Granite State Poll

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The Granite State Poll

April 22, 2019

SANDERS INCREASES LEAD OVER BIDEN AS BUTTIGIEG VAULTS INTO TOP 3; LITTLE SUPPORT FOR POTENTIAL CHALLENGERS TO TRUMP By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center

DURHAM, NH – Bernie Sanders con nues to lead the Democra c ﬁeld in New Hampshire and a plurality of likely Democra c voters say he is the most progressive candidate and has the best chance to win the general elec on. Support for South Bend (IN) Mayor Pete Bu gieg has increased markedly since February and nearly equals support for Joe Biden. Half of likely Democra c voters express concern over how nomina ng a candidate over 70 will aﬀect the general elec on; fewer are worried about nomina ng an openly gay or female candidate. Likely Republican primary voters express li le support for poten al challengers to Donald Trump.

These ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred forty-nine (549) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between April 10 and April 18, 2019. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included in the sample were 208 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.8 percent) and 241 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.3 percent).

Interest in 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary

Despite the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary moving closer and many candidates declaring the start of their presiden al campaigns, interest among Granite Staters in the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary is unchanged since February. Just under half of Granite Staters (48%) say they are extremely interested in the Primary, 32% are very interested, 11% are somewhat interested, and 9% are not very interested. Interest in the 2020 Primary is considerably higher than in April of 2007 and May of 2015 but is at a similar level to April 2011.

Democrats (55%) are more likely than Independents (43%) or Republicans (44%) to say they are extremely interested. Democrats this year report a good deal greater interest in the primary than in 2015.

Interest in 2020 NH Presiden al Primary Extremely Interested in Primary - By Party ID Extremely Interested in Primary Apr 2007 Apr 2011 May 2015 Apr 2019 100%

80% %

60% 9 % 5

60% 55% 5 5

52% % % 8 % 49% 48% 7 4 % % 4 4 3 2 4 4 % 4 % 7 % % % 4 3

40% 4 2 2 3 %

32% 3 3 3 9 % 2

28% %

26% 4 24% 4 % 2 2

20% 9 16% 1 20% 13% 13% 11% 7% 4% 9% 0%

Apr 2018 Jul 2018 Oct 2018 Jan 2019 Apr 2019 Extremely Interested Somewhat Interested OVERALL Independent Very Interested Not Very Interested Democrat Republican

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Three-quarters of New Hampshire residents (75%) say they will deﬁnitely vote in the primary, while 13% say they will vote unless there is an emergency. Five percent say they may vote, 4% probably will not vote, and 2% are unsure.

Democrats (80%) and Republicans (80%) are equally likely to say they will deﬁnitely vote in the primary while Independents (63%) are less likely to say they will deﬁnitely vote.

Likelihood of Vo ng in Primary Will Deﬁnitely Vote in Primary - By Party ID Will Deﬁnitely Vote in Primary - By Party ID Apr 2011 May 2015 Apr 2019

100% % 1 9 % 4 % % 8 % 82% % % 0 0 9 9 8 8 8 % 7

78% 7 7 80% 76% 5 7 % % 9 8

75% 6

73% 6 % 3 6 60% % 8 4

40%

20% 12% 13% 9% 9% 5% 5% 10% 6% 4% 0% 4%

Feb 2018 May 2018 Aug 2018 Nov 2018 Feb 2019

Deﬁnitely vote in Primary Probably not vote in Primary OVERALL Independent Will vote in Primary unless emergency Unsure Democrat Republican May vote in Primary

2020 Democra c Primary

Despite the high level of interest, few likely voters have decided whom they will vote for in the 2020 Democra c Primary. Seventy-seven percent of likely Democra c primary voters say they are s ll trying to decide whom they will support in 2020, while 14% say they are leaning towards someone and only 9% have deﬁnitely decided. The percentage of likely Democra c primary voters who say they have deﬁnitely decided or are leaning towards someone (23%) has slightly increased since February (15%).

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

October 2017 4% 94%

February 2018 5% 8% 87%

April 2018 5% 5% 90%

August 2018 8% 13% 78%

February 2019 5% 10% 85%

April 2019 9% 14% 77%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide A plurality of likely Democra c primary voters (40%) could not name a candidate when asked an open-ended ques on about whom they will vote for in the 2020 Primary. Vermont Senator and 2016 winner Bernie Sanders is men oned by likely Democra c primary voters most frequently (18%), followed by Former Vice President Joe Biden (12%), and South Bend (IN) Mayor Pete Bu gieg (11%). Four percent men on California Senator Kamala Harris, and 3% each men on Former Texas Congressman Beto O'Rourke, New Jersey Senator Cory Booker, or Massachuse s Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - Open-ended

Amy Klobuchar Hillary Clinton Howard Schultz John Delaney Joe Biden Beto O'Rourke Kirsten Gillibrand Tulsi Gabbard Jay Inslee Barack Obama Andrew Yang Wayne Messam Tim Ryan Bernie SandersKamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Dwayne the Rock Johnson Maggie Hassan Pete Buttigieg Cory Booker

The percentage of Democra c primary voters who are undecided or cannot provide a name (40%) has decreased considerably since August 2018 (65%) as many candidates have begun campaigning in New Hampshire. The number of likely Democra c primary voters who men on Sanders (18%) has declined since February (28%) while the percentage who men on Bu gieg (11%) has increased markedly since February (1%).

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - Open-ended - Over Time

Undecided/Refused Bernie Sanders Joe Biden 60% 59% Pete Buttigieg Kamala Harris Beto O'Rourke 50% Cory Booker Elizabeth Warren Dwayne the Rock Johnson

40% 40% Wayne Messam Amy Klobuchar Tim Ryan Tulsi Gabbard 30% Kirsten Gillibrand Barack Obama Howard Schultz 20% 18% Maggie Hassan Hillary Clinton 12% Andrew Yang 10% 10% 11% John Delaney 8% Jay Inslee 3% 3% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% February 2018 October 2017 August 2018 April 2018 February 2019 April 2019 When provided a list of major Democrats who have declared themselves as candidates for the 2020 nomina on or who are considered likely to do so, 30% of likely Democra c primary voters support Sanders, 18% pick Biden, and 15% select Bu gieg. Fewer Democra c voters choose Warren (5%), Harris (4%), Booker (3%), O'Rourke (3%), Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar (2%), entrepreneur Andrew Yang (2%), or Ohio Congressman Tim Ryan (2%).

One percent or less support Miramar (FL) Mayor Wayne Messam (1%), New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (1%), Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (1%), California Congressman Eric Swalwell (1%), Former Maryland Congressman John Delaney (<1%), Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro (<1%), or Washington Governor Jay Inslee (<1%). Less than 1% of respondents men on another candidate while 12% remain undecided. No respondents indicated their support for former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper or author Marianne Williamson.

Likely Democra c primary voters aged 18 to 34, self-iden ﬁed Independents, and men are more likely than others to support Sanders, while those aged 65 and older are more likely to support Biden.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List - April 2019

Bernie Sanders 30%

Joe Biden 18%

Pete Buttigieg 15%

Elizabeth Warren 5%

Kamala Harris 4%

Cory Booker 3%

Beto O'Rourke 3%

Amy Klobuchar 2%

Andrew Yang 2%

Tim Ryan 2%

Wayne Messam 1%

Kirsten Gillibrand 1%

Tulsi Gabbard 1%

Eric Swalwell 1%

John Delaney 0%

Julian Castro 0%

Jay Inslee 0%

Other 0%

Undecided 12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% While Biden con nues to garner the second most support among likely Democra c Primary voters (18%), his share of support has fallen considerably since early 2018, while support for Sanders (30%) has remained largely steady as he has led the ﬁeld over the past year. Biden (-4%) and Harris (-6%) have seen the largest declines in support since February.

By contrast, support for Bu gieg (15%) has increased drama cally since February, when he only garnered 1% of support. Bu gieg (+13%) and Sanders (+4%) have seen the largest increases in support since February.

Warren (5%), while s ll among the top ﬁve of Democra c candidates, con nues to experience far less support than she enjoyed in 2017 and 2018. In the last year, Warren (-7%) and Biden (-9%) have seen the largest declines in support.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List - October 2017 to April 2019

35% 35%

31% 30% 30% 30% 28%

26% 25% 26% 24% 24% 22%

20% 19% 18% 17% 15% 15% 15% 14% 13% 13% 15% 12%

11% 11% 12% 10% 10%

6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% October 2017 February 2018 April 2018 August 2018 February 2019 April 2019

Bernie Sanders Kamala Harris Andrew Yang Tulsi Gabbard Jay Inslee Joe Biden Cory Booker Tim Ryan Eric Swalwell Other Pete Buttigieg Beto O'Rourke Wayne Messam John Delaney Undecided Elizabeth Warren Amy Klobuchar Kirsten Gillibrand Julian Castro

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List - Change since February 2019 List - Change since April 2018

April 2019 April 2019

Pete Buttigieg 13% Pete Buttigieg 15%

Bernie Sanders 4% Beto O'Rourke 3%

Joe Biden -4% Elizabeth Warren -7%

Kamala Harris -6% Joe Biden -9%

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% While many believe he intends to do so, Biden has not yet announced his candidacy for President. Just over half of likely Democra c voters (51%) say that they would like Biden to run, much higher than the percentage of Democra c voters who currently support him for the nomina on (18%). Thirty-six percent say that they would like Biden not to run, 8% have no opinion or don't care, and 4% don't know or are unsure.

Preference on Biden Running for President

April 2019

Like Biden to Run 51%

Like Biden Not to Run 36%

No Opinion/Don't Care 8%

Don't Know/Not Sure 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% When asked whom they would support if their preferred candidate were not on the ballot, 19% of likely Democrat primary voters say they would support Sanders, 18% would support Biden, 13% would support Warren, 8% each would support Booker or Harris, 5% would support Bu gieg, and 3% would support O'Rourke. Very few likely Democra c primary voters say their second choice would be Klobuchar (2%), Gabbard (2%), Delaney (2%), Yang (1%), Gillibrand (1%), Inslee (1%), Swalwell (1%), Ryan (1%), Hickenlooper (<1%), Castro (<1%), or Messam (<1%). Two percent say their second choice would be someone else, 6% say they don't have a second choice, and another 6% don't know or are undecided.

Nearly half of Sanders supporters select Biden or Warren as their second choice, while nearly half of Biden supporters select Sanders or Harris as their second choice.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

April 2019 Bernie Sanders 19%

Joe Biden 18%

Elizabeth Warren 13% Cory Booker 8%

Kamala Harris 8% Pete Buttigieg 5%

Beto O'Rourke 3% Amy Klobuchar 2%

Tulsi Gabbard 2% John Delaney 2%

Andrew Yang 1%

Kirsten Gillibrand 1%

Jay Inslee 1%

Eric Swalwell 1%

Tim Ryan 1%

John Hickenlooper 0%

Julian Castro 0% Wayne Messam 0%

Other 2% No Second Choice 6%

Undecided 6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% When asked which candidate they would not support under any circumstances, more than half of likely Democra c voters (55%) say that they don't know or are unsure (28%) or that all of the candidates are acceptable to them (27%). Fourteen percent of likely Democra c voters say they wouldn't under any circumstances vote for Warren, 8% wouldn't vote for Sanders, and 5% wouldn't vote for Biden. Fewer likely voters say they wouldn't under any circumstances vote for Gillibrand (3%), O'Rourke (3%), Klobuchar (2%), Gabbard (2%), Bu gieg (2%), Booker (1%), Hickenlooper (1%), Harris (1%), Castro (1%), Delaney (1%), Swalwell (<1%), or Yang (<1%). Two percent men on someone else they would not vote for under any circumstances. Results largely resemble those in February.

Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

February 2019 April 2019

Elizabeth Warren 13% 14%

Bernie Sanders 8% 8%

Joe Biden 3% 5%

Kirsten Gillibrand 4% 3%

Beto O'Rourke 2% 3%

Amy Klobuchar 1% 2%

Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2%

Pete Buttigieg 1% 2%

Cory Booker 3% 1%

John Hickenlooper 0% 1%

Kamala Harris 3% 1%

Julian Castro 1% 1%

John Delaney 0% 1%

Eric Swalwell 0%

Andrew Yang 0%

Other 4% 2%

Don't Know/Not Sure 35% 28%

None All Are Ok 15% 27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Likely Democra c Primary voters were asked which candidate they ﬁnd to be the most likeable. Just over a quarter (28%) believe Biden is the most likeable Democra c candidate, 22% say Sanders is most likeable, 13% say Bu gieg is most likeable, and 11% say that O'Rourke is most likeable. Fewer likely primary voters say that Harris (2%), Warren (1%), Yang (1%), Booker (1%), Ryan (1%), Klobuchar (1%), Gillibrand (<1%), Delaney (<1%), Gabbard (<1%), Castro (<1%), or Williamson (<1%) is the most likeable Democra c candidate. Seventeen percent don't know or are undecided whom they consider to be the most likeable Democra c candidate.

Compared to February, a far larger propor on of likely Democra c voters (<1% in February, 13% in April) believe Bu gieg is most likeable, while slightly fewer consider Kamala Harris (9% in February, 2% in April) to be most likeable.

Most Likeable Democra c Candidate

February 2019 April 2019 Joe Biden 31% 28% Bernie Sanders 20% 22% Pete Buttigieg 0% 13% Beto O'Rourke 9% 11% Kamala Harris 9% 2% Elizabeth Warren 3% 1% Andrew Yang 1% Cory Booker 5% 1% Tim Ryan 1% Amy Klobuchar 2% 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 1% 0% John Delaney 0% Tulsi Gabbard 0% 0% Julian Castro 0% Marianne Williamson 0% Other 0% 1% Undecided 19% 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Just over one-third of likely Democra c primary voters (36%) believe Sanders is the most progressive Democra c candidate; 10% believe Warren is the most progressive, 4% say Bu gieg is the most progressive, and 3% each say that O'Rourke, Yang, or Biden is the most progressive candidate. Fewer candidates consider Harris (2%), Booker (1%), Klobuchar (1%), Williamson (<1%), Gabbard (<1%), Delaney (<1%), or another candidate (2%) to be most progressive, while 38% don't know or are undecided. Compared to February, slightly fewer likely Democra c voters consider Sanders (44% in February, 36% in April) to be most progressive, while a slightly larger propor on (28% in February, 38% in April) are undecided.

Most Progressive Democra c Candidate

February 2019 April 2019 Bernie Sanders 44% 36% Elizabeth Warren 10% 10% Pete Buttigieg 4% Beto O'Rourke 2% 3% Andrew Yang 3% Joe Biden 3% 3% Kamala Harris 8% 2% Cory Booker 1% 1% Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 0% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 0% John Delaney 0% Other 1% 2% Undecided 28% 38%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% In an important shi since February, three in ten likely Democra c primary voters (30%) believe Sanders is the candidate with the best chance to win the general elec on, while a quarter (25%) believe Biden has the best chance. In February, a plurality of likely Democra c primary voters said Biden had the best chance to win the general elec on, but Sanders (30%) now holds a small lead over Biden (25%) on the ques on. Far fewer likely primary voters say that Bu gieg (4%), O'Rourke (3%), Warren (2%), Harris (2%), Booker (2%), Klobuchar (<1%), Delaney (<1%), Gillibrand (<1%), Yang (<1%), or another candidate (1%) has the best chance to win the general elec on. Thirty percent don't know or are undecided whom they consider to have the best chance to win the general elec on.

Respondents aged 18 to 34, Connec cut Valley residents, and men are more likely than others to say that Sanders has the best chance to win the general elec on while Manchester Area residents, those aged 65 and older, and those who have completed postgraduate work are more likely to say that Biden has the best chance to win.

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

February 2019 April 2019

Bernie Sanders 22% 30%

Joe Biden 32% 25%

Pete Buttigieg 4%

Beto O'Rourke 3% 3%

Elizabeth Warren 2% 2%

Kamala Harris 5% 2%

Cory Booker 2% 2%

Amy Klobuchar 1% 0%

John Delaney 0%

Kirsten Gillibrand 0% 0%

Andrew Yang 0%

Other 1% 0%

Undecided 29% 30%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% The Democra c primary ﬁeld is historically large and diverse, including many candidates who are ethnic or racial minori es, women, or over the age of 70, as well as one openly gay candidate.

Nearly half of likely Democra c voters (49%) say they are very (14%) or somewhat (36%) concerned that nomina ng a candidate over the age of 70 will decrease the party's chance of winning the presiden al elec on. Three in eight likely Democra c voters (38%) are very (12%) or somewhat (26%) concerned about nomina ng an openly gay candidate, 23% are concerned about nomina ng a female candidate, and only 13% are concerned that nomina ng a white male candidate will decrease the party's chance of winning the general elec on.

Seacoast residents are more likely than others to say they are very or somewhat concerned about nomina ng a candidate over the age of 70, self-iden ﬁed Independents and Massachuse s Border residents are more likely to be concerned about nomina ng an openly gay candidate, respondents with a high school educa on or less are more likely to be concerned about nomina ng a female candidate,..

Concern Nomina ng Following Demographic Types of Candidates Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Candidate over age of 70 Openly gay candidate Female candidate White male candidate 100%

90%

83%

80%

75%

70%

60% 58%

50% 50% 49%

40% 38%

36% 30%

26% 23%

20%

15% 13%

10% 14% 10% 12% 5% 5% 8% 2% 1% 0%

No, Not Concerned Somewhat Concerned Very Concerned Don't Know/Not Sure 2020 Republican Primary

Half of likely Republican primary voters (50%) are s ll trying to decide whom they will support in the 2020 Republican Presiden al Primary. Eight percent say they are leaning towards someone while 43% say they have deﬁnitely decided. The propor on of likely Republican voters who say they have deﬁnitely decided (43%) has increased substan ally since August 2018 (23%).

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

100% Still Trying To Decide Leaning Towards Someone Deﬁnitely Decided 80% 77% 66% 68%

60% 63% 57%

50% 43% 40% 30% 34%

20% 24% 18% 23% 10% 8% 5% 11% 10% 0% 8%

Oct 2017 Jan 2018 Apr 2018 Jul 2018 Oct 2018 Jan 2019 Apr 2019

While more than 80% of self-iden ﬁed Republicans approve of President Trump's job performance, only 63% of likely Republican primary voters say they plan on vo ng for Donald Trump in the 2020 New Hampshire Republican presiden al primary, slightly higher than February (56%). Fourteen percent say they plan on vo ng for another candidate, while 23% don't know or are unsure.

Likely Republican primary voters who listen to conserva ve radio, those aged 35 to 49, those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016, North Country residents, self-described conserva ves, and those with a high school educa on or less are more likely than others to say they plan to vote for Trump in the 2020 Republican primary. Likely Republican primary voters with a college degree or more educa on, self-described moderates, and those aged 18 to 34 are less likely to say they plan to vote for Trump.

Plan on Vo ng for Trump or Other Republican Candidate?

100% Vote For Trump Vote For Other Candidate Don't Know/Not Sure 80%

60% 63% 60% 56%

55% 56%

47% 40%

29% 30% 27% 23% 24% 23% 19% 23% 20% 20% 18% 14% 15%

0% October 2017 February 2018 April 2018 August 2018 February 2019 April 2019 Former Massachuse s Governor William Weld recently announced his inten on to challenge Donald Trump for the 2020 Republican Presiden al nomina on, while others have tested the waters.

When asked to choose between Trump, Weld, and possible candidates former Ohio Governor John Kasich and Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, three-quarters (76%) of likely Republican primary voters say they would vote for Trump if the primary elec on were held today, 10% would support Kasich, 5% would support Weld, 1% would support Hogan, and 8% don't know or are undecided. Support for Trump (76%) has slightly increased since February (68%), while support for Kasich (17%) has slightly declined.

Conserva ve radio listeners, those aged 35 to 49, those who voted for Trump in 2016, Connec cut Valley residents, and self-described conserva ves are more likely than others to say they would vote for Trump if the Republican Primary were held today. Those aged 18 to 34, those with a college degree or more educa on, and self-described moderates are more likely than others to say they would vote for Kasich, Weld, or Hogan.

Trump vs. Kasich vs. Hogan vs. Weld - Republican Primary Voters

February April 100%

90%

80% 76%

70% 68%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20% 17%

12% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 0%

Donald Trump John Kasich William Weld Larry Hogan DK/Undecided Granite State Poll Methodology These ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred forty-nine (549) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between April 10 and April 18, 2019. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included in the sample were 208 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.8 percent) and 241 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.3 percent). The design eﬀect for the survey is 1.2%.

The random sample used in the Granite State Poll was purchased from Scien ﬁc Telephone Samples (STS), Rancho Santo Margarita, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the eﬃciency of the sample, reducing the amount of me interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. When a landline number is reached, the interviewer randomly selects a member of the household by asking to speak with the adult currently living in the household who has had the most recent birthday. This selec on process ensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equal chance of being included in the survey.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Addi onally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addi on to poten al sampling error, all surveys have other poten al sources of non-sampling error including ques on order eﬀects, ques on wording eﬀects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

Granite State Poll, Spring 2019 Demographics

N % Sex of Respondent Female 279 51% Male 270 49% Age of Respondent 18 to 34 144 27% 35 to 49 122 23% 50 to 64 165 31% 65 and older 107 20% Level of Education High school or less 172 31% Technical school/Some college 197 36% College graduate 113 21% Postgraduate work 66 12% Region of State Central / Lakes 98 18% Connecticut Valley 80 15% Manchester Area 92 17% Mass Border 144 26% North Country 46 8% Seacoast 88 16% Registered to Vote Reg. Democrat 137 25% Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 278 51% Reg. Republican 129 24% Party ID Democrat 228 43% Independent 105 20% Republican 201 38% Congressional First Congressional District 269 49% District Second Congressional District 280 51% Interest in Primary

As you may know, the New Hampshire Presiden al Primary is being held in 2020. How interested would you say you are in the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary elec on?

Extremely Interested Very Interested Somewhat Interested Not Very Interested Don't Know/Not Sure N October 2017 47% 27% 18% 8% 0% 570 February 2018 55% 24% 13% 7% 1% 523 April 2018 52% 26% 13% 8% 1% 548 August 2018 60% 20% 15% 4% 1% 500 February 2019 49% 28% 16% 7% 1% 604 April 2019 48% 32% 11% 9% 0% 548 Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Which of the following statements best describes you?

Deﬁnitely vote in Will vote in Primary Probably not vote in May vote in Primary Unsure N Primary unless emergency Primary October 2017 74% 11% 5% 2% 7% 567 February 2018 76% 9% 4% 5% 6% 517 April 2018 73% 12% 5% 5% 5% 546 August 2018 82% 10% 3% 2% 3% 500 February 2019 78% 9% 6% 2% 5% 601 April 2019 75% 13% 5% 4% 3% 547

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Have you deﬁnitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N October 2017 2% 4% 94% 196 February 2018 5% 8% 87% 219 April 2018 5% 5% 90% 185 August 2018 8% 13% 78% 198 February 2019 5% 10% 85% 239 April 2019 9% 14% 77% 237 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - Open-Ended

If the primary for President were held today, who would you support for the Democra c nomina on?

Note: Includes only candidates who were men oned at least once in April 2019.

Undecided/ Bernie Pete Kamala Beto Elizabeth Joe Biden Cory Booker N Refused Sanders Buttigieg Harris O'Rourke Warren October 2017 58% 14% 5% 1% 1% 4% 195 February 2018 59% 10% 8% 1% 3% 3% 219 April 2018 59% 14% 11% 1% 3% 3% 185 August 2018 65% 12% 6% 2% 1% 6% 192 February 2019 42% 28% 8% 1% 6% 1% 2% 2% 239 April 2019 40% 18% 12% 11% 4% 3% 3% 3% 237

Dwayne the Wayne Kirsten Amy Klobuchar Tim Ryan Republican Tulsi Gabbard Rock Johnson Messam Gillibrand October 2017 0% 1% February 2018 0% 2% 0% April 2018 0% August 2018 0% 1% February 2019 3% 2% 1% April 2019 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%

Howard Barack Obama Maggie Hassan Hillary Clinton Andrew Yang John Delaney Jay Inslee Schultz October 2017 2% 0% 5% February 2018 0% 1% April 2018 2% August 2018 0% February 2019 1% 1% 0% April 2019 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List

Now, I'm going to read you a list of some candidates who are running or could run for the Democra c nomina on. If the Democra c primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democra c nomina on? (Candidates rotated)

Note: Hickenlooper and Williamson included in candidate list but received no support

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Elizabeth Eric Cory Booker Eric Holder Jay Inslee N Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Warren Swalwell October 2017 1% 31% 6% 13% 211 February 2018 0% 24% 3% 15% 223 April 2018 1% 28% 5% 11% 184 August 2018 30% 6% 17% 2% 204 February 2019 4% 26% 5% 3% 7% 237 April 2019 2% 2% 30% 3% 3% 5% 1% 0% 237

John Joseph Kamala Kirsten Mark Joe Biden John Delaney Hickenlooper Kennedy III Julian Castro Harris Gillbrand Zuckerberg October 2017 24% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% February 2018 35% 0% 1% 2% April 2018 26% 1% 3% 6% 1% August 2018 19% 0% 0% 7% 3% 0% February 2019 22% 0% 0% 10% 1% April 2019 18% 0% 0% 4% 1%

Martin Michael Pete Sherrod Tulsi Wayne O'Malley Bloomberg Buttigieg Brown Tim Ryan Gabbard Messam Other Undecided October 2017 3% 1% 5% 11% February 2018 1% 4% 15% April 2018 2% 0% 2% 13% August 2018 1% 2% 12% February 2019 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 14% April 2019 15% 2% 1% 1% 0% 12%

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

If that candidate were not running, who would be your second choice?

Amy Bernie Beto Elizabeth Andrew Yang Cory Booker Eric Swalwell Jay Inslee N Klobuchar Sanders O'Rourke Warren February 2019 2% 17% 6% 9% 10% 203 April 2019 2% 1% 19% 3% 8% 13% 1% 1% 205

John Kamala Kirsten Michael Pete Joe Biden John Delaney Julian Castro Hickenlooper Harris Gillbrand Bloomberg Buttigieg February 2019 18% 1% 1% 14% 2% 1% 0% April 2019 18% 2% 0% 0% 8% 1% 5%

No Second Sherrod Brown Tim Ryan Tulsi Gabbard Wayne Messam Other Undecided Choice February 2019 2% 2% 3% 1% 11% April 2019 1% 2% 0% 6% 2% 6% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democra c nomina on would you not vote for under any circumstance?

Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Bernie Sanders Beto O'Rourke Cory Booker Eric Swalwell N Warren February 2019 1% 8% 2% 3% 13% 230 April 2019 2% 0% 8% 3% 1% 14% 0% 238

Joe Biden John Delaney John Hickenlooper Julian Castro Kamala Harris Kirsten Gillbrand

February 2019 3% 0% 0% 1% 3% 4% April 2019 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%

Michael Don't Know/Not Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard None All Are Ok Other Bloomberg Sure February 2019 6% 1% 2% 15% 4% 35% April 2019 2% 2% 27% 2% 28%

Most Likeable Democra c Candidate

Which Democra c candidate do you think is most likeable?

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Cory Elizabeth John Julian Joe Biden N Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Booker Warren Delaney Castro February 2019 2% 20% 9% 5% 3% 31% 236 April 2019 1% 1% 22% 11% 1% 1% 28% 0% 0% 241

Kamala Kirsten Marianne Pete Tulsi Tim Ryan Other Undecided Harris Gillbrand Williamson Buttigieg Gabbard February 2019 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 19% April 2019 2% 0% 0% 13% 1% 0% 1% 17%

Most Progressive Democra c Candidate

Which Democra c candidate do you think is most progressive?

Amy Bernie Beto Elizabeth Andrew Yang Cory Booker Joe Biden John Delaney N Klobuchar Sanders O'Rourke Warren February 2019 1% 44% 2% 1% 10% 3% 234 April 2019 1% 3% 36% 3% 1% 10% 3% 0% 242

Kamala Kirsten Marianne Pete Tulsi Julian Castro Other Undecided Harris Gillbrand Williamson Buttigieg Gabbard February 2019 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 28% April 2019 2% 0% 4% 0% 2% 38% Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Which Democra c candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general elec on next November?

Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Bernie Sanders Beto O'Rourke Cory Booker Joe Biden N Warren February 2019 1% 22% 3% 2% 2% 32% 235 April 2019 0% 0% 30% 3% 2% 2% 25% 240

Kamala Kirsten Michael Pete Sherrod John Delaney Harris Gillbrand Bloomberg Buttigieg Brown Other Undecided February 2019 5% 0% 1% 1% 1% 29% April 2019 0% 2% 0% 4% 0% 30%

Concern Nomina ng Openly Gay Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Are you concerned that the Democra c party nomina ng an openly gay candidate for president would decrease the party's chance of winning the presiden al elec on?

Very Concerned Somewhat Concerned No, Not Concerned Don't Know/Not Sure N April 2019 12% 26% 58% 5% 242

Concern Nomina ng Female Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Are you concerned that the Democra c party nomina ng a female candidate for president would decrease the party's chance of winning the presiden al elec on?

Very Concerned Somewhat Concerned No, Not Concerned Don't Know/Not Sure N April 2019 8% 15% 75% 2% 242

Concern Nomina ng White Male Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Are you concerned that the Democra c party nomina ng a white male candidate for president would decrease the party's chance of winning the presiden al elec on?

Very Concerned Somewhat Concerned No, Not Concerned Don't Know/Not Sure N April 2019 2% 10% 83% 5% 241

Concern Nomina ng Candidate Over Age of 70 Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Are you concerned that the Democra c party nomina ng a a candidate over the age of 70 for president would decrease the party's chance of winning the presiden al elec on?

Very Concerned Somewhat Concerned No, Not Concerned Don't Know/Not Sure N April 2019 14% 36% 50% 1% 242 Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Have you deﬁnitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone...or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N October 2017 18% 5% 77% 183 February 2018 30% 8% 63% 157 April 2018 24% 11% 66% 204 August 2018 23% 10% 68% 199 February 2019 34% 10% 57% 213 April 2019 43% 8% 50% 207

Plan on Vo ng for Trump in 2020 Republican Primary or Another Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Do you plan on vo ng for Donald Trump in the 2020 New Hampshire Republican primary or do you plan to vote for another Republican candidate?

Vote For Other Candidate Vote For Trump Don't Know/Not Sure N October 2017 23% 47% 30% 187 February 2018 18% 60% 23% 162 April 2018 19% 55% 27% 205 August 2018 20% 56% 24% 202 February 2019 15% 56% 29% 217 April 2019 14% 63% 23% 208

Trump vs. Kasich vs. Hogan vs. Weld - Republican Primary Voters

If the Republican primary for President were held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, Larry Hogan, John Kasich, and William Weld, who would you support for the Republican nomina on? (Candidates rotated)

Donald Trump John Kasich Larry Hogan William Weld DK/Undecided N February 2019 68% 17% 3% 12% 217 April 2019 76% 10% 1% 5% 8% 208 Interest in Primary

Extremely Somewhat Not Very Don't Know/Not Very Interested N Interested Interested Interested Sure STATEWIDE 48% 32% 11% 9% 0% 548

Registered to Reg. Democrat 56% 35% 7% 2% 137 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 41% 32% 13% 14% 278 Reg. Republican 56% 28% 8% 6% 2% 129 Party ID Democrat 55% 36% 7% 3% 228 Independent 43% 20% 17% 20% 105 Republican 44% 35% 11% 8% 1% 201 Ideology Liberal 57% 34% 4% 5% 119 Moderate 48% 38% 10% 4% 228 Conservative 51% 27% 10% 10% 2% 148 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 57% 27% 11% 3% 2% 52 Listen to NHPR 63% 24% 8% 5% 137 Read Local Newspapers 65% 23% 12% 40 Read Union Leader 55% 35% 6% 4% 91 Watch WMUR 51% 31% 10% 7% 0% 273 Age of 18 to 34 37% 43% 7% 12% 144 Respondent 35 to 49 52% 24% 12% 12% 122 50 to 64 54% 28% 13% 4% 164 65 and older 50% 33% 9% 5% 2% 107 Sex of Female 52% 33% 11% 3% 0% 279 Respondent Male 44% 31% 10% 14% 0% 270 Level of High school or less 38% 37% 9% 16% 172 Education Technical school/Some college 50% 33% 11% 5% 1% 197 College graduate 55% 25% 14% 6% 113 Postgraduate work 58% 29% 10% 3% 65 Frequency Once a week or more 50% 36% 9% 3% 2% 86 Attending Once or twice a month 51% 41% 7% 2% 43 Relig. Services Few times a year 46% 35% 9% 10% 1% 142 Never 48% 28% 12% 11% 260 2016 Donald Trump 48% 30% 12% 9% 1% 200 Presidential Hillary Clinton 59% 32% 9% 1% 203 Vote Voted for Other 51% 33% 8% 7% 57 Did Not Vote 21% 34% 14% 31% 69 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 42% 35% 12% 10% 1% 244 Household Not Gun Owner 53% 29% 10% 8% 0% 281 Region of Central / Lakes 47% 31% 14% 8% 98 State Connecticut Valley 36% 40% 15% 9% 80 Manchester Area 55% 31% 6% 8% 92 Mass Border 48% 34% 10% 8% 143 North Country 61% 17% 4% 15% 3% 46 Seacoast 47% 30% 12% 9% 1% 88 Congressional First Congressional District 51% 31% 9% 9% 0% 269 District Second Congressional District 46% 33% 12% 9% 0% 279 Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Will vote in Deﬁnitely vote May vote in Probably not Primary unless Unsure N in Primary Primary vote in Primary emergency STATEWIDE 75% 13% 5% 4% 3% 547

Registered to Reg. Democrat 81% 13% 3% 1% 1% 137 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 68% 15% 7% 7% 3% 277 Reg. Republican 86% 8% 3% 0% 3% 129 Party ID Democrat 80% 15% 3% 2% 1% 227 Independent 63% 14% 11% 8% 4% 104 Republican 80% 9% 5% 2% 4% 201 Ideology Liberal 80% 13% 2% 3% 2% 118 Moderate 76% 15% 6% 2% 1% 228 Conservative 80% 9% 2% 3% 7% 148 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 92% 4% 2% 1% 52 Listen to NHPR 85% 8% 3% 2% 1% 136 Read Local Newspapers 83% 5% 5% 3% 5% 40 Read Union Leader 83% 14% 1% 1% 2% 91 Watch WMUR 81% 10% 3% 3% 3% 273 Age of 18 to 34 63% 23% 6% 5% 4% 144 Respondent 35 to 49 78% 8% 4% 7% 3% 121 50 to 64 83% 8% 6% 2% 2% 164 65 and older 82% 13% 3% 1% 1% 107 Sex of Female 74% 15% 6% 2% 3% 278 Respondent Male 77% 10% 4% 6% 3% 269 Level of High school or less 65% 16% 6% 7% 7% 172 Education Technical school/Some college 82% 11% 5% 1% 1% 197 College graduate 75% 15% 5% 4% 1% 112 Postgraduate work 87% 7% 2% 4% 65 Frequency Once a week or more 81% 11% 5% 3% 86 Attending Once or twice a month 75% 20% 4% 1% 43 Relig. Services Few times a year 70% 18% 3% 6% 3% 142 Never 77% 9% 6% 5% 3% 258 2016 Donald Trump 87% 7% 3% 1% 3% 200 Presidential Hillary Clinton 82% 15% 2% 0% 1% 203 Vote Voted for Other 72% 17% 7% 4% 57 Did Not Vote 35% 16% 17% 24% 7% 68 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 77% 10% 6% 2% 4% 244 Household Not Gun Owner 74% 14% 4% 5% 2% 280 Region of Central / Lakes 83% 11% 1% 1% 4% 98 State Connecticut Valley 70% 18% 6% 5% 2% 80 Manchester Area 77% 10% 3% 7% 2% 92 Mass Border 76% 10% 6% 4% 4% 143 North Country 77% 13% 6% 4% 46 Seacoast 68% 17% 10% 2% 3% 88 Congressional First Congressional District 75% 13% 6% 4% 2% 269 District Second Congressional District 75% 12% 5% 4% 4% 278 Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 9% 14% 77% 237

Registered to Reg. Democrat 9% 15% 77% 127 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 14% 77% 110 Party ID Democrat 9% 12% 79% 201 Independent 9% 30% 61% 32 Republican 20% 80% 5 Ideology Liberal 12% 18% 70% 102 Moderate 5% 11% 84% 112 Conservative 12% 88% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 85% 2 Listen to NHPR 10% 14% 76% 81 Read Local Newspapers 10% 8% 82% 27 Read Union Leader 4% 10% 86% 45 Watch WMUR 7% 13% 80% 118 Age of 18 to 34 8% 12% 80% 66 Respondent 35 to 49 14% 21% 65% 50 50 to 64 2% 7% 91% 66 65 and older 14% 21% 65% 52 Sex of Female 7% 13% 80% 150 Respondent Male 12% 17% 71% 88 Level of High school or less 5% 15% 80% 51 Education Technical school/Some college 11% 13% 76% 94 College graduate 9% 13% 78% 59 Postgraduate work 10% 18% 72% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 5% 12% 83% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 9% 11% 80% 23 Relig. Services Few times a year 3% 16% 82% 61 Never 14% 11% 75% 115 2016 Donald Trump 11% 10% 79% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 10% 16% 74% 174 Vote Voted for Other 8% 15% 77% 27 Did Not Vote 4% 2% 95% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 11% 11% 78% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 8% 16% 76% 158 Region of Central / Lakes 8% 22% 71% 39 State Connecticut Valley 4% 18% 78% 40 Manchester Area 12% 8% 80% 39 Mass Border 10% 13% 76% 57 North Country 9% 6% 85% 13 Seacoast 9% 14% 76% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 12% 13% 75% 123 District Second Congressional District 5% 16% 79% 115 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Elizabeth Eric Cory Booker Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Warren Swalwell STATEWIDE 2% 2% 30% 3% 3% 5% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 1% 1% 27% 3% 4% 5% 1% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 5% 3% 34% 3% 2% 4% Party ID Democrat 1% 2% 29% 3% 4% 5% 1% Independent 10% 3% 43% 1% 1% Republican 7% Ideology Liberal 1% 4% 32% 5% 4% 7% 1% Moderate 4% 0% 23% 2% 3% 3% 1% Conservative 6% 37% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% Listen to NHPR 6% 3% 22% 3% 7% 7% 1% Read Local Newspapers 3% 16% 4% 17% 2% Read Union Leader 4% 30% 2% 6% 7% Watch WMUR 3% 1% 23% 3% 3% 4% 1% Age of 18 to 34 6% 48% 4% 10% Respondent 35 to 49 2% 27% 5% 50 to 64 5% 24% 1% 4% 2% 65 and older 2% 17% 6% 4% 4% 2% Sex of Female 4% 23% 4% 4% 6% 1% Respondent Male 6% 43% 1% 2% 3% Level of High school or less 4% 33% 4% 6% 1% Education Technical school/Some college 3% 2% 33% 1% 4% 7% College graduate 4% 25% 5% 1% 5% 1% Postgraduate work 2% 3% 24% 1% 6% Frequency Once a week or more 20% 3% 1% Attending Once or twice a month 3% 23% 4% 5% 8% 3% Relig. Services Few times a year 4% 1% 35% 3% 3% Never 1% 3% 27% 3% 5% 6% 0% 2016 Donald Trump 3% 7% 16% Presidential Hillary Clinton 3% 1% 32% 4% 3% 4% 1% Vote Voted for Other 34% 10% 13% Did Not Vote 10% 23% 4% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 2% 1% 27% 4% 4% 5% Household Not Gun Owner 2% 3% 32% 2% 3% 4% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 3% 1% 20% 8% 2% State Connecticut Valley 3% 38% 4% 1% Manchester Area 3% 5% 14% 0% 7% 9% 2% Mass Border 4% 4% 35% 1% 8% 2% 1% North Country 53% 2% Seacoast 32% 2% 11% Congressional First Congressional District 3% 2% 28% 1% 1% 5% 1% District Second Congressional District 2% 3% 32% 4% 5% 4% 0% Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List

Kirsten Jay Inslee Joe Biden John Delaney Julian Castro Kamala Harris Gillbrand STATEWIDE 0% 18% 0% 0% 4% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 20% 6% 2% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 1% 0% 2% 0% Party ID Democrat 0% 19% 0% 5% 1% Independent 10% 1% 1% Republican 13% 13% 7% Ideology Liberal 0% 13% 5% 1% Moderate 22% 1% 0% 5% 1% Conservative 22% 11% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 19% 16% Listen to NHPR 14% 0% 0% 4% 2% Read Local Newspapers 1% 28% Read Union Leader 20% 8% 1% Watch WMUR 24% 1% 0% 5% 1% Age of 18 to 34 10% Respondent 35 to 49 15% 8% 1% 50 to 64 18% 1% 6% 1% 65 and older 1% 30% 1% 1% 5% 2% Sex of Female 0% 18% 6% 1% Respondent Male 17% 1% 0% 2% 0% Level of High school or less 20% 2% 2% Education Technical school/Some college 20% 5% College graduate 1% 11% 1% 1% 4% 1% Postgraduate work 17% 1% 5% 3% Frequency Once a week or more 1% 22% 1% 1% 1% Attending Once or twice a month 7% 1% 5% Relig. Services Few times a year 20% 6% 1% Never 19% 0% 5% 1% 2016 Donald Trump 33% 4% 8% Presidential Hillary Clinton 0% 16% 0% 0% 5% 1% Vote Voted for Other 9% 1% Did Not Vote 26% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 13% 1% 0% 2% 2% Household Not Gun Owner 0% 20% 0% 5% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 22% 4% 2% State Connecticut Valley 7% 2% 2% Manchester Area 17% 10% Mass Border 1% 19% 1% 1% 2% 1% North Country 22% 2% Seacoast 21% 1% 5% 2% Congressional First Congressional District 18% 1% 5% 2% District Second Congressional District 0% 17% 0% 3% 1% Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - List

Pete Tulsi Wayne Tim Ryan Other Undecided N Buttigieg Gabbard Messam STATEWIDE 15% 2% 1% 1% 0% 12% 237

Registered to Reg. Democrat 12% 1% 16% 127 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 18% 2% 2% 2% 1% 8% 110 Party ID Democrat 15% 2% 0% 1% 12% 201 Independent 14% 1% 2% 2% 10% 32 Republican 12% 48% 5 Ideology Liberal 13% 2% 1% 12% 102 Moderate 18% 0% 1% 2% 14% 112 Conservative 10% 7% 7% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 34% 15% 2 Listen to NHPR 16% 1% 3% 10% 81 Read Local Newspapers 8% 21% 27 Read Union Leader 11% 1% 10% 45 Watch WMUR 13% 3% 2% 1% 12% 118 Age of 18 to 34 15% 4% 3% 66 Respondent 35 to 49 18% 3% 21% 50 50 to 64 15% 4% 18% 66 65 and older 10% 2% 1% 1% 10% 52 Sex of Female 16% 2% 2% 15% 150 Respondent Male 13% 1% 2% 1% 9% 88 Level of High school or less 9% 7% 1% 11% 51 Education Technical school/Some college 14% 3% 1% 7% 94 College graduate 19% 1% 20% 59 Postgraduate work 16% 1% 2% 17% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 32% 4% 14% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 8% 11% 3% 18% 23 Relig. Services Few times a year 12% 1% 2% 11% 61 Never 14% 0% 2% 13% 115 2016 Donald Trump 5% 3% 4% 16% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 15% 2% 0% 13% 174 Vote Voted for Other 4% 10% 18% 27 Did Not Vote 37% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 23% 1% 1% 15% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 11% 2% 0% 2% 0% 11% 158 Region of Central / Lakes 27% 3% 1% 2% 6% 39 State Connecticut Valley 17% 26% 40 Manchester Area 9% 7% 2% 7% 8% 39 Mass Border 11% 1% 9% 57 North Country 5% 17% 13 Seacoast 14% 13% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 18% 2% 1% 2% 1% 10% 123 District Second Congressional District 12% 1% 1% 15% 115 Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Cory Elizabeth Eric Jay Inslee Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Booker Warren Swalwell STATEWIDE 2% 1% 19% 3% 8% 13% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 3% 0% 18% 2% 10% 12% 2% 2% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 2% 21% 3% 6% 14% Party ID Democrat 3% 0% 20% 3% 8% 14% 1% 1% Independent 7% 11% 4% 13% 7% Republican 24% Ideology Liberal 3% 0% 21% 1% 11% 15% 0% Moderate 2% 18% 4% 7% 13% 2% 1% Conservative 15% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio Listen to NHPR 0% 2% 14% 2% 9% 18% 2% Read Local Newspapers 2% 7% 2% 22% 9% Read Union Leader 8% 3% 14% 18% 3% Watch WMUR 3% 0% 25% 4% 10% 7% 2% Age of 18 to 34 3% 25% 3% 11% 17% Respondent 35 to 49 14% 3% 6% 17% 50 to 64 6% 11% 2% 10% 9% 3% 1% 65 and older 3% 1% 25% 3% 4% 9% 3% Sex of Female 3% 0% 20% 2% 7% 12% 1% 1% Respondent Male 1% 2% 19% 4% 10% 15% Level of High school or less 8% 4% 21% 4% 2% 8% 4% 3% Education Technical school/Some college 22% 1% 12% 17% College graduate 3% 17% 3% 6% 11% Postgraduate work 1% 10% 6% 8% 10% 1% Frequency Once a week or more 1% 17% 4% 7% 23% Attending Once or twice a month 27% 6% 12% 4% Relig. Services Few times a year 4% 12% 1% 5% 9% 3% Never 2% 2% 24% 3% 10% 15% 2% 2016 Donald Trump 16% 7% 3% Presidential Hillary Clinton 2% 0% 16% 3% 9% 14% 1% 1% Vote Voted for Other 33% 7% 5% Did Not Vote 9% 29% 4% 10% 19% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 4% 21% 2% 11% 16% 3% Household Not Gun Owner 2% 1% 19% 3% 7% 11% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 6% 24% 11% 12% State Connecticut Valley 9% 6% 9% 30% 7% Manchester Area 5% 25% 10% 9% Mass Border 1% 13% 5% 2% 9% North Country 4% 16% 7% 6% 17% Seacoast 1% 27% 4% 12% 11% 4% Congressional First Congressional District 3% 0% 25% 2% 7% 11% 2% District Second Congressional District 2% 2% 12% 4% 9% 15% 2% Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

John Kirsten Joe Biden John Delaney Julian Castro Kamala Harris Hickenlooper Gillbrand STATEWIDE 18% 2% 0% 0% 8% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 19% 2% 1% 7% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 17% 2% 1% 8% 2% Party ID Democrat 19% 2% 1% 0% 8% 0% Independent 17% 4% 4% 5% Republican Ideology Liberal 19% 5% 1% Moderate 17% 2% 1% 12% 1% Conservative 23% 22% 7% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 40% Listen to NHPR 11% 3% 1% 10% 3% Read Local Newspapers 22% 14% Read Union Leader 28% 2% 10% Watch WMUR 25% 3% 1% 7% Age of 18 to 34 17% 3% Respondent 35 to 49 19% 4% 16% 50 to 64 22% 1% 9% 4% 65 and older 16% 4% 2% 2% 4% Sex of Female 21% 2% 1% 8% 2% Respondent Male 14% 2% 1% 7% Level of High school or less 20% 3% 2% 6% Education Technical school/Some college 21% 1% 5% College graduate 17% 3% 14% 3% Postgraduate work 11% 5% 8% 3% Frequency Once a week or more 9% 4% 3% 10% Attending Once or twice a month 8% 6% 12% Relig. Services Few times a year 21% 3% 6% 2% Never 18% 0% 1% 7% 1% 2016 Donald Trump 8% 9% 7% 9% Presidential Hillary Clinton 20% 2% 0% 7% 1% Vote Voted for Other 24% 3% Did Not Vote 10% 2% 17% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 20% 2% 5% Household Not Gun Owner 18% 2% 1% 1% 8% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 12% 3% 2% 11% 2% State Connecticut Valley 23% 2% 4% Manchester Area 13% 2% 2% 14% Mass Border 24% 4% 9% North Country 39% 2% Seacoast 12% 1% 3% Congressional First Congressional District 17% 2% 1% 1% 9% District Second Congressional District 20% 2% 7% 2% Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Pete Tulsi Wayne No Second Tim Ryan Other Undecided N Buttigieg Gabbard Messam Choice STATEWIDE 5% 1% 2% 0% 6% 2% 6% 205

Registered to Reg. Democrat 8% 1% 1% 7% 1% 4% 107 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 3% 0% 4% 3% 8% 98 Party ID Democrat 6% 1% 1% 6% 2% 4% 176 Independent 7% 4% 3% 16% 25 Republican 25% 14% 23% 13% 3 Ideology Liberal 7% 4% 4% 3% 4% 89 Moderate 5% 1% 1% 6% 1% 4% 96 Conservative 4% 30% 10 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 19% 23% 18% 2 Listen to NHPR 7% 2% 2% 7% 7% 73 Read Local Newspapers 6% 16% 21 Read Union Leader 6% 3% 1% 2% 3% 41 Watch WMUR 5% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 4% 103 Age of 18 to 34 3% 3% 8% 5% 2% 65 Respondent 35 to 49 7% 4% 8% 36 50 to 64 3% 2% 5% 8% 1% 3% 54 65 and older 10% 1% 2% 13% 47 Sex of Female 3% 1% 7% 3% 5% 128 Respondent Male 9% 2% 5% 0% 4% 1% 7% 77 Level of High school or less 4% 3% 3% 4% 42 Education Technical school/Some college 3% 2% 6% 3% 6% 88 College graduate 8% 2% 3% 3% 8% 47 Postgraduate work 9% 2% 1% 12% 11% 28 Frequency Once a week or more 9% 3% 9% 25 Attending Once or twice a month 3% 6% 2% 4% 9% 19 Relig. Services Few times a year 3% 6% 10% 6% 9% 54 Never 6% 1% 6% 3% 101 2016 Donald Trump 5% 3% 8% 5% 20% 13 Presidential Hillary Clinton 7% 1% 3% 5% 2% 5% 149 Vote Voted for Other 2% 16% 8% 22 Did Not Vote 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 2% 7% 5% 2% 66 Household Not Gun Owner 7% 1% 3% 0% 5% 0% 8% 137 Region of Central / Lakes 4% 1% 4% 7% 37 State Connecticut Valley 8% 1% 26 Manchester Area 10% 3% 1% 2% 4% 36 Mass Border 4% 4% 1% 12% 1% 12% 52 North Country 5% 4% 11 Seacoast 2% 5% 8% 6% 4% 42 Congressional First Congressional District 5% 1% 4% 0% 4% 3% 5% 111 District Second Congressional District 6% 0% 8% 1% 8% 94 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Bernie Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Beto O'Rourke Cory Booker Sanders Warren

STATEWIDE 2% 0% 8% 3% 1% 14%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 2% 0% 10% 1% 2% 13% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 7% 5% 1% 15% Party ID Democrat 2% 0% 8% 3% 2% 13% Independent 8% 21% Republican 32% Ideology Liberal 3% 0% 12% 3% 1% 13% Moderate 1% 6% 3% 2% 13% Conservative 6% 40% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 49% Listen to NHPR 4% 10% 6% 2% 9% Read Local Newspapers 7% 18% Read Union Leader 12% 4% 7% Watch WMUR 3% 0% 9% 2% 12% Age of 18 to 34 3% 7% 7% 13% Respondent 35 to 49 6% 16% 2% 19% 50 to 64 1% 8% 2% 14% 65 and older 1% 3% 2% 4% 13% Sex of Female 2% 9% 2% 1% 16% Respondent Male 3% 0% 7% 4% 2% 12% Level of High school or less 2% 6% 9% Education Technical school/Some college 2% 10% 4% 20% College graduate 3% 0% 5% 4% 1% 11% Postgraduate work 4% 17% 11% Frequency Once a week or more 1% 2% 1% 1% 19% Attending Once or twice a month 8% 21% 1% Relig. Services Few times a year 1% 3% 2% 16% Never 2% 10% 5% 1% 15% 2016 Donald Trump 10% 31% Presidential Hillary Clinton 3% 0% 10% 2% 2% 10% Vote Voted for Other 2% 9% 2% 34% Did Not Vote 3% 11% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 2% 0% 5% 6% 1% 16% Household Not Gun Owner 2% 10% 2% 2% 13% Region of Central / Lakes 6% 1% 7% 1% 14% State Connecticut Valley 5% 5% 4% Manchester Area 17% 3% 10% Mass Border 2% 9% 2% 26% North Country 5% 2% 2% 6% Seacoast 2% 6% 5% 5% 14% Congressional First Congressional District 3% 8% 3% 2% 13% District Second Congressional District 1% 0% 9% 3% 1% 15% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

John Eric Swalwell Joe Biden John Delaney Julian Castro Kamala Harris Hickenlooper

STATEWIDE 0% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 3% 1% 2% 2% 0% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 0% 8% 1% 2% Party ID Democrat 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Independent 21% 4% Republican 7% 13% Ideology Liberal 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% Moderate 8% Conservative 4% 5% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 16% Listen to NHPR 4% 2% 1% 2% Read Local Newspapers 2% 5% 3% Read Union Leader 1% 1% 1% 2% Watch WMUR 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% Age of 18 to 34 5% Respondent 35 to 49 4% 50 to 64 8% 1% 3% 1% 65 and older 1% 5% 1% 5% Sex of Female 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% Respondent Male 0% 8% 2% Level of High school or less 5% 4% 4% Education Technical school/Some college 3% 1% College graduate 5% 2% 3% Postgraduate work 1% 8% 2% Frequency Once a week or more 3% 3% Attending Once or twice a month 1% 8% Relig. Services Few times a year 6% 1% 4% 3% Never 4% 0% 2% 1% 2016 Donald Trump 2% 8% 14% 3% Presidential Hillary Clinton 4% 1% 2% 1% Vote Voted for Other 7% 2% Did Not Vote 4% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 2% 4% 3% 1% Household Not Gun Owner 0% 6% 1% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 2% 5% 5% 3% State Connecticut Valley 9% 2% Manchester Area 2% Mass Border 1% 11% 1% North Country 3% Seacoast 2% 1% 2% Congressional First Congressional District 0% 4% 1% 2% 2% District Second Congressional District 6% 2% 0% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Don't Kirsten Pete Tulsi None All Are Other Know/Not N Gillbrand Buttigieg Gabbard Ok Sure STATEWIDE 3% 2% 2% 27% 2% 28% 238

Registered to Reg. Democrat 5% 3% 2% 23% 31% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 1% 31% 3% 23% 109 Party ID Democrat 3% 2% 2% 28% 2% 28% 204 Independent 2% 21% 22% 28 Republican 9% 7% 32% 5 Ideology Liberal 1% 3% 3% 22% 3% 25% 104 Moderate 6% 0% 31% 0% 29% 114 Conservative 15% 7% 24% 10 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 19% 2 Listen to NHPR 3% 5% 32% 21% 81 Read Local Newspapers 4% 7% 2% 18% 34% 27 Read Union Leader 11% 3% 4% 31% 22% 44 Watch WMUR 5% 3% 22% 0% 35% 117 Age of 18 to 34 3% 31% 4% 27% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 32% 23% 48 50 to 64 7% 3% 3% 18% 32% 66 65 and older 5% 3% 1% 29% 2% 25% 52 Sex of Female 3% 2% 1% 26% 2% 30% 152 Respondent Male 3% 0% 4% 29% 1% 24% 86 Level of High school or less 3% 32% 1% 32% 49 Education Technical school/Some college 4% 3% 2% 24% 3% 25% 97 College graduate 2% 1% 31% 1% 30% 58 Postgraduate work 2% 1% 5% 23% 26% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 3% 24% 4% 39% 28 Attending Once or twice a month 2% 2% 31% 27% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 6% 4% 1% 28% 4% 21% 61 Never 2% 1% 3% 28% 25% 117 2016 Donald Trump 13% 2% 15% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 3% 1% 2% 24% 2% 33% 172 Vote Voted for Other 4% 6% 19% 14% 29 Did Not Vote 2% 71% 10% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 2% 2% 1% 22% 4% 30% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 3% 1% 2% 30% 0% 26% 159 Region of Central / Lakes 3% 28% 2% 25% 42 State Connecticut Valley 3% 6% 21% 45% 37 Manchester Area 8% 1% 31% 29% 39 Mass Border 2% 3% 25% 17% 58 North Country 6% 33% 43% 13 Seacoast 1% 3% 1% 28% 6% 24% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 4% 1% 2% 27% 3% 26% 123 District Second Congressional District 2% 2% 1% 27% 29% 115 Most Likeable Democra c Candidate

Bernie Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Beto O'Rourke Cory Booker Sanders Warren STATEWIDE 1% 1% 22% 11% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 20% 9% 1% 3% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 3% 25% 13% 1% Party ID Democrat 1% 1% 23% 11% 1% 2% Independent 2% 3% 15% 12% Republican 26% Ideology Liberal 2% 22% 10% 2% 2% Moderate 2% 0% 20% 14% 0% 1% Conservative 6% 17% 4% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 34% Listen to NHPR 1% 1% 23% 12% 1% 1% Read Local Newspapers 18% 6% 7% Read Union Leader 4% 17% 9% Watch WMUR 1% 1% 18% 14% 2% 1% Age of 18 to 34 3% 31% 12% 1% Respondent 35 to 49 2% 19% 19% 50 to 64 20% 7% 4% 3% 65 and older 1% 16% 8% 0% Sex of Female 1% 21% 13% 2% 1% Respondent Male 3% 24% 7% 0% 2% Level of High school or less 4% 17% 14% 2% Education Technical school/Some college 1% 27% 10% 2% 1% College graduate 1% 24% 11% 0% 1% Postgraduate work 3% 14% 10% 2% 1% Frequency Once a week or more 14% 4% 1% 1% Attending Once or twice a month 3% 10% 28% Relig. Services Few times a year 1% 30% 8% 3% Never 2% 22% 12% 1% 3% 2016 Donald Trump 7% 23% 8% Presidential Hillary Clinton 1% 21% 11% 1% 2% Vote Voted for Other 39% 18% 6% Did Not Vote 10% 5% 10% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 1% 25% 4% 2% 0% Household Not Gun Owner 0% 1% 21% 15% 1% 2% Region of Central / Lakes 1% 14% 10% 2% State Connecticut Valley 32% 16% 4% 3% Manchester Area 3% 9% 7% 2% Mass Border 1% 4% 25% 19% North Country 18% 2% 2% 2% Seacoast 29% 5% 3% Congressional First Congressional District 2% 19% 8% 0% 2% District Second Congressional District 2% 26% 14% 2% 1% Most Likeable Democra c Candidate

Kirsten Marianne Joe Biden John Delaney Julian Castro Kamala Harris Gillbrand Williamson STATEWIDE 28% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 35% 0% 0% 2% 0% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 19% 1% 0% Party ID Democrat 29% 0% 0% 2% 0% Independent 17% Republican 19% 7% Ideology Liberal 26% 0% 3% 1% Moderate 29% 0% Conservative 45% 5% 3% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 16% Listen to NHPR 21% 0% 1% 1% Read Local Newspapers 39% 3% Read Union Leader 39% 2% 1% Watch WMUR 32% 0% 0% 1% 0% Age of 18 to 34 24% Respondent 35 to 49 21% 5% 50 to 64 26% 1% 1% 1% 65 and older 42% 3% 1% Sex of Female 32% 0% 2% 0% Respondent Male 20% 1% 1% 0% Level of High school or less 30% Education Technical school/Some college 34% 3% College graduate 18% 1% 1% 1% Postgraduate work 23% 1% 2% 1% Frequency Once a week or more 25% Attending Once or twice a month 12% 2% 1% 1% Relig. Services Few times a year 30% 1% 1% 1% Never 29% 3% 2016 Donald Trump 52% 2% Presidential Hillary Clinton 30% 0% 0% 2% 0% Vote Voted for Other 15% Did Not Vote Gun Owner in Gun Owner 23% 1% Household Not Gun Owner 30% 0% 3% 0% 0% Region of Central / Lakes 34% 3% State Connecticut Valley 10% 2% Manchester Area 43% 1% Mass Border 23% 1% 1% North Country 35% Seacoast 28% 1% 5% Congressional First Congressional District 32% 0% 0% 2% 0% District Second Congressional District 23% 1% 1% Most Likeable Democra c Candidate

Pete Buttigieg Tim Ryan Tulsi Gabbard Other Undecided N

STATEWIDE 13% 1% 0% 1% 17% 241

Registered to Reg. Democrat 15% 14% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 12% 2% 0% 1% 20% 112 Party ID Democrat 13% 1% 0% 14% 204 Independent 19% 2% 30% 32 Republican 9% 39% 5 Ideology Liberal 13% 2% 0% 15% 104 Moderate 15% 0% 18% 114 Conservative 7% 13% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 35% 2 Listen to NHPR 17% 1% 20% 80 Read Local Newspapers 6% 22% 27 Read Union Leader 13% 1% 14% 45 Watch WMUR 11% 2% 1% 15% 118 Age of 18 to 34 16% 12% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 13% 20% 52 50 to 64 13% 4% 1% 21% 66 65 and older 11% 1% 1% 16% 52 Sex of Female 11% 2% 15% 152 Respondent Male 17% 1% 1% 21% 89 Level of High school or less 12% 5% 1% 17% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 13% 1% 9% 97 College graduate 14% 1% 26% 59 Postgraduate work 17% 25% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 22% 32% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 16% 10% 3% 14% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 11% 1% 13% 61 Never 13% 0% 17% 117 2016 Donald Trump 8% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 14% 1% 1% 15% 176 Vote Voted for Other 2% 2% 18% 29 Did Not Vote 35% 39% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 26% 1% 18% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 7% 2% 1% 17% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 20% 1% 2% 14% 42 State Connecticut Valley 20% 14% 40 Manchester Area 10% 6% 1% 17% 39 Mass Border 9% 17% 58 North Country 10% 31% 13 Seacoast 11% 19% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 16% 2% 1% 16% 122 District Second Congressional District 11% 0% 18% 119 Most Progressive Democra c Candidate

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Cory Elizabeth John Joe Biden Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Booker Warren Delaney STATEWIDE 1% 3% 36% 3% 1% 10% 3% 0%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 1% 31% 4% 1% 15% 4% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 4% 41% 2% 1% 4% 1% 0% Party ID Democrat 1% 3% 36% 3% 1% 10% 3% Independent 25% 10% 1% Republican 77% Ideology Liberal 6% 40% 5% 1% 12% 3% Moderate 1% 36% 1% 1% 8% 1% 0% Conservative 16% 14% 8% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 65% Listen to NHPR 2% 48% 2% 12% 1% 0% Read Local Newspapers 38% 6% 7% Read Union Leader 3% 4% 31% 2% 13% 7% Watch WMUR 1% 2% 40% 2% 1% 10% 5% 0% Age of 18 to 34 5% 36% 8% Respondent 35 to 49 5% 37% 1% 7% 1% 50 to 64 40% 5% 7% 3% 65 and older 30% 5% 1% 18% 6% 1% Sex of Female 1% 2% 39% 4% 0% 9% 4% Respondent Male 4% 31% 1% 10% 1% 0% Level of High school or less 4% 17% 4% 10% 6% Education Technical school/Some college 1% 4% 38% 3% 9% 2% College graduate 44% 1% 2% 9% Postgraduate work 43% 3% 1% 13% 2% 1% Frequency Once a week or more 28% 3% 10% 1% Attending Once or twice a month 29% 4% 18% 7% Relig. Services Few times a year 33% 1% 9% 4% Never 5% 39% 3% 1% 9% 2% 2016 Donald Trump 29% 7% 25% Presidential Hillary Clinton 1% 2% 39% 3% 1% 13% 1% Vote Voted for Other 42% 6% 1% Did Not Vote 10% 7% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 34% 4% 4% 4% Household Not Gun Owner 4% 37% 2% 1% 12% 2% 0% Region of Central / Lakes 40% 5% 1% 6% 5% State Connecticut Valley 38% 2% 5% Manchester Area 3% 39% 14% 4% Mass Border 11% 30% 2% 1% 7% 1% North Country 67% 4% Seacoast 27% 5% 1% 18% 5% Congressional First Congressional District 1% 4% 35% 2% 1% 10% 5% 0% District Second Congressional District 2% 37% 3% 1% 9% Most Progressive Democra c Candidate

Kamala Marianne Pete Tulsi Other Undecided N Harris Williamson Buttigieg Gabbard STATEWIDE 2% 0% 4% 0% 2% 38% 242

Registered to Reg. Democrat 1% 3% 41% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 4% 1% 6% 1% 3% 34% 112 Party ID Democrat 2% 0% 4% 1% 36% 205 Independent 2% 8% 2% 2% 50% 32 Republican 7% 16% 5 Ideology Liberal 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 26% 104 Moderate 3% 8% 42% 114 Conservative 7% 56% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 19% 2 Listen to NHPR 3% 1% 4% 1% 26% 81 Read Local Newspapers 5% 3% 41% 27 Read Union Leader 1% 2% 9% 1% 28% 45 Watch WMUR 1% 1% 3% 1% 33% 118 Age of 18 to 34 2% 6% 4% 39% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 3% 2% 1% 42% 52 50 to 64 1% 3% 41% 66 65 and older 3% 1% 4% 2% 28% 52 Sex of Female 1% 4% 2% 35% 152 Respondent Male 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 42% 90 Level of High school or less 3% 3% 1% 53% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 1% 5% 3% 33% 97 College graduate 4% 4% 36% 59 Postgraduate work 4% 3% 2% 28% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 2% 14% 41% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 3% 3% 3% 35% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 43% 61 Never 2% 4% 0% 35% 117 2016 Donald Trump 4% 35% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 1% 0% 4% 2% 34% 176 Vote Voted for Other 2% 2% 2% 44% 29 Did Not Vote 9% 19% 54% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 3% 10% 1% 4% 37% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 1% 0% 1% 0% 38% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 6% 2% 3% 3% 30% 42 State Connecticut Valley 10% 45% 40 Manchester Area 2% 7% 2% 30% 39 Mass Border 2% 0% 47% 58 North Country 30% 13 Seacoast 1% 3% 5% 36% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 3% 4% 1% 3% 32% 123 District Second Congressional District 1% 1% 4% 0% 43% 119 Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Amy Andrew Bernie Beto Elizabeth Cory Booker Joe Biden Klobuchar Yang Sanders O'Rourke Warren STATEWIDE 0% 0% 30% 3% 2% 2% 25%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 24% 4% 1% 3% 30% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 0% 37% 2% 3% 1% 19% Party ID Democrat 29% 4% 2% 3% 27% Independent 4% 1% 39% 1% 1% 11% Republican 13% 28% Ideology Liberal 24% 5% 2% 2% 25% Moderate 1% 0% 31% 2% 2% 3% 28% Conservative 47% 8% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% Listen to NHPR 1% 30% 7% 3% 1% 25% Read Local Newspapers 11% 13% 1% 20% Read Union Leader 29% 2% 38% Watch WMUR 0% 21% 1% 1% 4% 34% Age of 18 to 34 49% 8% 3% 4% 10% Respondent 35 to 49 1% 31% 2% 24% 50 to 64 2% 23% 4% 2% 27% 65 and older 14% 2% 0% 3% 41% Sex of Female 1% 23% 5% 2% 3% 28% Respondent Male 1% 42% 0% 2% 2% 20% Level of High school or less 39% 4% 4% 27% Education Technical school/Some college 35% 6% 1% 2% 24% College graduate 2% 23% 3% 1% 2% 17% Postgraduate work 1% 14% 1% 2% 1% 36% Frequency Once a week or more 29% 10% 1% 4% 11% Attending Once or twice a month 19% 3% 7% 29% Relig. Services Few times a year 2% 1% 26% 31% Never 35% 3% 4% 2% 25% 2016 Donald Trump 3% 28% 29% Presidential Hillary Clinton 1% 27% 3% 2% 3% 29% Vote Voted for Other 48% 9% 8% Did Not Vote 40% 10% 2% 4% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 36% 4% 24% Household Not Gun Owner 1% 0% 27% 3% 3% 3% 25% Region of Central / Lakes 1% 37% 5% 2% 0% 23% State Connecticut Valley 3% 48% 4% 3% 5% 16% Manchester Area 25% 3% 50% Mass Border 21% 5% 3% 21% North Country 18% 6% 32% Seacoast 27% 7% 16% Congressional First Congressional District 29% 1% 0% 3% 25% District Second Congressional District 1% 0% 31% 6% 4% 2% 24% Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

John Kamala Kirsten Pete Other Undecided N Delaney Harris Gillbrand Buttigieg STATEWIDE 0% 2% 0% 4% 0% 30% 240

Registered to Reg. Democrat 4% 1% 3% 30% 128 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 6% 1% 29% 112 Party ID Democrat 2% 0% 4% 29% 204 Independent 3% 4% 2% 34% 32 Republican 59% 5 Ideology Liberal 4% 1% 6% 32% 103 Moderate 0% 1% 4% 28% 113 Conservative 6% 7% 33% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 34% 51% 2 Listen to NHPR 1% 1% 1% 6% 24% 80 Read Local Newspapers 1% 7% 46% 26 Read Union Leader 1% 3% 26% 45 Watch WMUR 1% 1% 5% 1% 31% 117 Age of 18 to 34 1% 26% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 1% 6% 6% 28% 52 50 to 64 1% 1% 5% 35% 66 65 and older 1% 2% 5% 1% 32% 52 Sex of Female 2% 0% 5% 31% 152 Respondent Male 1% 1% 2% 1% 28% 88 Level of High school or less 26% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 3% 3% 1% 25% 97 College graduate 2% 1% 10% 39% 58 Postgraduate work 3% 2% 3% 36% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 1% 1% 4% 39% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 3% 3% 5% 3% 28% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 1% 1% 4% 35% 61 Never 3% 4% 24% 116 2016 Donald Trump 4% 5% 32% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 3% 0% 5% 0% 29% 175 Vote Voted for Other 1% 33% 29 Did Not Vote 3% 41% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 1% 3% 32% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 0% 3% 0% 4% 0% 29% 161 Region of Central / Lakes 2% 5% 2% 23% 42 State Connecticut Valley 1% 2% 18% 39 Manchester Area 2% 20% 39 Mass Border 2% 8% 40% 58 North Country 2% 41% 13 Seacoast 6% 5% 39% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 0% 3% 6% 1% 32% 123 District Second Congressional District 1% 1% 1% 2% 28% 118 Concern Nomina ng Openly Gay Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Somewhat Don't Know/Not Very Concerned No, Not Concerned N Concerned Sure STATEWIDE 12% 26% 58% 5% 242

Registered to Reg. Democrat 7% 30% 57% 6% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 17% 22% 59% 2% 112 Party ID Democrat 8% 27% 60% 4% 205 Independent 33% 21% 41% 5% 32 Republican 20% 17% 51% 13% 5 Ideology Liberal 7% 30% 59% 3% 104 Moderate 11% 25% 58% 6% 114 Conservative 22% 27% 46% 6% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 85% 2 Listen to NHPR 6% 29% 59% 6% 81 Read Local Newspapers 4% 29% 51% 16% 27 Read Union Leader 10% 27% 53% 10% 45 Watch WMUR 10% 19% 62% 9% 118 Age of 18 to 34 7% 33% 54% 6% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 27% 20% 51% 2% 52 50 to 64 5% 25% 68% 2% 66 65 and older 11% 25% 56% 8% 52 Sex of Female 10% 25% 60% 6% 152 Respondent Male 15% 29% 54% 3% 90 Level of High school or less 16% 26% 55% 3% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 10% 25% 57% 7% 97 College graduate 11% 26% 60% 3% 59 Postgraduate work 9% 29% 59% 3% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 14% 13% 55% 17% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 7% 32% 60% 1% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 13% 26% 58% 3% 61 Never 10% 30% 59% 1% 117 2016 Donald Trump 8% 15% 73% 4% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 14% 27% 56% 4% 176 Vote Voted for Other 33% 61% 6% 29 Did Not Vote 14% 20% 56% 10% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 13% 20% 65% 2% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 11% 29% 54% 6% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 9% 21% 67% 3% 42 State Connecticut Valley 13% 30% 55% 2% 40 Manchester Area 10% 23% 66% 1% 39 Mass Border 16% 32% 46% 6% 58 North Country 18% 15% 49% 19% 13 Seacoast 6% 25% 62% 7% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 13% 22% 60% 6% 123 District Second Congressional District 10% 31% 55% 3% 119 Concern Nomina ng Female Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Somewhat Don't Know/Not Very Concerned No, Not Concerned N Concerned Sure STATEWIDE 8% 15% 75% 2% 242

Registered to Reg. Democrat 6% 16% 77% 2% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 15% 72% 3% 112 Party ID Democrat 7% 16% 75% 2% 205 Independent 10% 12% 74% 5% 32 Republican 20% 68% 13% 5 Ideology Liberal 6% 14% 79% 1% 104 Moderate 7% 16% 73% 4% 114 Conservative 8% 17% 76% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 85% 2 Listen to NHPR 3% 18% 77% 2% 81 Read Local Newspapers 6% 19% 75% 27 Read Union Leader 5% 13% 76% 7% 45 Watch WMUR 9% 14% 74% 4% 118 Age of 18 to 34 6% 15% 79% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 14% 15% 66% 4% 52 50 to 64 2% 12% 85% 1% 66 65 and older 10% 19% 65% 5% 52 Sex of Female 7% 17% 72% 4% 152 Respondent Male 9% 13% 79% 90 Level of High school or less 14% 20% 63% 3% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 8% 15% 74% 3% 97 College graduate 3% 12% 84% 1% 59 Postgraduate work 4% 15% 79% 2% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 4% 13% 78% 5% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 7% 13% 80% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 8% 22% 67% 3% 61 Never 6% 14% 78% 2% 117 2016 Donald Trump 5% 2% 88% 4% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 9% 14% 75% 2% 176 Vote Voted for Other 22% 73% 5% 29 Did Not Vote 10% 21% 69% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 7% 14% 78% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 8% 16% 73% 4% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 1% 5% 94% 42 State Connecticut Valley 9% 16% 75% 40 Manchester Area 6% 14% 80% 39 Mass Border 7% 23% 63% 8% 58 North Country 13% 16% 71% 13 Seacoast 13% 16% 69% 3% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 12% 14% 73% 1% 123 District Second Congressional District 3% 17% 76% 4% 119 Concern Nomina ng White Male Candidate Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Somewhat Don't Know/Not Very Concerned No, Not Concerned N Concerned Sure STATEWIDE 2% 10% 83% 5% 241

Registered to Reg. Democrat 4% 10% 84% 2% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 10% 81% 8% 112 Party ID Democrat 3% 10% 84% 3% 204 Independent 11% 74% 14% 32 Republican 7% 7% 73% 13% 5 Ideology Liberal 1% 12% 84% 4% 104 Moderate 4% 11% 81% 4% 114 Conservative 10% 90% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 15% 69% 2 Listen to NHPR 3% 11% 83% 3% 81 Read Local Newspapers 2% 9% 87% 1% 27 Read Union Leader 3% 6% 91% 45 Watch WMUR 4% 5% 85% 7% 117 Age of 18 to 34 1% 11% 87% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 4% 20% 66% 11% 52 50 to 64 2% 6% 88% 4% 66 65 and older 3% 5% 87% 6% 52 Sex of Female 2% 10% 84% 4% 152 Respondent Male 2% 11% 80% 7% 89 Level of High school or less 4% 7% 83% 6% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 9% 84% 6% 97 College graduate 5% 16% 77% 2% 59 Postgraduate work 1% 9% 88% 3% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 5% 8% 74% 13% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 5% 11% 84% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 1% 8% 89% 2% 61 Never 2% 13% 82% 3% 117 2016 Donald Trump 2% 2% 91% 4% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 3% 12% 80% 5% 176 Vote Voted for Other 8% 87% 5% 29 Did Not Vote 10% 90% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 3% 5% 93% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 2% 13% 78% 7% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 4% 8% 88% 42 State Connecticut Valley 3% 9% 80% 8% 40 Manchester Area 3% 11% 87% 39 Mass Border 2% 6% 82% 10% 58 North Country 7% 4% 90% 13 Seacoast 19% 76% 5% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 2% 12% 81% 4% 122 District Second Congressional District 2% 8% 84% 5% 119 Concern Nomina ng Candidate Over Age of 70 Will Decrease Chances of Winning Presiden al Elec on

Somewhat Don't Know/Not Very Concerned No, Not Concerned N Concerned Sure STATEWIDE 14% 36% 50% 1% 242

Registered to Reg. Democrat 13% 37% 49% 1% 129 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 34% 51% 1% 112 Party ID Democrat 12% 36% 51% 1% 205 Independent 19% 38% 42% 32 Republican 20% 24% 44% 13% 5 Ideology Liberal 13% 37% 50% 0% 104 Moderate 12% 35% 50% 2% 114 Conservative 22% 35% 43% 11 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 15% 15% 69% 2 Listen to NHPR 17% 35% 46% 2% 81 Read Local Newspapers 24% 36% 41% 27 Read Union Leader 16% 19% 66% 45 Watch WMUR 11% 35% 51% 2% 118 Age of 18 to 34 10% 41% 49% 68 Respondent 35 to 49 18% 32% 49% 1% 52 50 to 64 11% 35% 52% 1% 66 65 and older 18% 33% 47% 2% 52 Sex of Female 13% 37% 48% 2% 152 Respondent Male 14% 33% 53% 0% 90 Level of High school or less 11% 38% 51% 52 Education Technical school/Some college 16% 33% 50% 1% 97 College graduate 12% 41% 47% 59 Postgraduate work 14% 29% 52% 5% 33 Frequency Once a week or more 18% 30% 48% 4% 29 Attending Once or twice a month 14% 28% 58% 25 Relig. Services Few times a year 8% 42% 49% 1% 61 Never 13% 38% 48% 1% 117 2016 Donald Trump 9% 20% 66% 4% 16 Presidential Hillary Clinton 16% 37% 46% 1% 176 Vote Voted for Other 9% 34% 56% 29 Did Not Vote 4% 46% 50% 18 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 9% 31% 59% 1% 78 Household Not Gun Owner 16% 38% 45% 1% 162 Region of Central / Lakes 13% 28% 55% 4% 42 State Connecticut Valley 16% 35% 49% 0% 40 Manchester Area 18% 29% 53% 39 Mass Border 12% 32% 55% 1% 58 North Country 5% 42% 53% 13 Seacoast 13% 50% 37% 49 Congressional First Congressional District 15% 35% 49% 1% 123 District Second Congressional District 12% 36% 50% 1% 119 Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 43% 8% 50% 207

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 39% 5% 56% 87 Vote Reg. Republican 45% 9% 46% 120 Party ID Democrat 4% 13% 83% 5 Independent 35% 8% 57% 29 Republican 44% 7% 48% 167 Ideology Liberal 17% 83% 4 Moderate 29% 8% 63% 76 Conservative 54% 7% 39% 114 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 60% 13% 27% 46 Listen to NHPR 37% 16% 47% 36 Read Local Newspapers 19% 7% 74% 8 Read Union Leader 51% 5% 44% 37 Watch WMUR 44% 6% 50% 108 Age of 18 to 34 32% 6% 61% 51 Respondent 35 to 49 54% 10% 36% 44 50 to 64 33% 9% 58% 71 65 and older 61% 5% 34% 38 Sex of Female 41% 2% 57% 82 Respondent Male 44% 11% 45% 125 Level of High school or less 47% 9% 44% 80 Education Technical school/Some college 48% 1% 50% 75 College graduate 28% 15% 57% 33 Postgraduate work 30% 13% 57% 19 Frequency Once a week or more 41% 9% 50% 46 Attending Once or twice a month 34% 3% 63% 12 Relig. Services Few times a year 42% 6% 52% 53 Never 47% 9% 44% 92 2016 Donald Trump 52% 7% 41% 161 Presidential Hillary Clinton 5% 95% 13 Vote Voted for Other 6% 12% 81% 13 Did Not Vote 31% 10% 60% 14 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 40% 9% 51% 119 Household Not Gun Owner 48% 5% 47% 71 Region of Central / Lakes 38% 6% 55% 39 State Connecticut Valley 50% 9% 40% 26 Manchester Area 53% 8% 40% 36 Mass Border 42% 3% 55% 64 North Country 35% 27% 39% 22 Seacoast 35% 2% 63% 20 Congressional First Congressional District 43% 7% 50% 99 District Second Congressional District 43% 8% 49% 108 Plan on Vo ng for Trump in 2020 Republican Primary or Another Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Vote For Other Candidate Vote For Trump Don't Know/Not Sure N

STATEWIDE 14% 63% 23% 208

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 58% 28% 87 Vote Reg. Republican 14% 67% 19% 121 Party ID Democrat 87% 4% 9% 5 Independent 21% 53% 25% 29 Republican 10% 66% 24% 169 Ideology Liberal 22% 78% 4 Moderate 29% 45% 27% 76 Conservative 3% 76% 20% 114 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 0% 88% 11% 46 Listen to NHPR 19% 62% 19% 36 Read Local Newspapers 42% 31% 26% 8 Read Union Leader 19% 57% 24% 37 Watch WMUR 14% 64% 22% 109 Age of 18 to 34 19% 44% 37% 51 Respondent 35 to 49 5% 88% 7% 44 50 to 64 12% 60% 28% 71 65 and older 18% 67% 15% 39 Sex of Female 20% 56% 24% 83 Respondent Male 10% 68% 22% 125 Level of High school or less 9% 73% 18% 81 Education Technical school/Some college 10% 65% 25% 75 College graduate 32% 44% 24% 33 Postgraduate work 23% 46% 32% 19 Frequency Once a week or more 6% 56% 38% 47 Attending Once or twice a month 23% 66% 12% 12 Relig. Services Few times a year 21% 57% 22% 53 Never 12% 72% 16% 92 2016 Donald Trump 4% 78% 18% 162 Presidential Hillary Clinton 93% 7% 13 Vote Voted for Other 55% 45% 13 Did Not Vote 14% 40% 46% 14 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 9% 66% 24% 119 Household Not Gun Owner 25% 58% 17% 72 Region of Central / Lakes 26% 57% 17% 40 State Connecticut Valley 5% 65% 30% 26 Manchester Area 14% 65% 21% 36 Mass Border 8% 64% 28% 64 North Country 13% 77% 10% 22 Seacoast 21% 50% 29% 20 Congressional First Congressional District 17% 63% 20% 99 District Second Congressional District 11% 63% 26% 109 Trump vs. Kasich vs. Hogan vs. Weld - Republican Primary Voters

Donald Trump John Kasich Larry Hogan William Weld DK/Undecided N

STATEWIDE 76% 10% 1% 5% 8% 208

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 70% 12% 6% 11% 87 Vote Reg. Republican 79% 9% 2% 4% 6% 121 Party ID Democrat 13% 13% 74% 5 Independent 59% 13% 8% 20% 29 Republican 80% 10% 1% 1% 7% 169 Ideology Liberal 78% 22% 4 Moderate 57% 23% 3% 11% 7% 76 Conservative 87% 4% 0% 8% 114 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 98% 0% 1% 46 Listen to NHPR 70% 13% 1% 9% 7% 36 Read Local Newspapers 40% 14% 22% 24% 8 Read Union Leader 63% 26% 1% 3% 7% 37 Watch WMUR 76% 11% 0% 3% 10% 109 Age of 18 to 34 66% 18% 4% 5% 7% 51 Respondent 35 to 49 93% 1% 4% 2% 44 50 to 64 74% 9% 1% 4% 12% 71 65 and older 72% 12% 3% 12% 39 Sex of Female 67% 12% 1% 7% 14% 83 Respondent Male 81% 9% 2% 3% 5% 125 Level of High school or less 83% 9% 2% 5% 81 Education Technical school/Some college 80% 11% 2% 7% 75 College graduate 58% 15% 13% 14% 33 Postgraduate work 57% 6% 3% 19% 16% 19 Frequency Once a week or more 80% 7% 1% 12% 47 Attending Once or twice a month 74% 9% 4% 7% 7% 12 Relig. Services Few times a year 65% 15% 4% 5% 11% 53 Never 83% 10% 5% 2% 92 2016 Donald Trump 90% 6% 0% 4% 162 Presidential Hillary Clinton 29% 4% 45% 23% 13 Vote Voted for Other 19% 35% 15% 21% 10% 13 Did Not Vote 60% 27% 13% 14 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 77% 9% 0% 4% 9% 119 Household Not Gun Owner 70% 15% 7% 8% 72 Region of Central / Lakes 66% 15% 8% 12% 40 State Connecticut Valley 89% 5% 2% 5% 26 Manchester Area 78% 10% 4% 7% 36 Mass Border 77% 13% 3% 1% 6% 64 North Country 78% 10% 8% 4% 22 Seacoast 65% 2% 12% 20% 20 Congressional First Congressional District 72% 12% 6% 10% 99 District Second Congressional District 79% 9% 2% 4% 6% 109