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US Election Insight 2020

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US Election Insight 2020 DENTONS’ DEMOCRATS Morning After Report “The waiting is the hardest part.” Election results as of 7:30am EST – Tom Petty Top Line Presidential election results uncertain; “Blue Wave” does not materialize. Better night than expected for Congressional Republicans, but Democrats are on track to maintain majority in the House. Governor’s mansion flips to GOP in Montana. Parties maintain control of existing AG seats with two outstanding races yet to be called. Battleground state House chambers see little movement. Incumbents Losing Reelection • Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL) • Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-FL-26) • Rep. Kendra Horn (D-OK-5) • Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) • Rep. Donna Shalala (D-FL-27) • Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-NM-3) • Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) • Rep. Collin Peterson (D-MN-7) • Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-SC-1) Electoral College WA ME MT ND MN OR ID NY SD WI MI WY IA NE PA NV OH IL IN UT NH ME 1 CO WV VA KS MO CA KY MA ME 2 TN NC CT NE 2 AZ NM OK AR SC RI GA MS AL NJ LA TX VT DE AK FL DC HI MD Biden: 238 Trump: 213 270 to win Majority Map Senate House 100 435 47 47 181 189 Republican: 47 Democrat: 47 Republican: 181 Democrat: 189 Governors Attorneys General 2020 Attorney General Races State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson Indiana Open (Todd Rokita) Jonathan Weinzapel IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers Missouri Eric Schmitt Rich Finneran MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway Montana Open (Austin Knudsen) Raph Graybill MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte North Carolina Josh Stein Jim O'Neill NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes Oregon Ellen Rosenblum Michael Cross NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest Pennsylvania Josh Shapiro Heather Heidelbaugh ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz Utah Sean Reyes Greg Skordas UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson Vermont T.J. Donovan H. Brooke Paige VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman Washington Bob Ferguson Matt Larkin WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp West Virginia Patrick Morrisey Sam Petsonk WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango There are 10 attorney general seats on the ballot in 2020. These elections are in Indiana, Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. State Legislative Battleground Chambers State legislative battleground chambers, 2020 • There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 Chamber• There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 • There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats New Hampshire House Alaska House of Representatives Maine House of Representatives Arizona House of Representatives • Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent of •Representatives Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent • Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent • Montana: Steve Bullock (D) is term-limited; LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) • Montana: Steve Bullock (D) is term-limited; LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) New Mexico House of • Montana: Steve BullockMichigan (D) is term-limited; House of Representatives LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) Colorado State Senate Minnesota State Senate • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated Representativesex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated ex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated ex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • West Virginia Gov. JimNew Justice York State(R), elected Senate in 2016 as a Democrat,Connecticut won June State 9 primarySenate with 63% of • MinnesotaWest Virginia House Gov. of Representatives Jim Justice (R), electedNorth in Carolina 2016 as State a Democrat, Senate won June 9 primary with 63% of • Westthe vote; Virginia faces Gov. Kanawha Jim Justice County (R), Commissionerelected in 2016 Ben as a Salango Democrat, won June 9 primary with 63% of the vote; faces Kanawha County Commissioner Ben Salango the vote; faces Kanawha County Commissioner Ben Salango North Carolina House of Delaware State Senate Nebraska State Senate Iowa House of Representatives Representatives Pennsylvania House Nevada State Senate Kentucky House of Representatives New Hampshire State Senate of Representatives West Virginia House of Delegates Maine State Senate © 2020 Dentons. Dentons is a global legal practice providing client services worldwide through its member firms and affiliates. This publication is not designed to provide legal or other advice and you should not take, or refrain from taking, action based on its content. Please see dentons.com for Legal Notices. .
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