Adaptive Systems: History, Techniques, Problems, and Perspectives
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What Is a Complex Adaptive System?
PROJECT GUTS What is a Complex Adaptive System? Introduction During the last three decades a leap has been made from the application of computing to help scientists ‘do’ science to the integration of computer science concepts, tools and theorems into the very fabric of science. The modeling of complex adaptive systems (CAS) is an example of such an integration of computer science into the very fabric of science; models of complex systems are used to understand, predict and prevent the most daunting problems we face today; issues such as climate change, loss of biodiversity, energy consumption and virulent disease affect us all. The study of complex adaptive systems, has come to be seen as a scientific frontier, and an increasing ability to interact systematically with highly complex systems that transcend separate disciplines will have a profound affect on future science, engineering and industry as well as in the management of our planet’s resources (Emmott et al., 2006). The name itself, “complex adaptive systems” conjures up images of complicated ideas that might be too difficult for a novice to understand. Instead, the study of CAS does exactly the opposite; it creates a unified method of studying disparate systems that elucidates the processes by which they operate. A complex system is simply a system in which many independent elements or agents interact, leading to emergent outcomes that are often difficult (or impossible) to predict simply by looking at the individual interactions. The “complex” part of CAS refers in fact to the vast interconnectedness of these systems. Using the principles of CAS to study these topics as related disciplines that can be better understood through the application of models, rather than a disparate collection of facts can strengthen learners’ understanding of these topics and prepare them to understand other systems by applying similar methods of analysis (Emmott et al., 2006). -
Coping with the Bounds: a Neo-Clausewitzean Primer / Thomas J
About the CCRP The Command and Control Research Program (CCRP) has the mission of improving DoD’s understanding of the national security implications of the Information Age. Focusing upon improving both the state of the art and the state of the practice of command and control, the CCRP helps DoD take full advantage of the opportunities afforded by emerging technologies. The CCRP pursues a broad program of research and analysis in information superiority, information operations, command and control theory, and associated operational concepts that enable us to leverage shared awareness to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of assigned missions. An important aspect of the CCRP program is its ability to serve as a bridge between the operational, technical, analytical, and educational communities. The CCRP provides leadership for the command and control research community by: • articulating critical research issues; • working to strengthen command and control research infrastructure; • sponsoring a series of workshops and symposia; • serving as a clearing house for command and control related research funding; and • disseminating outreach initiatives that include the CCRP Publication Series. This is a continuation in the series of publications produced by the Center for Advanced Concepts and Technology (ACT), which was created as a “skunk works” with funding provided by the CCRP under the auspices of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (NII). This program has demonstrated the importance of having a research program focused on the national security implications of the Information Age. It develops the theoretical foundations to provide DoD with information superiority and highlights the importance of active outreach and dissemination initiatives designed to acquaint senior military personnel and civilians with these emerging issues. -
Adaptive Capacity and Traps
Copyright © 2008 by the author(s). Published here under license by the Resilience Alliance. Carpenter, S. R., and W. A. Brock. 2008. Adaptive capacity and traps. Ecology and Society 13(2): 40. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss2/art40/ Insight Adaptive Capacity and Traps Stephen R. Carpenter 1 and William A. Brock 1 ABSTRACT. Adaptive capacity is the ability of a living system, such as a social–ecological system, to adjust responses to changing internal demands and external drivers. Although adaptive capacity is a frequent topic of study in the resilience literature, there are few formal models. This paper introduces such a model and uses it to explore adaptive capacity by contrast with the opposite condition, or traps. In a social– ecological rigidity trap, strong self-reinforcing controls prevent the flexibility needed for adaptation. In the model, too much control erodes adaptive capacity and thereby increases the risk of catastrophic breakdown. In a social–ecological poverty trap, loose connections prevent the mobilization of ideas and resources to solve problems. In the model, too little control impedes the focus needed for adaptation. Fluctuations of internal demand or external shocks generate pulses of adaptive capacity, which may gain traction and pull the system out of the poverty trap. The model suggests some general properties of traps in social–ecological systems. It is general and flexible, so it can be used as a building block in more specific and detailed models of adaptive capacity for a particular region. Key Words: adaptation; allostasis; model; poverty trap; resilience; rigidity trap; transformation INTRODUCTION it seems empty of ideas, it will be abandoned or transformed into something else. -
Observation of Nonlinear Verticum-Type Systems Applied to Ecological Monitoring
2nd Reading June 4, 2012 13:53 WSPC S1793-5245 242-IJB 1250051 International Journal of Biomathematics Vol. 5, No. 6 (November 2012) 1250051 (15 pages) c World Scientific Publishing Company DOI: 10.1142/S1793524512500519 OBSERVATION OF NONLINEAR VERTICUM-TYPE SYSTEMS APPLIED TO ECOLOGICAL MONITORING S. MOLNAR´ Institute of Mathematics and Informatics Szent Istv´an University P´ater K. u. 1., H-2103 Godollo, Hungary [email protected] M. GAMEZ´ ∗ and I. LOPEZ´ † Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics University of Almer´ıa La Ca˜nada de San Urbano 04120 Almer´ıa, Spain ∗[email protected] †[email protected] Received 4 November 2011 Accepted 13 January 2012 Published 7 June 2012 In this paper the concept of a nonlinear verticum-type observation system is introduced. These systems are composed from several “subsystems” connected sequentially in a particular way: a part of the state variables of each “subsystem” also appears in the next “subsystem” as an “exogenous variable” which can also be interpreted as a con- trol generated by an “exosystem”. Therefore, these “subsystems” are not observation systems, but formally can be considered as control-observation systems. The problem of observability of such systems can be reduced to rank conditions on the “subsystems”. Indeed, under the condition of Lyapunov stability of an equilibrium of the “large”, verticum-type system, it is shown that the Kalman rank condition on the linearization of the “subsystems” implies the observability of the original, nonlinear verticum-type system. For an illustration of the above linearization result, a stage-structured fishery model with reserve area is considered. -
Systems That Adapt to Their Users
Systems That Adapt to Their Users Anthony Jameson and Krzysztof Z. Gajos DFKI, German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences Introduction This chapter covers a broad range of interactive systems which have one idea in common: that it can be worthwhile for a system to learn something about individual users and adapt its behavior to them in some nontrivial way. A representative example is shown in Figure 20.1: the COMMUNITYCOMMANDS recommender plug-in for AUTO- CAD (introduced by Matejka, Li, Grossman, & Fitzmau- rice, 2009, and discussed more extensively by Li, Mate- jka, Grossman, Konstan, & Fitzmaurice, 2011). To help users deal with the hundreds of commands that AUTO- CAD offers—of which most users know only a few dozen— COMMUNITYCOMMANDS (a) gives the user easy access to several recently used commands, which the user may want to invoke again soon; and (b) more proactively suggests com- mands that this user has not yet used but may find useful, Figure 20.1: Screenshot showing how COMMUNITY- given the type of work they have been doing recently. COMMANDS recommends commands to a user. (Image supplied by Justin Matejka. The length of the darker bar for a com- Concepts mand reflects its estimated relevance to the user’s activities. When the user A key idea embodied in COMMUNITYCOMMANDS and the hovers over a command in this interface, a tooltip appears that explains the command and might show usage hints provided by colleagues. See also other systems discussed in this chapter is that of adapta- http://www.autodesk.com/research.) tion to the individual user. -
Nonlinear System Stability and Behavioral Analysis for Effective
S S symmetry Article Nonlinear System Stability and Behavioral Analysis for Effective Implementation of Artificial Lower Limb Susmita Das 1 , Dalia Nandi 2, Biswarup Neogi 3 and Biswajit Sarkar 4,* 1 Narula Institute of Technology, Kolkata 700109, India; [email protected] 2 Indian Institute of Information Technology Kalyani, Kalyani 741235, India; [email protected] 3 JIS College of Engineering., Kalyani 741235, India; [email protected] 4 Department of Industrial Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea * Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected] Received: 8 September 2020; Accepted: 14 October 2020; Published: 19 October 2020 Abstract: System performance and efficiency depends on the stability criteria. The lower limb prosthetic model design requires some prerequisites such as hardware design functionality and compatibility of the building block materials. Effective implementation of mathematical model simulation symmetry towards the achievement of hardware design is the focus of the present work. Different postures of lower limb have been considered in this paper to be analyzed for artificial system design of lower limb movement. The generated polynomial equations of the sitting and standing positions of the normal limb are represented with overall system transfer function. The behavioral analysis of the lower limb model shows the nonlinear nature. The Euler-Lagrange method is utilized to describe the nonlinearity in the field of forward dynamics of the artificial system. The stability factor through phase portrait analysis is checked with respect to nonlinear system characteristics of the lower limb. The asymptotic stability has been achieved utilizing the most applicable Lyapunov method for nonlinear systems. -
Spectral Properties of the Koopman Operator in the Analysis of Nonstationary Dynamical Systems
UNIVERSITY of CALIFORNIA Santa Barbara Spectral Properties of the Koopman Operator in the Analysis of Nonstationary Dynamical Systems A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Mechanical Engineering by Ryan M. Mohr Committee in charge: Professor Igor Mezi´c,Chair Professor Bassam Bamieh Professor Jeffrey Moehlis Professor Mihai Putinar June 2014 The dissertation of Ryan M. Mohr is approved: Bassam Bamieh Jeffrey Moehlis Mihai Putinar Igor Mezi´c,Committee Chair May 2014 Spectral Properties of the Koopman Operator in the Analysis of Nonstationary Dynamical Systems Copyright c 2014 by Ryan M. Mohr iii To my family and dear friends iv Acknowledgements Above all, I would like to thank my family, my parents Beth and Jim, and brothers Brennan and Gralan. Without their support, encouragement, confidence and love, I would not be the person I am today. I am also grateful to my advisor, Professor Igor Mezi´c,who introduced and guided me through the field of dynamical systems and encouraged my mathematical pursuits, even when I fell down the (many) proverbial (mathematical) rabbit holes. I learned many fascinating things from these wandering forays on a wide range of topics, both contributing to my dissertation and not. Our many interesting discussions on math- ematics, research, and philosophy are among the highlights of my graduate school career. His confidence in my abilities and research has been a constant source of encouragement, especially when I felt uncertain in them myself. His enthusiasm for science and deep, meaningful work has set the tone for the rest of my career and taught me the level of research problems I should consider and the quality I should strive for. -
Rethinking the International System As a Complex Adaptive System
Munich Personal RePEc Archive A New Taxonomy for International Relations: Rethinking the International System as a Complex Adaptive System Scartozzi, Cesare M. University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Public Policy 2018 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/95496/ MPRA Paper No. 95496, posted 12 Aug 2019 10:50 UTC 1SFQVCMJDBUJPOJournal on Policy and Complex Systems • Volume 4, Number 1 • Spring 2018 A New Taxonomy for International Relations: Rethinking the International System as a Complex Adaptive System Cesare Scartozzi Graduate School of Public Policy, University of Tokyo [email protected] 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan ORCID number: 0000-0002-4350-4386. Abstract The international system is a complex adaptive system with emer- gent properties and dynamics of self-organization and informa- tion processing. As such, it is better understood with a multidis- ciplinary approach that borrows methodologies from the field of complexity science and integrates them to the theoretical perspec- tives offered by the field of international relations (IR). This study is set to formalize a complex systems theory approach to the study of international affairs and introduce a new taxonomy for IR with the two-pronged aim of improving interoperability between differ- ent epistemological communities and outlining a formal grammar that set the basis for modeling international politics as a complex adaptive system. Keywords: international politics, international relations theory, complex systems theory, taxonomy, adaptation, fitness, self-orga- nization This is a prepublication version of: Scartozzi, Cesare M. “A New Taxonomy for International Relations: Rethinking the International System as a Complex Adaptive System.” Journal on Policy and Complex Systems 4, no. -
Higher Education As a Complex Adaptive System: Considerations for Leadership and Scale
Hartzler, R., & Blair, R. (Eds.) (2019). Emerging issues in mathematics pathways: Case studies, scans of the field, and recommendations. Austin, TX: Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin. Available at www.dcmathpathways.org/learn-about/emerging-issues-mathematics-pathways Copyright 2019 Chapter 6 Higher Education as a Complex Adaptive System: Considerations for Leadership and Scale Jeremy Martin The Charles A. Dana Center The University of Texas at Austin Abstract As state policies, economic pressures, and enrollment declines increase pressure on higher education systems to rapidly improve student outcomes in mathematics, many institutions have transformed the way they do business and have adopted mathematics pathways at scale. At the same time, many systems of higher education have struggled to move from piloting mathematics pathways to implementing reforms at a scale that supports every student’s success in postsecondary mathematics. Drawing on complexity science, this chapter presents a conceptual framework for leaders at all levels of higher education systems to design change strategies to adopt mathematics pathways principles at scale. How leaders think about the systems that they work in has material consequences for designing, implementing, and sustaining scaling strategies. The chapter offers a framework and recommendations for understanding higher education as a complex adaptive system and the role of strategic leadership in designing, implementing, and sustaining reforms at scale. Emerging Issues in Mathematics Pathways: Case Studies, Scans of the Field, and Recommendations 57 Introduction Higher Education as a Complex Adaptive System After decades of innovation and research on improving student success in postsecondary The term system refers to a set of connected parts mathematics, a convincing body of evidence that together form a complex whole. -
Chapter 8 Nonlinear Systems
Chapter 8 Nonlinear systems 8.1 Linearization, critical points, and equilibria Note: 1 lecture, §6.1–§6.2 in [EP], §9.2–§9.3 in [BD] Except for a few brief detours in chapter 1, we considered mostly linear equations. Linear equations suffice in many applications, but in reality most phenomena require nonlinear equations. Nonlinear equations, however, are notoriously more difficult to understand than linear ones, and many strange new phenomena appear when we allow our equations to be nonlinear. Not to worry, we did not waste all this time studying linear equations. Nonlinear equations can often be approximated by linear ones if we only need a solution “locally,” for example, only for a short period of time, or only for certain parameters. Understanding linear equations can also give us qualitative understanding about a more general nonlinear problem. The idea is similar to what you did in calculus in trying to approximate a function by a line with the right slope. In § 2.4 we looked at the pendulum of length L. The goal was to solve for the angle θ(t) as a function of the time t. The equation for the setup is the nonlinear equation L g θ�� + sinθ=0. θ L Instead of solving this equation, we solved the rather easier linear equation g θ�� + θ=0. L While the solution to the linear equation is not exactly what we were looking for, it is rather close to the original, as long as the angleθ is small and the time period involved is short. You might ask: Why don’t we just solve the nonlinear problem? Well, it might be very difficult, impractical, or impossible to solve analytically, depending on the equation in question. -
NONLINEARITIES, FEEDBACKS and CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITHIN the EARTH's CLIMATE SYSTEM 1. Introduction Nonlinear Phenomena Charac
NONLINEARITIES, FEEDBACKS AND CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITHIN THE EARTH’S CLIMATE SYSTEM JOSÉ A. RIAL 1,ROGERA.PIELKESR.2, MARTIN BENISTON 3, MARTIN CLAUSSEN 4, JOSEP CANADELL 5, PETER COX 6, HERMANN HELD 4, NATHALIE DE NOBLET-DUCOUDRÉ 7, RONALD PRINN 8, JAMES F. REYNOLDS 9 and JOSÉ D. SALAS 10 1Wave Propagation Laboratory, Department of Geological Sciences CB#3315, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3315, U.S.A. E-mail: [email protected] 2Atmospheric Science Dept., Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, U.S.A. 3Dept. of Geosciences, Geography, Univ. of Fribourg, Pérolles, Ch-1700 Fribourg, Switzerland 4Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg C4, 14473 Potsdam, P.O. Box 601203, Potsdam, Germany 5GCP-IPO, Earth Observation Centre, CSIRO, GPO Box 3023, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia 6Met Office Hadley Centre, London Road, Bracknell, Berkshire RG12 2SY, U.K. 7DSM/LSCE, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, Unité mixte de Recherche CEA-CNRS, Bat. 709 Orme des Merisiers, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France 8Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307, U.S.A. 9Department of Biology and Nicholas School of the Environmental and Earth Sciences, Phytotron Bldg., Science Dr., Box 90340, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, U.S.A. 10Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, U.S.A. Abstract. The Earth’s climate system is highly nonlinear: inputs and outputs are not proportional, change is often episodic and abrupt, rather than slow and gradual, and multiple equilibria are the norm. -
Modeling Vascular Homeostasis and Improving Data Filtering Methods for Model Calibration
Modeling Vascular Homeostasis and Improving Data Filtering Methods for Model Calibration by Jiacheng Wu A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Engineering − Mechanical Engineering and the Designated Emphasis in Computational Science and Engineering in the Graduate Division of the University of California, Berkeley Committee in charge: Professor Shawn C. Shadden, Chair Professor Grace D. O'Connell Professor Peter L. Bartlett Spring 2019 Modeling Vascular Homeostasis and Improving Data Filtering Methods for Model Calibration Copyright 2019 by Jiacheng Wu 1 Abstract Modeling Vascular Homeostasis and Improving Data Filtering Methods for Model Calibration by Jiacheng Wu Doctor of Philosophy in Engineering − Mechanical Engineering and the Designated Emphasis in Computational Science and Engineering University of California, Berkeley Professor Shawn C. Shadden, Chair Vascular homeostasis is the preferred state that blood vessels try to maintain against external mechanical and chemical stimuli. The vascular adaptive behavior around the homeostatic state is closely related to cardiovascular disease progressions such as arterial aneurysms. In this work, we develop a multi-physics computational framework that couples vascular growth & remodeling (G&R), wall mechanics and hemodynamics to describe the overall vascular adaptive behavior. The coupled simulation is implemented in patient-specific geometries to predict aneurysm progression. Lyapunov stability analysis of the governing