New Zealand’s land birds: state and trend
Susan Walker and Adrian Monks Landcare Research, Dunedin
Wild Things EDS Conference, Auckland August 12–13 2015 Thanks
The Ornithological Society of New Zealand Atlases of Bird Distribution in New Zealand
1970s “Atlas 1” 1999–2004 “Atlas 2”
http://www.osnz.org.nz/ Thanks
Photos John Hunt James Reardon Rachel McLennan Neil Fitzgerald Tim Rumble John Leathwick Craig McKenzie
Comments Bill Lee John Innes Barbara Anderson David Barrell Cilla Wehi Mainland land bird taxa Original MAINLAND land bird taxa 140
© Rachel McLennan Mainland land bird taxa “Extant” 96
Extinct 44
© Rachel McLennan MAINLAND land bird taxa
“Extant” 96
Extinct 44
Extinct (slide 1) post-Polynesian, post-European MAINLAND land bird taxa
“Extant” 96
Extinct 44
Extinct (slide 2) post-Polynesian, post-European Also gone or too rare “Extant”
TOO RARE ON THE MAINLAND TO MODEL Also gone or too rare
16
TOO RARE ON THE MAINLAND TO MODEL TOO RARE ON THE MAINLAND TO MODEL ON THE MAINLAND TO RARE TOO 16 Also gone or too rare too or Also gone 9
Northern New Zealand dotterel 9 Southern New Zealand dotterel Few not threatened 26 Remaining forest birds ` 20 ‘TAXA’ MODELLED Kiwi (all) Blue duck Kākā (NI,SI) Rifleman (NI,SI) Kōkako Whitehead Mōhua Brown creeper Kererū Bellbird Tūi Tomtit (NI,SI) Robin (NI,SI,StI) Weka (all) Yellow-crowned parakeet Long-tailed cuckoo Shining cuckoo Grey warbler Fantail (NI,SI) Morepork Remaining forest birds ` 20 ‘TAXA’ MODELLED Kiwi (all) Blue duck FAMILY- Kākā (NI,SI) level Rifleman (NI,SI) endemics Kōkako Whitehead SUB- Mōhua FAMILY Brown creeper endemics Kererū Bellbird GENUS Tūi level Tomtit (NI,SI) endemics Robin (NI,SI,StI) Weka (all) Yellow-crowned parakeet SPECIES Long-tailed cuckoo level Shining cuckoo endemics Grey warbler Fantail (NI,SI) Morepork NATIVE Local richness of remaining forest birds
Number of forest bird taxa per 10 × 10 km grid square
Change 1970s early 2000s in number of taxa RICHNESS CHANGE High Gain
Low Loss Greatest decrease in forests
Number of forest bird taxa per 10 × 10 km grid square
North Island South Island
8
7
6
5 Number of forest bird taxa per per square taxa bird Number of forest 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
% Indigenous forest cover (early 2000s) Which birds?
Irreplaceability-vulnerability
Predictors of loss • Deep (family-level) endemics • Already absent from deforested landscapes • Already rare Deep endemics going faster
Number of forest bird taxa per 10 × 10 km grid square that are endemic at the family level (deepest endemism) (Kiwi, Blue duck, Rifleman, Kākā, Kōkako)
North Island South Island 1.4
1.0
ENDEMIC -
0.6
0.2
forest bird taxa per per square taxa bird forest Number Number of FAMILY
20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100
% Indigenous forest cover (early 2000s) The rare became rarer
North Island South + Stewart Islands Gain Shining Yc parakeet 0.2 Grey Grey Brown Robin cuckoo Shining cuckoo warbler Robin warbler creeper Tui Bellbird Whitehead Bellbird Kereru Fantail Kiwi Fantail Tomtit Morepork Tui Morepork Yc parakeet Tomtit Kereru Long-tailed cuckoo Rifleman -0.2 Long-tailed cuckoo Kaka Mohua Weka Loss -0.4 Kiwi Kaka Weka -0.6 Rifleman
-0.8 Kokako Blue duck -1.0 Blue duck COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (1970s) The rare became rarer
North Island South + Stewart Islands Gain
Shining Robin Yc parakeet 0.2 cuckoo Robin Grey Brown Grey Bellbird warbler creeper Shining cuckoo warbler Tui Whitehead Fantail Kiwi Fantail Kereru Tomtit Morepork Bellbird Tui Morepork Yc parakeet Tomtit Kereru Long-tailed cuckoo Rifleman -0.2 Long-tailed cuckoo Kaka Mohua Weka Loss -0.4 Kiwi Weka Kaka -0.6 Rifleman
-0.8 Kokako Blue duck -1.0 Blue duck COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (2000s) CHANGE
Gain
Loss CHANGE
Gain
Loss
© Tim Rumble CHANGE
Gain
Loss
© John Leathwick Remaining waders, terns and gulls (Order Charadriiformes)
13 ‘TAXA’ MODELLED Banded dotterel New Zealand dotterel (NI,SI) Wrybill
South island pied oystercatcher Variable oystercatcher
Black stilt Pied stilt
Black-fronted tern Caspian tern White-fronted tern
Black-billed gull Red-billed gull Black-backed gull Local richness of remaining waders, terns and gulls
Number of taxa per 10 × 10 km grid square Change 1970s Early 2000s in number of taxa RICHNESS High
Low
CHANGE
Gain
Loss Significant decreases inland
especially South Island, … but also North Island
Change North Island South + Stewart Islands in number of taxa
3
2
1 gull taxa per per square taxa gull
Number of wader, tern andtern Number of wader, CHANGE
Gain COAST INLAND COAST INLAND Distance from coast Loss Which birds? Predictors of loss • Endemic • Inland-breeding Banded dotterel New Zealand dotterel (NI,SI) Wrybill
South island pied oystercatcher Variable oystercatcher
Black stilt Pied stilt
Black-fronted tern Caspian tern White-fronted tern
Black-billed gull Red-billed gull Black-backed gull On the coast Many coastal-breeders increased
North Island South + Stewart Islands
Variable oystercatcher 0.4 Variable oystercatcher Gain Black-fronted tern White-fronted tern 0.2 Caspian tern South Island Caspian tern Wrybill Red-billed gull pied oystercatcher White-fronted tern New Zealand dotterel Red-billed gull Southern black- Pied stilt South Island pied oystercatcher Black-billed gull backed gull Southern black- Pied stilt Banded dotterel Wrybill backed gull Banded dotterel Black-billed gull -0.2 Black stilt Loss -0.4 New Zealand dotterel
COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (1970s)
© Craig McKenzie On the coast Many coastal-breeders increased
North Island South + Stewart Islands
Variable oystercatcher 0.4 Gain Variable oystercatcher Black-fronted tern White-fronted tern 0.2 Caspian tern South Island Caspian tern Wrybill Red-billed gull pied oystercatcher White-fronted tern New Zealand dotterel Red-billed gull Southern black- Pied stilt South Island pied oystercatcher Black-billed gull backed gull Southern black- Pied stilt Banded dotterel Wrybill backed gull Banded dotterel Black-billed gull -0.2 Black stilt Loss -0.4 New Zealand dotterel
COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (2000s)
© Craig McKenzie Inland Loss of inland breeders
North Island South Island
0.4 Gain 0.2
Southern black- Black- Caspian tern Pied stilt backed gull fronted tern Black stilt Southern black- Red-billed gull Wrybill backed gull Banded dotterel Caspian tern -0.2 South Island pied Red-billed gull Wrybill Pied stilt Loss Black-billed gull oystercatcher Black-billed gull Banded dotterel -0.4 South Island pied oystercatcher
COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (1970s)
© Craig McKenzie Inland Loss of inland breeders
North Island South Island
0.4 Gain 0.2
Southern black- Caspian tern Black- backed gull Pied stilt fronted tern Black stilt Southern black- Red-billed gull Wrybill backed gull Banded dotterel -0.2 Caspian tern Red-billed gull Wrybill South Island pied Pied stilt Loss Black-billed gull oystercatcher Black-billed gull Banded dotterel -0.4 South Island pied oystercatcher
COMMON RARE COMMON RARE Rarity (2000s)
© Craig McKenzie Conclusions
Rapid loss of endemic birds continues on the mainland The most significant avian biodiversity loss is in forests and inland basins, far from cities A new scale of operational conservation will be needed to slow it