Impact of Major Typhoons on Sea Surface Environment in the Northwestern Pacific Derived from Satellite Remote Sensing
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Effects of Climate Change on the World's Oceans
3rd International Symposium Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans March 21–27, 2015 Santos, Brazil Table of Contents Welcome � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � v Organizers and Sponsors � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �vi Notes for Guidance � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �ix Symposium Timetable � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � x List of Sessions and Workshops � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � xiii Floor Plans � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �xiv Detailed Schedules � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 1 Abstracts - Oral Presentations Keynote � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �77 Plenary Talks � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �79 Theme Session S1 Role of advection and mixing in -
P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Typhoon Induced Precipitation Over Northern Japan 〇Sridhara NAYAK , Tetsuya TAKEMI
A06 Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Typhoon Induced Precipitation over Northern Japan 〇Sridhara NAYAK , Tetsuya TAKEMI Introduction: various duration bins. Finally, we calculated the Typhoons are considered as one of the dangerous frequency in each bin. In the similar way, we weather phenomena in the earth that caused investigated the size of the precipitations. widespread flooding to the landfall regions. Over the year, plenty of typhoons have made landfall over Preliminary Results: Japan and some of them have devastated large areas Figure 1 shows the probability of the duration of and impacted millions of people by extreme extreme precipitations for the Typhoon Chanthu. It precipitations (Takemi et al. 2016; Takemi, 2019). In shows the duration of the precipitations exceeding August 2016, three typhoons [Typhoon Chanthu various percentiles of precipitation in the range (T1607), Mindulle (T1609), and Kompasu (T1611)] between 50% and 99.99%. Results indicate that the made landfall over Hokkaido region and one typhoon occurrence of extremely heavy precipitations (higher [Lionrock (T1610)] made landfall over Tohoku region. than 99th percentile) are short-lived and last up to 6 All these typhoons caused widespread damages over hours. The extreme precipitation with intensity below northern Japan with excessive precipitations. However, 90th percentile last at least 9 hours. We also find studies are limited to understand the temporal and long-lived precipitations which last 12 hours and more, spatial structure of precipitation, particularly the although they don’t occur so frequently. precipitation size and duration within individual typhoons. In this study, we analyzed the precipitations induced by these four typhoons to investigate their extreme precipitation spell duration and size. -
An Efficient Method for Simulating Typhoon Waves Based on A
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Article An Efficient Method for Simulating Typhoon Waves Based on a Modified Holland Vortex Model Lvqing Wang 1,2,3, Zhaozi Zhang 1,*, Bingchen Liang 1,2,*, Dongyoung Lee 4 and Shaoyang Luo 3 1 Shandong Province Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, China; [email protected] 2 College of Engineering, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, China 3 NAVAL Research Academy, Beijing 100070, China; [email protected] 4 Korea Institute of Ocean, Science and Technology, Busan 600-011, Korea; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] (Z.Z.); [email protected] (B.L.) Received: 20 January 2020; Accepted: 23 February 2020; Published: 6 March 2020 Abstract: A combination of the WAVEWATCH III (WW3) model and a modified Holland vortex model is developed and studied in the present work. The Holland 2010 model is modified with two improvements: the first is a new scaling parameter, bs, that is formulated with information about the maximum wind speed (vms) and the typhoon’s forward movement velocity (vt); the second is the introduction of an asymmetric typhoon structure. In order to convert the wind speed, as reconstructed by the modified Holland model, from 1-min averaged wind inputs into 10-min averaged wind inputs to force the WW3 model, a gust factor (gf) is fitted in accordance with practical test cases. Validation against wave buoy data proves that the combination of the two models through the gust factor is robust for the estimation of typhoon waves. -
1 Storm Surge in Seto Inland Sea with Consideration Of
STORM SURGE IN SETO INLAND SEA WITH CONSIDERATION OF THE IMPACTS OF WAVE BREAKING ON SURFACE CURRENTS Han Soo Lee1, Takao Yamashita1, Tomoaki Komaguchi2, and Toyoaki Mishima3 Storm surge and storm wave simulations in Seto Inland Sea (SIS) in Japan were conducted for Typhoon Yancy (9313) and Chaba (0416) using an atmosphere (MM5)-wave (SWAN)-ocean (POM) modeling system. In the coupled modeling system, a new method for wave-current interaction in terms of momentum transfer due to whitecapping in deep water and depth-induced wave breaking in shallow water was considered. The calculated meteorological and wave fields show good agreement with the observations in SIS and its vicinities. The storm surge results also exhibit good accordance with the observations in SIS. To resolve a number of islands in SIS, we also performed numerical experiments with different grid resolutions and obtained improved results from higher resolutions in wave and ocean circulation fields. Keywords: Seto Inland Sea; storm surge; atmosphere-wave-ocean coupled model; air-sea interaction; whitecapping; depth-induced wave breaking INTRODUCTION Storm surge due to tropical cyclones (TCs) varies from place to place depending on the geographical features of the place we are interested in such as the effect of surrounding topography on meteorological fields, geographical shape of the bay or harbor, underwater bathymetry, tide, and interaction with other water bodies including rivers and open seas and oceans. In the storm surge modeling it is difficult to consider all of these effects such that we have to compromise some of them for simplifying a problem, more efficient modeling and engineering purpose. -
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan Ling-Feng Hsiao1, Delia Yen-Chu Chen1, Ming-Jen Yang1, 2, Chin-Cheng Tsai1, Chieh-Ju Wang1, Lung-Yao Chang1, 3, Hung-Chi Kuo1, 3, Lei Feng1, Cheng-Shang Lee1, 3 1Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei 2Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Chung-Li 3Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei ABSTRACT The continuous torrential rain associated with a typhoon often caused flood, landslide or debris flow, leading to serious damages to Taiwan. Therefore the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) during typhoon period is highly needed for disaster preparedness and emergency evacuation operation in Taiwan. Therefore, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute (TTFRI) started the typhoon quantitative precipitation forecast ensemble forecast experiment in 2010. The ensemble QPF experiment included 20 members. The ensemble members include various models (ARW-WRF, MM5 and CreSS models) and consider different setups in the model initial perturbations, data assimilation processes and model physics. Results show that the ensemble mean provides valuable information on typhoon track forecast and quantitative precipitation forecasts around Taiwan. For example, the ensemble mean track captured the sharp northward turning when Typhoon Megi (2010) moved westward to the South China Sea. The model rainfall also continued showing that the total rainfall at the northeastern Taiwan would exceed 1,000 mm, before the heavy rainfall occurred. Track forecasts for 21 typhoons in 2011 showed that the ensemble forecast has a comparable skill to those of operational centers and has better performance than a deterministic prediction. With an accurate track forecast for Typhoon Nanmadol, the ability for the model to predict rainfall distribution is significantly improved. -
Observational Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Formation Associated with Monsoon Gyres
APRIL 2013 W U E T A L . 1023 Observational Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Formation Associated with Monsoon Gyres LIGUANG WU,HUIJUN ZONG, AND JIA LIANG Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, and State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China (Manuscript received 6 April 2012, in final form 31 October 2012) ABSTRACT Large-scale monsoon gyres and the involved tropical cyclone formation over the western North Pacific have been documented in previous studies. The aim of this study is to understand how monsoon gyres affect tropical cyclone formation. An observational study is conducted on monsoon gyres during the period 2000–10, with a focus on their structures and the associated tropical cyclone formation. A total of 37 monsoon gyres are identified in May–October during 2000–10, among which 31 monsoon gyres are accompanied with the formation of 42 tropical cyclones, accounting for 19.8% of the total tropical cyclone formation. Monsoon gyres are generally located on the poleward side of the composited monsoon trough with a peak occurrence in August–October. Extending about 1000 km outward from the center at lower levels, the cyclonic circulation of the composited monsoon gyre shrinks with height and is replaced with negative relative vorticity above 200 hPa. The maximum winds of the composited monsoon gyre appear 500–800 km away from 2 the gyre center with a magnitude of 6–10 m s 1 at 850 hPa. In agreement with previous studies, the com- posited monsoon gyre shows enhanced southwesterly flow and convection on the south-southeastern side. -
The Diurnal Cycle of Clouds in Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific Basin
SOLA, 2020, Vol. 16, 109−114, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-019 109 The Diurnal Cycle of Clouds in Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific Basin Kohei Fukuda1, Kazuaki Yasunaga1, Ryo Oyama2, 3, Akiyoshi Wada3, Atsushi Hamada1, and Hironori Fudeyasu4 1Department of Earth Science, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, University of Toyama, Toyama, Japan 2Forecast Division, Forecast Department, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Tokyo, Japan 3Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Tsukuba, Japan 4Yokohama National University, Yokohama, Japan for this is not understood. In addition, previous studies by Kossin Abstract (2002) and Dunion et al. (2014) focused exclusively on Atlantic storms or eastern Pacific storms. Our knowledge of the TC diurnal This study examined the diurnal cycles of brightness tempera- cycle over the western North Pacific (WNP) basin is limited, ture (TB) and upper-level horizontal winds associated with tropi- even though the WNP is the area where TCs are most frequently cal cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific basin, making generated (e.g., Peduzzi et al. 2012). Furthermore, relationships use of data retrieved from geostationary-satellite (Himawari-8) between cirrus cloud and dynamic fields have not been adequately observations that exhibited unprecedented temporal and spatial documented on the basis of observational data, while changes in resolutions. The results of a spectral analysis revealed that diurnal maximum wind velocity in TCs statistically depend on the local cycles prevail in TB variations over the outer regions of TCs (300− time (e.g., Yaroshevich and Ingel 2013). From a technical point of 500 km from the storm center). The dominance of the diurnal view, previous studies analyzed observations at a relatively lower cycle was also found in variations in the radial wind (Vr) in inten- time interval of three hours, and it is likely that the results were sive TCs, although there was no dominant cycle in tangential wind contaminated by higher-order harmonics due to aliasing. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Assimilation of Ttrecretrieved Wind Data with WRF 3DVAR
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES, VOL. 118, 10,361–10,375, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50815, 2013 Assimilation of T-TREC-retrieved wind data with WRF 3DVAR for the short-term forecasting of typhoon Meranti (2010) near landfall Xin Li,1 Jie Ming,1 Yuan Wang,1 Kun Zhao,1 and Ming Xue 2 Received 11 April 2013; revised 30 August 2013; accepted 4 September 2013; published 18 September 2013. [1] An extended Tracking Radar Echo by Correlation (TREC) technique, called T-TREC technique, has been developed recently to retrieve horizontal circulations within tropical cyclones (TCs) from single Doppler radar reflectivity (Z) and radial velocity (Vr, when available) data. This study explores, for the first time, the assimilation of T-TREC-retrieved winds for a landfalling typhoon, Meranti (2010), into a convection-resolving model, the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting). The T-TREC winds or the original Vr data from a single coastal Doppler radar are assimilated at the single time using the WRF three-dimensional variational (3DVAR), at 8, 6, 4, and 2 h before the landfall of typhoon Meranti. In general, assimilating T-TREC winds results in better structure and intensity analysis of Meranti than directly assimilating Vr data. The subsequent forecasts for the track, intensity, structure and precipitation are also better, although the differences becomes smaller as the Vr data coverage improves when the typhoon gets closer to the radar. The ability of the T-TREC retrieval in capturing more accurate and complete vortex circulations in the inner-core region of TC is believed to be the primary reason for its superior performance over direct assimilation of Vr data; for the latter, the data coverage is much smaller when the TC is far away and the cross-beam wind component is difficult to analyze accurately with 3DVAR method. -
NICAM Predictability of the Monsoon Gyre Over The
EARLY ONLINE RELEASE This is a PDF of a manuscript that has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication. As the article has not yet been formatted, copy edited or proofread, the final published version may be different from the early online release. This pre-publication manuscript may be downloaded, distributed and used under the provisions of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license. It may be cited using the DOI below. The DOI for this manuscript is DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2019-017 J-STAGE Advance published date: December 7th, 2018 The final manuscript after publication will replace the preliminary version at the above DOI once it is available. 1 NICAM predictability of the monsoon gyre over the 2 western North Pacific during August 2016 3 4 Takuya JINNO1 5 Department of Earth and Planetary Science, Graduate School of Science, 6 The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan 7 8 Tomoki MIYAKAWA 9 Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute 10 The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 11 12 and 13 Masaki SATOH 14 Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute 15 The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 16 17 18 19 20 Sep 30, 2018 21 22 23 24 25 ------------------------------------ 26 1) Corresponding author: Takuya Jinno, School of Science, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, 27 Tokyo 113-0033 JAPAN. 28 Email: [email protected] 29 Tel(domestic): 03-5841-4298 30 Abstract 31 In August 2016, a monsoon gyre persisted over the western North Pacific and was 32 associated with the genesis of multiple devastating tropical cyclones. -
The Mechanism of the Storm Surges in the Seto Inland Sea Caused By
Technical Review No. 9 (March 2007) RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center The Mechanism of the Storm Surges in the Seto Inland Sea Caused by Typhoon Chaba (0416) Nadao KOHNO Typhoon Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, 1-1Nagamine, Tsukuba 305-0052, Japan Kazuo KAMAKURA, Hiroaki MINEMATSU*, Yukihiro YORIOKA, Kazuhisa HISASHIGE, Eichi SHIMIZU, Yuichi SATO, Akifumi FUKUNAGA, Yoshihiko TANIWAKI, and Shigekazu TANIJO Observation and Forecast Division, Takamatsu Local Observatory, 1277-1 Fuki-ishi, Takamatsu 761-8071, Japan Abstract Typhoon Chaba in 2004 made landfall on the southeastern Kyushu and went through Chugoku (western part of Japan’s Main Island) on 30 August, causing large storm surges in the Seto Inland Sea (SIS). The high tide records were broken at tide stations in Takamatsu and Uno Ports. We analyzed the tidal data and simulated this case with a numerical storm surge model. The storm surges moved eastward along with the passage of the typhoon, and it was favorably simulated. The results revealed that the wind set-up basically played a key role in causing the large storm surges. However, the maximum storm surge (MSS) in Takamatsu did not occur when the typhoon was the nearest to the city, but about 2 hours later. Since the time of MSS approximately corresponds to the high spring tide time, the record breaking storm tide was observed there. Moreover, we found the SIS can be divided into 6 areas according to the characteristics of sea topography and dominant wind direction by the typhoon. We also investigated the degrees of the contribution of two main factors of storm surges, i.e.