Quick viewing(Text Mode)

National Tracking Poll 200233

National Tracking Poll 200233

National Tracking Poll

Project: 200233 N Size: 1990 Registered Voters Margin of Error:  2% Topline Report February 15-17, 2020 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 802 40% Wrong Track 1188 60% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job is doing as President? Strongly Approve 501 25% Somewhat Approve 344 17% Somewhat Disapprove 225 11% Strongly Disapprove 844 42% Don’t Know / No Opinion 76 4% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 845 42% Total Disapprove 1069 54% Don’t Know / No Opinion 76 4% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, 518 26% unemployment, and spending Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and 345 17% border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, 373 19% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security 339 17% Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal 107 5% pay Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, 106 5% , and student loans Energy Issues – like carbon emissions, cost of 112 6% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 90 5%

Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state? Absolutely certain to vote 1412 71% Very likely 278 14% About 50-50 156 8% Not too likely 53 3% Not likely at all 92 5% POL2 Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? (N=1,845) Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 905 49% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 657 36% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 102 6% Don’t know / No opinion 182 10% POL3 Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020? (N=657) Strongly support Trump’s nomination 504 77% Somewhat support Trump’s nomination 86 13% Somewhat support a different candidate’s nomination 31 5% Strongly support a different candidate’s nomination 25 4% Don’t know / No opinion 11 2% POL4_1 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress 742 37% Republicans in Congress 891 45% Don’t know / No opinion 358 18% POL4_2 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress 756 38% Republicans in Congress 866 44% Don’t know / No opinion 369 19% POL4_3 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress 953 48% Republicans in Congress 684 34% Don’t know / No opinion 352 18% POL4_4 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress 805 40% Republicans in Congress 850 43% Don’t know / No opinion 335 17%

Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_5 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress 1023 51% Republicans in Congress 523 26% Don’t know / No opinion 444 22% POL4_6 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 884 44% Republicans in Congress 660 33% Don’t know / No opinion 446 22% POL4_7 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress 914 46% Republicans in Congress 655 33% Don’t know / No opinion 420 21% POL4_8 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress 699 35% Republicans in Congress 901 45% Don’t know / No opinion 390 20% POL4_9 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace Democrats in Congress 881 44% Republicans in Congress 530 27% Don’t know / No opinion 579 29% POL4_10 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy Democrats in Congress 786 40% Republicans in Congress 807 41% Don’t know / No opinion 396 20% POL4_11 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Protecting Medicare and Social Security Democrats in Congress 946 48% Republicans in Congress 648 33% Don’t know / No opinion 396 20% POL5_1 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority 1057 53% An important, but lower priority 525 26% Not too important a priority 150 8% Should not be done 69 3% Don’t know / No opinion 189 10%

Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL5_2 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to address A top priority 798 40% An important, but lower priority 450 23% Not too important a priority 323 16% Should not be done 245 12% Don’t know / No opinion 174 9% POL5_3 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reduce A top priority 632 32% An important, but lower priority 569 29% Not too important a priority 340 17% Should not be done 229 12% Don’t know / No opinion 221 11% POL5_4 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority 712 36% An important, but lower priority 745 37% Not too important a priority 205 10% Should not be done 35 2% Don’t know / No opinion 292 15% POL5_5 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 759 38% An important, but lower priority 645 32% Not too important a priority 255 13% Should not be done 96 5% Don’t know / No opinion 235 12% POL5_6 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / border A top priority 533 27% An important, but lower priority 298 15% Not too important a priority 263 13% Should not be done 733 37% Don’t know / No opinion 164 8%

Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL5_7 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority 593 30% An important, but lower priority 572 29% Not too important a priority 300 15% Should not be done 322 16% Don’t know / No opinion 204 10% POL5_8 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget decit A top priority 928 47% An important, but lower priority 649 33% Not too important a priority 164 8% Should not be done 36 2% Don’t know / No opinion 213 11% POL5_9 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional restrictions on gun ownership A top priority 698 35% An important, but lower priority 420 21% Not too important a priority 246 12% Should not be done 443 22% Don’t know / No opinion 183 9% POL5_10 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Regulating tech companies A top priority 325 16% An important, but lower priority 676 34% Not too important a priority 579 29% Should not be done 123 6% Don’t know / No opinion 286 14% POL6_1 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sen. (I-Vt.) winning the Democratic presidential primary A lot 665 33% Some 662 33% Not much 281 14% Nothing at all 381 19%

Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_2 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) ordering Amazon and Google to share records in their antitrust investigation A lot 128 6% Some 361 18% Not much 508 26% Nothing at all 993 50% POL6_3 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The Democratic Party chairman resigning A lot 227 11% Some 509 26% Not much 430 22% Nothing at all 825 41% POL6_4 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? President Trump criticizing the Justice Department’s decision to recommend a 7- to 9-year prison sentence for Roger Stone A lot 610 31% Some 482 24% Not much 326 16% Nothing at all 572 29% POL6_5 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? South Korean director Bong Joon-ho’s ’Parasite’ winning Best Picture at the Oscars A lot 403 20% Some 527 27% Not much 332 17% Nothing at all 727 37% POL6_6 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Houston Astros owner Jim Crane and team players publicly apologizing for and answering questions related to the team’s cheating scandal A lot 301 15% Some 430 22% Not much 404 20% Nothing at all 856 43% POL6_7 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? An audio recording of discussing the ’stop and frisk’ policing practice he oversaw as mayor of City A lot 366 18% Some 488 25% Not much 408 21% Nothing at all 727 37%

Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_8 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Rush Limbaugh receiving the Presidential Medal of Freedom A lot 594 30% Some 529 27% Not much 306 15% Nothing at all 561 28% POL7 Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? There is less corruption in since President 482 24% Donald Trump took office There is more corruption in Washington since President 1017 51% Donald Trump took office Don’t know / No opinion 491 25% POL8 As you may know, the House of Representatives impeached President Trump in December on two articles that accused him of abusing his presidential power and obstructing its investigation into his conduct.Do you approve or disapprove of the House of Representatives impeaching President Trump? Strongly approve 749 38% Somewhat approve 209 10% Somewhat disapprove 153 8% Strongly disapprove 737 37% Don’t know / No opinion 142 7% POL9 As you may know, the Senate recently acquitted President Trump on both impeachment articles, meaning he will not be removed from office. Do you approve or disapprove of the Senate acquitting President Trump? Strongly approve 724 36% Somewhat approve 187 9% Somewhat disapprove 169 8% Strongly disapprove 753 38% Don’t know / No opinion 158 8% POL10 Do you believe the Senate’s decision to acquit President Trump in its impeachment trial will: Hurt his chances of re-election 212 11% Have no impact on his chances of re-election 590 30% Help his chances of re-election 823 41% Don’t know / No opinion 365 18%

Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL11 As you may know, Roger Stone, a former Trump campaign adviser, was recently convicted of seven felonies related to the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. The Justice Department initially recommended that Stone be sentenced to 7 to 9 years in prison, but Attorney General reduced the recommended sentencing.Do you support or oppose the Justice Department’s decision to reduce Roger Stone’s recommended sentence? Strongly support 296 15% Somewhat support 208 10% Somewhat oppose 219 11% Strongly oppose 593 30% Don’t know / No opinion 674 34% POL12 As you may know, President Trump recently removed , former European Union ambassador, and Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, a expert on the National Security Council, from their roles following their testimony in House impeachment hearings.Based on what you know, do you support or oppose President Trump’s decision to re Gordan Sondland and Alexander Vindman? Strongly support 405 20% Somewhat support 180 9% Somewhat oppose 189 9% Strongly oppose 606 30% Don’t know / No opinion 611 31% POL13 Once again, which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither are exactly right? There is less corruption in Washington since President 490 25% Donald Trump took office There is more corruption in Washington since President 1001 50% Donald Trump took office Don’t know / No opinion 499 25% POL14_1 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Businessperson 82 4% Michael Bloomberg 913 46% 44 2% 34 2% 30 1% Bernie Sanders 79 4% 222 11% 44 2% Don’t Know / No Opinion 542 27%

Page | 8 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL14_2 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Politician Joe Biden 695 35% Michael Bloomberg 173 9% Pete Buttigieg 96 5% Tulsi Gabbard 45 2% Amy Klobuchar 52 3% Bernie Sanders 251 13% Tom Steyer 34 2% Elizabeth Warren 148 7% Don’t Know / No Opinion 495 25% POL14_3 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Teacher Joe Biden 80 4% Michael Bloomberg 71 4% Pete Buttigieg 52 3% Tulsi Gabbard 89 4% Amy Klobuchar 175 9% Bernie Sanders 115 6% Tom Steyer 56 3% Elizabeth Warren 375 19% Don’t Know / No Opinion 977 49% POL14_4 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Socialist Joe Biden 63 3% Michael Bloomberg 64 3% Pete Buttigieg 45 2% Tulsi Gabbard 26 1% Amy Klobuchar 39 2% Bernie Sanders 1067 54% Tom Steyer 43 2% Elizabeth Warren 73 4% Don’t Know / No Opinion 570 29%

Page | 9 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL14_5 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Moderate Joe Biden 276 14% Michael Bloomberg 176 9% Pete Buttigieg 193 10% Tulsi Gabbard 119 6% Amy Klobuchar 179 9% Bernie Sanders 105 5% Tom Steyer 90 5% Elizabeth Warren 98 5% Don’t Know / No Opinion 755 38% POL14_6 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Liberal Joe Biden 135 7% Michael Bloomberg 85 4% Pete Buttigieg 150 8% Tulsi Gabbard 49 2% Amy Klobuchar 70 4% Bernie Sanders 485 24% Tom Steyer 68 3% Elizabeth Warren 378 19% Don’t Know / No Opinion 570 29% POL14_7 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Underdog Joe Biden 138 7% Michael Bloomberg 84 4% Pete Buttigieg 250 13% Tulsi Gabbard 312 16% Amy Klobuchar 215 11% Bernie Sanders 139 7% Tom Steyer 162 8% Elizabeth Warren 128 6% Don’t Know / No Opinion 561 28%

Page | 10 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL14_8 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Electable Joe Biden 243 12% Michael Bloomberg 262 13% Pete Buttigieg 190 10% Tulsi Gabbard 71 4% Amy Klobuchar 105 5% Bernie Sanders 310 16% Tom Steyer 37 2% Elizabeth Warren 96 5% Don’t Know / No Opinion 677 34% POL14_9 You will now see a list of traits and the remaining candidates running to be the Democratic presidential nominee. For each of the traits, please select the Democratic candidate who it best describes Independent Joe Biden 54 3% Michael Bloomberg 214 11% Pete Buttigieg 96 5% Tulsi Gabbard 137 7% Amy Klobuchar 85 4% Bernie Sanders 312 16% Tom Steyer 157 8% Elizabeth Warren 71 4% Don’t Know / No Opinion 864 43% POL15 In your view, of the following, who has been the most successful businessperson? Donald Trump 687 35% Michael Bloomberg 769 39% Tom Steyer 136 7% Don’t know / No opinion 398 20% POL16_1NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Joe Biden Selected 186 9% Not Selected 1804 91% POL16_2NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Michael Bloomberg Selected 204 10% Not Selected 1786 90%

Page | 11 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL16_3NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Pete Buttigieg Selected 147 7% Not Selected 1843 93% POL16_4NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Tulsi Gabbard Selected 61 3% Not Selected 1929 97% POL16_5NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Amy Klobuchar Selected 117 6% Not Selected 1873 94% POL16_6NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Bernie Sanders Selected 1219 61% Not Selected 771 39% POL16_7NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Tom Steyer Selected 100 5% Not Selected 1890 95% POL16_8NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Elizabeth Warren Selected 420 21% Not Selected 1570 79% POL16_9NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. None of the Above Selected 67 3% Not Selected 1923 97%

Page | 12 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL16_10NET Based on what you know, which of the following candidates, if any, running to be the Democratic presidential nominee identify as democratic socialists? Please select all that apply. Don’t Know / No Opinion Selected 488 25% Not Selected 1502 75% POL17 As you may know, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) identies as a democratic socialist. Knowing this, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for him in the Democratic nomination contest? Much more likely 234 12% Somewhat more likely 175 9% Neither more nor less likely 639 32% Somewhat less likely 169 9% Much less likely 772 39% POL18 Do you support or oppose a insurance option – a system in which all Americans can choose to purchase coverage either from a government-run health program or private insurers? Strongly support 629 32% Somewhat support 611 31% Somewhat oppose 159 8% Strongly oppose 208 10% Don’t know/No opinion 382 19% POL19 And, would you support or oppose a plan that would automatically enroll Americans in a public health insurance option and retroactively charge them for this coverage if they choose not to enroll in other health insurance coverage, either from a public or private insurer? Strongly support 189 9% Somewhat support 300 15% Somewhat oppose 311 16% Strongly oppose 751 38% Don’t know/No opinion 440 22% POL20 If you had the option to enroll in a government-run health plan, offering the same essential benets as current Affordable Care Act plans, and decline your current private insurance coverage, how likely are you to choose the government-run program? Very likely 284 14% Somewhat likely 389 20% Somewhat unlikely 225 11% Very unlikely 521 26% Don’t know/No opinion 572 29%

Page | 13 Question Response Frequency Percentage POLx_1 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 502 25% Total Unfavorable 856 43% Heard Of, No Opinion 376 19% Never Heard Of 257 13% POLx_2 Favorability for Total Favorable 647 32% Total Unfavorable 1069 54% Heard Of, No Opinion 188 9% Never Heard Of 86 4% POLx_3 Favorability for Charles Schumer Total Favorable 467 23% Total Unfavorable 789 40% Heard Of, No Opinion 401 20% Never Heard Of 333 17% POLx_4 Favorability for Total Favorable 750 38% Total Unfavorable 889 45% Heard Of, No Opinion 260 13% Never Heard Of 91 5% POLx_5 Favorability for Donald Trump Total Favorable 842 42% Total Unfavorable 1038 52% Heard Of, No Opinion 91 5% Never Heard Of 19 1% POLx_6 Favorability for Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 758 38% Total Unfavorable 1005 51% Heard Of, No Opinion 171 9% Never Heard Of 56 3%

Page | 14 Question Response Frequency Percentage POLx_7 Favorability for Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 798 40% Total Unfavorable 966 49% Heard Of, No Opinion 169 9% Never Heard Of 57 3% POLx_9 Favorability for Kevin McCarthy Total Favorable 313 16% Total Unfavorable 525 26% Heard Of, No Opinion 599 30% Never Heard Of 554 28% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

Page | 15 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemAll Registered Voters 1990 100% xdemGender Gender: Male 931 47% Gender: Female 1059 53% N 1990 age5 Age: 18-29 337 17% Age: 30-44 465 23% Age: 45-54 334 17% Age: 55-64 391 20% Age: 65+ 463 23% N 1990 demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 133 7% Millennial: Age 23-38 480 24% Generation X: Age 39-54 523 26% Boomers: Age 55-73 754 38% N 1890 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 763 38% PID: Ind (no lean) 588 30% PID: Rep (no lean) 639 32% N 1990 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 325 16% PID/Gender: Dem Women 438 22% PID/Gender: Ind Men 310 16% PID/Gender: Ind Women 279 14% PID/Gender: Rep Men 297 15% PID/Gender: Rep Women 342 17% N 1990 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 592 30% Ideo: Moderate (4) 490 25% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 715 36% N 1797 xeduc3 Educ: < College 1252 63% Educ: Bachelors degree 471 24% Educ: Post-grad 268 13% N 1990 Continued on next page

Page | 16 National Tracking Poll #200233, February, 2020 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 1024 51% Income: 50k-100k 630 32% Income: 100k+ 337 17% N 1990 xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1610 81% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 252 13% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 128 6% xdemReligion All Christian 945 47% All Non-Christian 89 4% Atheist 89 4% Agnostic/Nothing in particular 866 44% N 1990 xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 102 5% xdemEvang Evangelical 530 27% Non-Evangelical 744 37% N 1274 xdemUsr Community: Urban 471 24% Community: Suburban 970 49% Community: Rural 549 28% N 1990 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 664 33% Employ: Government 151 8% Employ: Self-Employed 134 7% Employ: Homemaker 150 8% Employ: Retired 503 25% Employ: Unemployed 142 7% Employ: Other 151 8% N 1896 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 351 18% Military HH: No 1639 82% N 1990 xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 802 40% RD/WT: Wrong Track 1188 60% N 1990 Continued on next page

Page | 17 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 845 42% Trump Job Disapprove 1069 54% N 1914 Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 501 25% Trump Job Somewhat Approve 344 17% Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 225 11% Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 844 42% N 1914 Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 842 42% Unfavorable of Trump 1038 52% N 1880 Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 542 27% Somewhat Favorable of Trump 300 15% Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 176 9% Very Unfavorable of Trump 862 43% N 1880 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 518 26% #1 Issue: Security 345 17% #1 Issue: Health Care 373 19% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 339 17% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues 107 5% #1 Issue: Education 106 5% #1 Issue: Energy 112 6% #1 Issue: Other 90 5% N 1990 xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 787 40% 2018 House Vote: Republican 656 33% 2018 House Vote: Someone else 67 3% N 1509 xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: 687 35% 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 721 36% 2016 Vote: Other 147 7% 2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 432 22% N 1987 xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1355 68% Voted in 2014: No 635 32% N 1990 Continued on next page

Page | 18 National Tracking Poll #200233, February, 2020 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: 818 41% 2012 Vote: 545 27% 2012 Vote: Other 88 4% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 535 27% N 1987 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 355 18% 4-Region: Midwest 457 23% 4-Region: South 743 37% 4-Region: West 435 22% N 1990 xdemPidLean Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 922 46% Party: Republican/Leans Republican 773 39% N 1695 POLdem2 Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 905 45% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 657 33% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 102 5% Don’t know / No opinion 182 9% N 1845 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

Page | 19 Morning Consult

Page | 20

Top View