Increased Flood Scenarios in San Juan County, WA

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Increased Flood Scenarios in San Juan County, WA Increased Flooding Scenarios in San Juan County, WA Naomy Pérez-Sánchez, Coastal Geomorphologist ESRI Water Conference San Diego, CA – January 30th, 2018 FEMA Regulatory Products Regulatory Products provide accurate flood hazard data to governments, planners, and communities to help with mitigation efforts. They are used as the basis for official requirements, such as determining the flood insurance rating system and constructions standards. Regulatory Products include: • Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) • Digital FIRM Database (DFIRMs) and • Flood Insurance Studies (FISs). FEMA Flood Risk Products Flood Risk Products are supplemental to the Regulatory Products. They help planners, community leaders, local governments and the like get a broader view of flooding problems in the community. Some of these Products are coastal-specific. Flood Risk Products include, but are not limited to: Source: FEMA • Changes Since Last FIRM • Flood Depth Grids • Increased Flooding Scenarios This presentation will focus on describing the Increased Flooding Scenarios (IFS) for San Juan County, Washington. San Juan County, WA Geography • Located in the Salish Sea between the US mainland and BC, Canada. • Archipelago of 8 bigger islands (Stuart, Waldron, Orcas, Blakely, Decatur, Lopez, Shaw, and San Juan) and several smaller islands and keys. • San Juan Islands are mostly characterized by steep shorelines. • Approximately 175 land square miles. • 357 shoreline miles studied. Demographics • 2016 Population: 16,339 (Census, 2016) • 2010-2016 Population percent change: 3.6% increase (Census, 2016) Increased Flooding Scenarios • Estimates hypothetical increases above the Base Flood Elevation (BFE) levels associated to a particular annual-chance event (Coastal- Specific Non-Regulatory Datasets, 2014). • Coastal specific product. • Often the IFS is used to create hypothetical scenarios regarding sea-level rise. Base Flood Elevation Source: FEMA, 2016 Methods Create Coastal 1% Annual-Chance Flood Depth Grid • Convert the SFHA shapefile to a raster using the BFE field as the converting factor. • BFE - Elevation DEM. • Delete negative values from the output DEM. *elevations are displayed in NAVD88. 1% annual chance BFEs Methods Create Increased Flooding Scenario Shapefile Source: Coastal-Specific Non-Regulatory Datasets, 2014 Results Roche Harbor, San Juan Island • ~ 200 ft. from Base Flood to Base Flood +3 Results • 5 buildings affected Roche Harbor, San Juan Island Results Orcas Island Airport, Orcas Island Results • ~ 500 ft. from Base Flood to Base Flood +3 • 15 buildings affected Orcas Island Airport, Orcas Island Results Mackaye Harbor, Lopez Island Results • ~ 300 ft. from Base Flood to Base Flood +3 Mackaye Harbor, Lopez Island • 9 buildings affected Results Lime Kiln State Park, San Juan Island Discussion • Improves flood risk awareness. • Because of the county’s steep nature, horizontal flooding will likely not affect people living on cliffs or higher/steeper areas. • Flatter areas are prone to greater horizontal flooding. • Values from dedicated sea-level rise studies can be used for more precise results . • Government, planners, and communities should not rely solely on this tool, but it can be used to assess mitigation actions (buy outs versus elevating structures on piers versus shoreline protection). Limitations • It may not necessarily take into consideration non-linear factors like the terrain morphology, shoreline change, coastal structures, among other. Thank you! Naomy Pérez-Sánchez Coastal Geomorphologist, Atkins Austin, TX 1.512.342.3365 [email protected].
Recommended publications
  • San Juan Islands Flotilla
    Join Our 2018 SAN JUAN ISLANDS FLOTILLA Ranked as one of the top 10 island groups in the U.S., people flock from all over the globe to experience the San Juan Island’s natural beauty, historic intrigue, and wildlife. Our exclusive guided flotilla takes you around the San Juan Islands’ 172 islands—many of which are completely secluded and only accessible by private boat. Lounge on your yacht’s open-air deck with an evening cocktail, make a stop at Sucia Island for an exhilarating hike, eat fresh crab at Roche Harbor, and spot Orcas, bald eagles, and more off the shores of Orcas Island. There’s no better way to experience the San Juan Islands than our flotilla—reserve your spot today. Of all the charter companies we have dealt with, these guys were head and shoulder above anyone we have ever dealt with. I highly recommend them if you ever consider a bareboat in the Pacific Northwest. —Mark, 2016 San Juan Islands Flotilla Passenger Reserve your spot today: contact [email protected] or (360) 676-1248. Your Itinerary: JOIN US FROM JUNE 22-29, 2018 Day 1: Pre-board, reception, and orientation. Get to know your fellow flotilla mates. Day 2 Stuart Island, WA: The remote Stuart Island is a favorite among local boaters for its seclusion (the island doesn’t even have public electricity!). Hike to Turn Point Lighthouse and check out the Stuart Island school—a historic, one-room schoolhouse, reopened in 2008. Day 2 & 3 Victoria, BC: Enjoy high tea at the majestic Empress Hotel, see the classic architecture of the Parliament buildings, and take in Victoria’s many sights, including Butchart Gardens, the British Columbia Museum, art galleries, seafood restaurants, and more.
    [Show full text]
  • Top Reasons for Art Lovers to Visit the San Juan Islands
    Top Reasons for Art Lovers to Visit the San Juan Islands SMALL MUSEUM, IMPORTANT EXHIBITS performing arts in HD. The Orcas Center is a hub of Orcas San Juan Islands Museum of Art offers rotating exhibits of Island’s theatre and cultural community and hosts dozens of both local and international artists. Past exhibits include the productions each year, including plays, dance productions, live works of Ansel Adams, Imogen Cunningham, Ai Weiwei, opera and theatre in HD, and more. William Morris, Francisco Goya and more. Housed in a sleek building of modern glass and steel design, SJIMA has three ART IN OUR PARKS galleries and a classroom for lectures and atelier workshops. From dawn to dusk every day, the San Juan Islands Sculpture Gaze in through the soaring glass windows to the dedicated Park—one of the world’s largest outdoor sculpture parks— installation space, then enter the smaller galleries for an charms visitors with its 20 acres of outdoor art. With over intimate experience. 125 rotating creations from world-renowned sculptors, five marked trails for wandering and a serene pond, it’s the perfect MANY ARTISTS, ONE ROOF place for a long stroll while visiting nearby Roche Harbor Orcas Island Artworks began with a handful of artists in Resort. At the Port of Friday Harbor, renowned native Coast 1981 in the hamlet of Olga in a remodeled 1938 strawberry Salish artist, Susan A. Point’s monumental house posts sculp- barreling plant. Now 45 artists strong, the co-op is also home ture, Interaction, invites viewers to sit at the base of one of the to The Catkin Café, while the James Hardman Gallery is open posts to become part of the artwork.
    [Show full text]
  • San Juan Islands Visitor Study
    San Juan Islands Visitor Study Doug Whittaker, Bo Shelby, and Dan Shelby Confluence Research and Consulting for Terrestrial Managers Group June 2018 San Juan Islands Visitor Study Prepared by Doug Whittaker, Bo Shelby, and Dan Shelby Confluence Research and Consulting for San Juan County Parks, Recreation, and Fair Land Bank and San Juan Island National Historical Park National Park Service in cooperation with the San Juan Islands Terrestrial Managers Group Funded by San Juan County and National Park Service June 2018 Table of contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 1 Study process ............................................................................................................................................ 2 Organization of this document ............................................................................................................. 2 Methods Summary ........................................................................................................................................ 3 Visitation analysis...................................................................................................................................... 3 Counts and observations .......................................................................................................................... 4 Accommodation inventory ......................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • 1400 Rosario Road | Orcas Island, WA
    1400 Rosario Road | Orcas Island, WA presented by SCOTT CAMERON WES FALKENBORG Co-Founding Principal Co-Founding Principal 11400 SE 8th Street, Suite 205 11400 SE 8th Street, Suite 205 Bellevue, WA 98004 Bellevue, WA 98004 425.445.0887 425.761.6489 [email protected] [email protected] NATE WARD MATHIS JESSEN Broker Broker 11400 SE 8th Street, Suite 205 11400 SE 8th Street, Suite 205 Bellevue, WA 98004 Bellevue, WA 98004 206.739.2004 206.963.6896 [email protected] [email protected] 2 As the world has spun upon its axis this past year, we have longed to find a deeper peace…a deeper The Vision sense of well-being and joy, a reconnection in nature. Where getting away means coming together. Few places in the world capture the majesty of Washington State’s San Juan Islands...where time has stood still for almost a century…where on a stunning bay sits an iconic destination renowned for its history, charm and the natural beauty of the Orcas Island shoreline. Welcome to Rosario… 3 “A wonderful place in which to forget one’s troubles and worries and get back to nature in her happiest moods.” – Robert Moran, Creator and Founder 4 A 73.8-acre expanse, The Rosario Resort offering includes the historic Moran Mansion, the The Opportunity Point Lawn, the Round House, the Cliff House, the Resort core, Cascade Bay & Grill, the Beach House event venue, Moran B the marina and harbor, Hillside condominiums and assorted support buildings. Create a destination getaway in a tight Pacific Northwest market starved for The future of Rosario is presented in the Rosario Resort Master Plan (RMP), a comprehensive vacation and second homes.
    [Show full text]
  • A Functional Analysis of Recorded Pre-Contact Archaeological Sites on Lopez Island, Washington
    Central Washington University ScholarWorks@CWU All Master's Theses Master's Theses Winter 2020 A Functional Analysis of Recorded Pre-Contact Archaeological Sites on Lopez Island, Washington Julia Kunas Central Washington University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/etd Part of the Archaeological Anthropology Commons Recommended Citation Kunas, Julia, "A Functional Analysis of Recorded Pre-Contact Archaeological Sites on Lopez Island, Washington" (2020). All Master's Theses. 1343. https://digitalcommons.cwu.edu/etd/1343 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Master's Theses at ScholarWorks@CWU. It has been accepted for inclusion in All Master's Theses by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@CWU. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A FUNCTIONAL ANALYSIS OF RECORDED PRE-CONTACT ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES ON LOPEZ ISLAND, WASHINGTON ____________________________________ A Thesis Presented to The Graduate Faculty Central Washington University _____________________________________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Science Resource Management _____________________________________ by Julia Kunas December 2019 CENTRAL WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY Graduate Studies We hereby approve the thesis of Julia Kunas Candidate for the degree of Master of Science APPROVED FOR THE GRADUATE FACULTY ______________ _________________________________________ Dr. Patrick T. McCutcheon, Committee Chair ______________ _________________________________________
    [Show full text]
  • Fire Chief $100000
    Lopez Island, Washington FIRE CHIEF $100,000 - $120,000 Plus Excellent Benefits Apply by September 27, 2020 (First Review, Open Until Filled) LOPEZ ISLAND FIRE & EMS , WASHIGTON ♦ F I R E C H I E F WHY APPLY? Located in the northwest corner of Washington State on Lopez Island, the third largest of the San Juan Is- lands, the San Juan County Fire District #4 (Lopez Island Fire & EMS) is a scenic ferry ride from the main- land. The San Juan Islands enjoys more sunshine throughout the year and about half the rainfall of Seattle, thanks to the rain shadow effect of the Olympic Mountains. The islands are one of the best places in the world to see orca whales, and are an outdoor enthusiast’s dream for fishing, crabbing, and shrimping. Many citizens yearning for the slower, rural pace of life make the islands their home. Lopez Island Fire & EMS offers a re- warding and challenging opportunity for an experi- Principal economic activities for the region are enced fire professional. If you are interested in tourism, construction, and agriculture, with much making a difference in a welcoming, friendly and of the commercial activity taking place in Lopez laid-back community that takes pride in its natural Village on Lopez Island, Eastsound on Orcas Is- beauty and peaceful daily life, this is the position land, and the Town of Friday Harbor on San Juan for you! Island. Several hamlets and a few resorts also provide goods and services. Sprinkled throughout the islands are a variety of specialty retail shops THE COMMUNITY and boutiques, a remarkable variety of restau- As a part of San Juan County, the smallest of rants, outdoor and marine centers, art galleries Washington’s 39 counties, the regions islands and studios, farmers markets, and historical sites cover approximately 175 square miles of land area and museums.
    [Show full text]
  • Lime Kiln Point State Park (San Juan Island)
    Ranald MacDonald’s Grave Your guide to state parks in the Auto-accessible parks Auto-accessible parks Lime Kiln Point State Park Moran State Park Spencer Spit State Park Obstruction Pass State Park Welcome (San Juan Island) (Orcas Island) (Lopez Island) (Orcas Island) San Juan The San Juan archipelago north of Puget At Lime Kiln Point State Park, the loud neighbors Pass through the welcome arch at Moran State Spencer Spit on Lopez Island provides dramatic Obstruction Pass State Park is one of the few Sound is like no other place on earth. The cluster gear up for a party that runs from spring into Park, and time begins to slow. You’ll find yourself views of Decatur and Blakely islands and Mount public beaches on famed Orcas Island. of 400 islands and rocks in the Salish Sea is a fall. Those would be the spouting Orcas, fin- in a Northwest island frame of mind, free to relax, Constitution on Orcas Island, and it features a Though most people flock to its bigger world unto itself. It is a world where people are slapping gray whales, barking sea lions and breathe and head into the vast, varied terrain. rare sand spit enclosed by a salt-chuck lagoon. neighbor, Moran State Park, this property’s friendly and hearty, where the land smells like splashing porpoises. Hike, cycle or drive to the summit of Mount The effect is a driftwood-scattered beach on quiet beauty is unsurpassed. Clear waters lap at the sea, and wind, art and history are celebrated. Constitution for expansive views of the San Juan one side of the spit and a spongy marsh on the pebbly beaches, and madrone trees cling to Obstruction Pass Islands For island dwellers and visitors, the pace of life other.
    [Show full text]
  • San Juan Islands
    San Juan Islands Forestry Products and Business Directory 2013 PUBLISHED BY THE NORTHWEST NATURAL RESOURCE GROUP photo © Matt Freeman-Gleason This directory is intended as a resource for individuals, landowners, forestry workers, and county officials who want to learn more about island wood products and the local businesses that are utilizing our unique forest resources. The San Juan islands are seeing a renewed interest in growing, harvesting, and building with local trees. The businesses in this directory offer a viable alternative to mainland wood products for all types of projects. Our thin soils and scant rain mean slower growing trees with tight clear grain, perfect for trim, flooring, and furniture. Many local houses, barns, and sheds are clad in rough sawn local boards often from the land where the building sits. The architects and builders in this directory have created buildings entirely from local timber with beautiful results. Historically the islands had a booming timber indus- try as the forests were cleared for farm land and our harbors made easy access to barge the logs to mill. As the resources were exhausted the economy shifted and it’s only in recent years that the forests have regrown sufficiently to offer high quality timber at economically viable scales. The growing number of businesses that deal in local wood are part of a larger ethic of forest stewardship that sees the island’s forests not only as a resource, but as a vital part of our overall community health. Safeguarding these forests while sustainably managing and harvesting from them is offering new opportunities for the island economy.
    [Show full text]
  • Orcas Island Visitor Guide and Map
    ORCASORCAS ISLANDISLAND of the San Ju “Gem ans” 2016 Visitor Guide & Business Directory Courtesy of Orcas Island Chamber of Commerce www.OrcasIslandChamber.com Welcome to Orcas Island … truly the “Gem of the San Juan Islands.” Located between the Washington mainland and Vancouver Island, Orcas is considered by many to be the most beautiful of the San Juan Islands. Rural in nature, the ORCAS island features a variety ISLAND of lodging possibilities, from charming Bed & Breakfasts to Inns & Resorts. Shopping and activities on Orcas are nearly endless.Whether you’re looking for art galleries featuring Northwest artists or a hike in the 5200-acre Moran State Park, Orcas provides you with a variety of year- round activities. The island – noted by locals as looking like an upside-down horseshoe – is geographically divided into several charming ‘hamlets.’ Orcas Village is the arrival point for the Washington State ferry. Here you’ll find gift shops, a grocery store, a post office, lodging, restaurants and outdoor activities. West Sound features a marina, lodging possibilities, a restaurant, and a community center. Deer Harbor is the farthest point West on Orcas, and offers full marina services, various lodging choices, a restaurant, and water activities. Eastsound is the town center on Orcas, and extends beyond the village core. Eastsound proper is largely a walking village, offering shops of all kinds, many accommodation choices, a variety of restaurants, and many family & visitor activities. To the Southwest is Crow Valley, home to lodging, a museum, and the golf course. West Beach is due west from Eastsound and offers shops, lodging, and YMCA Camp Orkila.
    [Show full text]
  • About Lopez Island About the Location
    ABOUT LOPEZ ISLAND THE ISLAND: FRIENDLY, INTELLECTUAL, COMMUNITY-ORIENTED & PRIVATE > Library: 2003 NYT librarian of the year Aimee Hirschel; highest per capita use in WA All- Star designation by the Library Journal for 6 years in a row, one of only 3 Washington Libraries in 2015 – others are Seattle Public and King County Public. > Community owns recycling center: received the WSRA 2015 Recycler of the Year Award > Sought after artisans in cabinet work (Laura Adams) & metal fabrication (Craig Winslow) > Handful of high-quality, unassuming restaurants > Farmers market & community ties to local food sources - A leader in the local foods and sustainable farming fields; nation’s first USDA approved mobile meat processing unit. > Calm & readily available ferry, boat or seaplane access ABOUT THE LOCATION > 10 minutes from ferry terminal > Views across San Juan Channel to San Juan Island & lights of Victoria behind it. > Protected views across San Juan Channel to lighthouse at Cattle Point & San Juan Islands National Monument (2013), Strait of Juan de Fuca and Olympic Mountains > Shark Reef & water views change with the tides > Unique view & protection offered by cove > Southern light > Orca activity > Sailboats, cabin cruisers, cruise ships > Bald eagle perch plus other birds and wildlife > Sunsets year-round > 1/3 mile of carefully planned, wide trails through private forest; gated by boulders > Large boulders discovered on-site & repositioned with purpose > Geothermal field under lawn > Downspouts and foundation drains tight-lined to pond > RV site; power & septic hook up > Ravine separates neighbor to north; trees added to further shield property to south INTERIOR FEATURES LIST 1224 Shark Reef RD | Lopez Island THROUGH-OUT THE HOME Radiant heat Axes of light Natural air conditioning with lower-to-upper inset screens on Marvin, aluminum clad wood, easily washable windows, with retractable screens.
    [Show full text]
  • Orcas Island to Lopez Island Ferry Schedule
    Orcas Island To Lopez Island Ferry Schedule Expectorant Osbourn sometimes mosh his curfew backhanded and gorgonises so redolently! Premandibular Alphonse phonating some involutions and decipher his farceuses so homoeopathically! Freeman cudgels her guarder repulsively, she lumber it swingingly. This ferry your most guests or lopez ferry to take the island terminal in the houston transtar website Touring Hot Springs Washington and Oregon A Guide brought the. San Juan Islands Ferry Orcas Island & Friday Harbor Ferries. From Anacortes you have to slight a Washington State Ferry to block of working four ferry terminals in the San Juan Islands Lopez Orcas San Juan. San Juan Islands Ferry ScheduleComCurrent WSF Schedule. Ferry Info How to Get last the San Juan Islands. Services We Provide Woodmen Hall. Orcas Island Visitors Information Northwest Island Escapes. Sell out for fowlers way to travel with apple books or decrease your drive to set your blog posts on foot passengers should allow the island orcas? Ferry Tips and Tricks The Cottages at Orcas Landing. San Juan Islands most popular tourist attraction Mount Constitution in Moran. Friday Harbor Lopez Island ferry Schedule RideSchedules. Seattle Spokane Puget Sound the San Juan Islands and shape other places in town state. TownsendCoupeville AnacortesSan Juan Islands Friday Harbor Orcas. In different car & driver fare to SJI is 60 OI 51 Lopez 42. The park know about as half hour drive go the Orcas Island ferry terminal. WSF Schedule tribe the Anacortes to San Juan Islands to Sydney BC route to sharp current. Is separate line ANACORTES ORCAS ISLAND to schedule affected by COVID-19 restrictions All ferry.
    [Show full text]
  • 2019–2020 Visitor Guide & Business Directory
    MAPS ORCAS The Gem of the San Juans 2019–2020 VISITOR GUIDE & BUSINESS DIRECTORY Courtesy of Orcas Island Chamber of Commerce OrcasIslandChamber.com • 360-376-2273 Welcome to Orcas Island – truly the “Gem of the San Juan Islands.” Located between the Washington mainland and Vancouver Island, Orcas is considered by many to be the most beautiful of the San Juan Islands. Rural in nature, the ORCAS island features a variety ISLAND of lodging possibilities, from charming Bed & Breakfasts to Inns & Resorts. Shopping and activities on Orcas are nearly endless. Whether you’re looking for art galleries featuring Northwest artists or a hike in the 5200-acre Moran State Park, Orcas provides you with a variety of year- round activities. The island – noted by locals as looking like an upside-down horseshoe – is geographically divided into several charming ‘hamlets.’ Orcas Village is the arrival point for the Washington State ferry. Here you’ll find gift shops, a grocery store, a post office, lodging, restaurants and outdoor activities. West Sound features a marina, lodging possibilities, and a community center. Deer Harbor is the farthest point West on Orcas, and offers full marina services, various lodging choices, a restaurant, and water activities. Eastsound is the town center on Orcas, and extends beyond the village core. Eastsound proper is largely a walking village, offering shops of all kinds, many accommodation choices, a variety of restaurants, and many family & visitor activities. To the Southwest is Crow Valley, home to lodging, a museum, and the golf course. West Beach is due west from Eastsound and offers shops, lodging, and YMCA Camp Orkila.
    [Show full text]