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The Shifting Sands of Djibouti
DECEMBER 2019 ISSUE NO. 331 The Shifting Sands of Djibouti MONTY KHANNA ABSTRACT In spite of Djibouti being one of the smallest nations in Africa, its strategic location coupled with the shifting geo-politics of the region have increased its relevance manifold. Various events have influenced the position of Djibouti in the international reckoning: the secession of Eritrea from Ethiopia, the ‘Global War on Terror’, and increasing piracy off the Horn of Africa. Today Djibouti has the distinction of hosting military bases of four major countries, including China’s first overseas base. China has also started making deep inroads into the economy of Djibouti. This has created a large vulnerability for the United States, France and Japan, all of which depend on China-controlled ports for the sustenance of their bases. (This brief is part of ORF’s series, ‘Eye on China’. Find other research in the series here: https:// www.orfonline.org/series/eye-on-china/) Attribution: Monty Khanna, “The Shifting Sands of Djibouti”, ORF Issue Brief No. 331, December 2019, Observer Research Foundation. Observer Research Foundation (ORF) is a public policy think tank that aims to influence the formulation of policies for building a strong and prosperous India. ORF pursues these goals by providing informed analyses and in-depth research, and organising events that serve as platforms for stimulating and productive discussions. ISBN 978-93-89622-23-2 © 2019 Observer Research Foundation. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, copied, archived, retained or transmitted through print, speech or electronic media without prior written approval from ORF. -
WT/TPR/S/305 • Djibouti
WT/TPR/S/305 • Djibouti - 5 - SUMMARY 1. Djibouti's economy is dominated by services: goods production is marginal. The manufacturing and agricultural sectors have remained weak, owing inter alia to heavy taxation and the high costs of factors of production (labour and energy). International trade continues to play an important role for Djibouti given its heavy reliance on imports. Trade in goods and services account for an average of 94% of GDP. 2. Thanks to its price subsidy policy with respect to basic commodities and its foreign-exchange regime based on a currency board arrangement in which the national currency, the Djibouti franc (DF), is pegged to the United States dollar at a fixed parity of DF 177.721 per one US dollar, inflation has remained under control since 2006 at an average of less than 5%. Since the Central Bank does not have the authority to finance the public deficit, imports remain the main source of inflation. Fuelled by a weak revenue collection and significant exemptions and off-budget expenditure, the budget deficit, which had previously been financed by accumulating domestic payment arrears, was contained by tightening budgetary discipline under the stabilization programmes supported by the IMF. 3. Influenced by significant investment flows, particularly in port infrastructure, the average annual GDP growth rate was approximately 5% between 2006 and 2009. This momentum was stalled in 2010 and 2011 as a result of the world economic crisis. However, economic growth resumed in 2012 thanks to renewed investment in port, road and hotel infrastructure and to the robust economic growth in Ethiopia, 90% of whose goods transit through the port of Djibouti. -
The Gulf Crisis: the Impasse Between Mogadishu and the Regions 4
ei September-October 2017 Volume 29 Issue 5 The Gulf Engulfing the Horn of Africa? Contents 1. Editor's Note 2. Entre le GCC et l'IGAD, les relations bilatérales priment sur l'aspect régional 3. The Gulf Crisis: The Impasse between Mogadishu and the regions 4. Turkish and UAE Engagement in Horn of Africa and Changing Geo-Politics of the Region 1 Editorial information This publication is produced by the Life & Peace Institute (LPI) with support from the Bread for the World, Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) and Church of Sweden International Department. The donors are not involved in the production and are not responsible for the contents of the publication. Editorial principles The Horn of Africa Bulletin is a regional policy periodical, monitoring and analysing key peace and security issues in the Horn with a view to inform and provide alternative analysis on on-going debates and generate policy dialogue around matters of conflict transformation and peacebuilding. The material published in HAB represents a variety of sources and does not necessarily express the views of the LPI. Comment policy All comments posted are moderated before publication. Feedback and subscriptions For subscription matters, feedback and suggestions contact LPI’s Horn of Africa Regional Programme at [email protected]. For more LPI publications and resources, please visit: www.life-peace.org/resources/ Life & Peace Institute Kungsängsgatan 17 753 22 Uppsala, Sweden ISSN 2002-1666 About Life & Peace Institute Since its formation, LPI has carried out programmes for conflict transformation in a variety of countries, conducted research, and produced numerous publications on nonviolent conflict transformation and the role of religion in conflict and peacebuilding. -
Bad Borders Make Bad Neighbours the Political Economy of Relief and Rehabilitation in the Somali Region 5, Eastern Ethiopia
Relief and Rehabilitation Network Network Paper 4 Bad Borders Make Bad Neighbours The Political Economy of Relief and Rehabilitation in the Somali Region 5, Eastern Ethiopia Koenraad Van Brabant September 1994 Please send comments on this paper to: Relief and Rehabilitation Network Overseas Development Institute Regent's College Inner Circle Regent's Park London NW1 4NS United Kingdom A copy will be sent to the author. Comments received may be used in future Newsletters. ISSN: 1353-8691 © Overseas Development Institute, London, 1994. Photocopies of all or part of this publication may be made providing that the source is acknowledged. Requests for commercial reproduction of Network material should be directed to ODI as copyright holders. The Network Coordinator would appreciate receiving details of any use of this material in training, research or programme design, implementation or evaluation. Bad Borders Make Bad Neighbours The Political Economy of Relief and Rehabilitation in the Somali Region 5, Eastern Ethiopia Koenraad Van Brabant1 Contents Page Maps 1. Introduction 1 2. Pride and Prejudice in the Somali Region 5 : The Political History of a Conflict 3 * The Ethiopian empire-state and the colonial powers 4 * Greater Somalia, Britain and the growth of Somali nationalism 8 * Conflict and war between Ethiopia and Somalia 10 * Civil war in Somalia 11 * The Transitional Government in Ethiopia and Somali Region 5 13 3. Cycles of Relief and Rehabilitation in Eastern Ethiopia : 1973-93 20 * 1973-85 : `Relief shelters' or the politics of drought and repatriation 21 * 1985-93 : Repatriation as opportunity for rehabilitation and development 22 * The pastoral sector : Recovery or control? 24 * Irrigation schemes : Ownership, management and economic viability 30 * Food aid : Targeting, free food and economic uses of food aid 35 * Community participation and institutional strengthening 42 1 Koenraad Van Brabant has been project manager relief and rehabilitation for eastern Ethiopia with SCF(UK) and is currently Oxfam's country representative in Sri Lanka. -
The Role of Ports and Free Zones in the Development of Africa: the “Djibouti Model”
105 The role of Ports and Free Zones in the Development of Africa: The “Djibouti Model” Par Mowlid ADEN Djibouti Ports & Free Zone Authority (DPFZA) This article is essentially a positive story of ports & free zones-led progress. Why are ports so critical? A well-organized port can make the difference between locally or, in the case of Djibouti, regionally produced products being viable for export, or priced out of the market (1). A well-run facility builds self-reliance in the local executive management and economy, thus drawing new industry and investment, and promoting tourism. Furthermore, enhancements to port infrastruc- ture frequently raise forces to shore up the weaker links in regional supply chains, such as be- low-standard roads and railways (2). ree zones, which are gradually being built near, or the positive effect of port improvements and privatization hand in hand with, container ports, have been shown on prevalence of corruption (5). F to be a highly effective impetus for light industrial and light assembly amenities, and a diversity of transport- The Republic of Djibouti related logistics including but not limited to warehousing Almost of the dimension of Belgium with a population of and storage (3). less than one million, the Republic of Djibouti lies at the Notwithstanding the vital roles of ports, somewhat little base of the Red Sea, next to the second busiest sea-lane empirical research has been done to formalize and in the world. The significance of the location is highlighted quantify these relationships. A commonly cited “unwritten by the fact that fifty-two vessels and four million barrels rule” embraces that for every dollar invested in a port, of oil transit the strait per day, making it the fourth busiest five dollars in new commercial activity are created in the waterway in the world, and the only one encircled by local economy. -
The New External Security Politics of the Horn of Africa Region’, SIPRI Policy Brief, Apr
SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security No. 2019/2 April 2019 THE NEW EXTERNAL SUMMARY w The Horn of Africa is SECURITY POLITICS OF THE undergoing far-reaching changes in its external security HORN OF AFRICA REGION environment. A wide variety of international security actors— from Europe, the United States, neil melvin the Middle East, the Gulf, and Asia—are currently operating in the region. As a result, the Horn of Africa has experienced I. Introduction a proliferation of foreign military bases and a build-up of The countries of the Horn of Africa are experiencing far-reaching changes in naval forces. The external their external security relations.1 The region is simultaneously experiencing militarization of the Horn poses an increase in the number of foreign security actors operating there, a major questions for the future build-up of external military forces—on land and at sea—and a broadening security and stability of the of the security agendas pursued by external actors to include local, regional region. This SIPRI Insights paper is and international issues.2 the second of three papers The emergence of Middle Eastern and Gulf states as key security powers in devoted to the new external the Horn has attracted particular attention in recent years. However, major security politics of the Horn of Asian powers have also established significant security engagements in Africa. The paper highlights the and around the region, including as part of Indo-Pacific security strategies. increasing importance of Furthermore, the established non-traditional security roles of the United geopolitical, commercial and States and Europe in the region are now shifting to encompass traditional military competition as the military competition. -
The Foreign Military Presence in the Horn of Africa Region
SIPRI Background Paper April 2019 THE FOREIGN MILITARY SUMMARY w The Horn of Africa is PRESENCE IN THE HORN OF undergoing far-reaching changes in its external security AFRICA REGION environment. A wide variety of international security actors— from Europe, the United States, neil melvin the Middle East, the Gulf, and Asia—are currently operating I. Introduction in the region. As a result, the Horn of Africa has experienced The Horn of Africa region has experienced a substantial increase in the a proliferation of foreign number and size of foreign military deployments since 2001, especially in the military bases and a build-up of 1 past decade (see annexes 1 and 2 for an overview). A wide range of regional naval forces. The external and international security actors are currently operating in the Horn and the militarization of the Horn poses foreign military installations include land-based facilities (e.g. bases, ports, major questions for the future airstrips, training camps, semi-permanent facilities and logistics hubs) and security and stability of the naval forces on permanent or regular deployment.2 The most visible aspect region. of this presence is the proliferation of military facilities in littoral areas along This SIPRI Background the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa.3 However, there has also been a build-up Paper is the first of three papers of naval forces, notably around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, at the entrance to devoted to the new external the Red Sea and in the Gulf of Aden. security politics of the Horn of This SIPRI Background Paper maps the foreign military presence in the Africa. -
Clanship, Conflict and Refugees: an Introduction to Somalis in the Horn of Africa
CLANSHIP, CONFLICT AND REFUGEES: AN INTRODUCTION TO SOMALIS IN THE HORN OF AFRICA Guido Ambroso TABLE OF CONTENTS PART I: THE CLAN SYSTEM p. 2 The People, Language and Religion p. 2 The Economic and Socials Systems p. 3 The Dir p. 5 The Darod p. 8 The Hawiye p. 10 Non-Pastoral Clans p. 11 PART II: A HISTORICAL SUMMARY FROM COLONIALISM TO DISINTEGRATION p. 14 The Colonial Scramble for the Horn of Africa and the Darwish Reaction (1880-1935) p. 14 The Boundaries Question p. 16 From the Italian East Africa Empire to Independence (1936-60) p. 18 Democracy and Dictatorship (1960-77) p. 20 The Ogaden War and the Decline of Siyad Barre’s Regime (1977-87) p. 22 Civil War and the Disintegration of Somalia (1988-91) p. 24 From Hope to Despair (1992-99) p. 27 Conflict and Progress in Somaliland (1991-99) p. 31 Eastern Ethiopia from Menelik’s Conquest to Ethnic Federalism (1887-1995) p. 35 The Impact of the Arta Conference and of September the 11th p. 37 PART III: REFUGEES AND RETURNEES IN EASTERN ETHIOPIA AND SOMALILAND p. 42 Refugee Influxes and Camps p. 41 Patterns of Repatriation (1991-99) p. 46 Patterns of Reintegration in the Waqoyi Galbeed and Awdal Regions of Somaliland p. 52 Bibliography p. 62 ANNEXES: CLAN GENEALOGICAL CHARTS Samaal (General/Overview) A. 1 Dir A. 2 Issa A. 2.1 Gadabursi A. 2.2 Isaq A. 2.3 Habar Awal / Isaq A.2.3.1 Garhajis / Isaq A. 2.3.2 Darod (General/ Simplified) A. 3 Ogaden and Marrahan Darod A. -
Food Market and Supply Situation in Southern Somalia
Food Market and Supply Situation in Southern Somalia October 2011 Issa Sanogo 2 Acknowledgement This report is drawn from the findings of a programme mission by Annalisa Conte, Issa Sanogo and Simon Clements from August 30th to September 20th, which was undertaken to assess the suitability of cash-and-voucher based responses in southern Somalia. I wish to acknowledge valuable contributions made by various WFP Headquarters and country office colleagues, namely Rogerio Bonifacio, Oscar Caccavale, Simon Clements, Migena Cumani, Maliki Amadou Mahamane, Nichola Peach, and Francesco Slaviero. Many thanks also to Joyce Luma, Arif Husain and Mario Musa for proof reading the report. Many thanks to the Senior Management of WFP Somalia Country Office, Logistic, Procurement, Programme, Security and VAM staff who provided valuable insights and helped at various stages of this mission. I wish also to thank various partners (INGOs, Local NGOs, UN Organizations, Bilateral and Multilateral Organizations and Technical Partners) and traders for making time available to provide the mission with valuable field updates and perspectives. Secondary data, comments and suggestions provided by FAO, FSNAU and FEWSNET are fully acknowledged. While I acknowledge the contributions made by all the partners in various ways, I take full responsibility for the outcome. 3 I. Summary of Findings ............................................................................................................ 5 II. Markets and Supply Conditions ............................................................................................ -
Djibouti: Z Z Z Z Summary Points Z Z Z Z Renewal Ofdomesticpoliticallegitimacy
briefing paper page 1 Djibouti: Changing Influence in the Horn’s Strategic Hub David Styan Africa Programme | April 2013 | AFP BP 2013/01 Summary points zz Change in Djibouti’s economic and strategic options has been driven by four factors: the Ethiopian–Eritrean war of 1998–2000, the impact of Ethiopia’s economic transformation and growth upon trade; shifts in US strategy since 9/11, and the upsurge in piracy along the Gulf of Aden and Somali coasts. zz With the expansion of the US AFRICOM base, the reconfiguration of France’s military presence and the establishment of Japanese and other military facilities, Djibouti has become an international maritime and military laboratory where new forms of cooperation are being developed. zz Djibouti has accelerated plans for regional economic integration. Building on close ties with Ethiopia, existing port upgrades and electricity grid integration will be enhanced by the development of the northern port of Tadjourah. zz These strategic and economic shifts have yet to be matched by internal political reforms, and growth needs to be linked to strategies for job creation and a renewal of domestic political legitimacy. www.chathamhouse.org Djibouti: Changing Influence in the Horn’s Strategic Hub page 2 Djibouti 0 25 50 km 0 10 20 30 mi Red Sea National capital District capital Ras Doumeira Town, village B Airport, airstrip a b Wadis ERITREA a l- M International boundary a n d District boundary a b Main road Railway Moussa Ali ETHIOPIA OBOCK N11 N11 To Elidar Balho Obock N14 TADJOURA N11 N14 Gulf of Aden Tadjoura N9 Galafi Lac Assal Golfe de Tadjoura N1 N9 N9 Doraleh DJIBOUTI N1 Ghoubbet Arta N9 El Kharab DJIBOUTI N9 N1 DIKHIL N5 N1 N1 ALI SABIEH N5 N5 Abhe Bad N1 (Lac Abhe) Ali Sabieh DJIBOUTI Dikhil N5 To Dire Dawa SOMALIA/ ETHIOPIA SOMALILAND Source: United Nations Department of Field Support, Cartographic Section, Djibouti Map No. -
World Bank Document
Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized i © 2018 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / International Development Association of The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank, together with external contributors. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the following conditions: Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: The World Bank, 2018. “Port Development and Competition in East and Southern Africa: Prospects and Challenges.” World Bank, Washington, DC. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO Translations—If you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: This translation was not created by The World Bank and should not be considered an official World Bank translation. -
The Foreign Military Presence in the Horn of Africa Region
SIPRI Background Paper April 2019 THE FOREIGN MILITARY SUMMARY w The Horn of Africa is PRESENCE IN THE HORN OF undergoing far-reaching changes in its external security AFRICA REGION environment. A wide variety of international security actors— from Europe, the United States, neil melvin* the Middle East, the Gulf, and Asia—are currently operating I. Introduction in the region. As a result, the Horn of Africa has experienced The Horn of Africa region has experienced a substantial increase in the a proliferation of foreign number and size of foreign military deployments since 2001, especially in the military bases and a build-up of 1 past decade (see annexes 1 and 2 for an overview). A wide range of regional naval forces. The external and international security actors are currently operating in the Horn and the militarization of the Horn poses foreign military installations include land-based facilities (e.g. bases, ports, major questions for the future airstrips, training camps, semi-permanent facilities and logistics hubs) and security and stability of the naval forces on permanent or regular deployment.2 The most visible aspect region. of this presence is the proliferation of military facilities in littoral areas along This SIPRI Background the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa.3 However, there has also been a build-up Paper is the first of three papers of naval forces, notably around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, at the entrance to devoted to the new external the Red Sea and in the Gulf of Aden. security politics of the Horn of This SIPRI Background Paper maps the foreign military presence in the Africa.