Processual SEMOMAP : an Application and Evaluation of the Accident Investigation Model in Passenger Ship Accidents Yogender Singh World Maritime University
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World Maritime University The Maritime Commons: Digital Repository of the World Maritime University World Maritime University Dissertations Dissertations 2014 Processual SEMOMAP : an application and evaluation of the accident investigation model in passenger ship accidents Yogender Singh World Maritime University Follow this and additional works at: http://commons.wmu.se/all_dissertations Part of the Emergency and Disaster Management Commons Recommended Citation Singh, Yogender, "Processual SEMOMAP : an application and evaluation of the accident investigation model in passenger ship accidents" (2014). World Maritime University Dissertations. 477. http://commons.wmu.se/all_dissertations/477 This Dissertation is brought to you courtesy of Maritime Commons. Open Access items may be downloaded for non-commercial, fair use academic purposes. No items may be hosted on another server or web site without express written permission from the World Maritime University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. WORLD MARITIME UNIVERSITY Malmö, Sweden PROCESSUAL SEMOMAP: An application and evaluation of the accident investigation model in passenger ship accidents By YOGENDER SINGH India A dissertation submitted to the World Maritime University in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE In MARITIME AFFAIRS (MARITIME SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENTAL ADMINISTRATION) 2014 Copyright Yogender Singh, 2014 i DECLARATION I certify that all the material in this dissertation that is not my own work has been identifies, and that no material is included for which a degree has previously been conferred on me. The contents of this dissertation reflect my own personal views, and are not necessarily endorsed by the University. (Signature): ………………………………… (Date): .……………………………..…. Supervised by: Dr. Jens-Uwe Schröder-Hinrichs World Maritime University Assessor: Institution/organisation: Co-assessor: Institution/organisation: ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS At the very outset, I would like to thank my supervisor Dr. Jens-Uwe Schröder- Hinrichs for his guidance and support that enabled me to successfully undertake my dissertation. I am grateful for his mentoring and encouragement that helped me to accomplish my research project. His vision, time and effort in supervising me are highly appreciated. I am also grateful to Raza Mehdi of the MaRiSa research group in particular, for his support at each stage of the project. He ensured that I had the necessary input and tools to keep the project moving ahead. I would like to thank the faculty at the World Maritime University who contributed to my learning and development over the course of the year. I am thankful to the staff of the World Maritime University, particularly the library staff for their support in procuring literature for my dissertation. I am thankful to the World Maritime University for the facilities made available to me that made it possible for me to complete my dissertation. Several individuals have contributed to the success of this dissertation. I wholeheartedly thank them all and acknowledge that I alone and responsible for any shortcomings of the dissertation. Last but not the least, I would like to thank my family for their support and encouragement. iii ABSTRACT Title of Dissertation: Processual SEMOMAP: An application and evaluation of the accident investigation model in passenger ship accidents Degree: MSc This dissertation is an exploratory application and evaluation of the SEquential MOdel of the Maritime Accident Process (SEMOMAP) accident investigation model. SEMOMAP is uniquely positioned in the academic literature by virtue of its focus on the accident process. The dissertation aims to reveal insights into why some unfolding processes help the system to achieve a safe operative state, while others lead to a mitigated or total loss. Fifteen publicly available accident investigation reports from Maritime Administrations and investigating bodies are analysed utilising the SEMOMAP. The accident investigation reports are coded with the help of two taxonomies – Human Factors Analysis and Classification Systems (HFACS) and a taxonomy inspired by the Technique for the Retrospective and Predictive Analysis of Cognitive Errors (TRACEr). These taxonomies complement the SEMOMAP and provide a comprehensive perspective to accident investigation. The fifteen reports selected for analysis are of passenger vessel accidents that have taken place after the introduction of the International Safety Management (ISM) code in 1998 presuming the existence of a functional Safety Management System (SMS) ashore and on-board to ensure compliance with the code, including compliance with the Standards of Training, Certification and Watch Keeping (STCW). The accident reports are examined and the analysis helps to evaluate the SEMOMAP model and its performance. The analysis subjects the model to rigorous analytic evaluation. The purpose of the dissertation is twofold – on the one hand are the results of the analysis obtained after applying the model and on the other is the evaluation of the model itself, highlighting its strengths, weaknesses and unique contribution. The results are collated and discussed in the penultimate chapter (number 5); conclusions are drawn and recommendations are made in the final chapter 6. The dissertation argues that SEMOMAP with its complementary HFACS and TRACEr inspired taxonomies contributes to an enhanced and comprehensive understanding of the accident processes. The insights from applying the model make a valuable input for system resilience. KEYWORDS: SEMOMAP, Accident investigation models, HFACS, TRACEr, IMO casualty investigation iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Declaration……………………………………………………………………ii Acknowledgements…………………………………………………………..iii Abstract………………………………………………………………………iv Table of Contents…………………………………………………………..v-vi List of Tables………………………………………………………….……..vii List of Figures……………………………………………………………....viii List of Abbreviations…………………………………………………………ix 1 Introduction…………………………………………………………1-9 1.1 Background……………………………………………………..1-7 1.2 Aim, purpose and motivation for the dissertation……………....7-8 1.3 Structure of the dissertation……………………………………..8-9 2 Accident Causation Models – a Literature Review………………10-19 2.1 Sequential, epidemiological and systemic models…………...11-15 2.2 Evaluation of sequential, epidemiological and systemic models: advantages and disadvantages ………………………………..16-17 2.3 Maritime specific models……………………………………….17 2.4 Taxonomy for coding data……………………………………...18 2.5 Conclusion…………………………………………………..18-19 3 Research Methodology…………………………………………...20-35 v 3.1 Research methodology and sample selection………………….20-21 3.2 SEMOMAP……………………………………………………21-26 3.3 SEMOMAP taxonomy………………………………………...26-34 3.4 Conclusions……………………………………………………….35 4 Analysis of Accident Investigation Reports…………………….........36-83 4.1 SEMOMAP solved case study example……………………....36-44 4.2 Dissertation results…………………………………………….45-73 4.3 Overview of the results of all 3 categories – flooding, grounding and fire……………………………………………..74-83 4.4 Summary.………………………………………………………....83 5 Reflection on Results……………………………………………..84-90 5.1 Reflection on SEMOMAP…………………………………....84-85 5.2 Reflection on Results and Research Questions………………86-90 5.3 Summary……………………………………………………........90 6 Conclusions………………………………………………………91-92 7 Appendices………………………………………………………93-153 Appendix 1 Detail list of accident investigation reports……93-100 Appendix 2 SEMOMAP code book……………………….101-153 8 References……………………………………………………...154-157 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Subjects affected by influencing factors (applicable to phase 0)………………26 Table 2: SEMOMAP Taxonomy phase 0; factors leading to the dangerous situation; adapted HFACS……………………………………………………...27 Table 3: ‘Risk of’ incident; taxonomy table 1.1 Applicable to phase 1……………….. .28 Table 4: Breakdown of accident investigation reports analyzed………………………..36 Table 5: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 0’ HFACS………………….……………..……...38 Table 6: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 1’ coding (SEMOMAP taxonomy table 1.1)….…39 Table 7: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 1’ coding (SEMOMAP taxonomy table 1.2, 1.3)..39 Table 8: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 2’ coding (SEMOMAP taxonomy table 2.1)….…40 Table 9: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 2’ coding (SEMOMAP taxonomy table 2.2, 2.3)..41 Table 10: Monarch of the Seas ‘phase 3’ coding (SEMOMAP taxonomy table 3.2, 3.3)…….........................................................................................................42-43 Table 11: List of accident investigation reports analyzed……………………………….45 Table 12: List of accident investigation reports analyzed……………………………….46 Table 13: Flooding accident category ‘phase 0’ HFACS overview ……………..……...47 Table 14: Flooding accident category ‘phase 1’ overview (level L2B)…….…………...49 Table 15: Grounding accident category ‘phase 0’ HFACS operator overview……..…...51 Table 16: Grounding accident category ‘phase 0’ HFACS equipment overview…..…...52 Table 17: Fire accident category ‘phase 0’ HFACS operator overview…………......64-65 Table 18: Fire accident category ‘phase 0’ HFACS equipment overview……..………..66 Table 19: All accident categories ‘phase 0’ (HFACS) overview………………….....74-75 Table 20: All accident categories ‘phase 0’ (HFACS) equipment overview………...77-78 Table 21: All accident categories, all phases, level 3-4 and 4-5 evaluation………….79-80 Table 22: All accident categories, all phases, level 3-4 and 4-5 summary………………81 Table 23: Timelines: all accident categories across all phases………………………......82 LIST