Effective, Timely and Global: the urgent need for good Global Governance of AI A report by the Transnational Working Group on AI and Disruptive Technologies of the World Federalist Movement and Institute for Global Policy November 2020 1 Corporate Author The Transnational Working Group on AI and Disruptive Technologies of the World Federalist Movement and Institute for Global Policy Corresponding author:
[email protected] Members of the Transnational Working Group: Keith Best Didier Coeurnelle Dr Walter Dorn Marcelo Lemos Dr Lars Lünenburger Fritz Pointer Marjolijn Snippe Robert Whitfield (Chair) We acknowledge the support received from John Daniele, Paju-Anna Hentunen, Imogen McCullough and Hester Mifsud and recent speakers who have inspired us including Jamie Metzl and Nell Watson. 2 Contents Executive Summary 4 Recommendations 7 1 INTRODUCTION 9 2 THE CASE FOR GOOD AI 10 3 REGULATION AND GOVERNANCE 13 4 VALUES AND PRINCIPLES 19 5 SOCIAL MEDIA AND THE INFOCALYPSE 26 6 AI ACTIVITIES REPLACING HUMAN WORK 29 7 DESKILLING 38 8 THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY 42 9 MILITARY USE 53 10 GOVERNANCE / INSTITUTIONAL ISSUES 56 11 PHASED SUMMARY 64 12 CONCLUSIONS 65 BIBLIOGRAPHY 65 NOTES 73 3 Executive Summary Artificial Intelligence (AI) has immense value to offer to humanity, such as improved efficiency, new capabilities, and solutions for complex problems. A fast- growing AI industry is developing, applying AI to every sector of our economy. AI is often able to reduce costs, render a service more effective or produce a design more quickly. As its capabilities continue to grow, it may prove as transformative as the proliferation of electrification and cheap motive power was in the 20th century, ushering in an era of abundance, longer and healthier lives and greater realisation of human rights.