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Retirement Wave Subdued; but the Locals Are Coming Legislators Will Face Tests from Mayors, Local Officials “And So Here We Are in by BRIAN A

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Retirement Wave Subdued; but the Locals Are Coming Legislators Will Face Tests from Mayors, Local Officials “And So Here We Are in by BRIAN A V 12, No 25 Thursday, Feb. 16, 2006 Retirement wave subdued; but the locals are coming Legislators will face tests from mayors, local officials “And so here we are in By BRIAN A. HOWEY in Indianapolis the White House, Jerry, About that wave of retirements predicted after the legislator health care for life issue surfaced? honoring the great It didn’t happen. Only Chicago White Sox. State Rep. David Yount retired, and that was for busi- I’m proud to be with ness reasons. Only you. God bless your Democratic State Reps. John Aguilera of East Chicago and championship.” octogenarian Ben GiaQuinta –– President Bush, hor- of Fort Wayne, Sheila Klinker of Lafayette, Jeff Espich of ing the 2005 World Series Uniondale were unfiled at champions, last Monday today’s deadline. Party State Rep. Jackie Walorski (right) will face former senator and sources tell HPR that Espich Mishawaka Mayor Bob Kovach in November. (HPR Photo) and Klinker are expected to run for another term. Alicia Lopez-Rodriguez has filed for Aguilera’s HD12 seat. She The Howey Political Report is published lost to Aguilera by a narrow margin in 2004. No Democrat has filed for the GiaQuinta by NewsLink Inc. It was founded in 1994. seat, though sons Phil and Mark, a former Fort Wayne Councilman, could be expect- ed to run if the incumbent decides to retire. Republican Kevin Howell has filed for Brian A. Howey, Publisher HD80. Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington Writer But there are 26 primaries involving legislative districts, and 20 involve chal- Jack E. Howey, Editor lenges to incumbents. Subscriptions: Most, like those facing State Reps. William Crawford, Charlie Brown, Phyllis $350 annually HPR via e-mail; Pond, Ed Mahern, Earl Harris, Mae Dickinson, Billy Bright, Ralph Foley and Matt $550 annually HPR & HPR Daily Wire. Whetstone are more of an irritant than a credible challenge. Call 317-254-0535. But primary races involving State Sens. Allen Paul and State Reps. Mary Kay Budak, Rich McClain, Linda Lawson and Woody Burton are considered credible. Of The Howey Political Report that group, only Budak and Lawson are considered to be particularly vulnerable. PO Box 40265 Budak is facing LaPorte school board member Tom Dermody. Budak claims she will Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265. get a gubernatorial endorsement, but Gov. Mitch Daniels’ office will not comment. www.howeypolitics.com Rep. Lawson fended off a primary challenge in 2002 from Kathleen Pucalik [email protected] Indianapolis Office: 317-506-0883. Daniels hits the road for Major Moves p. 4 Indianapolis Fax: 317-254-0535. Washington, DC Office: 202-256-5822. HPR Interview: Speaker Brian Bosma p. 5 Business Office: 317-254-0535. Bayh sketches foreign policy goals p. 6 ©2006, The Howey Political Report. All rights reserved. Photocopying, Internet for- Roemer campaigns for Ellsworth p. 7 warding, faxing or reproducing in any form, in whole or part, is a violation of federal law Columnists: Tully, Shapiro p. 8 and is strictly prohibited without consent of the publisher. Horse Race: Lugar unopposed p. 9 HOWEY Political Report Page 2 Weekly Briefing on Indiana Politics Thursday, Feb. 16, 2006 and supported by Hammond Mayor Tom McDermott, but she survived. This time, she faces Lake County Councilman Ron SD41 Horse Race Tabacynski, who is seeking to regain his seat. Both the Budak and Lawson races are rated “Tossups” by HPR. The other big story we’ve been watching involves local elected officials taking on legislators. State Rep. Woody Burton is facing Johnson County Council President Ron West and McClain will defend his seat against Cass County Commissioner Rick Eller. State Sen. Allen Paul is being chal- lenged by Richmond City Council President Bruce Wissel. While all these races will be worth considerable scrutiny, we believe the incumbents are favored. Having said that, there are some significant wild cards that could come into play, Sen. Garton (right) laughs as Sen. Luke Kenley defends the including the switch to Daylight Saving time in April and an legislator health care package. (HPR Photo by Brian A. expected spike in property taxes, with some increases coming Howey) for homeowners in early May. In the fall, eight current or former local officials are Senate District 41: Republican: Senate President Pro lined up against incumbents that include Sens. Garton (former Tempore Robert D. Garton, Greg Walker. Democrat: Terry Columbus city attorney Terry Coriden and Waterman Coriden. 1998 Results: Garton 26,499. 2002 Results: (Vincennes City Councilman Steve Thais), and Reps. Dave Garton 21,918 , Gividen (L) 3,350 . 2006 Forecast: On Crooks (Washington school board trustee Ron Arnold), Steve Wednesday morning when he was asked about whether Heim (former Knox mayor and senator Nancy Dembowski), he would file for re-election, Sen. Garton said, “We’ll find Jackie Walorski (former Mishawaka mayor Bob Kovach), Tim out.” A little more than 24 hours later, he was in, and one Harris (Blackford County Commissioner Larry Hile), and of the most intriguing legislative campaign sequences was, Budak, if she survives (LaPorte Councilman Andrea Renner). enjoined. Garton filed for office at 1:15 p.m. today. It came While these challenges from local officials are more less than 24 hours after he scaled back some of the life- than in ordinary years, they fell short of what might have time health insurance programs that ignited considerable been, given the frustration many mayors, county commission- controversy. In doing so, he refused to reveal actuarial ers and council members were feeling about local control. data about the program’s initial costs. It followed a week- After the 2005 budget was passed, many local official chafed end in which Garton received some terrible press coverage at House Republicans lauding no tax increases while many (Brian Howey and Matthew Tully columns; Monday Star were forced to raise local taxes or cut programs. editorial). Garton opponent Terry Coriden has said he will The Indiana Association of Cities and Towns initiated raise health care issues in his fall campaign. Walker told the “Hometown Matters” tax plan, which has hit the legislature HPR that he was urged to get in the race by national and with a resounding thud. state Right to Life activists, though former senator Dick Republicans in both houses are ardently subverting Thompson told HPR today that Indiana Right to Life would bills that would allow greater flexibility in consolidation. not get involved. If Walker plays to the RTL constituency “They are protecting their friends in township govern- and damages the incumbent, that could impact the fall ment,” Indianapolis Mayor Bart Peterson charged while lunch- race. Garton is a master politician when it comes to inside ing with members of the media today. He predicted a wave of the Statehouse intrigue. But he hasn’t been seriously chal- fire budget increases and property tax hikes as the result of lenged since 1994 when he won easily with a huge GOP the inaction. wave behind him. This time, speculation is that the wave The new wrinkle in the Friday noon filing deadline is will be going in the Democrats’ direction and a couple of that candidates will have until next Tuesday to officially with- loaded issues - health care and property taxes - could be draw. Both parties will have the option of recruiting candidates dangerous. After Garton’s “we’ll find out” quip, he laughed and filing them this summer. and suggested that some in the media wanted to see him At the Congressional level, none of the incumbents is retire. To the contrary, senator, this should be a fascinating sequence. He enters the primary as a prohibitive favorite. expected to have primary nomination problems. Challengers Primary Status: LIKELY GARTON. General Status: Baron Hill, Brad Ellsworth and Joe Donnelly are expected to LEANS GARTON. easily win nominations. HOWEY Political Report Page 3 Weekly Briefing on Indiana Politics Thursday, Feb. 16, 2006 Retirement Watch List (Unfiled House incumbents) Aguilera, Espich, GiaQuinta, Klinker, (as of Feb. 16). Expected to Retire: State Rep. David Yount . Contested Legislative Primaries Democratic HD 1: State Rep. Linda Lawson vs. Lake County Councilman Ron Tabacynski. HD3: State Rep. Charlie Brown vs. Herb Smith Jr. HD 2: State Rep. Earl Harris vs. Drake Morris. HD8: State Rep. Ryan Dvorak vs. Roseland Council President Dorothy Snyder. HD22: Allen Lee Dunnagan vs. Larry Rensberger HD39: Savail Majid vs. Rusty Skoog. HD 71: State Rep. Carlene Bottorff vs. Steven Stemler. HD87: Todd DeGroff vs. Leona Glazebrooks HD95: State Rep. Mae Dickinson vs. Lewis Peterson. HD97: State Rep. Ed Mahern vs. Tyler H. Grough HD98: State Rep. William Crawford vs. Edwin Lews Jones Sr. Republican State Rep. Budak (left) has both primary and HD19: Eric Hammond vs. T.J. Wigmore. general election foes. State Rep. Larry Buell HD 20: State Rep. Mary Kay Budak vs. LaPorte School Trustee Tom Dermody. (right) may have dodged a bullet. (HPR HD24: State Rep. Rich McClain vs. Cass County Commissioner Rick Eller. Photo) HD40: State Rep. Matt Whetstone vs. Jon Marquess. HD47: State Rep. Ralph Foley vs. Brenda Buster. HD55: Union County Councilman Tom Knollman vs. T. Scott Bevington. HD57: Shelbyville Councilman Rob Nolley vs. Shelby County Councilman Sean Eberhart, Karen Frazier, Marvin Pavlov. HD58: State Rep. Woody Burton vs. Johnson County Council President Ron West. HD69: State Rep. Billy Bright vs. Brent Mullikin. HD85: State Rep. Phyllis Pond vs. Denny Worman HD90: State Rep. Mike Murphy vs. Brian Canter. HD89: State Rep. Larry Buell vs. Michael Batz SD6: State Sen. Sue Landske vs. Crystal Hall. SD27: State Sen. Allen Paul vs. Richmond City Council President Bruce Wissel. SD41: Senate President Pro Tempore Robert D. Garton vs. Greg Walker. General Election Races with local officials HD13: State Rep.
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