounts for 12 per cent of total floor space within the ‘Dalyellup’ commercial complex.
Development of the Dalyellup district centre is partly progressed. When complete, it will provide significant retail, business and community services for the surrounding areas of Dalyellup, Gelorup and Stratham. Current estimates for the retail core of the Dalyellup district centre indicates that there will ultimately be a need for up to 20,000 square metres of retail floor space.
Eaton Fair
The Eaton Fair district centre is located on Recreation Drive, Eaton. At 30 June 2020, there was one lot on land zoned District Centre under the Shire of Dardanup’s LPS 3, covering a total land area of seven hectares. The lot was classified as developed.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 1,312 square metres of vacant floor space within the ‘Hands Ave/Eaton’ commercial complex. This accounts for six per cent of total floor space within the ‘Hands Ave/Eaton’ commercial complex.
Planning is in place for the expansion of the Eaton Fair district centre. On 6 May 2020, WAPC approved an amendment to the Eaton Fair Activity Centre Plan. The amendment proposed to:
• increase the amount of shop/retail floor space within the ‘Core’ precinct from 23,344 square metres to 32,744 square metres • increase the total commercial floor space within the ‘Core’, ‘Frame’, ‘Civic and Community’ and ‘Mixed Business’ precincts from 27,017 square metres to 59,454 square metres.
Parks Centre
The Parks Centre district centre is located on Brittain Road, Carey Park. At 30 June 2020, there was one lot on land zoned District Centre in Carey Park under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8, covering a total land area of three hectares. The lot was classified as developed.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 200 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Carey Pk/Crosslands’ commercial complex. This accounts for two per cent of total floor space within the ‘Carey Pk/Crosslands’ commercial complex.
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Treendale
The Treendale district centre is located on the Promenade, Australind. It occupies approximately 12 hectares of land zoned Residential Development under the Shire of Harvey’s LPS 1 that is designated as ‘Commercial’, ‘Service Commercial’ and ‘Mixed Use’ under the Treendale District Centre Structure Plan.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 1,316 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Australind Town Centre’ commercial complex. This accounts for four per cent of total floor space within the ‘Australind Town Centre’ commercial complex.
Development of the Treendale district centre is partly progressed. When complete, it will provide for 20,000 square metres of retail floor space and 16,550 square metres of office/medical, mixed use, food/entertainment and other uses.
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Neighbourhood centres Australind
The Australind neighbourhood centre is located on Mulgara Street, Australind. At 30 June 2020, there were two lots on land zoned Shop (covering a total land area of one hectare) and three lots on land zoned Office (covering a total land area of one hectare) under the Shire of Harvey’s LPS 1. In addition, there are two lots on land zoned Special Use, covering a total land area of four hectares. All lots were classified as developed.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 1,825 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Australind Village’ commercial complex. This accounts for 16 per cent of total floor space within the ‘Australind Village’ commercial complex.
There is very limited potential for the expansion of the Australind neighbourhood centre. The Shire of Harvey’s Local Planning Strategy states that any expansion would need to be vertical, and would require the provision of additional parking, which is currently at capacity. Although vertical expansion may be unviable at present, an increase in the number of permissible uses could be achieved through the rezoning of lots to the Commercial zone under the Shire’s new local planning scheme (LPS 2). In the longer term, the retail capacity of the Australind neighbourhood centre may be able to be increased through appropriate mixed use development of Lot 210 Mulgara Street, Australind.
Bunbury City Plaza
The Bunbury City Plaza neighbourhood centre is located on Spencer Street, South Bunbury. At 30 June 2020, there were eight lots on land zoned Neighbourhood Centre under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8, covering a total land area of two hectares. Of the eight lots, one lot was classified as undeveloped, however, it is currently being used as car parking.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 12,831 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Spencer St’ commercial complex. This accounts for 14 per cent of total floor space within the ‘Spencer St’ commercial complex.
Glen Iris/Moorlands
The City of Bunbury’s Local Planning Strategy identifies Glen Iris/Moorlands (located on Vittoria Road, Glen Iris) as a future neighbourhood centre. Three lots have been zoned Local Centre (covering a total land area of one hectare) under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8.
Kingston
Lot 9020 Kingston Dr, Australind has been set aside for a local shopping centre under the Kingston Structure Plan. The lot is three hectares in area and is yet to be developed. The Kingston Structure Plan provides for up to 4,500 square metres of net lettable area for a mixture of retail and/or office land uses.
Minninup Forum
The Minninup Forum neighbourhood centre is located on Island Queen Street, Withers. At 30 June 2020, there were four lots on land zoned Neighbourhood Centre under the City of Bunbury’s LPS 8, covering a total land area of two hectares. All lots were classified as developed.
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Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 509 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Minninup Forum’ commercial complex. This accounts for 10 per cent of total floor space within the ‘Minninup Forum’ commercial complex.
Town centres Capel
Within the Capel town centre, there were 38 lots on land zoned Town Centre under the Shire of Capel’s LPS 7 as at 30 June 2020, covering a total land area of 10 hectares. Of the 38 lots, two were classified as undeveloped (total land area of 0.2 hectares).
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 7,389 of vacant floor space in the ‘Capel Town Centre’ commercial complex. This accounts for 53 per cent of total floor space in the ‘Capel Town Centre’ commercial complex.
Dardanup
Within the Dardanup town centre, there were seven lots on land zoned Business – Commercial under the Shire of Dardanup’s LPS 3 as at 30 June 2020. Of the seven lots, one was classified as undeveloped (total land area of 0.1 hectares).
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there was a total of 11,599 square metres of commercial floor space in the ‘Dardanup’ commercial complex, all of which was identified as occupied.
Harvey
Within the Harvey town centre, there were:
• 11 lots on land zoned Office under the Shire of Harvey’s LPS 1 as at 30 June 2020. Of the 11 lots, one was classified as undeveloped (0.1 hectares). • 13 lots on land zoned Other Commercial – Showroom. Of the 13 lots, one was classified as undeveloped (0.1 hectares). • 43 lots on land zoned Shop. Of the 43 lots, five were classified as undeveloped (one hectare).
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 2,710 square metres of vacant floor space across the ‘Harvey Central 1’, ‘Harvey Central 2’ and ‘Harvey East’ commercial complexes. This accounts for 10 per cent of total floor space across the above commercial complexes.
Burekup
Lots 67 and 68 Russell Road, Burekup, are zoned Business – Commercial under the Shire of Dardanup LPS 3. Lot 67 Russell Road, Burekup is 1,222 square metres in land area, and was classified as undeveloped.
Boyanup
As at 30 June 2020, there were 33 lots on land zoned Town Centre in Boyanup. All lots were classified as developed.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 863 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Boyanup’ commercial complex. This accounts for 11 per cent of total floor space in the ‘Boyanup’ commercial complex.
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Brunswick Junction
As at 30 June 2020, there were 24 lots on land zoned Shop under the Shire of Harvey LPS 1 in Brunswick. Of the 24 lots, four were classified as undeveloped (total land area of 3,695 square metres).
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 1,449 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Brunswick Junction’ commercial complex. This accounts for 27 per cent of total floor space in the ‘Brunswick Junction’ commercial complex.
Roelands
Lots 12 and 13 Government Road, Roelands, are partly zoned Shop under the Shire of Harvey’s LPS 1.
Data from the Department’s LUES indicates that at 2018, there were 180 square metres of vacant floor space in the ‘Roelands’ commercial complex, all of which was identified as vacant.
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8.6.2 Shire of Collie
Commercial land supply in the Shire of Collie is concentrated in the Collie town centre, where there are 12 hectares of land zoned Town Centre and 14 hectares of land zoned Mixed Use under the Shire of Collie’s LPS 5. In addition, there is one lot in Allanson (Lot 10 Bedlington Street) zoned Mixed Use, which is 1,012 square metres in area.
The Department’s IRIS dataset identified approximately 10 undeveloped lots on land zoned Town Centre and Mixed Use under LPS 5, covering a total land area of 1.3 hectares.
8.6.3 Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup
Commercial land supply in the Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup is concentrated in Donnybrook, where there are 20.3 hectares of land zoned Commercial under the Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup’s LPS 7. In addition, there are 5.5 hectares of land zoned Commercial in Balingup, and a further 5.3 hectares located across Mullalyup, Kirup, Mumballup and Lowden.
The Department’s IRIS dataset identified under 10 undeveloped lots on land zoned Commercial, covering a total land area of 3.2 hectares.
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9 Service infrastructure
This section provides a brief overview of the broad infrastructure capacity for the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region, and identifies upgrades that may be required to facilitate future residential, industrial and commercial growth in the sub-region.
9.1 Water
Aqwest manages water supply to the City of Bunbury area, a small area of Dalyellup (at the northernmost extent) and the light/general industrial area at Picton East. Water Corporation manages water supply to the balance of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region (including Leschenault, Australind and the remaining area of Dalyellup that is not served by Aqwest). Aqwest draws its water supply from the Yarragadee aquifer, which stretches from Bunbury to Nannup.
Demand for potable water in the South West Region is expected to increase by between 120 to 200 per cent to 2050. This presents a challenge for future water supply planning in the sub-region. The Department of Water and Environmental Regulation has indicated that future water supply source options for the region could include:
• establishing new or expanding existing ground or surface water sources, including accessing water reserved for future public water supply • desalination of seawater or saline ground/surface water • wastewater recycling for potable or non-potable supply • storm water harvesting for potable or non-potable supply • combination of alternative sources to meet fit for purpose demands.
Water currently reserved in the Bunbury groundwater area may only just meet projected demand to 2060 beyond current entitlements for the existing Dalyellup, Bunbury, Eaton, Australind, Boyanup and Dardanup schemes. Potential future water demand following development at Wanju, however, combined with estimated demand from existing schemes, may result in a total projected demand greater than the current licensed entitlements and water reserved for public water supply.
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9.2 Wastewater
The Water Corporation provides reticulated sewerage service to the following areas:
• City of Bunbury o Bunbury o Carey Park o College Grove o East Bunbury o Glen Iris o Pelican Point o Davenport o South Bunbury o Withers o Usher • Shire of Capel o Dalyellup o Capel (townsite) o Boyanup (townsite) Shire of Collie o Collie (townsite) • Shire of Dardanup o Eaton o Millbridge o Burekup (townsite) o Dardanup (townsite) • Shire of Donnybrook-Balingup o Donnybrook (townsite) • Shire of Harvey o Australind o Brunswick (townsite) o Binningup (townsite) o Harvey (townsite) To protect the environment, WA’s water and land resources, public health and amenity, the Government Sewerage Policy (2019) recommends new lots and development be provided with a reticulated sewerage service, unless exempt from the policy. It may not, however, be possible to provide such a service to all areas identified as suitable for more residential development. Where this is the case, the policy provides for the consideration of onsite sewage disposal, on the condition that it does not compromise public health or the environment, and where minimum site requirements can be met.
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9.3 Energy
9.3.1 Electricity
Western Power manages electricity supply to the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region through the South West Interconnected System (SWIS). The SWIS extends across an area bounded by Kalbarri to the north, Kalgoorlie to the east and Albany to the south.
Three coal-fired power stations, located near Collie, provide the bulk of the State’s electricity:
• Bluewaters Power Station delivers over 15 per cent of the State’s electricity supply. It is located 4.5 kilometres north east of Collie, and is the only privately-owned coal-fired power station in WA. It consists of two 271 megawatts (MW) units and runs on sub-bituminous coal. • Collie Power Station is located 10 kilometres north of Collie. It is a base load power station, which is capable of producing up to 340 MW of electricity. • Muja Power Station is located 22 kilometres east of Collie. It is the oldest power station in WA, and has eight steam turbines served by coal-fired boilers that generate a total capacity of 854 MW of electricity. A staged retirement of two operating units is planned from October 2022, removing 400 MW of capacity.
In recent years, the State has experienced a transition in the way electricity is supplied and used. More households are installing solar and photovoltaic and battery systems, with over a quarter of WA households estimated to have already installed a solar system. This is in concert with large-scale renewable generators supplying an increasing amount of the State’s electricity needs.
The State Government’s Energy Transformation Strategy seeks to respond to the energy transformation underway, and to plan for the future of our power system. The delivery of the Energy Transformation Strategy will be overseen by the Energy Transformation Taskforce, which was established in May 2019. The Energy Transformation Taskforce is also developing a ‘Whole of System Plan’ for the SWIS, to identify opportunities for a safe, reliable and efficient power system into the future. The ‘Whole of System Plan’ will:
• identify the best options for investment in the power system, to maintain security and reliability at the lowest sustainable cost • assist in the transition to a lower emissions power system by guiding the efficient integration of renewable generation and identifying opportunities for energy storage, which will play an increasing role in meeting essential electricity needs • provide guidance to regulators and industry regarding efficient power system investment, and to policy makers on the future needs of the power system.
The transformation of the SWIS was added to Infrastructure Australia’s Infrastructure Priority List on 16 February 2020.
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9.3.2 Gas
The Dampier to Bunbury Natural Gas Pipeline stretches almost 1,600 kilometres. Its southern end is located in Brunswick, immediately north east of the intersection of Forrest Highway and Clifton Road. The pipeline has been in continuous operation since 1984, and has a remaining life of at least 50 years. Gas is transported to customers in parts of the Bunbury-Geographe sub-region via the ATCO reticulated gas network.
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9.4 Transport
9.4.1 Roads
The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is served by a number of primary and regional distributor roads, including:
• Forrest Highway – provides access to Glen Iris, Eaton, Millbridge, Australind and Leschenault. Provides a connection to Mandurah and Perth via the rural localities of Parkfield, Binningup and Myalup. • South Western Highway – provides access to the industrial areas of Davenport, Picton and Picton East. Provides a connection to Perth via Burekup, Roelands, Brunswick, Harvey, Cookernup and Yarloop. Provides a connection to Greenbushes, Bridgetown, Manjimup and Walpole via Boyanup, Donnybrook and Balingup. • Coalfields Highway – provides a connection to Darkan via Allanson and Collie. • Bussell Highway – provides access to Dalyellup, Gelorup and Stratham. Provides a connection to Busselton, Margaret River and Augusta via Capel.
The Bunbury Outer Ring Road (BORR) is proposed to be 27 kilometres of free flowing highway, linking Forrest Highway in the north to Bussell Highway in the south. The BORR is being delivered in three sections (north, central, south) with the central section (Boyanup-Picton Road to South Western Highway) delivered in 2013.
Planning and development for the BORR project has been completed. On 12 October 2020, the State Government announced that a major construction contract has been signed, with the BORR project valued at $852 million. The BORR is the biggest infrastructure project ever planned for the South West Region, and is expected to generate significant economic and employment opportunities. When complete, the BORR will remove freight and regional traffic from local roads, which will reduce congestion for local residents.
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9.4.2 Rail
The Bunbury-Geographe sub-region is served by a network of freight and passenger railway lines. Arc Infrastructure manages the network of freight railway lines in the sub-region. The South Western Railway/South Western Main Line connects Bunbury Terminal to Kwinana, via the Wagerup, Pinjarra and Kwinana refineries. The line spurs at Brunswick Junction, heading east to Collie. Commodities such as coal and alumina are transported from mines and refineries in the sub-region to the Port of Bunbury.
The South West Supply Chain Strategy sets the framework and direction for freight transport investment in the South West Region, identifying future road, rail, air and port infrastructure requirements for the next 10 to 15 years. A draft strategy, released for public comment on 29 June 2020 (public comment closed on 21 August 2020), confirms that the freight rail network in the South West is approaching operational capacity at strategic locations. In addition, the current freight rail infrastructure connecting bulk exporters to the Port of Bunbury does not meet the needs of all users, which could constrain potential growth in bulk exports.
The Strategy sets out a number of strategic rail opportunities. These include:
• The development of an intermodal terminal proximate to the Bunbury Port. The future Waterloo industrial area has been identified as an optimal location. • The reinstatement of the Picton-Greenbushes Rail Line, which has been non-operational for almost 20 years. A feasibility study is currently being jointly undertaken by Arc Infrastructure and Talison Lithium, to investigate the feasibility of a rail based supply chain to support the transport of lithium from Greenbushes.
9.4.3 Port
The Port of Bunbury handles large volumes of bulk imports and exports associated with mining, agriculture and forestry. In the 2018-19 financial year, the port exported 14.7 million tonnes of bulk product. Alumina accounted for over 70 per cent of the export tonnage, followed by woodchips (10 per cent), spodumene (5 per cent) and mineral sands (5 per cent). Imports through the port include caustic soda, mineral sands, petroleum coke and mixed general freight.
The draft South West Supply Chain Strategy (2020) indicates that there may be a need to augment the current layout of the port to improve access for new export commodities. The rail network connects to the port at the northern side of the Inner Harbour, where the alumina berths are located. Another siding serving the southern side of the Inner Harbour is currently dormant.
The current layout of the port could be enhanced by adding a new connection to service the Inner Harbour common user berths and duplicating the access corridor for improved service capacity and reliability. In addition, these works may allow for current and future export commodity volumes currently moved by road, to be transferred to the rail network. These works would be considered in the context of evidence of increased export demand and private sector interest, amongst other considerations.
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Abbreviations and acronyms
ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics ASGS Australian Statistical Geography Standard DPLH Department of Planning, Lands and Heritage GBRS Greater Bunbury Region Scheme GCCSA Greater Capital City Statistical Area LGA Local Government Area LPS Local Planning Scheme SA1 Statistical Area Level 1 SA2 Statistical Area Level 2 SA3 Statistical Area Level 3 SA4 Statistical Area Level 4 UDP Urban Development Program WAPC Western Australian Planning Commission
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