<<

Public Opinion Survey Residents of

May 28 – June 14, 2016

• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute. • Data was collected throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied of and part of the ) from May 28-June 14, 2016, through face-to-face interviews at the respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 2,400 residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The sample is representative by gender, age, , and settlement size. Additionally, 1,185 respondents were surveyed in Dnipropetrovsk . Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and birthday methods for respondent selection. • Stage One: 25 official administrative of Ukraine were defined (24 regions of Ukraine and ). All regions of Ukraine were surveyed except the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas region. • Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on and . Towns were grouped into subtypes according to their size: • with population over 1 million • Cities with population 500,000-999,000 • Cities with population 100,000-499,000 • Cities with population 50,000-99,000 • Cities with population to 50,000 • Villages • Cities and villages were selected by means of the random sampling method. The number of selected cities/villages in each of the regions is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a certain type in each region. • Stage Three: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined. • The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent. • Average response rate was 63.9 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the Government of .

2 Methodology Oblast Oversample

• The survey was conducted throughout Dnipro oblast between May 28-June 14, 2016, through face-to-face interviews at the respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,185 citizens from Dnipro oblast aged 18 and older and who have the right to vote. The sample is representative by sex, age, and settlement size. • Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection. • Stage One: The sample was proportionally split between all rayons of Dnipro oblast. • Stage Two: The of each rayon of the oblast was split into and units. Settlements were split into types by the number of residents: • Cities with population over 1 million • Cities with population 500,000-999,000 • Cities with population 100,000-499,000 • Cities with population 50,000-99,000 • Cities with population up to 50,000 • Villages • Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of respondents in selected cities/villages of each rayon is proportional to the share of the population living in cities/villages of a certain rayon. • Stage Three: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined. • The margin of error does not exceed 2.8 percent. • The average response rate was 62.7 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

3 Geographical Key

Dnipro

Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in , residents of Crimea and the separatist-controlled territories of and were not included in this poll. In addition, on May 19, 2016, the Ukrainian voted to name Dnipropetrovsk to Dnipro. 4 General Attitudes Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer 80% 76% 71% 72% 70% 69% 68% 70% 66% 64% 71%

60% 51% 48% 50%

40% 34% 29% 30% 20% 18% 17% 20% 16% 16% 15% 15% 13% 15% 20% 18% 15% 17% 10% 14% 15% 15% 13% 13% 13% 11%

0% May 2012 May 2013 April 2014 2015 September November February June 2016 2011 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016

6 When will you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction? Three Responses

Immunity of MPs and judges is abolished 46%

A clear anti-corruption mechanism that would hold officials responsible is introduced 38% Well-known current authorities who were found to have been involved in corruption are arrested and sentenced 34% Current authorities who were caught on bribery are arrested and sentenced 31% The process of obtaining licenses, approvals, etc. is made as easy as possible 25% A procedure on bribery investigation is introduced in order to investigate and punish persons involved in corruption 19% State officials who had occupied top positions during the previous regime are dismissed (‘lustrated’) 19% Well-known representatives of the former regime are arrested and sentenced 16%

All budgets are made public 16%

Difficult to answer 10%

Other 2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 7 Which key factor leads you to the conclusion about the level of ?

You are aware of the high level of corruption from mass 53% media

During the last six months, your friends or relatives had 22% to pay a bribe

During the last six months, you have personally had to 10% pay a bribe

Other 4%

Difficult to answer 11%

0% 20% 40% 60%

8 In the last 12 months, have you personally made a request of the following Ukrainian institutions?

If so, did an Did you pay a Do you feel that this official ask you to bribe to the institution has become Made a Request pay a bribe or official to solve or less corrupt in expect a bribe? your problem? recent years? The Yes No Yes No Yes No Less More same

Medical establishments 59% 41% 26% 74% 30% 70% 10% 66% 24%

Communal services 36% 64% 6% 94% 4% 96% 17% 73% 10%

Social services provision 27% 73% 5% 95% 3% 97% 16% 72% 12% institutions

Educational establishments 20% 80% 27% 73% 25% 75% 12% 74% 14%

Registration and licensing 18% 82% 12% 88% 13% 88% 15% 71% 14% services institutions Police, including traffic 9% 91% 28% 72% 25% 75% 18% 67% 15% police

Tax services institutions 6% 94% 14% 86% 13% 87% 8% 75% 17%

Courts 3% 97% 34% 66% 25% 75% 5% 73% 22%

Customs service and border 2% 98% 31% 69% 27% 73% 7% 73% 20% guard service

Prosecutor’s office 1% 99% 41% 59% 25% 75% 4% 76% 20% 9 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed?

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer

June 2016 2% 15% 33% 45% 4%

February 2016 1% 10% 34% 54% 2%

November 2015 2% 14% 37% 44% 3%

September 2015 1% 2% 14% 31% 51% 1%

July 2015 2% 8% 28% 60% 2%

September 2014 1% 11% 29% 57% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 10 Over last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer

June 2016 2% 18% 38% 40% 2%

February 2016 1% 15% 36% 47% 1%

November 2015 2% 20% 36% 40% 2%

September 2015 1%2% 18% 34% 45% 1%

July 2015 1% 14% 29% 55% 1% September 2014 2% 19% 37% 40% 2%

April 2014 1% 4% 37% 34% 22% 3% 2014 3% 46% 29% 18% 3%

February 2014 1% 8% 44% 31% 14% 2% September 2013 1% 9% 41% 30% 17% 2%

May 2013 1% 8% 46% 30% 14% 1%

September 2012 1% 14% 37% 27% 15% 5%

May 2012 9% 45% 30% 13% 3%

March 2012 1% 6% 39% 34% 18% 3% November 2011 1% 6% 37% 36% 18% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 11 In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change?

Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen a lot Difficult to answer

June 2016 1% 8% 21% 25% 27% 19%

February 2016 1% 6% 21% 23% 31% 18%

November 2015 1% 7% 21% 32% 23% 16%

September 2015 2% 11% 25% 23% 27% 12%

July 2015 1% 9% 19% 24% 27% 20% September 2014 1% 10% 14% 23% 35% 17%

April 2014 1% 10% 13% 26% 43% 8%

March 2014 1% 12% 16% 26% 35% 11%

February 2014 1% 9% 20% 31% 28% 12%

September 2013 2% 12% 27% 29% 17% 13%

May 2013 1% 8% 38% 29% 12% 12%

September 2012 2% 17% 31% 24% 11% 16%

May 2012 1% 13% 35% 26% 11% 14% March 2012 1% 8% 32% 32% 15% 12%

November 2011 1% 7% 30% 32% 17% 13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 12 Assessment of Ukrainian Authorities’ Performance Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the Parliament of Ukraine?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer

June 2016 1% 9% 35% 46% 9%

February 2016 5% 29% 59% 6%

November 2015 1% 10% 31% 52% 7%

September 2015 10% 35% 48% 6%

July 2015 9% 35% 49% 6%

September 2014 3% 14% 36% 37% 9%

April 2014 6% 33% 24% 26% 11%

March 2014 6% 32% 24% 26% 11%

February 2014 2% 11% 30% 50% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 14 Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the under the leadership of Hroisman?

1%

21% 19% Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Strongly disapprove 30% Difficult to answer 29%

15 What do you think about the replacement of the Cabinet of Ministers under with a Cabinet of Ministers under Volodymyr Hroisman?

12% 24% It is the best solution to the political crisis in Ukraine

It will not solve the political crisis

41% 23% Difficult to answer/No answer

16 In your opinion, will the Cabinet of Ministers under Volodymyr Hroisman be able to achieve positive changes in Ukraine?

2%

20% 18% Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Definitely no

30% Difficult to answer 30%

17 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians and members of the Ukrainian Government?

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard Difficult to answer

MP, Batkivshchyna 13% 32% 12% 22% 1% 19% of 5% 28% 22% 26% 6% 13% of Odesa oblast, 4% 22% 23% 39% 1% 11% Head of the Civic Position, 4% 21% 23% 30% 7% 15% MP, leader of Batkivshchyna, 5% 18% 27% 41% 8% Prime of Ukraine Volodymyr Hroisman 3% 21% 27% 36% 1% 13% Vitaliy Klitschko 3% 20% 27% 38% 12% MP, leader of the Radical Party, 4% 18% 25% 45% 1%7% Speaker of the Parliament, 2% 17% 23% 40% 5% 12% 3% 16% 26% 45% 9% Former Head of SBU, Valentyn Nalyvaychenko 2% 15% 22% 36% 9% 16% MP, leader of the , 4% 13% 16% 51% 8% 8% Leader of Svoboda, 3% 12% 23% 51% 2% 9% MP, former leader of the , Dmytro Yarosh 2% 12% 19% 50% 3% 13% MP, one of the leaders of the Opposition Bloc, 3% 11% 16% 46% 16% 8% Former Governor of , 1% 7% 19% 60% 2% 10% One of the leaders of the UKROP party, 1% 6% 19% 51% 10% 12% Former Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk 1%5% 16% 71% 1% 6% Mayor of Dnipropetrovsk, 1% 5% 13% 31% 36% 14% Head of the People’s Movement of Ukraine, 4% 11% 26% 48% 10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 18 Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer

June 2016 3% 16% 36% 37% 9%

February 2016 2% 15% 32% 43% 8%

November 2015 3% 22% 28% 42% 6%

September 2015 4% 20% 29% 40% 6%

July 2015 3% 21% 34% 33% 8%

September 2014 15% 40% 22% 13% 10%

April 2014 11% 36% 19% 24% 11%

March 2014 9% 33% 20% 27% 11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

19 Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the Cabinet of Ministers under Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer

June 2016 1% 19% 30% 29% 21%

February 2016 1% 6% 25% 64% 4%

November 2015 1% 11% 25% 57% 5%

September 2015 2% 11% 29% 54% 5%

July 2015 1% 10% 32% 52% 6%

September 2014 13% 35% 27% 15% 10%

April 2014 16% 36% 16% 24% 8%

March 2014 12% 34% 17% 27% 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

* Volodymyr Hroisman was appointed Prime Minister of Ukraine in April 2016. 20 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians and members of the Ukrainian Government?

Favorable Unfavorable

Petro Poroshenko Arseniy Yatsenyuk 100% 100% 89% 87% 82% 83% 73% 71% 80% 63% 68% 66% 80% 57% 63% 60% 59% 55% 53% 54% 83% 60% 43% 60% 34% 32% 34% 40% 29% 27% 27% 27% 40% 19% 20% 41% 40% 10% 13% 12% 20% 30% 20% 39% 7% 6%

0% 0% Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16

Volodymyr Hroisman Vitaliy Klitschko 80% 70% 80% 68% 66% 65% 62% 62% 63% 63% 63% 60% 54% 60% 48% 50% 60% 47% 33% 40% 40% 27% 46% 24% 25% 23% 21% 42% 45% 19% 20% 15% 20% 37% 25% 23% 23% 19% 20% 15% 0% 0% Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16

21 What is your opinion of each of the following young Ukrainian politicians, members of the Government, or civic activists?

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer

MP Yehor Sobolyev 4% 19% 15% 13% 37% 12%

MP Mustafa Nayem 2% 18% 17% 19% 30% 15%

Former General David Sakvarelidze 2% 15% 11% 14% 44% 13%

MP Tetyana Chornovol 1% 15% 15% 26% 29% 14%

MP Volodymyr Parasyuk 3% 13% 16% 22% 34% 12%

MP Dmytro Dobrodomov 3% 12% 8% 9% 61% 8%

MP Ihor Lutsenko 2% 12% 14% 16% 45% 11%

MP, Deputy Head of the Parliament of Ukraine 1% 12% 10% 10% 56% 11%

MP 1% 11% 9% 12% 58% 9%

MP Hanna Hopko 1% 10% 10% 9% 60% 9%

MP Viktoriya Syumar 2% 9% 8% 12% 59% 10%

Head of Board of NGO “Anti-corruption Center” Vitaliy Shabunin 2% 8%6% 10% 65% 9%

Former Deputy Prosecutor General Vladyslav Kasko <1% 6% 10% 12% 60% 10%

Leader of the political party “Democratic ” Vasyl Hatsko <1% 5% 6% 8% 73% 6%

Co-leader of the political party “Syla Lyudey” Oleksandr Solontay 3% 6% 9% 74% 8%

MP 3% 4% 6% 81% 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 22 If the aforementioned people were to unite into one political party, would you support this party in pre-term parliamentary elections?

2%

14% Definitely yes

33% Somewhat yes

19%

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

32%

23 Views on Issues Which three of the following issues should be a priority for the national authorities of Ukraine?

Anti-corruption reform 44% New faces in government 33% Reform of healthcare system 25% Judicial reform 22% Entrepreneurship development 16% Agricultural reform 15% Energy independence program and energy reform 14% Reform of national security and defense system 13% Decentralization 13% Reform of public administration 13% Reform of law enforcement system 10% Tax reform 9% Program on promoting interests of Ukraine in the 8% Educational reform 7% Reform of financial sector 5% Constitutional reform 5% Reform of state property management 4% Reform of electoral legislation 3% Reform of public procurement 3% Deregulation 2% Other 3% Difficult to answer 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 25 Which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?

Military conflict in Donbas 52% Corruption within the state bodies 39% Unemployment 29% Low industry production 28% Control over prices' growth 27% Government incompetence 23% Political instability 22% Social protection for poor 21% Hryvnia devaluation 16% Relationships with 11% Crime 7% Russian presence in Crimea 6% Delay in salaries/ payments 4% Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water 3% Land property rights 3% Status of 1% Other 1% Difficult to answer 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 26 Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally?

Control over prices' growth 50% Unemployment 39% Military conflict in Donbas 35% Social protection for poor 30% Hryvnia devaluation 28% Corruption within the state bodies 21% Low industry production 18% Government incompetence 17% Political instability 12% Crime 8% Delay of salaries/pensions payments 8% Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water 7% Relationships with Russia 6% Land property rights 3% Russian presence in Crimea 2% Status of Russian language 1% Other 3% Difficult to answer 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 27 Do you think it is acceptable for groups of people to use the following methods of ?

Fully acceptable More acceptable than unacceptable Fully unacceptable Difficult to answer

Collecting signatures for 51% 29% 6% 8% 6% petitions or letters

Legal demonstrations 37% 34% 10% 12% 7%

Legal strikes 27% 35% 14% 16% 9%

Boycott 25% 32% 16% 16% 11%

Demonstrations without 11% 21% 33% 24% 11% permission

Strikes without permission 8% 15% 33% 33% 11%

Blocking of roads 5% 12% 21% 51% 10%

Blocking of railway lines 4% 8% 22% 57% 9%

Blocking of 4% 7% 20% 59% 10%

Occupation of buildings or 4% 7% 26% 54% 9% enterprises

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

28 Electoral Moods Do you support the idea of pre-term parliamentary ?

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer

June 2016 17% 21% 22% 25% 16%

February 2016 20% 25% 19% 22% 14%

November 2015 18% 23% 20% 23% 17%

September 2015 15% 27% 22% 23% 14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

30 If pre-term parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote?

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer

June 2016 26% 30% 10% 22% 11%

February 2016 28% 34% 9% 21% 7%

November 2015 28% 33% 10% 20% 9%

September 2015 34% 40% 4% 16% 6%

July 2015 29% 35% 9% 20% 8%

September 2014 42% 32% 7% 15% 5%

April 2014 49% 32% 4% 11% 3%

March 2014 42% 33% 5% 12% 8%

February 2014 41% 35% 8% 10% 6%

September 2013 34% 34% 7% 20% 5%

May 2013 34% 36% 8% 19% 4%

September 2012 46% 33% 5% 11% 5%

May 2012 39% 32% 8% 14% 8%

March 2012 40% 33% 9% 11% 8%

November 2011 34% 33% 7% 13% 12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 31 If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, for which political party would you vote? (Among All Respondents)

Opposition Bloc 10% Batkivshchyna 9% BPP “Solidarnist” 7% Samopomich 5% Radical Party 5% Svoboda 3% Civic Position 2% Party of Mikheil Saakashvili 2% UKROP 2% Vidrodzhennia 1% People’s Control 1% National Movement of Dmitry Yarosh 1% Left Opposition 1% Agrarian Party of Ukraine 1% People's Front 1% Right Sector 1% Party of Common People 1% Other 3% I would not vote 26% Difficult to answer 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 32 If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, for which political party would you vote? (Among Likely Voters, n=1363)

Opposition Bloc 14% Batkivshchyna 14% BPP “Solidarnist” 11% Samopomich 9% Radical Party 8% Svoboda 4% Civic Position 3% Party of Mikheil Saakashvili 3% UKROP 2% Vidrodzhennia 2% People’s Control 2% People's Front 1% National Movement of Dmitry Yarosh 1% Right Sector 1% Agrarian Party of Ukraine 1% Party of Common People 1% Left Opposition 1% 1% Nash 1% Yedynyi Centre 1% Other 5% Difficult to answer 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 33 If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?

Would vote for the female candidate Would vote for the male candidate Makes no difference to me Difficult to answer

June 2016 13% 17% 63% 8%

February 2016 14% 17% 66% 4%

November 2015 15% 16% 64% 5%

September 2015 21% 17% 57% 6%

July 2015 17% 17% 60% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 34 If you could only have one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?

Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me Prosperity is definitely more important to me Difficult to answer

June 2016 14% 20% 28% 21% 16%

February 2016 16% 20% 29% 22% 12%

November 2015 17% 19% 30% 20% 14%

July 2015 13% 20% 34% 18% 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 36 If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, with which of the following should it be?

European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer

June 2016 54% 15% 12% 19%

February 2016 55% 15% 14% 15%

November 2015 57% 15% 12% 16%

September 2015 57% 17% 12% 14%

July 2015 55% 14% 12% 20%

September 2014 59% 17% 9% 15%

April 2014 53% 24% 10% 13%

March 2014 52% 27% 6% 14%

February 2012 41% 36% 9% 14%

September2013 42% 37% 5% 17%

May 2013 40% 37% 5% 18%

September 2012 32% 42% 6% 20%

May 2012 37% 41% 5% 17%

March 2012 36% 43% 4% 17%

November 2011 42% 40% 3% 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 37 If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, with which of the following should it be?

European Union Customs Union with Russia, , and Other Difficult to answer

West 82% 2% 9% 7%

Center 60% 7% 13% 21%

South 46% 20% 16% 18%

East 24% 35% 11% 30%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

38 If a on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?

Would vote for Ukraine joining NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer

June 2016 39% 32% 12% 17%

February 2016 45% 30% 10% 16%

November 2015 48% 30% 10% 13%

September 2015 48% 28% 8% 17%

July 2015 41% 30% 14% 15%

September 2014 43% 31% 17% 8%

April 2014 38% 40% 7% 15%

March 2014 34% 43% 9% 13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 39 If a referendum on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?

Would vote for Ukraine joining NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer

West 60% 14% 12% 13%

Center 46% 27% 8% 18%

South 32% 38% 16% 13%

East 14% 50% 14% 22%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 40 How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following ?

Very warm Warm Neutral Very cold Difficult to answer

Poland 12% 42% 39% 4%<1% 2%

Belarus 10% 40% 41% 6% 3%

European Union 8% 39% 42% 6% <1% 4%

Canada 9% 36% 46% 5% <1%4%

Georgia 7% 35% 48% 6%<1% 3%

Lithuania 8% 33% 46% 8% <1%3%

United States 7% 33% 42% 11% 4% 3%

Germany 6% 34% 51% 6%<1% 3%

Moldova 3% 27% 57% 7%1% 4%

Turkey 4% 23% 59% 8% 1% 4%

Russia 4% 13% 22% 29% 29% 3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 41 Would you like to move to one of those countries?

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer

European Union 6% 21% 25% 40% 8%

Germany 7% 17% 28% 41% 7%

Canada 7% 16% 28% 42% 6%

Poland 5% 19% 30% 40% 6%

United States 6% 14% 29% 44% 6%

Belarus 3% 12% 34% 44% 6%

Lithuania 2% 10% 36% 46% 6%

Georgia 2% 7% 37% 49% 6%

Turkey 6% 34% 53% 6%

Russia 5% 25% 63% 5%

Moldova 4% 36% 54% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 42 Dnipro Region, n=1,185

May 28 – June 14, 2016 Which institution do you believe is most responsible for improving the standard of living and quality of life for ?

Government under the leadership of current Prime Minister 37%

President 31%

Parliament 14%

Local authorities 10%

Other 2%

Difficult to answer 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

44 In your opinion, should more responsibilities be transferred from central authorities to local authorities and communities?

15%

26% Definitely yes 6% Somewhat yes

9% Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

44%

45 Do you think your local authorities elected in the local elections can be entrusted with more responsibilities as a result of decentralization reform?

17% 18% Definitely yes

Somewhat yes 7% Somewhat no

Definitely no 14% Difficult to answer/No answer

44%

46 Who do you think should hold the most responsibility for addressing local issues and providing services to your community?

Your local mayor 28%

Council of your city/ 20%

Council of your oblast 11%

Council of your village 8%

Government and central government agencies 7%

Governor of your oblast 7%

Council of your rayon 6%

Governor of your rayon 4%

Difficult to answer 9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

47 In your opinion, which areas should be a priority for the authorities of your oblast?

Housing and communal economy 35% Infrastructure (roads, etc.) 26% Industry 26% Security in the city 25% Fight against corruption 24% Agriculture and land 22% Pensions and social benefits 21% Healthcare 21% Defense and military 13% Energy 12% Law-enforcement agencies, including local police 9% * 8% and 8% Schools and kindergartens 7% Environment 7% Deregulation and support of entrepreneurship 6% Youth 5% Culture 3% Taxation 2% Sport 1% Right to speak native language 1% Other 1% Difficult to answer 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

*In Ukraine, the term lustration refers to the exclusion from public office of civil servants who worked under Ukrainian President for more than a year and civil servants who were active in the Communist Party of the Union. They may be excluded for five to 10 years (Source: ). 48 What is your level of knowledge of the mayoral elections that took place in March this year?

11% 12%

Know a lot 14% Know something

27% Know nothing

Difficult to answer/No answer

36%

49 Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the Governor of Dnipro oblast Valentyn Reznichenko?

2%

Strongly approve 23% Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

51% Strongly disapprove

17% Difficult to answer/No answer

7%

50 What is your opinion of each of the following politicians?

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard Difficult to answer

Mayor of Kryvyi Rih, Yuriy Vilkul 17% 25% 14% 14% 9% 19%

Former Dnipro Governor, Ihor Kolomoiskyi 10% 25% 16% 21% 2% 26%

Mayoral candidate from “Samopomich,” MP Semen 1%8% 22% 28% 22% 19% Semenchenko

Mayoral candidate from “Samopomich,” Yuriy Myloboh 1% 6% 23% 18% 30% 21%

Mayoral candidate from “Syla Lyudei,” Svitlana Sova 5% 15% 12% 43% 24%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

51 Do you feel that citizens of Ukraine whose native language is Russian are under pressure or threat because of their language?

4% 8% 6%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes 20% Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

62%

52 Do you support the decision of the Russian to send its army “to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?”

1% 1%

14% 10%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

74%

53 How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea?

It is an illegal invasion and occupation of independent 71% Ukraine

It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens of 4% Ukraine

Other 10%

Difficult to answer/No answer 15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

54 In your opinion, are Ukrainian authorities doing enough to ensure the return of Crimea?

3% 6%

25% Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

31% Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

35%

55 In your opinion, how should Ukraine act regarding Crimea today: use all possible resources in order to return Crimea to Ukraine or accept transfer of Crimea to Russia?

Use all possible resources in order to return Crimea to 56% Ukraine

Accept transfer of Crimea to Russia 20%

Difficult to answer/No answer 24%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

56 In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas within Ukrainian territory?

4% 10% 26% Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

27% Definitely no

Difficult to answer/No answer

33%

57 In your opinion, what status should the Donbas territories under the control of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s have?

Be part of Ukraine as before 58%

Be part of Ukraine but with special status 13%

Be part of Ukraine but with extended responsibilities 13% resulting from decentralization reform

Become part of Russia 2%

Become an independent 1%

Other 2%

Difficult to answer/No answer 11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

58 In your opinion, what status should the Donbas have (the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)

Be part of Ukraine as before 58%

Be part of Ukraine but with extended responsibilities resulting 13% from decentralization reform

Become an autonomous territory within Ukraine 12%

Become part of Russia 2%

Become an independent country 1%

Territories controlled today by so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated from Ukraine and the 1% rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine

Other 2%

Difficult to answer/No answer 11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

59 Demographics Demographics Nationwide Males 45%

SEX Females 55% 18-35 33%

36-50 25% AGE 51+ 42% Ukrainian 46% Russian 32%

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally 21% LANGUAGE

Other 1% SPOKEN HOME AT Primary/Non-complete secondary 4% General secondary 22% Vocational secondary 39% EDUCATION Higher/Non-complete higher 35% Worker 26% Farmer 1% White collar 18% Higher or medium level 2% Pensioner (not working) 29%

Student 3% OCCUPATION Housewife 8% Unemployed 9% Other 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 61 Demographics Nationwide

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate) 33%

Orthodox UPC MP ( Patriarchate) 19%

Greek Catholic 9%

Catholic 1%

Protestant 1% RELIGION Atheist 7%

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 23%

Other 1%

Difficult to answer 6%

City 70%

TYPEOF Village 30% SETTLEMENT West 24%

Center 31%

REGIONS South 23%

East 22%

0% 50% 100% 62 Demographics Nationwide

We need to save money for food 17%

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 40%

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good 32% suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other

FAMILYFINANCES purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more 8% expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a 1% car or an apartment

Difficult to answer 1%

0% 50% 63 Demographics Dnipro Oblast

Males 44%

SEX Females 56% 18-35 33%

36-50 26% AGE 51+ 42% Ukrainian 24% Russian 50%

HOME Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally 25% LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT Both, Ukrainian and other language equally 1% Primary/Non-complete secondary 5% General secondary 19% Vocational secondary 41% EDUCATION Higher/Non-complete higher 35% Worker 30% Farmer 3% White collar 17% Higher or medium level executive 1% Pensioner (not working) 29%

Student 4% OCCUPATION Housewife 7% Unemployed 5% Other 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 64 Demographics Dnipro Oblast

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate) 47%

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate) 11%

Atheist 6% RELIGION I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 24%

Other 1%

Difficult to answer 7%

City 84%

Village 16% TYPEOF SETTLEMENT

0% 50% 100% 65 Demographics Dnipro Oblast

We need to save money for food 33%

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 36%

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good 24% suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other

FAMILYFINANCES purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more 4% expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a 1% car or an apartment

Difficult to answer 2%

0% 50% 66 Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 | [email protected] www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls