Glenn County Agriculture Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture
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CROP REPORT PLUS Series Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture Commissioner’s Letter I am pleased to share the Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture. This report takes an important step beyond the Annual Crop & Livestock Report our department publishes each year. Instead of stopping at crop production values and acreage, it quantifies agriculture’s total economic contributions through food production, local food processing, employment, and economic multiplier effects. In short, the report documents agriculture’s The Honorable broader role in sustaining a thriving local economy. Board of Supervisors Section 2279 of the California Food and Agriculture Code requires of Glenn County all county agricultural commissioners to report the annual value of agriculture. This typically occurs via our yearly Annual Crop & d Livestock Report. Using twenty-first century economic tools, we can now fulfill this mandate better than ever. We can also explore John Viegas additional topics that clarify agriculture’s role in sustaining a healthy District 1 local economy. For 2017, agriculture contributed a total of $1.352 billion to the Paul Barr county economy. This far exceeds the $834.6 million figure from our District 2 2017 Annual Crop & Livestock Report. Agriculture also supported 4,182 direct employees, or nearly one out of every three jobs in the Vince Minto county (30.2%). Adding multiplier effects brought total employment to 5,245 jobs. With an economic diversification index of 0.55, District 3 agriculture also provided a stabilizing force to the county economy. Keith Corum Agriculture has a long tradition in Glenn County. For more than a century, it has been a pillar of our economy and culture. With this District 4 report, we renew our commitment to sustaining that tradition well into the future. Leigh McDaniel District 5 Respectfully submitted, Marcie Skelton Agricultural Commissioner/Sealer of Weights & Measures 720 North Colusa Street P.O. Box 351 Willows, CA 95988 [email protected] Ph: 530.934.6501 Fx: 530.934.6503 Table of Contents Agricultural Commissioner’s Letter ................................................... Inside Cover Glenn County Agriculture by the Numbers ...........................................................2 Introduction .........................................................................................................3 Our Approach .......................................................................................................4 Direct Effects of Glenn County Farm Production ..................................................5 Figure 1. Distribution of Glenn County Farm Production Multiplier Effects of Glenn County Farm Production ............................................6 Figure 2. Economic Effects of Farm Production Locally Sourced, Value-Added Food Processing ...................................................8 Figure 3. Economic Effects of Locally Sourced, Value-Added Food Processing Total Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture ...............................10 Figure 4. Overall Economic Effects of Glenn County Agriculture How Resilient is Agriculture to Economic Shocks? .............................................11 Figure 5. Agricultural Diversification is More Than Just the Number of Products Toward the Future ..............................................................................................12 Additional Questions .........................................................................................13 Acknowledgments .............................................................................................13 1 Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture Economic Contributions of the Agricultural Industry FOR 2017 $1.352 billion Glenn County Agriculture’s total contribution to the local economy $3.7 MIILION PER DAY $1.014 $337.7 billion million in direct in economic multiplier output effects One Dollar Employment out of Effects every $2.20 of the Agricultural Industry ONE in THREE (30.2%) 4,182 jobs in Glenn County direct employees was attributable to the agricultural Agriculture industry accounted for 1 5,245 dollar out of total jobs every $2.20 of the 1,000+ county’s direct additional jobs economic output attributable to multiplier effects: expenditures by agricultural companies and their employees 2 Introduction Residents and visitors alike know and value the contributions agriculture makes to Glenn County. Almonds, walnuts, rice, and dozens of other crops grow in deep, fertile soils and help feed the world. Cattle and calves dot the hillsides and valleys, bee hives buzz with activity, and breathtaking views of sunflower fields highlight the landscape’s patchwork effect. Clearly, agriculture plays a vital role in sustaining a healthy local economy. What's not so clear, however, is the true size of that role. How much money does agriculture pump into the local economy? How many jobs does agriculture support? In other words, just how important is agriculture as a driver of Glenn County’s economic health? This report sheds light on these and related questions. Using multiple data sources and advanced economic modeling techniques, it analyzes agriculture's total contribution to the Glenn County economy. The report also examines agricultural diversification and its role in supporting economic resilience, including a first-ever quantitative measure. Overall, the findings offer important information for policy makers, the public, and anyone who values a thriving local economy. 3 Economic Contributions of Glenn County Agriculture Our Approach When it comes to economic analysis, it's important to examine the fullest possible range of economic contributions. This report does that by focusing not just on direct economic effects such as farm production and employment, but also on multiplier effects. M ultiplier effects are ripples through the economy. These ripples include inter-industry business-to-business supplier purchases, as well as consumption spending by employees. The Multiplier Effects section on page 6 explains this further. It is appropriate to calculate multiplier effects when analyzing what economists call a basic industry. A basic industry is one that sells most of its products beyond the local area and thus brings outside money into local communities. Agriculture easily qualifies as a basic industry in Glenn County. Therefore, this report includesmultiplier effects when describing agriculture's total economic contributions. Our analysis only examines agriculture's economic contributions. To understand agriculture's full economic impact, one would also need to assess agricultural-related costs to society, for example net impacts on water and other natural resources. While important, these impacts lie beyond the scope of this study. Our calculations draw from local and national data sources. The local sources include industry experts and the Annual Crop & Livestock Report produced by the Glenn County Department of Agriculture. The main national data source is IMPLAN, a widely used economic modeling program (see www.implan.com). IMPLAN uses econometric modeling to convert data from more than a dozen federal government sources into local values for every U.S. county and zip code, across 536 industry sectors. Except where otherwise noted, all figures are from the year 2017, the most recent IMPLAN dataset available. Please contact the authors for additional details on the methods used. 4 Direct Effects of Glenn County Farm Production This section focuses on the simplest measures of economic activity: production and employment. It describes total farm production and the number of agricultural jobs. PRODUCTION Figure 1 uses data from the 2017 Glenn County Annual Crop & Livestock Report and shows the various categories that make up Glenn County’s farm production value. At $484.2 million, Fruit & Nut Crops was the single largest production category by dollar value in 2017, comprising 58.0% of the county total. Two commodities dominated this category: almonds at $217.1 million and walnuts at $184.7 million. Field Crops, at $165.2 million, represented the second largest category (19.8% of total production), led by rice at $125.5 million. Together, the two super categories of Fruit & Nut Crops and Field Crops accounted for 77.8% of the county's direct farm production value. The combined, total dollar value for all products rose $276.1 million over the previous decade, from $558.5 million in 2008 to $834.6 million in 2017. Inflation totaled 19.5% during this period, averaging just under 2% per year. Thus, agricultural production grew an impressive 30.0% even after adjusting for inflation. Total values do not reflect net profit or loss experienced by individual growers or by the industry as a whole. Interested readers are encouraged to consult the Glenn County Department of Agriculture’s 2017 Annual Crop & Livestock Report for additional details on specific products and their value. Figure 1. Distribution of Glenn County Farm Production Source: 2017 Annual Crop & Livestock Report, Glenn County Department of Agriculture .7% .8% n Fruit & Nut Crops $484,205,000 - 58.0% n Vegetable Crops 7.2% $6,026,000 - .7% n Nursery Products 4.9% $7,006,000 - .8% n Livestock & Poultry Products 4.9% 58.0% $59,835,000 - 7.2% n Livestock & Poultry 3.7% $40,557,000 - 4.9% n Seed Crops $41,177,000 - 4.9% 19.8% n Apiary Products $30,605,000 - 3.7% n Field Crops $165,221,000 - 19.8% EMPLOYMENT How