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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of the Maldives

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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of the Maldives Public Opinion Survey: Residents of the Maldives December 3-22, 2019 Detailed Methodology • Data collection for this poll was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research by CDE Consulting between December 3 and 22, 2019. • The sample consists of 1,130 respondents aged 18 and older, and is representative of resident Maldivian adults nationally. The sample excludes those living on resorts (6% of the total adult population.) • Data was collected using a multi-stage stratified probability sample through in-person, in-home interviews. The sample was stratified by urbanicity (urban, rural 1 and rural 2) and by population size of the 21 administrative regions. All islands of 3,000 or more residents were selected for rural 1, and selection of islands of less than 3,000 residents within the atolls of rural 2 was random. Malé was further subdivided into 15 constituencies. • Random walk was used to select the appropriate household, and island level gender and age group quotas were used to select one respondent 18 years and older per selected household. • The achieved sample was weighted for gender and age groups. Both the sampling and weighting frame are based on 2018 population projections by the National Bureau of Statistics. • The margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 percent at the mid-range with a confidence level of 95 percent. The response rate was 91 percent. • The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for market and social research methodologies. Figures in charts and tables may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. 2 Frequently Cited Bases Subsample Category Weighted n= Male 572 Gender Female 558 18-25 (younger youth) 242 26-35 (older youth) 342 Age groups 18-35 (youth) 584 36+ 546 Urban (Male, Addu, Fuvahmulah cities) 586 Rural 1, atolls with islands of 3,000 or more residents (HDh Kulhudhuffushi, R Dhuvaafaru, Lh Naifaru, Dh Kudahuvadhoo, 177 Urbanicity GDh Thinadhoo) Rural 2, atolls with island of less than 3000 residents (HA Dhidhdhoo, Sh Funadhoo, N Velidhoo, B Eydhafushi, K Guraidhoo, 368 K Maafushi, AA Thoddoo, ADh Mahibadhoo, V Fulidhoo, M Mulah, F Nilandhoo, Th Thimarafushi, L Gan, GA Villingili) 3 Outlook In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction? Rural 2 35% 54% 11% Rural 1 34% 51% 15% Urbanicity Urban 43% 44% 13% Age 36+ 39% 49% 12% All ages All Youth (18-35) 38% 47% 15% Older Youth 47% 14% (26-35) 39% Youth Younger Youth 37% 48% 15% (18-25) All 39% 48% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Right Wrong Don't know/Refused 5 In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction? Undecided 34% 51% 15% Progressive Party of 14% 84% 12% Maldives (PPM) Likely voters Maldivian Democratic 74% 20% 16% Party (MDP) All 39% 48% 13% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Bases: MDP n=220, PPM Right Wrong Don't know/Refused n=87, Undecided n=665 6 Speaking personally, over the past 12 months, how has your overall quality of life changed? Rural 2 12% 27% 42% 10% 9% Rural 1 10% 23% 47% 9% 11% Urbanicity Urban 11% 26% 45% 10% 7% Age 36+ 8% 18% 49% 14% 11% All ages All Youth (18-35) 15% 34% 39% 7% 6% Older Youth 32% 39% 9% 5% (26-35) 14% Youth Younger Youth 14% 35% 40% 3% 7% (18-25) All 11% 26% 44% 10% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot 7 Speaking personally, over the past 12 months, how has your overall quality of life changed? Undecided 9% 25% 46% 11% 8% PPM 9% 17% 44% 15% 15% Likely voters MDP 18% 35% 37% 6% 3% All 11% 26% 44% 10% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Bases: MDP n=220, PPM n=87, Undecided n=665 8 How would you describe the current economic situation of your household? Rural 2 17% 59% 16% 8% Rural 1 12% 63% 14% 11% Urbanicity Urban 12% 61% 17% 9% 1% Age 36+ 12% 58% 20% 10% 1% All ages All Youth (18-35) 16% 63% 13% 8% Older Youth 61% 13% 8% (26-35) 18% Youth Younger Youth 13% 66% 12% 8% (18-25) All 14% 61% 16% 9% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused 9 How would you describe the current economic situation of your household? Undecided 13% 62% 16% 9% PPM 15% 43% 27% 14% 1% Likely voters MDP 18% 65% 13% 3% All 14% 61% 16% 9% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/ Refused Bases: MDP n=220, PPM n=87, Undecided n=665 10 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Rural 2 7% 33% 38% 12% 8% 1% Rural 1 6% 26% 48% 10% 9% 1% Urbanicity Urban 7% 29% 43% 13% 7% 1% Age 36+ 6% 21% 47% 16% 10% <1% All ages All Youth (18-35) 9% 38% 38% 9% 4% 2% Older Youth 34% 41% 10% 5% 1% (26-35) 9% Youth Younger Youth 8% 44% 34% 7% 5% (18-25) 2% All 7% 30% 42% 12% 7% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/ Refused 11 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Undecided 5% 29% 45% 13% 7% 1% PPM 5% 21% 41% 19% 15% Likely voters MDP 12% 39% 37% 9% 3% 1% All 7% 30% 42% 12% 7% 1% Bases: MDP n=220, 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% PPM n=87, Improved a lot Improved somewhat Undecided Stayed the same Worsened somewhat n=665 Worsened a lot Don’t know/ Refused 12 In the coming 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation of your household to change? Rural 2 14% 48% 19% 6% 3% 10% Rural 1 5% 52% 23% 6% 5% 9% Urbanicity Urban 18% 47% 21% 5%2% 7% Age 36+ 13% 43% 25% 7% 3% 9% All ages All Youth (18-35) 16% 53% 17% 4%2% 7% Older Youth 53% 22% 3%3% 5% (26-35) 14% Youth Younger Youth 20% 53% 11% 5%2% 10% (18-25) All 15% 48% 21% 5% 3% 8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/ Refused 13 In the coming 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation of your household to change? Undecided 14% 47% 24% 7% 2% 7% PPM 16% 36% 16% 6% 10% 15% Likely voters MDP 18% 57% 15% 3%<1%6% All 15% 48% 21% 6% 3% 8% Bases: MDP n=220, 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% PPM n=87, Improve a lot Improve somewhat Undecided Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don’t know/ Refused n=665 14 How would you describe the current status of each of the following items in our country? Law and Order 13% 31% 24% 30% 3% Economy 11% 43% 23% 18% 5% Political Stability 8% 24% 25% 38% 5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/ Refused 15 Thinking some more about this, in the next year, do you think that the situation with each is going to get better, worse or stay the same? Economy 52% 16% 21% 11% Law and Order 44% 18% 28% 11% Political Stability 35% 17% 36% 12% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Better Same Worse Don't know/ Refused 16 Priority Issues What is the most important problem facing our country today? (spontaneous) Internal conflicts 17% Political instability 14% Illicit drugs 9% Corruption 9% High cost of living 7% Crime/public safety 6% Economy- Unemployment 6% Housing 5% Economy - other/general 3% No problems 1% Other 16% Don't know/ Refused 6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Issues named by less than 3% merged into “Other” 18 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (spontaneous) 20% Internal conflicts 14% 12% Political instability 17% 10% Illicit drugs 8% 7% Corruption 10% 7% Crime/public safety 6% High cost of living 5% 10% Age 36+ Housing 4% Age 18 to 35 All ages All 5% 3% Economy - other/general 3% 3% Economy- Unemployment 9% 20% Other 13% 2% No problems <1% 7% Don't know/ Refused 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Issues named by less than 3% merged into “Other” 19 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (spontaneous) 21% Internal conflicts 16% 14% 9% Illicit drugs 6% 10% 5% High cost of living 3% 10% 21% Political instability 18% 9% 2% Economy- Unemployment 3% 9% 5% Crime/public safety 4% 8% Rural 2 4% Housing 6% 5% Rural 1 1% Urban Urbanicity Insecurity 2% 3% 3% Economy - other/general 3% 3% 2% Healthcare 4% 1% 12% Other 14% 10% 1% No problems 4% 1% 6% Don't know/ Refused 12% 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Issues named by less than 3% merged into “Other” 20 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (spontaneous) 18% Internal conflicts 22% 10% 14% Political instability 17% 9% 9% Corruption 15% 7% 8% Illicit drugs 6% 13% 8% High cost of living 2% 8% 5% Economy- Unemployment 2% 8% Undecided 5% Crime/public safety 9% 8% PPM 4% MDP Housing 3% 6% Likely Voters 4% Economy - other/general 3% 3% 2% Insecurity 3% 3% 13% Other 12% 16% 1% No problems 1% 4% Bases: MDP n=220, PPM 7% Don't know/ Refused 2% n=87, Undecided n=665 6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Issues named by less than 3% merged into “Other” 21 What specific issue should be the top priority for the government to address? (spontaneous) Housing 12% Unemployment 8% Illicit drugs 8% Religion 7% Crime/public safety 7% Healthcare 6% Economic development 4% High cost of living 4% Political stability 3% Education 3% Corruption 3% Peace and harmony 3% Other 21% Don't know/ Refused 13% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Issues named by less than 3% merged into “Other” 22 What specific issue should be the top priority for the government to address? (spontaneous) 13% Housing 11% 5% Unemployment 11% 9% Illicit drugs 6% 6% Healthcare 5% 9% Religion 4% 3% Economic development 4% 3% High cost of living 4% Age 36+ Education 2% Age 18 to 35 All ages All 4% 3% Political stability 4% 3% Corruption 3% 2% Enforcing laws 3% 3% Peace and harmony 3%
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