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Target Exploration IRAQI Oil & Gas Conference (IPC2005) Target Exploration Target Exploration IRAQI Oil & Gas Conference (IPC2005) Risks, Opportunities & IRAQI Oil & Gas Conference (IPC2005) Potential Risks, Opportunities & Potential Monday 27 and Tuesday 28 June 2005 Imperial College 27 & 28 June 2005 180 Queen’s Gate, Kensington, London SW7, England The Imperial College 180 Queen’s Gate, Kensington, London SW7, England 1 Page CONFERENCE PROGRAMME Day One Monday 27th. June 2005 Oral Presentations 8.00 Registration A. IRAQI OIL INDUSTRY: PRESENT STATUS, FUTURE PLANS AND OPTIONS 9.00 (A1) Opening Remarks 2 9.15 (A2) Iraq's Oil industry in 2005. Page 1- Security 2- Status of Major Tenders 3- Short Term Plan to boost up production 4- Medium Term plans 5- Prospects for Joint Operating Agreements Dr. Thamir Uqaili, Business Development Manager, Baker Hughes, Baghdad, Iraq, (Former, Field’s Manager NOC, GM CPO, GM Planning of Min of Oil, DG of IDC “Iraq”, Area Reservoir Coordinator of Repsol SA in Madrid. 9.45 (A3) Iraq’s Oil Potential: The Possible and Likely. Middle East Major Concession Agreements: its Initiation, Progress and Lessons Derived There from. INOC Birth, Performance & Recreation Iraq Oil Reserves and Production in Context of Middle East and World Oil Supply Iraq Oil Policy: Between Aspiration and Reality Present Status and Forecasts of Future Trends of the Iraqi Upstream Petroleum Industry: Post-2002 Iraq Oil Potential: The Possible and Likely Mr. Tariq Shafiq, Petroleum Techno-Economic Consultant, Petrolog Ltd. London, UK, (Former Petroleum Executive Director and Vice Chairman Iraq National Oil Company). 10.30 (A4) The tragedy of Iraq’s oil, will it come to an end? Introduction Iraqi Oil Production and Revenues During 1980-2004 Iraqi GDP in 1989 (constant 1980 prices) Iraqi oil and non-oil exports over the period 1980-99 Iraqi oil and non-oil exports (1965-2000) Iraqi oil production during January-October 2003 3 Page Lost Production Capacity Due to the War and Aftermath Distribution of Damage and Cost During the 2003 War and its Aftermath Crude charge disruption to Daura Refinery (18 April-15 August, 2003) Iraqi Oil Money Plundered by Saddam Comparison of selected global oil demand forecasts Conclusions Dr. Muhammad Ali Zainy, Senior Energy Economist & Analyst, CGES, London, UK. 11.00-11.25 Morning Coffee B. PETROLEUM HABITAT OF IRAQ (I): KIRKUK SUPER GIANT FIELD 11.30 (B1) Kirkuk Field - Past, Present & Future Challenges OVERVIEW EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION HISTORY NORTHERN EXPLORATION TARGETS KIRKUK STRUCTURE MAIN RESERVOIRS RESERVOIR CHARACTERISTICS KIRKUK OIL (API/SULPHUR RELATIONSHIP) RESERVES & PRODUCTION OVERVIEW FUTURE POTENTIAL SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS Dr. Mohammad Al Gailani, MD, GeoDesign Ltd. London, UK. 4 Page 12.15 (B2) Kirkuk's Geologic Setting: Exploration Significance. 1. Objective of Paper Impact on Exploration Impact on Resource Assessment 2. Background Dunnington's advanced understanding The precursor-trap hypothesis 3. List of extraordinary attributes Large structure Active seep (gas) Crest of reservoir within 1000 ft of being breached Young structure Oil field not gas field 4. Interpretations Kirkuk is a kind of geologic freak Requires late migration and generation Multiple source rock horizons Dunnington precursor-structure is still possible by not required Multi trap fill spill into Kirkuk. 5. Consequences Is it likely to find another Kirkuk? Kirkuk's oil may mask future gas character of region Prospects on Kirkuk spill fill path can be spill full Dr. Walter H. Pierce and Dr. Everett Rutherford, Calik Energy Sanayi ve Ticaret A S., Ashgabat, Turkmenistan 5 Page 13.00-14.00 Lunch and Poster Presentations, Monday 27 June 05 C. RISKS VERSUS REWARS OF NEWVENTUR OPERATIONS IN IRAQ 14.00 (C1) Essential Approaches to Sustain Security and Stability of the E&P Industry of Iraq. 1. Oil & Gas Resources 2. Political Background 3. Oil Companies 4. Factors Severely Affecting the Iraqi Oil & Gas Industry 5. Systematic Ethnic Cleansing 6. Witnesses of Deportation 7. Approaches to Re-establishing Free and Secure Iraq A. Internal B. International 8. Special Considerations 9. Solutions to Bring Peace & Security to E&P in Iraq 9. Future E&P Trends 2005-2020 10. Security, Safety and Technical infrastructure 11. Conclusions 12. References Hama Jaza Kader, MD, Babagurgur NRS, (Former Manager of Drilling Department of Iraq National Oil Company). 14.30 (C2) IRAQ: Inversions, Disproportions, Losses and Misrepresentations. Nuft, Petroleum and Oil; names and usage as paradigm’s of high cultural position. Indications from Iraqi experience of the known and the imagined beyond the image and below the surface 6 Water, oil and the created surface; a short exposition of art in Iraq over time and the roles of oil in defining it. Page Transitions (Civil & Consumer) documentation, imprint and bond. Concept and reality of ground zero in Iraqi culture & art illustrated in oil reflecting globally. The “End of history”, “Creation as History”, civilisations and the arts between virtual wealth and sustainable life styles; from modernity to tradition Grounds for hope? Oil/Art and Action, defusing terror in the age of “Full Spectrum Domination”. Rashad Salim, Iraqi Graphic Artist, London 15.00-15.25 Afternoon Tea D. UPSTREAM OPPORTUNITIES (I) 15.30 (D1) Petroleum Exploration Plays and Trends in Iraq. EXPLORATION PLAYS Tertiary Plays Cretaceous Plays Jurassic Plays Triassic Plays Permo-Carboniferous Play Devonian Play Other Paleozoic Plays ARABIAN PALEOZOIC BASIN FUTURE PRESPECTIVE Dr. Munim Al Rawi, Carta Design, Dublin, Ireland. 7 16.00 (D2) Kirkuk Oilfield’s Reconstruction Activities and Business Opportunities. Page Field background General Area Geology Oilfields around Kirkuk Oilfield Production History until March/April 2003 and then after Destruction due to: Military Operation, Looting and Sabotage RIO: Reconstruction Iraqi Oil Industry (Kirkuk) July 2003 Reconstruction Plan Execution July 2003 RIO Plan Factors effecting present Production and Export Activities New Production Maintenance Plan Security Challenges, Administration Problems Oil and Gas Opportunities Conclusions Hama Jaza Kader, MD, Babagurgur NRS, (Former Manager of Drilling Department of Iraq National Oil Company). 16.30 –17.00 END OF FIRST DAY DISCUSSIONS AND CHAIRMEN REMARKS. The Time: 8.00-10.30 pm The Date: Monday 27 of June 2005 The Place: TBA 8 Page Day Two Tuesday 28th June 2005 Oral Presentations 8.00 Registration E. PETROLEUM HABITAT OF IRAQ (II): STRUCTURAL STYLES AND EXPLORATION PLAYS 9.00 (E1) Chairmen Opening Remarks 9.15 (E2) Iraq Hydrocarbon Habitats 1. Iraq setting in Arabian Basin and Arabian Plate 2. Iraq Topography 3. Field Distribution 4. Cross Sections and Stratigraphic Column 5. Iraq Production 6. Exploration History 7. Undiscovered Prognoses 8. Mapping Isopach Mapping Post Oligocene Uplift Cross sections 9. Basin Modeling 9 Gas Trend Page Source Rock Oil types API Sulphur ratios Geochemistry 10. Reservoirs 11. Seals 12. Hydrocarbon Distribution by Age 13. Example fields 14. Play Description Zubair Mishrif Upper Cretaceous Oligocene and Ghar 15. Age of Reservoirs Summary 16. Conclusions Dr. Walter H. Pierce and Dr. Everett Rutherford Jr., Calik Energy Sanayi ve Ticaret A S., Ashgabat, Turkmenistan 10.15 (E3) Structural Styles and the Nature of Hydrocarbon Entrapment in Iraq. Tectonic Zones of Iraq Structural Anomalies Structural Styles Exploration Targets Methodology Studied Sections: 10 Khanmaqin-Um Al Anz Page Majnoon-Western Desert Siba-Abu Kheima Future Work Summary and Conclusions Dr. Mohammad Al-Gailani, MD, GeoDesign Limited, London, UK. 11.00-11.25 Morning Coffee F. PETROLEUM HABITAT OF IRAQ (III): GEOLOGY AND RESERVOIR CHARACTERISTIC OF GIANT AND SUPER GIANT OILFIELDS OF IRAQ 11.30 (F1) Super Giant Fields of North Iraq: Rise and Decline of The Kirkuk Field Historical Perspective Discovery of Kirkuk Field Seepages & Eternal fires. Geomorphology of NE Iraq. Source Rock Reservoir Rocks Cap Rocks Structural Complexity Salt Tectonics Comparing Kirkuk with Adjacent Fields Is Kirkuk Field a Unique Phenomenon? The Ultimate Super “K” Reservoir Lab. 11 Reservoir Characteristics Page Production History Natural Depletion Gas Injection Water Injection Typical Giant Oil Fields Problems Variations in Well Productivities Fracture-Matrix System Wettability of the Oil/Water Rock System API Gravity Segregation Viscous Forces Extraneous Fluid Injection 1991-1996 The Deleterious Effects of Dumping 1.4 Billion Barrels of Residues Wet Crude Artificial Lifting Gas Lifting Versus Using ESPs Ultimate Recovery Conclusions and Recommendations. Adnan I. Al-Samarraie, Consultant Petroleum Geologist (Former Deputy Head of Geology Department Iraqi North Oil Co. and later Oil Exploration Company), and Dr. Tarik Al-Irhayim, Consultant Petroleum Engineer (Former Fields Manager of Iraq’s North Oil Company). 12.30 (F2) Chia Surkh: The First Centurion Middle East Oil Discovery. Exploration history Kalhur / Asmari play 12 Reservoir geology Page Petroleum system Test results Reserve estimates Development plan Dr. Munim Al Rawi, GM, Carta Design, Dublin, Ireland. 13.00-14.00 Lunch and Poster Presentations, Tuesday 28 June 05 G. RESPONSIBILITIES OF THE OIL INDUSTRY TO IRAQ 14.00 (G1) The Iraq/IOC Relationship: Risks, Uncertainties and Strategies. Iraq's huge reserve and production potential; Several major uncertainties: security, politics and the future contractual framework and terms; The oil industry's
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