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Real Estate Index 2019

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Real Estate Index 2019 Prepared Exclusively for REAL ESTATE INDEX Executive Summary 2019 Prepared Exclusively for REAL ESTATE INDEX Executive Summary – 2019 About the Real Estate Index InfoPro has monitored the residential real estate market in Lebanon for the past 20 years. Its databases contain data about every building developed during that period in Greater Beirut and the Mount Lebanon area. Data for buildings under development is captured through extensive ground surveys, desk research, and then through interviews with developers. InfoPro, based on the compiled data developed the Real Estate Index, a set of indicators that tracks new residential apartments over time by providing the following set of indicators: • Price Index • Inventory Index • Newly Announced Properties Index. These indices are segmented across Administrative Beirut, Beirut Suburbs, and the coastal areas/main urban centers of Mount Lebanon: Metn, Baabda, Kesrouan, and Aley. • The Price Index provides the average asking price per square meter across caza, region, and sub-area. It is calculated as the average price of units in an area. The baseline year is 2018, with a nominal value of 100. The value of each half-year is plotted to show fluctuations in real estate prices across sub-areas. • The Inventory Index contains the number of buildings with apartment units available for sale across caza, region, and sub-areas. • The Newly Announced Properties Index has the complete supply of new buildings and apartment units launched across every six months. The index tracks average prices and sales of apartment units launched in that time frame only. The indices are presented in an online dashboard format and are updated completely twice per year. For more information, please visit http://real-estate-index.infopro.com.lb/ Indices Summary In 2019, around 4,835 new apartments were sold, a decrease of 16 percent from 2018. Metn registered the highest number of new apartments sold. Administrative Beirut had the least. Areas Number of new Number of new Number of new Number of new apartments apartments available apartments apartments available sold in 2018 end of 2018 sold in 2019 end of 2019 Beirut 160 7,351 108 7,330 Baabda 1,280 5,133 817 4,798 Aley 1,046 6,286 878 5,614 Metn 2,602 8,325 2,203 7,060 Kesrouan 675 5,099 829 4,708 Total 5,763 32,194 4,835 29,510 Prepared Exclusively for REAL ESTATE INDEX Executive Summary – 2019 Price Index 102 102 Beirut Prices 101 101 Beirut saw a downward trend in prices. At the end of 2019, 100 100 prices regressed by 2.34 points compared to the end of 2018 and 99 99 by just 0.38 points compared to the first half of 2019. 98 98 The Beirut Central District registered the highest price at 97 97 $6,200/m2 on average. Mazraa 2 had the lowest price at $2,460/m 96 96 on average. H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 Beirut Central District registered the highest price at $6,250/m2 on average, while Mazraa had the lowest price at $2,470/m2 on average. 102 110 100 100 $3,349 $4,458 98 90 96 80 94 70 End of 92 60 2019 90 50 $3,150 88 $6,207 40 86 ˄ indicates an increase in price 30 H1 2018 H2since 2018 the endH1 of 2018 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 $2,464 ˅ indicates a decrease in price since the end of 2018 Ashrafieh Beirut Central District Mazraa Mousseitbeh Ras Beirut Prepared Exclusively for REAL ESTATE INDEX Executive Summary – 2019 102 102 Beirut Suburbs Prices 101 Beirut’s suburbs declined at a 101 faster rate, at 2.65 points when 100 compared to the end of 2018, and 100 by 0.83 points when compared to 99 the first half of 2019. 99 Daychounieh tops the list with a 13 98 98 percent price increase between the end of 2019 and the end of 2018. 97 Horch Tabet saw the largest price 97 decrease with a drop of 16 percent 96 during the same period. 96 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 Areas with the biggest increase in price Areas with the biggest decrease in price (Since the end of 2018) (Since the end of 2018) 102 110 100 100 5.52% 4.3% 10.85% 7.53% 98 90 13.14% 4.61% Aoukar 1.04% 16.68% 7.68% Mazraat 7.18% Kfarchima Jamhour 96 80 Yachouh Antelias Sin El Fil 94 70 Ghobeiri Yarzeh Daychounieh Horch Tabet 92 60 90 Other areas 50 88 40 2019 vs 2018 – end of year H2 2019 to H1 2019 86 30 Aley -2.67 -1.33 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 Baabda -3.19 -1.35 Kesrouan -3.25 -0.7 Metn -2.32 -1.08 102 102 101 101 100 100 99 99 98 98 Prepared Exclusively for 97 97 REAL ESTATE INDEX 96 Executive Summary – 2019 96 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 Inventory Index 102 102 110 The availability of new apartments for sale for Beirut has decreased. 100 100 101 At the end of 2019, supply in 101 Beirut has decreased by 0.28 98 90 100 points when compared to the end 100 96 80 of 2018. The index decreased by 99 5.6 points at the end of 2019 when 9499 70 compared to the first half of 2019 especially after mid-October. Due 92 60 98 98 to the current liquidity problem, the volatility of the dollar and 90 50 97 97 the fear of a potential haircut, 88 40 the real estate market has seen 96 an increase in demand as people 8696 30 H1 2018 H2 2018considerH1 2019real estateH2 2019 properties H1H1 2018 2018 H2H2 2018 2018 H1H1 2019 2019 H2H2 2019 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 a safer investment option than banks and thus the availability of apartments decreased. 102 110 In Beirut’s suburbs, the 100 availability of new apartments for 100 sale has decreased by 13 points 98 since the end of 2018 and by 90 another 13 points when compared 96 80 to the first half of 2019 for the 94 same reasons stated above. 70 92 60 90 50 88 40 86 30 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019.
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