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RGP O2 Eval Report Final.Pdf ! ! Evaluation Output 2 Rural Growth Programme UNDP Republic of Tajikistan Evaluation Report Kris B. Prasada Rao Alisher Khaydarov Aug 2013 ! ! ! List%of%acronyms,%terminology%and%currency%exchange%rates% Acronyms AFT Aid for Trade AKF Aga Khan Foundation AO Area Office BEE Business Enabling Environment CDP Community Development Plan CO Country Office CP Communities Programme DCC Tajikistan Development Coordination Council DDP District Development Plan DFID Department for International Development DIM Direct Implementation Modality DP Development Plan GDP Gross Domestic Product GIZ Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GREAT Growth in the Rural Economy and Agriculture of Tajikistan HDI Human Development Index ICST Institute for Civil Servants Training IFC International Finance Corporation, the World Bank IOM International Organisation for Migration JDP Jamoat Development Plan LED Local Economic Development LEPI Local Economic Performance Indicator M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MEDT Ministry of Economic Development and Trade MC Mahalla Committee MoF Ministry of Finance MoU Memorandum of Understanding MSDSP Mountain Societies Development Support Programme MSME Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise NDS National Development Strategy NIM National Implementation Modality O2 Output 2, RGP O&M Operation and Maintenance ODP Oblast Development Plan: Sughd Oblast Social Economic Plan OECD/DAC Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Co-operation Directorate PEI UNDP-UNEP Poverty-Environment Initiative PPD Public-Private Dialogue Prodoc Programme Document PRS Poverty Reduction Strategy PSC Programme Steering Committee RGP Rural Growth Programme SME Small and Medium Enterprise TAPRI Tajikistan Afghanistan Poverty Reduction Initiative TajWSS Tajikistan Water Supply and Sanitation project TF Trust Fund ! 1! ! TSJ Tajik Somoni ToR Terms of Reference ToT Training of Trainers UN United Nations UNDAF United Nations Development Assistance Framework UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNEP United Nations Environment Programme UN Women United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women USD US Dollar VDF Village Development Fund (mahalla level) VDP Village Development Plan (mahalla level) WATSAN Water and Sanitation WG Working Group (especially for development planning) ZVI Zerafshan Valley Initiative Tajik terminology Dehkan Farmer Hashar Community labour provided in kind Hukumat Government Jamoat Sub-district Kishlak Village Mahalla Community Oblast Region Rayon District Exchange rate 1 US Dollar (USD) = 4.7674 Tajik Somoni (TJS) % % ! 2! ! Table%of%contents% 1! Executive%Summary%..........................................................................................%5! 1.1! Context!and!purpose!of!the!evaluation!.........................................................................................!5! 1.2! Brief!description!of!programme!.......................................................................................................!5! 1.3! Analytical/conclusion!summary!......................................................................................................!6! 1.4! Main!recommendations!and!lessons!learned!..........................................................................!11! 2! Introduction%...................................................................................................%13! 2.1! Purpose!of!the!evaluation!................................................................................................................!13! 2.2! Approach!and!methodology!............................................................................................................!13! 2.3! Key!questions,!scope!and!limitations!of!the!evaluation!......................................................!13! 3! Description%of%RGP%O2%....................................................................................%15! 3.1! Background!and!context!...................................................................................................................!15! 3.2! The!Rural!Growth!Programme!(RGP)!.........................................................................................!16! 3.3! Output!2!(O2)!rationale!and!intervention!logic!......................................................................!16! 3.4! RGP!O2!management!and!implementation!arrangements!................................................!17! 3.5! Main!stakeholders!...............................................................................................................................!18! 4! Findings%..........................................................................................................%21! 4.1! Programme!coordination,!administration,!and!implementation!...................................!21! 4.1.1! Partnerships.and.linkages..............................................................................................................21! 4.1.2! Monitoring.............................................................................................................................................24! 4.1.3! Budget.and.spending........................................................................................................................27! 4.2! Progress!and!results!...........................................................................................................................!29! 4.2.1! Support.to.development.planning..............................................................................................29! 4.2.2! Trust.fund..............................................................................................................................................36! 4.2.3! Support.to.institutional.capacity.to.create.a.business.enabling.environment.......44! 4.2.4! Crosscutting.issues.............................................................................................................................46! 4.3! External!factors!–!risks!and!assumptions!.................................................................................!49! 4.4! Relevance!................................................................................................................................................!51! 4.5! Efficiency!.................................................................................................................................................!53! 4.6! Effectiveness!..........................................................................................................................................!54! 4.7! Impact!.......................................................................................................................................................!57! 4.8! Sustainability!.........................................................................................................................................!58! 4.9! Potential!for!upscaling/replication!.............................................................................................!61! 5! Overview%of%Conclusions,%Recommendations%and%Lessons%Learned%.................%63! 5.1! Conclusions!............................................................................................................................................!63! 5.2! Recommendations!..............................................................................................................................!71! 5.3! Lessons!learned!....................................................................................................................................!73! Annexes:%..............................................................................................................%77! Annex!1:!Terms!of!Reference!.....................................................................................................................!78! Annex!2:!Evaluation!programme!..............................................................................................................!86! Annex!3:!Persons!interviewed!...................................................................................................................!88! Annex!4:!Documents!reviewed!..................................................................................................................!90! Annex!5:!Outline!of!the!main!activity!results!by!June!2013!..........................................................!96! Annex!6:!Relevant!policies,!laws!and!regulations!.............................................................................!99! Annex!7:!Responses!to!evaluation!questions!....................................................................................!102! Annex!8:!Assessment!of!status!of!risks!from!Prodoc!.....................................................................!109! Annex!9:!Assessment!of!status!of!assumptions!from!Prodoc!.....................................................!110! Annex!10:!OECD/DAC!and!UNDP!definitions!of!evaluation!criteria!.......................................!111! Annex!11:!Output!2!logframe!(May!2012!revision)!.......................................................................!113! Annex!12:!Financial!report!on!O2!expenditures!(January!2010!–!March!2013)!...............!115! ! 3! ! Annex!13:!Overview!of!Trust!Fund!contributions!..........................................................................!118! Annex!14:!DDP!implementation!status!per!1!April!2013!............................................................!122! Annex!15:!District!economic!indicators!2010^2012!......................................................................!124!
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