Annual Report 2016
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ANNUAL REPORT 2016 INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AND STRATEGIC STUDIES PEKING UNIVERSITY 2016 Review·Plans for 2017 The Organization of the Institute of International and Strategic Studies (IISS), Peking University (PKU) Honorary President: Dai Bingguo President: Wang Jisi Vice President: Yuan Ming Executive Vice President: Guan Guihai Vice President: Yu Tiejun Assistant President: Gui Yongtao Board of Directors Chen Shiyi President of the South University of Science and Technology Chen Xiaogong Former Deputy Director of the Central Foreign Affairs Office, and Lieutenant General of the Air Force Cui Liru Senior Advisor to the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations Fu Chengyu Former Chairman of China Petrochemical Corporation Han Fangming Deputy Director of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and Chairman of the Charhar Institute He Di Chairman of Board of Directors of UBS Group AG and Director General of Boyuan Foundation He Yafei Former Deputy Director of the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council, People's Republic of China Jia Qingguo Dean of the School of International Studies (SIS), Peking University Le Yucheng Deputy Director of the Central Foreign Affairs Office Qin Yaqing President of the Foreign Affairs University Qiu Yuanping Director of the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council, People's Republic of China, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group Wang Yizhou Associate Dean of the SIS, Peking University Wu Zhipan Executive Vice President of Peking University Xiao Tianliang Vice President of the PLA National Defence University, Lieutenant General Xu Bu China's Ambassador to Mission of the People's Republic of China to ASEAN Xu Zhenzhou Professor at the SIS, Peking University Yan Xuetong President of the Institute of Modern International Relations, Tsinghua University Yang Jiemian Director of the Academic Committee of the Shanghai Institute of International Studies Yang Yi Professor at the Institute for Strategic Studies, PLA National Defense University, Rear Admiral Yuan Nansheng Party Secretary of the Foreign Affairs University Yue Xiaoyong Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the People's Republic of China to Ireland Zhang Tuosheng Director of the Academic Committee of the China Foundation for International and Strategic Studies Zheng Zeguang Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, People's Republic of China Zhou Mingwei Director of the China Foreign Languages Publishing Administration Zhou Qiren Professor at the National School of Development, Peking University Zhu Feng Executive Director of the Collaborative Innovation Center of South China Sea Studies Zhu Weilie Honorary President of the Middle East Studies Institute, Shanghai International Studies University Table of Contents Remarks by President 01 Introduction of IISS 02 Events 04 The Third Annual Meeting of "North Pavilion Dialogue" 06 Research Topics 09 Publications 13 Exchange and Cooperation 14 Academic Seminars 20 Symposiums 22 North Pavilion Seminar 23 Collaborative Innovation Center for International Strategic Studies 24 Researchers 25 Senior research fellow 26 Staff 27 Remarks by President he year 2016 is coming on the South China Sea. China Tto the end. This year will declared that the ruling was null definitely leave a deep imprint on and void. After the arbitration, the world's political chronicles. the U.S. involved in the dispute In this year, the most prominent with a high profile, suddenly feature of international situation bringing turbulence to the South is that “Black Swan” events China Sea dispute. What people emerged one after another. hadn't expected was the sudden In November, Donald Trump change in China-Philippines defeated Hillary Clinton, and won relations–Rodrigo Duterte, the the presidential campaign, which new President of the Philippines, was completely beyond the visited China in October, and expectation of the world's most during his visit, the two countries professional politicians, senior reached an understanding on researchers and major media. In the issue of South China Sea. the United Kingdom European In November, South Korean Union membership referendum President Park Geun-hye in June, it was unexpected that apologized to nationals for the the majority of voters voted to scandal of involving influence of leave the European Union. The a crony. She will be investigated government of United Kingdom by an independent counsel. Her reformed a cabinet after the prestige has plummeted since referendum, and the country the scandal. Earlier before the will formally bid a farewell to scandal, the decision of the the European Union. In July, U.S. and South Korea to deploy the tribunal of the South China the Terminal High Altitude Area Sea Arbitration made a final Defense (THAAD) in South ruling, which was in favor of the Korea caused a diplomatic row Philippines, and claimed that between China and South Korea. China has "no historical rights" In May, Tsai Ing-wen assumed the regional leader of Taiwan, spring, supported and sponsored government agencies like China, and refused to officially by National Committee on the Ministry of Education recognize the "1992 consensus" United States-China Relations and the Ministry of Foreign the two sides reached, resulting and China United States Affairs, leaders and schools in a cooling in cross-strait Exchange Foundation, we and departments of PKU, relations. Since the beginning held a symposium for young entrepreneurs, academic of 2016, many other issues and middle-aged scholars of colleagues and students. We also raised serious concerns, international relations from both also want to thank Mr. Dai such as the slow recovery of China and United States at the Bingguo, Former State Councilor world economy, the rising trade North Pavilion. We hope that the of China and Honorary President protectionism, deterioration in symposium can be held annually, of our Institute of International U.S.-Russian relations, the influx so that we can build it into a new and Strategic Studies, for his of Middle Eastern refugees into academic platform and brand. In consistent guidance and care. Europe and constant conflicts in October, the third annual meeting We can't predict if there would the Middle East. of "North Pavilion Dialogue" be any“Black Swan”events in we held was highly praised by the world in the year 2017, but In this eventful year, the Institute domestic and foreign strategists we will make greater efforts and of International & Strategic and think tank scholars. We also be more prepared to face new Studies (IISS), Peking University introduced current research challenges. (PKU) continues to offer calm trends of relevant domestic and observation and in-depth analysis foreign think tanks through our Wang Jisi on international strategic situation. expanded networking platform. Written on November 16, 2016 It has conducted domestic This annual report reflects our and international exchanges work processes and outcomes in on development trend of world this year. politics and many hot issues, published a number of treatises, We want to take this opportunity commentaries and reports, and to express our gratitude for also provided advisory reports units and individuals that always to decision-making organs. This support our work, including 01 Introduction of IISS experts in and out of the PKU, relevant subjects. It also leads and the president responsibility the public to understand issues system is implemented under the related to national security and leadership of the Board. international strategy in a sound, IISS aims to promote the correct and reasonable way. development of academic Its research results include the fficially founded in research and policy research irregularly published International OOctober 2013, the Institute related to world politics, Strategic Studies Report, of International and Strategic international security and global Think Tank Digest, Think Tank Studies (IISS), Peking University strategy, etc. It focuses on the Frontier, the annually published (PKU) was the former Center analysis of international situations China International Strategy of International and Strategic that China faces as well as Review(English and Chinese), Studies of Peking University international strategy of related International Strategy Research established in May 2007. Dai countries, then based on such Series of Peking University, and Bingguo, the former State analysis, publishes or presents research reports entrusted by Councilor, was invited by PKU to research results to relevant government sectors, enterprises serve as the honorary president authority that are characterized and public institutions. of IISS. IISS is affiliated to the by policy significance and In the trend of globalization, we School of International Studies, future vision. IISS is committed have been witnessing an array PKU, and exists as an entity that to providing intellectual support of interwoven and interacting can use “Peking University” in for China's decision-making issues of politics, economy, its name. Its Board of Directors is of international strategy as military, science, technology, composed of senior scholars and well as serving the teaching of culture, religion and society 02 around the world. The non- many Projects of the National known think tanks, universities traditional security issues, such Social Science Fund of China and research institutions at as ecological environment, public and Major Key Projects of home