Math Olympiad Hardness Scale (MOHS) Because Arguing About Problem Difficulty Is Fun :P
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Probability - Fall 2013 the Infinite Monkey Theorem (Lecture W 9/11)
MATH 3160 - Fall 2013 Infinite Monkey Theorem MATH 3160 - Probability - Fall 2013 The Infinite Monkey Theorem (Lecture W 9/11) "It was the best of times, it was the blurst of times?! ...You stupid monkey!... Oh, shut up!" | Charles Montgomery Burns The main goal of this handout is to prove the following statement: Theorem 1 (Infinite monkey theorem). If a monkey hits the typewriter keys at random for an infinite amount of time, then he will almost surely produce any type of text, such as the entire collected works of William Shakespeare. To say that an event E happens almost surely means that it happens with probability 1: P (E) = 11. We will state a slightly stronger version of Theorem 1 and give its proof, which is actually not very hard. The key ingredients involve: • basics of convergent/divergent infinite series (which hopefully you already know!); • basic properties of the probability (measure) P (see Ross x2.4, done in lecture F 9/6); • the probability of a monotone increasing/decreasing sequence of events, which is the main content of Ross, Proposition 2.6.1; • the notion of independent events (which we will discuss properly next week, see Ross x3.4, but it's quite easy to state the meaning here). 1 Preliminaries In this section we outline some basic facts which will be needed later. The first two are hopefully familiar (or at least believable) if you have had freshman calculus: 1 While almost surely and surely often mean the same in the context of finite discrete probability problems, they differ when the events considered involve some form of infinity. -
Best Q2 from Project 1, Nov 2011
Best Q21 from project 1, Nov 2011 Introduction: For the site which demonstrates the imaginative use of random numbers in such a way that it could be used explain the details of the use of random numbers to an entire class, we chose a site that is based on the Infinite Monkey Theorem. This theorem hypothesizes that if you put an infinite number of monkeys at typewriters/computer keyboards, eventually one will type out the script of a Shakespearean work. This theorem asserts nothing about the intelligence of the one random monkey that eventually comes up with the script. It may be referred to semi-seriously when justifying a brute force method (the statement to be proved is split up into a finite number of cases and each case has to be checked to see if the proposition in question holds true); the implication is that, with enough resources thrown at it, any technical challenge becomes a “one-banana problem” (the idea that trained monkeys can do low level jobs). The site we chose is: http://www.vivaria.net/experiments/notes/publication/NOTES_EN.pdf. It was created by researchers at Paignton Zoo and the University of Plymouth, in Devon, England. They carried out an experiment for the infinite monkey theorem. The researchers reported that they had left a computer keyboard in the enclosure of six Sulawesi Crested Macaques for a month; it resulted in the monkeys produce nothing but five pages consisting largely of the letter S (shown on the link stated above). The monkeys began by attacking the keyboard with a stone, and followed by urinating on the keyboard and defecating on it. -
Eleventh Annual Conference Chicago, Illinois 2005 August 18 – 21 John F
North American Sundial Society - Eleventh Annual Conference Chicago, Illinois 2005 August 18 – 21 John F. Schilke Who would not enjoy the mystique and appeal of free copies of Proceedings [of the] ISAMA CTI 2004, Chicago, that huge city on the shore of Lake Michigan? produced for a symposium on mathematics and design The architectural variety has to be seen to be held at DePaul. Among the door prize winners were appreciated. True, the weather was hot and sticky at Dwight Carpenter (several things, including a peg dial the first, but it soon settled into very pleasant summer and dial coins), Donn McNealy (Plymouth equatorial days and nights. DePaul University CTI Center sundial), Carl Schneider (a copy of Mike Cowham’s A provided a very comfortable setting for the thirty-four Dial in Your Poke), Dean Conners (A. P. Herbert’s people who attended the sessions. Fourteen wives and Sundials Old and New). A copy of Frank Cousins’ one care-giver, all hailing from 13 states and a total of Sundials became Walter Sanford’s prize, and Jacque 13 from Argentina, Canada, Germany, Taiwan, and the Olin and Karl Schneider each received a copy of Simon United Kingdom. During the conference several wives Wheaton-Smith’s Illustrating Shadows. took tours of Chicago and of the Chicago Art Museum with its special exhibition on Toulouse-Lautrec. Roger Bailey then showed how to program the programmable scientific calculator included in each registration packet. In doing so, he provided solutions to some of the equations useful in creating dials. Most actually got them to work! After a continental breakfast on Friday we boarded the bus to visit first the Museum of Science and Industry to see dials in their collection, including a fine example of a first-century (AD) dial, adjudged to be a slight variant of a hemisphaerium. -
2021 Science Olympiad National Tournament Tournament Schedule & Event Blocks
2021 Science Olympiad National Tournament Tournament Schedule & Event Blocks 2021 Science Olympiad National Tournament Competition Schedule Mountain Pacific Alaska Hawaii Event Block Eastern Time Central Time Time Time Time Time Block 1 11:00 AM 10:00 AM 9:00 AM 8:00 AM Block 2 12:10 PM 11:10 AM 10:10 AM 9:10 AM 8:10 AM Block 3 1:20 PM 12:20 PM 11:20 AM 10:20 AM 9:20 AM Block 4 2:30 PM 1:30 PM 12:30 PM 11:30 AM 10:30 AM 8:30 AM STEM Showdown 3:00 PM 2:00 PM 1:00 PM 12:00 PM 11:00 AM 9:00 AM Trial Events Block 5 3:40 PM 2:40 PM 1:40 PM 12:40 PM 11:40 AM 9:40 AM Block 6 4:50 PM 3:50 PM 2:50 PM 1:50 PM 12:50 PM 10:50 AM Block 7 2:00 PM 12:00 PM Block 8 1:10 PM Block 9 2:20 PM The 2021 Science Olympiad Tournament will start across the United States at the times shown above. The times listed above reflect the local time in that Time Zone on May 22, 2021. Each Event Block will run for one hour and be followed by a 10- minute Break before the next Event Block begins. No team will begin the competition prior to 8:00 AM local time. Teams from Alaska and Hawaii will join the tournament in progress and complete any Event Blocks missed at the end of their day. -
NACLO 2021 Student Handbook
The Fifteenth Annual North American Computational Linguistics Open Competition 2021 www.nacloweb.org 2021 Student Handbook September 15, 2020 Please check the website for updates and announcements 2021 Contest Dates (USA and Anglophone Canada)* Open Round: January 28, 2021 / Invitational Round: March 11, 2021 Site registration deadline: January 10, 2021 Student registration deadline: January 15, 2021 Contact [email protected] if you miss the deadline. Walk-ins allowed with advance permission of the local site host. * The dates for the 2021 Francophone contest in Canada will be announced later. Check the OLC-CLO site. 1 ABOUT Introduction NACLO is a fun (and educational!) contest for U.S. and Canadian high school students in which contestants compete by solving compelling and creative puzzles in linguistics and computational linguistics. Requiring no previous knowledge of linguistics, languages, or computing, these puzzles can be solved by analytic reasoning alone, and serve as a fun introduction to a field to which many high school students have never been introduced. Winners of NACLO are eligible to compete in the International Linguistics Olympiad, one of twelve international high school science Olympiads. Contact [email protected] What’s New in 2021? We have released an addendum detailing our COVID-19 contingency plans. It will continue to be updated throughout the months leading up to the competition. University sites will also be updating their NACLO websites to reflect the situation on their campuses. Contest in Canada The Anglophone contest in Canada takes place jointly with the contest in the United States. As of the writing of this version of the handbook, the dates for the 2021 Francophone contest in Canada have not been announced. -
Quantitative Hedge Fund Analysis and the Infinite Monkey Theorem
Quantitative Hedge Fund Analysis and the Infinite Monkey Theorem Some have asserted that monkeys with typewriters, given enough time, could replicate Shakespeare. Don’t take the wager. While other financial denizens sarcastically note that given enough time there will be a few successes out of all the active money managers, building on the concept that even a blind pig will occasionally find a peanut. Alternatively, our goal in the attached white paper is to more reliably accelerate an investor’s search for sound and safe hedge fund and niche investments. We welcome all comments, suggestions and criticisms, too. Not kidding, really do! A brief abstract follows: Quantitative analysis is an important part of the hedge fund investment process that we divide into four steps: 1) data acquisition and preparation; 2) individual analysis; 3) comparative analysis versus peers and indices; 4) portfolio analysis. Step One: Data Acquisition and Preparation Understand sourced data by carefully reading all of the associated footnotes, considering who prepared it (whether the manager, the administrator or an auditor/review firm), and evaluating the standard of preparation, e.g., is it GIPS compliant? Step Two: Individual Analysis Here, we compare and contrast Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) to Average Annual Return (AAR), discuss volatility measures including time windowing and review the pros and cons of risk/reward ratios. Step Three: Comparative Analysis Any evaluations must be put into context. What are the alternatives, with greatness being a relative value. Step Four: Portfolio Analysis Too often, a single opportunity is considered in isolation, whereas its impact must be measured against a total portfolio of existing positions. -
Regulations for the Chess Olympiad
D.II. Chess Olympiad D.II.01 Regulations for the Chess Olympiad 1. General 1.1 The Chess Olympiad is the principal team contest organized by FIDE. 1.1.1 The Olympiad is held regularly at two year intervals in the autumn of the even numbered years (2006, 2008, etc.) 1.1.2 The Olympiad for both the open section and the women section must be held, if possible, at a single venue. 1.1.3 However, in exceptional cases as determined by the FIDE General Assembly or (in between congresses) by the President - separate venues may be used for the men and women contests. 1.1.4 Organizing body: FIDE, represented by the FIDE President. 1.1.5 Administrator 1.1.5.1 The administrator is appointed through a special selection process (section 2 below). 1.1.5.2 The administrator is responsible to FIDE, and must abide by these regulations. 1.1.5.3 The administrator shall make available all necessary premises, staff and funds for the contest. The minimum requirements are laid down in individual sections of these regulations. 1.1.5.4 The administrator may utilize the services of outside bodies or private persons for the purpose of financing and running the contest. 1.1.5.5 Administrators may be proposed by the federations. 1.1.5.6 The President may also receive offers from sponsors outside the sphere of FIDE. 1.1.5.7 The tasks of the administrator are detailed in subsequent sections of these regulations. 1.1.6 FIDE Congress The administrator who undertakes the running of the Chess Olympiad must also undertake to hold the FIDE Congress for the same year. -
Division C Rules Manual
Exploring the World of Science Division C Rules Manual Division C (Gr. 9-12) SCIENCE OLYMPIAD, INC. © 2020 WELCOME TO THE 2020 SCIENCE OLYMPIAD! This Rules Manual will help you prepare to compete in Invitational, Regional, State and National Tournaments held across the United States annually. Each Science Olympiad event has a corresponding page on the Science Olympiad national website complete with free resources, training handouts and useful links. All users of this manual are subject to the Terms of Use Agreement. To compete, users must first join the Science Olympiad program in their home state and become registered members. See our website for info on Membership, Policies and Terms of Use at www.soinc.org Division C (Grades 9-12) Membership Rules A team may have up to fifteen (15) members. A maximum of seven (7) 12th grade students is permitted on a Division C team. Division B (Grades 6-9) Membership Rules A team may have up to fifteen (15) members. A maximum of five (5) 9th grade students is permitted on a Division B team. Because middle schools that do not have grades 7, 8 or 9 are at a slight disadvantage, they may invite any combination of up to five (5) of their last year’s 6th, 7th or 8th grade students to be part of the team. Possible examples can be found on the Science Olympiad website. Students Below Grade Level Designations Science Olympiad encourages students to participate in the Division that matches current Science Olympiad grade level designations. However, to support the inclusion of students who wish to participate in Science Olympiad, schools with grade levels lower than those stated in a Division are permitted to invite members below the grade level designations. -
Do Androids Prove Theorems in Their Sleep?
DO ANDROIDS PROVE THEOREMS IN THEIR SLEEP? Michael Harris, version of March 21, 2008, (plus one addition) 1. A mathematical dream narrative …antes imagino que todo es ficción, fábula y mentira, y sueños contados por hombres despiertos, o, por mejor decir, medio dormidos. Don Quixote, Book II, Chapter 1. What would later be described as the last of Robert Thomason's "three major results" in mathematics was published as a contribution to the Festschrift in honor of Alexandre Grothendieck's sixtieth birthday, and was cosigned by the ghost of his recently deceased friend Thomas Trobaugh. Thomason described the circumstances of this collaboration in the introduction to their joint article: a rare note of pathos in the corpus of research mathematics, and a brief but, I believe, authentic contribution to world literature. The first author must state that his coauthor and close friend, Tom Trobaugh, quite intelligent, singularly original, and inordinately generous, killed himself consequent to endogenous depression. Ninety-four days later, in my dream, Tom's simulacrum remarked, "The direct limit characterization of perfect complexes shows that they extend, just as one extends a coherent sheaf." Awaking with a start, I knew this idea had to be wrong, since some perfect complexes have a non-vanishing K0 obstruction to extension. I had worked on this problem for 3 years, and saw this approach to be hopeless. But Tom's simulacrum had been so insistent, I knew he wouldn't let me sleep undisturbed until I had worked out the argument and could point to the gap. This work quickly led to the key results of this paper. -
1 Science Olympiad Alumni Where Are They Now? Stories of Scientific
Science Olympiad Alumni Where Are They Now? Stories of Scientific Achievement and Inspiration To celebrate the 20th anniversary of national competition in 2004, Science Olympiad began an effort to track down its most illustrious alumni. We were specifically interested to discover if Science Olympiad had an impact on the choice of a career in science or technology. Of the hundreds of respondents, more than 80% answered with a resounding “Yes!” Kathleen Markiewicz Teacher, Boston Public Schools Competed from 1998 to 2000 “It solidified my love for science. I enjoyed getting to learn about many areas of science in Science Olympiad, and I continue to be interested in lots of science disciplines. In particular, Science Olympiad showed me that I love chemistry and physics, which ultimately were my majors for my undergraduate degree. I am also coaching my own Science Olympiad team at the Boston Latin School, and it’s a great way to come full circle. My fiancé, who I met while on the Grand Haven High School Science Olympiad team, is also helping me coach.” Rich Radke Assistant Professor, Department of Electrical, Computer and Systems Engineering Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Competed in the early 1990s “I believe that Science Olympiad was very helpful in showing me that science could be interesting and fun, and that there were organizations that rewarded people for achievement in science and math,” said an 18-year-old Radke in 1993. Today, Radke is a celebrated researcher and the winner of the National Science Foundation’s Early Career Development Award for his work with networked cameras. -
Monkeys and Walks
Monkeys and Walks Muhammad Waliji August 12, 2006 1 Preliminaries We will be dealing with outcomes resulting from random processes. An outcome of the process will sometimes be denoted ω. Note that we will identify the set A with the event that the random outcome ω belongs to A. Hence, A will mean ‘A occurs’, and A ∪ B means ‘either A or B occurs’, whereas A ∩ B means ‘both A and B occur.’ For a sequence of events, A1,A2,..., note that ∞ ∞ \ [ An m=1 n=m means that infinitely many of the An occur, or that An occurs infinitely often (An i.o.). The events A1,...,An are said to be independent if P (A1 ∩ · · · ∩ An) = P (A1) ··· P (An). An infinite collection of events is said to be independent if every finite subcollection is independent. 2 The Infinite-Monkey Theorem Before we state the infinite-monkey theorem, we will prove a useful lemma. Consider the events A1,A2,.... P Lemma 2.1 (Borel-Cantelli). If P (An) < ∞, then P (An i.o.) = 0. Fur- n P thermore, if the events An are independent, then if n P (An) = ∞, we have P (An i.o.) = 1. Proof. Suppose that ∞ X P (An) < ∞. (2.1) n=1 1 Then, ∞ ∞ ! ∞ ! \ [ [ P An = lim P An m→∞ m=1 n=m n=m ∞ X ≤ lim P (An) (2.2) m→∞ n=m and hence by (2.1), the limit in (2.2) must be 0. For the converse, it is enough to show that ∞ ∞ ! [ \ c P An = 0 m=1 n=m and so it is also enough to show that ∞ ! \ c P An = 0 (2.3) n=m Note that since 1 − x ≤ e−x, and by independence, ∞ ! m+k ! \ c \ c P An ≤ P An n=m n=m m+k Y = (1 − P (An)) n=m m+k ! X ≤ exp − P (An) . -
Notes on the Calendar and the Almanac
1914.] Notes on Calendar and Almanac. 11 NOTES ON THE CALENDAR AND THE ALMANAC. BY GEORGE EMERY LITTLEFIELD. In answering the question, why do the officers of pub- he libraries and bibliophiles so highly esteem and strive to make collections of old calendars and almanacs, it may be said that the calendar was coeval with and had a great influence upon civilization. Indeed, the slow but gradual formation of what we know as a calendar is an excellent illustration of the progress of civilization. At first it was a very crude scheme for recording the passing of time, deduced from irregular observations of the rising and setting of a few fixed stars, by a people who had but recently emerged from barbarism. The resultant table was of very little value and required constant revision and correction. It was only by long and patient study and observation, by gaining knowledge from repeated failures, that finally was produced the accurate and scientific register, which today bears the name of calendar. Furthermore, the material and shape of the tablet upon which the calendar was engraved or printed, was a constant .temptation to artists to decorate it with pen- cil or brush, which caused it to become a valuable me- dium for inculcating in the minds of the people, ideas of the sublime and beautiful, and never more so than at the present time. As regards the almanac, it also is of ancient memory, as we have positive evidence of its existence more than twelve hundred years before the Christian era. To its compilation scientists, philosophers, theologians, poets 12 American Antiquarian Sodety.