WHITE PAPER POWER-TO-GAS IN A DECARBONIZED EUROPEAN ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES 2 Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources 3
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4 1. BACKGROUND 6 1.1 Recent developments in decarbonizing Europe’s energy system 6 1.2 The need for flexibility and storage in energy system 7 1.3 Power-to-gas as a promising solution 8
2 POWER-TO-GAS AS A PROMISING MULTI-PURPOSE TOOL 10 2.1 Power-to-gas provides flexibility to the power market 10 2.2 Power-to-gas facilitates long-term energy storage on terawatt scale 11 2.3 Power-to-gas provides sustainable feedstock for chemical and processing industries 12 2.4 Power-to-gas enables the decarbonisation of the mobility sector 13 2.5 Power-to-gas reduces the carbon footprint of the conventional gas supply and optimises infrastructure investments 15
3 THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF POWER-TO-GAS 16 3.1 Value of power-to-gas for balancing services 16 3.2 Value of power-to-gas as energy storage means 17 This White Paper is a product of DNV GL 3.3 Value of power-to-gas for chemical and processing industries 18 3.4 Value of power-to-gas for the transport sector 19 Authors: Paula Schulze (lead author), Johan Holstein, Albert van den Noort and Johan Knijp 4 TECHNICAL DEVELOPMENTS WILL IMPROVE THE BUSINESS Contact details: CASE AND ENABLE EXTENDED OPERATING ENVELOPES 20 [email protected] 4.1 Readiness of the power-to-gas technology 20
Acknowledgements: 4.2 Power-to-gas demonstrations in Europe 21 The content of this document has been developed in collaboration with members of the European Power 4.3 Accelerated developments in the field of electrolyser and methanation technology 22 To Gas Platform. We would like to thank the following people for their contributions: Thomas Young Hwan 4.4 Injection of hydrogen (H ) into gas networks 23 Westring Jensen (Energinet.DK), Carsten Vittrup (Energinet.dk), Christian Copin (GRTgaz), Jonas Klückers 2 (MicrobEnergy), Dominika Klassek and Monika Kaldonek (GAZ systems), Mathieu Zweerts (Fluxys), Eric 4.5 Methanation 24 Tamaske (ONTRAS), Esther Hardi and Jos Blom (Alliander), Stefano Bedogni (EDISON), Jan Kilgallon and Ann Marie Colbert (Gas Networks Ireland), Adriaan de Bakker (Gasunie) and Robert Judd (GERG). 5 BARRIERS 25
6 THE WAY FORWARD 26 4 Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources 5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The pan-European energy system is faced with the ■■It reduces the need to extend and upgrade the enormous challenge of lowering carbon emissions electricity network to transport large amounts from electricity supply to nearly zero by 2050. of locally produced energy to other locations, This goes hand in hand with the need to integrate by making use of capacity in the existing gas massive amounts of renewable energy sources (RES), networks. This energy can be stored longterm.
mainly wind and solar power. The variable nature ■■The produced hydrogen (H2) is a carbon-free of these renewable energy sources makes it fuel and feedstock that can support the increasingly difficult to match electricity decarbonization of the transport sector and production and demand. energy intensive industries. ■■Power-to-gas helps to reduce the carbon intensity Power-to-gas is a compelling concept that of the gas sector thereby ensuring its relevance for converges the existing siloed value chains of the the future energy supply. gas and electricity sector into one energy system able to meet the challenges of a mostly From a technological perspective, power-to-gas is renewables-based energy supply system. It entails ready for commercial exploitation. However, the the conversion of surplus renewable electricity into challenge is to quickly reach an industrial scale that
hydrogen (H2) via electrolysis. As hydrogen (H2) can is economically exploitable. This depends heavily on be re-electrified with high efficiency in fuel cells or the market conditions for the different applications combined cycle gas turbines, the power-to-gas of power-to-gas. For many of the above mentioned concept can be used as a tool for network balancing functionalities of power-to-gas there is currently not and energy storage in a timescale of miliseconds up yet a business case. Significant cost reductions and to and including seasons; however, when comparing efficiency improvements are required to enable its the Levelised Cost of Energy (LCoE), power-to-gas deployment on commercial scale. is more likely to be used for long-term (seasonal) storage applications. From our perspective, the transport sector is key to the commercialization of power-to-gas. If for GL © DNV Next to the provision of flexibility to the power instance the national targets of EU member states
sector, power-to-gas enables optimized for hydrogen (H2) mobility are realized by around
infrastructure investments that are necessary to 2030 and all hydrogen (H2) was to be supplied by integrate large amounts of fluctuating renewables power-to-gas installations, reductions in capital For the commercial deployment of power-to-gas to be successful, close cooperation between all into the energy system. Furthermore, it provides the expenditure (capex) costs for electrolysers will reach stakeholders will be essential. Governments and regulators play an important role in creating a
following functionalities: the required levels to allow for positive business level-playing-field for power-to-gas; among other things, this includes acknowledging (green) hydrogen (H2)
cases in the other types of applications. as a biofuel, a comparable stimulation of hydrogen (H2) mobility to electromobility, and eliminating all end user charges for the converted electricity. The gas and electricity sectors need to coordinate their network development plans with each other and end users need to adapt to the new fuel (blends).
The European Power to Gas Platform facilitates the dialogue between all these stakeholders. We provide them with a forum to gain and exchange knowledge and to explore the conditions under which power-to-gas can be successful, and provide assistance for setting up projects. Our common goal is to realize the energy transition as cost-effectively as possible. 6 Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources Power-to-gas in a decarbonized European energy system based on renewable energy sources 7
1.2 The need for flexibility and storage difficult to keep production and demand in balance. in the energy system As these renewable energy sources have capacity Renewable energy sources are far more dispersed factors of below 50%,4 this requires an overcapacity compared to fossil-based ones. On the one hand leading to periods in which the supply of electricity photovoltaics (PV)-based energy production will exceeds the demand (over various regions). Despite mainly occur in growing quantities in the ‘hair veins’ that, there will still be situations in which the of existing energy distribution systems, e.g. on the electricity generation cannot satisfy the demand. 1. BACKGROUND rooftops of buildings. On the other hand, large-scale This can be solved by applying energy storage to wind power generation, especially offshore, will shift consumption of the harvested energy over time. require increasing energy transmission capacity over long distances. The need for more flexibility in the power system During the 2015 United Nations Climate Change RES that are harvested in lower capacity generation will increase as well as the need for large scale Conference in Paris (COP21), delegates from 198 plants is very challenging. As European member states are investing heavily in (terawatthours) energy storage to cope with the countries adopted the collective aim to limit global renewable generation, with wind and solar being the mismatch between production and demand over warming to well below 2°C. If the 1.5°C target is to 1.1 Recent developments in decarbonizing dominant technologies, it is becoming increasingly longer periods (seasons). be achieved, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions must Europe’s energy system be brought down to zero between 2045 and 2060. Due to lower cost prices and strong governmental If Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology is support, renewable power generation has had Germany had an installed capacity of 44.5GW of wind turbines and 39.3GW of solar power at the end of not applied to achieve this, the combustion of fossil strong growth figures in recent years. In 2015, 2015. The average load profile in Germany fluctuates between 50 and 80GW on a work day and 40 and energy carriers must be completely stopped by that renewables installations accounted for a total of 22.3 60GW during weekends. When both renewable sources produce electricity at full capacity in periods of time and the energy supply must be fully based on gigawatts (GW), which was 77% of all new installed a lower load profile, there is surplus electricity generation. This situation occurred various times in 2015 renewable energy sources (RES). capacity in the EU; the share of renewable energy resulting in 4.7 terawatthours (TWh) of electricity being curtailed (93% wind and solar power). The network sources amounted to 402GW.2 It was the eighth year operators had to pay compensations in total of €315 million (m). This amount is expected to increase in the Already in October 2009, the European Council in a row in which renewables contributed more than coming years as grid extensions do not have the necessary velocity. set itself the target to reduce GHG emissions by 55% of all new installed power capacity in the EU. 80% below 1990 levels. The power sector will need Approximately 239GW can be attributed to wind to contribute higher abatements than other sectors and solar power plants. amounting to approximately 95%.1 The transition towards a decarbonized electricity supply is In the European Commission’s Reference Scenario actuated by the member states; however, such 2016, projections are given for long-term energy, a transformation of a fossil-based, centralized transport and climate trends across the EU. The and predictable electricity supply system to projections for 2050 regarding the electricity a mostly decentralized system based on variable generation from wind and solar total in 662GW; this is an increase by a factor 2.7 compared to 2015.3