Land Tenure and Natural Disasters
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University of Groningen the AD 1300-1700 Eruptive Periods At
University of Groningen The AD 1300-1700 eruptive periods at Tungurahua volcano, Ecuador, revealed by historical narratives, stratigraphy and radiocarbon dating Le Pennec, J. -L.; Jaya, D.; Samaniego, P.; Ramon, P.; Yanez, S. Moreno; Egred, J.; van der Plicht, J. Published in: Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.05.019 IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below. Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Publication date: 2008 Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database Citation for published version (APA): Le Pennec, J. -L., Jaya, D., Samaniego, P., Ramon, P., Yanez, S. M., Egred, J., & van der Plicht, J. (2008). The AD 1300-1700 eruptive periods at Tungurahua volcano, Ecuador, revealed by historical narratives, stratigraphy and radiocarbon dating. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 176(1), 70-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.05.019 Copyright Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download or to forward/distribute the text or part of it without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license (like Creative Commons). Take-down policy If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. Downloaded from the University of Groningen/UMCG research database (Pure): http://www.rug.nl/research/portal. -
The Effect of Regional Climate Model Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclone–Like Vortices in the Southwestern Indian Ocean
15 APRIL 2005 LANDMAN ET AL. 1263 The Effect of Regional Climate Model Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclone–Like Vortices in the Southwestern Indian Ocean WILLEM A. LANDMAN,ANJI SETH, AND SUZANA J. CAMARGO International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York (Manuscript received 18 December 2002, in final form 30 September 2004) ABSTRACT A regional climate model is tested for several domain configurations over the southwestern Indian Ocean to examine the ability of the model to reproduce observed cyclones and their landfalling tracks. The interaction between large-scale and local terrain forcing of tropical storms approaching and transiting the island landmass of Madagascar makes the southwestern Indian Ocean a unique and interesting study area. In addition, tropical cyclones across the southern Indian Ocean are likely to be significantly affected by the large-scale zonal flow. Therefore, the effects of model domain size and the positioning of its lateral bound- aries on the simulation of tropical cyclone–like vortices and their tracks on a seasonal time scale are investigated. Four tropical cyclones, which occurred over the southwestern Indian Ocean in January of the years 1995–97, are studied, and four domains are tested. The regional climate model is driven by atmo- spheric lateral boundary conditions that are derived from large-scale meteorological analyses. The use of analyzed boundary forcing enables comparison with observed cyclones in these tests. Simulations are performed using a 60-km horizontal resolution and for an extended time integration of about 6 weeks. Results show that the positioning of the eastern boundary of the regional model domain is of major importance in the life cycle of simulated tropical cyclone–like vortices: a vortex entering through the eastern boundary of the regional model is generally well simulated. -
GROWING SEASON STATUS Rainfall, Vegetation and Crop Monitoring
REGIONAL FOOD SECURITY PROGRAMME GROWING SEASON STATUS Rainfall, Vegetation and Crop Monitoring 2006/2007 Issue 5 March 2007 Release date: 24 April 2007 Highlights Contents • Good rainfall performance in the northern half of the SADC region, but poor rains in the southern parts by the end of March Rainfall Performance … Pg. 1 2007. Vegetation Pg. 2 Performance… • The prolonged dry spells develop into drought affecting Regional Dry Spells, Pg. 2 Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, Swaziland, southern Mozambique Floods & Cyclones … and southern Zimbabwe. Water Requirement Pg. 2 Satisfaction Index … • Food security prospects at both (some) national and regional level uncertain as drought sets in. FAO/WFP Crop and Food Rainfall Estimates … Pg. 3 Supply Assessments to take place in some of the drought affected countries Vegetation Maps … Pg. 4 • Persistent heavy rains resulted in widespread floods in Zambia, Rainfall Time Series + Madagascar and central Mozambique. Country Updates Pg. 6 January to March 2007 rainfall totals as Rainfall Performance percentage of average Cumulative rainfall analysis (Figure 1) shows that the southern half of the region has had a poor second half of the rainfall season. January to March rainfall totals have been below average for Botswana, Lesotho, eastern Namibia, Swaziland, South Africa and southern Zimbabwe. On the other hand, the northern parts of the region, including Malawi, northern Mozambique, Tanzania, Zambia, and parts of northern Zimbabwe, have had good accumulations of rainfall, conducive to good crop development and good pasture. However, in some of these areas excess rainfall has been detrimental to crop growth, and has caused widespread flooding in some of the main river basins of the region, particularly the Zambezi river basin. -
Cyclone À Madagascar (Mai 2003)
Rapport de mission du GSCF - Madagascar 2003 – en partenariat avec Air France -Direction de la Communication - Du 23 au 31 mai 2003 Le cyclone tropical « MANOU » a touché le centre-est de l’île de Madagascar le 8 mai 2003. Le Comité National de Secours (CNS) Malgache évaluait le 11 mai 2003 le nombre de sinistrés à 10000 sur la région de Vatomandry, une dizaine de morts et des disparus étaient aussi annoncés. Répondant aux appels lancés par le Ministre des Affaires Etrangères ainsi que par le ministre de l’Intérieur et de la Réforme Administrative Malgache le 12 mai 2003, le Groupe de Secours et Catastrophes Français propose à l’ambassade de Madagascar à Paris son soutien par la mise à disposition des autorités Malgaches d’équipes d’intervention et de santé. Parallèlement à cette démarche des places à bord des avions sont recherchés auprès des compagnies aériennes afin de préparer un éventuel départ. Après avoir reçu par telex de M. l’Ambassadeur le 20 mai 2003 l’autorisation d’intervention des Autorités malgaches dans le cadre de secours d’urgence, le GSCF part en mission le 23 mai 2003 au matin en partenariat avec Air France – Direction de la communication qui finance entièrement le déplacement des équipes sur place. I. Situation du Pays : Madagascar île importante de l’océan indien est indépendante depuis le 26 juin 1960. Après avoir connu de multiples crises, la situation semble s’être apaisée, bien qu’au début de l’année 2002 une crise politique a sérieusement ébranlé l’économie du pays. Ce pays reste malgré tout en voie de développement. -
Impact of Droughts and Floods
Compiled by th entre fo ev 10 ment Research Sou ern Africa for the Division of Early Warning an AT-IONS ENVIRON E United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Division of Early Warning and Assessment (DEWA) UNEP Complex, Gigiri, Nairobi P.O. Box 30552, 00100, Kenya Tel: +254-20-7623785 Fax: + 254 -20- 7624309 Web: http://www.unep.org © UNEP, SARDC, 2009 ISB 978-92-807-2835-4 Information in this publication can be reproduced, used and shared, with full acknowledgement of the eo-publishers, SARDC and UNEP. Citation: CEDRISA, Droughts and Floods in Southern Africa: Environmental Change and Human Vulnerability, UNEP and SARDC, 2009 Cover and Text Design SARDC: Paul Wade and Tonely Ngwenya Print Coordination: DS Print Media, Johannesburg 2 CONTENTS CONTENTS 3 List of Tables, Boxes, Graphs, Maps and Figures 4 ACKNOWLEDG EM ENTS 5 ACRONYMS 7 INTRODUCTION 9 Water Resources in Southern Africa 9 DROUGHTS AND FLOODS IN SOUTHERN AFRICA 13 Factors that Exacerbate Droughts and Floods 13 THE 2000-2003 DROUGHTS AND FLOODS 17 Malawi 17 Mozambique " 18 Swaziland 21 Zambia 23 Zimbabwe 25 IM PACT OF DROUGHTS AND FLOODS 31 Droughts 31 Floods 35 NATIONAL RESPONSES TO DROUGHTS AND FLOODS 39 Dealing with Droughts 39 Dealing with Floods 41 National, Regional and International Obligations 44 REFERENCES 47 3 List of Tables Table I Rainfall and Evaporation Statistics of some SADC Countries 10 Table 2 Mean Annual Runoff of Selected River Basins in Southern Africa 10 Table 3 Impact of Selected 2000-2003 Floods on Malawi's Socio-Economy 18 Table 4 Flood Incidences in -
United States Agency for International Development Bureau for Humanitarian Response Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance
UNITED STATES AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BUREAU FOR HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE OFFICE OF FOREIGN DISASTER ASSISTANCE MADAGASCAR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS ASSESSMENT MISSION AUGUST 1996 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page EXECUTIVE SUMMARY I. Introduction , 11. Background 111. Past Responses and Lessons Learned IV. International NGOs V. U.N. Agencies VI. Other Donors I. VII. Local Capacity VIII. Coordination IX. Recommendations to USAIDIMadagascar X. Annexes A. Excerpts from WHO Field Guide on Rapid Nutritional Assessments 15 B. Excerpts from OFDA Field Operations Guide 16 C. Excerpts from WFP Emergency Food Needs Manual 17 D. Notes from Meetings with International NGOs 1. CARE 2. CRS 3. ADRA 4. MSF E. Notes from Meetings with U.N. Agencies 1. UNDP 2. UNICEF 3. WFP F. Notes from Meetings with Donors 1. European Union 2. Swiss Cooperation 3. French Cooperation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Madagascar is particularly vulnerable to cyclones. Almost every year from November to March, cyclones damagd homes, food crops and infrastructure, sometimes causing death. The USAID Mission in Madagascar requested the assistance of the USAID Bureau for Humanitarian Response (BHR)/Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA) to assess the state of disaster preparedness of the Mission and its partners, before the cyclone season. A two-person OFDA team traveled to Madagascar August 13-23, 1996. The USAIDIMadagascar Mission is well prepared to manage future cyclone disasters. The Mission Disaster Relief Plan is comprehensive and the team has completed a revised draft with new information obtained during its assessment. Members of the Mission's Disaster Response Team possess relevant technical expertise and experience to make sound judgements on disaster relief funding proposals. -
The Effect of Regional Climate Model Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices in the Southwestern Indian Ocean
The International research Institute for Climate prediction Linking Science to Society IRI Technical REport No. 02-06 The Effect of Regional Climate Model Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices in the Southwestern Indian Ocean December 2002 The earth institute columbia university in the city of new york Image Credit: The satellite image on the front cover shows Tropical Cyclone Dina located over the Indian Ocean on 1/22/02. Image courtesy of NOAA. The IRI was established as a cooperative agreement between U.S. NOAA Office of Global Programs and Columbia University. The Effect of Regional Climate Model Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices in the Southwestern Indian Ocean W. A. LANDMAN, A. SETH and S. J. CAMARGO International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA E-mail: [email protected] Tel : +27-82-644-5304 Fax : +27-12-323-4518 Email : [email protected] Tel : 845-680-4419 Fax : 845-680-4864 Email : [email protected] Tel : 845-680-4416 Fax : 845-680-4865 December 17, 2002 1 Abstract While GCMs do simulate tropical cyclone-like vortex tracks in the southern Indian Ocean, they do not capture well those which make landfall in southern Africa. The feasibility of using a nested modelling system to produce seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts is examined, since improved horizontal resolution may potentially improve simulated cyclone tracks. As a first approach, a regional climate model is driven by time-dependent large-scale meteorological analyses for several domain configurations. -
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO Diploma Thesis
MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský MASARYK UNIVERSITY BRNO FACULTY OF EDUCATION DEPARTMENT OF ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis Diploma thesis Brno 2018 Supervisor: Author: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Declaration I declare that I have worked on this thesis independently, using only the primary and secondary sources listed in the bibliography. I agree with the placing of this thesis in the library of the Faculty of Education at the Masaryk University and with the access for academic purposes. Brno, 30th March 2018 …………………………………………. Bc. Lukáš Opavský Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisor, doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. for his kind help and constant guidance throughout my work. Bc. Lukáš Opavský OPAVSKÝ, Lukáš. Presentation Sentences in Wikipedia: FSP Analysis; Diploma Thesis. Brno: Masaryk University, Faculty of Education, English Language and Literature Department, 2018. XX p. Supervisor: doc. Mgr. Martin Adam, Ph.D. Annotation The purpose of this thesis is an analysis of a corpus comprising of opening sentences of articles collected from the online encyclopaedia Wikipedia. Four different quality categories from Wikipedia were chosen, from the total amount of eight, to ensure gathering of a representative sample, for each category there are fifty sentences, the total amount of the sentences altogether is, therefore, two hundred. The sentences will be analysed according to the Firabsian theory of functional sentence perspective in order to discriminate differences both between the quality categories and also within the categories. -
Taxing Diamonds to Reduce Unemployment in Namibia: Would It
September 2014 • Working Paper 77E Regional Inequality and Polarization in the Context of Concurrent Extreme Weather and Economic Shocks Julie A. Silva Corene J. Matyas Benedito Cunguara Julie Silva is assistant professor at the University of Maryland, Corene Matyas is associate professor at the University of Florida, and Benedito Cunguara is a research associate at Michigan State University. i DIRECTORATE OF ECONOMICS Report Series The Directorate of Economics of the Mozambican Ministry of Agriculture in collaboration with Michigan State University produces several publication series concerning socio- economics applied research, food security and nutrition. Publications under the Research Summary series (Flash) are short (3 - 4 pages), carefully focused reports designated to provide timely research results on issues of great interest. Publications under the Research Report Series and Working Paper Series seek to provide longer, more in depth treatment of agricultural research issues. It is hoped that these reports series and their dissemination will contribute to the design and implementation of programs and policies in Mozambique. Their publication is all seen as an important step in the Directorate’s mission to analyze agricultural policies and agricultural research in Mozambique. Comments and suggestion from interested users on reports under each of these series help to identify additional questions for consideration in later data analyses and report writing, and in the design of further research activities. Users of these reports are encouraged to submit comments and inform us of ongoing information and analysis needs. This report does not reflect the official views or policy positions of the Government of the Republic of Mozambique nor of USAID. -
Intoaction Flood-Warning System in Mozambique Completion of The
June 2007 IntoAction 2 Flood-warning system in Mozambique Completion of the Búzi project Published by the Munich Re Foundation From Knowledge to Action IntoAction 2 / Flood-warning system in Mozambique Contents Project overview – Búzi project 3 Floods in Mozambique 4 Duration Red flag signals danger 5 Success factors August 2005–December 2006 6 Flood-warning system a success! Budget 8 Chronology of Cyclone Favio 2007 50% Munich Re Foundation, 10 Learning 50% German Agency for Technical 11 Measuring Cooperation 12 Warning 13 Rescuing Continuation in Project Save Rio Save Machanga/Govurobis, 14 About Mozambique 15 as of April 2007 Our regional partners Project management Thomas Loster, Anne Wolf; on-site: Wolfgang Stiebens In Mozambique, as Village life in Búzi in many other centres on the African countries, main street. The women and girls weekly market have to fetch is inundated if water. Distances of flooding occurs. some 30 kilometres are by no means uncommon. IntoAction 2 / Flood-warning system in Mozambique Page 3 Floods in Mozambique In recent decades, there has been a This southeast African nation also had significant increase in flood disasters to contend with floods at the begin- in many parts of the world, Mozam- ning of 2007. Following weeks of rain, bique being no exception. It suffered major rivers in Central Mozambique its worst floods in recent history such as the Zambezi and the Búzi in 2000. At the heart of the country, burst their banks. Many people lost thousands of square kilometres were their lives in the worst floods the inundated and more than 700 people region had experienced for six years. -
Understanding Climate Variability and Livelihoods Adaptation in Rural Zimbabwe: a Case of Charewa, Mutoko
UNDERSTANDING CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND LIVELIHOODS ADAPTATION IN RURAL ZIMBABWE: A CASE OF CHAREWA, MUTOKO A Thesis Submitted in Fullfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY OF RHODES UNIVERSITY BY SANDRA BHATASARA January 2015 Supervisor: Professor Kirk Helliker Department of Sociology ABSTRACT Rural farmers in Zimbabwe have been grappling with various changes and challenges occurring in the country since the early 1990s. Amongst these, climate variability has emerged as one significant aspect. It has introduced new challenges for these farmers who are already facing various difficulties in maintaining their insecure livelihoods. Yet, current adaptation theories and inquiries have failed to sufficiently account for and analyse the capacity of these farmers to adequately respond to changing climatic conditions. In this respect, a number of studies have been heavily embedded in deterministic concepts that regard rural farmers as passive victims who play only a minor part in decisions and actions that affect their own livelihoods and well- being. Similarly, although some studies have acknowledged farmers’ capacity to adapt and build elements of resilience, they have not adequately shown how farmers interpret changes in climate and the structures, processes and conditions underpinning adaptation. Following that, my study uses a case study of a rural community in a semi-arid region of Mutoko district in eastern Zimbabwe and Margaret Archer’s sociological theory to understand and analyse how farmers problematise climate variability and respond to it. The study utilises a qualitative approach to divulge the subtleties on how rural people interpret processes of change and adapt to such changes. The thesis found that farmers are encountering increasingly unpredictable and unreliable rainfall patterns as well as shifting temperature conditions which are inducing labyrinthian livelihoods conundrums. -
Eruption Source Parameters for Forecasting Ash Dispersion And
Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 309 (2016) 1–13 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jvolgeores Eruption Source Parameters for forecasting ash dispersion and deposition from vulcanian eruptions at Tungurahua volcano: Insights from field data from the July 2013 eruption René Parra a,⁎, Benjamin Bernard a,b, Diego Narváez b, Jean-Luc Le Pennec c, Nathalie Hasselle d,ArnauFolche a Universidad San Francisco de Quito, Colegio de Ciencias e Ingeniería, Diego de Robles y Vía Interoceánica, Quito, Ecuador b Instituto Geofísico, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Ladrón de Guevara E11-253, Ap 17-2759 Quito, Ecuador c Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans (LMV), Université Blaise Pascal, Clermont-Ferrand, France d Laboratoire de Volcanologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium e Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS), Barcelona, Spain article info abstract Article history: Tungurahua volcano, located in the central area of the Ecuadorian Sierra, is erupting intermittently since 1999 al- Received 17 April 2015 ternating between periods of quiescence and explosive activity. Volcanic ash has been the most frequent and Accepted 2 November 2015 widespread hazard provoking air contamination episodes and impacts on human health, animals and crops in Available online 10 November 2015 the surrounding area. After two months of quiescence, Tungurahua erupted violently on 14th July 2013 generat- ing short-lived eruptive columns rising up to 9 km above the vent characterized as a vulcanian eruption. The Keywords: resulting fallout deposits were sampled daily during and after the eruptions to determine grain size distributions Volcanic ash ESP and perform morphological and componentry analyses.