Area Earthquake Hazards Mapping Project: Seismic and Liquefaction Hazard Maps by Chris H
St. Louis Area Earthquake Hazards Mapping Project: Seismic and Liquefaction Hazard Maps by Chris H. Cramer, Robert A. Bauer, Jae-won Chung, J. David Rogers, Larry Pierce, Vicki Voigt, Brad Mitchell, David Gaunt, Robert A. Wil- liams, David Hoffman, Gregory L. Hempen, Phyllis J. Steckel, Oliver S. Boyd, Connor M. Watkins, Kathleen Tucker, and Natasha S. McCallister ABSTRACT We present probabilistic and deterministic seismic and liquefac- (NMSZ) earthquake sequence. This sequence produced modi- tion hazard maps for the densely populated St. Louis metropolitan fied Mercalli intensity (MMI) for locations in the St. Louis area area that account for the expected effects of surficial geology on that ranged from VI to VIII (Nuttli, 1973; Bakun et al.,2002; earthquake ground shaking. Hazard calculations were based on a Hough and Page, 2011). The region has experienced strong map grid of 0.005°, or about every 500 m, and are thus higher in ground shaking (∼0:1g peak ground acceleration [PGA]) as a resolution than any earlier studies. To estimate ground motions at result of prehistoric and contemporary seismicity associated with the surface of the model (e.g., site amplification), we used a new the major neighboring seismic source areas, including the Wa- detailed near-surface shear-wave velocity model in a 1D equiva- bashValley seismic zone (WVSZ) and NMSZ (Fig. 1), as well as lent-linear response analysis. When compared with the 2014 U.S. a possible paleoseismic earthquake near Shoal Creek, Illinois, Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model, about 30 km east of St. Louis (McNulty and Obermeier, 1997). which uses a uniform firm-rock-site condition, the new probabi- Another contributing factor to seismic hazard in the St.
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