Skewness and Kurtosis 2
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Use of Proc Iml to Calculate L-Moments for the Univariate Distributional Shape Parameters Skewness and Kurtosis
Statistics 573 USE OF PROC IML TO CALCULATE L-MOMENTS FOR THE UNIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONAL SHAPE PARAMETERS SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS Michael A. Walega Berlex Laboratories, Wayne, New Jersey Introduction Exploratory data analysis statistics, such as those Gaussian. Bickel (1988) and Van Oer Laan and generated by the sp,ge procedure PROC Verdooren (1987) discuss the concept of robustness UNIVARIATE (1990), are useful tools to characterize and how it pertains to the assumption of normality. the underlying distribution of data prior to more rigorous statistical analyses. Assessment of the As discussed by Glass et al. (1972), incorrect distributional shape of data is usually accomplished conclusions may be reached when the normality by careful examination of the values of the third and assumption is not valid, especially when one-tail tests fourth central moments, skewness and kurtosis. are employed or the sample size or significance level However, when the sample size is small or the are very small. Hopkins and Weeks (1990) also underlying distribution is non-normal, the information discuss the effects of highly non-normal data on obtained from the sample skewness and kurtosis can hypothesis testing of variances. Thus, it is apparent be misleading. that examination of the skewness (departure from symmetry) and kurtosis (deviation from a normal One alternative to the central moment shape statistics curve) is an important component of exploratory data is the use of linear combinations of order statistics (L analyses. moments) to examine the distributional shape characteristics of data. L-moments have several Various methods to estimate skewness and kurtosis theoretical advantages over the central moment have been proposed (MacGillivray and Salanela, shape statistics: Characterization of a wider range of 1988). -
The Statistical Analysis of Distributions, Percentile Rank Classes and Top-Cited
How to analyse percentile impact data meaningfully in bibliometrics: The statistical analysis of distributions, percentile rank classes and top-cited papers Lutz Bornmann Division for Science and Innovation Studies, Administrative Headquarters of the Max Planck Society, Hofgartenstraße 8, 80539 Munich, Germany; [email protected]. 1 Abstract According to current research in bibliometrics, percentiles (or percentile rank classes) are the most suitable method for normalising the citation counts of individual publications in terms of the subject area, the document type and the publication year. Up to now, bibliometric research has concerned itself primarily with the calculation of percentiles. This study suggests how percentiles can be analysed meaningfully for an evaluation study. Publication sets from four universities are compared with each other to provide sample data. These suggestions take into account on the one hand the distribution of percentiles over the publications in the sets (here: universities) and on the other hand concentrate on the range of publications with the highest citation impact – that is, the range which is usually of most interest in the evaluation of scientific performance. Key words percentiles; research evaluation; institutional comparisons; percentile rank classes; top-cited papers 2 1 Introduction According to current research in bibliometrics, percentiles (or percentile rank classes) are the most suitable method for normalising the citation counts of individual publications in terms of the subject area, the document type and the publication year (Bornmann, de Moya Anegón, & Leydesdorff, 2012; Bornmann, Mutz, Marx, Schier, & Daniel, 2011; Leydesdorff, Bornmann, Mutz, & Opthof, 2011). Until today, it has been customary in evaluative bibliometrics to use the arithmetic mean value to normalize citation data (Waltman, van Eck, van Leeuwen, Visser, & van Raan, 2011). -
Applied Biostatistics Mean and Standard Deviation the Mean the Median Is Not the Only Measure of Central Value for a Distribution
Health Sciences M.Sc. Programme Applied Biostatistics Mean and Standard Deviation The mean The median is not the only measure of central value for a distribution. Another is the arithmetic mean or average, usually referred to simply as the mean. This is found by taking the sum of the observations and dividing by their number. The mean is often denoted by a little bar over the symbol for the variable, e.g. x . The sample mean has much nicer mathematical properties than the median and is thus more useful for the comparison methods described later. The median is a very useful descriptive statistic, but not much used for other purposes. Median, mean and skewness The sum of the 57 FEV1s is 231.51 and hence the mean is 231.51/57 = 4.06. This is very close to the median, 4.1, so the median is within 1% of the mean. This is not so for the triglyceride data. The median triglyceride is 0.46 but the mean is 0.51, which is higher. The median is 10% away from the mean. If the distribution is symmetrical the sample mean and median will be about the same, but in a skew distribution they will not. If the distribution is skew to the right, as for serum triglyceride, the mean will be greater, if it is skew to the left the median will be greater. This is because the values in the tails affect the mean but not the median. Figure 1 shows the positions of the mean and median on the histogram of triglyceride. -
A Skew Extension of the T-Distribution, with Applications
J. R. Statist. Soc. B (2003) 65, Part 1, pp. 159–174 A skew extension of the t-distribution, with applications M. C. Jones The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK and M. J. Faddy University of Birmingham, UK [Received March 2000. Final revision July 2002] Summary. A tractable skew t-distribution on the real line is proposed.This includes as a special case the symmetric t-distribution, and otherwise provides skew extensions thereof.The distribu- tion is potentially useful both for modelling data and in robustness studies. Properties of the new distribution are presented. Likelihood inference for the parameters of this skew t-distribution is developed. Application is made to two data modelling examples. Keywords: Beta distribution; Likelihood inference; Robustness; Skewness; Student’s t-distribution 1. Introduction Student’s t-distribution occurs frequently in statistics. Its usual derivation and use is as the sam- pling distribution of certain test statistics under normality, but increasingly the t-distribution is being used in both frequentist and Bayesian statistics as a heavy-tailed alternative to the nor- mal distribution when robustness to possible outliers is a concern. See Lange et al. (1989) and Gelman et al. (1995) and references therein. It will often be useful to consider a further alternative to the normal or t-distribution which is both heavy tailed and skew. To this end, we propose a family of distributions which includes the symmetric t-distributions as special cases, and also includes extensions of the t-distribution, still taking values on the whole real line, with non-zero skewness. Let a>0 and b>0be parameters. -
TR Multivariate Conditional Median Estimation
Discussion Paper: 2004/02 TR multivariate conditional median estimation Jan G. de Gooijer and Ali Gannoun www.fee.uva.nl/ke/UvA-Econometrics Department of Quantitative Economics Faculty of Economics and Econometrics Universiteit van Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB AMSTERDAM The Netherlands TR Multivariate Conditional Median Estimation Jan G. De Gooijer1 and Ali Gannoun2 1 Department of Quantitative Economics University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11, 1018 WB Amsterdam, The Netherlands Telephone: +31—20—525 4244; Fax: +31—20—525 4349 e-mail: [email protected] 2 Laboratoire de Probabilit´es et Statistique Universit´e Montpellier II Place Eug`ene Bataillon, 34095 Montpellier C´edex 5, France Telephone: +33-4-67-14-3578; Fax: +33-4-67-14-4974 e-mail: [email protected] Abstract An affine equivariant version of the nonparametric spatial conditional median (SCM) is con- structed, using an adaptive transformation-retransformation (TR) procedure. The relative performance of SCM estimates, computed with and without applying the TR—procedure, are compared through simulation. Also included is the vector of coordinate conditional, kernel- based, medians (VCCMs). The methodology is illustrated via an empirical data set. It is shown that the TR—SCM estimator is more efficient than the SCM estimator, even when the amount of contamination in the data set is as high as 25%. The TR—VCCM- and VCCM estimators lack efficiency, and consequently should not be used in practice. Key Words: Spatial conditional median; kernel; retransformation; robust; transformation. 1 Introduction p s Let (X1, Y 1),...,(Xn, Y n) be independent replicates of a random vector (X, Y ) IR IR { } ∈ × where p > 1,s > 2, and n>p+ s. -
5. the Student T Distribution
Virtual Laboratories > 4. Special Distributions > 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 5. The Student t Distribution In this section we will study a distribution that has special importance in statistics. In particular, this distribution will arise in the study of a standardized version of the sample mean when the underlying distribution is normal. The Probability Density Function Suppose that Z has the standard normal distribution, V has the chi-squared distribution with n degrees of freedom, and that Z and V are independent. Let Z T= √V/n In the following exercise, you will show that T has probability density function given by −(n +1) /2 Γ((n + 1) / 2) t2 f(t)= 1 + , t∈ℝ ( n ) √n π Γ(n / 2) 1. Show that T has the given probability density function by using the following steps. n a. Show first that the conditional distribution of T given V=v is normal with mean 0 a nd variance v . b. Use (a) to find the joint probability density function of (T,V). c. Integrate the joint probability density function in (b) with respect to v to find the probability density function of T. The distribution of T is known as the Student t distribution with n degree of freedom. The distribution is well defined for any n > 0, but in practice, only positive integer values of n are of interest. This distribution was first studied by William Gosset, who published under the pseudonym Student. In addition to supplying the proof, Exercise 1 provides a good way of thinking of the t distribution: the t distribution arises when the variance of a mean 0 normal distribution is randomized in a certain way. -
1 One Parameter Exponential Families
1 One parameter exponential families The world of exponential families bridges the gap between the Gaussian family and general dis- tributions. Many properties of Gaussians carry through to exponential families in a fairly precise sense. • In the Gaussian world, there exact small sample distributional results (i.e. t, F , χ2). • In the exponential family world, there are approximate distributional results (i.e. deviance tests). • In the general setting, we can only appeal to asymptotics. A one-parameter exponential family, F is a one-parameter family of distributions of the form Pη(dx) = exp (η · t(x) − Λ(η)) P0(dx) for some probability measure P0. The parameter η is called the natural or canonical parameter and the function Λ is called the cumulant generating function, and is simply the normalization needed to make dPη fη(x) = (x) = exp (η · t(x) − Λ(η)) dP0 a proper probability density. The random variable t(X) is the sufficient statistic of the exponential family. Note that P0 does not have to be a distribution on R, but these are of course the simplest examples. 1.0.1 A first example: Gaussian with linear sufficient statistic Consider the standard normal distribution Z e−z2=2 P0(A) = p dz A 2π and let t(x) = x. Then, the exponential family is eη·x−x2=2 Pη(dx) / p 2π and we see that Λ(η) = η2=2: eta= np.linspace(-2,2,101) CGF= eta**2/2. plt.plot(eta, CGF) A= plt.gca() A.set_xlabel(r'$\eta$', size=20) A.set_ylabel(r'$\Lambda(\eta)$', size=20) f= plt.gcf() 1 Thus, the exponential family in this setting is the collection F = fN(η; 1) : η 2 Rg : d 1.0.2 Normal with quadratic sufficient statistic on R d As a second example, take P0 = N(0;Id×d), i.e. -
A Logistic Regression Equation for Estimating the Probability of a Stream in Vermont Having Intermittent Flow
Prepared in cooperation with the Vermont Center for Geographic Information A Logistic Regression Equation for Estimating the Probability of a Stream in Vermont Having Intermittent Flow Scientific Investigations Report 2006–5217 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey A Logistic Regression Equation for Estimating the Probability of a Stream in Vermont Having Intermittent Flow By Scott A. Olson and Michael C. Brouillette Prepared in cooperation with the Vermont Center for Geographic Information Scientific Investigations Report 2006–5217 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior DIRK KEMPTHORNE, Secretary U.S. Geological Survey P. Patrick Leahy, Acting Director U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia: 2006 For product and ordering information: World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.gov/pubprod Telephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS For more information on the USGS--the Federal source for science about the Earth, its natural and living resources, natural hazards, and the environment: World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.gov Telephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government. Although this report is in the public domain, permission must be secured from the individual copyright owners to reproduce any copyrighted materials contained within this report. Suggested citation: Olson, S.A., and Brouillette, M.C., 2006, A logistic regression equation for estimating the probability of a stream in Vermont having intermittent -
Chapter 8 Fundamental Sampling Distributions And
CHAPTER 8 FUNDAMENTAL SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS AND DATA DESCRIPTIONS 8.1 Random Sampling pling procedure, it is desirable to choose a random sample in the sense that the observations are made The basic idea of the statistical inference is that we independently and at random. are allowed to draw inferences or conclusions about a Random Sample population based on the statistics computed from the sample data so that we could infer something about Let X1;X2;:::;Xn be n independent random variables, the parameters and obtain more information about the each having the same probability distribution f (x). population. Thus we must make sure that the samples Define X1;X2;:::;Xn to be a random sample of size must be good representatives of the population and n from the population f (x) and write its joint proba- pay attention on the sampling bias and variability to bility distribution as ensure the validity of statistical inference. f (x1;x2;:::;xn) = f (x1) f (x2) f (xn): ··· 8.2 Some Important Statistics It is important to measure the center and the variabil- ity of the population. For the purpose of the inference, we study the following measures regarding to the cen- ter and the variability. 8.2.1 Location Measures of a Sample The most commonly used statistics for measuring the center of a set of data, arranged in order of mag- nitude, are the sample mean, sample median, and sample mode. Let X1;X2;:::;Xn represent n random variables. Sample Mean To calculate the average, or mean, add all values, then Bias divide by the number of individuals. -
On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis
Psychological Methods Copyright 1997 by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 1997, Vol. 2, No. 3,292-307 1082-989X/97/$3.00 On the Meaning and Use of Kurtosis Lawrence T. DeCarlo Fordham University For symmetric unimodal distributions, positive kurtosis indicates heavy tails and peakedness relative to the normal distribution, whereas negative kurtosis indicates light tails and flatness. Many textbooks, however, describe or illustrate kurtosis incompletely or incorrectly. In this article, kurtosis is illustrated with well-known distributions, and aspects of its interpretation and misinterpretation are discussed. The role of kurtosis in testing univariate and multivariate normality; as a measure of departures from normality; in issues of robustness, outliers, and bimodality; in generalized tests and estimators, as well as limitations of and alternatives to the kurtosis measure [32, are discussed. It is typically noted in introductory statistics standard deviation. The normal distribution has a kur- courses that distributions can be characterized in tosis of 3, and 132 - 3 is often used so that the refer- terms of central tendency, variability, and shape. With ence normal distribution has a kurtosis of zero (132 - respect to shape, virtually every textbook defines and 3 is sometimes denoted as Y2)- A sample counterpart illustrates skewness. On the other hand, another as- to 132 can be obtained by replacing the population pect of shape, which is kurtosis, is either not discussed moments with the sample moments, which gives or, worse yet, is often described or illustrated incor- rectly. Kurtosis is also frequently not reported in re- ~(X i -- S)4/n search articles, in spite of the fact that virtually every b2 (•(X i - ~')2/n)2' statistical package provides a measure of kurtosis. -
Fan Chart: Methodology and Its Application to Inflation Forecasting in India
W P S (DEPR) : 5 / 2011 RBI WORKING PAPER SERIES Fan Chart: Methodology and its Application to Inflation Forecasting in India Nivedita Banerjee and Abhiman Das DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC AND POLICY RESEARCH MAY 2011 The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) introduced the RBI Working Papers series in May 2011. These papers present research in progress of the staff members of RBI and are disseminated to elicit comments and further debate. The views expressed in these papers are those of authors and not that of RBI. Comments and observations may please be forwarded to authors. Citation and use of such papers should take into account its provisional character. Copyright: Reserve Bank of India 2011 Fan Chart: Methodology and its Application to Inflation Forecasting in India Nivedita Banerjee 1 (Email) and Abhiman Das (Email) Abstract Ever since Bank of England first published its inflation forecasts in February 1996, the Fan Chart has been an integral part of inflation reports of central banks around the world. The Fan Chart is basically used to improve presentation: to focus attention on the whole of the forecast distribution, rather than on small changes to the central projection. However, forecast distribution is a technical concept originated from the statistical sampling distribution. In this paper, we have presented the technical details underlying the derivation of Fan Chart used in representing the uncertainty in inflation forecasts. The uncertainty occurs because of the inter-play of the macro-economic variables affecting inflation. The uncertainty in the macro-economic variables is based on their historical standard deviation of the forecast errors, but we also allow these to be subjectively adjusted. -
Chapter 4: Central Tendency and Dispersion
Central Tendency and Dispersion 4 In this chapter, you can learn • how the values of the cases on a single variable can be summarized using measures of central tendency and measures of dispersion; • how the central tendency can be described using statistics such as the mode, median, and mean; • how the dispersion of scores on a variable can be described using statistics such as a percent distribution, minimum, maximum, range, and standard deviation along with a few others; and • how a variable’s level of measurement determines what measures of central tendency and dispersion to use. Schooling, Politics, and Life After Death Once again, we will use some questions about 1980 GSS young adults as opportunities to explain and demonstrate the statistics introduced in the chapter: • Among the 1980 GSS young adults, are there both believers and nonbelievers in a life after death? Which is the more common view? • On a seven-attribute political party allegiance variable anchored at one end by “strong Democrat” and at the other by “strong Republican,” what was the most Democratic attribute used by any of the 1980 GSS young adults? The most Republican attribute? If we put all 1980 95 96 PART II :: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS GSS young adults in order from the strongest Democrat to the strongest Republican, what is the political party affiliation of the person in the middle? • What was the average number of years of schooling completed at the time of the survey by 1980 GSS young adults? Were most of these twentysomethings pretty close to the average on