Author Manuscript Published OnlineFirst on April 28, 2015; DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 Author manuscripts have been peer reviewed and accepted for publication but have not yet been edited.

Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Gene expression signatures predictive of bevacizumab/erlotinib therapeutic benefit in advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung patients (SAKK 19/05 trial)

Anca Franzini1, Florent Baty1, Ina I. Macovei2, Oliver Dürr3, Cornelia Droege4, Daniel Betticher5, Bogdan D. Griogriu2, Dirk Klingbiel6, Francesco Zappa7, and Martin H. Brutsche1

1 Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland

2 Department of Pulmonary Diseases, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi, Romania

3 Institute of Data Analysis and Process Design, Zürich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur, Switzerland

4 Männedorf Hospital, Männedorf, Switzerland

5 Cantonal Hospital Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland

6 Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK) Coordinating Center, Bern, Switzerland

7 Department of Medical Oncology, Clinica Luganese, Lugano, Switzerland

Corresponding author: Martin H. Brustche, Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, 95 Rorschacher Strasse, 9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland. Phone: 004171-494-1004; Fax: 004171-494-6118; E-mail: [email protected]

Grant Support

Swiss Cancer League & Swiss Cancer Center (KLS-2880-02-2012): Martin H Brutsche,

KSSG Medical Research Center (MFZF_2014_001): Anca Franzini,

Romanian–Swiss Research Program (IZERZO_142235/1): Ina I. Macovei.

Abstract

Purpose: We aimed to identify gene expression signatures associated with angiogenesis and hypoxia pathways with predictive value for treatment response to bevacizumab/erlotinib (BE) of non- squamous advanced NSCLC patients.

Experimental design: Whole genome gene expression profiling was performed on 42 biopsy samples (from SAKK 19/05 trial) using Affymetrix exon arrays, and associations with the following endpoints: time-to-progression (TTP) under therapy, tumor-shrinkage (TS), and overall survival (OS) were investigated. Next, we performed gene set enrichment analyses using associated with the angiogenic process and hypoxia response to evaluate their predictive value for patients’ outcome.

Results: Our analysis revealed that both the angiogenic and hypoxia response signatures were enriched within the genes predictive of BE response, TS and OS. Higher gene expression levels (GELs) of the 10-gene angiogenesis-associated signature and lower levels of the 10-gene hypoxia response signature predicted improved TTP under BE, 7.1 months vs. 2.1 months for low vs. high-risk patients (P = 0.005), and median TTP 6.9 months vs. 2.9 months (P = 0.016), respectively. The hypoxia

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

response signature associated with higher TS at 12 weeks and improved OS (17.8 months vs. 9.9 months for low vs. high risk patients, P = 0.001).

Conclusions: We were able to identify gene expression signatures derived from the angiogenesis and hypoxia response pathways with predictive value for clinical outcome in advanced non-squamous NSCLC patients. This could lead to the identification of clinically relevant biomarkers, which will allow for selecting the subset of patients who benefit from the treatment and predict drug response.

STATEMENT OF TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE

Clinical outcome of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) could be improved by molecular stratification of patients. Antiangiogenic therapy is approved for treatment of advanced , however because only a subset of patients treated with angiogenesis inhibitors show objective clinical response, there is an increased need for predictive biomarkers. We identified 10-gene signatures associated with angiogenesis and hypoxia-response pathways, which have predictive value for response to combined anti-VEGF/anti-EGFR in non- squamous advanced NSCLC. Subclassification of the patients using these signatures indicated that patients most likely to respond (low-risk) showed higher levels of angiogenesis associated genes mainly involved in maintaining the vascular barrier integrity and lower levels of hypoxia-response genes. Moreover, they showed increased percentile tumor shrinkage and improved overall survival. The inverse trend was observed for the high-risk patients. These findings open the possibility for clinical use of these signatures as predictive biomarkers for identifying patients who would benefit from antiangiogenic therapies.

Introduction

Solid tumor cells in their primary goal to avoid senescence and achieve uncontrolled

proliferation co-opt neighboring stromal cells to assist them with the expansion of the

malignant tissue.1, 2 These tumor-associated stromal components have been demonstrated

to have an important role in tumor growth, disease progression3 as well as in response and

resistance to therapeutic agents.4, 5 Moreover, tumors are strongly dependent on

angiogenesis, the formation of neovessels from the preexisting vasculature, to obtain the

nutrients and oxygen essential for their rapid growth.6 Consequently, antiangiogenic

therapeutic strategies were extensively exploited in the last decade in search for more

efficient cancer treatments.7

2

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Though multiple therapeutic strategies have been developed against vascular endothelial

growth factor (VEGF),8 bevacizumab,9 a monoclonal antibody targeting VEGFA, is the first

approved antiangiogenic drug for clinical use. Bevacizumab is mostly used in combination

with standard chemotherapy for treatment of metastatic cancers,10-12 and as single agent in

recurrent glioblastoma.13 However, survival benefits are observed only in a subset of

patients, as a significant number of patients show only modest response presumably

because of intrinsic or rapidly acquired resistance to antiangiogenic therapy.14 One proposed

mechanism of resistance to antiangiogenic agents is the onset of hypoxia within the tumor

as a result of vessel regression during the course of antiangiogenic therapy.15, 16 Moreover,

effective inhibition of neovascularization using antiangiogenic therapy was shown in some

cases to change the phenotype of tumors by increasing their invasion and metastatic

potential.17 Additionally, significant rates of adverse effects were reported for patients

receiving anti-VEGF therapy, as well as a mortality rate of 1%, which was a direct

consequence of bevacizumab administration.18, 19 Thus, understanding all cascades of

vascular signaling involved in the response to antiangiogenic therapy and subsequent

resistance is critical to achieve full potential of this therapeutic approach.

Despite these obvious limitations of antiangiogenic therapy, because a subset of cancer

patients treated with angiogenesis inhibitors show objective clinical response, there is an

increased need to identify robust predictive biomarkers,20 which could allow for selecting

the subgroup of patients who would benefit from the treatment.

In a recent study, aimed at identifying novel biomarkers for response to combined anti-

VEGFA/anti-EGFR (epidermal growth factor receptor) therapy in non-squamous NSCLC by

exploring gene expression at exon-level, we identified EGFR exon 18 as a predictive marker

3

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

for patients with metastatic non-squamous NSCLC who have received no previous therapy.21

The gene expression profiles obtained from this set of microarray data are derived, however,

from highly heterogeneous clinical biopsies consisting of both tumor and activated stromal

cells. In a previous study, Baty et al. revealed that prediction of survival was independent of

tumor cell content present in each NSCLC biopsy.22 This suggests a strong predictive

contribution from the tumor microenvironment compartments in NSCLC. Additionally,

recent studies have demonstrated that tumor microenvironment can provide independent

and reliable predictors of clinical outcome.23 A key constituent of the tumor

microenvironment is the blood vasculature, which undergoes angiogenesis to sustain the

high proliferative rate of the tumor, and is the direct target of antiangiogenic therapies.

Because there is a high degree of cross-talk between epidermal growth factor receptor

EGF(R) and VEGF(R) pathways, they have been identified as potentially synergistic for dual

targeting.24 EGFR pathway is involved in growth factor–induced angiogenesis,

transcriptionally up-regulating VEGF expression.25 Additionally, multiple studies

demonstrated that hypoxia can trigger the angiogenic switch in solid tumors.26 Therefore,

we aimed to investigate whether angiogenesis and hypoxia-associated gene expression

signatures could predict the combined anti-VEGF/anti-EGFR treatment response in advanced

non-squamous therapy naїve NSCLC patients unselected for EGFR mutation status. Our

analysis identified 10-gene angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-response signatures

predictive of therapeutic response to bevacizumab/erlotinib (BE) having time-to-progression

(TTP) and tumor shrinkage (TS) as endpoints. We also identified for 10-gene signatures with

prognostic value. These signatures hold great potential for clinical application allowing for

identification of biomarkers, which can identify the patients most likely/ less likely to

respond to targeted therapy.

4

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Methods

Study design. Our study is based on clinical bronchoscopic biopsies available from 42

patients for which genome-wide gene expression was studied in a microarray platform.

These patients (88% adenocarcinoma, 57% female, 31% never smoker) were enrolled in the

Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK) 19/05 phase II trial.27 Identification of

predictive gene-expression signatures from RNA gene expression analysis was a predefined

goal of this trial. The detailed clinical information of these patients was published

previously.21 For these patients with stage IIIB or IV (93%) non-squamous NSCLC, BE was

used as first-line therapy (independent of the EGFR mutation status) followed by standard

platinum-based/gemcitabine chemotherapy (CT) after disease progression, (Figure 1). Time

to disease progression and percentage tumor shrinkage at 12 weeks (assessed by CT scans)

were defined according to RECIST criteria. To confirm that there was no sample selection

bias for the 42 patients included in our study, we performed statistical analysis and found no

significant differences between the study group and the patients with no available biopsies.

The results are summarized in Supplementary Table 1.

Gene expression analysis

Total RNA from 42 bronchoscopic biopsy samples were extracted using miRNeasy Mini Kit

(Qiagen) according to the manufacturer's recommendations. Affymetrix Human Exon 1.0 ST

arrays (Affymetrix, Santa Clara, CA, USA) were used for mRNA hybridization. The gene level

probesets were preprocessed, quality-checked and normalized using the Robust Multi-array

28 Average (RMA) procedure. Data were expressed as log2 ratio of fluorescence intensities of

5

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

the sample and the reference, for each element of the array. Additional experimental details

for this section were previously reported by us.21

Statistical analysis of gene expression.

Survival and time-to-event analysis were performed by applying univariate Cox proportional

hazards regression and principal component analysis (metagene approach) according to a

previously described method.29 We built a binary score (low/high risk) using the median of

the metagene scores. The classification accuracy of our algorithm was assessed by leave-

one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). Time-to-event and survival results were displayed using

Kaplan-Meier curves, and log-rank tests are reported. Hierarchical cluster analysis was

carried out using the Euclidean distance together with the complete linkage agglomerative

method. The median follow up time was estimated using the reverse Kaplan-Meier method.

All statistical tests were performed using the R statistical software version 3.1.0

(http://www.R-project.org). A P value of 0.05 was set as threshold for significance for all

study outcomes.

Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). We performed enrichment analysis using GSEA v2.1.0

software (http://www.broad.mit.edu/gsea) and GSEA-preranked function.30 The gene lists

were ranked by using as metric –log10(P) resulted from the Cox-regression analysis for all

endpoints.

Quantitative real-time PCR analysis. Forty samples of RNA isolated from non-squamous

NSCLC biopsies and previously analyzed by microarrays were available for reverse

transcription (RT). RT was performed using QuanTiect® Reverse Transcription Kit from

6

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Qiagen starting from 10 ng RNA for each qPCR reaction. The quantity and integrity of RNAs

were assessed using an UVS-99 micro-volume spectrophotometer (ACTGene). For this study

we investigated the expression levels of nine angiogenesis-associated predictive genes. For

RT-qPCR experiments we used predesigned optimized primer sets (annealing temperature

55 °C) for GPR116, EMCN, ITGA9, GNG11, KDR, PECAM1, S1PR1, JAM2 and RHOJ (QuantiTect

Primer Assay, Qiagen). For sequences please refer to the Supplementary Table 2.

All samples were processed in duplicate for the qPCR with the LightCycler®480 SYBR Green I

Master in a 20 µL reaction volume containing 4 µL water, 1 µL PCR primer, 10 µL Master mix

and 5 µL cDNA (10 ng). Quantitative real-time PCR experiments were performed on a

LightCycler® 480 II instrument using the initial denaturation at 95 °C for 10 minutes followed

by 45 cycles: 95 °C for 10 sec, 55 °C for 20 sec, 72 °C for 20 sec. Controls containing no

reverse transcriptase were included for each sample. The mRNA expression levels were

calculated relative to HPRT1 house-keeping gene and the relative quantification of the gene

expression was performed using 2─ΔCp method.31 The correlation between the RT-qPCR gene

expression levels (GELs) and microarray GELs was measured by means of Spearman's

correlation coefficient.

Results

10-gene angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-response signatures predict response to BE

therapy. We hypothesized that the genes which could associate with the response to BE

therapy are genes involved in angiogenic signaling pathways. To investigate this, we

performed GSEA30 using a core gene signature (43 genes) specific for angiogenesis

transcriptional program predefined by integrative meta-analysis of the expression profiles of

over 1,000 primary human cancers.32

7

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

GSEA revealed a significant enrichment of the angiogenesis-associated genes within the

genes that associate with TTP under BE therapy endpoint (mean rank = 4246, P=0.004,

Figure 2A). As VEGF expression is directly activated under hypoxic conditions by the

transcription factor hypoxia inducible factor 1 alpha (HIF1α), we decided to additionally

investigate hypoxia-response genes by GSEA. For this analysis we used a previously derived

common hypoxia metagene (51 genes) across cancer types.33 Within the genes which

associate with TTP under BE therapy, we identified by GSEA a significant enrichment of the

hypoxia-response genes (mean rank = 4798, P = 0.001, Figure 2B). The top 12-ranked

angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-response genes, which significantly correlate with TTP

under BE therapy are given in Figure 2C and 2D.

We then applied unsupervised hierarchical clustering to the top 10-ranked

angiogenesis-associated genes to investigate whether there are gene expression patterns

correlating with the BE treatment response. The clustering output for the angiogenesis-

associated signature is displayed in Figure 3A. We identified three distinct gene clusters:

Cluster A1 (low risk, 9 patients, 21 %) was characterized by an increased expression of the

angiogenesis-associated signature and associated with improved TTP under BE 7.1 months,

95% confidence interval (95% CI): 4.0 ─ ∞; Cluster A2 (high risk, 12 patients, 29 %) was

characterized by a decreased expression of the angiogenesis-associated gene signature and

associated with reduced response to BE treatment with a mean TTP under BE of 2.1 months

(95% CI: 1.4 ─ ∞). The patients within the third cluster A3 (medium risk, 21 patients, 50 %)

showed intermediate angiogenesis-associated GELs and a median TTP under BE of 4.1

months (95%CI: 3.1 ─ 7). The Kaplan-Meier TTP curves are shown in Figure 3C. GELs for the

top 10-ranked angiogenesis-associated genes for patients included in each cluster are given

in Supplementary Figure 1.

8

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Hierarchical clustering showing the variability of gene expression of hypoxia-response top

10-ranked genes is given in Figure 3B. For this signature, we identified two significant

clusters: Cluster H1 (18 patients, 43 %) with lower hypoxia-response GELs and Cluster H2 (24

patients, 57 %) with hypoxia-response higher GELs (Supplementary Figure 2).

Dichotomization of the patients into low-risk (Cluster H1) and high-risk (Cluster H2),

subgroups based on the gene expression levels of the hypoxia-response signature revealed a

marked difference in TTP under BE between the two groups (Figure 3D). We obtained a

median TTP for the high-risk patients of 2.9 months (95%CI: 1.8 ─ 4.1) and of 6.9 months

(95% CI: 4.0 ─ 9.7) for the low-risk patients.

Hypoxia-response gene signature predictive of tumor shrinkage after BE treatment in non-squamous NSCLC patients.

An additional secondary endpoint of interest was tumor shrinkage (TS) measured at 12

weeks after BE treatment, which indicates clinically relevant direct anti-tumor activity.

Because of lack of measurements at 12 weeks, 14 patients had to be excluded from this

analysis. We analyzed the genes correlating with TS in our patients using GSEA using both

the angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-response gene signatures (Figure 4A and B). Both

gene signatures where significantly enriched in the gene set correlating with TS (mean rank =

5104, P = 0.002 and mean rank = 7795, P = 0.038, respectively). The resulting top 12-ranked

genes for both signatures are given in Figure 4C and D. Further, we classified the patients

based on the metagene score calculated for the top 10-ranked genes for each gene

signature. For the angiogenesis-associated signature, the resulting two patients groups (low-

risk and high-risk) showed a non-significantly different median TS, 13.7 % interquartile range

(IRQ): -0.8 ─ 26.2 vs. 0 %, IQR: -3.2 ─ 16.4, P = 0.755. In contrast, when dichotomization was

9

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

performed using the 10-gene hypoxia-response signature, the low-risk patients had a

significantly higher median TS than the high-risk patients (16.1 %, IRQ: 0 ─ 26.2 vs. -0.4 %,

IRQ: -2.5 ─ 2.6, P = 0.013), indicating a higher potential for assessing treatment response

using this signature. A heat map showing the gene expression levels of the top 10-ranked

hypoxia response genes predictive of tumor shrinkage is given in Supplementary Figure 3.

Angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-response gene signatures have prognostic value for

non-squamous NSCLC patients. Lastly, we analyzed the prognostic value of both

angiogenesis and hypoxia gene signatures by investigating the genes correlating with the

overall survival (OS). The median follow-up time was 24.9 months (95% CI, 23.9 - ∞). The

results of the GSEA for OS are given in Figure 5A and 5B, and the derived top 12-ranked

genes are given in Figure 5C and 5D, respectively.

Both gene signatures where significantly enriched in the gene set correlating with OS (mean

rank = 5064, P = 0.031 and mean rank = 4555, P = 0.001, respectively). Using the top

10-ranked genes for both signatures to dichotomize the patients in low-risk (longer OS) and

high-risk (shorter OS) revealed marked differences in OS. Figures 5E and 5F show the Kaplan-

Meier OS curves for both gene signatures used. Using the angiogenesis-associated gene

signature led to a median OS for the high-risk patients of 10.6 months [95%CI, 5.2 ─ 19.4]

and for the low-risk patients of 14.1 months [95% CI, 10.5 ─ ∞], P = 0.035. The hypoxia-

response gene signature showed a higher prognostic value (P = 0.001) resulting in a median

OS for the high-risk patients of 9.9 months [95% CI 4.8 ─ 13.4] and 17.8 months [95% CI 16.6

─ ∞] for the low-risk patients. A heat map displaying the gene expression levels of the top

10

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

10-ranked hypoxia response genes significantly associated with OS is given in Supplementary

Figure 4.

Validation of microarray gene expression levels (GELs) by RT-qPCR. RT-qPCR was used to

assess the GELs that were established by microarray analysis. RT-qPCR was performed on 40

out of 42 RNA samples and for nine genes, plus three control genes. The Spearman’s rank

correlation coefficients (r) were between 0.51─0.71. The correlation was significant for each

gene. We obtained P values for these associations of < 0.0008, demonstrating good

agreement between the two complementary methods in quantifying the gene expression

levels (Figure 6). This outcome indicates a statistically significant correlation between the

microarray GELs and GELs assessed by RT-qPCR, which is a more convenient and less

expensive technique for routine application in a clinical setting. These results are in

agreement with the expected level of correlation considering the fact that there is no

designed sequence overlap between the qPCR primers and the microarray probes.

Discussion

There are several gene expression signatures identified as prognostic biomarkers for lung

cancer, mostly for lung adenocarcinoma.34 However, gene expression signatures with

predictive value for treatment response to antiangiogenic therapy are still lacking.

Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive potential of angiogenesis-

associated and hypoxia-response gene signatures for the benefit of BE treatment. We

performed GSEA for each endpoint, which led to the identification of specific angiogenesis

and hypoxia–derived 10-gene signatures. These signatures were then evaluated for their

predictive (TTP und TS endpoints) and prognostic value (OS) and tested in an independent

11

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

data set. Our findings might shed light on the mechanism of antiangiogenic treatment

response and resistance. Moreover, they may lead to the identification of the causal

mechanism behind the high proportion of patients treated with angiogenesis inhibitors

showing partial response, as demonstrated by increased progression free survival (PFS),

however, with no improvement in their OS.

We took a closer look at the angiogenesis-associated genes with predictive value for TTP

under BE therapy. The expression of the first ranked gene, adhesion G--coupled

receptor 116 (GPR116), was shown to be significantly correlated with tumor progression,

recurrence, and poor prognosis in human breast cancer. However, here we identify this gene

to play a protective role and its expression to be associated with lower risk of disease

recurrence in NSCLC. The biological role of GPR116 in angiogenesis and endothelial

proliferation remains to be assessed, however this protein is highly expressed in normal

human lung tissue and it was recently demonstrated to regulate lung surfactant

homeostasis.35 The second ranked gene, endomucin (EMCN), is an endothelial sialomucin

and an endothelial-specific marker, involved in cell-cell and cell-extracellular matrix

interactions.36 Integrin α9 (ITGA9), which forms a heterodimeric receptor with activated β1

integrin, has been demonstrated to bind directly to VEGFA, and to contribute to

angiogenesis.37 α9 β1 integrin ligand, tenascin-C, enhances secretion of S1P (sphingosine 1-

phosphate) in endothelial cells. In turn, S1P promotes endothelial cell barrier integrity,38

acting as an anti-permeability agent39 and modulating vessel integrity through its cognate

receptor S1PR1. S1PR1 inhibits VEGFR2 signaling and suppresses endothelial hypersprouting

via stabilization of junctional VE-cadherin, which leads to enhanced cell-cell adhesion.40

PECAM-1 and JAM2 are adhesive that accumulate in adherens junctions and

maintain the restrictiveness of the endothelial barrier. RhoJ, an endothelial-enriched Rho

12

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

GTPase, regulates angiogenesis and vessel integrity.41 GNG11 is a member of the γ subunit

family of heteromeric G-protein, which regulates cellular senescence in response to

environmental stimuli.42 To obtain the ranking of the discriminating power for each gene, we

performed optimized between-group classification (OBC)43 sensitivity analysis for this

signature. OBC suggests that for angiogenesis-associated signature S1PR1, GPR116, and

PECAM1 have the highest discriminating power for TTP under BE (Supplementary Figure 5a ).

The hypoxia-response genes with predictive value for TTP under BE were mostly genes

involved in the glycolytic and other metabolic pathways44: PFKP (phosphofructokinase,

platelet), LDHA (lactate dehydrogenase A), GPI (glucose-6-phosphate isomerase), ALDOA

(aldolase A), ACOT7 (acyl-CoA thioesterase 7), PGK1 (phosphoglycerate kinase), SLC25A32

(solute carrier family 25, mitochondrial folate carrier, member 32) and SLC2A1 (solute carrier

family 2, glucose transporter, member 1). The first-ranked hypoxia-response gene DDIT4

(DNA-damage-inducible transcript 4 protein, also known as REDD1) has been shown to be

implicated in inhibition of the mTORC1 (mammalian target of rapamycin kinase) signaling

pathway, which is relevant in tumor suppression;45 MIF (macrophage migration inhibitory

factor) has been revealed to act within the tumor microenvironment to stimulate

angiogenesis and promote immune evasion;46 ADM (adrenomedullin) is involved in

promoting tumor progression by sustaining proliferation and angiogenesis.47 For this

signature, OBC indicated that DDIT4 and MIF have the highest discriminatory power

(Supplementary Figure 5b). Importantly, the hypoxia-response signature shows both high

predictive and prognostic value and could potentially guide future clinical decisions.

Our gene expression analyses suggest that the low-risk patients (most likely to respond to

antiangiogenic combined BE therapy and have better outcome) have a tumor

13

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

microenvironment that sustains controlled angiogenesis, developing blood vessels with

increased levels of integrity and reduced permeability. The controlled angiogenesis is

associated with lower risk of hypoxia within the tumors (lower levels of hypoxia response

genes). On the other hand, the high-risk patients (less likely to respond to BE treatment and

have worse outcome) have a tumor microenvironment that sustains aberrant angiogenesis

with reduced vascular stability and increased vascular permeability. This phenotype is

further associated with increased tumor hypoxia and an earlier onset of disease progression.

Moreover, we observed that the 10-gene hypoxia-response signature has a higher

prognostic power than the angiogenesis-associated signature. This most likely indicates that

CT has a relatively high contribution to OS, which is expected taking into account that

hypoxic tumors are less responsive to CT than normoxic tumors.48

Additionally, we performed LOOCV from the original dataset in order to test the robustness

of the gene signatures associated with TTP under BE and OS endpoints. The perturbations

resulting from LOOCV had an insignificant impact on our findings demonstrating the

robustness of the discriminatory power of our gene signatures (Supplementary Table 3).

Unfortunately, we could not investigate the performance of our gene expression signatures

using an identical independent data set, as an additional gene expression data set from

pretreatment biopsies of treatment-naïve NSCLC patients receiving the same therapeutic

scheme is not available for validation. However, we tested our 10-gene signatures

correlating with TTP under BE using a data set comprising GELs of biopsies from a pretreated

NSCLC population (BATTLE-1 study,49 trial registration ID: NCT00409968, raw data GEO series

accession number: GSE33072). We analyzed the association between our 10-gene

expression signatures and PFS for two treatment arms: erlotinib (25 patients, all EGFR-WT)

and sorafenib (31 patients, all EGFR-WT; the patients with squamous cell or adenosquamous

14

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

carcinoma were excluded). This analysis revealed that our 10 gene angiogenesis-associated

signature had no predictive value for either erlotinib or sorafenib response as second line

therapy. Likewise, the 10-gene hypoxia-response signature had no predictive value for

erlotinib response. However, for the second line sorafenib-treated patient group (majority

erlotinib resistant), we found that the 10-gene hypoxia-response signature discriminated

between low-risk (responders) and high-risk patients (non-responders): PFS 3.65 months

(95%CI: 1.87 ─ 8.74) and 2.61 months (95%CI: 1.81 ─ 3.61), respecvely (P = 0.0186,

Supplementary Figure 6). Sorafenib, a multikinase inhibitor, achieves antiangiogenic effects

by blocking VEGFR and PDGFR. In addition, several studies suggest that sorafenib exerts a

negative regulatory effect on angiogenesis by suppressing expression of VEGF via inhibition

of HIF-1α accumulation and activation.50 Although caution in extrapolating data from one

clinical trial to the other is required, our findings suggest that the hypoxia-response

signature may be a predictive biomarker of anti-VEGF(R) treatment response (such as

bevacizumab and sorafenib) and has no predictive power for erlotinib activity. The lack of

predictive value of the 10-gene angiogenesis in the context of second line sorafenib

treatment could indicate that the expression of the angiogenesis-associated genes

significantly changes from treatment naïve tumors to CT resistant tumors, whereas hypoxia-

response GELs are affected to a lesser extent. Importantly, only 18 patients in sorafenib-

treated group had biopsies originating from the lung; the gene expression signatures of

tumor-associated vascular endothelial cells originating from other organs could vary greatly.

Nonetheless, our findings suggest that the 10-gene hypoxia-response has a high predictive

value of treatment response even in the context of second line antiangiogenic therapy and a

great potential for future clinical use.

15

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

The positive correlation between pretreatment angiogenesis-associated and hypoxia-

response GELs from tumor biopsies and clinical outcomes following BE treatment derived

from our analyses supports further evaluation of these candidate gene signatures as

potential biomarkers for the selection of the patient subpopulation most likely to obtain

benefit from antiangiogenic therapy. There are, however, several limitations that accompany

our study. Our study comprises a relatively low number of patients, and control groups (no

treatment, and bevacizumab-only and erlotinib-only treatment) are absent. Further

validation with larger number of patients and adequate control arms is needed.

Nevertheless, we found highly statistically significant differences in the hypoxia-response

GELs of responders vs. non-responders to antiangiogenic therapy in both our data set and an

additional independent data set. This is very promising and suggests that the identified

signatures may be clinically useful for further stratifying non-squamous NSCLC patients and

allow for personalized treatment to avoid unnecessary costs and patient exposure to

toxicity.

Conclusions

We identified 10-gene angiogenesis and hypoxia signatures, which can predict the subgroup

of patients with higher likelihood of responding to angiogenic therapy. These patients had

higher GELs of the genes mainly involved in maintaining the vascular barrier integrity and

lower levels of hypoxia-response genes. Moreover, these patients showed improved OS and

75 % of them experienced a high tumor shrinkage level (between 16 - 76 % TS) at 12 weeks

after the beginning of treatment. Although there is a very important implication to patient

selection for antiangiogenic therapy, the results of this study are preliminary and need to be

further validated.

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest

No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

Authors' Contributions

Conception and design: A. Franzini, M. H. Brutsche

Development of methodology: A. Franzini, M. H. Brutsche

Acquisition of data (provided animals, acquired and managed patients, provided facilities, etc.): A. Franzini, I. I. Macovei, C. Droege, D. Betticher, F. Zappa

Analysis and interpretation of data (e.g., statistical analysis, biostatistics, computational analysis): A. Franzini, F. Baty, I. I. Macovei, O. Dürr, D. Klingbiel, M. H. Brutsche

Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: A. Franzini, F. Baty, B. D. Grigoriu, D. Klingbiel, M. H. Brutsche

Administrative, technical, or material support (i.e., reporting or organizing data, constructing databases): A. Franzini, B. D. Grigoriu, C. Droege, D. Betticher, F. Zappa, M. H. Brutsche

Study supervision: A. Franzini, M. H. Brutsche

Supplementary Information

Note: Supplementary data for this article are available at Clinical Cancer Research Online (http://clincancerres.aacrjournals.org/).

Grant Support

This work was supported by the Swiss Cancer League & Swiss Cancer Center (KLS-2880-02-2012), KSSG Medical Research Center (MFZF_2014_001) and Romanian–Swiss Research Program (IZERZO_142235/1).

Acknowledgements

We thank all the investigators involved in the SAKK 19/05 trial for collecting the samples and SAKK for funding the Affymetrix arrays.

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Figure legends:

Figure 1: Treatment course for patients with no prior therapy included in the SAKK 19/05 phase II trial, study endpoints and microenvironment compartments analyzed by GSEA; TTP ─ me to progression, TS ─ tumor shrinkage, OS ─ overall survival.

Figure 2: Enrichment plot from GSEA shows statistically significant enrichment of the angiogenesis-associated genes (P=0.004) (A) and in the hypoxia-response genes (P=0.001) (B) in the gene set predictive of TTP under BE. Top 12-ranked angiogenesis-associated genes (C) and hypoxia-response genes (D) derived from GSEA.

Figure 3: Hierarchical clustering of top 10-ranked angiogenesis-associated genes (A) and hypoxia-response genes (B) significantly associated with TTP under BE showing gene expression variation among patients. The heat maps represent relative intensity values of gene expression levels. Kaplan–Meier TTP under BE curves of the three patients groups (low- risk, medium-risk and high-risk) defined by the 10-gene angiogenesis-associated signature, P = 0.013 for Cluster A1 vs. Cluster A2, (C) and two patient groups (low-risk and high-risk) defined by the 10-gene hypoxia-response signature, P = 0.016 (D). The P values of these associations were determined by log-rank test.

Figure 4: Angiogenesis and hypoxia-associated gene signatures associate with tumor shrinkage in NSCLC. Enrichment plot from GSEA shows statistically significant enrichment of the angiogenesis-associated genes (P=0.002) (A) and in the hypoxia-response genes (P=0.038) (B) in the gene signature correlating with TS. Top 12-ranked angiogenesis- associated genes (C) and hypoxia-response (D) derived from GSEA, which correlate with TS. Correlation between the two patients groups defined by the 10-gene angiogenesis- associated signature (E) and hypoxia-response signature (F) (high-risk and low-risk; n = 28) and tumor shrinkage at 12 weeks after BE treatment (box plots). The boxes represent the median ± interquartile range (IQR). Whiskers delimit the highest and lowest non-outlier data points (defined as greater/less than 1.5 × IQR).

Figure 5: Angiogenesis and hypoxia-associated gene signatures predicting OS in NSCLC. Enrichment plot from GSEA shows statistically significant enrichment of the angiogenesis- associated genes (P = 0.031), (A) and hypoxia-response genes (P = 0.001) (B) in the gene signature predictive of OS. Top 12-ranked angiogenesis-associated genes (C) and top 12- 20

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Gene signatures predictive of response to therapy in NSCLC

ranked hypoxia-response genes (D) derived from GSEA, which significantly correlate with OS. Kaplan–Meier OS curves of the two patients groups (low-risk and high-risk) defined by the 10-gene angiogenesis-associated signature (P = 0.035) (E) and 10-gene hypoxia signature (P = 0.001) (F). The P values of the associations were determined by log-rank test.

Figure 6: Comparison between microarray and RT-qPCR GELs. Spearman's correlations were performed between relative gene expression levels (GELs) determined by RT-qPCR (x-axis) and RNA microarray (y-axis) for nine angiogenesis-associated genes for 40 out of the 42 patients. The mRNA levels for each gene of interest were determined by RT qPCR and correlated with microarray expression scores determined after data processing, both calculated relative to HPRT1 gene. r, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.

21

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Figure 1

Bevacizumab/Erlotinib (BE) Standard therapy chemotherapy (CT) Biopsies from n × 3 weeks 6 × 6 weeks patients with stage until progression or until progression IIIB or IV non-squamous NSCLC with no prior 12 weeks therapy

Endpoints: TS TTP under BE OS

Compartments: Angiogenesis Hypoxia

Downloaded from clincancerres.aacrjournals.org on September 27, 2021. © 2015 American Association for Cancer Research. C A

eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichment score (ES) metric Rank score in Rank gene list Gene symbol Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) PECAM1 CALCRL G MEF2C GNG11 S1PR1 ITGA9 EMCN RHOJ JAM2 LDB2 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.1 0.3 0.5 PR116 KDR 0 Downloaded from Author manuscriptshavebeenpeerreviewedandacceptedforpublicationbutnotyetedited. Author ManuscriptPublishedOnlineFirstonApril28,2015;DOI:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 1364 1117 1019 1288 805 403 829 648 987 865 611 707 clincancerres.aacrjournals.org 5000 Angiogenesis Rank inOrderedDataset 1.391 1.435 1.313 1.546 1.561 1.522 1.924 1.289 1.629 1.455 1.667 1.700 10000 on September 27, 2021. © 2015American Association for Cancer Research. 15000 0.357 0.326 0.382 0.219 0.179 0.257 0.027 0.412 0.143 0.289 0.103 0.060

D Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) B eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichme Rankmetricscore Rankgenein list Genesymbol SLC25A32 TUBA1B SLC2A1

ALDOA 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.1 0.3 0.5 ACOT7 DDIT4 LDHA PGK1 PFKP ADM GPI MIF 0 1238 1110 1420 976 238 137 132 373 53 18 69 33 5000 Rank inOrderedDataset Hypoxia 1.394 1.331 1.268 2.211 1.460 2.513 2.494 1.975 2.991 2.835 3.539 3.276 10000 15000 0.512 0.535 0.554 0.450 0.487 0.346 0.404 0.488 0.226 0.291 0.082 0.157 nt scorent (ES) Figure 2 C A Cluster A3 Cluster A2 Cluster A1 Cluster Patients at risk: at Patients Row Z−Score 02 0 −2 Color Key Downloaded from

Proportion of patients without progresion100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 Author manuscriptshavebeenpeerreviewedandacceptedforpublicationbutnotyetedited. 21 12 01 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 9 Author ManuscriptPublishedOnlineFirstonApril28,2015;DOI:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135

002 lse 1ClusterA2 Cluster A1 17 clincancerres.aacrjournals.org 078 6 9 102 055 103 056 094 060 12

3 7 070 091

090 Angiogenesis 058 077 051 080 Time (months) 6 2 5 065 038 on September 27, 2021. © 2015American Association for Cancer 099

Research. 057 063 088

4 1 4 064 082 083 097 081 096 098 2 0 2 074 Cluster A3 095 049 093 069 068 1 0 1 Cluster A3 Cluster A2 Cluster A1 067 076 023 101 061 084 075 0 0 0 087 CALCRL EMCN GNG11 GPR116 PECAM1 ITGA9 MEF2C S1PR1 LDB2 KDR D B Cluster H1 Cluster H2 Cluster Patients at risk: at Patients 024 2 0 −2 Row Z−Score Color Key Proportion of patients without progresion 100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 01 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 24 18

103 102 15 17 094 093 002

078 Cluster H1 058 083

13 082 9 077 023 060 074 056

099 Hypoxia 10 Time (months) 3 055 084 098 080 091 038

2 7 096 057 063 097 061

051 Cluster H2 049 2 2 075 095 081 067 101 070 Figure 3 Cluster H2 Cluster H1

1 1 076 087 068 065 090 088 064 0 0 069 SLC25A32 PFKP ACOT7 DDIT4 ADM PGK1 LDHA ALDOA MIF GPI E C Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) A eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichme Rankmetricscore Rankgenein list Genesymbol ZNF423 ROBO4 PTPRB ADCY4 MYCT1 0 1 2 3 4 0.1 0.3 0.5 EMCN CDH5 JAM2 LDB2 −20 VWF

TS(%) TIE1 TEK 20 40 60 80 0 0 Downloaded from Author manuscriptshavebeenpeerreviewedandacceptedforpublicationbutnotyetedited. Author ManuscriptPublishedOnlineFirstonApril28,2015;DOI:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 1197 1072 1398 1139 1690 788 749 734 622 700 669 664 clincancerres.aacrjournals.org FALSE. 5000 Angiogenesis P 18 atients at risk (metagene score) atients at risk Rank inOrderedDataset 1.506 1.425 1.533 1.559 1.328 1.716 1.785 1.735 1.745 1.818 1.763 1.784 10000 on September 27, 2021. © 2015American Association for Cancer Research. TRUE. 10 0.386 0.361 0.326 0.291 0.402 0.268 0.053 0.227 0.183 0.010 0.141 0.098 15000 nt scorent (ES) B F D Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichme Rankmetricscore Rankgenein list Genesymbol ANKRD37 TUBA1B MRPL15 ALDOA PSMA7 ACOT7 0 1 2 3 4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 LDHA PGK1 PFKP YKT6

−20 TS(%) GPI MIF 20 40 60 80 0 0 1212 1522 3247 2118 3600 3154 605 228 473 170 82 61 FALSE. 5000 P 18 atients at risk (metagene score) atients at risk Rank inOrderedDataset Hypoxia 1.206 1.501 0.991 1.382 0.975 0.922 1.951 1.829 2.285 2.465 2.960 2.836 10000 F TRUE. igure 4 10 0.459 0.430 0.429 0.456 0.455 0.463 0.368 0.418 0.321 0.252 0.090 0.179 15000 nt scorent (ES) E C A Low risk Low Patients at risk: High risk High eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichme Rankmetricscore Rankgenein list Genesymbol Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) CALCRL GPR116 ROBO4 GNG11 MYCT1 ITGA9 ESAM RHOJ CDH5 JAM2 LDB2

KDR 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.1 0.3 0.5

Cumulative survival (%) 0 100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 Downloaded from 21 430 24 18 12 6 0 21 21 Author manuscriptshavebeenpeerreviewedandacceptedforpublicationbutnotyetedited. Author ManuscriptPublishedOnlineFirstonApril28,2015;DOI:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 17 18 2260 2485 2601 3220 3091 1228 1369 2137 2354 2379 504 811 clincancerres.aacrjournals.org Angiogenesis 5000 12 13 Rank inOrderedDataset Time (months) 6 8 1.346 1.297 1.059 1.031 0.859 1.009 0.987 0.962 0.879 1.004 1.563 1.798 on September 27, 2021. © 2015American Association for Cancer 10000 Research. 4 4 2 3 High risk Low risk Low 0.084 0.118 0.108 0.135 0.268 0.163 0.222 0.247 0.247 0.195 0.064 0.030 nt scorent (ES) 15000 1 2 B D F High risk High

Low risk Low Ranked list metric Enrichment score (ES) Patients at risk: eesmo aki eels akmti cr Enrichme Rankmetricscore Rankgenein list Genesymbol SHCBP1 MRPL15 ALDOA NDRG1 PSMA7 ACOT7 0 1 2 3 4 5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 DDIT4 LDHA PFKP ADM GPI MIF

Cumulative survival (%) 0 100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 21 21 21 430 24 18 12 6 0 14 19 1307 757 442 388 387 290 265 100 931 977 466 333 5000 10 16 Rank inOrderedDataset Hypoxia Time (months) 12 3 1.320 1.489 1.598 1.880 1.460 1.844 2.699 2.059 1.955 1.957 2.124 2.177 10000 2 5 Figure 5 2 2 High risk Low risk Low 0.480 0.434 0.407 0.341 0.467 0.385 0.061 0.204 0.297 0.249 0.156 0.105 15000 nt scorent (ES) 2 1 Figure 6 2.5 GPR116 2.0 EMCN 2.0 ITGA9

1.8 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.5 r = 0.6912 r = 0.7032 1.0 r = 0.6283 P < 0.0001 P < 0.0001 P < 0.0001 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 GEL, microarray/HPRT10.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Author Manuscript Published OnlineFirst on April 28, 2015; DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 AuthorGELs, manuscripts have RT-qPCR/HPRT1 been peer reviewed and accepted for publication but have not yet been edited. GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1 GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1

2.0 GNG11 2.5 KDR 2.5 PECAM1

2.0 2.0 1.5

1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0

0.5 0.5 0.5 r = 0.6437 r = 0.7131 r = 0.6534 P < 0.0001 P < 0.0001 P < 0.0001 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 0.0 0.0 GEL, microarray/HPRT10.0 0 5 10 15 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1 GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1 GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1

2.0 S1PR1 2.5 JAM2 2.5 RHOJ

2.0 2.0 1.5

1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0

0.5 0.5 0.5 r = 0.5102 r = 0.7030 r = 0.6588 P = 0.0008 P < 0.0001 P < 0.0001 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 GEL, microarray/HPRT1 0.0 0.0 GEL, microarray/HPRT10.0 0 1 2 3 4 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10

Downloaded from clincancerres.aacrjournals.org on September 27, 2021. © 2015 American Association for Cancer GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1Research. GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1 GELs, RT-qPCR/HPRT1 Author Manuscript Published OnlineFirst on April 28, 2015; DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135 Author manuscripts have been peer reviewed and accepted for publication but have not yet been edited.

Gene expression signatures predictive of bevacizumab/erlotinib therapeutic benefit in advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer patients (SAKK 19/05 trial)

Anca Franzini, Florent Baty, Ina I Macovei, et al.

Clin Cancer Res Published OnlineFirst April 28, 2015.

Updated version Access the most recent version of this article at: doi:10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-14-3135

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