Analysis Report BAV 10-449-001 May 17, 2012 Page 1 Light-Duty Vehicle Technology Cost Analysis – European Vehicle Market (Phase 1) Analysis Report BAV 10-449-001 Prepared for: International Council on Clean Transportation 1225 I Street NW, Suite 900 Washington DC, 20005 http://www.theicct.org/ Submitted by: Greg Kolwich FEV, Inc. 4554 Glenmeade Lane Auburn Hills, MI 48326 Phone: (248) 373-6000 ext. 2411 Email:
[email protected] May 17, 2012 Analysis Report BAV 10-449-001 May 17, 2012 Page 2 Contents Section Page A. Executive Summary 9 B. Introduction 16 B.1 Project Overview 16 B.2 Technologies Analyzed 18 B.2.1 Technologies Analyzed in the Phase 1 Analysis 18 B.2.2 Technologies Considered for the Phase 2 Analysis 18 B.3 Process Overview 19 B.3.1 EPA Project Costing Methodology 20 B.3.1.1 EPA Project Cost Methodology Overview 20 B.3.1.2 EPA Detailed Teardown Cost Analysis Process Overview 21 B.3.1.3 EPA Scaling of Cost Analysis Data to Alternative Vehicle Segments 27 B.3.2 ICCT Project Costing Process Overview 31 B.3.2.1 Cost Model Databases 34 B.3.2.2 Technology Configuration & Vehicle Segment Attribute Differences 36 B.4 Market Segment Comparison & Technology Overview 40 B.4.1 North American Market Analysis Overview 40 B.4.2 European Market Analysis Overview 43 B.5 Manufacturing Assumption Overview 45 B.6 Application of ICM Factor 48 B.7 Application of Learning Curve Factor 49 C. Database Updates 53 C.1 Database Update Overview 53 C.2 Material Database 54 C.2.1 Material Database Overview 54 C.2.2 Material Database Updates for European