Research & Forecast Report
LAS VEGAS | HOTEL
Q4 2018
Hospitality Sales Hit New High in 2018
> As year’s end, hospitality sales volume was highest in four years
Economic Indicators
> Gaming revenue continued to improve, hitting highest level since 2007
- AIR
- CONVENTION
- RevPAR
- Passengers
- Attendance
> Visitor volume continued its downward trend
You could say Southern Nevada’s hospitality sector in 2018 was better than the 10-year average, but down from the past two years.
While this assessment is basically correct, it misses some important details. Visitor volume and room occupancy have decreased over the past two years after peaking in 2016, but gaming revenue, taxable sales and passenger traffic at McCarran International Airport were up over the same period. Southern Nevada looks to be experiencing a slight slowdown in post-recession growth, but not a significant reversal.
+15.6
+11.7%
Nov 2018
+4.5%
Market Indicators
Relative to prior period
- Q4 2018
- Q1 2019*
Visitor volume in October 2018, the most recent month of statistics available, was 35.4 million people year-to-date. This represented year-over-year growth of negative 1.0 percent. Year-to-date, Southern Nevada had negative 1.2 percent growth in citywide occupancy, negative 0.1 percent growth in the Average Daily Room Rate (ADR) and negative 1.4 percent growth in Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR).
Room Inventory Room Occupancy Average Daily Rate Revenue Per Available Room
*Data Not Available
Summary Statistics
Las Vegas Market
Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR)
- Q4 2017
- Q3 2018
- Q4 2018
$125.00
Room Inventory
- 141,853
- 142,182
- 142,781
$120.00 $115.00 $110.00 $105.00 $100.00
$95.00
Room Occupancy Average Daily Rate
- 84.0%
- 88.6%
- 91.4%
- $125.11
- $123.66
- $142.43
Revenue Per Available Room $105.53
- $109.54
- $130.18
- 4 Q 2016
- 1 Q 2017
- 2 Q 2017
- 3 Q 2017
- 4 Q 2017
- 1 Q 2018
- 2 Q 2018
- 3 Q 2018
Through September 2018, taxable sales in the leisure and hospitality sector was $8.8 billion dollars. This includes $912 million in taxable revenue in accommodations and $7.87 billion in eating and drinking places. This represented 3.2 percent growth over the same period last year. Employment in the leisure and hospitality sector increased by 7,600 jobs between October 2017 and October 2018.
Sales Volume
$1,000,000,000
$900,000,000 $800,000,000 $700,000,000 $600,000,000 $500,000,000 $400,000,000 $300,000,000 $200,000,000 $100,000,000
$0
While visitor volume in 2018 continued a downward trend that started in 2017, gaming revenue continued an upward trend that began in 2016. Gaming revenue in Clark County year-to-date in October 2018 was up 2.2 percent year-over-year. Gaming revenue was up 1.6 percent year-over-year on the Las Vegas “Strip”, 1.0 percent in Downtown and 4.6 percent on the Boulder Strip, which mostly plays host to local casino patrons.
- 1 Q 2017
- 2 Q 2017
- 3 Q 2017
- 4 Q 2017
- 1 Q 2018
- 2 Q 2018
- 3 Q 2018
- 4 Q 2018
Total room inventory in October 2018 increased to 147,598 units, slightly more than the 146,582 units of inventory in October 2017. In properties with 100 or more rooms, inventory in the fourth quarter of 2018 was 142,781 units, compared to 141,853 units in the fourth quarter of 2017. Construction continued on the 3,400 room Resorts World Las Vegas and 3,889 room The Drew Las Vegas on the Las Vegas “Strip”, as well as the 135 room Home2 Suites in the West Vegas submarket. The 125-room Motel 6 located near the Las Vegas Speedway and 111 room TownePlace Suites were completed this quarter. An additional 1,017 rooms are slated for completion in 2019.
Sales vs. Price Per Unit
4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000
500
$1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000
- $0
- 0
- 1 Q 2017
- 2 Q 2017
- 3 Q 2017
- 4 Q 2017
- 1 Q 2018
- 2 Q 2018
- 3 Q 2018
- 4 Q 2018
- Sales (Units)
- Average Price Per Unit
In addition to new property development, Southern Nevada was slated for $880 million in property remodels and renovations over the next two years, including Park MGM, the Monte Carlo Resort and Casino, Palace Station Hotel & Casino, SLS Las Vegas and Hard Rock Hotel and Casino. New venues and expansions totaling $3.57 billion are slated for completion in the next two years, including the expansion of the Las Vegas Convention Center, the new Caesars Forum convention
Market Health
- Data Point
- 2014
- 2015
- 2016
- 2017
- 2018
35.4
Visitor Volume (millions; Jan-Oct)
- 34.7
- 35.7
- 36.5
- 35.7
Room Occupancy (Jan-Oct) ADR (Jan-Oct)
- 88.1%
- 88.8%
$120.91 $107.32 4.92
90.4% $127.14 $114.81 5.54
90.2% $131.28 $118.42 5.83
89.0%
$117.86 $103.88
$129.68 $115.38 5.67
RevPAR (Jan-Oct) Convention Attendance (millions; Jan-Oct) 4.62 Passengers McCarran Int’l (millions; Jan-
- 36.1
- 37.9
- 39.9
- 40.8
- 41.7
Oct) Gaming Revenue (Clark County; billions; Jan-Oct)
- $7.96
- $7.92
$5.21
$8.07 $5.27
$8.37 $5.40
$8.56 $5.49
Gaming Revenue (“Strip”; millions; Jan-Oct) $5.31
Data from Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority
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Las Vegas Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2018 | Hospitality | Colliers International
center, the expansion of the MGM Grand conference center, Las Vegas Ballpark in Summerlin, Las Vegas Stadium, which will host the NFL Las Vegas Raiders, the All Net Resort & Arena, which will host the WNBA Las Vegas Aces, Madison Square Garden’s Sphere Arena and an expansion of the Showcase Mall on the Las Vegas “Strip”.
Southern Nevada registered the sale of 5,351 hospitality units with a sales volume of $1.36 billion and average sale price of $253,338 per unit in 2018. There were no hospitality sales in the first quarter of 2018, but sales picked up over the course of the year. Key sales included the 1,506-room Hard Rock Hotel & Casino to Virgin Hotels for $500 million and the 1,325-room SLS for $190 million. 2018 was the best year for hospitality sales in Southern Nevada since 2014.
2018 was a solid year for tourism in Southern Nevada, though it did not quite equal the last two years. Still, Southern Nevada is on the cusp of a major expansion of its entertainment product, and as these venues come online they should bring those visitor volume numbers up, as well as put Southern Nevada on track for a productive decade in the 2020’s.
Hospitality Sales*
- Year
- Sales Volume
- Units Sold
- Price/Unit
2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
$1,355.6 MM
$917.4 MM
$1221.8 MM
$466.2 MM
$2001.3 MM
$57.8 MM
5,351 6,626
4,776
5,445
7,614 1,335 3,120 7,507
$253,000 $138,000 $254,000
$86,000
$263,000
$43,000 $51,000
$159.8 MM
$1577.8 MM
$210,000
* Only includes properties with 100 or more units, arm’s-length sales
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Las Vegas Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2018 | Hospitality | Colliers International
Significant Hotel Sale Activity
21ꢀ
SLS
NORTH LAS VEGAS
$190,000,000
NORTHWEST
1,325 Units - $143,000/Unit
April 2018
Casino Hotel - Strip
9ꢀ
1ꢀ
Stratosphere Las Vegas
$421,000,000 2,427 Units - $174,000/Unit
October 2017
Casino Hotel - Strip
DOWNTOWN
SUMMERLIN
WEST CENTRAL
EAST
LAS VEGAS
RESORT
CORRIDOR
Mandarin Oriental
$214,000,000 392 Units - $546,000/Unit
April 2018
9ꢀ
THE
“STRIP”
Full Service - Strip
AIRPORT
Westin-Lake Las Vegas
$195,500,000
21ꢀ
$397,000/Unit
HENDERSON
September 2018
SOUTHWEST
Full Service - Henderson
SOUTH LAS VEGAS
Hard Rock Hotel & Casino
$500,000,000 1,506 Units - $332,000/Unit
March 2018
Casino Hotel - Resort Corridor
Sale Activity Continued
- Property Name
- Sale Date
- Units
- Price
- Price/Unit
- Submarket
- Property Type
Renaissance Las Vegas Arizona Charlie’s Casino Siena Suites
Apr 2018 Oct 2017 Nov 2018 May 2018 Aug 2018
548 303 600 108 359
$177,921,000 $53,000,000 $46,000,000 $36,000,000 $18,689,000
$325,000 $174,000
$77,000
Resort Corridor East Vegas
Full Service Casino Hotel
- East Vegas
- Limited Service
Limited Service Limited Service
Marriott TownePlace – Henderson Emerald Suites
$333,000
$52,000
Henderson Resort Corridor
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Las Vegas Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2018 | Hospitality | Colliers International
Market Comparisons - Las Vegas Hospitality Market
- TOTAL INVENTORY
- AVERAGE SALES PRICE COMPLETIONS CURRENT
- COMPLETIONS YTD
(UNITS)
FUTURE DEVELOPMENT
(UNITS)
- TYPE
- TOTAL SALES (UNITS)
- TOTAL SALES VOLUME
- (UNITS)
- PER UNIT
- QUARTER (UNITS)
DOWNTOWN CAS FS LS
7,428
-
204 7,632
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
----
----
--
300
- 300
- Total
LAS VEGAS “STRIP” CAS FS LS
80,185 5,450 2,567
--
600
$0 $0 n/a n/a
$76,667
---
---
11,389
-
- 253
- $46,000,000
- Total
- 88,202
- 600
- $46,000,000
$76,667
- -
- -
- 11,642
RESORT CORRIDOR CAS FS LS
10,407 4,830 5,682
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
(203)
--
(203)
--
---
- -
- Total
- 20,919
- (203)
- (203)
AIRPORT CAS FS LS
--
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
----
----
640
-
- -
- 1,175
- 1,175
- Total
- 640
EAST LAS VEGAS SUBMARKET CAS FS LS
1,704
-
3,058 4,762
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
----
----
---
- -
- Total
HENDERSON SUBMARKET CAS FS LS
2,035 732 1,465 4,232
-
493
-
- $0
- n/a
$396,552 n/a
----
----
----
$195,500,000
$0
- $195,500,000
- Total
- 493
- $396,552
NORTH LAS VEGAS SUBMARKET CAS FS LS
988
-
1,405 2,393
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
--
125 125
--
125 125
---
- -
- Total
SOUTH LAS VEGAS SUBMARKET CAS FS LS
2,463
-
1,404 3,867
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
----
----
---
- -
- Total
SUMMERLIN SUBMARKET CAS FS LS Total
1,770 123
515
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
----
----
-
267
-
- 2,408
- 267
WEST CENTRAL SUBMARKET CAS FS LS Total
3,425 118 3,648 7,191
----
$0 $0 $0 $0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
--
111 111
--
440 440
--
135 135
MARKET TOTAL CAS FS LS
110,405 11,253 21,123 142,781
- -
- $0
- n/a
n/a
$76,667
$220,952
(203)
-
236 33
(203)
-
565
362
12,029
267 688
493 600 1,093
$195,500,000 $46,000,000
- $241,500,000
- Total
- 12,984
QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS
Q4-18 Q3-18 Q2-18 Q1-18 Q4-17
142,781 142,182 142,182 142,182 141,853
1,093 751 3,507
-
$241,500,000 $232,688,525 $881,421,032
$0
$220,952 $309,838 $251,332 n/a
33 00
329 229
362 329 329 329 449
12,984 13,166 13,166 12,770
- 10,439
- 2,989
- $518,923,611
- $173,611
The information contained in this report was provided by sources deemed to be reliable, however, no guarantee is made as to the accuracy or reliability. As new, corrected or updated information is obtained, it is incorporated into both current and historical data, which may invalidate comparison to previously issued reports.
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Las Vegas Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2018 | Hospitality | Colliers International
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | LAS VEGAS
69 countries
3960 Howard Hughes Parkway Suite 150 Las Vegas, Nevada 89169 | USA
+1 702 735 5700
$2.7
billion in annual revenue*
MARKET CONTACT:
Mike Mixer
2.0
Executive Managing Director | Las Vegas
+1 702 735 5700
billion square feet under management
[email protected] John Stater
15,400
Research & GIS Manager | Las Vegas
+1 702 836 3781
professionals and staff
$116
billion in total transaction value
*All statistics are for 2017, are in U.S. dollars and include affiliates.
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