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Election Insight 2020

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Election Insight 2020 ELECTION INSIGHT 2020 “This isn’t about – yeah, it is about me, I guess, when you think about it.” – President Donald J. Trump Kenosha Wisconsin Regional Airport Election Eve. 1 • Election Insight 2020 Contents 04 … Election Results on One Page 06 … Biden Transition Team 10 … Potential Biden Administration 2 • Election Insight 2020 Election Results on One Page 3 • Election Insight 2020 DENTONS’ DEMOCRATS Election Results on One Page “The waiting is the hardest part.” Election results as of 1:15 pm November 11th – Tom Petty Top Line Biden declared by multiple news networks to be America’s next president. Biden’s Pennsylvania win puts him over 270. Georgia and North Carolina not yet called. Biden narrowly leads in GA while Trump leads in NC. Trump campaign seeks recounts in GA and Wisconsin and files multiple lawsuits seeking to overturn the election results in states where Biden has won. Two January 5, 2021 runoff elections in Georgia will determine Senate control. Senator Mitch McConnell will remain Majority Leader and divided government will continue, complicating the prospects for Biden’s legislative agenda, unless Democrats win both runoff s. Democrats retain their House majority but Republicans narrow the Democrats’ margin with a net pickup of six seats. Incumbents Losing Reelection • Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL) • Rep. Harley Rouda (D-CA-48) • Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-NM-3) • Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) • Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-FL-26) • Rep. Max Rose (D-NY-11) • Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) • Rep. Donna Shalala (D-FL-27) • Rep. Kendra Horn (D-OK-5) • Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-IA-1) • Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-SC-1) • Rep. Collin Peterson (D-MN-7) Electoral College WA ME MT ND MN OR ID NY SD WI MI WY IA NE PA NV OH IL IN UT NH ME 1 CO WV VA KS MO CA KY MA ME 2 TN NC CT NE 2 AZ NM OK AR SC RI MS AL GA RECOUNT NJ LA TX VT DE AK FL DC HI MD Biden: 290 Trump: 217 270 to win Majority Map Senate House 100 435 50 48 201 218 Republican: 50 Democrat: 48 Republican: 201 Democrat: 218 Governors Attorneys General 2020 Attorney General Races State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger State Incumbent Challenger DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson DE John Carney Jr. Bryant Richardson Indiana Open (Todd Rokita) Jonathan Weinzapel IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers IN Eric Holcomb Woody Myers Missouri Eric Schmitt Rich Finneran MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway MO Mike Parson Nicole Galloway Montana Open (Austin Knudsen) Raph Graybill MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte MT Austin Knudson Greg Gianforte North Carolina Josh Stein Jim O'Neill NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes NH Chris Sununu Dan Feltes Oregon Ellen Rosenblum Michael Cross NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest NC Roy Cooper Dan Forest Pennsylvania Josh Shapiro 4 •Heather Election Heidelbaugh Insight 2020 ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz ND Doug Burgum Shelley Lenz Utah Sean Reyes Greg Skordas UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson UT Open (Spencer Cox) Chris Peterson Vermont T.J. Donovan H. Brooke Paige VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman VT Phil Scott David Zuckerman Washington Bob Ferguson Matt Larkin WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp WA Jay Inslee Loren Culp West Virginia Patrick Morrisey Sam Petsonk WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango WVA Jim Justice Ben Salango There are 10 attorney general seats on the ballot in 2020. These elections are in Indiana, Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Winner Uncalled F Seat has been flipped Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. © 2020 Dentons. Dentons is a global legal practice providing client services worldwide through its member firms and aff iliates. This publication is not designed to provide legal or other advice and you should not take, or refrain from taking, action based on its content. Please see dentons.com for Legal Notices. • There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 • There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 • There are 11 governorships up in 2020; considerably fewer than in 2018 • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats • Seven are held by Republicans; four are held by Democrats • Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent • Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent • Each party is defending one open seat, with no incumbent • Montana: Steve Bullock (D) is term-limited; LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) • Montana: Steve Bullock (D) is term-limited; LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) • Montana: Steve Bullock (D) is term-limited; LG Mike Cooney (D) faces Rep. Greg Gianforte (R) • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated ex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated ex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • Utah: Gary Herbert (R) is retiring; LG Spencer Cox defeated ex-Gov. Jon Huntsman in primary • West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R), elected in 2016 as a Democrat, won June 9 primary with 63% of • West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R), elected in 2016 as a Democrat, won June 9 primary with 63% of • Westthe vote; Virginia faces Gov. Kanawha Jim Justice County (R), Commissionerelected in 2016 Ben as a Salango Democrat, won June 9 primary with 63% of the vote; faces Kanawha County Commissioner Ben Salango the vote; faces Kanawha County Commissioner Ben Salango Biden Transition Team 5 • Election Insight 2020 DENTONS’ DEMOCRATS The Biden Transition Team The Biden Transition team’s goal has been to stay under the radar before the election while quietly preparing for significant changes in policy and personnel, should Biden win. The team is made up of long time confidantes to Biden, like Ted Kaufman, and veterans from previous government service like Susan Rice and Sally Yates. The make-up of the team demonstrates Biden’s commitment to diversity and to including more women in key roles. Like the Transition team, a Biden Administration will be the most diverse in our nation’s history. Ted Kaufman Jeff rey Zients Michelle Lujan Grisham Cedric Richmond Co-Chairs Co-Chairs Co-Chairs Co-Chairs Ted is a former United States Senator from Jeff rey D. Zients is an American chief executive Michelle Lynn Lujan Grisham is a lawyer and Cedric Levon Richmond is a lawyer and Delaware where he served on the Foreign off icer, management consultant, and politician serving as the 32nd governor of politician. A member of the Democratic Relations, Armed Services, Judiciary, and entrepreneur. Zients is currently the President New Mexico since 2019. A member of the Party, he has been the U.S. Representative for Homeland Security Committees. of Cranemere. From February 2014 to January Democratic Party, Lujan Grisham previously Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district since 2017, he served as Director of the United States served as the U.S. Representative for New 2011. His district includes most of New Orleans. In addition to his work on these committees National Economic Council and President Mexico’s 1st congressional district from From 2017 to 2019, Richmond served as he was deeply involved in the Dodd Frank Obama’s Economic Advisor 2013 to 2018. Chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus. Wall Street reform, advocating for science technology engineering and math (STEM) education, and highlighting the value of federal employees. Anita Dunn Dr. Vivek Murthy Dr.David Kessler Dr. Celine Gounder Co-Chairs COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team Anita Babbitt Dunn is an American political Former Surgeon General Former FDA Commissioner,Center for Science New York University Medical School strategist who served as Acting White House in the Public Interest Director Assistant Professor Communications Director from April through November 2009. Dr. Marcella Nunez-Smith Dr. Zeke Emanuel Dr. Nicole Lurie Dr. Margaret Hamburg COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team Yale University Associate Professor of Medicine Former Obama White House Aide Former Obama HHS Assistant Sec for Former Obama FDA Commissioner Preparedness Dr. Julie Morita Dr. Helene Gayle Tony Allen Jared Bernstein COVID-19 Response Team COVID-19 Response Team Advisory Board Advisory Board Former Chicago Health Commissioner Former CDC Off icial Tony Allen became the Delaware State Jared Bernstein is a Senior Fellow at the Center University’s 12th President on January 1, on Budget and Policy Priorities. From 2009 to 2020. Previously, Tony led the corporate 2011, Bernstein was the Chief Economist and reputation group at Bank of America and was Economic Adviser to Vice President Joseph responsible for developing programming to Biden in the Obama Administration. He was influential media elites, national social justice considered to be a progressive and “a strong advocates, academics and elected off icials and advocate for workers.” their staff at federal and local levels. 1 • The Biden Transition Team 6 • Election Insight 2020 Pete Buttigieg Leslie Caldwell Mark Gittenstein Cecilia Martinez Advisory Board Advisory Board Advisory Board Advisory Board Peter Paul Montgomery Buttigieg is an Leslie Ragon Caldwell is an American attorney, Mark Henry Gitenstein is a lawyer who served Dr.
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