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Effects of Woolsey Fire on Nesting Territories of Southern Red-Tailed Hawks (Buteo

jamaicensis)

Jane Gao

[email protected]

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ABSTRACT: The relationship between fire and wildlife habitat is complex. Fires can create favorable conditions for some species and simultaneously extirpate entire populations of other species. Red-tailed hawks choose nesting habitats according to resources available. Natural disturbances such as change the availability of those resources. In late 2018, the

Woolsey fire burned much of Ventura County, California, changing composition of the flora and fauna in areas affected by the fire. Nest site use for Red-tailed hawks (Buteo jamaicensis) has been tracked in the of Ventura county from the 1970s to 2019. The

Woolsey fire area is surrounded by mountain ranges as well as suburban areas, providing hawks with a variety of nesting habitats consisting of both native and nonnative trees. The Woolsey fire affected these varied habitats differently. The area burned by the Woolsey fire had not been largely affected by fire since the 2003 . The fact that this area has been free from damaging stochastic events for over a decade made it a prime area for studying the immediate effects of fire on raptor nesting. We investigated how fire affected nest habitability and whether several variables factored into nest persistence within the 2018 Woolsey fire area. Nest persistence in this context was defined by the presence of a nesting hawk. We hypothesized that the magnitude of the burn and the species of the tree in which the nest was built were correlated to nest persistence. In addition, we proposed that geographic position relative to the fire border, and not just local destruction of nests, was a key variable in nest persistence. While proximity to the edge of the fire’s border and magnitude of burn severity were found to be correlated with nest persistence, tree species was found to have no discernible correlation.

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INTRODUCTION

Wildfires have always been a part of Southern California’s ecosystems (Cheney et al. 1997).

They engender a patchwork effect on local habitats. Some of the positive outcomes of wildfires include the release of nutrients back into the soil, clearing space for new seedlings, and removing nonnative species. Negative outcomes include the destruction of habitat, death of native species, and removal of erosion-preventing plants (Cheney et al. 1997). While the impact that wildfires have on California’s ecosystems has both positive and negative aspects, the overall increase in both number of fires and fire severity in recent decades has been the subject of major study.

In more recent decades human suppression of fire increased, causing a buildup of vegetative fuel in fire-prone areas (Bowman 2010). This suppression was meant to limit the number of fires under the notion that fewer fires would create a safer environment for human settlements.

Additionally, climatic controls have changed and altered size, severity, and fire frequency

(Hurteau et al. 2014). Climate change created a longer fire season with more powerful winds and higher ambient temperatures (Westerling et al. 2008). Therefore, when fires do occur, they spread quickly and over a larger amount of terrain (Keeley et al. 2001, Syphard et al. 2007). The change in fire regime can have a profound change on the ecosystem, including vegetation shifts, invasive species, a decrease in biodiversity, and population shifts (Westerling et al. 2008,

Hurteau et al. 2014, Williams et al. 2019). California’s growing population and increase in fire activity present a new stressor on Red-tailed hawk nesting habits. The goal of this study is to see how Red-tailed hawk nesting sites were affected by the 2018 Woolsey fire. Studying disturbance effects on apex predators can help future land management make informed management decisions.

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In order to study how fires affect Red-tailed hawk nesting habits, it is prudent to understand

California’s historical fire regime. The last few decades have seen a drastic rise in the number of acres burned in California wildfires (Figure 1). This increase in burned land area corresponds to a marked increase in California’s average temperature (Figure 2) and in California’s total number of fires per year (Figure 3). These longitudinal trends of increased intensity and frequency of California wildfires represent a significant threat to California’s wildlife. One group that can be especially affected by an increase in wildfire size and frequency is birds of prey.

Fires can change how raptors use available habitat via direct and indirect cascading effects.

While the fire itself may not kill the raptors themselves, increased wildfires may drive raptor prey to extinction or drive away animal species in lower trophic levels. These changes in the raptor’s food chain cascade up the trophic levels by simplifying the food web, thus limiting the raptor’s prey availability. Fire creates a mosaic of habitat patches with variable biotic and abiotic conditions. For example, fire disturbances can produce early seral plant communities that support different animal communities compared to pre-fire communities (Keane 2002). The new vegetative growth provides food and cover for early seral species that colonize the area (Keane

2002). In areas where fires are the most common disturbances, plants and animals have evolved various adaptations that allow them to survive or benefit from fire. Desert plants evolved pyriscence or flammable oils with fire-activated seeds (Brown 2000). Other flora such as oak trees and pine trees have adapted to fire with either more resistant bark or legacy sprouting

(Barton 1999). One subgroup of fauna that is both affected by and even utilizes fire is raptors.

Raptors take advantage of wildfires by searching for flushed out prey seeking to escape the flames (Sahores et al. 2004, Steenhof et al. 1999). After the wildfire is over, raptors scavenge burned areas for prey, taking advantage of the razed vegetation and consequent lack of cover

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(Sahores et al. 2004, Steenhof et al. 1999). Raptors’ ability to capitalize on fire as a natural disturbance can maximize their productivity in an environment with variable resources.

Figure 1. The number of acres burned per year in California since 1950

Source: Cal Fire. 2020 Number of acres burned per year (in millions) https://www.fire.ca.gov/stats-events/

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Figure 2. The average temperature in California shown from 1895 to 2018.

Source: NOAA. 2019 Average temperature in California from January through October each year, 1895-2018. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

Figure 3. The number of fires reported per year in California starting from 1913 to 2013.

Source: Cal Fire. 2020 Number of Fires Reported Per Year in California. https://www.fire.ca.gov/stats-events/

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Scientists in the Southern California National Park Service (NPS) and non-government organizations (NGOs) have been tracking the effects of urbanization on raptors in the Ventura

County area since 1972. Red-tailed hawks (Buteo jamaicensis) were chosen for the study due to their position as apex avian predator, their wide trophic niche, and their large population size.

These qualities made them good candidates for urban and wild comparative studies (Marti et al.

1993).

The 2018 fire season was the deadliest and most destructive season on record in California (Cal

Fire 2018, Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3). The Woolsey Fire was the largest fire in Southern

California in 2018 and burned 96,949 acres of land, making the landscape more susceptible to invasive weeds and grasses (LA County 2018). The buildup of non-native vegetation before the fire increased the vegetative fuels which led to a more fire susceptible landscape, thus creating a feedback loop (NPS 2018). While the fire as a whole was severe, the severity varied greatly within Ventura County’s local microenvironments. Some habitats were completely razed to the ground, while others remained wholly unburned. This variation in severity within the study area created a mosaic of local environments.

Overall, larger animals had more success in escaping the Woolsey fire, while smaller animals were more likely to succumb to the smoke and heat (NPS 2018). The Woolsey fire’s blaze occurred in November, before the Red-tailed hawk nesting season, which starts in early Spring

(Cooper 2019). Red-tailed hawks would have been able to escape the fire easily, but many of their prey species populations declined. Perch sites necessary for Red-tailed hawks’ hunting also declined in burned areas. The circumstances of the Woolsey fire present a unique opportunity to study how the loss of perches, vegetation, and prey affect the nesting habits of the Red-tailed hawk species.

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The study area that was affected by fire is undergoing early stages of post-fire succession that includes an influx of colonizing plants such as Lupines (Lupinus sp.) and Blue dicks

(Dichelostemma capitatum). Early-seral plant species take advantage of the nutrient influx and open understory, which creates a more biodiverse landscape with pioneer plant species now able to grow (Arno 2000). These new plant species engender more biodiversity by replacing pre-fire habitats dominated by a few species with a variety of pioneering early seral species (Arno 2000).

Plant biodiversity then invites R-select animal species (Arno 2000). Forest legacies such as Coast live oak and Sycamore have also started to sprout and will continue to grow and spread in the burned area, eventually outcompeting the pioneering species.

The 2018 Woolsey Fire offers an opportunity to studyhow fire affects nest selection for Red- tailed hawks. We used previously published works (Lee 2004) of historical nest site locations, territory activity, nesting activity, and tree species in which the nest was located as a basis for our own data collection. By cross-referencing the old dataset with new data collected after the fire damage, we can investigate how the Woolsey Fire affected the Red-tailed hawk species in terms of nesting sites. Our objectives are to quantify how the Woolsey fire affected these historical Red-tailed hawk nest sites in Ventura County and to determine how the severity of the microenvironment’s burn contributed to the level of nesting activity. The main variable considered was nest persistence, which is defined as a nest that is still in use by a Red-tailed hawk and is still structurally stable following the 2018 fire. We hypothesized that the burn severity around the nest site, the tree species in which the nest was located, and the nest’s position relative to the fire’s edge would all affect the nest persistence. The geospatial relationship between nesting territories was also mapped and analyzed to gain clarity into how the relative positioning of the nests affected persistence.

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METHODS

Study area:

Our study site comprised of the entirety of Ventura County, California. It is just north of Los

Angeles County, running along the Pacific coast, and thus along the California Current. The

California Current is an oceanic current that runs southward along the Pacific coast of North

America. It creates summer fog off the coast and produces a Mediterranean climate, with warm, dry summers just inland, and mild winters (NCDC 2010). Precipitation exceeds 127 cm per year, with floods occurring during periods of heavy rainfall (WRCC 2010). The topography varies from 15 m along the coast to 940 m in the Santa Monica Mountains, with both heavily urbanized areas, open space landscapes, and managed forests (VCTM 2010). Main vegetation communities include grasslands, chaparral and coastal sage scrub, oak woodland, and urbanized, ornamental landscapes.

Previously, wildfires have not been a seasonal threat to the study area, historically occurring every hundred years (NPS 2018). Due to changes in the fire regime, there has been an uptick of fires in the Ventura County area with over nine fires since 2003 (Keane 2002, Robert E. et al.

2009). The current fire frequency of more than one every 20 years represents a stark acceleration from previous decades (NPS 2018). The most devastating fire in the Ventura County area in

2018 was the Woolsey Fire. The Woolsey Fire burned 39,234 ha in both and

Ventura counties, extending southwest from the west to the Pacific Ocean and north to south from State Park to Calabasas (Figure 5).

There are many native trees in the Ventura County area which covers the riparian, mountainous, and coastal strips of the county (Trees for Ventura CA 2018). These trees are adapted for the

9 conditions that historically occurred in Ventura. The Western Sycamore (Platanus racemosa) is a native tree that grows in canyons, floodplains, and along streams (Trees for Ventura CA 2018).

The Valley Oak (Quercus lobata) ranges over hotter temperature areas of California and grows quickly (Trees for Ventura CA 2018). The Coast live oak (Quercus agrifolia) are oak trees that are extremely fire tolerant and also appear in Ventura County (Holland 1986). The pine trees found in Ventura are one of the most varied and widely spread genus (Pine Trees of California

Need year). Most pine trees are not fire tolerant, the exception being the Pondera pine (Pine

Trees of California). Poplar trees line up California with many native and non-native species.

The native Fremont Cottonwood poplar (Populus fremontii) grows along riparian areas requiring moist soil and plenty of sunlight (California Native Plant Society 2007) The Eucalyptus trees came from Australia, introduced to California due to high demand for fast growing wood during the Goldrush era (Rowland et al. 2019). These trees became a focal point in this study, since they are one of the factors we hypothesized would determine if the Red-tailed hawk nests persisted.

Study Species:

The Red-tailed hawk is a bird of prey found throughout most of North America (Figure 4). This species is one of the largest in the genus Buteo, weighing from 690 to 1600 grams (Ferguson-Lee and Christie 2001).

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Figure 4. Geographical distribution of the Red-tailed hawk. Orange represents areas that Red- tailed hawks migrate to for breeding purposes. Purple represents areas that the Red-tailed hawk remain in year-round. Blue represents areas that the Red-tailed hawk remain only while not breeding.

Source: BirdLife International 2006

When surveying for them, a bird can be identified as a Red-tailed hawk visually using its distinctive form. This species of hawk soars with wings often in a dihedral, with a sleek body

(Ballam 1984). Their markings include a distinctive red auburn tail with black patagium markings on its wings (Ferguson-Lees and Christie 2001). Their distinctive body shape of broad rounded wings and short wide tails also aided in their identification. Vocalization would also

11 lead to identification with their distinctive cry of two to three second hoarse rasping screams that begin at high pitches and skew downwards (Ferguson-Lees and Christie 2001).

Red-tailed hawks of Santa Monica Mountains choose nesting sites in both suburban and wilderness environments. In urban environments they frequently choose sites that are close to condo complexes and houses (Strahlberg 1999). This anthropogenic pressure creates new free ecological niches that raptors such as the Red-tailed hawk readily colonize (Luniak 2004).

Raptors’ heuristics for choosing nest sites largely depend on geomorphologic habitat characteristics as well as prey availability (Poirazidis 2007). Red-tailed hawks frequently inhabit and defend steep mountain ranges as preferential territory (Boal 1998; Preston 2000). Raptors frequently choose Western sycamores (Planus racemosa), coastal live oaks (Quercus agrifola), pine trees (Pinus), and Eucalyptus trees (Eucalyptus globulus) as nesting sites (Cooper 2019).

The structurally sound crowns of the trees along with the high compressive strength of their thick trunks lend good structural integrity to the raptors’ nesting locations. While these trees are commonly used by raptors for nesting sites, they are by no means the only structures used; transmission towers, planters, and even masts of sunken boats have been used (Ellis 2009).

Study Design and Field Sampling:

Raptor nest surveying was the main data collection process for analyzing the effects of the fire on raptor habitation. The process of nest surveying involves searching visually for raptor nests, recording their positions, and ascertaining their structural integrity. Raptor nests were identified and visually assessed. A mated raptor pair often construct or re-use nests made from sticks and other materials in a large tree between 4 to 21 m from the ground (Stotz 1994). Their nesting material consists of twigs, bark, pine needles, and plant matter (Preston 2009). The nest is

12 generally 71 to 97 cm in diameter (Stotz 1994). The absence of trash excluded nests that were likely to be crow or squirrel nests rather than raptor nests (Large Nest Identification 2020). We also recorded whether nests were built in mature trees, built in a supportive crotch of a tree, or built using sticks.

In this study, we chose to focus on Red-tailed hawks due to the quantity of data we gathered.

Red-tailed hawks were the only species that had a large enough sample size to be considered statistically significant, with 32 active nest sites in 2018. Other species studied (such as the

Cooper’s hawk, Red-shouldered hawk, and American kestrel) had fewer than 20 active nests in

2018 and were thus not considered to have a high enough sample size for studying. This study’s scope focuses on active nests found in 2018 before the Woolsey Fire with the comparison of nesting survey data in 2019 post-Woolsey Fire.

The entirety of Ventura County has been the subject of raptor nest surveying since the 1970’s

(Lee 2004). The goal of previous raptor surveys was primarily to track population sizes and to determine the geographic locations of raptor habitat. Lee (2004) and Cooper compiled a database of historic nest sites from Ventura County, each labeled with a unique name and recorded with the nearest watershed, geographic location, years of activity, and the species of tree in which the nest was found. These legacy Red-tailed hawk nest locations formed the basis for our study.

Cooper selected study sites by surveying nesting locations identified by Lee (2004), whose database was used by the National Park Service (NPS) to understand local raptor population nesting habits. In 2018, Cooper recorded 32 active Red-tailed hawk nests through the entirety of

Ventura County (2018). Cooper’s collected data included GPS coordinates for these historical nests, along with tree type, nearby watersheds, and some field notes on the raptor’s nesting

13 behavior in 2018. We studied these 32 active 2018 Red-tailed hawk nest locations to determine their presence and use after the 2018 Woolsey fire.

Figure 5. Extent of the Woolsey Fire in 2018 overlaying a map of Ventura county California and surrounding areas. Yellow areas indicate areas burned on November 9, 2018; light orange indicates areas burned on November 11, 2018; red indicates areas burned on November 12,

2018. The fire started on Thursday, November 8, 2018 and was fully contained by November 14,

2020.

Source: USGS 2018, OpenStreetMap, Nextzen. https://www.latimes.com/projects/la-me- woolsey-fire-progression/static/img/woolsey-fire-map-desktop.jpg

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From February 2019 through June 2019, we surveyed Ventura County’s 32 Red-tailed hawk nests that were recorded as active in 2018. These months were chosen because they encompass when Red-tailed hawks nest and mate in this area (Cooper 2019). We surveyed nests during selected periods from sunrise until 11:00 am and from 3:00 pm to sunset. These hours were chosen because Red-tailed hawks are usually less active and visible during the hotter hours of midday (Cooper 2019). We spent at least 30 minutes for each visit, waiting to see if a Red-tailed hawk would appear at the nest site (Anderson et al. 1985). In 2019, each site was surveyed by myself a minimum of three times over the course of the season; in 2018, a minimum of two visits were made by Cooper.

An active nest was categorized as a raptor in the nest or on the branch containing the nest. We relied on raptor behavior as an initial indicator of active nest sites. Territorial behavior included raptors flying erratically close to us, startled or evasive behavior, or breeding behavior such as copulation or tandem flights. We also listened for Red-tailed hawk alarm calls and watched for behavioral displays (e.g., puffing up of feathers in order to appear larger) which served as indications that nests were in close vicinity. We scanned the area within a 200-meter radius of each nest site for raptors. For each nest (historical and current), the tree species, raptor species, and GPS coordinates were recorded. We used a u-Blox M8 GNSS receiver with a ceramic patch antenna to record the position data. We used the GPS coordinates of historic nest sites and assessed visually, using Nikon Prostaff 3S Binoculars, whether the nest was still present. If present, the nest activity was marked as positive, and tree species was recorded.

We visually characterized sampling sites as no burn, lightly burned, moderately burned, and heavily burned (Table 1). To assess sampling sites, the amount of surrounding vegetation was visibly scanned in a 200 m radius of the nest (distances were measured using a Calculated

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Industries measuring wheel). This 200 m radius yields an area of approximately 125,664 m2.

This area was broken into 30 m2 segments. If any of these segments had visibly burned soil or vegetation, it was counted as a burned segment. The number of burned segments within each study area was counted and divided by the total number of segments in the area. This resulted in the burn percentage values that inform the burn categories (Table 1). This methodology was developed based on a similar measure of categorical characteristics used in forest management

(Leuschner 1990).

Table 1. Types of burn areas defined via percentage of surface area charred within 200 m radius of nesting site

Percent Burned (per

Burn Types 30m2)

No burn 0%

Lightly burned 1-25%

Moderately burned 26-49%

Heavily burned >50%

Data Analysis: All data were analyzed and graphed using MATLAB numerical computing software. We first used the total number of nests for each as a gross metric to compare the nest distribution of the raptors before and after the Woolsey fire. This value presents a succinct summary of how the fire affected the nesting habits.

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We hypothesized that the fire, and not pure chance, had altered the nest persistence in Ventura

County. We predicted that there would be significantly fewer nests post-fire than pre-fire. After collecting the data, we calculated how many active nests in 2018 were still active in 2019. We then used a Wilcoxon signed-rank test to test our hypothesis and evaluate if the change in nest persistence was statistically significant. Statistical significance in this context means being sure that the change in nest persistence was due to the fire, and not due to random chance.

Our hypothesis was that the predicted decrease in active nests would also change the nest positioning in Ventura County. We first calculated a central nesting coordinate, which we defined simply as the arithmetic average latitude and longitude position of all the active nests for each year. We then calculated the average distance of all the nests from the central nesting coordinate of all other nests. The distance between each nest and the center location was found by solving the indirect geodetic problem using an iterative error reduction method (Sjöberg,

2006). This algorithm finds the curvilinear distance between two points on Earth’s surface using their latitude and longitude coordinates. It assumes a WGS-84 ellipsoidal Earth coordinate system and finds the arc length along the Earth’s surface by projecting the geodetic coordinates onto a two-dimensional plane. This curvilinear distance was found for each nest and then averaged for the set of nests pre-Woolsey fire and post-Woolsey fire, respectively. This metric is significant, as the larger the average distance away from the central location, the more spread-out the nests are.

While average distance from the reference location characterizes the gross size of the nesting territory, it does not fully illustrate the distribution of nests within this environment. This distribution is important to quantify, as it shows how evenly spread the nests are within the area.

Thus, a second metric developed was the standard deviation of the distances of each nest from

17 the central location. This metric illustrates how spread-out the nests are from the average distance, effectively showing how spread out the nests are from each other. The higher the standard deviation of distances from the central reference coordinate, the fewer “clumps” of nests exist and more evenly spread the nests are within the studied area. A lower standard deviation indicates that the nests are all within a similar distance from the central location.

Nest locations were plotted on a map overlaid with the boundary of the Woolsey fire (Woolsey

Fire GIS Data & Applications 2019). The boundary was downloaded as a shape file, opened using ArcGIS software, and converted to data points using Python. This allowed it to be plotted alongside the collected raptor data, using MATLAB graphing software.

In addition to simply plotting the GPS coordinates within the Woolsey fire perimeter, nests were categorized as being either in an edge zone or outside an edge zone. An edge zone is defined as a change in community structure that occurs at a boundary of two or more habitats (Levin 2009).

To determine which nests were in the edge zone, the distance between the fire border and each nest was calculated. Any nest within a territorial radius of the border was classified as within the edge zone. Red-tailed hawk territory is usually around 2.33 ± 0.09 km2 (Janes, 1984). This territory is approximated as a circle whose center is the nest. The distance from the nest to the edge of the territory is a distance we have termed the territorial radius, as it is the distance from the center of the circle to its circumference. Given the area of the circle is equal to 휋푟2, where r is the radius, we can determine the average territorial radius to be around 861 ± 17 m. To be conservative, the territorial radius used in the calculation was 844 m. We tested the change in proportion of nests in each burn severity zone by using a chi-square test with Yates continuity correction to compare the 2018 active nests and 2019 nests. We used a Yates continuity

18 correction in our chi-square test to account for the sample size lower than 40 (Beukelman, et al,

2016).

In addition to studying the geographic locations and level of burn of the nests, we identified the species of tree in which the nests were made. Tree species is a key component of the nest’s microenvironment. Different tree species have different leaf types, growth rates, and leaf cover.

These properties may have contributed to the nests’ persistence. For this study, we compared the composition of trees in which the Red-tailed hawks nested pre-fire to the composition of trees used post-fire. To determine whether or not tree species is correlated with nest survival, a chi- squared test was performed on the tree data. The six tree species were the independent categorical data in the chi-squared test, with the binary option of persistence or loss being the dependent variable. In addition, we used a Yates continuity correction in our chi-square test to account for the sample size lower than 40 (Beukelman, et al, 2016).

RESULTS

We surveyed 32 Red-tailed hawk nests within the study area in 2019 and compared it to data from 2018. Many of the active nests in 2018 were gone in 2019. In addition to seeing how many active 2018 nests were still active in 2019, we wanted to see if the persistence of nests after the

Woolsey fire was affected by the fire itself. In any population of active nests, some will be destroyed or go into disrepair over the course of a year. Such standard nest degradation may be caused by stochastic events over the course of the year that may affect any number of nests.

Our initial analysis quantified how many of the active 2018 nests remained active in 2019. Of the original 32 nests surveyed, only 12 persisted into 2019. A Wilcoxon signed-rank test comparing the 2018 and 2019 nest data yielded a test statistic W of 21, with a reduced Nr value of 20. The critical test statistic value for a two-tailed significance level of 0.01 is 38. Since the test value is

19 lower than the critical value, we can say, with a 99% confidence level, that the degradation of nests from 2018 to 2019 was not random but rather had one or more influential factors causing the nests to become inactive. The pre-fire and post-fire nests (Table 2) were mapped (Figure 6), along with the border of the Woolsey Fire.

Figure 6. Latitude and longitude (degrees) of Red-tailed hawk nests found pre-fire and nests that persisted after the Woolsey Fire in Ventura County during raptor mating season overlaid with

Woolsey Fire boundaries. Blue colored dots indicate nests that were only found in 2018 and did not persist post-fire, having been destroyed. Red colored dots indicate nests that were found in both 2018 and 2019, persisting after the Woolsey Fire.

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Of the persisting nests, 75% existed within an edge zone (within 844 m of burned areas). In contrast, only 60% of the nests that perished existed within the edge zone.

In 2018, the average separation distance of all nests was 3.44 km with a standard deviation of

2.04 km. In 2019, the average separation distance was 5.04 km with a standard deviation of 1.70 km. As there were fewer nests in 2019, these results were expected.

Table 2. Percentage of nests found within each burn category

Used Pre-fire Used Post-fire

High burn 4 (12%) 0 (0%) Moderately burned 5 (16%) 1 (8%)

No burn 23 (72%) 11 (92%)

Total 32 (100%) 12 (100%)

Twelve (62%) of the original 32 nests persisted after the fire. For the nests that persisted post- fire, 0 (0%) were found in the high burn areas, 1 (8%) were found in the moderately burned area, and 11 (92%) were found in the no burn areas. We see that the proportions of nests in each zone changed after the fire, as 4 (12%) of the nests active in 2018 were in high burn area, 5 (16%) were in moderately burned areas, and 23 (72%) were in no burn areas. This change in proportions can be confirmed with a chi-square test with a Yates continuity correction

(Beukelman, et al, 2016). The chi-square statistic with Yates correction (which accounts for the small sample size and total lack of active nests in the post-fire and high burn category) was

21 found to be 14.98, which was well above the critical value for two degrees of freedom at 99% confidence levels. This chi-square value, at two degrees of freedom, accounts for a p-value of

0.0005586. This means that the proportion of nests in each burn category changed significantly pre-fire and post-fire.

Figure 8. Persistence of nests found in areas with no burn, moderately burned, and highly burned areas.

In the high burned areas, 0 (0%) nests persisted and 4 (100%) did not persist post-fire. For the moderately burned areas, 1 (20%) nests persisted and 4 (80%) did not persist post-fire. For the no burn areas, 11 (48%) nests persisted and 12 (52%) did not persist post-fire.

The distribution of burned nests throughout Ventura County is illustrated in Figure 9.

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Figure 9. Red-tailed hawk (RTHA) nest locations marked according to burn severity.

The above figure shows the location of nests that did not persist after the Woolsey fire and marks them according to burn severity (Figure 9). To further delineate how both persisting nests and non-persisting nests were distributed according to burn severity, the following figures map the burn level of non-persisting nests and persisting nests, respectively (Figure 10, Figure 11).

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Figure 10. Burn levels of areas surrounding non-persisting nests.

The figure shows the location of nests that persisted after the Woolsey fire according to burn severity (Figure 10).

The high burned nests were completely destroyed, where the nest was no longer found at the

GPS coordinates. The nests in the moderate burn and the no burn were still found at their previous GPS coordinates but were no longer in use.

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Figure 11. Burn levels of persisting nests.

The figure shows the location of nests that persisted after the Woolsey Fire and their corresponding burn levels (Figure 11).

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The figure shows the number of nests that persisted after the Woolsey fire for each tree species

(Figure 12).

Figure 12. Number of pre-Woolsey fire nests that persisted post-Woolsey fire sorted by tree species.

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The null hypothesis for studying the connection between tree type and the survival of the nest in the tree was that there is no correlation. To test whether tree type did play a part in determining nest survival, a chi-squared test was performed to evaluate the data.

The chi-squared value of the trees, even without a Yates continuity correction, was 2.15, with 5 degrees of freedom. This yields a p-value of 0.8274. With Yates continuity correction (which accounts for the low number of samples), the chi-square value of 0.4001, yielding a p-value of

0.99. Thus, the composition of trees that had active nests in 2018 was around the same composition of trees that had active nests in 2019 (after the Woolsey fire).

DISCUSSION

Wildfire activity in California has greatly increased, particularly in western U.S. forests

(Westerling et al. 2006, Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3). The trends of longer fire seasons with increased economic impact are projected to continue under plausible climate change scenarios, making it a priority to study how wildfires affect various species (National Assessment Synthesis

Team 2000, Houghten et al. 2001, Running 2006). Fire has a myriad of effects on the environment including soil, water quality, microbial communities, and vegetative dynamics.

With more data and analysis, government agencies and NGOs can potentially create more comprehensive plans for land management. Although Red-tailed hawks are known to be attracted to fire due to the flushing of prey, there have been few longitudinal studies on how populations of Red-tailed hawks change post-fire (Stoddard 1963). It would be prudent to study their long-term nesting success post-fire because Red-tailed hawks can serve as an indicator of ecosystem health (Dmowski 1999, Therrien et al. 2012). Historically raptors were used as

27 indicators of heavy metal pollution, since bioaccumulation occurred with their prey (Dmowski

1999). Other studies have also used raptor species to serve as indicators because top predators are sensitive to ecosystem changes, therefore changes in their numbers may reflect changes in environmental conditions (Therrien et al. 2012). Because of their status as useful indicators, keeping Red-tailed hawk population density stable and understanding how wildfires affect their nesting habits is of broad biological importance.

Multiple variables were considered in analyzing the effect of the Woolsey fire on the Red-tailed hawk nests in Ventura county. We hypothesized that tree type, geographic position, and relative position to the fire’s edge zone could influence nest persistence rates. To test this hypothesis, several statistical tools were employed.

The six different tree types which housed the nests all have different population sizes and distributions within Ventura County. All six are dry climate trees, which grow well in Southern

California (Trees for Ventura CA 2018, Pine Trees of California 2016, California Native Plant

Society 2007, Rowland et al. 2019). The relative frequencies and population sizes of these tree species allowed us to use a chi-squared test to determine if there is any association between tree species and nest persistence. From 2018 to 2019, there was no statistically meaningful change in tree composition used by the Red-tailed hawk for nests. That means the tree composition probably had little to no effect on nest persistence.

While tree composition did not change after the Woolsey fire, the proportion of nests found in each burn severity zone did change significantly. The higher the burn type, the more likely a nest was to be lost post-fire. This was likely due to the fact that all of the nests in high burn zones were completely destroyed. Nonetheless, even areas with no burn still lost nests. Of the nests located in no-burn areas, 11 (48%) became inactive (Figure 8, Figure 9, Figure 10). Furthermore,

28 the percentage of nests lost was largest in the non-burned area (Figure 8, Figure 9, Figure 10).

Since even unburned territory lost a large number of nests, fire can cause nests to be lost through means other than simply razing territory.

In 2018, most raptor nests found were located inside of the zone burned by the Woolsey fire

(Figure 9). Note that the GIS data only cataloged the perimeter of the fire without accounting for the intensity of the burn sites. Of the nests that did not persist post-fire, most were within the

Woolsey Fire zone, with only two exceptions (Figure 10). Nine of the nests that persisted post- fire were on the edge of the fire zone, thus indicating nest position is a significant factor in determining its persistence. There could be elements of edge habitat and habitat mosaics that affected nesting decisions that can be further studied. Other raptor species were found to prefer edge habitats and distribute accordingly (Sanchez et al. 1999).

Raptors are known to be attracted to recently burned areas due to lack of cover for their prey species (Ran et al. 2005). Smaller species, such as rabbits and mice, increase in density after a fire due to increased food resources (Tietje et al. 2008, Converse et al. 2006). While species such as these initially decrease in population size, they accumulate in early seral areas and rapidly reproduce (Converse 2006). These smaller species make up much of the Red-tailed hawks’ prey, the post-fire environment may provide greater food availability (Barro and Susan 1991, Lyon et al. 2000). Since food resources are not a limiting factor in nest persistence, other factors could play an important role.

The results of this study suggest that high and moderately burned areas will likely cause the nests to not persist due to viable nest and territory loss or the complete destruction of the actual nests.

In addition, even non-burned areas within the fire’s borders can be lost. Although recently burned areas attract the raptors, the Red-tailed hawks are still not nesting the following year post-

29 fire. One variable that might explain the variation in persistence of nests in non-burned areas was the location relative to the fire’s border. This geographic relationship is essential in understanding Red-tailed hawks’ nesting behavior.

The higher rates of nest persistence at the edge of the Woolsey fire can be illustrated by studying the layout of the nests relative to each other throughout the study area. In 2018, the nests were densely clustered on average but had a higher standard deviated distance from the central nesting location (defined as the average latitudinal and longitudinal position of all the active nests). This low distance from the average nest location indicates that the nests were close together on average but were well dispersed throughout Ventura County, as indicated by the higher standard deviation. In 2019, the nests were more spread out and were on average further from the central nesting location, with fewer nests going towards the center point. Thus, while the 2019 active nests were on average further from the average nesting spot, their average distance from the center was around the same for each nest. This indicates that 2019 nests were active more on the outskirts of the nesting territory, while 2018 nests were active throughout the nesting territory.

Thus, post-fire nests mostly existed at the outskirts of the fire, in the edge zone area.

One reason why nests persisted more on the edges of the Woolsey Fire may be due to urban Red- tailed hawks’ availability for greater land cover diversity and patch richness (Stout et al. 2006).

Nests bordering the Woolsey fire’s area of impact would likely have more land cover diversity due to the fire. Red-tailed hawks are known to nest in open woodlots or edges; the fire helped to create more edges within the environment, making it a more preferred nesting site (Howell,

James, et al. 1978).

Previous studies have concluded that the Red-tailed hawk species should be classified as a woodland edge-species, where there is an ecotone between a forest and open land (Bock and

30

Lepthien 1976). Furthermore, Bock and Lepthien (1976) classified Red-tailed hawks as open land species, which are animals whose preferred habitat would have less understory and cover.

The early seral stages created by the Woolsey fire became the ecotone for Red-tailed hawks.

Results from our study indicate that the Red-tailed hawk species fared better near the fire’s edge, with 75% of the persisting nests remaining active in the edge habitat of the Woolsey Fire. The edge habitat is the part of the ecosystem where the non-burned ecosystem met the burned ecosystem. Edge effects create highly productive areas that are beneficial to wildlife. The ecotone shares characteristics of both communities which usually creates more species richness and abundance (Kark 2007). The increase in productivity could explain why the Red-tailed hawks stayed at their historical nest site if their nest occupied an edge habitat. These birds of prey are generalists who could take advantage of increased species abundance. Since generalist species can thrive in wide varieties of environmental conditions, the generalists’ habitats would be those with high population numbers and species of prey items. Another study concluded similar habitat preferences in Red-tailed hawks where prey availability is highly correlated with habitat quality (Janes 1984).

The higher than average persistence of Red-tailed hawk nests that lie within the edge zone, especially among no burned nests, indicates two key outcomes. First, Red-tailed hawks can effectively thrive in territories with a varied rate of succession habitat. Second, even nests in microenvironments that are locally left unburned will likely degrade if the macro-environment is within the fire’s border.

The poorer habitat quality of non-edge zones could explain why so many of the nests were abandoned post-fire. The mated pairs could likely have abandoned the nests due to their poorer quality and relocated to higher quality habitats. Similar studies concluded that their Red-tailed

31 hawks nested at or near the edge of two habitats (Moorman and Bryan 1996). Moorman and

Bryan (1996) also concluded that this species nested closer to forest openings. The nests near the

Woolsey fire’s edge may have persisted thanks to the creation of early seral stage open land within the fire’s border next to unburned forested areas.

With the increase of fire disturbances and fire intensity in California, Red-tailed hawk survival could be negatively impacted due to their average nesting success of 80.1% and 1.36 young per laying pair (Stout et al. 2006). Their slow population growth rate would mean it would take longer for their populations to rise back to previous levels if there were to be more intense fires.

Fire disturbance from wildfire has a history of altering California’s ecosystems. There has been a steady increase in number of wildfires, intensity of wildfires, and duration time of wildfires due to climate change (Union of Concerned Scientists 2013). Due to the increasing effects that fire disturbances have on California environments, it is important to study the complexity of feedbacks and quantify both positive and negative influences it can have on the flora and fauna.

The change in fire regimes could have unforeseen consequences on the apex predators and the disturbance processes (Hovick et al. 2017). This research helps to quantify the effects that post- wildfire disturbances can have on Red-tailed hawks nesting habits.

Acknowledgements: Special thanks to Lena Lee for providing her previous works to the project.

Big thanks to Dr. Michael Wing and Dr. Susie Dunham with reviewing and assistance in the project and to Dr. Blaine Vogt for reviewing the project.

32

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