MODELING of UNCONTROLLED FLUID FLOW in WELLBORE and ITS PREVENTION a Dissertation by RUOCHEN LIU Submitted to the Office Of
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MODELING OF UNCONTROLLED FLUID FLOW IN WELLBORE AND ITS PREVENTION A Dissertation by RUOCHEN LIU Submitted to the Office of Graduate and Professional Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Chair of Committee, M. Sam Mannan Co-Chair of Committee, A. Rashid Hasan Committee Members, M. Nazmul Krim Mahmoud El-Halwagi Head of Department, M. Nazmul Karim May 2016 Major Subject: Chemical Engineering Copyright 2016 Ruochen Liu ABSTRACT Uncontrolled fluid flow in the wellbore is one of the most critical safety concerns for the oil and gas industry. The major focus of this dissertation is on blowout events given the most severe consequences associated with such incidents. The past tragedies reflect a strong need for not only understanding the mechanisms of blowout to accurately estimate the consequence, but also the approaches to managing and controlling the risks, uncertainties, and hazards associated with blowout events. A fully integrated analytical model that couples the reservoir and wellbore has been proposed to investigate the fluid behaviors during the blowout events. This model could be used to simulate any potential blowout events for gas, oil, or oil/gas wells at onshore or offshore facilities. The reservoir, wellbore, and their interactions are coupled together to demonstrate a full picture of the potential well blowout incidents. The results reveal that understanding the importance of heat transfer and multi-phase flow behaviors is essential to accurately estimate the consequence of well blowouts. Well-established computational algorithms are developed to effectively estimate the blowout rate and total discharge amount during blowout incidents. The statistical analysis identifies the independent variables responsible for the maximum discharge; both reservoir permeability and the connected reservoir volume are the key variables. The results of the blowout modeling could serve as the input for both consequence-based and risk-based approaches to assess the risk associated with the blowout events. The application of such approaches is demonstrated by the case study. ii The consequence-based approach is easier to be implemented and provide guidance to the operators based on the realistic worst-case scenario. It would be useful for drilling site location selection and preparation of emergency response plan. On the other hand, the risk-based approach enables the operators to have a comprehensive understanding of the particular well that they are working on, so that the risk associated with the blowout events can be effectively managed and controlled. The risk reduction plan based on the blowout risk assessment is also discussed in this dissertation. iii DEDICATION To my wife, family and friends for all the endless support and grateful encouragement in facing all the challenges in completing this dissertation. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to acknowledge and show my greatest appreciation to my advisor, Dr. M. Sam Mannan, for all his support and guidance throughout the course of this research. His professionalism and leadership has guided me to be ready for my next career, not only as an expert in the process safety field, but as a professional team player as well. I also would like to thank my co-advisor, Dr. A. Rashid Hasan, for his endless help on both technical and personal aspects during my Ph.D. program. My sincere thanks also goes to my committee members, Dr. Mahmoud El-Halwagi, and Dr. M. Nazmul Karim, for their continuous support and constructive suggestions. I am very grateful to Dr. Ray Mentzer for providing me with valuable guidance as a team leader. Special thanks to all the people working on offshore safety, Dr. Tony Rocha, Dr. Josh Richardson, Ms. Tatiana Flechas, and Mr. MD Nafiz E Tamim, for providing me with great support during the initial stage of my research. I want to thank Ms. Valerie Green, Ms. Alanna Scheinerman, Ms. Amarette Renieri, Ms. Towanna Arnold, and Ms. Ashley Stokes, for all their continuous support. I would like to express my sincere gratitude to all the friends and colleagues at the Mary Kay O’Connor Process Safety Center. Finally, thanks to my mother and father for their encouragement and to my wife for her patience and love. v TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ABSTRACT ....................................................................................................................... ii DEDICATION .................................................................................................................. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................... v TABLE OF CONTENTS .................................................................................................. vi LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................... ix LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................... xii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AND LITERATURE REVIEW ................................... 1 1.1 Uncontrolled Fluid Flow ...................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 Incident History ............................................................................................. 1 1.1.2 Historical Statistics ........................................................................................ 6 1.1.3 Safety Barriers ............................................................................................. 13 1.2 Current Research and Practices to Address Blowout Events ............................. 16 1.2.1 Current Research ......................................................................................... 16 1.2.2 Consequence-based Assessment ................................................................. 17 1.2.3 Risk-based Assessment ............................................................................... 21 1.3 Statement of Problems and Significance ............................................................ 27 1.3.1 Research Motivation ................................................................................... 27 1.3.2 Research Objectives .................................................................................... 29 1.3.3 Research Methodology ................................................................................ 30 CHAPTER II CONSEQUENCE MODELING OF GAS WELL BLOWOUT .............. 32 2.1 Reservoir Model ................................................................................................. 33 2.2 Wellbore Model .................................................................................................. 34 2.2.1 Wellbore Dynamic Model for Single Phase Gas ........................................ 34 2.2.2 Heat Transfer ............................................................................................... 40 2.2.3 Sonic Velocity ............................................................................................. 49 2.3 Reservoir and Wellbore Interaction ................................................................... 51 2.3.1 Transient Period .......................................................................................... 52 2.3.2 Pseudo Steady-State Period ......................................................................... 53 2.3.3 Unified Model ............................................................................................. 55 vi 2.4 Computational Algorithm ................................................................................... 57 2.5 Results and Discussion ....................................................................................... 59 2.6 Conclusions ........................................................................................................ 70 CHAPTER III CONSEQUENCE MODELING OF OFFSHORE OIL WELL BLOWOUT ...................................................................................................................... 71 3.1 Reservoir Model ................................................................................................. 71 3.2 Wellbore Model .................................................................................................. 75 3.2.1 Multiphase Flow Model .............................................................................. 75 3.3 Reservoir and Wellbore Interaction ................................................................... 83 3.4 Computational Algorithm ................................................................................... 84 3.5 Results and Discussion ....................................................................................... 85 3.6 Conclusions ........................................................................................................ 93 CHAPTER IV PREVENTION AND MITIGATION OF BLOWOUT EVENTS ......... 95 4.1 Consequence-based Assessment of Blowout Events ......................................... 96 4.1.1 Plume Boundary .......................................................................................... 96 4.1.2 Explosions ................................................................................................. 101 4.1.3 Jet Fire ....................................................................................................... 103 4.1.4 Discussion ................................................................................................