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Hyatt Regency Chicago (Headquarters Hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level Allied Social Science Associations Program Chicago, IL January 6–8, 2017 Contract negotiations, management and meeting arrangements for ASSA meetings are conducted by the American Economic Association. Participants should be aware that the media has open access to all sessions and events at the meetings. i ASSA.indb i 11/21/16 10:58 AM Thanks to the 2017 American Economic Association Program Committee Members Alvin Roth, Chair Atila Abdulkadiroglu Daron Acemoglu Marianne Bertrand John Campbell Dave Donaldson Erica Field Amy Finkelstein Roland Fryer Joshua Gans Fatih Guvenen Hilary Hoynes Nicola Lacetera Muriel Niederle Nathan Nunn Jack Porter Cover Art—“Chicago at Twilight” by Kevin E. Cahill (Colored Pencil, 15” x 20”). Kevin is a research economist with the Center on Aging & Work at Boston College and a project director with ECONorthwest. Kevin invites you to visit his personal website at www.kcahillstudios.com. ii ASSA.indb ii 11/21/16 10:58 AM Contents General Information. .iv ASSA Hotels . viii Listing of Advertisers and Exhibitors . xxxi ASSA Executive Offi cers. .xxxiv Summary of Sessions by Organization . xxxviii Daily Program of Events . 1 AEA Poster Session . 28 Program of Sessions Thursday, January 5 . 65 Friday, January 6 . 66 Saturday, January 7 . 182 Sunday, January 8 . 301 Subject Area Index. 375 Index of Participants . 378 iii ASSA.indb iii 11/21/16 10:58 AM General Information PROGRAM SCHEDULES A listing of sessions where papers will be presented and another covering activities such as business meetings and receptions are provided in this program. Admittance is limited to those wearing badges. Each listing is arranged chronologically by date and time of the activity. The hotel and room location for each session and function are indicated. CONVENTION FACILITIES Fourteen hotels are being used for housing. Sessions and other convention functions are in the Hyatt Regency (headquarters hotel), the Sheraton Grand Chicago (co- headquarters hotel), and the Swissotel Chicago. A map of Chicago indicating the locations of the hotels, an alphabetical listing of function rooms within the hotels, and hotel fl oor plans are in the next section of this book. Registration and Exhibits are located in the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level. The Job Placement Service, Interview Tables are located at the Sheraton Grand Hotel (co-headquarters hotel), Riverwalk A&B, Level 1. Details follow. The $50 per night premium for the headquarters hotel is rebated to ASSA to help cover the cost of the meetings. REGISTRATION Everyone must register including speakers, discussants, and administrators who will be occupying an ASSA hotel room at the convention rate. Identifi cation badges are required for admission to all sessions and activities. On-site and pre-registrants may pick up their registration packets in the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level. On-site registration fee is $115. Full time student registration fee is $45. Pre-registration and On-site registration booths are open as follows: Thursday, January 5 2:00 pm to 9:00 pm* Friday, January 6 7:30 am to 5:00 pm* Saturday, January 7 7:30 am to 5:00 pm* Sunday, January 8 8:00 am to 1:00 pm (Hyatt Regency Chicago, Group Offi ce, East Tower, Gold Level) *On-site registration line closes fi fteen minutes prior to closing each day. SPOUSES There is no spouse program. Spouses wishing to attend any of the meetings may register as a guest for $45. If your spouse needs an affi liation on his/her badge, he/she must register separately and pay the full fee. iv ASSA.indb iv 11/21/16 10:58 AM PROFESSIONAL PLACEMENT SERVICE Interview tables are located in the Sheraton Grand Hotel (co-headquarters hotel), Riverwalk A&B, Level 1. Hours are four full days, from 8:00 am to 5:00 pm. Everyone admitted to the interviewing tables (including interviewers) must register. There is no on-site placement registration nor will there be an on-site message exchange center. All correspondence should take place using e-mail, including interview scheduling, prior to your arrival in Chicago. However, on-site contact can be conducted by using the ASSA on-line hotel directory available at www.vanderbilt.edu/AEA and click on Annual Meeting, or you may download the mobile app. You may also check with the Disclosure Code Booth at the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level or in the Sheraton Grand Hotel (co-headquarters hotel), Riverwalk A&B, Level 1. ASSA does not provide computers on-site. The Professional Placement Service is conducted and sponsored free of charge through the efforts of the Illinois Department of Employment Security and AEA. EXHIBITS Exhibits are located in the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level. The Exhibit area may be visited during the following hours: Friday, January 6 9:00 am to 6:00 pm Saturday, January 7 9:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 8 9:00 am to 1:00 pm MESSAGE AND INFORMATION CENTER The Message and Information Center is located in the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Grand Ballroom Foyer, East Tower, Gold Level, and is open during the following hours: Thursday, January 5 2:00 pm to 9:00 pm Friday, January 6 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 7 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 8 8:00 am to 2:00 pm Messages may be transmitted in person or by telephone during these hours. The number to call is 312-239-4834/ext. 4834. FEE AND INVITATION EVENTS The “Daily Program of Events” section of this program lists fee and invitation events, membership meetings, and other social functions in chronological order. Events for which a fee is charged or which may be attended by invitation only are noted. Tickets were sold to the following open events: AEA/AFA Joint Luncheon Friday, January 6, 12:30 pm Hyatt Regency Chicago, Grand Ballroom F ASE Presidential Breakfast Saturday, January 7, 7:45 am Swissotel Chicago, Montreux 1&2 AEA Luncheon Honoring Saturday, January 7, 12:30 pm the 2015 Nobel Laureates Hyatt Regency Chicago, Grand Ballroom F AREUEA Presidential Saturday, January 7, 12:30 pm Luncheon Sheraton Grand Chicago, Chicago Ballroom VII v ASSA.indb v 11/21/16 10:58 AM Tickets to each of these events were ordered on the pre-registration form. Tickets may be available at the door if an event is not sold out. CONVENTION STAFF HEADQUARTERS Headquarters for the ASSA Convention is located in the Hyatt Regency Chicago, Group Offi ce, East Tower, Gold Level. The hours of operation are: Thursday, January 5 2:00 pm to 5:00 pm Friday, January 6 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 7 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 8 8:00 am to 1:00 pm Headquarters staff should be alerted to any problems associated with the operation of the convention. Special notices concerning the program and room changes will be posted there. To reach Convention Headquarters by phone call 312-239-4833/ext. 4833. An Information Desk is located in the Sheraton Grand Chicago, Convention Registration Desk, Level 3 and in the Swissotel, Geneva, Concourse Level. The information tables are open Friday and Saturday from 8:00 am until 4:00 pm and on Sunday from 8:00 am until 1:00 pm. PRESS Press Registration is located at the Hyatt Regency Chicago, Group Offi ce, East Tower, Gold Level, near Grand Ballroom F. The Press Lounge is located in Skyway 281. Press Registration is open during the following hours: Thursday, January 5 2:00 pm to 5:00 pm Friday, January 6 7:30 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 7 7:30 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 8 7:30 am to 12:00 noon BUSINESS CENTERS Chicago Marriott Downtown 2nd Level 7 am–7 pm Magnifi cent Mile Embassy Suites Chicago Downtown ML Level 24 hours Fairmont Chicago, Millennium Park B1 Level M–F: 7 am–6 pm, Sat: 8 am–Noon, Closed Sunday Hilton Chicago Lobby (FedEx) M–F: 7 am–7 pm, Sat & Sun: 8 am–5 pm Hyatt Regency Chicago East Tower, Purple Level, M–F: 6 am–7 pm, Sat & Sun: 7 am–6 pm Inter-Continental Chicago Lobby Level 7 am–6 pm JW Marriott Main Lobby M–F: 7 am–7 pm, Sat: 7 am–1 pm Closed Sunday Loews Chicago 2nd Level 24 hours-with room key Palmer House Hilton Lobby 24 hours Radisson Blu Aqua Hotel Chicago 2nd Level 24 hours-with room key Renaissance Chicago Downtown Kinkos, Lobby M–F: 7 am–10 pm Sheraton Grand Chicago FedEx, Lobby 24 hours-with room key Swissotel Chicago Concourse Level 7 am–7 pm (level below Lobby) The Gwen Chicago 8th fl oor 24 hours Above hours are subject to change. vi ASSA.indb vi 11/21/16 10:58 AM DISCLOSURE CODES The Disclosure Code Information Booths are located in the Hyatt Regency Chicago (headquarters hotel), Riverside Center, East Tower, Purple Level and the Sheraton Grand Hotel (co-headquarters hotel), Riverwalk A&B, Level 1. You must know the disclosure code to obtain the room/suite number. Those were distributed by employers. You may also check on the AEA website at www.vanderbilt.edu/AEA and click on Annual Meeting, Disclosure Code Information. CHILDREN’S PROGRAM KiddieCorp will provide a professional children’s program at the Hyatt Regency Chicago. Kiddiecorp has been in business since 1986. Team members are qualifi ed child care specialists.
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