Operational Marine Forecasters
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Directional Dependency and Coastal Framework Geology: Implications for Barrier Island Resilience
Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 1139–1153, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-1139-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Directional dependency and coastal framework geology: implications for barrier island resilience Phillipe A. Wernette1,2,a, Chris Houser1, Bradley A. Weymer3, Mark E. Everett4, Michael P. Bishop2, and Bobby Reece4 1Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Windsor, Windsor, Ontario, N9B 3P4, Canada 2Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, 77843, USA 3GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, 24148 Kiel, Germany 4Department of Geology and Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, 77843, USA anow at: Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Windsor, 401 Sunset Ave., Windsor, Ontario, N9B 3P4, Canada Correspondence: Phillipe A. Wernette ([email protected]) Received: 9 May 2018 – Discussion started: 15 June 2018 Revised: 18 October 2018 – Accepted: 6 November 2018 – Published: 27 November 2018 Abstract. Barrier island transgression is influenced by the alongshore variation in beach and dune morphol- ogy, which determines the amount of sediment moved landward through wash-over. While several studies have demonstrated how variations in dune morphology affect island response to storms, the reasons for that vari- ation and the implications for island management remain unclear. This paper builds on previous research by demonstrating that paleo-channels in the irregular framework geology can have a directional influence on along- shore beach and dune morphology. The influence of relict paleo-channels on beach and dune morphology on Padre Island National Seashore, Texas, was quantified by isolating the long-range dependence (LRD) parame- ter in autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) models, originally developed for stock market economic forecasting. -
Winter 2020/2021 Volume 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY Winter 2020/2021 Volume 18 Lake Michigan water levels remain near record highs BY: mike cellitti Inside this issue: In December 2012 and January 2013, the Lake Michigan-Huron basin (Lake Michigan and Lake Huron are treated as one lake from a hydrologic perspective) East River Watershed 3 Resiliency Project observed record low water levels, making it the 14th consecutive year of below normal water levels. These record low water levels garnered national attention 2020-21 Winter Forecast 4 raising concerns for the shipping industry, climate impacts, and the long-term future Ambassador of Excellence 6 of the Great Lakes water levels. Since this minimum in water levels 6 years ago, Lake Kotenberg Joins NWS 7 Michigan-Huron has been on the rise, culminating in record high water levels for much of this year (Figure 1). In fact, Lake Michigan-Huron set monthly mean record Severe Weather Spotters 7 high water levels from January to August, peaking in July at greater than 3 inches Thank You Observers! 8 above the previous record. Word Search 9 The water level on the Great Lakes can fluctuate on a monthly, seasonal, and annual basis depending upon a variety of factors including the amount of precipitation, evaporation, and rainfall induced runoff. Precipitation and runoff typically peak in late spring and summer as a result of snowmelt and thunderstorm activity. Although it is difficult to measure, evaporation occurs the most when cold air flows over the relatively warm waters of the Great Lakes during the fall and winter months. East River The record high water levels of Lake Michigan-Huron are largely a result of well Flooding above normal precipitation across the basin over the past 5 years. -
USING a LIGHTNING SAFETY TOOLKIT for OUTDOOR VENUES Charles C
USING A LIGHTNING SAFETY TOOLKIT FOR OUTDOOR VENUES Charles C. Woodrum Meteorologist National Weather Service, NOAA Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Donna Franklin Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services National Weather Service, NOAA Silver Spring, Maryland _________________________ Abstract guidelines that are used as a template for creating a new plan or enhancing an existing plan. The toolkit The threat of fatal lightning strikes at outdoor was developed within the framework of NCAA venues continues to be a pressing concern for event Guideline 1d. The NWS used plans from the managers. Several delays were documented in 2010 University of Tampa, the University of Maryland, and and 2011 in which spectators did not have enough time Vanderbilt University along with guidance from to evacuate, or chose to wait out delays in unsafe emergency management at the University of locations. To address this issue, the National Weather Tennessee and Florida State University as assistance Service (NWS) developed a lightning safety toolkit and to develop the toolkit. recognition program to help meteorologists work with venue officials to encourage sound and proactive Guidelines established for venue decisions when thunderstorms threaten their venue. management include: redundant data reception sources; effective decision support standards; 1. Introduction and Background multiple effective communication methods; a public notification plan; protection program with shelters; and Every year, hundreds of outdoor venue education of staff and patrons. The toolkit template managers are challenged to determine when an event safety plan helps venues meet these guidelines by delay is necessary due to thunderstorm hazards. In providing steps to follow before, during, and after the 2000, “ninety-two percent of National Collegiate Athletic event. -
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS a Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Re
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements For the degree of Master of Arts in Geography By Ilya Neyman May 2013 The thesis of Ilya Neyman is approved: _______________________ _________________ Dr. Steve LaDochy Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. Ron Davidson Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. James Hayes, Chair Date California State University, Northridge ii TABLE OF CONTENTS SIGNATURE PAGE ii ABSTRACT iv INTRODUCTION 1 THESIS STATEMENT 12 IMPORTANT TERMS AND DEFINITIONS 13 LITERATURE REVIEW 17 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY 24 TRADITIONALLY RECOGNIZED TORNADIC PARAMETERS 28 CASE STUDY 1: SEPTEMBER 10, 2011 33 CASE STUDY 2: JULY 29, 2003 48 CASE STUDY 3: JANUARY 19, 2010 62 CASE STUDY 4: MAY 22, 2008 91 CONCLUSIONS 111 REFERENCES 116 iii ABSTRACT FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS By Ilya Neyman Master of Arts in Geography Thunderstorms are a significant forecasting concern for southern California. Even though convection across this region is less frequent than in many other parts of the country significant thunderstorm events and occasional severe weather does occur. It has been found that a further challenge in convective forecasting across southern California is due to the variety of sub-regions that exist including coastal plains, inland valleys, mountains and deserts, each of which is associated with different weather conditions and sometimes drastically different convective parameters. In this paper four recent thunderstorm case studies were conducted, with each one representative of a different category of seasonal and synoptic patterns that are known to affect southern California. In addition to supporting points made in prior literature there were numerous new and unique findings that were discovered during the scope of this research and these are discussed as they are investigated in their respective case study as applicable. -
Part 629 – Glossary of Landform and Geologic Terms
Title 430 – National Soil Survey Handbook Part 629 – Glossary of Landform and Geologic Terms Subpart A – General Information 629.0 Definition and Purpose This glossary provides the NCSS soil survey program, soil scientists, and natural resource specialists with landform, geologic, and related terms and their definitions to— (1) Improve soil landscape description with a standard, single source landform and geologic glossary. (2) Enhance geomorphic content and clarity of soil map unit descriptions by use of accurate, defined terms. (3) Establish consistent geomorphic term usage in soil science and the National Cooperative Soil Survey (NCSS). (4) Provide standard geomorphic definitions for databases and soil survey technical publications. (5) Train soil scientists and related professionals in soils as landscape and geomorphic entities. 629.1 Responsibilities This glossary serves as the official NCSS reference for landform, geologic, and related terms. The staff of the National Soil Survey Center, located in Lincoln, NE, is responsible for maintaining and updating this glossary. Soil Science Division staff and NCSS participants are encouraged to propose additions and changes to the glossary for use in pedon descriptions, soil map unit descriptions, and soil survey publications. The Glossary of Geology (GG, 2005) serves as a major source for many glossary terms. The American Geologic Institute (AGI) granted the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (formerly the Soil Conservation Service) permission (in letters dated September 11, 1985, and September 22, 1993) to use existing definitions. Sources of, and modifications to, original definitions are explained immediately below. 629.2 Definitions A. Reference Codes Sources from which definitions were taken, whole or in part, are identified by a code (e.g., GG) following each definition. -
Estimating Global Damages from Sea Level Rise with the Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM)
Estimating Global Damages from Sea Level Rise with the Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM) Delavane B. Diazy FEEM Note di Lavoro/Working Paper Series originally presented at European Summer School in Resource and Environmental Economics San Servolo, Venice, Italy July 12, 2014 Abstract The costs of coastal sector impacts from sea level rise (SLR) are an important component of the total projected economic damages of climate change, a major input to decision-making and design of climate policy. Moreover, the ultimate costs to coastal resources will depend strongly on adaptation, society's response to cope with the impacts. This paper presents a new model to assess coastal impacts from SLR, combining global scope with high spatial resolution to fill a gap between very detailed local studies and aggregate global estimates. The Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM) determines the optimal strategy for adaptation at the local level, evaluating over 12,000 coastal segments, as described in the DIVA database (Vafeidis et al, 2006), based on their socioeconomic characteristics and the potential impacts of relative sea level rise and uncertain storm surge. An application of CIAM is then presented to demonstrate the model's ability to assess local impacts and direct costs, choose the least-cost adaptation, and estimate global net damages for several probabilistic SLR scenarios (Kopp et al, 2014). CIAM finds that there is large potential for coastal adaptation to reduce the expected impacts of SLR compared to the alternative of no adaptation, lowering global net present costs by a factor of 10 to less than $1.5 trillion over the next two centuries, although this does not include initial transition costs to overcome an under-adapted current state. -
September 2016 CURRICULUM VITAE KARL F
September 2016 CURRICULUM VITAE KARL F. NORDSTROM Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences Rutgers - the State University of New Jersey New Brunswick, NJ, 08901-8521 (848) 932-3284, [email protected] Academic Degrees A.B. German, Rutgers University, 1963. M.S. Geography, Rutgers University, 1970. Ph.D. Geography, Rutgers University, 1975. Professional History Rutgers University, New Brunswick, N.J. 7/1/12 to Present – Distinguished Professor, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences (DMCS). 7/94 to 6/12 - Professor, DMCS. 7/80 to 6/94 - Associate Professor, DMCS. 7/75 to 6/80 - Assistant Professor, Center for Coastal and Environmental Studies. 6/73 to 6/75 - Research Associate, Marine Sciences Center. 2/69 to 6/71 and l/73 to 6/73 – Research/Teaching Assistant, Geography Department. Visiting Positions 3/14 to 7/14 - Visiting Scholar, Dept. of Physics and Earth Science, University of Ferrara, Italy. 5/12 to 6/12 - Visiting Scholar, National Laboratory for Civil Engineering, Lisbon, Portugal. 2/06 to 5/06 and 3/99 to 7/99 - Visiting Scholar, Geography Institute, University of Greifswald, Germany. 2/05 to 5/05 - Visiting Scholar, Dept. of Territorial Studies and Planning, Polytechnic of Turin, Italy. 2/02 - Instructor (short course) Marine Institute (CTTMar), Universidade do Vale do Itajaí, Brazil. 5/98 to 8/98 - Visiting Scholar, Dept. of Geography, University of Western Australia. 5/95 to 7/95 - Visiting Scholar, Dept. of Geography and Soil Science, University of Amsterdam. 5/90 to 7/90 - Visiting Scholar, Geography Institute, University of Kiel, Germany. 9/81 to 12/81 - Visiting Scholar, Geography Dept., University of California, Los Angeles. -
WOIS - Meteorologists
WOIS - Meteorologists http://www.wois.org/use/occs/viewer.cfm?occnum=100014 University of Washington Libraries Meteorologists Occupational Summary At a Glance Meteorologists study the earth's atmosphere and the ways it affects our environment. Many of them forecast Not all forecast the the weather. weather Many specialize in Have you ever wondered why hurricanes receive names? The reason is actually quite simple: there is often one area more than one at a time. Hurricanes can also take days to travel over the ocean, gaining or losing strength. By May work overtime naming them, meteorologists can track them without confusion. They don't waste time coming up with new during weather names, however. Instead, meteorologists use a list of pre-selected names. Only when a storm is particularly big emergencies do they retire a name. Thus, there will never be another Hurricane Andrew or Hurricane Fifi, although there Have good research may be more hurricanes just as powerful. and communication The atmosphere consists of all the air that covers the earth. It also contains the water vapor that turns into rain skills and snow. Meteorologists study what the atmosphere is made of and how it works. They also see how it affects Have at least a the rest of our environment. bachelor's degree Meteorologists usually specialize in one area. Weather forecasting is the best known of these. Meteorologists who forecast the weather are called operational meteorologists. They identify and interpret weather patterns to predict the weather. They try to predict what the weather will be like for a week, a month, or several years. -
Short Curriculum Vitae
Prof. Virginie K.E. DUVAT UMR LIENSs 7266 - Littoral, Environment and Societies La Rochelle University-CNRS (National Centre for Scientific Research) Institute of Littoral and Environment, 2 rue Olympe de Gouges- 17000 La Rochelle - France Email: [email protected] Tel Office: + 33 5 46 50 76 47 / Mobile: + 33 6 50 81 39 27 SHORT CURRICULUM VITAE 1. Professional experience and position Since 2006 Professor in Coastal Geography, La Rochelle University, La Rochelle, France 1999-2006 Assistant Professor in Coastal Geography, University of La Reunion (south-western Indian Ocean), France 2. Education 2005 Accreditation to supervise research (HDR in French) in Geography, University of Paris IV-Sorbonne, France - Title: Geomorphology and management of coral beaches in south-western Indian Ocean Islands (in French). 1996-1998 PhD in Coastal Geography, University of Reunion Island, France – Title: Coral beaches and islands of the Seychelles Islands: from physical processes to beach and island management (Mahe, Praslin, La Digue and Desroches islands) – award of the French Geographical Society (Paris) for my PhD thesis 3. Fields of expertise 3.1. Thematic areas: è Coastal geomorphology: 1950s-Present changes in the configuration of atoll reef islands and high mountainous islands’ beach-dune systems, including island and shoreline change assessment, impacts of and resilience to tropical cyclones (including marine inundation and river flooding, impacts on shoreline position and on coastal vegetation), interference of human activities with natural processes, island-reef ecosystem interactions – See for example: Duvat et al., 2016; Testut, Duvat et al., 2016; Duvat and Pillet, 2017; Duvat et al., 2017; Duvat et al., 2017; Collin, Duvat et al., 2021. -
The Use of Site Suitability Analysis to Model Changes in Beach Geomorphology Due to Coastal Structures
The Use of Site Suitability Analysis to Model Changes in Beach Geomorphology Due to Coastal Structures by Michael Erin Thibodaux A Thesis Presented to the Faculty of the USC Graduate School University of Southern California In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Science (Geographic Information Science and Technology) May 2018 Copyright © 2018 by Michael Thibodaux To my family Table of Contents List of Figures -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------vi List of Tables-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- vii Acknowledgements ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- viii List of Abbreviations -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ix Abstract --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- x Chapter 1 Introduction ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1.1 The Study Area ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 1.2 Motivation ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.3 The Sediment Cycle and Coastal Structures ------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.3.1 Longshore Drift ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 1.4 Nourishment -
Air Masses , Climate, and Weather
Name: Air Masses, Climate, and Weather Meteorologists are scientists who study the weather and climate in an area. Read the article attached about meteorologists. Then, answer the questions below. 1. Why does Mars have different seasons just like Earth? 2. What type of data does a weather balloon collect? 3. What are air masses? 4. What happens if an air mass doesn’t have the same temperature and humidity as another air mass close by? 5. Imagine that you are a forensic meteorologist and have been called to testify in court. Read about the case on the next page. Should John have to pay the medical bills for the injured runner? Use your knowledge of air masses to back up your decision. Name: Air Masses, Climate, and Weather The Case of the Slippery Sidewalk John sells snow cones at a stand in the park. Every night, John cleans out his ice maker so it can make fresh ice overnight. On Saturday morning, joggers were running through the park. One of the joggers slipped on a puddle of water near John’s stand and broke their arm. The jogger wants John to pay all the medical bills. He claims the puddle of water was from his cart. John claims that there was a sudden down pour the night before, which left puddles of water outside. John claims the jogger slipped in a puddle. Should John have to pay the medical bills? Use the information below about air masses to figure out if John should have to pay the medical bills due to puddles created from his cart! Thursday: hot and dry air mass over area Friday: hot and humid air mass over area Friday night: cold air mass moves into area Saturday: cold air mass stays over area Need help? Remember that changes in air masses causes changes in weather. -
Open Reuille Christina Lostinthefog
THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY SCHREYER HONORS COLLEGE DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY LOST IN THE FOG: AN ANALYSIS OF THE DISSEMINATION OF MISLEADING WEATHER INFORMATION ON SOCIAL MEDIA CHRISTINA M. REUILLE FALL 2015 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for a baccalaureate degree in Meteorology with honors in Meteorology Reviewed and approved* by the following: Dr. Jon Nese Associate Head, Undergraduate Program in Meteorology Senior Lecturer in Meteorology Thesis Supervisor Dr. Yvette Richardson Associate Professor of Meteorology Honors Adviser * Signatures are on file in the Schreyer Honors College. i ABSTRACT The growing popularity of social media has created another avenue of weather communication. Social media can be a constant source of information, including weather information. However, a qualitative analysis of Facebook and Twitter shows that much of the information published confuses and scares consumers, making it ineffective communication that does more harm than good. Vague posts or posts that fail to tell the entire weather story contribute to the ineffective communication on social media platforms, especially on Twitter where posts are limited to 140 characters. By analyzing characteristics of these rogue posts, better social media practices can be deduced. Displaying credentials, explaining posts, and choosing words carefully will help make social media a more effective form of weather communication. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................