THE MEASURABLE NEWS The Quarterly Magazine of the College of Performance Management 2018.04 mycpm.org INSIDE 09 13 21 27 On the Psychology of Artificial Neural Applying Earned Benefit Increasing the THIS Human Misjudgment: Networks, Dovetailing Management Probability of Program Charlie Munger on Goals, and Rapid Skill The Value of Benefits Success with Continuous ISSUE Decision-Making Acquisition: Why Sharing If you can’t track it, you Risk Management Your Experience Helps can’t manage it! By Paul Bolinger with Us All By Glen Alleman, Tom Steven Phillips By Crispin “Kik” Piney Coonce, and Rick Price By Nathan Eskue THE MEASURABLE NEWS The Quarterly Magazine of the College of Performance Management 2018.04 2018 ISSUE 04 CONTENTS 05 Letter from the Editor(s) 07 Message from the President 09 On the Psychology of Human Misjudgment: Charlie Munger on Decision-Making By Paul Bolinger with Steven Phillips 13 Artificial Neural Networks, Dovetailing Goals, and Rapid Skill Acquisition: Why Sharing Your Experience Helps Us All (Or–Three Things I Realized While Being Held in an Italian Police Station) By Nathan Eskue 21 Applying Earned Benefit Management The Value of Benefits If you can’t track it, you can’t manage it! By Crispin “Kik” Piney, PgMP, PfMP 27 Increasing the Probability of Program Success with Continuous Risk Management By Glen Alleman, Tom Coonce, and Rick Price 48 Vendors/Services mycpm.org THE MEASURABLE NEWS IS AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE THE COLLEGE OF COLLEGE OF PERFORMANCE PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT EDITORIAL STAFF Publisher: College of Performance Management Story Editors: Robin Pulverenti and Nicholas Pisano Design: id365 Design + Communications Communications VP: Timothy Fritz 2018 BOARD & STAFF EDITORIAL COPY PRESIDENT Wayne Abba Editorial contributions, photos, and miscellaneous 703-658-1815 •
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