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Special Issue COMPRAIL – Railway Engineering, Design and Operation International Journal of TRANSPORT TM Volume 1, Number 3, 2017 SPECIALISSUE Objectives The International Journal of Transport Development and Integration covers all transportation modes and the general topic of transport systems, with particular emphasis on their integration and harmonisation. The Journal addresses the areas of urban and road transportation, maritime and fluvial transport, rail and aviation, and topics related to logistics, optimisation and complex systems, amongst others. The growing need for integration is partly to respond to the many advances that are taking place in transportation and in order to achieve better uses of all systems, with the subsequent gains in energy efficiency. There is also the need for integration of transportation with telecommunications systems and IT in order to improve safety, security and efficiency. The Journal aims to report on advanced railways transport modes, including passenger, freight and transit systems. It welcomes contributions in the field of marine and fluvial transport. The Journal also covers papers resulting from the rapid growth in air freight and passenger transportation, together with the need to develop the required airport facilities. Transportation is one of the largest consumers of energy, particularly hydrocarbons, and has a considerable share of the economics of governments, industry and households. COORDINATOR C. A. Brebbia Wessex Institute, UK INTERNATIONAL EDITORIAL BOARD H. Al-Madani University of Bahrain, Bahrain G. Musolino University of Reggio Calabria, Italy S. Basbas Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece G. Passerini University Politecnica delle Marche, Italy B. Buran Istanbul Electricity, Turkey Y. Peskov Novorossiysk Shipping Company, Russia L. D’Acierno ‘Federico II’ University of Naples, Italy M. Petrovic University of Zagreb, Croatia K. D’Souza Hampton University, USA E. Pilo de la Fuente Eprail Research & Consulting SL, V. de Esteban Chapapria Universitat Politecnica de Spain Valencia, Spain M.N. Postorino University of Reggio Calabria, Italy J. De Ona University of Granada, Spain A. Pratelli University of Pisa, Italy F. Gaja i Diaz Universitat Politecnica de Valencia, S. Ricci University of Rome ‘La Sapienza’, Italy Spain F. Russo University of Reggio Calabria, Italy N. Guler Istanbul Technical University, Turkey C. Schoeman North West University, South Africa S. Hodas University of Zilina, Slovakia I. Schoeman North West University, South Africa L. Izvolt University of Zilina, Slovakia D. Sitanyiova University of Zilina, Slovakia M. Jacyna Warsaw University of Technology, Poland A. Sladkowski Silesian University of Technology, J-C. Jong Sinotech Engineering Consultants Inc, Poland Taiwan R. Souleyrette University of Kentucky, USA J. Lisowski Gdynia Maritime University, Poland I. Strainescu ICPE SAERP, Romania J. Longhurst University of the West of England, UK R. Takagi Kogakuin University, Japan E. Magaril Ural Federal University, Russia M. Tobias Amazonia University, Brazil J. Manuel Mera Polytechnic University of Madrid, T. Tollazzi University of Maribor, Slovenia Spain N. Tomii Chiba Institute of Technology, Japan G. Medeossi University of Trieste, Italy Y. Trofimenko Moscow State Automobile and Road J. Merkisz Poznan University of Technology, Poland Technical University, Russia A. Merkisz-Guranowska Poznan University of P. Tzieropoulos Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Technology, Poland Lausanne, Switzerland J.L. Miralles i Garcia Universitat Politecnica de R. Van Duin Delft Technical University, Valencia, Spain The Netherands M. Miyusov Odessa National Maritime Academy, P. Van Elslande IFSTTAR, France Ukraine International Journal of TRANSPORT Volume 1, Number 3, 2017 Special Issue COMPRAIL – Railway Engineering, Design and Operation Guest Editors Carlos A. Brebbia Wessex Institute, UK José M. Mera Polytechnic University of Madrid, Spain Norio Tomii Chiba Institute of Technology, Japan Panos Tzieropoulos École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland Southampton, Boston ii Int. J. Transp. Dev. Integr., Vol. 1, No. 3 (2017) PUBLICATION AND OPEN-ACCESS FEE WIT Press is committed to the free flow of information to the international scientific community. To provide this service, the Journals require a publication fee to be met by the authors or the research funding bodies for each paper published. The fee in this Journal is €130 per published page and is payable upon acceptance of the paper. The paper will then be Open Access, i.e. immediately and permanently free to everybody to read and download. FREQUENCY AND FORMAT The International Journal of Transport Development and Transport strategies Integration will be published in four issues per year in colour. Planning and management All issues will be supplied to subscribers both online (ISSN: Public transport systems 2058-8313) and in paper format (ISSN: 2058-8305). Environmental aspects SUBMISSIONS Economic and social impact The International Journal of Transport Development and Safety and security Integration is a refereed journal. In order to be acceptable for publication submissions must describe key advances made in Travel behaviour one or more of the topics listed on the right or others that are Transportation modelling and in-line with the originators of the Journal. simulation If you are interested in submitting a paper please contact: Infrastructure development INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF Intelligent transport systems TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT AND INTEGRATION Multimode transport WIT, Ashurst Lodge, Southampton, SO40 7AA, UK. Resilience Tel: 44 (0) 238 029 3223, Fax: 44 (0) 238 029 2853 Email: [email protected] Freight transport Mobility and public space TYPES OF CONTRIBUTIONS Original papers; review articles; short communications; Timetable planning reports of conferences and meetings; book reviews; letters to Operations quality the editor; forthcoming meetings, and selected bibliography. Risk management Papers essentially of an advertising nature will not be accepted. Energy supply and consumption AUTHORS INSTRUCTIONS Communications and signalling All material for publication must be submitted in electronic form, in both the native file format and as a PDF file, and be Vehicle dynamics PC compatible. The text area is 200mm deep and 130mm Driverless vehicles wide. For full instructions on how to format and supply your paper please go to: Underground systems Trams and trolley buses http://www.witpress.com/authors Ship and port operations SAMPLE COPY REQUEST Airports Subscribe and request your free sample copy online at: www.witpress.com/journals Air transportation Airport sites SUBSCRIPTION RATES 2017: International Journal of Transport Development and Capacity constraints Integration 1–4, Online and print access US$700.00 ISSN: 2058-8313 (on line) and ISSN: 2058-8305 (paper format) © WIT Press 2017 Printed in Great Britain by Printondemand Worldwide. Int. J. Transp. Dev. Integr., Vol. 1, No. 3 (2017) iii PREFACE The papers contained in this issue are a selection of those presented at the Conference on Railway Engineering, Design and Operation (COMPRAIL16) which took place in Madrid, organised by the Wessex Institute of Technology. The Meeting, which started in Frankfurt in 1987, has been successfully reconvened every two years in different locations around the world. The Conference aims to present and discuss the use of advanced railway systems, promoting general awareness of new developments in the management, design, manufacture and operation of railways and related transport systems. It emphasises the use of computer systems in advanced railway engineering. Modern railway engineering attracts a variety of disciplines including managers, consultants, designers of train control systems and computer specialists, in addition to railway engineers. This is reflected in the contents of this issue, which also demonstrates the diversity and the international character of modern railway engineering development. The papers contained in this issue, as well as all others presented at the Wessex Institute Conferences are archived in the Institute’s eLibrary (witpress.com/elibrary) where they are permanently available to the international community. The Editors Madrid, 2016 B. Davydov et al., Int. J. Transp. Dev. Integr., Vol. 1, No. 3 (2017) 307–317 StoCHASTIC MODEL FOR THE REAL-TIME TRAIN RESCHEDULING B. DAVYdov1, V. CHEbotAREV2 & K. KABLUkovA2 1Far Eastern State Transport University, Russia. 2Computing Center, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia. ABSTRACT The article explores the problem of train rescheduling based on the actual situation. The proposed sto- chastic model uses specific distributions of operating times which are dependent on the current traffic conditions. The arrival time distribution is considered as a result of adjusting the train trajectory by speed control. The results of modelled arrival distributions correspond well with the experimental data received at the Russian Railways. The proposed model is used for prevention of sequence-of-trains conflicts and violations of connections. The basis of deviation prediction is two-train model of mesa- level which uses actual features of scattering of the operation times both at sites and at stations. The article also proposed a new measure of arrival delay which considers the share of satisfied passengers. Keywords: local adjustments, online rescheduling, stochastic mesa-mode, train traffic. 1 INTRODUCTION Modelling the train traffic on the railway section is necessary for the optimal schedule
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