Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form
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Portugal – an Atlantic Extreme Weather Lab
Portugal – an Atlantic extreme weather lab Nuno Moreira ([email protected]) 6th HIGH-LEVEL INDUSTRY-SCIENCE-GOVERNMENT DIALOGUE ON ATLANTIC INTERACTIONS ALL-ATLANTIC SUMMIT ON INNOVATION FOR SUSTAINABLE MARINE DEVELOPMENT AND THE BLUE ECONOMY: FOSTERING ECONOMIC RECOVERY IN A POST-PANDEMIC WORLD 7th October 2020 Portugal in the track of extreme extra-tropical storms Spatial distribution of positions where rapid cyclogenesis reach their minimum central pressure ECMWF ERA 40 (1958-2000) Events per DJFM season: Source: Trigo, I., 2006: Climatology and interannual variability of storm-tracks in the Euro-Atlantic sector: a comparison between ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses. Climate Dynamics volume 26, pages127–143. Portugal in the track of extreme extra-tropical storms Spatial distribution of positions where rapid cyclogenesis reach their minimum central pressure Azores and mainland Portugal On average: 1 rapid cyclogenesis every 1 or 2 wet seasons ECMWF ERA 40 (1958-2000) Events per DJFM season: Source: Trigo, I., 2006: Climatology and interannual variability of storm-tracks in the Euro-Atlantic sector: a comparison between ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses. Climate Dynamics volume 26, pages127–143. … affected by sting jets of extra-tropical storms… Example of a rapid cyclogenesis with a sting jet over mainland 00:00 UTC, 23 Dec 2009 Source: Pinto, P. and Belo-Pereira, M., 2020: Damaging Convective and Non-Convective Winds in Southwestern Iberia during Windstorm Xola. Atmosphere, 11(7), 692. … affected by sting jets of extra-tropical storms… Example of a rapid cyclogenesis with a sting jet over mainland Maximum wind gusts: Official station 140 km/h Private station 00:00 UTC, 23 Dec 2009 203 km/h (in the most affected area) Source: Pinto, P. -
Visitor Profile
` VISITOR PROFILE How did visitors get here? Q3 '12 Q3 '11 (%) change 2012 YTD 2011 YTD (%) change Air 80,852 79,917 1.17% 187,657 191,203 -1.85% Cruise 179,124 187,240 -4.33% 343,194 348,951 -1.65% Yacht 153 177 -13.56% 4,387 2,817 55.73% Total 260,129 267,334 -2.70% 535,238 542,971 -1.42% Total visitors to Bermuda during the third quarter of 2012 fell 2.7% compared to the same quarter in 2011. A total of 260,129 visitors arrived on the island during this period compared to 267,334 in 2011. This decline was mainly due to an 8% decline in the number of cruise ship calls for this period. While all other modes of arrival to the island were down, air arrivals were up by over 1%, despite of the threat of Hurricane Leslie in the month of September, which resulted in several cancelled flights. Air arrivals totaled 80,852 visitors in the third quarter, up from 79,917 visitors during the same period in 2011. The majority of visitors continue to originate from the United States, remaining constant with 77% of all visitors. Canada experienced strong growth in the third quarter, with an increase of almost 14%, their market share gaining by one percentage point and now representing 9% of all visitors to the island. Visitors from the Rest of the World also increased in the third quarter by over 11%, while visitors from the United Kingdom and Europe both declined by 2% and 11% respectively. -
2007 Report Is Influence Communication’S First Full National Edition
Credits Analysts Eric Léveillé David Lamarche Jean-François Dumas Jean Lambert Marie-France Cloutier Anthony Wu Systems and Data Manager Daniel Gagné Data Assistant Patricia Broquet Production TP1 Communication électronique Graphics Konige Communications Proofing Jean Lambert © Influence Communication, 2007 ISBN 978-2-9810310-2-0 Legal deposit - Bibliothèque et Archives nationales du Québec, 2007 Legal deposit - Archives and Library of Canada, 2007 All rights reserved in all countries. Reproduction by whatever means and translation, even partial, are forbidden without prior consent from Influence Communication. Welcome message It’s that time of year again. Time to take a look back at the year 2007 and review the stories and events Canadian editors, journalists, writers and reporters, their news organizations and outlets from across the country thought Canadians and the rest of the world should know about. It’s also time to look at the trends shaping the news information industry in Canada. Influence Communication gathers, analyses and catalogs ─ on a daily basis ─ each and every element of print, electronic and digital news information produced in Canada. Its work allows professionals from the media as well as public, media and government relations professionals to better understand the news industry in Canada and across the world in over 120 countries. The State of the News Media across Canada in 2007 report is Influence Communication’s first full national edition. This public report also features the 2007 International News Countdown , a review of the Top 10 international news stories of the past year. This study was a feature component at the recently held NewsXchange conference in Berlin. -
4. the TROPICS—HJ Diamond and CJ Schreck, Eds
4. THE TROPICS—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck, Eds. Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were a. Overview—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck all particularly quiet, each having about half their The Tropics in 2017 were dominated by neutral median ACE. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) condi- Three tropical cyclones (TCs) reached the Saffir– tions during most of the year, with the onset of Simpson scale category 5 intensity level—two in the La Niña conditions occurring during boreal autumn. North Atlantic and one in the western North Pacific Although the year began ENSO-neutral, it initially basins. This number was less than half of the eight featured cooler-than-average sea surface tempera- category 5 storms recorded in 2015 (Diamond and tures (SSTs) in the central and east-central equatorial Schreck 2016), and was one fewer than the four re- Pacific, along with lingering La Niña impacts in the corded in 2016 (Diamond and Schreck 2017). atmospheric circulation. These conditions followed The editors of this chapter would like to insert two the abrupt end of a weak and short-lived La Niña personal notes recognizing the passing of two giants during 2016, which lasted from the July–September in the field of tropical meteorology. season until late December. Charles J. Neumann passed away on 14 November Equatorial Pacific SST anomalies warmed con- 2017, at the age of 92. Upon graduation from MIT siderably during the first several months of 2017 in 1946, Charlie volunteered as a weather officer in and by late boreal spring and early summer, the the Navy’s first airborne typhoon reconnaissance anomalies were just shy of reaching El Niño thresh- unit in the Pacific. -
ISAIAS (AL092020) 30 July–4 August 2020
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT HURRICANE ISAIAS (AL092020) 30 July–4 August 2020 Andy Latto, Andrew Hagen, and Robbie Berg National Hurricane Center 1 11 June 2021 GOES-16 10.3-µM INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE OF HURRICANE ISAIAS AT 0310 UTC 04 AUGUST 2020 AS IT MADE LANDFALL NEAR OCEAN ISLE BEACH, NORTH CAROLINA. Isaias was a hurricane that formed in the eastern Caribbean Sea. The storm affected the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, the Bahamas, and a large portion of the eastern United States. 1 Original report date 30 March 2021. Second version on 15 April updated Figure 12. This version corrects a wind gust value in the Winds and Pressures section and the track length of a tornado in Delaware. Hurricane Isaias 2 Table of Contents SYNOPTIC HISTORY .......................................................................................... 3 METEOROLOGICAL STATISTICS ...................................................................... 5 Winds and Pressure ........................................................................................... 5 Caribbean Islands and Bahamas ..................................................................... 6 United States ................................................................................................... 6 Rainfall and Flooding ......................................................................................... 7 Storm Surge ....................................................................................................... 8 Tornadoes ....................................................................................................... -
The Operational Challenges of Forecasting TC Intensity Change in the Presence of Dry Air and Strong Vertical Shear
The Operational Challenges of Forecasting TC Intensity Change in the Presence of Dry Air and Strong Vertical Shear Jamie R. Rhome,* and Richard D. Knabb NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL 1. INTRODUCTION to an incomplete specification of the initial moisture conditions, dynamical model forecasts of middle- to Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity changes involve upper-tropospheric humidity often have large errors. complex interactions between many environmental Beyond the problems with observing and forecasting factors, including vertical wind shear and the humidity, TC intensity forecasts become particularly thermodynamic properties of the ambient atmosphere challenging when dry air is accompanied by moderate to and ocean. While the effects of each factor are not strong vertical shear. completely understood, even less is known about the Much of the current understanding on the response effects of these factors working in tandem. Emanuel et of a TC to vertical shear comes from idealized studies. It al. (2004) proposed that “storm intensity in a sheared has been shown that strong vertical shear typically results environment is sensitive to the ambient humidity” and in the convective pattern of the TC becoming cautioned “against considering the various environmental increasingly asymmetric followed by a downshear tilt of influences on storm intensity as operating independently the vortex (Frank and Ritchie 2001, Bender 1997). To from each other.” Along these lines, Dunion and Velden keep the tilted TC vortex quasi-balanced, the (2004) have examined the combined effects of vertical diabatically-driven secondary circulation aligns itself to shear and dry air on TCs during interactions with the produce an asymmetry in vertical motion that favors Saharan Air Layer (SAL). -
Mobile Weather & Marine Almanac 2018
2018 Mobile Weather and Marine Almanac 2017: A Year of Devastating Hurricanes Prepared by Assisted by Dr. Bill Williams Pete McCarty Coastal Weather Coastal Weather Research Center Research Center www.mobileweatheralmanac.com Christmas Town & Village Collectibles RobertMooreChristmasTown.com • 251-661-3608 4213 Halls Mill Road Mobile, Alabama Mon.-Sat. 10-5 Closed Sunday 2018 Mobile Weather and Marine Almanac© 28th Edition Dr. Bill Williams Pete McCarty TABLE OF CONTENTS Astronomical Events for 2018 ....................................................................... 2 Astronomical and Meteorological Calendar for 2018 .................................. 3 2017 Mobile Area Weather Highlights ........................................................ 15 2017 National Weather Highlights .............................................................. 16 2017 Hurricane Season ............................................................................... 17 2018 Hurricane Tracking Chart ................................................................... 18 2017 Hurricane Season in Review .............................................................. 20 Harvey and Irma - Structurally Different, but Major Impacts .................... 22 Tropical Storms and Hurricanes 1990-2017 .............................................. 24 World Weather Extremes ............................................................................ 26 Mobile Weather Extremes ........................................................................... 28 Alabama Deep Sea -
Hurricane Irma
Information Bulletin Americas: Hurricane Irma Information Bulletin no. 4 Date of issue: 11 September 2017 Point of contact: Felipe Del Cid, Disaster and Crisis Department Period covered by this bulletin: 9– Continental Operations Coordinator, email: [email protected] 11 September 2017 Red Cross Movement actors currently involved in the operation: The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), American Red Cross, Antigua and Barbuda Red Cross, British Red Cross overseas branches, Bahamas Red Cross Society, Canadian Red Cross Society, Cuban Red Cross, Dominican Red Cross Society, French Red Cross-PIRAC (Regional Intervention Platform for the Americas and the Caribbean), Haiti Red Cross Society, Italian Red Cross, Netherlands Red Cross overseas branches, Norwegian Red Cross, Saint Kitts and Nevis Red Cross Society, Spanish Red Cross, Swiss Red Cross, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). N° of other partner organizations involved in the operation: Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA), United Nations system agencies (UNICEF, WFP, FAO, OCHA, IOM), DG-ECHO, Pan American Health Organization [PAHO], government of affected countries, USAID/OFDA, DFID, among others. This bulletin is being issued for information only; it reflects the current situation and details available at this time. Information bulletins no.1, 2 and 3 are available here. The Situation On 11 September, the centre of Tropical Storm Irma was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 83.1 West at 11:00 EDT. The centre of Irma is in southwestern Georgia at present. On the forecast track, it will move into eastern Alabama Tuesday morning. After its passage through Cuba on 9 September, Irma severely impacted northern and central Cuba, causing coastal and river flooding. -
Tuesday, August 25, 2020 8:30 A.M. ET National Current Operations and Monitoring
Tuesday, August 25, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET National Current Operations and Monitoring Significant Incidents or Threats: • Tropical Cyclones Laura and Marco – Preparations and Response • Severe thunderstorms possible – Upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes • Severe thunderstorms, heavy rain, and flash flooding possible – Gulf Coast into the Southeast • Wildfire activity • COVID-19 Tropical Activity: • Atlantic: o Tropical Cyclone Laura o Post-Tropical Cyclone Marco – FINAL • Eastern Pacific: o Disturbance 1: High (90%) o Disturbance 2: High (70%) o Disturbance 3: Low (30%) • Central Pacific: No activity affecting U.S. interests • Western Pacific: No activity affecting U.S. interests Declaration Activity: • Approval: Emergency Declaration –Texas • 7 Amendments Hurricane Laura SATELLITE LOOP 7 AM CDT • WNW at 17mph • 991 mb • 75 mph Hurricane Laura FORECAST TRACK 7 AM CDT • WNW at 17mph • 991 mb • 75 mph Hurricane Laura FORECAST TRACK 7 AM CDT • WNW at 17mph • 991 mb • 75 mph Hurricane Laura MOST LIKELY ARRIVAL OF TS WINDS TS Wind Probabilities Gulfport, MS 18% New Orleans, LA 35% Lafayette, LA 73% Lake Charles, LA 88% Port Arthur, TX 85% Galveston, TX 77% Port O Connor, TX 30% Hurricane Laura HURRICANE WIND PROBABILITIES Hurricane Probabilities Lafayette, LA 12% Lake Charles, LA 33% Port Arthur, TX 35% Galveston, TX 24% Houston, TX 9% Hurricane Laura PEAK STORM SURGE FORECAST Hurricane Laura 5 DAY RAINFALL 10 in 6 in 4 in 2 in 1 in 4 – 8” Isolated 12” Hurricane Laura FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL East Pacific Overview TROPICAL OUTLOOK Central Pacific Overview TROPICAL OUTLOOK Tropical Cyclones Laura and Marco – Preparations/Response Situation: Post Tropical Cyclone Marco remains south of Morgan City, LA and will dissipate Wednesday. -
Cyclone Fani Decision Making Exercise
Cyclone Fani (2019) Assessment Time: 45 minutes Resources Assessment booklet (this booklet) A4 colour resource booklet Pen Instructions . Make sure you have all of the resources needed. Write your name, class, and today’s date b e lo w. Answer only in this booklet, using the resource booklet when instructed. Make sure you check your Spelling, Punctuation, and Grammar (SPaG). Attempt all questions. Marks available for each question are shown in brackets. Do not open either this booklet or the resource booklet until told to do so. Section A /7 B /6 C /15 D /17 Total /45 Name Date Cla ss Section A A disturbance has been detected in the Indian Ocean over the weekend of 27 -28 April 2019 . Tropical thunderstorms have begun to organise into a cyclone . 1. For a tropical cyclone to form, what is the lowest sea -surface temperature required? (1) 2. What do we mean when we say thunderstorms have ‘ organised’ into a cyclone? (2) .......................................................................................................................................................... .......................................................................................................................................................... The Indian Government’s Metrological Department had already flagged the disturbance as likely to develop into a tropical cyclone and satellite imagery provided by NOAA (USA) now shows the structure of the storm (Fig 1.). 3. What is the arc -shaped feature of the storm labelled A? (1) ............................................................................................................................................. -
Phd Literature Review
Measuring Media Coverage of Electricity Public Policy in New Zealand for the period 2006-2007 : A new approach Jeanette Susan Elley A thesis submitted to Auckland University of Technology in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) 2014 Institute of Public Policy Faculty of Culture and Society Primary Supervisor : Marilyn J. Waring Second Supervisor: L. Grant Duncan Contents Contents 2 List of Figures 5 List of Tables 10 List of Example Articles 11 Attestation of Authorship 12 Acknowledgements 13 Abstract 14 Chapter 1 – Introduction 16 1.1 Overview 16 1.2 Fields of Investigation 20 1.3 Chapter Guide 23 Chapter 2 – Literature Review 24 2.1 Introduction 24 2.2 Media Context 24 2.3 Political Economy and Electricity 53 2.4 Comparable Studies 83 2.5 Conclusion 100 Chapter 3 – Categorisation Framework 102 3.1 Introduction 102 3.2 Constructing the Categorisation Framework 103 3.3 Issues Affecting the Electricity Sector 119 3.4 Combined Influences on Electricity Sector Policy 126 3.5 Comparisons with Other Models 128 3.6 Conclusion 140 2 Chapter 4 – Research Design 142 4.1 Introduction 142 4.2 Methodology 144 4.3 Research Process 159 4.4 Categorisation 181 4.5 Key Indicators 213 4.6 Processing Features 227 4.7 Article Selection 256 4.8 Conclusion 272 Chapter 5 – Data 273 5.1 Overview 273 5.2 Topic Set Results 279 5.3 Case Study Results 309 5.4 Parameter Set Results 328 5.5 Conclusion 351 Chapter 6 – Discussion 355 6.1 Introduction 355 6.2 Addressing Thesis Questions 356 6.3 Case Study Analysis 363 6.4 Other -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard.