Elements of Causal Inference
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Philosophy of Science and Philosophy of Chemistry
Philosophy of Science and Philosophy of Chemistry Jaap van Brakel Abstract: In this paper I assess the relation between philosophy of chemistry and (general) philosophy of science, focusing on those themes in the philoso- phy of chemistry that may bring about major revisions or extensions of cur- rent philosophy of science. Three themes can claim to make a unique contri- bution to philosophy of science: first, the variety of materials in the (natural and artificial) world; second, extending the world by making new stuff; and, third, specific features of the relations between chemistry and physics. Keywords : philosophy of science, philosophy of chemistry, interdiscourse relations, making stuff, variety of substances . 1. Introduction Chemistry is unique and distinguishes itself from all other sciences, with respect to three broad issues: • A (variety of) stuff perspective, requiring conceptual analysis of the notion of stuff or material (Sections 4 and 5). • A making stuff perspective: the transformation of stuff by chemical reaction or phase transition (Section 6). • The pivotal role of the relations between chemistry and physics in connection with the question how everything fits together (Section 7). All themes in the philosophy of chemistry can be classified in one of these three clusters or make contributions to general philosophy of science that, as yet , are not particularly different from similar contributions from other sci- ences (Section 3). I do not exclude the possibility of there being more than three clusters of philosophical issues unique to philosophy of chemistry, but I am not aware of any as yet. Moreover, highlighting the issues discussed in Sections 5-7 does not mean that issues reviewed in Section 3 are less im- portant in revising the philosophy of science. -
Causal Inference with Information Fields
Causal Inference with Information Fields Benjamin Heymann Michel De Lara Criteo AI Lab, Paris, France CERMICS, École des Ponts, Marne-la-Vallée, France [email protected] [email protected] Jean-Philippe Chancelier CERMICS, École des Ponts, Marne-la-Vallée, France [email protected] Abstract Inferring the potential consequences of an unobserved event is a fundamental scientific question. To this end, Pearl’s celebrated do-calculus provides a set of inference rules to derive an interventional probability from an observational one. In this framework, the primitive causal relations are encoded as functional dependencies in a Structural Causal Model (SCM), which maps into a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) in the absence of cycles. In this paper, by contrast, we capture causality without reference to graphs or functional dependencies, but with information fields. The three rules of do-calculus reduce to a unique sufficient condition for conditional independence: the topological separation, which presents some theoretical and practical advantages over the d-separation. With this unique rule, we can deal with systems that cannot be represented with DAGs, for instance systems with cycles and/or ‘spurious’ edges. We provide an example that cannot be handled – to the extent of our knowledge – with the tools of the current literature. 1 Introduction As the world shifts toward more and more data-driven decision-making, causal inference is taking more space in applied sciences, statistics and machine learning. This is because it allows for better, more robust decision-making, and provides a way to interpret the data that goes beyond correlation Pearl and Mackenzie [2018]. -
Beauty on Display Plato and the Concept of the Kalon
BEAUTY ON DISPLAY PLATO AND THE CONCEPT OF THE KALON JONATHAN FINE Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY 2018 © 2018 Jonathan Fine All rights reserved ABSTRACT BEAUTY ON DISPLAY: PLATO AND THE CONCEPT OF THE KALON JONATHAN FINE A central concept for Plato is the kalon – often translated as the beautiful, fine, admirable, or noble. This dissertation shows that only by prioritizing dimensions of beauty in the concept can we understand the nature, use, and insights of the kalon in Plato. The concept of the kalon organizes aspirations to appear and be admired as beautiful for one’s virtue. We may consider beauty superficial and concern for it vain – but what if it were also indispensable to living well? By analyzing how Plato uses the concept of the kalon to contest cultural practices of shame and honour regulated by ideals of beauty, we come to see not only the tensions within the concept but also how attractions to beauty steer, but can subvert, our attempts to live well. TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgements ii 1 Coordinating the Kalon: A Critical Introduction 1 1 The Kalon and the Dominant Approach 2 2 A Conceptual Problem 10 3 Overview 24 2 Beauty, Shame, and the Appearance of Virtue 29 1 Our Ancient Contemporaries 29 2 The Cultural Imagination 34 3 Spirit and the Social Dimension of the Kalon 55 4 Before the Eyes of Others 82 3 Glory, Grief, and the Problem of Achilles 100 1 A Tragic Worldview 103 2 The Heroic Ideal 110 3 Disgracing Achilles 125 4 Putting Poikilia in its Place 135 1 Some Ambivalences 135 2 The Aesthetics of Poikilia 138 3 The Taste of Democracy 148 4 Lovers of Sights and Sounds 173 5 The Possibility of Wonder 182 5 The Guise of the Beautiful 188 1 A Psychological Distinction 190 2 From Disinterested Admiration to Agency 202 3 The Opacity of Love 212 4 Looking Good? 218 Bibliography 234 i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS “To do philosophy is to explore one’s own temperament,” Iris Murdoch suggested at the outset of “Of ‘God’ and ‘Good’”. -
The Role of Simplicity in Science and Theory. C
East Tennessee State University Digital Commons @ East Tennessee State University Undergraduate Honors Theses Student Works 5-2013 It's Not So Simple: The Role of Simplicity in Science and Theory. C. R. Gregg East Tennessee State University Follow this and additional works at: https://dc.etsu.edu/honors Part of the Theory and Philosophy Commons Recommended Citation Gregg, C. R., "It's Not So Simple: The Role of Simplicity in Science and Theory." (2013). Undergraduate Honors Theses. Paper 97. https://dc.etsu.edu/honors/97 This Honors Thesis - Withheld is brought to you for free and open access by the Student Works at Digital Commons @ East Tennessee State University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Undergraduate Honors Theses by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ East Tennessee State University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. IT’S NOT SO SIMPLE: THE ROLE OF SIMPLICITY IN SCIENCE AND THEORY Thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of Honors By C. R. Gregg Philosophy Honors In Discipline Program East Tennessee State University May 3, 2013 (Updated) May 7, 2013 Dr. David Harker, Faculty Mentor Dr. Jeffrey Gold, Honors Coordinator Dr. Gary Henson, Faculty Reader Dr. Allen Coates, Faculty Reader Paul Tudico, Faculty Reader ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to sincerely thank: David Harker, my mentor and friend. Paul Tudico, who is largely responsible for my choice to pursue Philosophy. Leslie MacAvoy, without whom I would not be an HID student. Karen Kornweibel, for believing in me. Rebecca Pyles, for believing in me. Gary Henson and Allen Coates, for offering their time to serve as readers. -
St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas on the Mind, Body, and Life After Death
The University of Akron IdeaExchange@UAkron Williams Honors College, Honors Research The Dr. Gary B. and Pamela S. Williams Honors Projects College Spring 2020 St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas on the Mind, Body, and Life After Death Christopher Choma [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://ideaexchange.uakron.edu/honors_research_projects Part of the Christianity Commons, Epistemology Commons, European History Commons, History of Philosophy Commons, History of Religion Commons, Metaphysics Commons, Philosophy of Mind Commons, and the Religious Thought, Theology and Philosophy of Religion Commons Please take a moment to share how this work helps you through this survey. Your feedback will be important as we plan further development of our repository. Recommended Citation Choma, Christopher, "St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas on the Mind, Body, and Life After Death" (2020). Williams Honors College, Honors Research Projects. 1048. https://ideaexchange.uakron.edu/honors_research_projects/1048 This Dissertation/Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by The Dr. Gary B. and Pamela S. Williams Honors College at IdeaExchange@UAkron, the institutional repository of The University of Akron in Akron, Ohio, USA. It has been accepted for inclusion in Williams Honors College, Honors Research Projects by an authorized administrator of IdeaExchange@UAkron. For more information, please contact [email protected], [email protected]. 1 St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas on the Mind, Body, and Life After Death By: Christopher Choma Sponsored by: Dr. Joseph Li Vecchi Readers: Dr. Howard Ducharme Dr. Nathan Blackerby 2 Table of Contents Introduction p. 4 Section One: Three General Views of Human Nature p. -
Aristotle's Anticommunism Author(S): Darrell Dobbs Source: American Journal of Political Science, Vol
Aristotle's Anticommunism Author(s): Darrell Dobbs Source: American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 29, No. 1 (Feb., 1985), pp. 29-46 Published by: Midwest Political Science Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2111210 Accessed: 10/12/2010 23:50 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=mpsa. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Midwest Political Science Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to American Journal of Political Science. http://www.jstor.org Aristotle'sAnticommunism DarrellDobbs, Universityof Houston This essayexamines Aristotle's critical review of Plato's Republic,the focus of whichreview is restricted,surprisingly, to Socrates'communistic political institutions; Aristotle hardly men- tionsany of theother important themes developed in thedialogue. -
The Practice of Causal Inference in Cancer Epidemiology
Vol. 5. 303-31 1, April 1996 Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention 303 Review The Practice of Causal Inference in Cancer Epidemiology Douglas L. Weedt and Lester S. Gorelic causes lung cancer (3) and to guide causal inference for occu- Preventive Oncology Branch ID. L. W.l and Comprehensive Minority pational and environmental diseases (4). From 1965 to 1995, Biomedical Program IL. S. 0.1. National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland many associations have been examined in terms of the central 20892 questions of causal inference. Causal inference is often practiced in review articles and editorials. There, epidemiologists (and others) summarize evi- Abstract dence and consider the issues of causality and public health Causal inference is an important link between the recommendations for specific exposure-cancer associations. practice of cancer epidemiology and effective cancer The purpose of this paper is to take a first step toward system- prevention. Although many papers and epidemiology atically reviewing the practice of causal inference in cancer textbooks have vigorously debated theoretical issues in epidemiology. Techniques used to assess causation and to make causal inference, almost no attention has been paid to the public health recommendations are summarized for two asso- issue of how causal inference is practiced. In this paper, ciations: alcohol and breast cancer, and vasectomy and prostate we review two series of review papers published between cancer. The alcohol and breast cancer association is timely, 1985 and 1994 to find answers to the following questions: controversial, and in the public eye (5). It involves a common which studies and prior review papers were cited, which exposure and a common cancer and has a large body of em- causal criteria were used, and what causal conclusions pirical evidence; over 50 studies and over a dozen reviews have and public health recommendations ensued. -
Statistics and Causal Inference (With Discussion)
Applied Statistics Lecture Notes Kosuke Imai Department of Politics Princeton University February 2, 2008 Making statistical inferences means to learn about what you do not observe, which is called parameters, from what you do observe, which is called data. We learn the basic principles of statistical inference from a perspective of causal inference, which is a popular goal of political science research. Namely, we study statistics by learning how to make causal inferences with statistical methods. 1 Statistical Framework of Causal Inference What do we exactly mean when we say “An event A causes another event B”? Whether explicitly or implicitly, this question is asked and answered all the time in political science research. The most commonly used statistical framework of causality is based on the notion of counterfactuals (see Holland, 1986). That is, we ask the question “What would have happened if an event A were absent (or existent)?” The following example illustrates the fact that some causal questions are more difficult to answer than others. Example 1 (Counterfactual and Causality) Interpret each of the following statements as a causal statement. 1. A politician voted for the education bill because she is a democrat. 2. A politician voted for the education bill because she is liberal. 3. A politician voted for the education bill because she is a woman. In this framework, therefore, the fundamental problem of causal inference is that the coun- terfactual outcomes cannot be observed, and yet any causal inference requires both factual and counterfactual outcomes. This idea is formalized below using the potential outcomes notation. -
Introduction: the New Metaphysics of Time Over the Last Several Years
History and Theory, Virtual Issue 1 (August 2012) © Wesleyan University 2012 ISSN: 1468-2303 INTRODUCTION: THE NEW METAPHYSICS OF TIME ETHAN KLEINBERG Over the last several years, the editors of History and Theory have tracked a growing trend evident not only in the articles published in our pages but also in manuscripts submitted to the journal as well as articles published in other venues. In the broadest strokes, this trend can be described as a response to the perceived limitations of a discourse predicated on language, rhetoric, and the question of representation. Whether one subscribes to the idea that historians and theorists of history took a “linguistic turn” in the 1980s,1 an increasing number of articles and monographs have taken issue with the general influence of French “post- structuralism” or “postmodernism,” with constructivism, and specifically with the work of Hayden White. These works seek to address the perceived faults of an overemphasis on the issues of “language” and representation that has obscured or misdirected the goal of actually addressing the past by perpetually worrying over how we might go about that task. Combined with the growing interest in material culture, the ways of science, and the nature of the body, it is hard to doubt the return to the real. But what strikes us as most interesting about this trend is the way that some of these theorists have sought to move beyond the emphasis on language and representation not by returning to a crude variant of objectivism or empiricism but by re-examining our relationship to the past and the past’s very nature and by attempting to construct a new metaphysics of time. -
David Hume, "The Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion," and Religious Tolerance
University of Tennessee, Knoxville TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange Supervised Undergraduate Student Research Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects and Creative Work 5-2020 David Hume, "The Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion," and Religious Tolerance Jarrett Delozier [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_chanhonoproj Part of the History of Philosophy Commons, History of Religion Commons, Intellectual History Commons, and the Religious Thought, Theology and Philosophy of Religion Commons Recommended Citation Delozier, Jarrett, "David Hume, "The Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion," and Religious Tolerance" (2020). Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects. https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_chanhonoproj/2382 This Dissertation/Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Supervised Undergraduate Student Research and Creative Work at TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. It has been accepted for inclusion in Chancellor’s Honors Program Projects by an authorized administrator of TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. For more information, please contact [email protected]. DeLozier 1 Introduction In the history of philosophy of religion and natural theology, David Hume is an immensely influential contributor. One of his most important works in the field is his Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion, which contains his greatest treatment of natural theology, specifically the design argument. However, there’s a big problem which the Dialogues present to understanding Hume. Eleven of the twelve parts of the Dialogues contain Hume’s sharp criticisms and attacks on the Design argument. But in the final part, in what is often called “Philo’s Reversal,” he seems to completely reverse course by renouncing his skepticism and endorsing the Design argument. -
Bayesian Causal Inference
Bayesian Causal Inference Maximilian Kurthen Master’s Thesis Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics Within the Elite Master Program Theoretical and Mathematical Physics Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich Technical University of Munich Supervisor: PD Dr. Torsten Enßlin Munich, September 12, 2018 Abstract In this thesis we address the problem of two-variable causal inference. This task refers to inferring an existing causal relation between two random variables (i.e. X → Y or Y → X ) from purely observational data. We begin by outlining a few basic definitions in the context of causal discovery, following the widely used do-Calculus [Pea00]. We continue by briefly reviewing a number of state-of-the-art methods, including very recent ones such as CGNN [Gou+17] and KCDC [MST18]. The main contribution is the introduction of a novel inference model where we assume a Bayesian hierarchical model, pursuing the strategy of Bayesian model selection. In our model the distribution of the cause variable is given by a Poisson lognormal distribution, which allows to explicitly regard discretization effects. We assume Fourier diagonal covariance operators, where the values on the diagonal are given by power spectra. In the most shallow model these power spectra and the noise variance are fixed hyperparameters. In a deeper inference model we replace the noise variance as a given prior by expanding the inference over the noise variance itself, assuming only a smooth spatial structure of the noise variance. Finally, we make a similar expansion for the power spectra, replacing fixed power spectra as hyperparameters by an inference over those, where again smoothness enforcing priors are assumed. -
Articles Causal Inference in Civil Rights Litigation
VOLUME 122 DECEMBER 2008 NUMBER 2 © 2008 by The Harvard Law Review Association ARTICLES CAUSAL INFERENCE IN CIVIL RIGHTS LITIGATION D. James Greiner TABLE OF CONTENTS I. REGRESSION’S DIFFICULTIES AND THE ABSENCE OF A CAUSAL INFERENCE FRAMEWORK ...................................................540 A. What Is Regression? .........................................................................................................540 B. Problems with Regression: Bias, Ill-Posed Questions, and Specification Issues .....543 1. Bias of the Analyst......................................................................................................544 2. Ill-Posed Questions......................................................................................................544 3. Nature of the Model ...................................................................................................545 4. One Regression, or Two?............................................................................................555 C. The Fundamental Problem: Absence of a Causal Framework ....................................556 II. POTENTIAL OUTCOMES: DEFINING CAUSAL EFFECTS AND BEYOND .................557 A. Primitive Concepts: Treatment, Units, and the Fundamental Problem.....................558 B. Additional Units and the Non-Interference Assumption.............................................560 C. Donating Values: Filling in the Missing Counterfactuals ...........................................562 D. Randomization: Balance in Background Variables ......................................................563