15 July 2014: The - RAMMASUN

TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION SITUATION RAMMASUN Track Observed position Legend • (known as Forecast position CHINA “GLENDA“ in the Philippines) had Cyclones Track points already approached the bay of Albay WIND_SPEEDTROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY on 15 July, at 9am UTC. Earlier on the same day, it was located east of Tropical0.000000 Depression - 17.000000 LAO Ï PDR Bicol Region, with maximum 15 July 6.00 UTC sustained winds of 185km/h, and it Tropical Storm VIETNAM Ï 17.000001 - 32.500000 was moving north-west. Typhoon • RAMMASUN was expected to make Ï Area32.500001 of Forecast - 69.000000 landfall over Sorsogon and Albay, Track Uncertainty THE near Legazpi City, and then cross PHILIPPINES Ï 69.000001 - 100.000000 Calabarzon, Central Luzon and the Rainfall National Capital Region (NCR), 57mm/24h losing some of its intensity. On 16 14-15 July July it is forecast to exit into the sea west of Luzon, continuing its path over the East China Sea. Its direction is estimated to remain north-westward, towards south- eastern China and Vietnam. It may approach land again on 18 July (refer also to inset map). • As at 15 July, PAGASA has Public Storm Warning Signals #3, 2 and 1 in effect for several areas of Visayas 15 July 6.00 UTC and Luzon. Heavy rainfall and strong 185km/h sust. winds winds, as well as storm surge of the order of 2.5-3m (north-west Manila Bay, 16 July early morning UTC, according to JRC calculations) are expected to affect the areas along Capital City RAMMASUN’s path. Flash floods and ®o Main airports landslides are also probable in low- lying areas. ESTIMATED STORM SURGE THE PHILIPPINES • As at 15 July afternoon (UTC), JRC calculations hundreds of thousands of people 2-3m have evacuated Bicol Region, as well 1.5-2m as Northern and Eastern Samar. 1-1.5m Floods have been reported in five municipalities of Northern Samar, RAMMASUN WIND BUFFERS while air and sea traffic has been 64 km/h largely disrupted throughout Visayas 92 km/h and Luzon. 119 km/h Rainfall 108mm/24h Sources: PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNALS 14-15 July GDACS (1, 2), JTWC (1, 2), WMO, #3 Rainfall PAGASA, NDRRMC, National Media (1, 2, 3), OCHA #2 158mm/24h #1 14-15 July