DOCSLIB.ORG

Polis-Paper-2.Pdf

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Polis-Paper-2.Pdf LONG SHOTS AND BOLD CLAIMS: SCENARIOS ON FUTURE CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL ORDER TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 2 Executive Summaries 3 Zusammenfassungen 6 A Note On Methodology 9 The Carbon Bubble: The Next Financial Crisis Waiting To Happen? By Julian Schwartzkopff 10 How Tax Evasion Undermines Governments And Societies, By Kevin Müller 16 Peak Oil Demand And The Petro-States: A Collapsing Oil Price Leads To Power Shifts And Instability, By Julian Schwartzkopff 22 The Rise Of China Mirrored In The South China Sea Dispute, By Fanny Ries 28 Summer Is Coming: Will An Ice-Free Arctic Become A Region Of Cooperation Or Conflict? By Stephan Hoare 33 The Global Increase Of Hybrid Warfare: The Case Of Russia’s War In Ukraine, By Ann-Sophie Gast and Salome Minesashvili 39 Antimicrobial Resistance: Approaching An Age Of Untreatable Global Epidemics? By Jannes Elfgen 45 Editors and Authors 50 Polis180 53 ! 1 LONG SHOTS AND BOLD CLAIMS: SCENARIOS ON FUTURE CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL ORDER INTRODUCTION Berlin, February 2017. Younger generations like ours Overall, the power of nation states, which form the have enjoyed the privilege of growing up in a relatively foundation of the international order, has been peaceful and prosperous era. The system of gradually eroded. The increasing importance of non- international order that has evolved since World War II state actors such as banks and large multi-national has made it possible to overcome the turbulent times of corporations, as well as increasingly sophisticated the early 20th century. This system is underpinned by crime and terror organizations, is shifting power away various forums for institutionalized international from nation states while their fates are increasingly cooperation, most important among them the United governed by factors that transcend national borders. Nations and the Bretton Woods institutions. Yet, these organizations do not reflect today’s geopolitical power Against this backdrop, Polis180 has assembled a team structure. The rise of China and other emerging of young authors to analyze key global challenges, how economies has fundamentally altered the underlying they might affect the international order, and how they balance of power. Are our international institutions still could evolve. This report deals with seven such issues, fit for purpose to manage the challenges the world is outlining two possible futures for each: one where they facing in the 21st century? are addressed effectively (the Blue Sky scenario) and one where they are not (the Dark Sky scenario). To date, international institutions have shown sluggishness in tackling mass migration, epidemics, In conceptualizing and drafting this study, our team of climate change, new security threats as well as young authors has received generous intellectual and economic and financial crises. In response, political organizational support by Hanns W. Maull of the disaffection and the success of the Donald Trumps of Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik and Heiko Nitzschke this world has risen, offering protectionism, nationalism of the Federal Foreign Office, for which we are and militarism as an alternative. extremely grateful. The editorial team, Kevin Müller, Fanny Ries, and Julian Schwartzkopff 2 LONG SHOTS AND BOLD CLAIMS: SCENARIOS ON FUTURE CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL ORDER EXECUTIVE SUMMARIES The problems the international order faces are increasingly global in nature. They require effective collaboration of states with diverse and often opposed interests in order to achieve jointly beneficial solutions. This is clearly illustrated by the scenarios in the following chapters. At the same time, the problem-solving capacity of the system itself has increasingly been put into question. The influence of nation states is on the decline. Many future challenges pose difficulties to democratic decision-making processes as solutions are often unpopular, difficult to communicate, or produce benefits over longer time spans than short-lived electoral cycles. Rather than attempting to provide a coherent story across all chapters or to merely extrapolate current trends, our scenarios offer snapshots of many possible futures. CHALLENGE 1: THE CARBON BUBBLE - THE NEXT CHALLENGE 2: HOW TAX EVASION UNDERMINES FINANCIAL CRISIS WAITING TO HAPPEN? GOVERNMENTS AND SOCIETIES Julian Schwartzkopff Kevin Müller This chapter details the risk of an economic crisis This chapter describes how foregone tax revenues could resulting from a carbon bubble in company valuations. exacerbate income inequality while eroding the budgetary The bubble stems from fossil fuel reserves counted at full resources that governments rely on. In the Dark Sky value in balance sheets even though most of them can scenario, countries fail to adopt effective global tax never be burnt if efforts to reduce CO2 emissions are regulation and shut down tax havens, instead preferring to taken seriously. In the Dark Sky scenario, the bubble attract business and investment via tax competition. This bursts starting with coal, followed by oil. The resulting results in increased inequality and political discontent, shock transmits to financial institutions, causes a major shifting power to corporations and restricting the slowdown of the world economy and stagflation in the problem-solving capacity of governments. In the Blue OECD world. Widespread unemployment and a renewed Sky scenario, a concerted push for regulation by the EU outbreak of sovereign debt crises in EU countries fuel and the US, coupled with the strict criminal prosecution populism and protectionism. In the Blue Sky scenario, of financial sector companies enabling tax evasion, effective international coordination provides clear signals manages to limit the problem. This revives the to markets to stop the carbon bubble from growing and International Monetary Fund with a new mandate to to shift investment flows to low-carbon projects. A oversee global financial flows while reducing the growth fundamental reform of accounting and banking regulation of income inequality and propping up government deflates the bubble, minimizing financial fallout. spending on infrastructure, social security and education. CHALLENGE 3: PEAK OIL DEMAND AND THE PETRO-STATES Julian Schwartzkopff This chapter examines how low oil prices after reaching peak oil demand could destabilize oil-dependent governments in the Middle East, Latin America and Asia. The most likely cause for a decline in oil demand is a major increase in the market penetration of electric vehicles. In the Dark Sky scenario, the failure of petro-states to diversify their economies leaves them unable to uphold the subsidy and patronage systems on which their legitimacy is built. While some turn authoritarian, others simply collapse, leading to major conflicts, instability and power shifts in the MENA region as well as Latin America, along with a major increase in terrorism and conflict refugees. In the Blue Sky scenario, early steps are taken to diversify oil economies while Western countries launch a major investment initiative in the MENA region and climate finance is fully mobilized to promote sustainable investment. In this scenario, the consequences for petro- states are still painful, but largely manageable, while increased economic interdependence promotes stability and peace. 3 LONG SHOTS AND BOLD CLAIMS: SCENARIOS ON FUTURE CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL ORDER CHALLENGE 4: THE RISE OF CHINA MIRRORED CHALLENGE 5: SUMMER IS COMING - WILL AN IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DISPUTE ICE-FREE ARCTIC BECOME A REGION OF COOPERATION OR CONFLICT? Fanny Ries This chapter deals with the increasing assertiveness of Stephan Hoare China in the South China Sea and its clash with the US. It This chapter outlines that the increased accessibility of analyzes different possible development paths in the resources and shipping routes in the Arctic, prompted by context of a major power shift from the West to China. In climate change, could spark a renewed conflict between the Dark Sky scenario, China moves unilaterally, Russia and the West. The Dark Sky scenario describes a leveraging its economic and military power to lay claim militarized Arctic, with unchecked extraction of resources to the South China Sea. The rift this causes between the at high environmental costs, divided into zones of world’s two largest economies inhibits international Russian and Western influence. This Arctic has become a cooperation on regional security issues and climate front in a new Cold War which has brought cooperation change, bringing to the fore the weaknesses of ASEAN between East and West to a standstill. In the Blue Sky and the UN in their current form. In the Blue Sky scenario, the Arctic becomes a region of cooperation scenario, a cooperative management of the South China where major economic benefits from free shipping routes Sea issue triggers a new era of pragmatism in and Arctic tourism are realized, where environmental international institutions that take into account China’s safeguards are jointly administered by Russia and NATO, grown influence. all while continuing tensions are effectively managed in the Arctic Council. CHALLENGE 6: THE GLOBAL INCREASE OF HYBRID CHALLENGE 7: ANTIMICROBIAL RESISTANCE - ARE WARFARE - THE CASE OF RUSSIA’S WAR IN WE APPROACHING AN ERA OF UNTREATABLE UKRAINE GLOBAL EPIDEMICS? Ann-Sophie Gast and Salome Minesashvili Jannes Elfgen This chapter takes a look at the worrying trend of nation This chapter analyses how the projected shortage of states increasingly resorting
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Ben Spies-Butcher & Frank Stilwell
    CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY AND ECONOMIC RECESSION Ben Spies Butcher and Frank Stilwell The economic difficulties following from the global financial crisis raise important and challenging questions about the strategies necessary to deal with the problem of climate change. Does the recession undermine the case for an emissions trading system? If so, what could be done instead to reduce environmentally hazardous emissions? Can the problems of recession and climate change be simultaneously redressed? First, it is pertinent to point to a paradox – that the recession is good for the environment. Indeed, over the past year the failures of global capitalism have achieved goals that even optimistic environmentalists previously thought unreachable. The close correlation between economic growth and carbon emissions has meant that, as production has fallen, so too have emissions. However, the short term gains have come at significant cost, and there is little reason to expect that these gains are sustainable. The Stern Report in the UK acknowledged a strong correlation between economic growth and increased carbon emissions (Stern 2007, xi). There is approximately a 0.9 per cent increase in emissions for every 1 per cent increase in growth (Adam 2009). The recession reverses this logic. Indeed, economic contraction has been particularly pronounced in emissions intensive industries, with industrial production in the United States down by almost 13 percent in the year to March 2009, and with declines concentrated in manufacturing and construction (US Federal Reserve 2009). In Japan exports fell over 40 per cent in the year to April 2009 (Ministry of Finance 2009). Globally, 2009 may be the first year in which global carbon emissions actually decline.
    [Show full text]
  • Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
    Exhibit 21 Initiative arbon Tracker Carbon supply cost curves: Evaluating financial risk to gas capital expenditures About Carbon Tracker Acknowledgements Disclaimer The Carbon Tracker Initiative (CTI) is a financial Authored by James Leaton, Andrew Grant, Matt Carbon Tracker is a non-profit company set-up not for profit financial think-tank. Its goal is to Gray, Luke Sussams, with communications advice to produce new thinking on climate risk. The align the capital markets with the risks of climate from Stefano Ambrogi and Margherita Gagliardi organisation is funded by a range of European and change. Since its inception in 2009 Carbon Tracker at Carbon Tracker. This paper is a summary which American foundations. Carbon Tracker is not an has played a pioneering role in popularising the draws on research conducted in partnership with investment adviser, and makes no representation concepts of the carbon bubble, unburnable carbon Energy Transition Advisors, ETA, led by Mark Fulton, regarding the advisability of investing in any and stranded assets. These concepts have entered with Paul Spedding. particular company or investment fund or other the financial lexicon and are being taken increasingly vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment The underlying analysis in this report prepared seriously by a range of financial institutions including fund or other entity should not be made in by Carbon Tracker and ETA is based on supply investment banks, ratings agencies, pension funds reliance on any of the statements set forth in this cost data licensed from Wood Mackenzie Limited. and asset managers. publication. While the organisations have obtained Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial information believed to be reliable, they shall not intelligence for the energy, metals and mining Contact be liable for any claims or losses of any nature industries.
    [Show full text]
  • UNBURNABLE CARBON RATIONAL INVESTMENT for SUSTAINABILITY Nef Is an Independent Think-And-Do Tank That Inspires and Demonstrates Real Economic Well-Being
    UNBURNABLE CARBON RATIONAL INVESTMENT FOR SUSTAINABILITY nef is an independent think-and-do tank that inspires and demonstrates real economic well-being. We aim to improve quality of life by promoting innovative solutions that challenge mainstream thinking on economic, environmental and social issues. We work in partnership and put people and the planet fi rst. nef programme areas: Climate Change Connected Democracy and Finance and and Energy Economies Participation Business Natural Social Policy Valuing What Well-being Economies Matters nef (the new economics foundation) is a registered charity founded in 1986 by the leaders of The Other Economic Summit (TOES), which forced issues such as international debt onto the agenda of the G8 summit meetings. It has taken a lead in helping establish new coalitions and organisations such as the Jubilee 2000 debt campaign; the Ethical Trading Initiative; the UK Social Investment Forum; and new ways to measure social and economic well-being. CONTENTS 01 FOREWORD 04 02 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 05 03 UNBURNABLE CARBON 09 04 SIMPLE MATHS 16 05 CONCLUSION 39 06 ENDNOTES 40 UNBURNABLE CARBON RATIONAL INVESTMENT FOR SUSTAINABILITY 3 01 FOREWORD The financial system is in the news. A string of bank bail-outs, mis-selling scandals, THESE ARE billion dollar losses by ‘rogue’ traders, and most recently the manipulation of LIBOR, a key interest rate, have led to an erosion of trust and to calls for reform. SERIOUS EPISODES, UNDOUBTEDLY, THAT These are serious episodes, undoubtedly, that require redress. But can we at least rely REQUIRE REDRESS. on financial markets to fulfill their core function: to allocate capital to those investments that will create the most long-term value for humanity? In the light of the unfolding BUT CAN WE AT LEAST crisis of climate change, described by Lord Stern as “the greatest market failure the RELY ON FINANCIAL world has seen”, we must seriously question this assumption.
    [Show full text]
  • The Exposure of Polish Pension Funds and Banks to the Carbon Bubble
    The exposure of Polish pension funds and banks to the carbon bubble A research paper prepared for The Greens in the European Parliament The exposure of Polish pension funds and banks to the carbon bubble A research paper prepared for The Greens in the European Parliament Jan Willem van Gelder Alexandra Christopoulou Joeri de Wilde 2015 Naritaweg 10 1043 BX Amsterdam The Netherlands Tel: +31-20-8208320 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.profundo.nl Contents Summary .....................................................................................................................i Introduction................................................................................................................1 Chapter 1 Background and methodology .......................................................2 1.1 The carbon bubble and its risks ..............................................................2 1.2 Objective....................................................................................................2 1.3 Selected financial institutions and companies .......................................2 1.4 Research steps .........................................................................................3 Chapter 2 Exposure of Polish pension funds to carbon bubble risks ..........4 2.1 Selection of pension funds ......................................................................4 2.2 General asset distribution ........................................................................4 2.3 Investments in high-carbon equities and
    [Show full text]
  • Working Paper No
    Low-carbon transition risks for finance Gregor Semieniuk, Emanuele Campiglio, Jean-Francois Mercure, Ulrich Volz and Neil R. Edwards Working paper No. 233 March 2020 The SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series is published electronically by SOAS University of London. ISSN 1753 – 5816 This and other papers can be downloaded free of charge from: SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series at http://www.soas.ac.uk/economics/research/workingpapers/ Research Papers in Economics (RePEc) electronic library at https://ideas.repec.org/s/soa/wpaper.html Suggested citation Semieniuk, Gregor, Emanuele Campiglio, Jean-Francois Mercure, Ulrich Volz and Neil R. Edwards (2020), “Low-carbon transition risks for finance”, SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper No. 233, London: SOAS University of London. Department of Economics SOAS University of London Thornhaugh Street, Russell Square, London WC1H 0XG, UK Phone: + 44 (0)20 7898 4730 Fax: 020 7898 4759 E-mail: [email protected] http://www.soas.ac.uk/economics/ © Copyright is held by the author(s) of each working paper. Low-carbon transition risks for finance Gregor Semieniuk* Emanuele Campiglio† Jean-Francois Mercure‡ Ulrich Volz§ Neil R. Edwards** Abstract The transition to a low-carbon economy will entail a large-scale structural change. Some industries will have to expand their relative economic weight, while other industries, especially those directly linked to fossil fuel production and consumption, will have to decline. Such a systemic shift may have major repercussions on the stability of financial systems, via abrupt asset revaluations, defaults on debt and the creation of bubbles. Studies on previous industrial transitions have shed light on the financial transition risks originating from rapidly rising ‘sunrise’ industries.
    [Show full text]
  • Is Carbon Risk Priced in the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns?
    Motivation Findings Data Results Source Conclusion Appendix Is Carbon Risk Priced in the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns? Tinghua Duany Frank Weikai Liz Quan Wen* yIESEG School of Management zLee Kong Chian School of Business, Singapore Management University *McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University ABFER 8th Annual Conference, 2021 McGlade & Ekins Estimate: IEA Estimate: \Our results suggest that, globally, a third of oil \No more than one-third of proven reserves can be reserves, half of gas reserves and over 80% of coal consumed if the world is to achieve the 2◦C gaol, unless reserves should remain unused [...] in order to meet the carbon capture and storage technology is widely target of 2◦C." deployed." { EnergyPolicy vol 64, Oct 2014 { IEA Energy Outlook, Jan 2012 Motivation Findings Data Results Source Conclusion Appendix Motivation I Climate change is having a significant economic and societal impact (Stern, 2007; IPCC, 2018; Hsiang et al, 2017) I As climate change is mostly caused by accumulations of greenhouse gases (GHG) in earth's atmosphere, any regulation will have to target at significantly curbing firms’ carbon emissions (e.g., carbon tax or cap-and-trade system) Motivation Findings Data Results Source Conclusion Appendix Motivation I Climate change is having a significant economic and societal impact (Stern, 2007; IPCC, 2018; Hsiang et al, 2017) I As climate change is mostly caused by accumulations of greenhouse gases (GHG) in earth's atmosphere, any regulation will have to target at significantly curbing
    [Show full text]
  • Divest from the Carbon Bubble? Reviewing the Implications and Limitations of Fossil Fuel Divestment for Institutional Investors1
    Review of Economics & Finance Submitted on 24/12/2014 Article ID: 1923-7529-2015-02-59-22 Justin Ritchie, and Hadi Dowlatabadi Divest from the Carbon Bubble? Reviewing the Implications and Limitations of Fossil Fuel Divestment for Institutional Investors1 Justin Ritchie (Correspondence author) Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia 2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada Tel: +1-919-701-9872 E-mail: [email protected] Hadi Dowlatabadi Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia 2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada Tel: +1-778-863-0103 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://blogs.ubc.ca/dowlatabadi/welcome/ Abstract: Climate change policies that rapidly curtail fossil fuel consumption will lead to structural adjustments in the business operations of the energy industry. Due to an uncertain global climate and energy policy framework, it is difficult to determine the magnitude of fossil energy reserves that could remain unused. This ambiguity has the potential to create losses for investors holding securities associated with any aspects of the fossil fuel industry. Carbon bubble risk is understood as financial exposure to fossil fuel companies that would experience impairments from assets stranded by policy, economics or innovation. A grassroots divestment campaign is pressuring institutions sell their fossil fuel company holdings. By September 2014, investors had responded by pledging to divest US $50 billion of portfolios. Though divestment campaigns are primarily focused on a moral and political rationale, they also regularly frame divesting as a strategy for mitigating stranded asset risk. We review aspects of the divestment movement alongside the context of carbon bubble risk.
    [Show full text]
  • June 13, 2021
    June 13, 2021 Submitted electronically Vanessa A. Countryman Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission 100 F Street NE, Washington, DC 20549-1090. CC: Chair Gary Gensler Commissioner Allison Herren Lee Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw Commissioner Hester Peirce Commissioner Elad Roisman RE: REQUEST FOR PUBLIC INPUT ON CLIMATE CHANGE DISCLOSURES Dear Secretary Countryman, I am pleased to submit the following comment on behalf of the Publish What You Pay—United States coalition (“PWYP-US”) in response to the March 15, 2021 request for input on climate change disclosures. Publish What You Pay (“PWYP”) is a global civil society coalition made up of over 800 member organizations operating in more than 70 countries. The US coalition was founded in 2004 and consists of 40 anti-corruption, financial transparency, anti-poverty, tax justice, environmental, faith-based and human rights organizations representing over five million constituents across the United States. PWYP- US members have over a decade of experiencing advocating for greater financial transparency in the oil, gas, and mining sectors including specific experiencing with SEC rulemaking. We appreciate the SEC’s leadership on this issue and are glad to provide input. This comment focuses on the disclosure of climate-related financial risks by fossil fuel issuers, namely fossil fuel companies with significant upstream investments. We believe this sector must be prioritized within future climate-risk rulemaking due to the fundamental relationship between fossil fuel extraction and climate change mitigation. This comment is not comprehensive--we have chosen to discuss certain representative issues to draw attention to gaps in the SEC’s current requirements. We hope to follow up with a more detailed and thorough evaluation of all relevant issues in the fossil-fuel sector reporting framework during a subsequent rulemaking or other opportunity for public input.
    [Show full text]
  • The Carbon Bubble: the Financial Risk of Fossil Fuels and Need for Divestment
    EUROPEANGREENPARTY THE CARBON BUBBLE: The financial risk of fossil fuels and need for divestment 2 The 2° target: a minimum consensus which The Carbon Bubble represents economic dynamite 3 The world is agreed: the temperature of the atmosphere must not rise by more than 2°C. However, this means that most oil, gas and coal reserves are valueless. for divestment fossil fuels and need The financial risk of The international community has have on a number of occasions stressed committed itself to an unequivocal target: the urgency of consistent measures if we the Earth’s atmosphere must not warm are to keep the Earth on track towards by more than 2°C by the end of the cen- the 2°C target. tury. At the 2010 UN Climate Conference in Cancún, Mexico, representatives of The 2°C target will not be easy to achieve 194 states committed themselves to this and will only be feasible by determined target. Even the USA and China, who action from the global community. At the never signed the Kyoto Protocol, sup- same time however, climate researchers ported the decision, as do all other major say that 2°C constitutes the borderline greenhouse gas emitters. not between ‘tolerable’ and ‘dangerous’ climate change, but rather between The 2°C target refers to the rise in tem- ‘dangerous’ and ‘very dangerous’ cli- perature relative to pre-industrial levels. mate change. Even with an increase However, as the mean temperature has of ‘only’ 2°C, Arctic ice sheets will melt, already risen by 0.8°C since the 19th and habitats and cultural regions will be Century, the climate must not warm by destroyed.
    [Show full text]
  • Inside This Issue
    INSIDE THIS ISSUE 02 Mispricing Risk Raiders of the Lost Ark and the Dangers of a Carbon Bubble 07 Racing Ahead South Korea’s Leading Green Economy 10 From Sand to Silicon The Emergence of a New Solar Giant A B O U T W H E B WHEB is an independent investment management firm specialising in opportunities created by the global transition to more sustainable, resource efficient economies. Established in 2003, WHEB invests assets on behalf of institutional and private clients through listed equity, private equity and infrastructure investment strategies. With offices in London and Munich, WHEB’s team of more than 20 investment professionals have over 250 years of combined experience. CONTENTS 02 Mispricing Risk Raiders of the Lost Ark and the Dangers of a Carbon Bubble 07 Racing Ahead South Korea’s Leading Green Economy 10 From Sand to Silicon The Emergence of a New Solar Giant 01 WHEB QUARTERLY SUMMER ISSUE 2013 Mapping the opportunities and risks in the green economy The race is on. In recent months we’ve had the opportunity to meet, work with and visit investors from across the globe and this edition of the WHEB Quarterly profiles the enormously ambitious programmes for green growth that are emerging from two very different – and perhaps unexpected – parts of the globe. EDITORIAL Ben Goldsmith spent much of the spring visiting Middle Eastern investors and comments on the major deployment of renewable energy infrastructure that is positioning the region as an exciting source of growth in this sector (pages 10-13). Meanwhile, across the world, South Korea is also staking a claim to the mantle of ‘green growth leader’.
    [Show full text]
  • New Political Economy Uncertainty Markets And
    This article was downloaded by: [Lohmann, Larry] On: 19 July 2010 Access details: Access Details: [subscription number 924494001] Publisher Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37- 41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK New Political Economy Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713439457 Uncertainty Markets and Carbon Markets: Variations on Polanyian Themes Larry Lohmann Online publication date: 16 July 2010 To cite this Article Lohmann, Larry(2010) 'Uncertainty Markets and Carbon Markets: Variations on Polanyian Themes', New Political Economy, 15: 2, 225 — 254 To link to this Article: DOI: 10.1080/13563460903290946 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13563460903290946 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf This article may be used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material. New Political Economy, Vol.
    [Show full text]
  • Graham Steele January 2020 About the Author
    A Regulatory Green Light: How Dodd-Frank Can Address Wall Street’s Role in the Climate Crisis REPORT BY GRAHAM STEELE JANUARY 2020 ABOUT THE AUTHOR Graham Steele is the director of the Corporations and Society Initiative at Stanford Graduate School of Business. Prior to joining Stanford GSB, Graham was a member of the staff of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. From 2015 to 2017, he was the minority chief counsel for the Senate Committee on Banking, ABOUT THE GREAT Housing & Urban Affairs. From 2010 to 2015, he was a DEMOCRACY INITIATIVE legislative assistant for United States Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH), handling the senator’s work as a member The Great Democracy Initiative of the Senate Banking Committee, including four years develops policy blueprints that as the staff director of the Subcommittee on Financial offer solutions to the most pressing Institutions & Consumer Protection. problems of our time. From taming The views and opinions expressed in this paper are the concentration of power in those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the our economy to fundamentally views of Stanford Graduate School of Business or reforming our broken government, Stanford University. GDI aims to generate policy ideas that confront the forces that have rigged our society in favor of the ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS powerful and connected. The author is grateful to Nell Abernathy, Gregg Gelzinis, Saule Omarova, Jeremy Kress, Sarah Bloom Raskin, Arthur Wilmarth, Rhiana Gunn-Wright, Marcus Stanley, and Suzanne Kahn for their thoughtful comments and feedback. This report was edited by Matt Hughes. This paper was supported by a gift from the ClimateWorks Foundation.
    [Show full text]