sustainability Article China-Angola Investment Model Liviu Stelian Begu 1, Maria Denisa Vasilescu 1,2,*, Larisa Stanila 2 and Roxana Clodnitchi 3 1 Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010374 Bucharest, Romania;
[email protected] 2 The National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, 010643 Bucharest, Romania;
[email protected] 3 The Faculty for Business Administration in Foreign Languages, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010374 Bucharest, Romania;
[email protected] * Correspondence:
[email protected]; Tel.: +40-721-924-441 Received: 7 July 2018; Accepted: 14 August 2018; Published: 18 August 2018 Abstract: In the aftermath of Angola’s civil war, strong economic relations developed between the country and the People’s Republic of China. Our study addresses China’s investment risks in Angola, considering an infrastructure-for-petroleum partnership between these two countries. The main working hypothesis is that the recovery of Chinese investments made in Angola is has translated into thousands of barrels of petroleum being imported daily from Angola. We analyzed the main economic, social, and political indicators that describe the situation in Angola that could impact the recovery of Chinese loans in the form of oil exports. Data processing implied involved regression-based imputation, MinMax data normalization, the use of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), and econometric analysis, next to the construction of a composite risk indicator. The results of the econometric analysis highlighted that an increase in the composite risk indicator of 1% leads to a decrease in the quantity of petroleum exported by almost 6377 barrels per day.