The Foreign Service Journal, January 2000
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Box 13143, Port Everglades 'IVV< Fort Lauderdale, FL 33316 I USA. Tel. I 800 815 3370 Tel. +1 954 525 9788 Fax +1 954 525 9785 [email protected] www.bukkehave.com CLEMENTS & COMPANY Insumncc Worldwide. 1660 L Street, NW, 9th Floor, Washington, DC 20036 TELEPHONE 202-872-0060 or 800-872-0067 FACSIMILE 202-466-9064 E-MAIL [email protected] WEBSITE wwW.clements.com Attention: U.S. Foreign Service Officers and Specialists Coming To Town For Training? Alexandria Suites Hotel Convenient to: NFATC (5 miles) Washington, D.C. (8 miles) Room & Ride Program: Studio Suite and Intermediate Size Car ® Comfortable within your Per Diem ® Enjoyable ® Affordable Participant in FARA Plus: Housing Program ® Full size, fully equipped kitchens ® Complimentary deluxe breakfast # Free shuttle Van Dorn Metro, NFATC ® On site fitness center ® Pets accepted 420 North Van Dorn Street Alexandria, VA 22304 Phone: (703) 370-1000 Fax: (703) 751-1467 Reservations 1-800-368-3339 www.alexandriasuites.com CONTENTS January 2000 I Vol. 7 7, No. 1 COVER COLUMNS 18 / CAMPAIGN 2000: DOES FOREIGN POLICY COUNT? PRESIDENT’S VIEWS / 5 The thriving economy is forcing Republican candidates Slouching Towards the Millennium to go on the offensive on international issues, By Marshall R Adair raising foreign policy’s profile. By Carroll Doherty POSTCARD FROM ABROAD / 56 The Edge of the Camp By Mary Cameron Kilgour FEATURES COVER 24 / JUBILEE FOR THIRD WORLD DEBT? A conservative’s “tough love” proposal: First, forgive the debt of highly-indebted poor countries; then shut the lending window for good. By Brett D. Schaefer 30 / BREAKING THE CYCLE OF THE 20TH CENTURY Three great conflicts — World War I, World War II and the Cold War — racked the century just ended. Page 18 Can we avoid a repetition of this terrible cycle? By Ralph Buultjens 36 / KISSINGER AND ANGOLA: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT PEPARTMENTS In his latest memoir, Secretary Kissinger LETTERS/6 blames everyone but himself for a failed CLIPPINGS / 14 “covert” U.S. intervention in Africa. BOOKS / 42 By Nathaniel Davis What They Did in the Cold War By Benjamin Tua IN MEMORY / 46 INDEX TO ADVERTISERS/ 54 Cover and inside illustration by Dave Arkle THE MAGAZINE FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS PROFESSIONALS FQREIGNQERYICE Foreign Service Journal (ISSN 0146-3543), 2101 E Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990 is published JL .1 <) l R N A L monthly by the American Foreign Service Association, a private, non-profit organization. Material appearing here¬ Editor Editorial Board in represents the opinions of the writers and does not necessarily represent the views of the Journal the Editorial BOB GULDIN EDWARD MARKS, Managing Editor CHAIRMAN Board or AFSA. Writer queries are invited. Journal subscription: AFSA Members - $9.50 included in annual dues; KATHLEEN CURRIE Associate Editor ELIZABETH SPIRO CIARK others - $40. For foreign surface mail, add $18 per year; foreign airmail, $36 per year. Periodical postage paid at STEVEN ALAN HONLEY MITCHELL A. COHN Manchester, N.H., and at additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to Foreign Service Ad & Circulation Manager THEODORE CRAIG ED MILTENBERGER Journal 2101 E Street N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990. Indexed by Public Affairs Information Service MAUREEN S. DUGAN AFSA NEWS Editor AURELIUS FERNANDEZ (PAIS). The Journal is not responsible for unsolicited manuscripts, photos or illustrations. Advertising inquiries WESLEY ANN GODARD Art Director CAROL A. GIACOMO are invited. The appearance of advertisements herein does not imply the endorsement of the services or goods CARYN SUKO J. CAROLINE MEIRS offered. FAX: (202) 338-8244 or (202) 338-6820. E-MAIL: [email protected]. WEB: vwvw.afsa.org. TELEPHONE: Editorial Intern WAYNE PAUL MOLSTAD LUCIENNE BOYD (202) 338-4045. © American Foreign Service Association, 2000. Printed in the U.S.A. Send address changes ARNOLD SCHIFFERDECKER Advertising Intern to AFSA Membership, 2101 E Street N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990. SILKE GRUNDLER WILLIAM WANLUND JANUARY 2000/FOREIGN SERVICE JOURNAL 3 Do some site seeing... www.diplosales.com Factory-wholesale prices on America's finest vehicles, delivered anywhere in the world. DaimlerChrysler, Ford & General Motors Factory Program for the Diplomatic Community Phone: 516-496-1806 ♦ Fax: 516-667-3701 ♦ E-mail: [email protected] PRESIDENT’S VIEWS Welcome to the Third Millennium BY MARSHALL P. ADAIR The darkness drops again; tion if given the chance. hut now I know Nevertheless, it is a reality, and That twenty centuries of stony sleep Will the whether we want it or not, with drat Were vexed to nightmare United States position we bear more responsibility by a rocking cradle, for shaping tire future than did those And what rough beast, squander its before us. its hour come round at last, There are magnificent opportuni¬ Slouches towards Bethlehem opportunity to ties. Accelerating technological to be bom? lead as the new development is changing the physi¬ FROM W.B.YEATS, THE SECOND COMING cal face of the world. Medical millennium begins? advances offer freedom from disease William Butler Yeats wrote his and extended lifespans. Space travel apocalyptic poem, “The Second is no longer science fiction but a real Coming,” in 1919 when civilizations frontier. Extended global peace is a prospects appeared very bleak to possibility; and Western and Eastern him. Now, as we reach the end of cultures, which have been effective¬ those “twenty centuries of stony of the latest round of Viking ly separated for 5,000 years, can sleep,” the world looks considerably invaders. They had no idea that only- finally combine forces. better. The globe is more at peace one generation later, a successful However, we risk squandering than at war, and economic opportu¬ invasion from a different group of those opportunities as some believe nities as well as freedom for most of Norsemen (known as the Normans) the United States has squandered the worlds population are growing. would radically change the course of the opportunities of the first post- We are certainly better off material¬ their next 1,000 years. In China, the Cold War decade. Trumpeting to the ly than our ancestors, and we may be great Tang Dynasty had fallen. Few world the virtues of democracy, better off in other ways. At the end anticipated the Song Dynasty’s seis¬ human rights, and free market econ¬ of the first millennium there was mic economic reforms, including the omy, we have at the same time dri¬ widespread fear, at least in Europe, application of printing presses to ven political partisanship at home to that tire end of all existence was at paper money and manipulation of new depths, allowed our foreign pol¬ hand. Now, at the end of the second the money supply to stimulate eco¬ icy apparatus to atrophy, and failed millennium, the most widespread nomic activity — a cornerstone of to present a coherent vision to our¬ fear is the Y2K computer bug. prosperity 1,000 years later. We selves or to the rest of the world. Perhaps that is progress of a sort. must anticipate changes of similar or Our performance in recent years We still share with our ancestors, greater magnitude ahead. conjures up the image of Groucho though, an ignorance of what lies in Particularly important to Marx in the movie “Duck Soup” front of us. One thousand years ago, Americans, as the third millennium inviting others to “walk this way,” but the inhabitants of the British Isles begins, the United States is in a posi¬ meaning for them to imitate his were celebrating Ethelred II’s defeat tion of global power unlike any other unique slouch rather than follow in nation, empire or culture in history. his direction. Marshall R Adair is the president of Most Americans had little to do with It’s time to regroup and start the the American Foreign Service putting America where it is today, third millennium right — or risk the Association. and might not even choose this posi¬ reality of the Irish poet’s vision. ■ JANUARY 2000/FOREIGN SERVICE JOURNAL 5 USIA Did Improve venting government” and the commu¬ Worldnet programs were of value to Ambassador Peter Galbraiths arti¬ nications revolution. her in Lima, die question is whether cle “The Decline and Fall of USIA” All who know the contribution diey are more valuable than odier (September ’99 Journal) should not go USIA made to American foreign poli¬ public diplomacy activities. The unanswered, particularly his cute cy objectives during its 46-year history, money spent on Worldnet could phrase that public diplomacy is “too including as recently as die Kosovo cri¬ instead keep open a number of over¬ important to be left to USIA,” even sis, share liis implied hope diat the seas posts. though this point is now academic. State Department will live up to its Because I cite die PAO’s role in Many would agree with the high rhetoric in recent mondis as to the enabling me to bring the American value he places on public diplomacy, strengthening of public diplomacy by position directiy to the Croatian pub¬ exchanges and libraries, and tire per¬ diis drastic reorganization.