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Assessment Report of Service United States Department of Agriculture Forest Assessment Report of Service Southwestern Ecological / Social / Region February 9, 2015 Economic Conditions, Trends, and Risks to Sustainability, Cibola National Forest Mountain Ranger Districts Volume II Socioeconomic Assessment Cibola National Forest Mountain Ranger Districts Assessment Volume II Prepared by: The Cibola National Forest and National Grasslands 2113 Osuna Rd., NE Albuquerque, NM 87113 For further information, contact: Elaine Kohrman Forest Supervisor Cibola National Forest and National Grasslands 505-346-3900 ABSTRACT: The Assessment presents and evaluates existing information about relevant ecological, economic, and social conditions, trends, and risks to sustainability and their relationship to the 1985 Cibola Forest Plan, within the context of the broader landscape. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, sexual orientation, marital status, family status, status as a parent (in education and training programs and activities), because all or part of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program, or retaliation. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs or activities.) If you require this information in alternative format (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.), contact the USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (Voice or TDD). If you require information about this program, activity, or facility in a language other than English, contact the agency office responsible for the program or activity, or any USDA office. To file a complaint alleging discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call toll free, (866) 632-9992 (Voice). TDD users can contact USDA through local relay or the federal relay at (800) 877-8339 (TDD) or (800) 845-6136 (in Spanish). USDA is an equal opportunity provider, employer, and lender. You may use USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Forms AD-3027 or AD-3027s (Spanish) which can be found at: http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html and http://www.ascr.usda.gov/es_us/sp_complaint_filing_cust.html or upon request from a local USDA office. Contents Chapter 1. Assessing Cultural and Historic Resources and Uses ............................................. 2 Chapter 2. Assessing Areas of Tribal Importance .................................................................... 42 Chapter 3, Assessing Social, Cultural, and Economic Sustainability ..................................... 55 Chapter 4. Multiple Uses and Their Contributions to Local, Regional, and National Economies ............................................................................................................... 126 Chapter 5. Recreational Settings, Opportunities, Access, and Scenic Character ................ 152 Chapter 6. Assessing Designated Areas ................................................................................... 191 Chapter 7. Infrastructure .......................................................................................................... 211 Chapter 8: Assessing Land Status and Ownership, Use and Access ..................................... 223 Chapter 9. Renewable and Nonrenewable Energy and Mineral Resources ......................... 240 Glossary ...................................................................................................................................... 258 ii Cibola National Forest Mountain Ranger Districts Assessment Report – Volume II List of Figures Figure 1. Location of inventories for historic properties within the plan area; Mount Taylor Ranger District .......................................................................................... 19 Figure 2. Location of inventories for historic properties within the plan area; Magdalena Ranger District .................................................................................. 20 Figure 3. Location of inventories for historic properties within the plan area; Sandia and Mountainair Ranger Districts ...................................................................... 21 Figure 4. Location of historic properties within the plan area; Mount Taylor RD ......... 23 Figure 5. Location of historic properties within the plan area; Magdalena RD ............. 24 Figure 6. Location of historic properties within the plan area; Sandia and Mountainair RDs ......................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 7. Location of historic properties designated as National Historic Landmarks or listed on the National Register of Historic Places .............................................. 34 Figure 8. T’uf Shur Bien Preservation Trust Area ............................................................. 54 Figure 9. Age distribution in New Mexico .......................................................................... 60 Figure 10. Change in NM employment, 2008–2009 and 2009–2010 ................................. 61 Figure 11. Change in NM employment, 2010 to 2011 ............. Error! Bookmark not defined. Figure 12. New Mexico annual aggregate household income ............................................ 63 Figure 13. New Mexico per capita income and poverty rate ............................................. 64 Figure 14. Area of Influence for the Magdalena RD .......................................................... 65 Figure 15. Historical and projected population of Magdalena RD counties ................... 66 Figure 16. Historical and projected age distribution in Magdalena RD AoI counties .... 67 Figure 17. Educational attainment in Magdalena RD counties ........................................ 68 Figure 18. Total employment in Magdalena RD counties ................................................. 69 Figure 19. Livestock and livestock product cash receipts in Magdalena RD counties ... 70 Figure 20. 2011 employment levels by NAICS code for Magdalena RD counties ........... 71 Figure 21. Household income distribution in Magdalena RD counties ............................ 72 Figure 22. Per capita income in Cibola NF RDs ................................................................. 72 Figure 23. Poverty rate and race in Magdalena RD counties ........................................... 73 Figure 24. Area of Influence (AoI) for the Mountainair RD ............................................. 74 Cibola National Forest Mountain Ranger Districts Assessment Report – Volume II iii Figure 25. Historical and projected population of Mountainair RD counties ................. 76 Figure 26. Historical and projected age distribution in Mountainair RD counties ........ 78 Figure 27. Educational attainment in Mountainair RD counties ..................................... 79 Figure 28. Total employment in Mountainair RD AoI counties ........................................ 80 Figure 29. Livestock and livestock product cash receipts in Mountainair RD AoI counties ................................................................................................................ 81 Figure 30. 2011 employment levels by NAICS code for Mountainair RD AoI counties . 82 Figure 31. Household income distribution in Mountainair RD AoI counties .................. 83 Figure 32. Poverty rate and ethnicity in Mountainair RD AoI counties .......................... 84 Figure 33. Poverty rate and race in Mountainair RD AoI counties ................................. 84 Figure 34. Area of influence for the Mt. Taylor RD ........................................................... 85 Figure 35. Historical and projected population of Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ............. 86 Figure 36. Historical and projected age distribution in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ..... 88 Figure 37. Educational attainment in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties .................................. 89 Figure 38. Total employment in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ........................................... 90 Figure 39. Livestock and livestock products cash receipts in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ........................................................................................................................................ 91 Figure 40. 2011 Employment Levels by NAICS Code for Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties . 92 Figure 41. Household income distribution in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ..................... 94 Figure 42. Poverty rate and ethnicity in Mt. Taylor RD AoI counties ............................. 94 Figure 43. Poverty rate and race in Mt. Taylor Ranger District counties ........................ 95 Figure 44. Area of influence for the Sandia RD ................................................................. 96 Figure 45. Historical and projected population of Sandia RD AoI counties .................... 97 Figure 46. Net migration to/from Cibola NF RD AoI counties ......................................... 98 Figure 47. Historical and projected age distribution in Sandia RD counties ................ 100 Figure 48. Educational attainment in Sandia RD AoI counties ...................................... 101 Figure 49. Total Employment in Sandia RD AoI counties ............................................... 102 Figure 50. Livestock and livestock products cash receipts in Sandia RD AoI counties. 103 Figure 51. 2011 employment levels by NAICS Code for Sandia RD AoI counties ........ 104 iv Cibola National Forest
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