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TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY occurredfrom into2015 1974 depicted asSabah area, inFigure 6. M of pieces 66 the record to used is method zoning seismic The districtearthquakesThe of inSabah Data No 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

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Earthquakecatalogsinarea Sabah - 4.838, 118.7134.838, 118.1734.598, 11 7.191, 118.3685.370, 118.3214.786, 117.5612.984, 116.5896.157, 117.2477.194, 117.6033.594, 119.7614.624, 119.8446.089, 116.5295.979, 116.6085.956, 116.6516.182, 116.6066.159, 116.8686.224, 8786. Epicenter http://transectscience.org/ 7.115

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3 Magnitude

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Lahad Lahad Semporna 06). Sitangkai Tarakan Tarakan District Tawau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Kudat Kudat

Jolo

Datu Datu

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TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40

1996 1999 2001 2 2003 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2008 1979 1980 1981 1981 1982 1983 1984 1984 1988 1989 1989 1989 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1992 1992 1992 1994 1994 1994 1995 1995 1996 1996 002

Cheng 30 24 26 26 26 26 23 25 27 11 26 22 14 25 14 22 13 22 28 23 23 30 10 2 3 6 4 31 8 6 9 7 5 7 9 1 4 4 ------Nov Aug - - - Mar Mar Dec Dec Dec - - Apr - Feb Feb - Oct May May May May May May Jan - May Nov Aug Nov Aug Jul Jul Mar M Dec Dec Apr Feb Feb Sep Oct Oct Jun Jan Jul ,

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ISSN2289

Transactionson Science and Technology, 02:01 15: 20:34 13:18 14:06 14:00 19:24 00:28 19:29 22:44 00:39 14:56 17:06 18:32 20:24 15:58 07:02 10:59 11:14 11:16 07:15 00:39 18:19 22:33 01:43 18:27 08:30 18:43 06:21 08:05 22:42 12:42 08:52 16:41 01:03 18:44 19:58 18:09 11

- 5.768, 119.3245.768, 120.8441.967, 118.2262.690, 117.1506.340, 119.9310.729, 119.6095.208, 118.6054.894, 121.9375.397, 117.4668.023, 117.0527.225, 118.7593.694, 117.7096.256, 115.6204.329, 117.8106.121, 117.3986.041, 119.3165.710, 116.5084.205, 6.886, 117.0046.886, 117.9576.519, 117.3193.796, 118.4774.760, 118.3874.895, 118.8623.835, 118.3875.203, 118.6004.108, 117.8595.753, 118.0894.560, 117.8434.265, 117.6743.455, 6.130 ,117.168 116.7465.865, 116.7485.718, 116.8155.869, 4.636 114.5465.415, 118.0494.579, 118.4544.976, 118.6435.099, 8786. ,118.256 http://transectscience.org/

27 38 16 33 24 33 33 33 33 33 33 19 24 70 10 48 10 33 51 57 39 33 57 50 33 79 24 32 10 33 33 33 18 33 40 50 10 55

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Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Gorontalo Semporna Semporna Semporna Semporna Semporna Sandakan Sandakan Keningau Sandakan Sandakan Sitangkai Sitangka Sitangkai Limbang Tarakan Tarakan Tarakan Labuan Tawau Tawau Tawau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Kudat Kudat Pulot

Palu Seit Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu

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52

TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

66 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 55

1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1974 Figure6

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Theseismic epicenter distribution diagram from into2015 1974 Sabah area. Cheng 14 12 18 18 26 26 25 26 26 26 26 26 ------Aug Nov Sep Jun Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul ,

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ISSN2289

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TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

54 24 14 9 No. TableintoSabah,summarize1 eightinto earthqu of pieces 60 these use we zoning, seismic on Based Futureseismicpotentialassessment inSabah area Therecords60 eight of the seismic zonesshownare in No. 42 41 40 39 30 19 10

5 4 3 2 1 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 No.

1979 2002 2009 2014 Year 2015 2015 2015 2015 Year 1991 1991 1991 1991 1995 2006 2014 2015 Sitangkai Tarakan Tawau Lahad Sandakan Kudat Rana District CollisionZone

Date u Date

Datu

30 24 26 26 26 26 11 7 4 28 12 23

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Transactionson Science and Technology,

:

Seismiczoning andrange statisticstable

4 6.886, 117.0046.886, 117.0527.225, 117.1157.191, 117.2477.194, Epicenter : 6.113, 117.1686.113, 5.86 116.7485.718, 116.8155.869, 117.1506.340, 117.3986.041, 6.157, 116.5295.979, 116.6085.956, 116.6516.182, 116.6066.159, 116.8686.224, Epicenter

M maxM

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33 33 35 14 33 33 33 18 33 10 17 10 10 11 15 15 (

° (km) )

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Latitude

(1), 0.5~5.5 4.6~5.8 2.6~3.8 3.6~4.7 4.7~5.5 5.5~6.6 6.6~7.4 5.5~6.4 Magnitude Magnitude

47 -

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(M)

(M) Area 200*500 100*120 110*110

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District (km District Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau Ranau

Kudat Kudat Kudat Kudat

2

)

54

TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

13 12 No 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 56 51 50 48 35 34 27 16 52 43 31 11 8 No 53 46 22 20 No.

1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1976 1981 1982 1984 1992 1994 1996 2008 2010 2012 Year 1981 1989 1995 2013 2014 Year 1980 1988 2005 2006 Year

Date Date Date 28 14 26 21 14 25 2 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 6 9 4 - - - - 23 8 6 9 - 14 9 22 5 ------23 Nov month Dec Apr ------May - Aug Nov Aug Mar Jul - Dec - - - - Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul Jul month Nov Mar Dec - Oct Jun - - - month Cheng - May Dec Apr Oct

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Transactionson Science and Technology,

6

e

5:

: 5.092, 118.2875.092, 118.3084.956, 118.3855.062, 118.5944.986, 118.4.904, 118.3424.894, 118.5504.994, 118.4214.714, 118.4774.760, 118.3874.895, 118.3875.203, 118.4544.976, 118.6435.099, 4.894 118.7134.838, 118.3685.370, 118.3214.786, Epicenter 7:

LahadDa

5.753, 117.8595.753, 117.7096.256, 117.8106.121, Epicenter 6.519, 117.9576.519, Epicenter 3.796, 117.3193.796, 117.6743.455, 118.2262.690, 117.5612.984, 117.6033.594, Sandakanearthquakes area list

Tarakanareaearthquakes list - 8786. ,118.605 http://transectscience.org/ t 052

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Depth(km) Depth(km) Depth 33 50 10 55 33 27 54 39 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 36 39 51 79 19 70 57 10 16 16 43

(km)

3

Magnitude(M) (1), Magnitude(M) Magnitude 47 4.5 5.6 4.6 5.7 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.6 5.3 6.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.4 -

5.1 5.1 5.3 4.0 58

4.8 3.7 6.1 4.9 4.4

(M)

Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Semporna Lahad Lahad District Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Lahad Semporna Semporna

Sandakan Sandakan Sandakan Sandakan District Tarakan Tarakan Tara Tarakan Tarakan District

Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu Datu

kan

55

TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

and(1.1) Verhulst,GM the M next GM model, prediction gray two the uses which study present the on based However, 2040. around earthquake M5.5 another be will there that means which years 25 is area Ranau of cycle earthquake Tongk to According AreaRanau thestudy and area, Sabah in zones differentseismic at potential seismic future assessingof method the use We Results& 57 55 45 49 47 44 38 36 23 15 No 66 32 29 26 No 33 28 18 7 No

1976 1976 1989 1983 1984 1989 1991 1992 2003 2008 Year 1974 1994 1996 1999 Year 1994 1996 2007 2015 Year canget analytical resultseach infollows:as area

d

iscussion

Date Date Date 24 18 25 22 18 13 12 3 26 5 4 8 4 1 - 27 - - - 23 - - - - 19 - - - Aug - - - month 7 - Feb Mar May month - May Dec Aug Mar Jul Jan Sep Feb Nov Jul - Cheng - - - Feb - u month Nov Oct Jan

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Transactionson Science and Technology,

≧

10

5.0earthquake willoccurredbe around2019 9: Tongkul, Tongkul,

4.592, 118.1604.592, 118.0334.639, 118.0894.560, 118.8623.835, 4.108, 117.8434.265, 118.2564.636, 118.0494.579, 118.7593.694, 118.1734.598, Epicenter 8: : 2.316, 121.1292.316, 120.8441.967, 119.9310.729, 121.9375.397, Epicenter

5.768, 119.3245.768, 119.6095.208, 119.3165.710, 119.7614.624, Epicenter Sitangkai CollisionZoneearthquakes list

Tawau areaearthquakesTawau list - 8786.

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Depth(km) Depth(km)

Depth 33 33 24 57 33 32 33 50 33 10 54 38 2 33 48 11 27 33 Universiti Malaysia Sabah Malaysia Universiti 4

(km)

3

(1), Magnitude(M) Magnitude Magnitude(M) 47 4.5 5.0 3.7 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.9 5.0 - 5.2 5.5 5.5 4.4

5.8 5.7 7.9 7.1 58 -

2020 in2020 Ranau area.

(M)

Tawau Tawau Tawau Semporna Semporna Tawau Semporna Tawau Semporna Tawau District Sitangkai Sitangkai District Sitangkai Sitangkai , the M the , Gorontalo Gorontalo Palu Seit District

≧ 56

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TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Table11 as area Sabah in assessment potential seismic future get can study present the State, Sabah occur M Theoretically, estimation. model (1,1) GM the using earthquakes of range critical enteredthe now earthquakehas M≥6.0 nextthe Sea, Celebes the of Zone Collision the for As CelebesCollisionSea Zone occur will earthquake 5 M> around2020 next the area, Sitangkai of estimation model (1,1) GM the on Based Area Sitangkai Butif basedon the 2019 around be will area Tawau in earthquake next the estimation, model (1,1) GM on Based Area Tarakan thecriticalinpoint, theory, anearthquake toisveryoccur likely any at time. area Tawau the in aroundoccur2017 will earthquake An TawauArea earthquakenextthe depthat of will 33kmaround occur2021 2016 earliestaround occur willearthquake another not, or in1992 earthqu M4.6 the ignore to whether estimation, model (1,1) GM on Based Lahad AearthquakeM5 whosedepthkmis70 inwilloccur inSandakan area 2015. AreaSandakan 2020 ea two next the estimation, model (1,1) GM on Based KudatArea -

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Verhulstmodel, earthquakenextthe will occur around 2021 ISSN2289

Transactionson Science and Technology, If we take the above eight sections of future potential earthquakes in potential future of sections eight above the take we If

- 8786. http://transectscience.org/ tqae wl ocr rud 2017 around occur will rthquakes . But the Semporna area has alreadyreachedhas area Sempornathe But . - 2022. - 2017 and slowest in 2026. And the the And 2026. in slowest and 2017

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k tadph f1 km 10 of depth a at ake -

58 ≧ 6.0 earthquake will will earthquake 6.0

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2022. 2022. - 2018 and and 2018 shown in in shown

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2020.

57

TRANSACTIONS ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY [8] [7] [6] [5] [4] [3] [2] [1] References included. Sitangkai,Lahad Tarakan, Ranau, Kadat, as such areas other ( regions, years seven next the in State Sabah in areas potential Lahad are areas potentials seismic higher Another earthquakes. induce and dislocation fault the cause will it place, take factors trigger the as long As energy. strain enough accumulated currently have areas three These Sea. Celebes the and Semporna, (2015 years three next the in State Sabah in region potential seismic high The Conclusion

2015. Wikipedia. December2015. boundaries Plate (NEIC). Tectonic Center Information Earthquake National USGS F. 2015. (http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2015/06/07/sabah Tongkul. resolvingSundaland motionandboundaries. P. Morgan, S., Matheussen, A., D. Sarsito, F., J. W. Simons, asia/). Malaysian. (http://www.scientificmalaysian.com/project Scientific International Wedge Borneo NW the F., Sapin, Track. (http://earthquaketrack.com/p/malaysia/sabah/recent).Accesssed 18on December 2015. Earthquake TectostrainProject: structures andstrain field, Central South Chamot F., Ego,

Accesssed18on December 2015.

Hermawan ( 2015 , 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 No. 193

Cheng -

Rooke, N., Loevenbruck, A., Lorne, A., Pubellier, M., Rabaute, A. & Vigny, & A. Rabaute, M., Pubellier, A., Lorne, A., Loevenbruck, N., Rooke, ) (2), 549

Socquet, A., Vigny, C., Ambrosius, B. A. C., Haji Abu, S Abu,Haji C., A. Ambrosius,B. Vigny,C., Socquet,A., . ud Plate Sunda , I., Pubellier, M., Vigny, C. & Ringeubach, J. Ringeubach, & Vigny, M.,C. Pubellier, I., , 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ~now ~now ~now Year , Table11 022 022 021 021 020 020 018 017 017

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