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Coulomb Stresses Imparted by the 25 March
LETTER Earth Planets Space, 60, 1041–1046, 2008 Coulomb stresses imparted by the 25 March 2007 Mw=6.6 Noto-Hanto, Japan, earthquake explain its ‘butterfly’ distribution of aftershocks and suggest a heightened seismic hazard Shinji Toda Active Fault Research Center, Geological Survey of Japan, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), site 7, 1-1-1 Higashi Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8567, Japan (Received June 26, 2007; Revised November 17, 2007; Accepted November 22, 2007; Online published November 7, 2008) The well-recorded aftershocks and well-determined source model of the Noto Hanto earthquake provide an excellent opportunity to examine earthquake triggering associated with a blind thrust event. The aftershock zone rapidly expanded into a ‘butterfly pattern’ predicted by static Coulomb stress transfer associated with thrust faulting. We found that abundant aftershocks occurred where the static Coulomb stress increased by more than 0.5 bars, while few shocks occurred in the stress shadow calculated to extend northwest and southeast of the Noto Hanto rupture. To explore the three-dimensional distribution of the observed aftershocks and the calculated stress imparted by the mainshock, we further resolved Coulomb stress changes on the nodal planes of all aftershocks for which focal mechanisms are available. About 75% of the possible faults associated with the moderate-sized aftershocks were calculated to have been brought closer to failure by the mainshock, with the correlation best for low apparent fault friction. Our interpretation is that most of the aftershocks struck on the steeply dipping source fault and on a conjugate northwest-dipping reverse fault contiguous with the source fault. -
Intraplate Earthquakes in North China
5 Intraplate earthquakes in North China mian liu, hui wang, jiyang ye, and cheng jia Abstract North China, or geologically the North China Block (NCB), is one of the most active intracontinental seismic regions in the world. More than 100 large (M > 6) earthquakes have occurred here since 23 BC, including the 1556 Huax- ian earthquake (M 8.3), the deadliest one in human history with a death toll of 830,000, and the 1976 Tangshan earthquake (M 7.8) which killed 250,000 people. The cause of active crustal deformation and earthquakes in North China remains uncertain. The NCB is part of the Archean Sino-Korean craton; ther- mal rejuvenation of the craton during the Mesozoic and early Cenozoic caused widespread extension and volcanism in the eastern part of the NCB. Today, this region is characterized by a thin lithosphere, low seismic velocity in the upper mantle, and a low and flat topography. The western part of the NCB consists of the Ordos Plateau, a relic of the craton with a thick lithosphere and little inter- nal deformation and seismicity, and the surrounding rift zones of concentrated earthquakes. The spatial pattern of the present-day crustal strain rates based on GPS data is comparable to that of the total seismic moment release over the past 2,000 years, but the comparison breaks down when using shorter time windows for seismic moment release. The Chinese catalog shows long-distance roaming of large earthquakes between widespread fault systems, such that no M ࣙ 7.0 events ruptured twice on the same fault segment during the past 2,000 years. -
Seismic Rate Variations Prior to the 2010 Maule, Chile MW 8.8 Giant Megathrust Earthquake
www.nature.com/scientificreports OPEN Seismic rate variations prior to the 2010 Maule, Chile MW 8.8 giant megathrust earthquake Benoit Derode1*, Raúl Madariaga1,2 & Jaime Campos1 The MW 8.8 Maule earthquake is the largest well-recorded megathrust earthquake reported in South America. It is known to have had very few foreshocks due to its locking degree, and a strong aftershock activity. We analyze seismic activity in the area of the 27 February 2010, MW 8.8 Maule earthquake at diferent time scales from 2000 to 2019. We diferentiate the seismicity located inside the coseismic rupture zone of the main shock from that located in the areas surrounding the rupture zone. Using an original spatial and temporal method of seismic comparison, we fnd that after a period of seismic activity, the rupture zone at the plate interface experienced a long-term seismic quiescence before the main shock. Furthermore, a few days before the main shock, a set of seismic bursts of foreshocks located within the highest coseismic displacement area is observed. We show that after the main shock, the seismic rate decelerates during a period of 3 years, until reaching its initial interseismic value. We conclude that this megathrust earthquake is the consequence of various preparation stages increasing the locking degree at the plate interface and following an irregular pattern of seismic activity at large and short time scales. Giant subduction earthquakes are the result of a long-term stress localization due to the relative movement of two adjacent plates. Before a large earthquake, the interface between plates is locked and concentrates the exter- nal forces, until the rock strength becomes insufcient, initiating the sudden rupture along the plate interface. -
Foreshock Sequences and Short-Term Earthquake Predictability on East Pacific Rise Transform Faults
NATURE 3377—9/3/2005—VBICKNELL—137936 articles Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East Pacific Rise transform faults Jeffrey J. McGuire1, Margaret S. Boettcher2 & Thomas H. Jordan3 1Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, and 2MIT-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Joint Program, Woods Hole, Massachusetts 02543-1541, USA 3Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089-7042, USA ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... East Pacific Rise transform faults are characterized by high slip rates (more than ten centimetres a year), predominately aseismic slip and maximum earthquake magnitudes of about 6.5. Using recordings from a hydroacoustic array deployed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, we show here that East Pacific Rise transform faults also have a low number of aftershocks and high foreshock rates compared to continental strike-slip faults. The high ratio of foreshocks to aftershocks implies that such transform-fault seismicity cannot be explained by seismic triggering models in which there is no fundamental distinction between foreshocks, mainshocks and aftershocks. The foreshock sequences on East Pacific Rise transform faults can be used to predict (retrospectively) earthquakes of magnitude 5.4 or greater, in narrow spatial and temporal windows and with a high probability gain. The predictability of such transform earthquakes is consistent with a model in which slow slip transients trigger earthquakes, enrich their low-frequency radiation and accommodate much of the aseismic plate motion. On average, before large earthquakes occur, local seismicity rates support the inference of slow slip transients, but the subject remains show a significant increase1. In continental regions, where dense controversial23. -
Hypocenter and Focal Mechanism Determination of the August 23, 2011 Virginia Earthquake Aftershock Sequence: Collaborative Research with VA Tech and Boston College
Final Technical Report Award Numbers G13AP00044, G13AP00043 Hypocenter and Focal Mechanism Determination of the August 23, 2011 Virginia Earthquake Aftershock Sequence: Collaborative Research with VA Tech and Boston College Martin Chapman, John Ebel, Qimin Wu and Stephen Hilfiker Department of Geosciences Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 4044 Derring Hall Blacksburg, Virginia, 24061 (MC, QW) Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences Boston College Devlin Hall 213 140 Commonwealth Avenue Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts 02467 (JE, SH) Phone (Chapman): (540) 231-5036 Fax (Chapman): (540) 231-3386 Phone (Ebel): (617) 552-8300 Fax (Ebel): (617) 552-8388 Email: [email protected] (Chapman), [email protected] (Ebel), [email protected] (Wu), [email protected] (Hilfiker) Project Period: July 2013 - December, 2014 1 Abstract The aftershocks of the Mw 5.7, August 23, 2011 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake were recorded by 36 temporary stations installed by several institutions. We located 3,960 aftershocks from August 25, 2011 through December 31, 2011. A subset of 1,666 aftershocks resolves details of the hypocenter distribution. We determined 393 focal mechanism solutions. Aftershocks near the mainshock define a previously recognized tabular cluster with orientation similar to a mainshock nodal plane; other aftershocks occurred 10-20 kilometers to the northeast. Detailed relocation of events in the main tabular cluster, and hundreds of focal mechanisms, indicate that it is not a single extensive fault, but instead is comprised of at least three and probably many more faults with variable orientation. A large percentage of the aftershocks occurred in regions of positive Coulomb static stress change and approximately 80% of the focal mechanism nodal planes were brought closer to failure. -
Mamuju–Majene
Supendi et al. Earth, Planets and Space (2021) 73:106 https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-021-01436-x EXPRESS LETTER Open Access Foreshock–mainshock–aftershock sequence analysis of the 14 January 2021 (Mw 6.2) Mamuju–Majene (West Sulawesi, Indonesia) earthquake Pepen Supendi1* , Mohamad Ramdhan1, Priyobudi1, Dimas Sianipar1, Adhi Wibowo1, Mohamad Taufk Gunawan1, Supriyanto Rohadi1, Nelly Florida Riama1, Daryono1, Bambang Setiyo Prayitno1, Jaya Murjaya1, Dwikorita Karnawati1, Irwan Meilano2, Nicholas Rawlinson3, Sri Widiyantoro4,5, Andri Dian Nugraha4, Gayatri Indah Marliyani6, Kadek Hendrawan Palgunadi7 and Emelda Meva Elsera8 Abstract We present here an analysis of the destructive Mw 6.2 earthquake sequence that took place on 14 January 2021 in Mamuju–Majene, West Sulawesi, Indonesia. Our relocated foreshocks, mainshock, and aftershocks and their focal mechanisms show that they occurred on two diferent fault planes, in which the foreshock perturbed the stress state of a nearby fault segment, causing the fault plane to subsequently rupture. The mainshock had relatively few after- shocks, an observation that is likely related to the kinematics of the fault rupture, which is relatively small in size and of short duration, thus indicating a high stress-drop earthquake rupture. The Coulomb stress change shows that areas to the northwest and southeast of the mainshock have increased stress, consistent with the observation that most aftershocks are in the northwest. Keywords: Mamuju–Majene, Earthquake, Relocation, Rupture, Stress-change Introduction mainshock from two of the nearest stations in Mamuju On January 14, 2021, a destructive earthquake (Mw 6.2) and Majene are 95.9 and 92.8 Gals, respectively, equiva- between Mamuju and Majene, West Sulawesi, Indonesia, lent to VI on the MMI scale (Additional fle 1: Figure S1). -
Stress Relaxation Arrested the Mainshock Rupture of the 2016
ARTICLE https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00231-6 OPEN Stress relaxation arrested the mainshock rupture of the 2016 Central Tottori earthquake ✉ Yoshihisa Iio 1 , Satoshi Matsumoto2, Yusuke Yamashita1, Shin’ichi Sakai3, Kazuhide Tomisaka1, Masayo Sawada1, Takashi Iidaka3, Takaya Iwasaki3, Megumi Kamizono2, Hiroshi Katao1, Aitaro Kato 3, Eiji Kurashimo3, Yoshiko Teguri4, Hiroo Tsuda5 & Takashi Ueno4 After a large earthquake, many small earthquakes, called aftershocks, ensue. Additional large earthquakes typically do not occur, despite the fact that the large static stress near the edges of the fault is expected to trigger further large earthquakes at these locations. Here we analyse ~10,000 highly accurate focal mechanism solutions of aftershocks of the 2016 Mw 1234567890():,; 6.2 Central Tottori earthquake in Japan. We determine the location of the horizontal edges of the mainshock fault relative to the aftershock hypocentres, with an accuracy of approximately 200 m. We find that aftershocks rarely occur near the horizontal edges and extensions of the fault. We propose that the mainshock rupture was arrested within areas characterised by substantial stress relaxation prior to the main earthquake. This stress relaxation along fault edges could explain why mainshocks are rarely followed by further large earthquakes. 1 Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Gokasho Uji, Japan. 2 Institute of Seismology and Volcanology, Faculty of Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan. 3 Earthquake Research Institute, University of -
Stochastic Characterization and Decision Bases Under Time-Dependent Aftershock Risk in Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Stanford University STOCHASTIC CHARACTERIZATION AND DECISION BASES UNDER TIME-DEPENDENT AFTERSHOCK RISK IN PERFORMANCE-BASED EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING by Gee Liek Yeo and C. Allin Cornell Report No. 149 April 2005 The John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center was established to promote research and education in earthquake engineering. Through its activities our understanding of earthquakes and their effects on mankind’s facilities and structures is improving. The Center conducts research, provides instruction, publishes reports and articles, conducts seminar and conferences, and provides financial support for students. The Center is named for Dr. John A. Blume, a well-known consulting engineer and Stanford alumnus. Address: The John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Stanford University Stanford CA 94305-4020 (650) 723-4150 (650) 725-9755 (fax) [email protected] http://blume.stanford.edu ©2005 The John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center STOCHASTIC CHARACTERIZATION AND DECISION BASES UNDER TIME-DEPENDENT AFTERSHOCK RISK IN PERFORMANCE-BASED EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING Gee Liek Yeo April 2005 °c Copyright by Gee Liek Yeo 2005 All Rights Reserved ii Preface This thesis addresses the broad role of aftershocks in the Performance-based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE) process. This is an area which has, to date, not received careful scrutiny nor explicit quantitative analysis. I begin by introducing Aftershock Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (APSHA). APSHA, similar to conventional mainshock PSHA, is a procedure to characterize the time- varying aftershock ground motion hazard at a site. I next show a methodology to quantify, in probabilistic terms, the multi-damage-state capacity of buildings in di®erent post-mainshock damage states. -
UNIVERSITY of CALIFORNIA Los Angeles the Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Risk Analysis of a Steel Frame Using Energy-Based Damage
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA Los Angeles The Mainshock-aftershock Seismic Risk Analysis of a Steel Frame Using Energy-based Damage Index A thesis submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree Master of Science in Civil Engineering by Kunliang Yao 2019 © Copyright by Kunliang Yao 2019 ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS The Mainshock-aftershock Seismic Risk Analysis of A Steel Frame Using Energy-based Damage Index by Kunliang Yao Master of Science in Civil Engineering University of California, Los Angeles, 2019 Professor Henry V. Burton, Chair Structures are generally under the risk of earthquake events, especially in regions with high seismicity. However, rather than occur individually, the seismic events are tend to happen in sequence of the mainshock and the multiple aftershocks, which would cause additional damage to the damaged buildings in post-mainshock environment and increase the probability of collapse. This study mainly focuses on characterizing the seismic risk of a 4-story steel frame under mainshock-aftershock earthquake sequences. The damage of the structure are captured using the maximum story drift ratio and the energy-based damage indices, of which the performances are evaluated and compared in prior. The result shows that the energy-based damage index has higher ability to capture the potential structural damage and tend to display higher rate of collapse in the lifetime of buildings. ii The thesis of Kunliang Yao is approved. John Wright Wallace Yousef Bozorgnia Henry V. Burton, Committee Chair University of California, Los Angeles 2019 iii Table of Contents Chapter 1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... vi 1.1 Motivation........................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Objectives .......................................................................................................................................................... -
Analysis of Intraplate Earthquakes and Deformation in the Indo-Australian Plate: Moment Tensor and Focal Depth Modeling
Analysis of Intraplate Earthquakes and Deformation in the Indo-Australian Plate: Moment Tensor and Focal Depth Modeling Honor’s Thesis by Wardah Mohammad Fadil Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences University of Michigan Abstract The April 2012 sequence of MW > 8.0 strike-slip earthquakes off the northern coast of Sumatra and the May 2014 ~50 km deep earthquake in the Bay of Bengal are rare intraplate earthquakes that have sparked numerous studies on internal deformation of the Indo-Australian Plate. In this thesis, we conducted moment tensor analysis and observed the NW/SE pattern of compression in the southern Indian Ocean, perpendicular to the compression directions at the Sunda Trench. We estimated principal stress directions for a cluster of 55 intraplate earthquakes in the southern Indian Ocean, demonstrating that they are consistent with the general stress directions in the region. Analysis of depth phase arrival times and surface wave dispersion for the May 21 2014 Bay of Bengal earthquake at the BJT and PALK seismic stations confirmed the 40-60 km focal depth of the earthquake. The occurrence of intraplate earthquakes and orientation of stress within the Indo-Australian Plate indicate the complex and dynamic plate boundary forces and the formation of a diffuse deformation zone. However, the causes of deep focal depths of intraplate earthquakes are still ambiguous. 1. Introduction The Indo-Australian Plate is a unique tectonic plate. It includes the continents of India and Australia and the surrounding oceanic lithosphere. The plate formed approximately 42 million years ago when the Indian and Australian plates fused together [Royer et al, 1991; Cande and Kent, 1995; Krishna et al, 1995]. -
Earthquake Source Properties of a Lower Crust Sequence and Associated Seismicity Perturbation in the SE Carpathians, Romania, Collisional Setting
acoustics Article Earthquake Source Properties of a Lower Crust Sequence and Associated Seismicity Perturbation in the SE Carpathians, Romania, Collisional Setting Anica Otilia Placinta 1, Felix Borleanu 2,* , Emilia Popescu 1, Mircea Radulian 1,3 and Ioan Munteanu 4 1 Department of Research and Development Innovation in Earth Sciences, National Institute for Earth Physics, 12 Calugareni Street, P.O. Box MG2, Magurele, 077125 Ilfov, Romania; [email protected] (A.O.P.); [email protected] (E.P.); [email protected] (M.R.) 2 National Data Center, National Institute for Earth Physics, 12 Calugareni Street, P.O. Box MG2, Magurele, 077125 Ilfov, Romania 3 Academy of Romanian Scientists, 54 Splaiul Independentei, 050094 Bucharest, Romania 4 Faculty of Geology and Geophysics, University of Bucharest, 6 Traian Vuia Street, 020956 Bucharest, Romania; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: Romanian seismicity is mainly confined to the Eastern Carpathians Arc bend (ECAB), where strong subcrustal earthquakes (magnitude up to 7.9) are generated in a narrow lithospheric body descending into the mantle. The seismic activity in the overlying crust is spread over a larger area, located mostly toward the outer side of the ECAB. It is significantly smaller than subcrustal seismicity, raising controversies about possible upper mantle-crust coupling. A significant earthquake sequence took place in the foreland of the ECAB triggered on 22 November 2014 by a mainshock of Citation: Placinta, A.O.; Borleanu, F.; magnitude 5.7 (the greatest instrumentally recorded earthquake in this region) located in the lower Popescu, E.; Radulian, M.; Munteanu, I. Earthquake Source Properties of a crust. -
The El Hierro Seismo-Volcanic Crisis Experience Alicia García1, Servando De La Cruz-Reyna2,3, José M
Short-term volcano-tectonic earthquake forecasts based on a moving Mean-Recurrence-Time algorithm: the El Hierro seismo-volcanic crisis experience Alicia garcía1, Servando De la Cruz-Reyna2,3, José M. Marrero4,5, and Ramón Ortiz1 1Institute IGEO, CSIC-UCM. J. Gutierrez Abascal, 2, Madrid 28006, Spain. 2Instituto de Geofísica. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. C. Universitaria, México D.F. 04510, México. 3CUEIV, Universidad de Colima, Colima 28045, México. 4Instituto Geofísico. Escuela Politécnica Nacional. Quito, 1701-2759, Ecuador 5Unidad de Gestión, Investigación y Desarrollo. Instituto Geofráfico Militar. El Dorado, Quito, 170413, Ecuador. Correspondence to: Alicia García ([email protected]) Abstract. Under certain conditions volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes may pose significant haz- ards to people living in or near active volcanic regions, especially on volcanic islands; however, hazard arising from VT activity caused by localized volcanic sources is rarely addressed in the lit- erature. The evolution of VT earthquakes resulting from a magmatic intrusion shows some orderly 5 behavior that may allow forecasting the occurrence and magnitude of major events. Thus govern- mental decision-makers can be supplied of warnings of the increased probability of larger-magnitude earthquakes in the short term time-scale. We present here a methodology for forecasting the occur- rence of large-magnitude VT events during volcanic crises; it is based on a Mean-Recurrence-Time (MRT) algorithm that translates the Gutenberg-Richter distribution parameter fluctuations into time- 10 windows of increased probability of a major VT earthquake. The MRT forecasting algorithm was developed after observing a repetitive pattern in the seismic swarm episodes occurring between July and November 2011 at El Hierro (Canary Islands).