The Age of Oil As the Thirst for Oil Continues to Grow, Production Efforts Around the World Have Jumped Into Overdrive

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

The Age of Oil As the Thirst for Oil Continues to Grow, Production Efforts Around the World Have Jumped Into Overdrive THE AGE OF OIL AS THE THIRST FOR OIL CONTINUES TO GROW, PRODUCTION EFFORTS AROUND THE WORLD HAVE JUMPED INTO OVERDRIVE BY ROBERT RAPIER MOST PEOPLE would have a jumped into overdrive. In 2012, global had an idea that so-called rock oil difficult time imagining life without oil. oil production reached an all-time high (petroleum) that seeped naturally from Oil petroleum is used to produce of 86.2 million barrels per day, accord- the ground in many places could be the pesticides and herbicides that ing to the 2013 BP Statistical Review of produced commercially and refined farmers use to grow crops, which are World Energy. The United States posted into a fuel for oil lamps. After commis- then transported to market in vehicles the largest production increases in the sioning an analysis of a local sample of that contain numerous plastic and world, accounting for 53 percent of the petroleum that showed that the synthetic rubber parts, made from total global increase. kerosene fraction indeed made an oil. These vehicles are powered by oil, For the past 150 years, we have lived excellent fuel for oil lamps, Bissell and probably driven on roads made in the Age of Oil. We have to look back formed the Pennsylvania Rock Oil of oil-derived asphalt. Oil is also used to the 1850s to see a society that did not Company, which later became the to produce detergents, medicines, yet benefit from this slick substance. Seneca Oil Company. paints and nylon clothing. But how did we get to this point? Seneca hired Edwin Drake to Air transport is practically Humans have been using petroleum search for oil around Titusville. Drake 100 percent dependent upon oil, while as an energy source and for medicinal noticed that salt well drillers often had the entire U.S. transportation sector purposes for thousands of years. unwanted oil associated with the salt depends on oil for around 95 percent of Petroleum had long been collected in water they were attempting to extract, its energy. We grew up in an age of some locations from oil pits similar to and he decided to use the same drilling abundant petroleum, and this is the La Brea Tar Pits in California, but technique in an effort to produce oil. In reflected in the cars we drive, the layout the Chinese are reported to have drilled August 1859, he succeeded. An oil rush of our cities and our commutes to work. for oil as early as 347 AD Until the 19th began in Pennsylvania. Around the world, the thirst for century, however, oil usage around the Pennsylvania quickly became the oil continues to grow in many countries, world was minor and sporadic. most important oil-producing region in particularly those in developing That changed in the mid-19th the world. As oil production rose, one regions. Between 2011 and 2012, oil century when several commercial oil casualty was the whaling industry. Prior consumption in Africa, China, India wells were drilled in Europe and North to the commercialization of petroleum, and the former Soviet Union jumped by America. While there are competing whale oil was commonly used as fuel for some 5 percent. The Middle East claims about who drilled the world’s first oil lamps and as a lubricant for moving also saw a jump (4.5 percent), as commercial oil well, a well drilled in parts. By 1859, many whale species had did the Asia Pacific region, where Titusville, Pennsylvania, in 1859 is been driven nearly to extinction. consumption grew by just more than widely credited with kicking off the But kerosene proved to be a superior 3.7 percent—an increase of approxi- American petroleum industry. option for consumers, and demand mately 1 million barrels per day (bpd). The story starts with George Bissell, for whale oil soon plummeted. Thus the To feed this insatiable thirst, whom many consider to be the father rise of the oil industry was a major oil production around the world has of the American oil industry. Bissell factor leading to the decline of the 8 BOSS 4 s pr i ng 2014 Drilling bit and positive displacement motor in front of a drilling rig. www.dixonva lve.co m s pr i ng 2014 4 BOSS 9 This 1861 photograph shows Edwin Drake (foreground, top hat) at the original 1859 Drake oil well in Titusvile, Pennsylvania, the first commercial oil well drilled in the United States. volatile and generally undesirable by-product of kerosene distillation. But gasoline turned out to be a very good fuel for the internal combustion engine, and the rapid growth in the early 20th century of affordable automobiles created a greater demand for oil production. In the United States, demand for Henry Ford’s Model T grew rapidly, and expanding oil production provided the fuel for these cars, enabling a level of personal mobility that had never been experienced in human history. Diesel, a heavier petroleum fraction than gasoline, soon became the preferred fuel for an engine patented by Rudolf Diesel in 1892. The diesel engine would become a favored mode of transport for heavy trucking and commercial ships. And the kerosene that initially kick-started the oil industry would ultimately prove to be an ideal fuel for commercial jets. This whaling industry, and to the recovery of Standard Oil’s business practices worked out well for the oil industry many whale species. attracted a great deal of criticism, since the invention of the electric light The oil industry rapidly grew especially after a journalist named Ida greatly diminished the demand for in the Appalachian Basin, with new Tarbell published a series of critical kerosene lighting. discoveries in western New York, Ohio, articles that broadly turned public Thus, the rise of the oil industry Kentucky and West Virginia. The oil opinion against the company. The both enabled, and was enabled by, that was produced was transported to federal government investigated and the rise of the most mobile civilization refineries that distilled the kerosene, concluded that Standard Oil built its in the history of the world. while disposing of undesirable fractions dominance by engaging in unfair like gasoline—often in nearby rivers. business practices. A young man named John D. In 1909, the U.S. Department Rockefeller sensed a great opportunity, of Justice sued Standard under the and began acquiring refineries and Sherman Antitrust Act, and in 1911 the BEYOND making deals with the railroads. Supreme Court ruled that Standard Oil In 1870, Rockefeller formed the had to be split. The resulting companies Americans consume petroleum products Standard Oil Company, which quickly went on to become Exxon and Mobil at a rate of 3.5 gallons of oil per day. established itself as one of the world’s (now back together as ExxonMobil), But, as shown here, petroleum is not just first multinationals, and the first major Chevron, Marathon and Amoco (which used for fuel. Among the many uses for U.S. business trust. The company ultimately merged with BP). bought out competitors, or undercut While the initial growth spurt of refined crude oil: them and put them out of business. the oil industry was driven by kerosene By the turn of the century, Standard Oil demand, the late 19th century brought would control about 90 percent of the the invention of the automobile. Prior U.S. oil industry. to that time, gasoline was a highly 10 BOSS 4 s pr i ng 2014 Fueling Success of the Allies By 1900, U.S. production had risen From left: A 1949 photo of a Standard Oil Company station in San Francisco, from the book to 175,000 barrels per day, with produc- The Gas Station in America, from the Johns Hopkins University Press. Three Sands Oil Field, tion still centered in Pennsylvania and Tonkawa, Oklahoma, in 1921. neighboring states. Ultimately, however, oil fields—and oil-producing regions right out of the well, which then gushed and by World War II, oil had become an in general—will reach a production uncontrollably for nine days. This iconic indispensable strategic commodity for peak and then begin to decline. As image of the gusher at Spindletop both sides. Oil played a role in Japan’s Appalachian Basin oil production began would define the beginning of the oil decision to attack Pearl Harbor (an to decline, the oil industry moved first age in Texas. American oil embargo had caused a to Indiana and Illinois. But then major Spindletop was to that point crisis in Japan, which relied on the U.S. oil discoveries in Oklahoma, Texas and the largest gusher the world had ever for 80 percent of its oil), as well as California shifted the heart of the oil seen, but other large finds followed in Hitler’s decision to invade Russia. industry to the West, a situation that Texas. In 1930, the East Texas Oil Field The victory for the Allies was fueled by continues today. was discovered, and would remain the American petroleum. The most famous of the new round largest oil field in the United States The U.S. supplied 6 billion of the of oil discoveries took place in Texas until the discovery of Prudhoe Bay in 7 billion gallons of oil consumed by in 1901. Outside Beaumont, Texas, Alaska in 1968. By the mid-1930s, the Allies during World War II. This near the Gulf Coast, mining engineer Texas oil production had reached was enabled by construction of a pair of Anthony Lucas had been drilling 1 million bpd, around half of total pipelines that allowed shipment of unsuccessfully on a hill known as global oil production.
Recommended publications
  • Winning the Oil Endgame: Innovation for Profits, Jobs, and Security Oil Dependence
    “We’ve embarked on the beginning of the Last Days of the Age of Oil. Nations of the world that are striving to modernize will make choices different from the ones we have made. They will have to. And even today’s industrial powers will shift energy use patterns....[T]he market share for carbon-rich fuels will diminish, as the demand for other forms of energy grows. And energy companies have a choice: to embrace the future and recognize the growing demand for a wide array of fuels; or ignore reality, and slowly—but surely—be left behind.” —Mike Bowlin, Chairman and CEO, ARCO, and Chairman, American Petroleum Institute, 9 Feb. 1999 1 “My personal opinion is that we are at the peak of the oil age and at the same time the begin- ning of the hydrogen age. Anything else is an interim solution in my view. The transition will be very messy, and will take many and diverse competing technological paths, but the long- term future will be in hydrogen and fuel cells.” —Herman Kuipers, Business Team Manager, Innovation & Research, Shell Global Solutions, 1. Bowlin 1999. 21 Nov. 2000 2 2. Kuipers 2000. “The days of the traditional oil company are numbered, in part because of emerging technolo- gies such as fuel cells....” 3. Bijur, undated. — Peter I. Bijur, Chairman and CEO, Texaco, Inc., late 1990s 3 4. Ingriselli 2001. “Market forces, greenery, and innovation are shaping the future of our industry and propelling 5. Gibson-Smith 1998. us inexorably towards hydrogen energy. Those who don’t pursue it…will rue it.” — Frank Ingriselli, President, Texaco Technology 6.
    [Show full text]
  • The Middle East and the New Era in the World Oil Market Yossi Mann
    The Journal for Interdisciplinary Middle Eastern Studies Vol. 1, Fall 2017 Print ISSN: 2252-347X Online ISSN: 2252-6959 https://doi.org/10.26351/2017.5 The Middle East and the New Era in the World Oil Market Yossi Mann Abstract Between 2014 and 2016 the oil market underwent sharp fluctuations and the price of WTI oil dropped by 80%.This reflected the changes that were taking place in the oil industry such as the rise in the status of oil shale in US, improved pumping abilities, the end of economic sanctions against Iran, the removal of the threat to Iraqi oil caused by internal instability, the increased role played by speculators and banks in the determination of oil prices based on increasing interest rates and internal conflicts within OPEC. The objective of this article is to reexamine some of the assumptions which have influenced the policies of governments, investors and traders and aims to present the 2014 oil crisis as both a turning point in the oil market and as an event that has limited OPEC’s power to determine oil prices. The article also seeks to analyze the factors that have led to the change in the oil market, the effects of the crisis on OPEC oil policy and to examine the implications of the decline in oil prices on social, political and economic aspects. Keywords Oil; Natural Gas; Middle East; OPEC; Saudi Arabia; Iran, Energy. Author’s contact: Dr. Yossi Mann, Department of Middle Eastern Studies, Bar Ilan University, Israel. Email: [email protected] 105 106 Yossi Mann Introduction Between 2014 and 2016 the oil market
    [Show full text]
  • The History of the US Permian Basin: a Miracle of Technological Innovation
    Oil and Gas, Natural Resources, and Energy Journal Volume 3 | Number 5 January 2018 From the Drake Well to the Santa Rita #1: The History of the U.S. Permian Basin: A Miracle of Technological Innovation Joseph R. Dancy Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.law.ou.edu/onej Part of the Energy and Utilities Law Commons, Natural Resources Law Commons, and the Oil, Gas, and Mineral Law Commons Recommended Citation Joseph R. Dancy, From the Drake Well to the Santa Rita #1: The History of the U.S. Permian Basin: A Miracle of Technological Innovation, 3 Oil & Gas, Nat. Resources & Energy J. 1183 (2018), https://digitalcommons.law.ou.edu/onej/vol3/iss5/3 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by University of Oklahoma College of Law Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Oil and Gas, Natural Resources, and Energy Journal by an authorized editor of University of Oklahoma College of Law Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. ONE J Oil and Gas, Natural Resources, and Energy Journal VOLUME 3 NUMBER 5 FROM THE DRAKE WELL TO THE SANTA RITA #1: THE HISTORY OF THE U.S. PERMIAN BASIN A MIRACLE OF TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION JOSEPH R. DANCY Abstract The Permian Basin is the largest petroleum-producing basin in the United States. Located in West Texas and in the southeastern portion of New Mexico, this legendary geologic region has provided a platform from which fortunes have been made and lost. The prolific hydrocarbon bounty of the area results from one of the thickest known deposits of Permian-aged rocks in the world, formed from ancient and biologic-rich seas.
    [Show full text]
  • The Shale Oil Boom: a U.S
    The Geopolitics of Energy Project THE SHALE OIL BOOM: A U.S. PHENOMENON LEONARDO MAUGERI June 2013 Discussion Paper #2013-05 Geopolitics of Energy Project Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Harvard Kennedy School 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Fax: (617) 495-8963 Email: [email protected] Website: http://belfercenter.org Copyright 2013 President and Fellows of Harvard College The author of this report invites use of this information for educational purposes, requiring only that the reproduced material clearly cite the full source: Leonardo Maugeri. “The Shale Oil Boom: A U.S. Phenomenon” Discussion Paper 2013-05, Belfer Center for Science and International Af- fairs, Harvard Kennedy School, June 2013. Statements and views expressed in this discussion paper are solely those of the author and do not imply endorsement by Harvard University, the Harvard Kennedy School, or the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. The Geopolitics of Energy Project THE SHALE OIL BOOM: A U.S. PHENOMENON LEONARDO MAUGERI June 2013 iv The Shale Oil Boom: A U.S. Phenomenon ABOUT THE AUTHOR Leonardo Maugeri is the Roy Family Fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Leonardo Maugeri has been a top manager of Eni (the sixth largest multinational oil company), where he held the positions of Senior Executive Vice President of Strategy and Development (2000-2010) and Executive Chairman of Polimeri Europa, Eni’s petrochemical branch (2010- 2011). On August 31th, 2011, he left Eni. Maugeri has published four books on energy, among them the The Age of Oil: the Mythology, History, and Future of the World’s Most Controversial Resource (Praeger, 2006), and Beyond the Age of Oil: The Myths and Realities of Fossil Fuels and Their Alternatives (Praeger, 2010).
    [Show full text]
  • Unit 09: Modernizing Texas in an Age Of
    Unit 09: Modernizing Texas in An Age of Oil 1900-1929 Unit 9 Vocabulary • boom and bust cycle – an economic pattern characterized by periods of economic growth and periods of economic decline • industrialization – the economic development of manufacturing products from natural resources • petroleum – a thick, oily substance found deep in the Earth, use as a fuel • prohibition – to ban something, generally refers to the movement to ban the manufacture, sale, transportation and use of alcoholic beverages • progressives – those who advocate social reforms and legislative programs to improve society • suffrage – the right to vote • rural – Country, or country life • urban – City, or city life The Oil Boom © Tara Fountain **Question What is oil: and how is it created? Click Here to find out!!!! How is oil created? Oil or petroleum is viscous black liquid used as a fuel source; it is created by the remains of organic matter (dead plants/animals) under pressure over thousands of years. **Think about it How do we use it? Name 3 ways we use oil each day? On your note sheet, choose Which products are created from oil ALL of them are created by using oil!!! The Oil Industry in Texas •Railroads began using oil for fuel in the 1880’s, which increased the demand for the fossil fuel. •Pennsylvania was the first state to produce American Oil in 1859 •Seven years later Melrose Petroleum Oil Company drilled Texas’s first successful oil well in Nacogdoches but it wasn’t a long term success. •In 1894 a major reserve in Corsicana was tapped creating the first major oil supply in the state.
    [Show full text]
  • Peak Oil Strategic Management Dissertation
    STRATEGIC CHOICES FOR MANAGING THE TRANSITION FROM PEAK OIL TO A REDUCED PETROLEUM ECONOMY BY SARAH K. ODLAND STRATEGIC CHOICES FOR MANAGING THE TRANSITION FROM PEAK OIL TO A REDUCED PETROLEUM ECONOMY BY SARAH K. ODLAND JUNE 2006 ORIGINALLY SUBMITTED AS A MASTER’S THESIS TO THE FACULTY OF THE DIVISION OF BUSINESS AND ACCOUNTING, MERCY COLLEGE IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, MAY 2006 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS AND CHARTS v LIST OF TABLES vii PREFACE viii INTRODUCTION ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM 1 PART I THE BIG ROLLOVER: ONSET OF A PETROLEUM DEMAND GAP AND SWITCH TO A SELLERS’ MARKET CHAPTER 1 WHAT”S OIL EVER DONE FOR YOU? (AND WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF IT STOPPED DOING IT?) 5 Oil: Cheap Energy on Demand - Oil is Not Just a Commodity - Heavy Users - Projected Demand Growth for Liquid Petroleum - Price Elasticity of Oil Demand - Energy and Economic Growth - The Dependence of Productivity Growth on Expanding Energy Supplies - Economic Implications of a Reduced Oil Supply Rate CHAPTER 2 REALITY CHECK: TAKING INVENTORY OF PETROLEUM SUPPLY 17 The Geologic Production of Petroleum - Where the Oil Is and Where It Goes - Diminishing Marginal Returns of Production - Hubbert’s Peak: World Oil Production Peaking and Decline - Counting Oil Inventory: What’s in the World Warehouse? - Oil Resources versus Accessible Reserves - Three Camps: The Peak Oilers, Official Agencies, Technology Optimists - Liars’ Poker: Got Oil? - Geopolitical Realities of the Distribution of Remaining World
    [Show full text]
  • The Birth of the Oil Industry Main Ideas Key Terms and People 1
    DO NOT EDIT--Changes must be made through “File info” CorrectionKey=TX-A Section 1 The Birth of the Oil Industry Main Ideas Key Terms and People 1. The Texas oil industry began with the discovery of a • petroleum major oil field in Corsicana. • fossil fuel 2. The Spindletop strike marked the beginning of the oil • derricks boom in Texas. • refinery Why It Matters Today • Pattillo Higgins During the 1800s Americans searched for new energy • Anthony F. Lucas sources. Use current events sources to learn about • Spindletop strike different sources of energy available today. • boom-and-bust cycle TEKS: 1A, 1C, 6A, 7A, 7B, 8A, 8B, 9A, 13C, 20C, 20D, 21A, 21B, 21C, 22A, 22D The Story Continues myNotebook Spindletop was a small hill just outside Beaumont. Although it was only 12 feet high, people often called it Big Hill. One Use the annotation tools in your eBook day Pattillo Higgins took a Sunday school class on an outing to take notes on the to Big Hill. He happened to notice gas bubbles in the spring discovery of oil at Bleed Art Guide: at the top of the hill. When Higgins poked his cane into the All bleeding art should be extended fullySpindletop to the and the bleed guide. beginning of the oil ground, gas escaped. This visit convinced Higgins that there industry in Texas. was oil under Big Hill. The Search for Oil The demand for oil had risen dramatically after scientists developed kerosene in the mid-1800s. Kerosene was a new form of fuel for light- Art and Non-Teaching Text Guide: Folios, annos, standards, non-bleeding art, etc.
    [Show full text]
  • The Impacts of Climate Change on Energy Politics
    A climate for change? The impacts of climate change on energy politics Pre-print version of article published in Cambridge Review of International Affairs (2018) Peter Newell (University of Sussex, Brighton, United Kingdom) Richard Lane (Universiteit Utrecht, Utrecht, TC, The Netherlands) Abstract The geophysical phenomena of climate change impact on the existing organization of energy economies and their attendant politics in multiple ways—at times magnifying and at other times dampening pressures on contemporary energy systems. Climate change has been increasingly viewed as a 'threat multiplier'. However, the geophysical phenomena of climate change are socially and politically mediated by actors with uneven power, capacity and divergent interests in order to support either incumbent or alternative energy pathways. While climate change intensifies and magnifies existing tensions and contradictions in global energy politics around the simultaneous pursuit of growth, security and sustainability, it does not do so in any straightforward or unmediated way. Instead, it gives rise to new concerns in relation to the imperatives of de- carbonization and increasing the resilience of energy systems. Understanding the impact of climate change on energy systems requires taking seriously the necessary role of energy within the global political economy and the relationship between fossil fuels and capitalism. It must be analysed both directly through climate change’s impacts, and indirectly through the uses of political narratives about climate change to sometimes unsettle, and sometimes reinforce, particular energy pathways. 1. Introduction The geophysical phenomena of climate change impact on the existing organization of energy economies and their attendant politics in multiple ways—at times magnifying and at other times dampening pressures on contemporary energy systems.
    [Show full text]
  • The Future of Oil: Between Cooperation
    Department of War Studies strategy paper thirteen paper strategy The future of oil: Between cooperation & competition Funded by Jose A. Bolanos 2 The future of oil: Between cooperation and competition EUCERS Advisory Board Professor Michael Rainsborough Chairman of the Board, Professor Dr Dieter Helm University of Oxford Head of War Studies, King’s College London Professor Dr Karl Kaiser Director of the Program on Marco Arcelli Executive Vice President, Upstream Gas, Transatlantic Relations of the Weatherhead Center Enel, Rome for International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, Cambridge, USA Professor Dr Hüseyin Bagci Department Chair of International Relations, Middle East Technical University Inonu Bulvari, Frederick Kempe President and CEO, Atlantic Council, Ankara Washington, D.C., USA Andrew Bartlett Managing Director, Bartlett Energy Advisers Thierry de Montbrial Founder and President of the Institute Français des Relations Internationales (IFRI), Paris Volker Beckers Chairman, Spenceram Limited Chris Mottershead Vice-Principal (Research & Development), Professor Dr Marc Oliver Bettzüge Chair of Energy King’s College London Economics, Department of Economics, University of Cologne; Director of the Institute of Energy Economics Hildegard Müller Chief Operating Officer (COO) Grid & at the University of Cologne (EWI) and President of the Infrastructure of Innogy SE Supervisory Board, ewi Energy Research & Scenarios Janusz Reiter Center for International Relations, Warsaw Professor Brahma Chellaney Professor of Strategic Studies, Professor Dr Karl Rose Senior Fellow Scenarios, World Centre for Policy Research, New Delhi, India Energy Council, Vienna/London Dr John Chipman Director of the International Institute Professor Jonathan Stern Chairman and Senior Research for Strategic Studies (IISS), London Fellow, Natural Gas Research Programme, Oxford Institute Iain Conn Group Chief Executive, Centrica plc.
    [Show full text]
  • Breaking the Habit
    SPECIAL REPORT OIL November 26th 2016 Breaking the habit 20161126_SR_OIL_001.indd 1 14/11/2016 12:10 SPECIAL REPORT OIL Breaking the habit The world’s use of oil is approaching a tipping-point, writes Henry Tricks. But don’t expect it to end imminently AT THE TURN of the 20th century, the most malodorous environmental CONTENTS challenge facing the world’s big cities was not slums, sewage or soot; it was horse dung. In London in 1900, an estimated 300,000 horses pulled 3 Producers cabs and omnibuses, as well as carts, drays and haywains, leaving a On the oil wagon swamp of manure in their wake. The citizens of New York, which was home to 100,000 horses, suffered the same blight; they had to navigate 5 Investors Taken to task rivers of muck when it rained, and fly-infested dungheaps when the sun shone. At the first international urban-planning conference, held in New 6 Transport York in 1898, manure was at the top of the agenda. No remedies could be From oiloholics to e-totallers found, and the disappointed delegates returned home a weekearly. Yet a decade later the dung problem was all but swept away by the 7 Batteries Beyond lithium-ion invisible hand of the market. Henry Ford produced his first Model T, which was cheap, fast and clean. 8 India and China By 1912 cars in New York outnum- Different drinking habits bered horses, and in 1917 the last horse-drawn streetcar was retired 9 The future Into the twilight zone in Manhattan.
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter 8 PETROLEUM
    Chapter 8 PETROLEUM For the foreseeable future, oil will remain a critical fuel for the United States and all other industrialized nations. [In order to make the U.S. economy less dependent on oil,] the National Energy Strategy proposes initiatives to (1) reduce the economic consequences of disruptions in world oil markets, and (2) increase domestic oil and petroleum product supplies. (National Energy Strategy, Executive Summary, 1991/1992) The growing level of U.S. oil consumption raises potential economic and national security concerns. In addition to emphasizing efficient use of oil products and enhancing fuel flexibility, national energy policy must address declining domestic production levels with minimum interference with market forces. The Administration's policy is to improve the economics of domestic oil production by reducing costs, in order to lessen the impact on this industry of low and volatile prices. (Sustainable Energy Strategy, 1995) 138 CHAPTER 8 Petroleum (or crude oil) is a complex, naturally occurring liquid mixture containing mostly hydrocarbons, but containing also some compounds of oxygen, nitrogen and sulfur. It is often referred to as the “black gold.” The Rockefellers, the Rothschilds, the Gettys, the Hammers and the royal families of the Persian Gulf area would certainly agree. A view at Fortune magazine's list of billionaires confirms it: the Sultan of the oil-rich Brunei, on the island of Borneo, has been at the very top for quite some time. Saudi Arabia's King Fahd is up there as well. After World War II, the huge oil reserves in the Middle East became available, at a very low cost, and they rapidly revolutionized the way we live.
    [Show full text]
  • Oil Scarcity Ideology in US National Security Policy, 1909-‐‑1980
    1 Oil Scarcity Ideology in US National Security Policy, 1909-1980 Copyright 2012 by Roger Stern A Working Paper of the Oil, Energy & the Middle East Program Princeton University Princeton, NJ 03580 Roger Stern NEPI Research Assistant Professor of Energy Collins College of Business University of Tulsa Tulsa, Oklahoma 74104 [email protected] 781 444 3643 Introduction Over the past century peak oil forecasts have had a profound influence on US national security policy. Unquestioned acceptance of a variety of oil scarcity forecasts, all of which proved wrong, repeatedly led policymakers to assume that rival powers sought to seize dwindling supplies. Perennial expectation of resource conflict gradually elevated the perceived importance of Middle East (ME) oil, which was thought to be the last left on earth. In response, increasingly aggressive US policies were adopted to secure a US share of ME oil. Belief in a scarcity imperative for aggressive policy is here called “oil scarcity ideology.” Scarcity ideology and the scientific forecasts that engendered it are the subjects of this essay. A striking feature of scarcity ideology has been its resistance to contradictory market information. Policymakers’ concerns over oil security were repeatedly challenged by market 2 information, which was always ignored. I therefore compare scarcity ideology against contemporaneous market information to show what security experts could have learned but did not. Repetition is another prominent feature of the history I will describe. Economist Leonardo Maugeri observed that recurring pessimism over future supply during times of high price has always been followed by oversupply and low price.1 Yet aggressive polices to secure supply were never reconsidered after scarcity forecasts proved wrong.
    [Show full text]