Invest in Côte d’Ivoire A business guide for Africa’s fastest-growing economy March 2017 Proposal title goes here | Section title goes here
“Côte d’Ivoire is Africa’s fastest-growing economy. The fast pace of growth is due to a strong macroeconomic environment, a solid position in international markets and a large amount of significant natural resources.”
03 Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Table of contents
Table of contents
Executive summary 3 Country overview 5 Côte d’Ivoire’s economy 6 Business environment 13 Investment opportunities 21 Challenges and risks 27 References 28 Appendix 29 Contacts 35
2 Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Executive summary
Executive summary
Located in the inter-tropical coastal zone sustainable growth. Two development Consequently, Côte d’Ivoire has improved of West Africa, the Republic of Côte d’Ivoire plans have been implemented in Côte its rankings in the World Bank’s annual has a population of 22.7 million inhabitants, d’Ivoire: the National Development Plan Ease of Doing Business index, moving 42.5% of whom are under the age of 14. (NDP) 2012-15 to lay the foundations for an from 177th position in the 2014 report Yamoussoukro is the political capital, emerging economy; and the NDP 2016-20 (out of 189 countries) to the 142nd while Abidjan is the economic hub of the to structurally transform the country into position in 2017 (out of 190 countries). country. The country is a member of the an industrialising nation. The 2014 and 2015 reports ranked Côte West African Economic Monetary Union d’Ivoire among the 10 best reformers in (WAEMU), an eight country customs and With a total investment of 3trn CFAF, the world. The improvements included currency union in which all members use the NDP 2016-20 aims to improve the the implementation of a single user the CFA franc (CFAF). well-being of the population by reducing identification number for business creation, the poverty rate and fostering an online submission of complaints to the Côte d’Ivoire is the largest economy in emerging middle class. In April 2016, Commercial Court of Abidjan, publication French-speaking West Africa and the third donors pledged to fund Côte d’Ivoire’s of rulings from the Commercial Court, and largest in West Africa after Nigeria and NDP with up to US$15.4bn in grants and electronic land registration. Ghana. Real gross domestic product (GDP) credits and the World Bank committed to grew on average by 9% per year during the double its support for the next four years The World Bank projects for Côte d’Ivoire period 2012-15, reversing a 10-year decline representing approximately US$5bn. an average annual GDP growth rate of 8% in per capita income. over the 2016-18 period. This is higher Since November 2012, Côte d’Ivoire than the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and Agriculture is crucial for the country in has introduced new incentives in its world annual growth averages of 3.2% terms of revenues and employment, with Investment Code in order to ease the and 2.7% respectively. The fast pace of the country being the world’s largest private investment regime. This includes: growth is due to a strong macroeconomic producer and exporter of cocoa beans. promotion of local raw materials policy environment, a solid position in In fact, agriculture accounted for around production, production of competitive international markets with products like 25% of GDP in 2015. Natural resources goods for domestic market and exports; cocoa and a large amount of significant play a key role in the country’s economy, and creation of incentives for technology. natural resources like gold and natural gas. especially fossil energy and ores. The fiscal policy is also moving towards incentives policies for small and medium- Since February 2017, the last contingent of Côte d’Ivoire offers relatively well- sized enterprises (SMEs) with more United Nations (UN) blue helmets left the developed road infrastructure, the second favourable tax conditions. country after 14 years. While the departure largest port in West Africa, and a modern marks a lasting return to stability and airport with a national airline that serves all One of the main pillars for investment peace in Côte d’Ivoire according to the of the major capital cities in the region. promotion is the legal framework of UN, some security challenges remain, and the country, which has experienced a recent uprisings recalled that the security The country’s investment environment has constitutional transformation in 2016 challenge was not yet fully overcome. matured over recent years, as the political pointing to better democratic conditions Governance and stability is a major priority. environment has been stable since the and education rights reinforcement, Moreover, skilled labour is needed as end of 2011. The government is committed amongst other things. foreign direct investment (FDI) surges and to implement structural reforms that the availability of land for large industrial contribute to improve the macroeconomic operations is insufficient to satisfy environment and set the stage for increasing demand.
3 Proposal title goes here | Section title goes here
4 Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Country overview
Country overview
Located in the inter-tropical coastal zone of West Africa, the Republic of Côte d’Ivoire has a population of 22.7 million inhabitants1, 42.5% of whom are under the age of 14.2
Côte d’Ivoire is the largest economy in French- speaking West Africa and the third largest in West Africa as a whole (after Nigeria and Ghana). The country’s gross national income (GNI) per capita was estimated at US$1 420 in 2015.
The country has a wealth of natural resources such as petroleum, natural gas, diamonds, manganese, iron ore, cobalt, bauxite, copper, gold, nickel, tantalum, silica sand, clay, hydropower, etc. Natural resources have played a key role in the country’s economy, especially fossil energy and ores. Although decreasing, resources still represent 5% of the country’s GDP.
Agriculture is also crucial for the country in terms of revenues and employment. It accounted for around 25% of GDP in 2015. The country is a member of the WAEMU, an eight- country3 customs and currency union in which all members use the CFAF. The Union includes 112 million inhabitants, and has a common trade policy and external tariff. The banking sector of member countries is regulated by the Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) which also maintains a fixed exchange rate with the euro.
Côte d’Ivoire is also a member of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) made up of 15 countries4 and with almost 360 million inhabitants in 2016.5 The community promotes economic integration and regional peace and stability. ECOWAS has an economic partnership with the European Union (EU) covering goods and development cooperation. The country is the EU’s largest trading partner in SSA.
1. World Bank database, 2015. 4. The eight countries of WAEMU plus Cape Verde, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone. 5 2. World Bank database, 2015. 5. UNCTAD, 2016. 3. Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, Guinea Bissau, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. ProposalInvest in titleCôte goes d’Ivoire here | |Côte Section d’Ivoire’s title goes economy here
Côte d’Ivoire’s economy
From independence in 1960 until the end of the 1970s, Côte d’Ivoire enjoyed what some analysts called ‘Côte d’Ivoire’s miracle’.
Snapshot of the past This resulted in sluggish growth over Over the period, GDP increased fourfold the period. However, throughout all this at an annual rate averaging 8%. Growth period and even during the civil war, the was driven by agricultural exports (80% country experienced a low inflation rate. of total exports), mainly cocoa, coffee and Inflation since 2000 was generally below wood. Industry and services also grew the regional central bank’s threshold of 3%, rapidly, respectively at a pace of 10% and providing stable signals for consumption 13% between 1965 and 1974. Thanks to and investment. export revenues important investments in infrastructure and education were made by Figure 1. Annual average GDP growth (%), 1961-2011 the government. 9 9 8 8 The economic miracle ended when 7 7 international cocoa and coffee prices 6 6 collapsed in the 1980s. Côte d’Ivoire’s 5 5 economy was too exposed to the 4 4 fluctuation of commodity prices. Over the 3 Average % Average % 3 next decade, as international cocoa prices 2 2 kept decreasing, GDP declined on average 1 1 by 0.24 percentage points per year. Coffee 0 0 and cocoa prices represented only 30% of -1-1 their peak values at the beginning of the 1961-1979 1980-1989 1990-2000 2001-2011 1990s. Source: World Bank data, 2016
To combat economic difficulties, the country pursued important structural reforms from the 1980s. However, Figure 2. Inflation rate (%), 1994-2015 these reforms were insufficient to 30 30 stimulate strong and sustainable growth. 25 26 25 Throughout the 1990s, Côte d’Ivoire 20 20 carried on with reforms and liberalised % 15 14 % 15 its economy. This included the launch of 10 10 6 investment programmes, in particular into 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 infrastructure. These reforms stimulated 00 growth, but at a lower rate compared to the
1970s. Throughout the 2000s, the civil war 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (2002-11) hampered the economic potential of the country until 2011. Source: World Bank data, 2016
6 Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Côte d’Ivoire’s economy
A booming economy The services sector is mainly composed Since 2012, Côte d’Ivoire’s economic of commercial activities (11.1%), post and performance has been impressive, and in telecommunications (7%), transport (3.8), striking contrast with the last ten years of and banking activities (3.4%).6 political instability. Political normalisation, budget support policy, debt reduction, By exporting agricultural and mineral and reforms to strengthen the business products, the country has kept a positive climate have led to an acceleration of trade balance over the 2000-15 period. economic activity. Driven by investment and consumption, GDP grew on average by 9% per year during the period 2012-15, Figure 3. Main macroeconomic indicators, averages for 2000-11 and 2012-15 reversing a 10-year decline in per capita income. The country had a nominal GDP of about US$32bn in 2015, making it one of 2000-11 2012-15 the largest economies in West Africa. Real GDP growth (%) 0.4 9.0
Inflation rate (%) 3.0 1.4 Although agriculture has lost its central role in Côte d’Ivoire’s economy, its share Overall budget balance (% of GDP) -1.4 -2.7 remains important. The country is still the Current external balance (% of GDP) 2.5 -1.2 world’s largest producer and exporter of cocoa beans, and main producer and Public debt (% of GDP) 74.5 45.7 exporter of coffee and palm oil, with 64.8% of land used for agricultural purposes.7 Source: World Bank data, 2016
In 1960, the largest contributors to Figure 4. GDP disaggregation (%) 1960 vs 2015 GDP were agriculture (48%) followed by services (39%) and industry (13%). In 100 2015, agriculture represented only 24% 100 80 of GDP, and services increased to 55% of 80 39 55 GDP. Industry’s share of GDP has almost 6060 % 13 doubled during the period (from 13% to % 4040 21 21%). There has been a significant change 2020 48 in GDP sector contribution, showing that 24 0 0 Côte d’Ivoire’s economy has diversified 1960 2015 over time, reducing its dependence on agriculture and exposure to volatility of Agriculture value added Industry value added Services value added value added international markets. Source: World Bank data, 2016 Côte d’Ivoire’s primary sector is composed of food crops (12% of GDP), export crops (11%), and animal husbandry and peaches (2%). The secondary sector is driven by petroleum (7.2%), followed by the food industry (7.1%) and extractive products (6.7%).
7 6. GDP disaggregation for 2013 from Côte d’Ivoire’s National Statistical Institute. 7. 2011 estimation; Central Intelligence Agency, 2016. Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Côte d’Ivoire’s economy
The Netherlands is the main trade partner Figure 5. Trade balance (US$m), 2000-15 of Côte d’Ivoire in 2015 (receiving 12% of 15 000 total exports, mostly in cocoa), followed 15 000 by the US and Belgium, with 8% and 7% 1010 000 respectively. 55 000
Main destination partners of Côte d’Ivoire’s 0 US$m petroleum products are the US, Nigeria US$m -5-5 000000 and Burkina Faso, with US$545m in -10-10 000000 exports revenue in 2015. -15-15 000000 Côte d’Ivoire exports to its partners 2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 mainly agriculture products. Besides the Imports Exports Net Balance fluctuation (linked to international price Source: UN International Merchandise Trade Statistics, 2016 variations), the contribution of agriculture to total exports is on average 50% for the Figure 6. Export products (US$m and %), 2015 2000-15 period.
155m, 1% As a share of agriculture products, 5 130m, 43% cocoa makes up 43% of Côte d’Ivoire’s 4 481m, 38% total exports, followed by fruit products (8%), and oil and petroleum (5%). Cocoa generated more than US$5bn in revenues for Côte d’Ivoire in 2015.
With regard to imports, 65% of Côte 508m, 4% d’Ivoire’s imported products originate from 103m, 1% 545m, 5% 923m, 8% 10 countries of which nine are not in Africa. Imports are mainly from Nigeria (15%) Palm oil Cocoa Coffee Fruits Oil and petroleum Rubber Others followed by France and China, with 14% and 12% respectively. Source: UN Comtrade, 2017
Figure 7. Main export and import partners, 2015
Exports Imports Country Value (US$m) Share in % Country Value (US$m) Share in %
Netherlands 1 427.7 12% Nigeria 1 444.2 15%
US 962.1 8% France 1 311.6 14%
Belgium 775.0 7% China 1 113.8 12%
France 762.2 6% US 417.4 4%
Germany 721.4 6% Italy 379.4 4%
Burkina Faso 535.3 5% India 365.7 4%
India 495.7 4% Spain 295.8 3%
Mali 487.8 4% Netherlands 272.6 3%
Nigeria 473.4 4% UK 241.8 3%
Ghana 461.3 4% Germany 240.7 3%
Other 4 743 40% Other 3 689.8 35%
Total 11 844.8 100% Total 9 772.9 100%
Source: UN Comtrade, 2017
8 Invest in Côte d’Ivoire | Côte d’Ivoire’s economy
Outlook for the future The vision of the NDP 2016-20 is built The World Bank projects an average annual around four main pillars: growth rate of approximately 8% over the 1. Côte d’Ivoire, an industrial power 2016-18 period for Côte d’Ivoire. This is higher than the SSA and world averages 2. Côte d’Ivoire, a united nation in its of 3.2% and 2.7% respectively over the cultural diversity same period. The fast pace of growth is 3. Côte d’Ivoire, a democratic nation on account of a robust macroeconomic policy environment, a solid position in 4. Côte d’Ivoire, open to the world. international markets with products like cocoa, and a large amount of significant With a total investment of 3trn CFAF, the natural resources like gold and natural gas. NDP 2016-20 aims to improve the well- being of the population by reducing the The NDP 2016-20 poverty rate and fostering an emerging Since 2011, the government of Côte d’Ivoire middle class. Secondly, the plan is expected has committed to implement structural to result in a more dynamic economy, reforms that contribute to improve the sustained by an industrialisation strategy macroeconomic environment and set the that promotes employment opportunities. stage for sustainable growth. The plan is Finally, the plan also aims to reinforce divided into two steps: the NDP 2012-15 the international and regional economic which lays the foundation for an emerging integration of the country.8 economy; and the NDP 2016-20 which aims at structurally transforming the country into an industrialising nation. Figure 8. GDP growth outlook (%), 2014-19 forecast
The reforms include: