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Islamic Fundamentalism: a Quantitative Analysis Peace and Conflict Studies Volume 19 Number 1 Article 5 5-2012 Islamic Fundamentalism: A Quantitative Analysis D. Dustin Berna Nova Southeastern University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://nsuworks.nova.edu/pcs Part of the Peace and Conflict Studies Commons Recommended Citation Berna, D. Dustin (2012) "Islamic Fundamentalism: A Quantitative Analysis," Peace and Conflict Studies: Vol. 19 : No. 1 , Article 5. DOI: 10.46743/1082-7307/2012.1136 Available at: https://nsuworks.nova.edu/pcs/vol19/iss1/5 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Peace & Conflict Studies at NSUWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Peace and Conflict Studies by an authorized editor of NSUWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Islamic Fundamentalism: A Quantitative Analysis Abstract Islamic fundamentalist movements are inherently anti-system social movements. An anti-system social movement is designed to criticize governmental institutions and the political mainstream while mobilizing disaffected individuals against the existing sociopolitical and socioeconomic institutions. What is lacking in the mindset of many Western politicians, practitioners, the media, and the general public is a basic understanding of Islamic fundamentalism; specifically, the causes. This is the first quantitative analysis of potential causes of Islamic fundamentalism. I have created a unique data set that contains every Islamic fundamentalist group that is or has been in operation from 1970 through 2008. This fundamentalist data set has a total number of 16,072 fundamentalist movements. I will utilize the negative binomial fixed effects regression model and a comparison of each independent variable’s effect on the number of fundamentalist movements by looking at each independent variable’s minimum, mean, and maximum score. Keywords: Americanization, anti-system social movement, globalization, Islamic fundamentalism, social movement theory, westernization Author Bio(s) D. Dustin Berna graduated from the University of New Orleans with his Ph.D. in 2008. His two major fields of study were Middle Eastern politics and international relations. American political institutions were a third and minor field. He is currently an Assistant Professor of Political Science and Conflict Analysis and Resolution in the Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences at Nova Southeastern University. His research specializations include Middle Eastern politics, Islamic fundamentalism, religious extremism, social movements, terrorism, and political institutions. He is currently working on the Encyclopedia of Islamic Fundamentalist Movements (Under Contract with Praeger Publishing House): This is a two volume Islamic fundamentalist movement encyclopedia that will categorize, describe, and explain the ideological and biographical backgrounds of more than 700 known Islamic fundamentalist movements that have been in operation since 1970. Email: [email protected] This article is available in Peace and Conflict Studies: https://nsuworks.nova.edu/pcs/vol19/iss1/5 Peace and Conflict Studies Islamic Fundamentalism: A Quantitative Analysis D. Dustin Berna Abstract Islamic fundamentalist movements are inherently anti-system social movements. An anti- system social movement is designed to criticize governmental institutions and the political mainstream while mobilizing disaffected individuals against the existing sociopolitical and socioeconomic institutions. What is lacking in the mindset of many Western politicians, practitioners, the media, and the general public is a basic understanding of Islamic fundamentalism; specifically, the causes. This is the first quantitative analysis of potential causes of Islamic fundamentalism. I have created a unique data set that contains every Islamic fundamentalist group that is or has been in operation from 1970 through 2008. This fundamentalist data set has a total number of 16,072 fundamentalist movements. I will utilize the negative binomial fixed effects regression model and a comparison of each independent variable’s effect on the number of fundamentalist movements by looking at each independent variable’s minimum, mean, and maximum score. Introduction The field of Conflict Analysis and Resolution is one of the most unique fields found within the social sciences in part because of its inherent multidisciplinary roots where multiple academic schools of thought have found a common objective of analyzing and resolving many types of conflicts. The Matrix of Conflict Analysis and Resolution is growing and its scholarly canon is expanding with great robustness; however, there are voids. One such gap in the literature is research that deals with the causes of Islamic fundamentalism. To fully understand Islamic fundamentalism it is essential that we figure out its potential Volume 19, Number 1 121 Peace and Conflict Studies causes. Islamic fundamentalist movements are inherently anti-system social movements. An anti-system social movement is designed to criticize governmental institutions and the political mainstream while mobilizing disaffected individuals against the existing sociopolitical and socioeconomic institutions. An anti-system fundamentalist movement does this while basing its criticism in religion. Also, anti-system social movements are reactive in nature and occur in reaction to events and forces in the socio-economic, political, and cultural arenas. Islamic fundamentalism forms in reaction to and in defense against the results and consequences of forced assimilation, modernization, industrialization, globalization, Americanization, and westernization, all of which have penetrated the larger Islamic community. There is no consensus as to what causes the rise of Islamic fundamentalism or an explanation as to why some states have more Islamic fundamentalist movements than other states. This article provides preliminary answers by quantitatively measuring an Islamic-majority nation-state’s degree of fundamentalism in relation to conditions which can cause social movement formation. To do this, Islamic fundamentalist movements are treated as social movements. Classic social movement theory consists of four schools of thought: resource mobilization theory, political process theory, Marxist theory, and new social movement theory. The fundamental conditions associated with each classical social movement school of thought have been quantified and are used as independent variables. This article is divided into five parts. First, I look at the causes of Islamic fundamentalism as explained by the existing literature. In the second section, I propose my theory that Islamic fundamentalist movements are inherently social movements and are best explained through an amalgamation of the four classic social movement schools of thought. I also hypothesize that the fundamental conditions associated with each classical school of thought are positively associated with the degree of Islamic fundamentalism. Third, I explain my analytic design and rationale behind using the negative binomial fixed effects regression Volume 19, Number 1 122 Peace and Conflict Studies model and a comparison of each independent variable’s effect on the number of fundamentalist movements by looking at each independent variable’s minimum, mean, and maximum score. The fourth part is an explanation of my data and both independent and dependent variables. As a dependent variable, I used a unique data set that contains every Islamic fundamentalist group that is or has been in operation from 1970 through 2008. The fundamentalist data set I created has a total N (total number of fundamentalist movements) of 16,072. Finally, I explain the results, which indicate a strong correlation between Islamic fundamentalism and the fundamental conditions associated with the classical schools of social movement thought. The Causes of Islamic Fundamentalism Scholars offer five significant reasons explaining the causes of Islamic fundamentalism. First, some argue that worsening economics, unemployment, and poverty facilitate fundamentalism (the socioeconomic arguments). A second prevalent reason found in the literature is that cultural tension between Islam and the West, which is the result of modernization, Westernization, and Americanization, is facilitating fundamentalism. Third, many scholars argue that fundamentalism is a result of the Soviet Empire imploding and the political/social vacuum left in its place. Fourth, some argue that individuals become Islamic fundamentalists in personal times of crisis in order to be closer to God. Fifth, some of the literature explains fundamentalism as the result of a specific catalyst, such as the Palestinian refugee problem, the 1979 Iranian Revolution, the radicalization of Egyptian society, or the assassination of Sadat. The first prevalent argument explains the underpinning causes of Islamic fundamentalism as directly related to socioeconomic issues and assumes that worsening economies facilitate fundamentalism. Chibber (1996) attributes the electoral achievements of fundamentalist political parties to national economic factors. Throughout the Muslim world, Volume 19, Number 1 123 Peace and Conflict Studies organized Muslim extremists have kept states’ infrastructures working during periods of economic hardships or national disaster. Political alienation incited by economic deprivation influence fundamentalist movements which may seek to rectify perceived or real alienation through the creation
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